india market for lubricant and base oils 2010

37
Base Oil & Lubricants Opportunity in India in 2010-11 Hussam Adeni Lubricant Specialist ExBPCastrol India [email protected]

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Lubricant and Base Oil Market India 2010

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Page 1: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Base Oil & LubricantsOpportunity in India

in 2010-11

Hussam Adeni

Lubricant Specialist

ExBPCastrol India [email protected]

Page 2: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Contents

Component of the India Lube Market

The India Lubricant industry

The India Base Oil Industry

The India Lube additives Industry

Base oil manufacturing

Hussam Adeni – Lube Specialist

Page 3: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

The components for the India

Lubricant market

[email protected]

Page 4: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

The Components -for the India Market

• India – An opportunities galore

• Vehicles in India

• Production

• Population

• Fuel consumption

• Geographical size

• Lube market

• Hussam Adeni – Lube specialistHussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 5: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

India – Opportunities galore2009-10

• Third largest market in the world

• Second largest market in Asia Pacific

• Ranks after China and Japan

• India market 1,900 million litres

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 6: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

India – Opportunities galore2009-10 - Economy

• Area 3.28 sq km

• Population 1.166 million

• Population density 354.7/ sq km

• Vehicle population 114.9 million

• 2 wheelers 82.5 million

• Trucks & Buses 6.5 million

• Cars 15.0 million

• Others 10.9 million

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 7: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Vehicle population 2009-10

• Total vehicle population 114.9 million

• 2 wheeler contribute about three fourths of the vehicle population

• Approx. 72% vehicles are 2 wheelers

• Used for multiple purpose• Personal and Public passenger transport

• Personal & Public goods transport

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 8: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Vehicle population – 2009-10

• Total vehicle population 114.9 million

• Approx. 72% vehicles are 2 wheeler

• Passenger cars account for 13%

• Buses and Trucks account for 5.6%

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 9: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Vehicle population 2009-10

• 72% vehicles - 2 wheeler

• 13% vehicles – Passenger cars

• 9.5% vehicles – Other

• 5.6% vehicles – Buses and Trucks

Total vehicle population 114.9 million

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 10: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Vehicle population 2009-10

• 82.5 million - 2 wheeler

• 15 million - Passenger cars

• 10.9 million - Others

• 6.5 million – Buses and Trucks

Total vehicle population 115 million

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 11: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Motor Fuel demand in India

• Major Fuels

• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called Petrol)

• Diesel – HSD ( High Speed Diesel)

• LPG – Gas vehicles

• CNG - Gas vehicles

• Demand for Gas likely to pick up

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 12: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Motor Fuel demand in India

• Major Fuels

• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called Petrol)

•Consumption – 12.5 million tons

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 13: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Motor Fuel demand in India

• Major Fuels

• Diesel – High Speed Diesel

•Consumption – 55.1 million tons

• An estimated 2% probably used to “adulterate” gasoline

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 14: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Motor Fuel demand in India

• Major Fuels

•LPG – Liquefied Petroleum Gas

• Allocated for domestic use in cooking and carries subsidies

•CNG – Compressed Natural Gas

• Retailed at Gujarat and Delhi

• Demand picking up due to lower costs.

• Consumption data negligible but mixed up

with non transport useHussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 15: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Environmental issue - Motor fuels

• Diesel – Sulphur content

• Till Jan 2000 – 2500 ppm Nationwide

• Urban centres – 500 ppm

• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide

• By 2010 - 250 ppm Nationwide

• Apr 2010 - 50 ppm 11 Cities

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 16: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Environmental issue - Motor fuels

• Gasoline – Sulphur content

• Till Jan 2000 – 1000 ppm Nationwide

• Urban centres – 500 ppm

• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide

• By 2010 - 150 ppm Nationwide

• Apr 2010 - 50 ppm 11 Cities

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 17: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

The India Lubricant market

[email protected]

Page 18: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lube consumption- Major sectors – 2009-10

• India Lube market 1,900 m*

• Transport Sector - 52%

• Non Transport sector - 47.9%

* Lube market - 2009-10 : 1.900 million litres

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 19: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lube consumption- Major sectors

• India Lube market 1,900 m*

• Transport Sector - 52%

•Diesel Lubes is 70%

•Petrol Lubes is 30%

• Non Transport sector - 48%

• Industrial

• Maintenance, Process, Manufacturing

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 20: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lube consumption- Transport sectors

• India Lube market 1,900 m*

• Transport Sector - 52% 983 million Lt

• Passenger cars – 211 million Lt

• 2 & 3 wheelers – 145 million Lt

• Trucks & buses – 313 million Lt

• Agriculture/Tractor – 60 million Lt

• Railroad Oils - 64 million Lt

• Marine eng/DG Sets – 69 million Lt

• Auto transmsn fluids – 69 million Lt

• Others - 40 million Lt

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 21: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lube consumption- Non Transport sectors

• India Lube market 1,900 m*

• Non Transport Sector - 47.9%

• Approx 902 million Lt

• Industrial oils – 762 million Lt

• Greases - 95 million Lt

• Others - 45 million Lt

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 22: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lubricant- Market shares in %

• Indian Oil 24%

• Hindustan Petroleum 12%

• BPCastrol 10%

• Bharat Petroleum 11%

• Others 17%• Shell 5.0%

• Valvoline & Valvoline 3.2%

• Total 3.0 %

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 23: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lubricant- Market shares in % & Mil. Lt

• Indian Oil 24% - 449 m Lt

Hind Petroleum 12% - 215 m Lt

• BPCastrol 10% - 184 m Lt

• Bharat Petro 11% - 196 m Lt

• Others 17%• Shell 5.0% - 90 m Lt

• Valvoline & Tidewater 3.2% - 60 m Lt/each

• Total 3.0 % - 56 m Lt

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 24: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Lubricant- Annual Blending capacities

• Indian Oil 430 million Lt Hindustan Petroleum 350 million Lt

• BPCastrol 300 million Lt

• Bharat Petroleum 125 million Lt

• Others 395 million Lt

Total capacity: 1600 million Lt/Year

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 25: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

The Base OilsIndustry

[email protected]

Page 26: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Base oil manufacturing

• Group I

• - Capacity 805 million Lt/Yr

• - More than 990 million Lt/Yr imported

• Group II*

- Capacity 460 million Lt/Yr

• Group III

- Nil

* BPCL Mumbai: 150 m/Lt Yr Hydro-cracking unit executed. and on

stream on 1st Qtr 2006

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 27: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Base oil manufacturing

• Group I

• - Capacity 850 million Lt/Yr

• Hind Petroleum – 200 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery

• IOC - 200 million Lt• Haldia

• IOC L /Madras Petro - 270 million Lt• Chennai

• BPCL - 180 million Lt• Chennai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 28: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Target Market – Base Oils

• Group I

• - Shortfall is 850 million Lt

• - Met by imports from• Iran

• Dubai ( Traded)

• Other Middle East countries

• Far East and Aspac

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 29: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Base oil manufacturing

• Group II

• - Capacity 460 million Lt/Yr

• Hind Petroleum – 150 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery

• IOC - 140 million Lt• Haldia

• BPCL - 170 million Lt• Chennai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 30: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Base oil - Supply & demand2006 - 2009

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Source 2006 2007 2008 2009

Market Reqd.

1544 1690 1712 1900

Local supply

863 1030 967 989

ShortfallHence Imported

681 660 750 850

Page 31: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Pricing Hyderabad – in INRIOC/HP - Ex Mumbai/Chennai Apr 2011

�IOC/HP Ex Mumbai or ExChennai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Base Oil - Grade Group I Per Lt in bulk

Group II Per Lt in bulk

SN 100 60 - 62 62 - 65

SN 150 60 - 62 63 - 66

SN 500 60 - 62 _____

BS 150 80 - 82 ______

Payment terms Advance DD/Cheque

Packing 20 KL tankers

Freight 2.00/Lt ExMumbai, 1.50/Lt ExChennai

Page 32: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

The LubricantAdditive Industry

[email protected]

Page 33: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Additive manufacturing

• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr

• Lubrizol• - Mumbai

• Indian Additives• - Chennai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 34: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Additive manufacturing

• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr

• Lubrizol• 50% JV – IOC & Lubrizol USA

• 45 million Kg/Yr

• - Mumbai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 35: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Additive manufacturing

• Capacity 55 million Kg/Yr

• Lubrizol• 50% JV – IOC & Lubrizol USA

• 45 million Kg/Yr

• Mumbai

• Indian Additives• 50% JV IOC & Chevron Oronite

• 15 million Kg/Yr

• - Chennai

Hussam Adeni [email protected]

Page 36: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

Hussam Adeni – Lube Specialist

Web links & certifications

Slideshare: http://slidesha.re/tB0M3Q

Blogs Wordpress: http://bit.ly/uCpfw6

Page 37: India market for lubricant and base oils  2010

India – An opportunities galorebased on 2009-10 data

Thank you

Hussam Adeni [email protected]