ilute travel/activity panel surveys in the toronto and quebec city regions: comparison of methods...
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ILUTE
Travel/Activity Panel Surveys in the Toronto and Quebec City Regions:Comparison of Methods and Preliminary Results
Matthew J. Roorda, University of TorontoMartin Lee-Gosselin, Université LavalSean T. Doherty, Wilfrid Laurier UniversityEric J. Miller, University of TorontoPierre Rondier, Université Laval
PROCESSUS Second International Colloquium on the Behavioural Foundations
of Integrated Land-use and Transportation Models: Frameworks, Models andApplications, Toronto June 12 – 15, 2005
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Introduction• Travel Activity Panel Survey
– 3 year, 3 wave in-depth panel survey– Concurrently running in 2 areas: Toronto and Quebec City– Total initial sample: 270 in Toronto, 250 in Quebec City– Uses a “reflexive” approach: survey method allowed to
change over time• We, as researchers, learn about the right questions to ask• Respondents experience panel conditioning… we can try methods
that require previous respondent experience
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Outline• Survey Objectives
• Survey Methods
• Some Preliminary Results
• Conclusions
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Substantive Objectives• Understand the process by which people schedule and
reschedule activities and travel
• Observe how activities, travel and the underlying scheduling process change or remain stable over time
• Compare decision processes in two different study areas, Quebec City and Toronto
• Provide an empirical basis for modelling
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Methodological Objectives• Compare computerised versus non-computerised
survey methods
• Compare semi-structured qualitative interviews versus systematic quantitative survey methods
• Compare telephone-survey to face-to-face interview
• Test GPS units
• New measures of data quality
• Test CHASE on a medium-sized random sample
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Methods used
ALL WAVES2–day detailed
activitydiary
WAVE 1Detailed
Scheduling Info,7 days
WAVE 2Stated Preference
SchedulingConflicts
CORE SURVEY DATA
WAVE 3GPS route
tracking
ADDITIONAL SURVEY DATA
ALL WAVES2–day detailed
activitydiary
WAVE 1Detailed
Scheduling Info,7 days
WAVE 2Stated Preference
SchedulingConflicts
CORE SURVEY DATA
WAVE 3GPS route
tracking
ADDITIONAL SURVEY DATA
Assess Routines,
GPS tracking
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WAVE 1
Detailed scheduling
info
7 days
TorontoCHASE
•7 day activity diary
•Computerized
•Detailed planning process
•Detailed questions aboutflexibility of activity in time,space, interpersonal, mode
Quebec CityOPFAST
•7 day activity diary
•Paper & pencil – daily fax-back
•Detailed planning process
•In-depth qualitative post interview on: fixity, projects, negotiations, ICT, holistic interpretations of scheduling
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WAVE 2
2-day diary
Stated Adaptation:
Scheduling
Conflicts
Toronto•CATI used
Quebec City•Post-coding with CATI software
ILUTEWave 2: 2-day Diary - Toronto
Stated Adaptation Questions:
“What would have happened ifyou had an unexpectedone-hour delay ingetting to this activity?”
“What would you have doneif the ___mode were notavailable to get to thatactivity?”
How would it have affected:
•other activities the same day
•activities on other days
•other household members
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Wave 2 diary – Quebec City
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WAVE 3
Routine Weekly
Schedules,
GPS tracking
Toronto•Routine weekly scheduleon a single 17x22 sheet
Quebec City•Routine activities entered in a memory jogger
What activities/trips do you normally do every week?
ILUTEToronto Wave 3:
Routine Weekly Schedule
• 2-day diary of activities
• 7-day routine weekly schedule
• Follow-up Interview– Details of the 2-day
diary– How old are the routine
activities?– Flexibility of activity
times, modes, location– Commitments to other
people
ILUTEExample day
Time in week with no routineRoutine travel
Routine activity
Colour coded symbols indicating time/ space/ interpersonal flexibility
Toronto Wave 3:
Routine Weekly Schedule
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Sample• Toronto 270
hhldsInitial response rate 16.6%Wave 2 retention 84%Wave 3 (in progress)
• Quebec City 250 hhlds
Initial response rate 20.6%Wave 2 retention 80%Wave 3 (to start in July ‘05)
ILUTEAverage Weekday Activity Durations (n.inc. basic needs or travel)
Work/School
Drop-off/pick-up
Shopping
Services
Recreation/ Entertainment
Social Other
Household Obligations
Work/School
Drop-off/pick-up
Shopping
Services
Recreation/ Entertainment
Social Other
Household Obligations
Work/School
Drop-off/pick-up
Shopping
Services
Recreation/ Entertainment
Social
Other
Household Obligations
Work/School
Drop-off/pick-up
Shopping
Services
Recreation/ Entertainment
Social Other
Household Obligations
TORONTO
Wave 1
Wave 2
QUEBEC CITY
ILUTEActivity Preplanning
“When did you originally make the decision to add/change this activity?”
TORONTO (CHASE) QUEBEC CITY (OPFAST)
Impulsive25%
Same day14%
Days before12%
Wks/mths/yrs ago15%
Routine11%
Unknown/ can’t recall/
missing23%
Impulsive21%
Same day10%
Days before7%
Wks/mths/yrs ago
4%
Routine58%
Unknown/ can’t recall/
missing0%
If a CHASE respondent makes changes to a routine activity, it is no longer considered routine
An OPFAST respondent simply reports their perception of whether an activity is routine
ILUTEActivity Preplanning in Toronto
“When did you originally make the decision to add/change this activity?”
Work / School Activities Shopping Activities
Impulsive10%
Same day12%
Days before18%
Wks/mths/yrs ago23%
Routine11%
Unknown/ can’t recall/
missing26%
Impulsive29%
Same day35%
Days before15%
Wks/mths/yrs ago
3%
Routine2%
Unknown/ can’t recall/
missing16%
ILUTEQuebec City - Use of Telecommunications
to plan spontaneous activities(planned < 1hr in advance)
Only about 1/3 of spontaneous activities involve any contact with others
Only 6% involve telecommunications
No strong indication that cellular phones enable “last minute coordination” with others
Pager0%
Cellular1%
E-mail0%
Telephone5%
Unknown2%
In person25%
No communication
67%
ILUTEToronto Wave 2 – Stated Adaptation
Effect of a one hourdelay in getting to an activity
2/3 of the time people anticipate that they can accommodate delays by changing the timing of the next activity within the same day
We also capture effects onother activities, other people, other days.
(not shown)Split0.5%
No effect3%
Move toanother day
12%
Skip17%
Shift36%
Shift &shorten
4%
Modify withinthe same day
68%
Changelocation
2%
Shorten duration
25%
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Conclusions• Unprecedented combination of in-depth surveys in a
longitudinal panel framework
• Many survey methods have been developed and tested
• We have sacrificed the ability to do clear “trend analysis” by changing the survey instrument.
• Opportunities for data analysis– Better understand the process of activity scheduling– Understand long & short term dynamics of activity/travel behaviour– Provide a better behavioural base for development of activity based
models
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Q
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ADDITIONAL SLIDES
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CHASE ProcessChase Scheduling Diary Interview Household
Household keeps schedules on laptopfor 7 daysFollow-up
Interview
Retrieve datafrom laptop
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Chase Main Screen (Blank)
Instructions to User Login once a day Add activities anywhere
in your schedule Review and modify Respond to prompts
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Add/modify dialogue box
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Example Partial Schedule
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Example Completed Schedule
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At the end of the week, respondents asked questions about flexibility of activitieswith respect to:
•Start time
•Duration
•Location
•Frequency
•Other people
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Other Add-on Surveys• 30 Toronto respondents called for quality assessment
“did people take short cuts?”, “did they experience problems?”, etc.
• 12 Toronto respondents outfitted with GPS units for several days.
• Add-on survey of accessibility constraints of low income women
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Analysis Opportunities
•Understanding the process of activity scheduling
•Understanding long and short term habits
•Informing model design
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Understanding the process of planning activities
When planned (5 categories, non-merged routine)
Impulsive Same day Days before Weeks/months/years ago Routine
Unknown/cant recall/missing Total
Night sleep & oth basic needs 18.2% 7.5% 11.6% 22.6% 16.8% 23.3% 100.0%
Meals 26.2% 14.6% 9.3% 14.1% 13.0% 22.8% 100.0% Work/School 10.2% 12.0% 17.6% 23.0% 10.6% 26.5% 100.0% Household Obligations
29.0% 16.0% 9.7% 11.4% 10.9% 23.0% 100.0%
Drop-off/Pick-up 17.7% 16.4% 16.0% 17.8% 9.6% 22.4% 100.0% Shopping 28.9% 34.4% 15.3% 3.0% 2.4% 16.0% 100.0% Services 18.2% 19.2% 23.1% 15.8% 4.8% 18.9% 100.0% Active recreation 19.5% 15.6% 18.1% 15.9% 7.2% 23.7% 100.0% Entertainment 36.9% 14.6% 9.0% 9.1% 8.2% 22.1% 100.0% Social 32.7% 19.2% 17.7% 7.7% 4.4% 18.4% 100.0%
Activity Group
Other 47.6% 24.6% 10.2% 1.1% 2.6% 13.9% 100.0% Total 24.7% 14.0% 12.3% 15.3% 11.1% 22.5% 100.0%
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Observing Habitual
Behaviour
Home Sleep
Breakfast
Home Cleaning
Meal TV
Wash/dress Sleep
Work
Bank
Post Office
Get Newspaper
6:00
15:00
15:45
16:15 17:15
16:30
Home Sleep
Breakfast
Home Cleaning
Meal TV
Wash/dress Sleep
Work
Shop
6:00
15:30
Thursday Friday
HomeSleep
BreakfastReady for work
HomePlay with kidsPrepare dinner
Eat dinner
Work
5:50
Thursday Friday
HomeKids to bed
Sleep
Coffee
WorkLoc’n 2
Work
Shop
Drop off wife VisitFriendPickup wife
10:30
10:5013:3014:30
15:00
18:1518:25
21:3021:40
HomeSleep
Ready for work
HomeClean house
Prepare dinnerEat dinner
Work
5:40
HomeKids homework
Coffee
WorkLoc’n 2
Work
Shop
9:10
9:3014:0815:00
15:50
18:15
Drop off wife
Pickup wife
18:25
HomeKids to bed
Sleep
21:45
22:00
HomeSleep
BreakfastReady for work
HomePlay with kidsPrepare dinner
Eat dinner
Work
5:50
Thursday Friday
HomeKids to bed
Sleep
Coffee
WorkLoc’n 2
Work
Shop
Drop off wife VisitFriendPickup wife
10:30
10:5013:3014:30
15:00
18:1518:25
21:3021:40
HomeSleep
Ready for work
HomeClean house
Prepare dinnerEat dinner
Work
5:40
HomeKids homework
Coffee
WorkLoc’n 2
Work
Shop
9:10
9:3014:0815:00
15:50
18:15
Drop off wife
Pickup wife
18:25
HomeKids to bed
Sleep
21:45
22:00
Wave 1
Wave 2 • Long term
vs.Short term habits
Understanding habits and routines is the first step to develop policies designed to change habits (like auto dependence)
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Using data to inform models• The current implementation of TASHA assumes “micro-
level” rules about scheduling behaviour
At – HomeWork OtherShop At-homeOtherPerson Schedule
= Activity= Travel
At-home
We would like to improve the rule base using empirical data
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Questions?