india attractiveness survey 2013 - ernst & young€¦ · · 2015-07-23telephone interviews...
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India Attractiveness Survey 2013
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MethodologyEY’s 2013 India attractiveness survey is based on ...
1. The real attractiveness of India to foreign investors based on based on the fDi Markets database, which tracks new greenfield and expansion foreign direct investment (FDI) projects but excludes portfolio investments and M&A.
2. The perceived attractiveness of India by foreign investors, based on telephone interviews with 502 international business leaders.
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A multi-speed world (GDP growth estimates)India in context
Set for a modest recovery
2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
2.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.4%
Moving out of recession, but downside risks remain
2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
Eurozone -0.5% -0.5% 0.9% 1.4%
UK 0.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0%
Enjoying a short-term rebound
2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 1.1%
Source: EY Rapid-Growth Markets Forecast, October 2013.
Drivers of world economy but external pressures weigh on
growth2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3%
India Geared for the long term
2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
5.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.9%
Source: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund (IMF), October 2013 Sources: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary
Fund (IMF), October 2013 (for UK); and EY Eurozone Forecast, September 2013 (for Eurozone).
Source: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund (IMF), October 2013. Source: EY Rapid-Growth Markets Forecast,
October 2013.
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New directionsThe reality of FDI in India
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India’s FDI scenario
4,981 US$326.1b1.4m
2007-2012
Projects Jobs Capital investment
Source: fDI Intelligence
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
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India’s global positioning: fourth most attractive destination for FDI
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
Source: fDI Intelligence
► India, in fourth position, is ahead of its next competitor, Brazil, by more than 70% in project numbers.
► India recorded similar trends as 2011 in terms of its share of world projects and total investment value.
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Where from: India’s FDI investors
Source: FDI intelligence
► During 2007-12, the top five sectors for FDI from Western Europe were industrials, TMT, business services, automotive, and RCP.
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5.9%
6.6%
7.7%
8.4%
11.4%
16.6%
21.6%
Infrastructure
Financial services
Consumer goods
Automotive
Business services
Industrials
TMT
India’s top FDI sectorsOpportunities rising in infrastructure
Source: EY’s 2013 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 502); fDi Intelligence.
Reality Perception
93% project rise in 2012 in financial services from 2011.
3.8%
4.7%
8.4%
8.6%
11.2%
11.3%
29.4%
Business services
Life sciences
Automotive
Retail
Industrials
Infrastructure
TMT
In the next two years…% share of projects 2007-2012
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Maintaining confidenceHow India is viewed by foreign investors
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India’s competitive advantages: local labor cost, skills and mass domestic market
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
Please rate the following parameters for investment in India as very, fairly, little or not at all attractive?
24,9%
31,8%
32,7%
34,4%
41,7%
44,4%
45,8%
47,5%
45,8%
41,9%
46,0%
37,4%
37,7%
40,3%
14,5%
13,4%
14,1%
10,6%
12,0%
10,1%
8,0%
2,1%
2,0%
4,5%
2,4%
2,3%
3,3%
2,0%
11,0%
7,0%
6,8%
6,6%
6,6%
4,5%
3,9%
Entrepreneurial culture
Local labor skills
Sound telecommunications infrastructure
Strong business and management education system
Availability of educated workforce
Domestic market
Local labor costs
Very attractive Failry attractive Little attractive Not at all attractive Can't say
EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 502
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Investors immediate plans
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
People who are already invested in India are positive about the economy“No short-term expansion /overseas investment plans” has been cited as one of the main reason by respondents to not enter/increase existing operations in India
53.2% 31.8% 15,0%IAS 2013
Yes No Can't say
Is your company considering entering/increasing existing operations in India over the next year?
EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 502
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Prospective investment avenues
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
How are you planning to invest in India?
Source: EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 267 (group considering entering/expanding existing operations in India over the next year)100% have international presence.
17,4%
0,5%
0,8%
3,1%
4,4%
7,1%
8,8%
57,9%
Can't say
Others
Franchise arrangement
License arrangement with local company
Greenfield investments
Joint venture/ alliance
Acquisition
Expand operations/increase labor force
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Source: EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 267 (group considering entering/expanding existing operations in India over the next year); respondents selected more than one possible answer.100% have international presence
► India’s growing middle class is helping to drive the success of companies that operate in the country.
► According to EY report: ‘Hitting the sweet spot, The growth of the middle class in emerging markets’ India’s global middle class population (people earning between US$10 and US$100 per day) is expected to reach 475 million by 2030, up from 50 million in 2012.
What is the nature of the business activity you are planning in India ?
Attraction of the domestic market
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
13%
2,1%
1,6%
3,4%
4,4%
5,0%
5.0%
14,8%
30,8%
42,5%
Can't say
Others
Education and training
Warehouse / logistics center
Off shoring/outsourcing
Research center/ design unit
Regional headquarters
Sales and marketing office
Manufacturing for global market
Manufacturing/services for the Indian market
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Investors’ emerging market strategies: capital allocation towards India
India Attractiveness Survey 2013
Emerging market strategy and capital allocationDoes your company have an emerging market strategy?
Yes 62.6% No 25.3% Can't say 12.1%
What is the approximate investment capital allocation for India ?
24,0% 15,0% 10,5% 19.5% 31,0%% of respondents
0-5% 5-10% 10-20% >20% Can't sayEY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 314
Capital allocation range
EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey Total respondents: 502
Financial services 43.9% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 15.6% ||||||||||||||| 14.2% |||||||||||||| 0% 26.3% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure 30.3% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 14.1% |||||||||||||| 13.0% |||||||||||| 19.9% ||||||||||||||||||| 22.7% ||||||||||||||||||||||
Retail 29.4% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 24.2% |||||||||||||||||||||||| 22.5% |||||||||||||||||||||| 4.8% |||| 19.1% |||||||||||||||||||
Industrials 28.6% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 21.6% ||||||||||||||||||||| 6.5% |||||| 14.2% |||||||||||||| 29.1% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consumer products 21.5% ||||||||||||||||||||| 13.2% ||||||||||||| 5.0% ||||| 11.3% ||||||||||| 49.0% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||IT/ITES 21.4% ||||||||||||||||||||| 10.4% |||||||||| 13.8% ||||||||||||| 7.3% ||||||| 47.1% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||Business services 2.4% || 0% 0% 56.0% ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 41.6% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 314)
0-5% 5-10% 10-20% >20% Can't say
Sector-wise responses
Capital allocation range
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New destinations emerging Next wave of competitors
7.6%0.5%
5.5%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.7%1.0%1.0%1.2%1.3%1.5%2.9%4.0%
70.8%
Can’t say None
OthersMexico
UAEThailand
PolandVietnamMalaysia
PhilippinesIndonesia
South KoreaUSA
BrazilChina
From a general point of view, in your opinion, which country is India’s main competitor in terms of attractiveness ?
Source: EY’s 2013 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 502).
USA and Brazil have interchanged positions from 2012 India attractiveness survey from 8% and4%, respectively.
India’s new competitors
55% in 2012 India attractiveness survey
US and Brazil relative attractiveness to India has dropped from the 2012 survey.
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The path to prosperityIndia’s future attractiveness
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Great expectationsIndia in 2020
Responses 2013 survey 2012 survey
Among top three growing economies* 29% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||| 29% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Among top three manufacturing destinations 24% ||||||||||||||||||||||| 25% |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Country with substantially improved infrastructure 18% |||||||||||||||||| 24% ||||||||||||||||||||||||
R&D and innovation hub 15% ||||||||||||||| 19% |||||||||||||||||||
Competing directly with developed economies 15% |||||||||||||| n/a
Among leading three shared services destinations 14% |||||||||||||| 27% |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
With one of the best business education and higher learning systems 11% |||||||||| 20% ||||||||||||||||||||
A regional and global operations hub 9% ||||||||| 19% |||||||||||||||||||
* Last year's response was phrased as "Achieved double-digit growth rates".Sources: EY's 2013 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 502); EY's 2012 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 506) - Only 382 had an international presence - Respondents in both the surveys selected more than one possible answer.
How do you see India in 2020?
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Beyond the metros India’s emerging cities
Most attractive cities
% share in number ofprojects 2007-2012
(Reality)
% of survey responses
(Perception)
Mumbai 14.8% 51.2%Bengaluru 15.0% 37.8%New Delhi/NCR* 16.1% 37.4%Chennai 10.1% 14.6%Pune 7.8% 13.1%
Source: EY’s 2013 India attractiveness survey (Total respondents 502); fDi Intelligence - Respondents selected more than one possible answer.43.1%
3.0%3.7%4.4%4.7%
5.8%5.9%6.1%6.5%
8.9%20.7%
Can't sayIndoreNashik
AurangabadNagpur
KochiSurat
CoimbatoreChandigarh
JaipurAhmedabad
What are the emerging Indian cities for investment?Emerging cities
Top FDI choices
*NCR for reality and New Delhi for perception.
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What it takes to succeed in India
► Take a long term view of the economy and stay committed and secure sponsorships at the senior level
► Keep cost structure competitive and use technology and innovation efficiently
► Intense focus on governance and compliance
► Right balance of localisation and globalisation; understanding of the local culture and market
► Ability to work with volatility
► Stay committed, even through the challenging times
► Consider the many unique opportunities available in each state in line with your business strategies
View points from Global Business Leaders
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Contact detailsAsia-Pacific Desk Belgium
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Thank you!
Geert GemisOperational Leader, Asia-Pacific Desk BelgiumITS Partner
Tel +32 3 270 14 57Mobile+32 475 58 28 81Email [email protected]
Jos ReniersAsia-Pacific Desk BelgiumITS Director
Tel +32 3 270 1238Mobile+32 476 50 65 79Email [email protected]