improving access in a binational population the potential role for binational health insurance tim...
TRANSCRIPT
Improving Access In a Binational Population
The Potential Role for Binational Health InsuranceTim Waidmann & Saad Ahmad
The Urban Institute
Background on BHI Insurance product with care options
on both sides of US/Mexico border Address issue of “binational” families Take advantage of lower-cost,
culturally competent providers Build on existing private models Aligned interests of US providers,
Mexican economy (and immigrants)
Factors Influencing DemandWhat’s in it for potential enrollees?
Can predictable access to providers be improved?
How important is border-crossing care?
Potential improvements for family members in Mexico?
Could BHI fill gaps? 5.4 Million uninsured Mexican immigrants
in the U.S. 2/3 are undocumented, so border crossing
to see a doctor is unrealistic. Up to half a million legal immigrants live
outside of the 4 border states. Bottom line: About 25% of uninsured
Mexican immigrants might reasonably expect to benefit from BHI (1.3 million)
Measuring Affordability/ Willingness to Pay No established market to do
econometric estimates Survey evidence Income-based affordability (fixed
relative expenditure on health) Current total binational expenditure
estimates
Out of Pocket Expenditures Uninsured recent Latino immigrants
spend an average $200/year in US. (MEPS)
Remittances to family: (Mexico received $20Bn in 2006) At the margin, 20% of additional
remittances are spent on health care
Other considerations Private insurance is unfamiliar Some surveys indicate no perceived
problems in current access to care
Supply side:What could be offered & at what price? Care in US: MEPS data suggest half the
cost. $1000/mo becomes $500. Exclude hospitalization (about half of cost).
$500 becomes $250. Care in Mexico: Full IMSS for $40/mo ($80
if cover parents). SP could be half that. Existing BHI plans: $350/mo. (group,
family), $75 (non-group, individual)
Coverage alternatives, cost Full US-
based plan
New Migrant plan + IMSS
New Migrant Plan + Seguro Popular
Border HMO
Mexi-Plan
Primary & ER
$12,000 $ 3,000 $ 3,000 $ 4,080 $ 1,800
Hospital cvd $ 519 $ 180 cvd cvd
Out of Pocket
$ 200 $ 200 $ 200 $ 200 $ 800
Remittances $ 450 $ 450 $ 225 $ 450 $ 450
Total $12,650 $ 4,169 $ 3,330 $ 4,430 $ 3,050
Price is right? $3,000 to $4,500/year for low-cost
alternatives. (Best case) Using the 10% rule:
at $3,000, roughly 20% of uninsured Mexican immigrants could afford coverage.
At $4,500, 5-8% Full freight, $12,000, <1%
A little help? Employers US federal/state governments Mexican government Hometown Associations
Best case? Reweighting exercise
Choose a comparison population that represents an attainable standard, i.e., without altering fundamental socioeconomic characteristics
Match on age, sex, education, income, geography, employment and family structure
Adults, simulated coverage
Legal* Mexican
Immigrants Citizen Citizen rewtd
Potential Change for
Legal Mexican
Immigrants
ESI as employee 20.4% 47.4% 32.2% 345,905 ESI as dependent 10.8% 20.3% 16.8% 178,714 Public 13.4% 9.2% 15.5% 62,490 Private non-group 1.8% 6.0% 7.2% 157,616 Uninsured 53.6% 17.1% 28.3% (744,725)
*Legal status imputed from other characteristics.
Implementation issues Potential opposition Legislative/regulatory changes Plan management challenges
Quality control Past enrollment experience with this
population
Summary Adults are most challenging target Low utilization among recent immigrants
creates opportunity for lower cost products Geographic concentration makes BHI feasible Mexican public sector most likely partner Immigration reform important Legislative changes at state level necessary Outreach would be key
Research Questions Immigration Reform. Many possible
outcomes. (Too many?) Modeling takeup. Estimation challenges in
new population. Utilization under cross-border plans. Accessibility of providers for families of
potential enrollees. What about expanding public program
eligibility?
Concluding thoughts Is insurance necessary? Is comprehensive plan necessary? Is integrated product necessary? Equity issues
Non-citizens? Mexican citizens only? Non-border populations?
Average Medical Spending, 2001-2003
TotalOffice
Visit
Out-patient
ServicesHospital
ERHospital Inpatient Dental Rx Drug
Other (inc LTC)
Native-born US
Privately Insured, Non-Hispanic 3,088$ 713$ 387$ 103$ 911$ 254$ 624$ 95$
Privately Insured, Hispanic 1,793$ 490$ 188$ 87$ 459$ 175$ 316$ 76$
Uninsured, Non-Hispanic 1,809$ 442$ 182$ 104$ 536$ 105$ 379$ 61$
Uninsured, Hispanic 1,197$ 227$ 60$ 86$ 549$ 50$ 162$ 62$
Recent Immigrant (<10 yrs)
Privately Insured, Hispanic 1,412$ 328$ 69$ 112$ 567$ 148$ 94$ 95$
Uninsured, Hispanic 927$ 148$ 45$ 44$ 560$ 40$ 80$ 9$
Long-term Immigrant (>10 yrs)
Privately Insured, Hispanic 1,405$ 399$ 138$ 113$ 353$ 112$ 235$ 55$
Uninsured, Hispanic 859$ 237$ 55$ 44$ 311$ 42$ 148$ 24$
MEPS spending estimates