in confidence to bt and llu opf focus group only bt roll-out constraints

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In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

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Page 1: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

Group only

BT Roll-out Constraints

Page 2: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

Group only

Roll out Criteria

• To meet Oftel Jan 2000 volume forecast

• Parity with BT Broadband programme

• OSS designed to meet Oftel Jan 2000 volume forecast

Page 3: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only

Pre-Launch Milestones in Jeopardy?

• Framework Contract, non-disclosure agreement & Property Licence available.

• Release MDF Location information and Post-Code mapping data.

• First Survey orders submitted for for co-location (PCR1)

• Transfer co-location ordering to automated system.

• Release first 30 co-location POPs.

31 May 2000?

30 June 2000

1 Sept 2000

April-May2001

May-June2001

Page 4: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

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First Year Roll out Plan

• PoPs14 trial sites+ 30 by 30/6/01= 44 total

• Loops 2100

1/7/02

548

Ramping up as PoPscome on stream. Start in 7/01 at 13500 reaching50,000 per month in Dec 01

42 per month(physical + distant)

Trial exit 1/7/01

490,000-530,000PoP = Point of Presence

either physical or distant

Throughput

Page 5: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

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Constraints (1)

• MDF jumpering (requires geographic spread)

• Field force (CS)*

• Planners, construction resources, backhaul provision, networkBuild, BT Security, suppliers for PoPs

• Management of bow wave

400 changes per month per MDF42 PoPs per month

50,000 loops per month

* Recruitment for a 3 month peak is not efficient

42 PoPs per month

Page 6: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

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Constraints (2)Co-location and MPF ordering - geographic split

• London customer service areas 20%• North 25%• South 30%• Midlands 25%

Planning teams PoPsNorthern Ireland 2Scotland 3Wales + West 6North East/North West 6Midlands 6Northern Home Counties 6South East 5London 8

One month’s typical order breakdown -

Page 7: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

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Co-location Oftel Yearly Forecast

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Vol.

YR1 YR2 YR3

Jan-00May-00

Page 8: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

Group only

MPF Oftel Yearly Forecasts

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Vol.(000)

yr1 yr2 yr3

Jan-00May-00

Page 9: In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus Group only BT Roll-out Constraints

In confidence to BT and LLU OPF Focus

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Conclusion • New Oftel forecast makes co-location volume

assumptions look sick.• Geographical detail required for further analysis.• Need commercial surround to Forecasting • Special ‘forecasting’ process to start as soon as:

– Framework Contract + Plan & Build agreed; (by 30/06/00)

– BT supplies MDF mapping data ( by 30/06/00)– Reward for early forecast must be “priority on

delivery”.