india competitiveness report 2014
TRANSCRIPT
India Competitiveness Report 2014Presentation
Structure of Selected Economies
5.310.1
0.9 1.8 0.7
18.0
4.0 1.2 3.1
28.1
46.6
27.919.1 21.6
27.6
35.4
19.8
26.9
66.6
43.4
71.279.2 77.7
54.460.6
79.069.9
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Brazil China Germany France * United Kingdom India RussianFederation
United States World
Source: WDI, 2010. * Indiacates figures as of 2009, All the other figures as of 2010.
Structure of Selected Economies
Agriculture Value Added as a percentage of GDP Industry Value Added as a percentage of GDP
Sectoral Composition of World Economy
6.21
33.12
60.66
World GDP in 1990
Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) Industry, value added (% of GDP) Services, etc., value added (% of GDP)
9.74
37.5852.68
World GDP in 1970
3.14
26.95
69.92
World GDP in 2010
Rank on Human Development Index
104
59
98
136
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1996 2000 2005 2013
India's Rank on HDI
GDP and GDP Per Capita
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
19
70
19
71
19
72
19
73
19
74
19
75
19
76
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
19
81
19
82
19
83
19
84
19
85
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
GDP and GDP per Capita over the Years
Indian GDP per capita in current USD GDP at current prices in current billion of US Dollars
Poverty Headcount Ratio
53.59
49.4
41.64
32.68
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1988 1994 2005 2010
Poverty Headcount Ratio
Poverty headcount ratio (%of population living on less than a 1.25 dollar a day on current prices
Poverty Headcount Ratios
6.14
11.8
32.68
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Brazil
China
India
Russian Federation
* Figures for India as of 2010 # Figures for rest of the countries as of 2011
Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in current prices
Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in current prices
Growth in Various Industries over the years
Agriculture & allied activities
Mining & Quarrying
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas & Water Supply
Construction
Trade, Hotel, Transport and Communications
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services
Community, Social & Personal Services
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00
Shar
e in
to
tal G
DP
of
the
Co
un
try
in 2
01
2-1
3
CAGR Growth rate of sectors from 1990-91 to 2012-13
Structural Analysis of the Various sectors of the Indian Economy
Area and GDP of States
19.2% of the world population and 11.62% of world GDP
China
India17.6% of the world
population and
2.56% of world GDP
0.90% of the world population and 3.39% of world GDP
United Kingdom
United States of
America
4.5% of the world
population and 21.11
% of world GDP
Japan
1.8% of the world population and 8.29% of world GDP
Trade as a percentage of GDP over the years
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Trade as a percentage of GDP
Brazil China Hong Kong SAR, China India Russian Federation
Singapore South Africa United Kingdom United States World
Trade as a percentage of GDP
21.12
24.75
42.49
42.92
47.00
47.17
50.60
54.65
286.90
397.93
0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00
Brazil
United States
India
Russian Federation
China
United Kingdom
World
South Africa
Singapore
Hong Kong SAR, China
Trade as a percentage of GDP (As of 2012)
Export-Import Ratios
0.36
1.03
1.26
0.23
0.03
1.38
0.57
1.1
0.57
0.08
0.59
0.67
0.18
0.36
0.19
0.31
1
1.42
0.18
0.03
1.96
0.49
1.21
0.46
0.04
0.52
0.69
0.07
0.33
0.18
0.23
0.92
1.51
0.28
0.04
1.75
0.48
1.51
0.34
0.07
0.47
0.52
0.06
0.29
0.2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1. China
2. UAE
3. USA
4. Saudi Arabia
5. Switzerland
6. Singapore
7. Germany
8. Hong Kong
9. Indonesia
10. Iraq
11. Japan
12. Belgium
13. Kuwait
14. Korea RP
15. Nigeria
Export/Import Ratio 2010-11 Export/Import Ratio 2011-12 Export/Import Ratio 2012-13 Apr- Nov
MPCA according to NSS
86
0
93
0
82
8
77
8
73
8 1,1
45
1,0
90
93
2
1,0
15
91
3
89
1
74
8 90
2
1,0
18
77
1 96
7
1,1
18
88
8
1,0
66
1,2
70
69
5 1,0
54
90
5
93
0
88
0
79
8
88
0
76
8
78
3
1,3
01
81
6
1,0
09
1,0
60
1,0
08
92
3
84
9
1,1
34
1,1
34
1,1
52
1,1
69
1,0
64
98
8
97
4 1,0
89
98
7
89
7
1,1
26 1,1
70
1,1
54 1,1
55
1,3
02
86
1
1,1
55
1,0
02
1,2
26
93
7
92
0 1,0
82
94
1
98
1
1,3
09
1,0
00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
RURAL (Monthly per capita (Rs.) ) URBAN (Monthly per capita (Rs.) )
Percentage of Population below poverty line
29.6
31.4
34.4
54.4
49.4
13
24.9
31.6
24.1
22.9
13.1
45.3
33.3
19.6
48.6
38.2
37.9
16.1
15.4
8.8
57.2
20.9
34.4
30.9
29.4
40
40.9
32.7
34.2
9.2
34.7
32.0
33.7
39.9
9.9
5.1
16.6
11.2
8.1
10.4
37.0
20.9
7.1
31.7
17.4
36.9
11.9
20.4
18.9
32.6
8.3
14.7
8.2
11.3
14.1
11.3
29.4
20.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Andhra Pradesh
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Delhi
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Jharkhand
Karnataka
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Manipur
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
Odisha
Punjab
Rajasthan
Sikkim
Tamil Nadu
Tripura
Uttarakhand
Uttar Pradesh
West Bengal
Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 and 2011-12 (Tendulkar Methodology)
Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 (Tendulkar Methodology)
Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2011-12 (Tendulkar Methodology)
Population Below $1.25 a day
68
13.8
0.05
63.2
32.7
11.8
6.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Nigeria (2010)
South Africa (2009)
Russian Federation (2009)
Rwanda (2011)
India(2010)
China (2008)
Brazil (2008)
Population below $ 1.25 a day
Population Below $2 a Day
84.5
31.3
0
82.4
68.7
27.2
10.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Nigeria (2010)
South Africa (2009)
Russian Federation (2009)
Rwanda (2011)
India(2010)
China (2008)
Brazil (2008)
Population below $ 2 a day
Population below $ 2 a day
GINI Index
55
42
34
40
51
63
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Brazil (2009) China (2009) India (2010) Russian Federation(2009)
Rwanda (2011) South Africa (2009) Nigeria (2010)
GINI Index
GINI Index
Wealth in Nations
65,505
4980
4015
3365
17820
10910
14270
10675
7895
1390
1355
775
600
9,085
595
770
445
2345
1375
2335
1515
935
265
160
100
80
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
USA
Canada
Brazil
Mexico
Germany
United Kingdom
Japan
China
India
South Korea
Singapore
South Africa
Nigeria
Wealth in Nations
Total Wealth Billion USD UNHW Population
10326
131200
665
855
2,270
3,600
180
2182 77
160 140 145 130
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
$1 billion + $750 million to $999million
$500 million to $749million
$250 million to $499million
$200 million to $249million
$100 million to $199million
$50 million to $99million
$30 million to $49million
Wealth In India
UHNW POPULATION TOTAL WEALTH US$ billion
Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
51.9
47.6
41.7
35.7
29.5
22.3
13.711.1
13.716.0
18.020.6 20.7
18.9
34.636.6
40.9
45.3
49.6
57.0
67.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2012-13
Pe
rce
nta
ge C
on
trib
uti
on
of
Var
iou
s Se
cto
rs t
o G
DP
Percentage contribution to GDP over the years
Agriculture & allied activities Industry Services
Percentage Contribution to GDP
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
19
60
19
62
19
64
19
66
19
68
19
70
19
72
19
74
19
76
19
78
19
80
19
82
19
84
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
20
12
20
14
20
16
20
18
20
20
20
22
20
24
20
26
20
28
20
30
20
32
20
34
20
36
20
38
20
40
20
42
20
44
20
46
20
48
20
50
Pe
r C
apit
a G
DP
at
Cu
rre
nt
Pri
ces
in U
SD
Per capita GDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth
India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate)
GDP/Capita to grow six times to 9005 USD/capita
Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
Axi
s Ti
tle
Bill
ion
sGDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth
India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate)
GDP to grow eight times to 14.97
trillion USD
GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
1489
900510135
20621
41411
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
GDP 2012 India (Institute forCompetitiveness Model)
(2050)
India (6% Growth Rate)(2050)
India (8% Growth Rate)(2050)
India (10% Growth Rate)(2050)
Pe
r C
apit
a G
DP
in C
urr
en
t U
SD
Per Capita GDP Growth Now and in 2050
Per Capita GDP now and in 2050
GDP now and in 2050
1841.71
14979.3616859.48
34302.36
68887.95
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
GDP 2012 India (Institute forCompetitiveness Model)
(2050)
India (6% Growth Rate)(2050)
India (8% Growth Rate)(2050)
India (10% Growth Rate)(2050)
Bill
ion
s
GDP Now and in 2050
Per Capita NSDP
201083167838
142625122660
10767098550
926078966888783
8261180924
781777764777015
6875762831
6015659535
55004546895373552689
5064149489
438644338442036
3629033269
28317
0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000
Delhi
Sikkim
Maharashtra
Uttarakhand
Punjab
Kerala*
Arunachal Pradesh
All-India Per Capita NNI(2004-05 base)
Meghalaya
Tripura
Rajasthan*
Jammu & Kashmir
Madhya Pradesh
Assam
Uttar Pradesh
Figures taken as on 01.08.2013 *Represents figures for 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13
Per Capita NSDP at Current Prices
Urbanization Rate
84.6032
73.8244
31.295
50.5008
61.9868
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Brazil Russian Federation India China South Africa
Urbanization Rate
Per capita GDP versus Urbanization
APAR
AS
BR
CH
DL
GA*
GJ*
HR
HP
JKJH
KAKL*
MP
MH
MN
MLMZ*
NL
OR
PB
RJ*
SK
TN
TR
UP
UK
WB
y = 1731.3x + 19928R² = 0.5605
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
NSD
P p
er
cap
ita
(at
20
04
-05
pri
ces)
in 2
01
-11
% of People residing in Urban Areas in 2011
* depicts states with NSDP per capita in 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13
Total Census Towns
7935
468
53 3311 264.9 160.7 48.8
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
�Total census towns ,Class I UAs/Towns(Atleast1,00,000 persons)
0Million Plus UAs/Towns (At least10 lakh people)
,Mega Cities ( Greater than 10millon people)
Source : Census 2011
Number of towns Number of people living in these areas (In Millions)
Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA’s/Towns
7
7
6
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Uttar Pradesh
Kerala
Maharashtra
Madhya Pradesh
Gujarat
Tamil Nadu
Rajsthan
Jharkhand
Andhra Pradesh
Punjab
West Bengal
Chhattisgarh
Jammu and Kashmir
Chandigarh
Haryana
NCT Delhi
Bihar
Karnataka
Number of Milion Plus UAs/ Cities
Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA's/ Towns
Cities with Population > 4 million by 2026
15.7
16.1
13.1
6.4
5.6
5.4
4.4
3.7
2.7
2.0
2.3
28.6
25.8
20.1
9.9
9.5
8.9
7.6
6.6
5.6
4.5
4.2
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0
Delhi
Mumbai
Kolkata
Chennai
Bangalore
Hyderabad
Ahmedabad
Pune
Surat
Kanpur
Jaipur
Source: World Cities, UN-Habitat, 2012-13
Cities with population > 4 million by 2026
Population in 2000 (in Million) Population in 2025 (in Million)
Growth rate of Segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13
25.1
15.1
12.5
8.5
25.1
17.2
14.3
8.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Trade, hotels, & restaurants(Including Transport, storage, &
communication)
Financing, insurance, real estate,& business services
Community, social, & personalservices
Construction
Serv
ice
Co
ntr
ibu
tio
n t
o G
DP
as
a p
erc
en
tage
of
GD
P
Growth rate of segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13
2007-08 2012-13
CAGR in Service Sectors from 2001-11
0.4
0.6
1.3
1.4
2.1
2.3
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.3
3.5
3.8
5.5
9.2
11.1
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Japan
Italy
Germany
France
US
UK
Canada
Spain
Mexico
Australia
South Korea
Brazil
Russia
India
China
CAGR in Service GDP from 2001-11
Share of Services over the years
77
40.6
70.6
70
76.8
65.4
74
70.9
50.1
56.3
65
67.9
63.7
61.4
60.5
78.4
41.7
70.5
70
79.2
66.5
76
73.1
58.2
62.1
69.7
69.2
70
64.2
56.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
US
China
Japan
Germany
France
Brazil
UK
Italy
India
Russia
Canada
Australia
Spain
Mexico
South Korea
Share of Services in 2011 (as a % of GDP) Share of Services in 2001 (as a % of GDP)
FDI Flows in services sector
38,713.32
12,888.72 12,220.28
22,969.45
2,332.80
0.00
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
35,000.00
40,000.00
45,000.00
Services Sector (financialand Non-Financial)
Telecommunications (radiopaging, cellular mobile,
basic telephone services)
Computer software andhardware
Construction Development(Townships, housing, built-
upinfrastructure and
construction-developmentprojects)
construction actvities
FDI
Infl
ow
s in
mill
ion
of
USD
fro
m A
pri
l 20
00
-N
ov
20
13
FDI Inflows in the services sector
Cropping Intensity
11
1.0
7
11
4.6
9
11
7.7
0
12
3.0
5
12
9.8
9
13
1.1
1
13
3.7
9
13
2.5
5
13
5.0
4
13
5.6
9
13
6.6
6
13
7.5
0
13
8.5
0
13
8.0
1
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
Cropping Intensity
Agricultural System
Input for Agriculture
Output of Agriculture
Crops and Foodgrains
Agricultural Byproducts
Irrigation
Seeds
land
Fertilizer
Rainfall
Machinery and Equipment/ Agricultural Labour
Agricultural CreditResearch Institutions
Per Capita Net Availability of Foodgrains
172.5
186.2
171.1
169.4
172
180.8
173.5
183.6
163.2
170
165.9
151.9
180.4
159.7
168.9
154.2
162.5
161.6
159.2
162.1
159.5
169
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011 (P)
Per Capita Net Availbility of Foodgrains (Per Annum) in Kg in India
Exports per Capita 2012
1424 1665
21682
355
155
4132
103759
2121
12340
6995
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
Brazil China Germany India Pakistan RussianFederation
Singapore South Africa UK USA
Exp
ort
s p
er
Cap
ita
in c
ure
en
t U
SD o
n a
loga
rith
mic
sca
le
Exports per capita, 2012
Region Wise Share of Indian Exports
25.9
24.2
19
18.7
5.36.8
8.1
9.6
24.7
20.716.4
19.5
37.4
46.9
5050.4
2.31.2 1 1.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000-1 2005-06 2011-12 2012-13 (Apr.-Nov)
Region-wise Share of India's Exports
Europe Africa America Asia CIS and Baltics
Composition of Exports in World Markets
14
2
23.6
16.6 15.7
10.4
4.4
12.4
2.8
8.7
14.719.2
12.2
1.6
14
2
8.715.4
19.3
13.7
1.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Agri and AlliedProducts
Ores and minerals Textiles incl. RMG Gems & jewellery Engineering goods Chemicals & relatedproducts
Leather & leathermanufacturers
Composition of Exports in World Market
2000-01 2011-12 2012-13 (April-Nov. )
Trade Share with Major Economies
China10%
UAE9%
USA7%
Saudi Arabia5%
Switzerland4%
Singapore3%
Germany3%
Hong Kong3%
Indonesia3%
Iraq3%
Japan2%
Rest of the world48%
Trade share with Major economies
Total Number of MSME’s
10
1.1
10
5.2
1
10
9.4
9
11
3.9
5
11
8.5
9
12
3.4
2
36
1.7
6
37
7.3
7
39
3.7
41
0.8
2
42
8.7
7
44
7.7
3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08# 2008-09# 2009-10# 2010-11# 2011-12#
Total MSME's (Nos. in lakh)
CAGR 4.36%
CAGR 4.07%
Fixed investment in MSME’s
146845
154349
162317
170219
178699
188113
868544
917437
971407
1029331
1094893
1176939
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07*
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Fixed Investment (Rs. Crore)
CAGR 6.27%
MSME’s Employment and Gross Output
2001-02
2002-03 2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07*
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Emp
loym
en
t (L
akh
pe
rso
ns)
Gross Output (Rs. Crore) at Current Prices
Credit Availability to MSME’s
67,800 82,434102,550
151,137191,408
278,398
376,625395,976
8,59210,421
13,136
46,912
46,656
64,534
87,857
105,085
6,9078,430
11,637
15,489
18,063
21,069
21,461
19,839
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(Provisional)
Credit Availability To MSME's
Public Sector Banks Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks
Offices of Commercial Banks over the Years
14691 15870 16940 18392 19341 20260 21315
3743739287
4102743675
4646150729
54528
48404725
49555276
5093
5678
6290
25993638
4336
52437009
8298
9718
1481015054
15484
15776
16267
17032
17564
4848
48
49
54
57
62
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
OFFICES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN INDIA - 2006 TO 2012
State Bank of India and its Associates Nationalised Banks Old Private Sector Banks
New Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks Regional Rural Banks
Local Area Banks
Total Number of employees in Banks
684
770
845
874
1144
2361
2395
5487
8584
12173
12281
12495
16794
18976
33170
34013
37091
41746
44713
51026
57201
59498
69723
76899
80872
86007
107695
118417
171309
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000
Sikkim
Mizoram
Manipur
Arunachal Pradesh
Nagaland
Tripura
Meghalaya
Goa
Himachal Pradesh
Chhattisgarh
Jammu & Kashmir
Uttarakhand
Assam
Jharkhand
Haryana
Odisha
Bihar
Rajasthan
Madhya Pradesh
Kerala
Delhi
Gujarat
Punjab
Karnataka
Andhra Pradesh
Tamil Nadu
Uttar Pradesh
West Bengal
Maharashtra
Total number of Employees include Officers, Clerks and Subordinates
Total Number of employees
Gross NPA
4.42
3.24
1.761.91
2.96
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
SBI and its Associates Nationalised Banks New Private Sector Banks Old Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks
Gross NPA's to Gross Advances ratio (%) as on 31st March 2013
Bank Profitability
9.5 9.1 9.3
10.9
15.214.2
20.1
11.09.7
7.78.3
11.2
15.814.8
21.7
10.6
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
SBI and itsAssociates
NationalisedBanks
Public SectorBanks
Old PrivateSector Banks
New PrivateSector Banks
Private SectorBanks
Foreign Banks All ScheduledCommercial
Banks
Bank Profitability (Profit as a percentage of Total Income)
2012
2013
The End