illinois voters and remap reform

20
Illinois Voters and Remap Reform Time series data on two reform proposals --Charlie Leonard, Paul Simon Institute visiting professor – April 30, 2013, Springfield, IL

Upload: paul-simon-public-policy-institute

Post on 24-Jan-2015

105 views

Category:

News & Politics


2 download

DESCRIPTION

Time series data on two reform proposals --Charlie Leonard, Paul Simon Institute visiting professor – April 30, 2013, Springfield, IL

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Time series data on two reform proposals

--Charlie Leonard, Paul Simon Institute visiting professor – April 30, 2013, Springfield, IL

Page 2: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current Law

• Districts must be “compact and contiguous”

Page 3: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current Law

• Districts must be “compact and contiguous”– “Contiguous” is precise; “compact” is not

Page 4: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current Law

• Districts must be “compact and contiguous”– “Contiguous” is precise; “compact” is not

• 24 states include language about preserving “communities of interest.” Illinois does not.

Page 5: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current Law

• Districts must be “compact and contiguous”– “Contiguous” is precise; “compact” is not

• 24 states include language about preserving “communities of interest.” Illinois does not.

• In “safe” districts, incumbents worry about primary, not general election challenges

Page 6: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current Law

• Districts must be “compact and contiguous”– “Contiguous” is precise; “compact” is not

• 24 states include language about preserving “communities of interest.” Illinois does not.

• In “safe” districts, incumbents worry about primary, not general election challenges– Primary voters more partisan and ideologically

extreme than general election voters

Page 7: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current System

• If Legislature can’t agree on a map

Page 8: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current System

• If Legislature can’t agree on a map– Eight-member redistricting commission

Page 9: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current System

• If Legislature can’t agree on a map– Eight-member redistricting commission– If partisan tie, draw winning party from a hat

Page 10: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Current System

• If Legislature can’t agree on a map– Eight-member redistricting commission– If partisan tie, draw winning party from a hat• Encourages parties to draw most partisan,

advantageous map possible—why compromise?

Page 11: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 1: Neutral Commissioner

• In case of partisan tie on redistricting commission, have the Supreme Court appoint a neutral member to break tie

Page 12: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 1: Neutral Commissioner

• In case of partisan tie on redistricting commission, have the Supreme Court appoint a neutral member to break tie– Simon Poll has been testing this reform since ‘09

Page 13: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform
Page 14: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 1: Neutral Commissioner

Page 15: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 1: Neutral Commissioner

Page 16: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 2: Independent Panel

• Have an independent panel draw redistricting map for legislature and governor to approve– Simon Poll has been testing this reform since 2010

Page 17: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform
Page 18: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 2: Independent Panel

Page 19: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Reform 2: Independent Panel

Page 20: Illinois Voters and Remap Reform

Conclusion

• Both reforms enjoy strong support over time• Intensity of support growing• Support for both remains strong among

regional and partisan subgroups