india market for lubricant and base oils 2010
DESCRIPTION
Lubricant and Base Oil Market India 2010TRANSCRIPT
Base Oil & LubricantsOpportunity in India
in 2010-11
Hussam Adeni
Lubricant Specialist
ExBPCastrol India [email protected]
Contents
Component of the India Lube Market
The India Lubricant industry
The India Base Oil Industry
The India Lube additives Industry
Base oil manufacturing
Hussam Adeni – Lube Specialist
The Components -for the India Market
• India – An opportunities galore
• Vehicles in India
• Production
• Population
• Fuel consumption
• Geographical size
• Lube market
• Hussam Adeni – Lube specialistHussam Adeni [email protected]
India – Opportunities galore2009-10
• Third largest market in the world
• Second largest market in Asia Pacific
• Ranks after China and Japan
• India market 1,900 million litres
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
India – Opportunities galore2009-10 - Economy
• Area 3.28 sq km
• Population 1.166 million
• Population density 354.7/ sq km
• Vehicle population 114.9 million
• 2 wheelers 82.5 million
• Trucks & Buses 6.5 million
• Cars 15.0 million
• Others 10.9 million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population 2009-10
• Total vehicle population 114.9 million
• 2 wheeler contribute about three fourths of the vehicle population
• Approx. 72% vehicles are 2 wheelers
• Used for multiple purpose• Personal and Public passenger transport
• Personal & Public goods transport
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population – 2009-10
• Total vehicle population 114.9 million
• Approx. 72% vehicles are 2 wheeler
• Passenger cars account for 13%
• Buses and Trucks account for 5.6%
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population 2009-10
• 72% vehicles - 2 wheeler
• 13% vehicles – Passenger cars
• 9.5% vehicles – Other
• 5.6% vehicles – Buses and Trucks
Total vehicle population 114.9 million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population 2009-10
• 82.5 million - 2 wheeler
• 15 million - Passenger cars
• 10.9 million - Others
• 6.5 million – Buses and Trucks
Total vehicle population 115 million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels
• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called Petrol)
• Diesel – HSD ( High Speed Diesel)
• LPG – Gas vehicles
• CNG - Gas vehicles
• Demand for Gas likely to pick up
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels
• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called Petrol)
•Consumption – 12.5 million tons
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels
• Diesel – High Speed Diesel
•Consumption – 55.1 million tons
• An estimated 2% probably used to “adulterate” gasoline
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels
•LPG – Liquefied Petroleum Gas
• Allocated for domestic use in cooking and carries subsidies
•CNG – Compressed Natural Gas
• Retailed at Gujarat and Delhi
• Demand picking up due to lower costs.
• Consumption data negligible but mixed up
with non transport useHussam Adeni [email protected]
Environmental issue - Motor fuels
• Diesel – Sulphur content
• Till Jan 2000 – 2500 ppm Nationwide
• Urban centres – 500 ppm
• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide
• By 2010 - 250 ppm Nationwide
• Apr 2010 - 50 ppm 11 Cities
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Environmental issue - Motor fuels
• Gasoline – Sulphur content
• Till Jan 2000 – 1000 ppm Nationwide
• Urban centres – 500 ppm
• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide
• By 2010 - 150 ppm Nationwide
• Apr 2010 - 50 ppm 11 Cities
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
The India Lubricant market
Lube consumption- Major sectors – 2009-10
• India Lube market 1,900 m*
• Transport Sector - 52%
• Non Transport sector - 47.9%
* Lube market - 2009-10 : 1.900 million litres
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Major sectors
• India Lube market 1,900 m*
• Transport Sector - 52%
•Diesel Lubes is 70%
•Petrol Lubes is 30%
• Non Transport sector - 48%
• Industrial
• Maintenance, Process, Manufacturing
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Transport sectors
• India Lube market 1,900 m*
• Transport Sector - 52% 983 million Lt
• Passenger cars – 211 million Lt
• 2 & 3 wheelers – 145 million Lt
• Trucks & buses – 313 million Lt
• Agriculture/Tractor – 60 million Lt
• Railroad Oils - 64 million Lt
• Marine eng/DG Sets – 69 million Lt
• Auto transmsn fluids – 69 million Lt
• Others - 40 million Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Non Transport sectors
• India Lube market 1,900 m*
• Non Transport Sector - 47.9%
• Approx 902 million Lt
• Industrial oils – 762 million Lt
• Greases - 95 million Lt
• Others - 45 million Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant- Market shares in %
• Indian Oil 24%
• Hindustan Petroleum 12%
• BPCastrol 10%
• Bharat Petroleum 11%
• Others 17%• Shell 5.0%
• Valvoline & Valvoline 3.2%
• Total 3.0 %
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant- Market shares in % & Mil. Lt
• Indian Oil 24% - 449 m Lt
Hind Petroleum 12% - 215 m Lt
• BPCastrol 10% - 184 m Lt
• Bharat Petro 11% - 196 m Lt
• Others 17%• Shell 5.0% - 90 m Lt
• Valvoline & Tidewater 3.2% - 60 m Lt/each
• Total 3.0 % - 56 m Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant- Annual Blending capacities
• Indian Oil 430 million Lt Hindustan Petroleum 350 million Lt
• BPCastrol 300 million Lt
• Bharat Petroleum 125 million Lt
• Others 395 million Lt
Total capacity: 1600 million Lt/Year
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
The Base OilsIndustry
Base oil manufacturing
• Group I
• - Capacity 805 million Lt/Yr
• - More than 990 million Lt/Yr imported
• Group II*
- Capacity 460 million Lt/Yr
• Group III
- Nil
* BPCL Mumbai: 150 m/Lt Yr Hydro-cracking unit executed. and on
stream on 1st Qtr 2006
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil manufacturing
• Group I
• - Capacity 850 million Lt/Yr
• Hind Petroleum – 200 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery
• IOC - 200 million Lt• Haldia
• IOC L /Madras Petro - 270 million Lt• Chennai
• BPCL - 180 million Lt• Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Target Market – Base Oils
• Group I
• - Shortfall is 850 million Lt
• - Met by imports from• Iran
• Dubai ( Traded)
• Other Middle East countries
• Far East and Aspac
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil manufacturing
• Group II
• - Capacity 460 million Lt/Yr
• Hind Petroleum – 150 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery
• IOC - 140 million Lt• Haldia
• BPCL - 170 million Lt• Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil - Supply & demand2006 - 2009
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Source 2006 2007 2008 2009
Market Reqd.
1544 1690 1712 1900
Local supply
863 1030 967 989
ShortfallHence Imported
681 660 750 850
Pricing Hyderabad – in INRIOC/HP - Ex Mumbai/Chennai Apr 2011
�IOC/HP Ex Mumbai or ExChennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base Oil - Grade Group I Per Lt in bulk
Group II Per Lt in bulk
SN 100 60 - 62 62 - 65
SN 150 60 - 62 63 - 66
SN 500 60 - 62 _____
BS 150 80 - 82 ______
Payment terms Advance DD/Cheque
Packing 20 KL tankers
Freight 2.00/Lt ExMumbai, 1.50/Lt ExChennai
The LubricantAdditive Industry
Additive manufacturing
• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr
• Lubrizol• - Mumbai
• Indian Additives• - Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Additive manufacturing
• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr
• Lubrizol• 50% JV – IOC & Lubrizol USA
• 45 million Kg/Yr
• - Mumbai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Additive manufacturing
• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr
• Lubrizol• 50% JV – IOC & Lubrizol USA
• 45 million Kg/Yr
• Mumbai
• Indian Additives• 50% JV IOC & Chevron Oronite
• 15 million Kg/Yr
• - Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Hussam Adeni – Lube Specialist
Web links & certifications
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