immigration economics 375 professor kenneth ng cobae california state university, northridge
TRANSCRIPT
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Immigration Economics 375Professor Kenneth NgCOBAECalifornia State University, Northridge
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Readings and Exam.Paul JohnsonPart 3: High Birth Rates and the Immigrant Flood.Part 5: Mass-Immigration and Thinking Big, Monster Cities: Chicago and New York, The Urban Rich and Poor.Part 6: All. Thomas SowellChapter 1: The American Mosaic.Chapter 6: The Chinese.Chapter 8: The Blacks.Plus one other chapter. Exam will be open book but closed note.Will not have enough time to read book during exam.
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Immigration before 1860. Immigration unrestricted until after Civil War.By unrestricted, I mean anyone could come from anyplace and become a US citizen.Open Door Policy.No restrictions based on education, parentage, criminal record, etc. There was no support for the idea of restricting immigration. Before 1830, immigration was a minor source of population increase.Most of increase in population was due to balance of births over deaths.After 1830, immigration increased and built up steadily.In 1845, series of poor harvests and the failure of the potato harvest in northern Europe produced the first deluge of immigrants-Irish Immigration.
Growth 1800 -1860
Indices of Economic Growth, 1800-1860Value of Component Indicies
YearPer Capita Output IndexAnnual Per Capita Growth
180064.4YearZ
181061.9-0.418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
182067.60.918101.9570.8370.7390.970.619
1830842.218201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18401001.818301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
1850110.4118401.9570.634111
18601372.218501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
Source: Paul David, "The Growth of Real Product in the U.S. before 1840: New Evidence , Controlled Conjectures, JEH 27 (June 1967)
Sources of Change in Per Capita Output, 1800-1860
DecadeLabor Force ParticipationShift out of AgricultureIncreased Agricultural Productivity
18000.30-1.00-3.90
18101.903.909.20
1820-1.206.6024.30
18302.505.5019.00
18406.506.1013.00
18500.001.1022.10
1800-403.5015.8055.30
1840-606.507.2038.00
Based on Variant II in 1840 prices.
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US Growth 1840-1960
Rates of Growth: Gross National Product, Population, Labor Force In the U.S., 1840-1960
ProductPopulationLabor ForceProduct per CapitaProduct per Worker
Successive Decades4.243.113.571.10.64
1839-494.953.093.181.81.71
1849-591.992.392.07-0.39-0.08
1859-694.952.333.012.561.88
1869-79
Overlapping Decades
178-82-1882-923.732.262.71.441
1883-87-1893-973.12.022.51.050.58
1888-92-1898-19024.041.82.52.21.5
1893-97-1903-075.031.782.63.192.36
1898-1902-1908-123.711.952.671.731.01
1903-07-1913-172.61.871.950.720.63
1908-12-1918-222.61.51.051.081.53
1913-17-1923-273.621.41.142.192.45
1918-22-19293.991.471.352.492.61
1923-27-1933-37-0.350.981.16-1.33-1.49
1929-1939-411.370.741.210.620.15
1933-37-1943-477.020.961.8465.09
1939-41-1948-524.271.391.42.842.83
1943-47-1953-572.471.670.80.781.65
1948-52-1959-613.241.711.191.52.03
Longer Periods
1840-804.032.732.961.261.04
1880-19203.521.882.231.611.26
1920-603.151.311.281.811.84
1840-19603.561.972.151.561.38
Abosolute Values
1959-61509179.969.928297282
1959-61 as a multiple of 184066.710.412.96.45.2
18407.6317.75.424461408
Source: Kuznets, Notes on the Pattern of U.S. Economic Growth, in S. Engerman and R. Fogel, The Reinterpretation of American Economic History
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World Growth
Rate of Growth and Per Capita Income for Selected Countries for Long Periods.
Duration of PeriodProductPopulationProduct per Captia
Great Britain
1841-81402.541.191.33
1881-1921401.770.910.86
United Kingdom
1921-1957-59371.880.431.44
Total 1841-1957-591172.070.861.2
France
1841-50-1861-70202.230.391.84
1871-80-1901-103020.221.77
1901-10-1920-2818.51.46-0.131.6
1920-28-1958-60351.550.371.18
Total, 1841-50-1958-60103.51.80.241.55
Germany
1913 Boundaries
1851-55-1871-75201.630.740.89
1871-75-1913403.091.21.87
Interwar Boundaries
1913-1935-37230.570.530.04
Federal Republic
1936-1958-60233.971.42.53
Total, 1913-1958-60462.250.971.28
Total, 1851-55-1958-601062.451.011.43
Sweden
1861-65-1881-85202.880.722.15
1881-85-1921-25402.690.662.01
1921-25-1958-60363.770.593.16
Total, 1861-65-1958-60963.130.642.47
European Russia
1860-1913532.671.31.35
USSR
1913-28150.540.540
1928-58304.40.673.71
Total, 1913-58453.10.632.45
Total, 1860-1958982.870.991.86
Japan
1878-82-1918-22404.141.053.05
1918-22-1958-60393.971.362.57
Total, 1878-82-1958-60794.051.212.81
Source: Kuznets, Notes.. in Engerman and Fogel, Reinterpretations.
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productivity
National Economy: Output and Productivity Ratios, 1869-1959
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.83567.742
187915.75490.262.5
188921.850.285.558.3
189933.961.287.667.8
130351.369.892.175.6
191970.379.391.782.6
1929100100100100
1939104.8117.2111.5115.9
1949159.7138.7130.5136.4
1959233.5179.8134.4169.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
Agriculture
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
186928.953.976.760.8
187945.264.284.370.7
188957.269.287.675.5
189972.579.892.884.6
130378.881.487.684
191987.385.685.785.6
1929100100100100
1939109.2122.6111.7118.4
1949129.9175.3123.5153.8
1959170354.5141.6250.4
Source: Peter George p. 12
Manufacturing
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.129.6158.936.4
187910.232.7134.639.7
188918.341.410448.2
189927.547.793.953.9
130343.453.579.857.9
1919615865.759.6
1929100100100100
1939102.5123.9120.8122.8
1949174139.8140.3139.9
1959284.3195.6165.3191.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
&CProductivity Data
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Pop., Labor, Land, and Capital
Indexes of Population, Labor, Land, Capital and Net National Product, 1840-1960.
YearPopulationLaborLandCapitalNet National Product
1840100100100100100
1870235228240512324
190044751456623431037
1930724863108565752952
1960106113081165105315994
Source Peter George, The Emergence of Industrial America p. 5
Accounting for Growth
Annual Rate of Growth
PeriodLaborCapitalLandNNP
1840-603.426.573.734.75
1870-19302.244.352.553.75
1940-19901.563.140.343.22
Percentage of Growth in NNP Attributable to:
PeriodLaborCapitalLandProductivity
1840-6049%26%10%15%
1870-193043%27%4%27%
1940-199041%14%0%45%
Source: Atack and Passel, p. 19
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TFP Problem from Exam
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
184018601850195018501950
Output$4,500$8,550OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Land100150Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor5060Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Land$20$25Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$50$80Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Land0.4440.439Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.5560.561Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors67.9089.92Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.442aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.558bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output0.900Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Land0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor0.200Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.568Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
TFP Excercise
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
185019501850195018501950
Output$2,750$9,000OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Capital5075Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor150300Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Capital$10$20Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Capital0.1820.167Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.8180.833Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors122.8406031059238.110Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Capital (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.174aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.826bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output2.273Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Capital0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor1.000Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity1.360Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
Answer to Take Home Assignment
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1948$1,491,000,000,000146,631,302$10,168.36
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate3.27%1.24%2.01%
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1969$3,393,600,000,000202,676,946$16,743.89
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate2.72%1.00%1.70%
Total Factor Productivity
Total Factor Productivity Example
Year 1Year 2
Output$12,500$19,000
Amount of Land10080
Amount of Labor100150
Price of Land$25$50
Price of Labor$100$100
Factor Share of Land0.2000.211
Factor Share of Labor0.8000.789
Index of Factors1131.842
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.205a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.795b
Percent Change in Output0.520
Percent Change in Land-0.200
Percent Change in Labor0.500
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.164
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
&CEconomics 375, American Economic History, CSUN
David
Value of Component Indicies
YearZYearZOutput
18001.9570.8260.7640.9660.64418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
18101.9570.8370.7390.970.61918401.9570.634111
18201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
18401.9570.634111
18501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
&CPaul David Results
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Lifespan Handouts
&CLifespan Tables and Graphs
Population
Percentage of WomenRacial Fertility and Density
18101840Change in Population
WhiteNo Children7 or more ChildrenFertility IndexPopulation DensityFertility IndexPopulation DensityGrowth Rate102550100200
1800na50East Coast1%1.101.281.642.707.32
1840835Middle Atlantic134420.1100645.32%1.221.642.697.2452.48
18601027New England107923.780036.13%1.342.094.3819.22369.36
1900207North Central4%1.482.677.1150.502,550.75
1925105West18100.514801.65%1.633.3911.47131.5017,292.58
193476East17063.1129115.2
South Central
NonwhiteWest15572.214954.6
1840652East17013.9142414.3
1860944
19002813Fertility Index-Children under 5 per 1000 white females 20-44 years of age
19251816Population Density-Population per square mile.
1934918
Women in the Labor Force, 1830-1979Death Rate
Percentage of Population
WhiteNonwhiteUSGreat Britain
TotalMarriedTotalMarriedDateDeath Rate per thousandDeath Rate per thousand
183080909017004028
1890132382218502324
19502821373219101517
197950485360198057
Percentage of the Total Decline Which Occurred Between 1700 and Date
18504919
19107152
1980100100
Source: Fogel, Nutrition and the Decline in Mortality, pp. 440
Life Expectancy
England and Wales (both sexes)British PeerageBritish PeerageUS Native Born males
Birth Cohortat birthat birthat age 10at age 10
18th
135.135.139.450.3
233.838.844.455.5
336.344.646.355.8
43746.946.151.9
19th
149.348.352.3
241.552.249.548.9
344.654.751.455.3
453.747.4
20th
160.15456.9
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Nutrition and Mortality
Life ExpectancyEstimated Average Final Heights of Men who Reached Maturity Between 1750 and 1875 in Six European Populations in Quarter Centuries.
USGreat BritainEngland and Wales (both sexes)British PeerageBritish PeerageUS Native Born malesRowDate of Maturity by Century and QuarterGreat BritainNorwaySwedenFranceDenmarkHungary
DateDeath Rate per thousandDeath Rate per thousandBirth Cohortat birthat birthat age 10at age 10118.3165.9163.9168.1168.7
1700402818th218.4167.9166.7163165.7165.8
18502324135.135.139.450.3319.1168166.7164.3165.4163.9
19101517233.838.844.455.5419.2171.6168165.2166.8164.2
198057336.344.646.355.8519.3169.3168.6169.5165.6165.3
43746.946.151.9620.3175178.3177.6172176170.9
Percentage of the Total Decline Which Occurred Between 1700 and Date
1850491919th
19107152149.348.352.3
1980100100241.552.249.548.9
Source: Fogel, Nutrition and the Decline in Mortality, pp. 440344.654.751.455.3
453.747.4
20th
160.15456.9
Estimated Average Final Heights of Men who Reached Maturity Between 1750 and 1875 in Six European Populations in Quarter Centuries.
A Comparison of the Probable French and English Distributions of the Daily Consumption of Kilgram Calories per Consuming Unit Toward the End of the 18th CenturyHeight (inches)
France circa 1785England circa 1790RowDate of Maturity by Century and QuarterGreat BritainNorwaySwedenFranceDenmarkHungary
DecileDaily kcal ConsumptionCumulative PercentageDaily kcal ConsumptionCumulative Percentage118.364.763.965.665.8
Highest36721004329100218.465.565.063.664.664.7
Ninth298174351484319.165.565.064.164.563.9
Eight267671315571419.266.965.564.465.164.0
Seventh245759289759519.366.065.866.164.664.5
Sixth227648268448620.368.369.569.367.168.666.7
Fifth211438249238Source: Fogel June 1994 AER
Fourth195829230929
Third179821212021
Second161413190313
First1310615456
Mean22902700
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Immigration
Income by Race, Religion, and Ethnicity, 1980
Family Income Index
Net Immigration as a Proportion of Population Increase, 1800-1860Immigration, 1845-60 by origin, ( 1000's of persons)(US Average=100)Family Income
YearsPercentage IncreaseYearTotalGreat BritainIrelandScandinaviaOther Northwestern EuropeGermanyJewish172$46,827
1800-103.31845114.419.244.80.99.434.3Japanese132$35,937
1810-202.61846154.422.251.7212.357.6Polish115$31,309
1820-303.8184723523.3105.51.324.374.3Chinese112$30,492
1830-4011.71848226.535.2112.91.19.958.5Italian112$30,492
1840-5023.3184929755.1159.43.57.660.2German107$29,131
1850-186031.1185037051.11641.611.578.9Anglo-Saxon107$29,131
1851379.551.5221.22.420.972.5Irish103$28,042
1852371.640.7159.54.111.3145.9Total U.S100$27,225
1853368.637.6162.63.414.2141.9Filipino99$26,953
1854427.858.6101.64.223.1215West Indian94$25,592
1855200.347.649.61.314.671.9Mexican76$20,691
1856200.444.754.31.312.471Korean67$18,241
1857251.358.554.42.76.991.8Puerto Rican63$17,152
Annual Combined Immigration from European Areas1858123.12926.92.74.645.3Black62$16,880
Old Area: Great Britain, Ireland, Scandinavia, GermanyNew Area: Central Europe, Russia, Italy1859121.326.235.21.63.741.8Indian60$16,335
1895134.20105.501860153.629.748.60.85.354.5Vietnamese42$11,435
1896130.20185.30
189784.70118.60Proportional Immigration, 1845-60
189874.40128.70123
189994.90200.90YearGreat BritainIrelandGermany1+21+2+32+3All otherTotal Columns 5+7
190097.90305.70184516.8%39.2%30.0%55.9%85.9%69.1%14.1%100.0%
1901106.50334.70184614.4%33.5%37.3%47.9%85.2%70.8%15.2%100.4%
1902128.30457.7018479.9%44.9%31.6%54.8%86.4%76.5%13.6%100.0%
1903186.60572.70184815.5%49.8%25.8%65.4%91.2%75.7%8.9%100.1%
1904194.00515.50184918.6%53.7%20.3%72.2%92.5%73.9%7.4%99.9%
1905238.30682.10185013.8%44.3%21.3%58.1%79.5%65.6%20.6%100.1%
1906192.60753.90185113.6%58.3%19.1%71.9%91.0%77.4%9.9%100.9%
1907201.20883.00185211.0%42.9%39.3%53.9%93.1%82.2%6.9%100.0%
185310.2%44.1%38.5%54.3%92.8%82.6%7.3%100.1%
185413.7%23.7%50.3%37.4%87.7%74.0%12.4%100.1%
185523.8%24.8%35.9%48.5%84.4%60.7%16.0%100.4%
185622.3%27.1%35.4%49.4%84.8%62.5%15.2%100.0%
185723.3%21.6%36.5%44.9%81.5%58.2%19.3%100.8%
185823.6%21.9%36.8%45.4%82.2%58.7%15.9%98.1%
185921.6%29.0%34.5%50.6%85.1%63.5%14.7%99.8%
186019.3%31.6%35.5%51.0%86.5%67.1%13.7%100.2%
Immigrants per 1000 population, 1820-1960
Native White Population of Foreign or Mixed Parentage by Country of Origin, 1930
YearPer 1000
18201.2
18313.9CountriesNumberPercentage of Total
18418.4British Isles5,295,00020.4%
18519.3Germany5,264,00020.3%
18616.4Italy2,756,00010.6%
18716.2Central Europe2,555,0009.9%
18819.2Scandinavia2,247,0008.7%
18915.3USSR1,516,0005.9%
190110.4Other Northwest Europe701,0002.7%
19115.7All Other Europe252,0001.0%
19213.5Asia152,0000.6%
19310.4French Canada735,0002.8%
19410.7Other Canada1,324,0005.1%
19511.5Mexico583,0002.3%
All Other2,525,0009.7%
Total25,905,000
Immigrant Origins by Percentage of Total
Europe
YearNorth and WestEast and CentralSouthOther American CountriesAsia
1821 to 1890825382
1891 to 192025392583
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Ethnic Groups
Family Income Index
Jewish172
Japanese132
Polish115
Chinese112
Italian112
German107
Anglo-Saxon107
Irish103
Total US100
Filipino99
West Indian94
Mexican76
Puerto Rican63
Black62
Indian60
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Slavery
Capitalized Rent in an 18 yr. Old Slave
YearsAverage PriceGross Rearing Cost
1821-25$736$657
1826-30$792$614
1831-35$974$671
1836-40$1,206$848
1841-45$744$591
1846-50$936$737
1851-55$1,252$807
1856-60$1,596$938
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Women
Table 2.1: Female Labor Force Participation Rates by Marital Status, Race, and Nativity, 1890-1980
15 yrs. or older16 years or older
1890190019201930194019501960197019801988
Total18.920.623.724.825.829.535.141.651.1
Married4.65.6911.713.821.630.639.550.1
Single40.543.546.450.545.550.647.55161.5
White16.317.921.623.724.528.534.240.950.9
Married2.53.26.59.812.520.729.838.549.355.8
Single38.441.54548.745.951.848.552.164.268.6
NonWhite39.743.243.143.337.637.842.747.352.1
Married22.52632.533.227.331.840.5505964.4
Single59.560.558.852.141.94039.743.649.456.4
Foreign Born19.819.1
Married38.5
Single70.873.8
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Handout
Net Immigration as a Proportion of Population Increase, 1800-1860Immigration, 1845-60 by origin, ( 1000's of persons)
YearTotalGreat BritainIrelandScandinaviaOther Northwestern EuropeGermanyFamily Income Index
YearsPercentage Increase1845114.419.244.80.99.434.3Jewish172
1800-103.31846154.422.251.7212.357.6Japanese132
1810-202.6184723523.3105.51.324.374.3Polish115
1820-303.81848226.535.2112.91.19.958.5Chinese112
1830-4011.7184929755.1159.43.57.660.2Italian112
1840-5023.3185037051.11641.611.578.9German107
1850-186031.11851379.551.5221.22.420.972.5Anglo-Saxon107
1852371.640.7159.54.111.3145.9Irish103
1853368.637.6162.63.414.2141.9Total US100
1854427.858.6101.64.223.1215Filipino99
1855200.347.649.61.314.671.9West Indian94
1856200.444.754.31.312.471Mexican76
1857251.358.554.42.76.991.8Puerto Rican63
1858123.12926.92.74.645.3Black62
1859121.326.235.21.63.741.8Indian60
1860153.629.748.60.85.354.5
Annual Combined Immigration from European Areas
Proportional Immigration, 1845-60
Old Area: Great Britain, Ireland, Scandinavia, GermanyNew Area: Central Europe, Russia, Italy123
1895134.20105.50YearGreat BritainIrelandGermany1+21+2+32+3All otherTotal Columns 5+7
1896130.20185.30184516.8%39.2%30.0%55.9%85.9%69.1%14.1%100.0%
189784.70118.60184614.4%33.5%37.3%47.9%85.2%70.8%15.2%100.4%
189874.40128.7018479.9%44.9%31.6%54.8%86.4%76.5%13.6%100.0%
189994.90200.90184815.5%49.8%25.8%65.4%91.2%75.7%8.9%100.1%
190097.90305.70184918.6%53.7%20.3%72.2%92.5%73.9%7.4%99.9%
1901106.50334.70185013.8%44.3%21.3%58.1%79.5%65.6%20.6%100.1%
1902128.30457.70185113.6%58.3%19.1%71.9%91.0%77.4%9.9%100.9%
1903186.60572.70185211.0%42.9%39.3%53.9%93.1%82.2%6.9%100.0%
1904194.00515.50185310.2%44.1%38.5%54.3%92.8%82.6%7.3%100.1%
1905238.30682.10185413.7%23.7%50.3%37.4%87.7%74.0%12.4%100.1%
1906192.60753.90185523.8%24.8%35.9%48.5%84.4%60.7%16.0%100.4%
1907201.20883.00185622.3%27.1%35.4%49.4%84.8%62.5%15.2%100.0%
185723.3%21.6%36.5%44.9%81.5%58.2%19.3%100.8%
185823.6%21.9%36.8%45.4%82.2%58.7%15.9%98.1%
185921.6%29.0%34.5%50.6%85.1%63.5%14.7%99.8%
186019.3%31.6%35.5%51.0%86.5%67.1%13.7%100.2%
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Chart1
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Government
Percentage Distribution of Federal Expenditures by Major Function, 1790-1860Percent Distribution of Federal Government Revenue Sources, 1800-1900Percent Distribution of the Federal Governments Direct Expenditures, 1902-75
ItemPercent of TotalYearTariffsInternal RevenueLand SalesOtherYearNational DefensePostal ServiceEducationFarm SupportPublic WelfareNatural ResourcesVeteran's ServicesInterestIncome Security ProgramsOther
Defense48.2%180083.7%7.5%0.0%8.8%190229.2%22.3%0.5%0.7%1.4%25.0%5.1%15.8%
General Govt.15.2%181091.5%0.1%7.4%1.0%191326.1%28.2%0.5%0.5%3.1%18.5%2.4%20.7%
Postal Service3.3%182083.9%0.6%6.3%9.2%192224.0%15.2%0.2%0.2%2.2%11.7%27.1%0.3%19.1%
Indian Affairs4.4%183088.2%0.1%9.4%2.3%192718.1%20.9%0.2%0.3%3.3%17.0%22.4%0.9%16.9%
Pensions4.9%184069.3%0.0%16.9%13.8%193217.9%19.7%0.3%0.0%4.0%23.0%14.4%1.3%19.4%
Interest10.4%185091.0%4.3%4.7%193611.3%9.1%2.3%7.3%2.1%16.5%20.6%8.7%0.8%21.3%
Aid to Foreign Commerce2.6%186094.9%3.2%1.9%194017.0%8.8%2.1%7.6%1.7%19.8%5.5%9.8%3.1%24.3%
Aid to Domestic Commerce1.8%187047.3%45.0%0.8%6.9%194617.3%2.1%0.5%3.1%0.0%1.2%3.9%5.9%1.7%4.6%
Foreign Indemnities3.1%188055.9%37.2%0.3%6.6%195043.3%5.4%5.8%6.4%0.1%3.8%6.6%10.4%10.6%7.6%
Misc.6.1%189057.0%35.4%1.6%6.0%195561.8%3.9%1.1%5.5%0.1%2.4%4.3%6.9%8.6%5.1%
190041.1%52.1%0.5%6.3%196046.7%0.5%1.4%3.6%2.4%1.8%5.4%9.5%22.3%6.4%
196539.8%0.6%1.6%3.7%2.7%2.3%4.4%9.1%23.5%12.3%
Percent Distribution of Federal, State, and Local Govt. Expenditures, 1890Percent Distribution of Direct Expenditures by Level of Government, 1902-75197040.8%0.8%3.7%3.2%2.6%1.3%4.4%9.3%25.0%8.9%
197526.7%0.6%4.7%0.5%6.2%2.9%5.1%8.5%27.6%17.2%
198022.7%5.4%1.5%14.6%3.6%8.9%25.5%
National Defense6.1%FederalStateLocal198926.2%3.2%1.8%12.0%2.6%14.6%28.1%
Veterans Benefits13.3%190234.0%8.2%57.8%
Regualtion and Protection6.8%191329.8%9.2%61.0%
Economic Development11.3%192239.2%11.7%49.1%Percent Distribution of State and Local Govt. Direct Expenditures 1902-1975
(Transportation)10.1%192730.4%12.9%56.7%
Social Welfare25.4%193232.4%16.3%51.3%YearEducationHighwaysPublic WelfareHospitals and HealthPolice, Fire, and SanitationNatural ResourcesGeneral ControlUtility and Liquor StoresTrust ExspendituresOther
(Educations)17.3%193649.3%14.6%36.1%190223.3%16.0%3.4%5.5%12.9%3.5%12.9%7.5%15.0%
Interest9.8%194045.0%17.4%37.6%191325.6%18.6%2.3%4.8%11.6%3.2%9.4%8.2%0.3%16.0%
General Govt.9.9%194682.4%6.2%11.4%192230.2%22.9%2.1%4.6%9.5%2.6%5.5%6.4%1.3%14.9%
Misc.17.4%195060.3%15.7%24.0%192728.6%23.2%1.9%4.6%10.1%3.2%5.3%6.3%1.4%15.4%
195563.5%12.9%23.6%193227.5%20.7%5.3%5.4%9.0%3.7%5.6%6.2%1.4%15.2%
196059.7%14.6%25.7%193625.6%16.8%9.7%5.5%8.5%3.5%5.9%8.3%1.8%14.4%
196557.9%15.1%27.0%194023.5%14.0%10.3%5.4%7.2%3.4%5.0%11.8%6.1%13.3%
197055.5%16.8%27.7%194623.9%11.9%10.0%5.8%8.1%3.4%5.0%12.6%9.3%10.3%
197552.3%18.7%29.0%195025.7%13.6%10.5%6.3%7.5%3.5%3.7%9.8%8.5%10.9%
195529.5%16.0%7.9%6.3%7.6%3.2%3.6%9.6%6.9%9.4%
196030.7%15.5%7.2%6.2%7.5%3.2%3.5%8.3%6.6%11.3%
Government Expenditures as a Percent of GNP.196533.0%14.1%7.3%6.2%7.2%0.0%3.2%8.2%5.7%11.8%
197035.6%11.1%9.9%6.5%6.7%3.1%3.2%6.4%4.9%12.6%
YearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expnditures as a percent of GNPGovernment Civilian Employees as percent of Civilian Labor Force197533.1%8.5%10.3%7.1%7.3%2.9%1.9%6.5%6.9%15.5%
19006.0%7.3%3.9%1980
19106.1%5.7%4.5%1989
19206.6%12.1%5.7%
193010.2%21.4%6.4%
194014.2%18.7%7.6%
195013.4%23.0%9.7%Percent Distribution of Federal Revenue Sources
196019.8%28.6%12.0%
197022.2%33.5%15.1%YearIndividual Income TaxCorporate Income TaxEmployment TaxesExcise TaxesEstate and Gift TaxesTariffsOther
197121.8%33.5%15.3%190050.1%0.5%41.1%8.3%
197221.3%33.5%15.3%191039.6%49.4%11.0%
197320.4%32.2%15.4%192012.2%1.6%4.8%
197421.2%32.6%15.4%193027.5%30.2%13.5%1.6%14.0%13.2%
197521.9%35.8%15.7%194016.7%19.5%14.2%32.0%6.1%5.9%5.6%
197621.1%36.2%15.5%195041.5%26.3%6.4%18.4%1.7%1.0%4.7%
197720.6%35.2%15.3%196044.0%23.2%15.9%12.6%1.7%1.2%1.4%
197820.1%34.6%15.3%197046.7%16.9%23.4%8.1%1.9%1.2%1.8%
197919.6%33.9%15.2%197543.6%14.5%30.8%5.9%1.6%1.3%2.3%
198020.4%36.0%15.2%198047.2%12.5%30.5%4.7%1.2%1.4%
198120.2%36.0%14.8%198943.6%11.0%37.3%3.5%0.8%1.7%
198221.2%38.0%14.3%
198320.7%38.2%14.2%
198420.4%n.a.14.1%
YearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expenditures as a Percent of GNPYearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expenditures as a Percent of GNP
19006.0%194812.3%18.4%
19015.6%194914.9%
19025.7%7.3%195013.4%23.0%Outbreak of Korean War
19036.2%195118.2%
19046.0%195221.7%27.1%
19056.1%195322.5%28.5%
19065.6%195420.7%27.9%
19076.2%195518.8%25.7%
19087.6%195618.8%25.6%
19096.0%195719.6%26.5%
19106.1%195821.1%28.5%
19117.2%195920.0%29.6%
19126.8%196019.8%28.6%
19136.4%5.7%196120.6%29.6%
19147.4%196220.9%29.8%Vietnam War
19157.2%196320.7%29.8%
19165.9%196420.4%29.7%
19178.9%World War I196520.0%28.2%
191821.3%196621.0%29.0%
191912.0%196722.5%31.6%
19206.6%196822.8%32.5%
19218.5%196922.1%32.3%
19228.0%12.1%197022.2%33.5%
19237.2%197121.8%33.5%
19247.7%197221.3%33.0%
19257.9%197320.4%32.2%
19267.5%197421.2%32.6%
19278.2%10.6%197521.9%35.8%
19288.3%197621.1%36.2%
19298.1%197720.6%35.2%
193010.2%Onset of Great Depression197820.1%34.6%
193112.1%197919.6%33.9%
193214.0%21.4%198020.4%36.0%
193314.4%198120.2%36.0%
193415.1%21.2%198221.2%38.0%
193513.9%198320.7%38.2%
193614.5%19.5%198420.4%
193713.2%
193815.3%18.3%
193914.9%
194014.2%18.7%
194119.9%World War II
194237.7%28.1%
194346.3%
194446.1%47.7%
194539.0%
194613.1%31.8%
194710.9%
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Civil War Deaths
Total Deaths
Total DeathsBattle DeathsOther DeathsWounds Not Mortal
Civil War (Union)364,511140,414224,097281,881
Civil War (Confederacy)258,000199,515
Spanish American War2,4463852,0611,662
WWI116,51653,40263,114204,002
WW2405,399291,557113,842640,846
Korean Conflict54,24633,62920,617103,284
Vietnam (American)56,88646,49810,388153,000
Vietnam (North Vietnamese)660,000
Vietnames (South Vietnamese)220,357
6-Day War (Israel)1,000
6-Day War (Egypt, Jordan, Syria)18,000
Deaths and Wounds as a Percent of Male Population
PopulationPercent of Male Population Killed or WoundedPercent of Male 15-24 Population Killed or Wounded (17% of population male, 15-24)
Civil War31,443,3217.02%41.30%
Spanish American War50,000,0000.02%0.10%
WWI92,228,4960.70%4.09%
WW2132,164,5691.58%9.31%
Korean Conflict151,325,7980.21%1.22%
Vietnam (U. S.)203,302,0310.21%1.21%
Vietnam (Vietnamese)39,463,9104.46%26.24%
6-Day War (Israel)2,746,8980.07%0.43%
6-Day War (Egypt, Jordan, Syria)38,662,0000.09%0.55%
Annual Death rate per 1000 average strength
Total DeathsBattle DeathsOther Deaths
Civil War104.440.164.3
Spanish American War36.6
WWI35.517.118.4
WW211.38.63
Korean Conflict5.53.42.1
Vietnam0.70.60.1
Probability of Service
Total Personal Serving in WarPercent of Male Population, 15-24 in Armed ServicesPercent of Armed Services Serving AbroadPercent of Male Population, 15-24 Serving Abroad
Civil War2,213,00041.40%
Spanish American War307,0003.61%29%1.05%
WWI4,735,00030.20%53%16.01%
WW216,113,00071.72%73%52.35%
Korean Conflict5,720,00022.23%56%12.45%
Vietnam8,744,00025.30%
Relative Mortality Risk
Immigration Data
Black Income
Table 2: Black Male Wages as a Percent of White Male Wages, 1940-1980
Table 1: Mean Male Income by Race 1940-1980 (1984 dollars)
Census Years
Census YearWhite MenBlack MenRatioPercent of Change Occuring before DateYears of Market Experience19401950196019701980
1980$25,791$18,72373%100%1 to 546.761.860.275.184.2
1970$25,666$16,52764%72%6 to 1047.56159.170.176.6
1960$19,959$11,48358%49%11 to 1544.458.359.466.27.5
1950$14,332$7,91255%41%16 to 2044.456.658.462.871.2
1940$10,459$4,53143%21 to 2542.354.157.662.767.8
26 to 3041.753.256.260.666.9
31 to 3540.250.353.86066.5
36 to 4039.846.955.960.368.5
All43.355.257.564.472.6
Table 3: Extent of Overlap Between Black and White Income Distributions
Percent of Black Men Whose Income Exceeds White Income at the:Percent of White Men Whose Income Exceeds Black Income at the
YearBottom QuarterMedianTop QuarterBottom QuarterMedianTop Quarter
1980562910877045
197045225907857
196038121928166
195036122928266
19403181958470
Note: The way to read the chart is as follows. In 1980, only 10% of black men had an income that exceed the income of a white man whose income was in the top 25% of the income distribution. In 1980, 29% of black men had an income that exceeded the median
Table 4: Men in the Middle Class
WhiteBlacks
YearBelowMiddle ClassAboveBelowMiddle ClassAbove
1980116029206812
19709662524715
196012642439592
195018492348502
194030403076222
Table 5: Percentage Increase in Black Annual Income Compared with Whites at Selected Percentiles
PercentilePercent IncreasePercentilePercent Increase
24.86054.9
48.47057.4
630.78049
836.99046.2
1048.19250.6
2048.29448.1
3050.29651.6
4045.29854.7
5045.5
Table 6: Percentage Growth in Black-White Male Ratios of Weekly Wages
Growth Between
Years of Work Experience50-4060-5070-6080-7080-40
1 to 528.1-2.722.111.558.9
6 to 1025.1-3.217.18.847.8
11 to 1527.11.910.910.450.3
16 to 2024.43.17.312.547.3
21 to 2524.66.38.67.747.2
26 to 3024.25.67.59.947.2
31 to 3522.56.610.810.450.3
36 to 4016.417.57.512.754.2
All24.24.111.31251.6
Table 7: Percentage Growth in Black-White Weekly Wage Ratios by Education
Years of Schooling
Decade0 to 45 to 78 to 111213 to 1516+All
1940-198035.536.530.832.84544.851.6
1940-1950514.416.622.314.410.824.2
1950-196012.95.5-2.2-6.86.910.44.1
1960-19702.88.578.717.619.311.3
1970-198015.18.17.48.66.24.312
Table 8: Black Male Wages as a Percentage of White Males by Labor Market CohortReal Black and White Income in 1880 and 1900
Median Year of Initial Labor Market Work19401950196019701980SouthernSouthernNational
197884.2RuralTotalTotal
197376.6TotalIncomeIncome
196873.5Income
196375.171.2Per Capita1880Black$36.78$38.43$43.06
195860.270.167.8IncomeWhite$62.49$79.44$142.64
195359.166.266.9B/W Ratio0.590.480.3
194861.859.462.866.51900Black$46.37$49.96$56.86
19436058.462.768.5White$91.23$117.87$206.70
193846.758.357.660.6B/W Ratio0.510.420.28
193347.556.656.2601880-1900Black1.17%1.32%1.40%
192844.454.153.860.3Growth RateWhite1.91%1.99%1.87%
192344.453.255.9Per1880Black$65.93$68.90$77.20
191812.350.3WorkerWhite$99.43$126.38$226.95
191341.746.9IncomeB/W Ratio0.660.550.34
190840.21900Black$81.31$87.61$99.72
190339.8White$140.04$180.94$317.31
All43.355.257.564.472.6B/W Ratio0.580.480.31
1880-1900Black1.05%1.21%1.29%
Growth RateWhite1.73%1.81%1.69%
&CBlack Income Statistics
Black Income After CW
Yearly Value of Freedom per Capita (1879 Prices)
Ng and Virts
Ransom and SutchImproved Residual MethodDirect Observation of Wages
Black Income in 1859$27.66$27.66$27.66
Black Income in 1879$35.59$40.24$40.24
Value of Leisure$13.75-$21.00$14.82-$23.44$31.01-$36.78
Value of Freedom$22.05-$29.01$27.40-$36.02$43.59-$49.36
Increase in Income78-105%99-130%158-178%
Real Black and White Income in 1880 and 1900
SouthernSouthernNational
RuralTotalTotal
TotalIncomeIncome
Income
Per Capita1880Black$36.78$38.43$43.06
IncomeWhite$62.49$79.44$142.64
B/W Ratio0.590.480.3
1900Black$46.37$49.96$56.86
White$91.23$117.87$206.70
B/W Ratio0.510.420.28
1880-1900Black1.17%1.32%1.40%
Growth RateWhite1.91%1.99%1.87%
Per1880Black$65.93$68.90$77.20
WorkerWhite$99.43$126.38$226.95
IncomeB/W Ratio0.660.550.34
1900Black$81.31$87.61$99.72
White$140.04$180.94$317.31
B/W Ratio0.580.480.31
1880-1900Black1.05%1.21%1.29%
Growth RateWhite1.73%1.81%1.69%
&CBlack Income after Civil War
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Major Features of first wave of immigration First Wave of immigrants from Northern Europe. (Example of push phenomena)First upsurge came from the British Isles as a result of the potato famine-economics of a potato economy.Potato a wonder vegetable. Potato allows the greatest level of population density.When the potato crop failed, suddenly, the land could not support the existing population.More than 1 million died in late 1840s in Ireland-life expectancy at birth dropped to around 21. In Ireland, 1/3rd of the population emigrated or dropped dead in a short period in the 1840s.By 1914 the population in Ireland was 1/2 of what it was before the potato famine.1846-55, 1.3 mil. Irish immigrated to US.Germany produced another 1 mil. immigrants. Mainly the result of political upheavals.
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Immigration, 1845-60 by origin, ( 1000's of persons)
Growth 1800 -1860
Indices of Economic Growth, 1800-1860Value of Component Indicies
YearPer Capita Output IndexAnnual Per Capita Growth
180064.4YearZ
181061.9-0.418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
182067.60.918101.9570.8370.7390.970.619
1830842.218201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18401001.818301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
1850110.4118401.9570.634111
18601372.218501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
Source: Paul David, "The Growth of Real Product in the U.S. before 1840: New Evidence , Controlled Conjectures, JEH 27 (June 1967)
Sources of Change in Per Capita Output, 1800-1860
DecadeLabor Force ParticipationShift out of AgricultureIncreased Agricultural Productivity
18000.30-1.00-3.90
18101.903.909.20
1820-1.206.6024.30
18302.505.5019.00
18406.506.1013.00
18500.001.1022.10
1800-403.5015.8055.30
1840-606.507.2038.00
Based on Variant II in 1840 prices.
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US Growth 1840-1960
Rates of Growth: Gross National Product, Population, Labor Force In the U.S., 1840-1960
ProductPopulationLabor ForceProduct per CapitaProduct per Worker
Successive Decades4.243.113.571.10.64
1839-494.953.093.181.81.71
1849-591.992.392.07-0.39-0.08
1859-694.952.333.012.561.88
1869-79
Overlapping Decades
178-82-1882-923.732.262.71.441
1883-87-1893-973.12.022.51.050.58
1888-92-1898-19024.041.82.52.21.5
1893-97-1903-075.031.782.63.192.36
1898-1902-1908-123.711.952.671.731.01
1903-07-1913-172.61.871.950.720.63
1908-12-1918-222.61.51.051.081.53
1913-17-1923-273.621.41.142.192.45
1918-22-19293.991.471.352.492.61
1923-27-1933-37-0.350.981.16-1.33-1.49
1929-1939-411.370.741.210.620.15
1933-37-1943-477.020.961.8465.09
1939-41-1948-524.271.391.42.842.83
1943-47-1953-572.471.670.80.781.65
1948-52-1959-613.241.711.191.52.03
Longer Periods
1840-804.032.732.961.261.04
1880-19203.521.882.231.611.26
1920-603.151.311.281.811.84
1840-19603.561.972.151.561.38
Abosolute Values
1959-61509179.969.928297282
1959-61 as a multiple of 184066.710.412.96.45.2
18407.6317.75.424461408
Source: Kuznets, Notes on the Pattern of U.S. Economic Growth, in S. Engerman and R. Fogel, The Reinterpretation of American Economic History
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World Growth
Rate of Growth and Per Capita Income for Selected Countries for Long Periods.
Duration of PeriodProductPopulationProduct per Captia
Great Britain
1841-81402.541.191.33
1881-1921401.770.910.86
United Kingdom
1921-1957-59371.880.431.44
Total 1841-1957-591172.070.861.2
France
1841-50-1861-70202.230.391.84
1871-80-1901-103020.221.77
1901-10-1920-2818.51.46-0.131.6
1920-28-1958-60351.550.371.18
Total, 1841-50-1958-60103.51.80.241.55
Germany
1913 Boundaries
1851-55-1871-75201.630.740.89
1871-75-1913403.091.21.87
Interwar Boundaries
1913-1935-37230.570.530.04
Federal Republic
1936-1958-60233.971.42.53
Total, 1913-1958-60462.250.971.28
Total, 1851-55-1958-601062.451.011.43
Sweden
1861-65-1881-85202.880.722.15
1881-85-1921-25402.690.662.01
1921-25-1958-60363.770.593.16
Total, 1861-65-1958-60963.130.642.47
European Russia
1860-1913532.671.31.35
USSR
1913-28150.540.540
1928-58304.40.673.71
Total, 1913-58453.10.632.45
Total, 1860-1958982.870.991.86
Japan
1878-82-1918-22404.141.053.05
1918-22-1958-60393.971.362.57
Total, 1878-82-1958-60794.051.212.81
Source: Kuznets, Notes.. in Engerman and Fogel, Reinterpretations.
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productivity
National Economy: Output and Productivity Ratios, 1869-1959
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.83567.742
187915.75490.262.5
188921.850.285.558.3
189933.961.287.667.8
130351.369.892.175.6
191970.379.391.782.6
1929100100100100
1939104.8117.2111.5115.9
1949159.7138.7130.5136.4
1959233.5179.8134.4169.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
Agriculture
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
186928.953.976.760.8
187945.264.284.370.7
188957.269.287.675.5
189972.579.892.884.6
130378.881.487.684
191987.385.685.785.6
1929100100100100
1939109.2122.6111.7118.4
1949129.9175.3123.5153.8
1959170354.5141.6250.4
Source: Peter George p. 12
Manufacturing
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.129.6158.936.4
187910.232.7134.639.7
188918.341.410448.2
189927.547.793.953.9
130343.453.579.857.9
1919615865.759.6
1929100100100100
1939102.5123.9120.8122.8
1949174139.8140.3139.9
1959284.3195.6165.3191.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
&CProductivity Data
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Pop., Labor, Land, and Capital
Indexes of Population, Labor, Land, Capital and Net National Product, 1840-1960.
YearPopulationLaborLandCapitalNet National Product
1840100100100100100
1870235228240512324
190044751456623431037
1930724863108565752952
1960106113081165105315994
Source Peter George, The Emergence of Industrial America p. 5
Accounting for Growth
Annual Rate of Growth
PeriodLaborCapitalLandNNP
1840-603.426.573.734.75
1870-19302.244.352.553.75
1940-19901.563.140.343.22
Percentage of Growth in NNP Attributable to:
PeriodLaborCapitalLandProductivity
1840-6049%26%10%15%
1870-193043%27%4%27%
1940-199041%14%0%45%
Source: Atack and Passel, p. 19
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TFP Problem from Exam
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
184018601850195018501950
Output$4,500$8,550OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Land100150Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor5060Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Land$20$25Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$50$80Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Land0.4440.439Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.5560.561Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors67.9089.92Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.442aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.558bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output0.900Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Land0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor0.200Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.568Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
TFP Excercise
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
185019501850195018501950
Output$2,750$9,000OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Capital5075Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor150300Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Capital$10$20Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Capital0.1820.167Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.8180.833Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors122.8406031059238.110Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Capital (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.174aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.826bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output2.273Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Capital0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor1.000Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity1.360Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
Answer to Take Home Assignment
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1948$1,491,000,000,000146,631,302$10,168.36
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate3.27%1.24%2.01%
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1969$3,393,600,000,000202,676,946$16,743.89
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate2.72%1.00%1.70%
Total Factor Productivity
Total Factor Productivity Example
Year 1Year 2
Output$12,500$19,000
Amount of Land10080
Amount of Labor100150
Price of Land$25$50
Price of Labor$100$100
Factor Share of Land0.2000.211
Factor Share of Labor0.8000.789
Index of Factors1131.842
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.205a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.795b
Percent Change in Output0.520
Percent Change in Land-0.200
Percent Change in Labor0.500
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.164
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
&CEconomics 375, American Economic History, CSUN
David
Value of Component Indicies
YearZYearZOutput
18001.9570.8260.7640.9660.64418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
18101.9570.8370.7390.970.61918401.9570.634111
18201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
18401.9570.634111
18501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
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Lifespan Handouts
&CLifespan Tables and Graphs
Population
Percentage of WomenRacial Fertility and Density
18101840Change in Population
WhiteNo Children7 or more ChildrenFertility IndexPopulation DensityFertility IndexPopulation DensityGrowth Rate102550100200
1800na50East Coast1%1.101.281.642.707.32
1840835Middle Atlantic134420.1100645.32%1.221.642.697.2452.48
18601027New England107923.780036.13%1.342.094.3819.22369.36
1900207North Central4%1.482.677.1150.502,550.75
1925105West18100.514801.65%1.633.3911.47131.5017,292.58
193476East17063.1129115.2
South Central
NonwhiteWest15572.214954.6
1840652East17013.9142414.3
1860944
19002813Fertility Index-Children under 5 per 1000 white females 20-44 years of age
19251816Population Density-Population per square mile.
1934918
Women in the Labor Force, 1830-1979Death Rate
Percentage of Population
WhiteNonwhiteUSGreat Britain
TotalMarriedTotalMarriedDateDeath Rate per thousandDeath Rate per thousand
183080909017004028
1890132382218502324
19502821373219101517
197950485360198057
Percentage of the Total Decline Which Occurred Between 1700 and Date
18504919
19107152
1980100100
Source: Fogel, Nutrition and the Decline in Mortality, pp. 440
Life Expectancy
England and Wales (both sexes)British PeerageBritish PeerageUS Native Born males
Birth Cohortat birthat birthat age 10at age 10
18th
135.135.139.450.3
233.838.844.455.5
336.344.646.355.8
43746.946.151.9
19th
149.348.352.3
241.552.249.548.9
344.654.751.455.3
453.747.4
20th
160.15456.9
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Nutrition and Mortality
Life ExpectancyEstimated Average Final Heights of Men who Reached Maturity Between 1750 and 1875 in Six European Populations in Quarter Centuries.
USGreat BritainEngland and Wales (both sexes)British PeerageBritish PeerageUS Native Born malesRowDate of Maturity by Century and QuarterGreat BritainNorwaySwedenFranceDenmarkHungary
DateDeath Rate per thousandDeath Rate per thousandBirth Cohortat birthat birthat age 10at age 10118.3165.9163.9168.1168.7
1700402818th218.4167.9166.7163165.7165.8
18502324135.135.139.450.3319.1168166.7164.3165.4163.9
19101517233.838.844.455.5419.2171.6168165.2166.8164.2
198057336.344.646.355.8519.3169.3168.6169.5165.6165.3
43746.946.151.9620.3175178.3177.6172176170.9
Percentage of the Total Decline Which Occurred Between 1700 and Date
1850491919th
19107152149.348.352.3
1980100100241.552.249.548.9
Source: Fogel, Nutrition and the Decline in Mortality, pp. 440344.654.751.455.3
453.747.4
20th
160.15456.9
Estimated Average Final Heights of Men who Reached Maturity Between 1750 and 1875 in Six European Populations in Quarter Centuries.
A Comparison of the Probable French and English Distributions of the Daily Consumption of Kilgram Calories per Consuming Unit Toward the End of the 18th CenturyHeight (inches)
France circa 1785England circa 1790RowDate of Maturity by Century and QuarterGreat BritainNorwaySwedenFranceDenmarkHungary
DecileDaily kcal ConsumptionCumulative PercentageDaily kcal ConsumptionCumulative Percentage118.364.763.965.665.8
Highest36721004329100218.465.565.063.664.664.7
Ninth298174351484319.165.565.064.164.563.9
Eight267671315571419.266.965.564.465.164.0
Seventh245759289759519.366.065.866.164.664.5
Sixth227648268448620.368.369.569.367.168.666.7
Fifth211438249238Source: Fogel June 1994 AER
Fourth195829230929
Third179821212021
Second161413190313
First1310615456
Mean22902700
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Immigration
Income by Race, Religion, and Ethnicity, 1980
Family Income Index
Net Immigration as a Proportion of Population Increase, 1800-1860Immigration, 1845-60 by origin, ( 1000's of persons)(US Average=100)Family Income
YearsPercentage IncreaseYearTotalGreat BritainIrelandScandinaviaOther Northwestern EuropeGermanyJewish172$46,827
1800-103.31845114.419.244.80.99.434.3Japanese132$35,937
1810-202.61846154.422.251.7212.357.6Polish115$31,309
1820-303.8184723523.3105.51.324.374.3Chinese112$30,492
1830-4011.71848226.535.2112.91.19.958.5Italian112$30,492
1840-5023.3184929755.1159.43.57.660.2German107$29,131
1850-186031.1185037051.11641.611.578.9Anglo-Saxon107$29,131
1851379.551.5221.22.420.972.5Irish103$28,042
1852371.640.7159.54.111.3145.9Total U.S100$27,225
1853368.637.6162.63.414.2141.9Filipino99$26,953
1854427.858.6101.64.223.1215West Indian94$25,592
1855200.347.649.61.314.671.9Mexican76$20,691
1856200.444.754.31.312.471Korean67$18,241
1857251.358.554.42.76.991.8Puerto Rican63$17,152
Annual Combined Immigration from European Areas1858123.12926.92.74.645.3Black62$16,880
Old Area: Great Britain, Ireland, Scandinavia, GermanyNew Area: Central Europe, Russia, Italy1859121.326.235.21.63.741.8Indian60$16,335
1895134.20105.501860153.629.748.60.85.354.5Vietnamese42$11,435
1896130.20185.30
189784.70118.60Proportional Immigration, 1845-60
189874.40128.70123
189994.90200.90YearGreat BritainIrelandGermany1+21+2+32+3All otherTotal Columns 5+7
190097.90305.70184516.8%39.2%30.0%55.9%85.9%69.1%14.1%100.0%
1901106.50334.70184614.4%33.5%37.3%47.9%85.2%70.8%15.2%100.4%
1902128.30457.7018479.9%44.9%31.6%54.8%86.4%76.5%13.6%100.0%
1903186.60572.70184815.5%49.8%25.8%65.4%91.2%75.7%8.9%100.1%
1904194.00515.50184918.6%53.7%20.3%72.2%92.5%73.9%7.4%99.9%
1905238.30682.10185013.8%44.3%21.3%58.1%79.5%65.6%20.6%100.1%
1906192.60753.90185113.6%58.3%19.1%71.9%91.0%77.4%9.9%100.9%
1907201.20883.00185211.0%42.9%39.3%53.9%93.1%82.2%6.9%100.0%
185310.2%44.1%38.5%54.3%92.8%82.6%7.3%100.1%
185413.7%23.7%50.3%37.4%87.7%74.0%12.4%100.1%
185523.8%24.8%35.9%48.5%84.4%60.7%16.0%100.4%
185622.3%27.1%35.4%49.4%84.8%62.5%15.2%100.0%
185723.3%21.6%36.5%44.9%81.5%58.2%19.3%100.8%
185823.6%21.9%36.8%45.4%82.2%58.7%15.9%98.1%
185921.6%29.0%34.5%50.6%85.1%63.5%14.7%99.8%
186019.3%31.6%35.5%51.0%86.5%67.1%13.7%100.2%
Immigrants per 1000 population, 1820-1960
Native White Population of Foreign or Mixed Parentage by Country of Origin, 1930
YearPer 1000
18201.2
18313.9CountriesNumberPercentage of Total
18418.4British Isles5,295,00020.4%
18519.3Germany5,264,00020.3%
18616.4Italy2,756,00010.6%
18716.2Central Europe2,555,0009.9%
18819.2Scandinavia2,247,0008.7%
18915.3USSR1,516,0005.9%
190110.4Other Northwest Europe701,0002.7%
19115.7All Other Europe252,0001.0%
19213.5Asia152,0000.6%
19310.4French Canada735,0002.8%
19410.7Other Canada1,324,0005.1%
19511.5Mexico583,0002.3%
All Other2,525,0009.7%
Total25,905,000
Immigrant Origins by Percentage of Total
Europe
YearNorth and WestEast and CentralSouthOther American CountriesAsia
1821 to 1890825382
1891 to 192025392583
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Ethnic Groups
Family Income Index
Jewish172
Japanese132
Polish115
Chinese112
Italian112
German107
Anglo-Saxon107
Irish103
Total US100
Filipino99
West Indian94
Mexican76
Puerto Rican63
Black62
Indian60
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Slavery
Capitalized Rent in an 18 yr. Old Slave
YearsAverage PriceGross Rearing Cost
1821-25$736$657
1826-30$792$614
1831-35$974$671
1836-40$1,206$848
1841-45$744$591
1846-50$936$737
1851-55$1,252$807
1856-60$1,596$938
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Women
Table 2.1: Female Labor Force Participation Rates by Marital Status, Race, and Nativity, 1890-1980
15 yrs. or older16 years or older
1890190019201930194019501960197019801988
Total18.920.623.724.825.829.535.141.651.1
Married4.65.6911.713.821.630.639.550.1
Single40.543.546.450.545.550.647.55161.5
White16.317.921.623.724.528.534.240.950.9
Married2.53.26.59.812.520.729.838.549.355.8
Single38.441.54548.745.951.848.552.164.268.6
NonWhite39.743.243.143.337.637.842.747.352.1
Married22.52632.533.227.331.840.5505964.4
Single59.560.558.852.141.94039.743.649.456.4
Foreign Born19.819.1
Married38.5
Single70.873.8
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Handout
Net Immigration as a Proportion of Population Increase, 1800-1860Immigration, 1845-60 by origin, ( 1000's of persons)
YearTotalGreat BritainIrelandScandinaviaOther Northwestern EuropeGermanyFamily Income Index
YearsPercentage Increase1845114.419.244.80.99.434.3Jewish172
1800-103.31846154.422.251.7212.357.6Japanese132
1810-202.6184723523.3105.51.324.374.3Polish115
1820-303.81848226.535.2112.91.19.958.5Chinese112
1830-4011.7184929755.1159.43.57.660.2Italian112
1840-5023.3185037051.11641.611.578.9German107
1850-186031.11851379.551.5221.22.420.972.5Anglo-Saxon107
1852371.640.7159.54.111.3145.9Irish103
1853368.637.6162.63.414.2141.9Total US100
1854427.858.6101.64.223.1215Filipino99
1855200.347.649.61.314.671.9West Indian94
1856200.444.754.31.312.471Mexican76
1857251.358.554.42.76.991.8Puerto Rican63
1858123.12926.92.74.645.3Black62
1859121.326.235.21.63.741.8Indian60
1860153.629.748.60.85.354.5
Annual Combined Immigration from European Areas
Proportional Immigration, 1845-60
Old Area: Great Britain, Ireland, Scandinavia, GermanyNew Area: Central Europe, Russia, Italy123
1895134.20105.50YearGreat BritainIrelandGermany1+21+2+32+3All otherTotal Columns 5+7
1896130.20185.30184516.8%39.2%30.0%55.9%85.9%69.1%14.1%100.0%
189784.70118.60184614.4%33.5%37.3%47.9%85.2%70.8%15.2%100.4%
189874.40128.7018479.9%44.9%31.6%54.8%86.4%76.5%13.6%100.0%
189994.90200.90184815.5%49.8%25.8%65.4%91.2%75.7%8.9%100.1%
190097.90305.70184918.6%53.7%20.3%72.2%92.5%73.9%7.4%99.9%
1901106.50334.70185013.8%44.3%21.3%58.1%79.5%65.6%20.6%100.1%
1902128.30457.70185113.6%58.3%19.1%71.9%91.0%77.4%9.9%100.9%
1903186.60572.70185211.0%42.9%39.3%53.9%93.1%82.2%6.9%100.0%
1904194.00515.50185310.2%44.1%38.5%54.3%92.8%82.6%7.3%100.1%
1905238.30682.10185413.7%23.7%50.3%37.4%87.7%74.0%12.4%100.1%
1906192.60753.90185523.8%24.8%35.9%48.5%84.4%60.7%16.0%100.4%
1907201.20883.00185622.3%27.1%35.4%49.4%84.8%62.5%15.2%100.0%
185723.3%21.6%36.5%44.9%81.5%58.2%19.3%100.8%
185823.6%21.9%36.8%45.4%82.2%58.7%15.9%98.1%
185921.6%29.0%34.5%50.6%85.1%63.5%14.7%99.8%
186019.3%31.6%35.5%51.0%86.5%67.1%13.7%100.2%
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Chart1
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Government
Percentage Distribution of Federal Expenditures by Major Function, 1790-1860Percent Distribution of Federal Government Revenue Sources, 1800-1900Percent Distribution of the Federal Governments Direct Expenditures, 1902-75
ItemPercent of TotalYearTariffsInternal RevenueLand SalesOtherYearNational DefensePostal ServiceEducationFarm SupportPublic WelfareNatural ResourcesVeteran's ServicesInterestIncome Security ProgramsOther
Defense48.2%180083.7%7.5%0.0%8.8%190229.2%22.3%0.5%0.7%1.4%25.0%5.1%15.8%
General Govt.15.2%181091.5%0.1%7.4%1.0%191326.1%28.2%0.5%0.5%3.1%18.5%2.4%20.7%
Postal Service3.3%182083.9%0.6%6.3%9.2%192224.0%15.2%0.2%0.2%2.2%11.7%27.1%0.3%19.1%
Indian Affairs4.4%183088.2%0.1%9.4%2.3%192718.1%20.9%0.2%0.3%3.3%17.0%22.4%0.9%16.9%
Pensions4.9%184069.3%0.0%16.9%13.8%193217.9%19.7%0.3%0.0%4.0%23.0%14.4%1.3%19.4%
Interest10.4%185091.0%4.3%4.7%193611.3%9.1%2.3%7.3%2.1%16.5%20.6%8.7%0.8%21.3%
Aid to Foreign Commerce2.6%186094.9%3.2%1.9%194017.0%8.8%2.1%7.6%1.7%19.8%5.5%9.8%3.1%24.3%
Aid to Domestic Commerce1.8%187047.3%45.0%0.8%6.9%194617.3%2.1%0.5%3.1%0.0%1.2%3.9%5.9%1.7%4.6%
Foreign Indemnities3.1%188055.9%37.2%0.3%6.6%195043.3%5.4%5.8%6.4%0.1%3.8%6.6%10.4%10.6%7.6%
Misc.6.1%189057.0%35.4%1.6%6.0%195561.8%3.9%1.1%5.5%0.1%2.4%4.3%6.9%8.6%5.1%
190041.1%52.1%0.5%6.3%196046.7%0.5%1.4%3.6%2.4%1.8%5.4%9.5%22.3%6.4%
196539.8%0.6%1.6%3.7%2.7%2.3%4.4%9.1%23.5%12.3%
Percent Distribution of Federal, State, and Local Govt. Expenditures, 1890Percent Distribution of Direct Expenditures by Level of Government, 1902-75197040.8%0.8%3.7%3.2%2.6%1.3%4.4%9.3%25.0%8.9%
197526.7%0.6%4.7%0.5%6.2%2.9%5.1%8.5%27.6%17.2%
198022.7%5.4%1.5%14.6%3.6%8.9%25.5%
National Defense6.1%FederalStateLocal198926.2%3.2%1.8%12.0%2.6%14.6%28.1%
Veterans Benefits13.3%190234.0%8.2%57.8%
Regualtion and Protection6.8%191329.8%9.2%61.0%
Economic Development11.3%192239.2%11.7%49.1%Percent Distribution of State and Local Govt. Direct Expenditures 1902-1975
(Transportation)10.1%192730.4%12.9%56.7%
Social Welfare25.4%193232.4%16.3%51.3%YearEducationHighwaysPublic WelfareHospitals and HealthPolice, Fire, and SanitationNatural ResourcesGeneral ControlUtility and Liquor StoresTrust ExspendituresOther
(Educations)17.3%193649.3%14.6%36.1%190223.3%16.0%3.4%5.5%12.9%3.5%12.9%7.5%15.0%
Interest9.8%194045.0%17.4%37.6%191325.6%18.6%2.3%4.8%11.6%3.2%9.4%8.2%0.3%16.0%
General Govt.9.9%194682.4%6.2%11.4%192230.2%22.9%2.1%4.6%9.5%2.6%5.5%6.4%1.3%14.9%
Misc.17.4%195060.3%15.7%24.0%192728.6%23.2%1.9%4.6%10.1%3.2%5.3%6.3%1.4%15.4%
195563.5%12.9%23.6%193227.5%20.7%5.3%5.4%9.0%3.7%5.6%6.2%1.4%15.2%
196059.7%14.6%25.7%193625.6%16.8%9.7%5.5%8.5%3.5%5.9%8.3%1.8%14.4%
196557.9%15.1%27.0%194023.5%14.0%10.3%5.4%7.2%3.4%5.0%11.8%6.1%13.3%
197055.5%16.8%27.7%194623.9%11.9%10.0%5.8%8.1%3.4%5.0%12.6%9.3%10.3%
197552.3%18.7%29.0%195025.7%13.6%10.5%6.3%7.5%3.5%3.7%9.8%8.5%10.9%
195529.5%16.0%7.9%6.3%7.6%3.2%3.6%9.6%6.9%9.4%
196030.7%15.5%7.2%6.2%7.5%3.2%3.5%8.3%6.6%11.3%
Government Expenditures as a Percent of GNP.196533.0%14.1%7.3%6.2%7.2%0.0%3.2%8.2%5.7%11.8%
197035.6%11.1%9.9%6.5%6.7%3.1%3.2%6.4%4.9%12.6%
YearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expnditures as a percent of GNPGovernment Civilian Employees as percent of Civilian Labor Force197533.1%8.5%10.3%7.1%7.3%2.9%1.9%6.5%6.9%15.5%
19006.0%7.3%3.9%1980
19106.1%5.7%4.5%1989
19206.6%12.1%5.7%
193010.2%21.4%6.4%
194014.2%18.7%7.6%
195013.4%23.0%9.7%Percent Distribution of Federal Revenue Sources
196019.8%28.6%12.0%
197022.2%33.5%15.1%YearIndividual Income TaxCorporate Income TaxEmployment TaxesExcise TaxesEstate and Gift TaxesTariffsOther
197121.8%33.5%15.3%190050.1%0.5%41.1%8.3%
197221.3%33.5%15.3%191039.6%49.4%11.0%
197320.4%32.2%15.4%192012.2%1.6%4.8%
197421.2%32.6%15.4%193027.5%30.2%13.5%1.6%14.0%13.2%
197521.9%35.8%15.7%194016.7%19.5%14.2%32.0%6.1%5.9%5.6%
197621.1%36.2%15.5%195041.5%26.3%6.4%18.4%1.7%1.0%4.7%
197720.6%35.2%15.3%196044.0%23.2%15.9%12.6%1.7%1.2%1.4%
197820.1%34.6%15.3%197046.7%16.9%23.4%8.1%1.9%1.2%1.8%
197919.6%33.9%15.2%197543.6%14.5%30.8%5.9%1.6%1.3%2.3%
198020.4%36.0%15.2%198047.2%12.5%30.5%4.7%1.2%1.4%
198120.2%36.0%14.8%198943.6%11.0%37.3%3.5%0.8%1.7%
198221.2%38.0%14.3%
198320.7%38.2%14.2%
198420.4%n.a.14.1%
YearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expenditures as a Percent of GNPYearGovernment Purchases as a Percent of GNPGovernment Budget Expenditures as a Percent of GNP
19006.0%194812.3%18.4%
19015.6%194914.9%
19025.7%7.3%195013.4%23.0%Outbreak of Korean War
19036.2%195118.2%
19046.0%195221.7%27.1%
19056.1%195322.5%28.5%
19065.6%195420.7%27.9%
19076.2%195518.8%25.7%
19087.6%195618.8%25.6%
19096.0%195719.6%26.5%
19106.1%195821.1%28.5%
19117.2%195920.0%29.6%
19126.8%196019.8%28.6%
19136.4%5.7%196120.6%29.6%
19147.4%196220.9%29.8%Vietnam War
19157.2%196320.7%29.8%
19165.9%196420.4%29.7%
19178.9%World War I196520.0%28.2%
191821.3%196621.0%29.0%
191912.0%196722.5%31.6%
19206.6%196822.8%32.5%
19218.5%196922.1%32.3%
19228.0%12.1%197022.2%33.5%
19237.2%197121.8%33.5%
19247.7%197221.3%33.0%
19257.9%197320.4%32.2%
19267.5%197421.2%32.6%
19278.2%10.6%197521.9%35.8%
19288.3%197621.1%36.2%
19298.1%197720.6%35.2%
193010.2%Onset of Great Depression197820.1%34.6%
193112.1%197919.6%33.9%
193214.0%21.4%198020.4%36.0%
193314.4%198120.2%36.0%
193415.1%21.2%198221.2%38.0%
193513.9%198320.7%38.2%
193614.5%19.5%198420.4%
193713.2%
193815.3%18.3%
193914.9%
194014.2%18.7%
194119.9%World War II
194237.7%28.1%
194346.3%
194446.1%47.7%
194539.0%
194613.1%31.8%
194710.9%
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Civil War Deaths
Total Deaths
Total DeathsBattle DeathsOther DeathsWounds Not Mortal
Civil War (Union)364,511140,414224,097281,881
Civil War (Confederacy)258,000199,515
Spanish American War2,4463852,0611,662
WWI116,51653,40263,114204,002
WW2405,399291,557113,842640,846
Korean Conflict54,24633,62920,617103,284
Vietnam (American)56,88646,49810,388153,000
Vietnam (North Vietnamese)660,000
Vietnames (South Vietnamese)220,357
6-Day War (Israel)1,000
6-Day War (Egypt, Jordan, Syria)18,000
Deaths and Wounds as a Percent of Male Population
PopulationPercent of Male Population Killed or WoundedPercent of Male 15-24 Population Killed or Wounded (17% of population male, 15-24)
Civil War31,443,3217.02%41.30%
Spanish American War50,000,0000.02%0.10%
WWI92,228,4960.70%4.09%
WW2132,164,5691.58%9.31%
Korean Conflict151,325,7980.21%1.22%
Vietnam (U. S.)203,302,0310.21%1.21%
Vietnam (Vietnamese)39,463,9104.46%26.24%
6-Day War (Israel)2,746,8980.07%0.43%
6-Day War (Egypt, Jordan, Syria)38,662,0000.09%0.55%
Annual Death rate per 1000 average strength
Total DeathsBattle DeathsOther Deaths
Civil War104.440.164.3
Spanish American War36.6
WWI35.517.118.4
WW211.38.63
Korean Conflict5.53.42.1
Vietnam0.70.60.1
Probability of Service
Total Personal Serving in WarPercent of Male Population, 15-24 in Armed ServicesPercent of Armed Services Serving AbroadPercent of Male Population, 15-24 Serving Abroad
Civil War2,213,00041.40%
Spanish American War307,0003.61%29%1.05%
WWI4,735,00030.20%53%16.01%
WW216,113,00071.72%73%52.35%
Korean Conflict5,720,00022.23%56%12.45%
Vietnam8,744,00025.30%
Relative Mortality Risk
Immigration Data
Black Income
Table 2: Black Male Wages as a Percent of White Male Wages, 1940-1980
Table 1: Mean Male Income by Race 1940-1980 (1984 dollars)
Census Years
Census YearWhite MenBlack MenRatioPercent of Change Occuring before DateYears of Market Experience19401950196019701980
1980$25,791$18,72373%100%1 to 546.761.860.275.184.2
1970$25,666$16,52764%72%6 to 1047.56159.170.176.6
1960$19,959$11,48358%49%11 to 1544.458.359.466.27.5
1950$14,332$7,91255%41%16 to 2044.456.658.462.871.2
1940$10,459$4,53143%21 to 2542.354.157.662.767.8
26 to 3041.753.256.260.666.9
31 to 3540.250.353.86066.5
36 to 4039.846.955.960.368.5
All43.355.257.564.472.6
Table 3: Extent of Overlap Between Black and White Income Distributions
Percent of Black Men Whose Income Exceeds White Income at the:Percent of White Men Whose Income Exceeds Black Income at the
YearBottom QuarterMedianTop QuarterBottom QuarterMedianTop Quarter
1980562910877045
197045225907857
196038121928166
195036122928266
19403181958470
Note: The way to read the chart is as follows. In 1980, only 10% of black men had an income that exceed the income of a white man whose income was in the top 25% of the income distribution. In 1980, 29% of black men had an income that exceeded the median
Table 4: Men in the Middle Class
WhiteBlacks
YearBelowMiddle ClassAboveBelowMiddle ClassAbove
1980116029206812
19709662524715
196012642439592
195018492348502
194030403076222
Table 5: Percentage Increase in Black Annual Income Compared with Whites at Selected Percentiles
PercentilePercent IncreasePercentilePercent Increase
24.86054.9
48.47057.4
630.78049
836.99046.2
1048.19250.6
2048.29448.1
3050.29651.6
4045.29854.7
5045.5
Table 6: Percentage Growth in Black-White Male Ratios of Weekly Wages
Growth Between
Years of Work Experience50-4060-5070-6080-7080-40
1 to 528.1-2.722.111.558.9
6 to 1025.1-3.217.18.847.8
11 to 1527.11.910.910.450.3
16 to 2024.43.17.312.547.3
21 to 2524.66.38.67.747.2
26 to 3024.25.67.59.947.2
31 to 3522.56.610.810.450.3
36 to 4016.417.57.512.754.2
All24.24.111.31251.6
Table 7: Percentage Growth in Black-White Weekly Wage Ratios by Education
Years of Schooling
Decade0 to 45 to 78 to 111213 to 1516+All
1940-198035.536.530.832.84544.851.6
1940-1950514.416.622.314.410.824.2
1950-196012.95.5-2.2-6.86.910.44.1
1960-19702.88.578.717.619.311.3
1970-198015.18.17.48.66.24.312
Table 8: Black Male Wages as a Percentage of White Males by Labor Market CohortReal Black and White Income in 1880 and 1900
Median Year of Initial Labor Market Work19401950196019701980SouthernSouthernNational
197884.2RuralTotalTotal
197376.6TotalIncomeIncome
196873.5Income
196375.171.2Per Capita1880Black$36.78$38.43$43.06
195860.270.167.8IncomeWhite$62.49$79.44$142.64
195359.166.266.9B/W Ratio0.590.480.3
194861.859.462.866.51900Black$46.37$49.96$56.86
19436058.462.768.5White$91.23$117.87$206.70
193846.758.357.660.6B/W Ratio0.510.420.28
193347.556.656.2601880-1900Black1.17%1.32%1.40%
192844.454.153.860.3Growth RateWhite1.91%1.99%1.87%
192344.453.255.9Per1880Black$65.93$68.90$77.20
191812.350.3WorkerWhite$99.43$126.38$226.95
191341.746.9IncomeB/W Ratio0.660.550.34
190840.21900Black$81.31$87.61$99.72
190339.8White$140.04$180.94$317.31
All43.355.257.564.472.6B/W Ratio0.580.480.31
1880-1900Black1.05%1.21%1.29%
Growth RateWhite1.73%1.81%1.69%
&CBlack Income Statistics
Black Income After CW
Yearly Value of Freedom per Capita (1879 Prices)
Ng and Virts
Ransom and SutchImproved Residual MethodDirect Observation of Wages
Black Income in 1859$27.66$27.66$27.66
Black Income in 1879$35.59$40.24$40.24
Value of Leisure$13.75-$21.00$14.82-$23.44$31.01-$36.78
Value of Freedom$22.05-$29.01$27.40-$36.02$43.59-$49.36
Increase in Income78-105%99-130%158-178%
Real Black and White Income in 1880 and 1900
SouthernSouthernNational
RuralTotalTotal
TotalIncomeIncome
Income
Per Capita1880Black$36.78$38.43$43.06
IncomeWhite$62.49$79.44$142.64
B/W Ratio0.590.480.3
1900Black$46.37$49.96$56.86
White$91.23$117.87$206.70
B/W Ratio0.510.420.28
1880-1900Black1.17%1.32%1.40%
Growth RateWhite1.91%1.99%1.87%
Per1880Black$65.93$68.90$77.20
WorkerWhite$99.43$126.38$226.95
IncomeB/W Ratio0.660.550.34
1900Black$81.31$87.61$99.72
White$140.04$180.94$317.31
B/W Ratio0.580.480.31
1880-1900Black1.05%1.21%1.29%
Growth RateWhite1.73%1.81%1.69%
&CBlack Income after Civil War
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Proportional Immigration, 1845-60
Growth 1800 -1860
Indices of Economic Growth, 1800-1860Value of Component Indicies
YearPer Capita Output IndexAnnual Per Capita Growth
180064.4YearZ
181061.9-0.418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
182067.60.918101.9570.8370.7390.970.619
1830842.218201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18401001.818301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
1850110.4118401.9570.634111
18601372.218501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
Source: Paul David, "The Growth of Real Product in the U.S. before 1840: New Evidence , Controlled Conjectures, JEH 27 (June 1967)
Sources of Change in Per Capita Output, 1800-1860
DecadeLabor Force ParticipationShift out of AgricultureIncreased Agricultural Productivity
18000.30-1.00-3.90
18101.903.909.20
1820-1.206.6024.30
18302.505.5019.00
18406.506.1013.00
18500.001.1022.10
1800-403.5015.8055.30
1840-606.507.2038.00
Based on Variant II in 1840 prices.
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US Growth 1840-1960
Rates of Growth: Gross National Product, Population, Labor Force In the U.S., 1840-1960
ProductPopulationLabor ForceProduct per CapitaProduct per Worker
Successive Decades4.243.113.571.10.64
1839-494.953.093.181.81.71
1849-591.992.392.07-0.39-0.08
1859-694.952.333.012.561.88
1869-79
Overlapping Decades
178-82-1882-923.732.262.71.441
1883-87-1893-973.12.022.51.050.58
1888-92-1898-19024.041.82.52.21.5
1893-97-1903-075.031.782.63.192.36
1898-1902-1908-123.711.952.671.731.01
1903-07-1913-172.61.871.950.720.63
1908-12-1918-222.61.51.051.081.53
1913-17-1923-273.621.41.142.192.45
1918-22-19293.991.471.352.492.61
1923-27-1933-37-0.350.981.16-1.33-1.49
1929-1939-411.370.741.210.620.15
1933-37-1943-477.020.961.8465.09
1939-41-1948-524.271.391.42.842.83
1943-47-1953-572.471.670.80.781.65
1948-52-1959-613.241.711.191.52.03
Longer Periods
1840-804.032.732.961.261.04
1880-19203.521.882.231.611.26
1920-603.151.311.281.811.84
1840-19603.561.972.151.561.38
Abosolute Values
1959-61509179.969.928297282
1959-61 as a multiple of 184066.710.412.96.45.2
18407.6317.75.424461408
Source: Kuznets, Notes on the Pattern of U.S. Economic Growth, in S. Engerman and R. Fogel, The Reinterpretation of American Economic History
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World Growth
Rate of Growth and Per Capita Income for Selected Countries for Long Periods.
Duration of PeriodProductPopulationProduct per Captia
Great Britain
1841-81402.541.191.33
1881-1921401.770.910.86
United Kingdom
1921-1957-59371.880.431.44
Total 1841-1957-591172.070.861.2
France
1841-50-1861-70202.230.391.84
1871-80-1901-103020.221.77
1901-10-1920-2818.51.46-0.131.6
1920-28-1958-60351.550.371.18
Total, 1841-50-1958-60103.51.80.241.55
Germany
1913 Boundaries
1851-55-1871-75201.630.740.89
1871-75-1913403.091.21.87
Interwar Boundaries
1913-1935-37230.570.530.04
Federal Republic
1936-1958-60233.971.42.53
Total, 1913-1958-60462.250.971.28
Total, 1851-55-1958-601062.451.011.43
Sweden
1861-65-1881-85202.880.722.15
1881-85-1921-25402.690.662.01
1921-25-1958-60363.770.593.16
Total, 1861-65-1958-60963.130.642.47
European Russia
1860-1913532.671.31.35
USSR
1913-28150.540.540
1928-58304.40.673.71
Total, 1913-58453.10.632.45
Total, 1860-1958982.870.991.86
Japan
1878-82-1918-22404.141.053.05
1918-22-1958-60393.971.362.57
Total, 1878-82-1958-60794.051.212.81
Source: Kuznets, Notes.. in Engerman and Fogel, Reinterpretations.
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productivity
National Economy: Output and Productivity Ratios, 1869-1959
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.83567.742
187915.75490.262.5
188921.850.285.558.3
189933.961.287.667.8
130351.369.892.175.6
191970.379.391.782.6
1929100100100100
1939104.8117.2111.5115.9
1949159.7138.7130.5136.4
1959233.5179.8134.4169.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
Agriculture
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
186928.953.976.760.8
187945.264.284.370.7
188957.269.287.675.5
189972.579.892.884.6
130378.881.487.684
191987.385.685.785.6
1929100100100100
1939109.2122.6111.7118.4
1949129.9175.3123.5153.8
1959170354.5141.6250.4
Source: Peter George p. 12
Manufacturing
YearOutput (Real Net Product)Output per Unit of labor inputOutput per unit of capital InputTotal Factor Productivity
18697.129.6158.936.4
187910.232.7134.639.7
188918.341.410448.2
189927.547.793.953.9
130343.453.579.857.9
1919615865.759.6
1929100100100100
1939102.5123.9120.8122.8
1949174139.8140.3139.9
1959284.3195.6165.3191.1
Source: Peter George p. 12
&CProductivity Data
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Pop., Labor, Land, and Capital
Indexes of Population, Labor, Land, Capital and Net National Product, 1840-1960.
YearPopulationLaborLandCapitalNet National Product
1840100100100100100
1870235228240512324
190044751456623431037
1930724863108565752952
1960106113081165105315994
Source Peter George, The Emergence of Industrial America p. 5
Accounting for Growth
Annual Rate of Growth
PeriodLaborCapitalLandNNP
1840-603.426.573.734.75
1870-19302.244.352.553.75
1940-19901.563.140.343.22
Percentage of Growth in NNP Attributable to:
PeriodLaborCapitalLandProductivity
1840-6049%26%10%15%
1870-193043%27%4%27%
1940-199041%14%0%45%
Source: Atack and Passel, p. 19
&A
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TFP Problem from Exam
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
184018601850195018501950
Output$4,500$8,550OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Land100150Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor5060Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Land$20$25Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$50$80Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Land0.4440.439Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.5560.561Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors67.9089.92Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.442aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.558bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output0.900Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Land0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor0.200Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.568Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
TFP Excercise
Total Factor Productivity ExampleTotal Factor Productivity ExerciseTotal Factor Productivity Exercise
185019501850195018501950
Output$2,750$9,000OutputOutput$2,000$57,500
Amount of Capital5075Amount of Land100500Amount of Land100500
Amount of Labor150300Amount of Labor1002000Amount of Labor1002000
Price of Capital$10$20Price of Land$5$15Price of Land$5$15
Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25Price of Labor$15$25
Factor Share of Capital0.1820.167Factor Share of LandFactor Share of Land0.2500.130
Factor Share of Labor0.8180.833Factor Share of LaborFactor Share of Labor0.7500.870
Index of Factors122.8406031059238.110Index of Factors1Index of Factors1001669.169
Factor Share of Capital (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.174aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)aFactor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.190a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.826bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)bFactor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.810b
Percent Change in Output2.273Percent Change in OutputPercent Change in Output27.750
Percent Change in Capital0.500Percent Change in LandPercent Change in Land4.000
Percent Change in Labor1.000Percent Change in LaborPercent Change in Labor19.000
Change in Total Factor Productivity1.360Change in Total Factor ProductivityChange in Total Factor Productivity11.603
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
Answer to Take Home Assignment
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1948$1,491,000,000,000146,631,302$10,168.36
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate3.27%1.24%2.01%
Real GDPPopulationReal GDP per Capita
1969$3,393,600,000,000202,676,946$16,743.89
1996$6,994,800,000,000265,179,411$26,377.61
Growth Rate2.72%1.00%1.70%
Total Factor Productivity
Total Factor Productivity Example
Year 1Year 2
Output$12,500$19,000
Amount of Land10080
Amount of Labor100150
Price of Land$25$50
Price of Labor$100$100
Factor Share of Land0.2000.211
Factor Share of Labor0.8000.789
Index of Factors1131.842
Factor Share of Land (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.205a
Factor Share of Labor (average of factor share in year 1 and year 2)0.795b
Percent Change in Output0.520
Percent Change in Land-0.200
Percent Change in Labor0.500
Change in Total Factor Productivity0.164
Instructions: Output has increased from Year 1 to Year 2. How much of the increase is due to more factors of production (land and labor) and how much is due to improved productivity? To answer this question first compute the index of factors (I). Note tha
&CEconomics 375, American Economic History, CSUN
David
Value of Component Indicies
YearZYearZOutput
18001.9570.8260.7640.9660.64418001.9570.8260.7640.9660.644
18101.9570.8370.7390.970.61918401.9570.634111
18201.9570.790.7660.9870.676
18301.9570.7070.90.9760.84
18401.9570.634111
18501.9570.54811.0651.13
18601.9570.5321.2151.0651.38
&CPaul David Results
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Lifespan Handouts
&CLifespan Tables and Graphs
Population
Percentage of WomenRacial Fertility and Density
18101840Change in Population
WhiteNo Children7 or more ChildrenFertility IndexPopulation DensityFertility IndexPopulation DensityGrowth Rate102550100200
1800na50East Coast1%1.101.281.642.707.32
1840835Middle Atlantic134420.1100645.32%1.221.642.697.2452.48
18601027New England107923.780036.13%1.342.094.3819.22369.36
1900207North Central4%1.482.677.1150.502,550.75
1925105West18100.514801.65%1.633.3911.47131.5017,292.58
193476East17063.1129115.2
South Central
NonwhiteWest15572.214954.6
1840652East17013.9142414.3
1860944
19002813Fertility Index-Children under 5 per 1000 white females 20-44 years of age
19251816Population Density-Population per square mile.
1934918
Women in the Labor Force, 1830-1979Death Rate
Percentage of Population