in-sen global strategy group for joe donnelly (may 2012)

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  • 7/31/2019 IN-Sen Global Strategy Group for Joe Donnelly (May 2012)

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    Copyright 2012 May 10 - 13, 2012 602 InterviewsIndiana Statewide Survey Margin of Error: +/- 4.0%

    Q1. Are you at least 18 years old and registered to vote at this address[READ ADDRESS]?

    Yes .................................................................................. 100%VOL: (No/Don't know/Refused) ................................................ -

    Q2. As you may know, in November, there will be an election for President,

    Senator, Congress and other offices. How likely are you to vote in thiselection: Will you definitely vote, probably vote, are the chances 50-50, willyou probably not vote, or will you definitely not vote?

    Definitely .......................................................................... 90%

    Probably .......................................................................... 10Chance 50-50 .................................................................. -Probably not vote............................................................. -Definitely not vote ............................................................ -

    VOL: (Don't Know/Refused) ..................................................... -

    Q3. No matter how you are planning to vote, when it comes to politics, doyou generally think of yourself as a strong Democrat, a not very strongDemocrat, a strong Republican, a not very strong Republican, or anIndependent? [IF INDEPENDENT] Do you think of yourself as closer to theDemocratic Party or the Republican Party?

    Strong Democrat ............................................................. 25%Weak Democrat ............................................................... 5Independent / Closer to the Democrats........................... 9Independent..................................................................... 14Independent / Closer to the Republicans ........................ 12Weak Republican ............................................................ 7Strong Republican ........................................................... 24

    VOL: (Don't Know/Refused) ..................................................... 4

    DEMOCRAT (NET) ......................................................... 30%INDEPENDENT (NET) .................................................... 39REPUBLICAN (NET) ....................................................... 31

    DEMOCRAT W/ LEANERS (NET) .................................. 39%REPUBLICAN W/ LEANERS (NET) ................................ 43

    Q4. I'm going to read you a list of people or groups in public life. For each, please tell me if you have a strongly favorable, somewhatfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of them, please tell me.

    FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

    (CR) NH (DK/Ref.)

    NET

    Strong Some Some Strong FAV UNFAV FAMILIAR

    Richard Mourdock .......................................... 18% 18 15 22 17 7 2 36% 37 73March 6% 13 12 10 18 40 2 19% 21 40

    December 4% 11 8 11 24 37 5 16% 19 35

    Tea Party Movement ..................................... 17% 16 11 33 15 4 3 34% 44 77March 10% 22 12 32 14 8 1 33% 43 76

    December 15% 23 14 28 13 5 3 38% 42 80

    Joe Donnelly..................................................... 12% 16 7 5 23 32 5 28% 12 40March 5% 12 5 6 16 54 2 17% 11 28

    December 6% 14 7 4 27 36 5 20% 12 31

    Q5. And if the election for United States Senate were held today and thecandidates were Joe Donnelly, the Democrat, and Richard Mourdock, theRepublican, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] If you had todecide, which candidate would you lean towards supporting?

    Joe Donnelly .................................................................... 35%Lean Joe Donnelly ........................................................... 5Richard Mourdock ........................................................... 35Lean Richard Mourdock .................................................. 5

    VOL: (Undecided/Refused) ...................................................... 20

    DONNELLY (NET)........................................................... 40%MOURDOCK (NET)......................................................... 40

    Now I'd like to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, I'd like you to tell me which statement comes closest to your ownviews.

    Republican Richard Mourdock says that Washington doesn't need more bipartisan compromise, what it needs is more people standingon principle.Democrat Joe Donnelly says that the problem with Washington is that there is too much partisan bickering and not enough workingacross party lines to get things done.

    Q6. Which statement comes closest to your own views? [IF CHOICE] Do youfeel that way strongly or just somewhat?

    More standing on principle - Strongly .............................. 28%More standing on principle - Somewhat .......................... 7Too much bickering - Somewhat ..................................... 13Too much bickering - Strongly ......................................... 44

    VOL: (Don't know/Refused) ...................................................... 9

    MORE STANDING ON PRINCIPLE (NET) ..................... 34%TOO MUCH BICKERING (NET) ..................................... 56

  • 7/31/2019 IN-Sen Global Strategy Group for Joe Donnelly (May 2012)

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    Global Strategy Group Indiana Statewide Survey Page 2/2

    Finally, I would like to ask you a few final questions for statistical purposes only.

    D101. What is your age? 18-29 ............................................................................... 13%30-44 ............................................................................... 2345-54 ............................................................................... 2155-64 ............................................................................... 2065+................................................................................... 20

    VOL: (Refused) ......................................................................... 3

    D102. What is the last grade that you completed in school? Some grade school ......................................................... *Some high school ............................................................ 4Graduated high school .................................................... 25Technical/Vocational ....................................................... 2Some college ................................................................... 22Graduate college ............................................................. 28Graduate professional ..................................................... 16

    VOL: (Refused) ......................................................................... 3

    D105. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as veryliberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, veryconservative?

    Very liberal....................................................................... 10%Somewhat liberal ............................................................. 11Moderate ......................................................................... 29Somewhat conservative .................................................. 24Very conservative ............................................................ 19

    VOL: (Refused) ......................................................................... 6

    LIBERAL (NET) ............................................................... 21%CONSERVATIVE (NET) .................................................. 44

    D300. And just to make sure we have a representative sample of voters,could you please tell me your race? [IF BLACK/WHITE/OTHER] Do youconsider yourself a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking American?

    Black/African-American ................................................... 8%White/Caucasian ............................................................. 85Hispanic/Latino ................................................................ 2

    Asian-American ............................................................... *Other (SPECIFY) ............................................................. 2

    VOL: (Refused) ......................................................................... 3

    Gender[BY OBSERVATION] Male ................................................................................. 47%Female............................................................................. 53

    Region [FROM SAMPLE] Chicago/Lafayette DMA .................................................. 15%Evansville/Terre Haute DMA ........................................... 11South Bend/Fort Wayne DMA ......................................... 20Cincinnati/Louisville DMA ................................................ 10

    Indianapolis DMA - Marion County.................................. 13Indianapolis DMA - Doughnut Counties .......................... 15Indianapolis DMA - Rest .................................................. 15

    INDIANAPOLIS DMA ...................................................... 43%