igniting innovation case nov 14 goldberg_0.pdfinnovation russia 2011 (fasie) united states 2009...
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IGNITING INNOVATION:The Role of Government in Innovation in Emerging
Europe and Central Asia
Itzhak Goldberg
John Gabriel Goddard
Smita Kuriakose
Jean-Louis Racine
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Market failures may justify government intervention to stimulate absorptive capacity in private sector
BUT
Policy design needs to account for government failures: e.g. �Bad design, targeting support >>> misaligned incentives;
�Capture by sectoral interests;
�Corruption
�R&D institutes (RDIs) – the unfinished restructuring agenda
Role of Government – the Why?
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What can governments do?
You won’t know unless you read the book!
� Boosting private incentives through public instruments:
matching grants, VC, parks and incubators
� Leveraging foreign investors and inventors via openness to
international R&D collaboration
� The unfinished restructuring agenda – create dynamic R&D
institutes
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ROLE OF GOVERNMENT AND
PRIVATE INCENTIVES
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ROLE OF GOVERNMENT – THE HOW?
�Matching grants: Preserve private risk; additionality
�Soft loans: only low-risk apply
�Tax credits: Start-ups have no profits to use credit
�How to subsidize Venture Capital while
preserving private risk?
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Government Support Instruments - Design
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1. Protect programs from capture and corruption
2. Ensure risk sharing additionality.
3. Consider “neutrality” of project selection respect to sectors; vs. targeting.
� Controversy: highly qualified civil servants and sound institutions allow exceptions to neutrality
� but in ECA many countries lack capacity targeting subject to pressures from industrial interests
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ROLE OF GOVERNMENT–
SECTOR NEUTRALITY VS.
TARGETING �
� EU is specialized in low or medium R&D
intensity sectors →→??? →sector targeting.
� Does Aghion (2011) imply that sectoral targeting
is needed to compensate for low levels of asset
tangibility?
� Sector targeting is NOT logical conclusion of
credit market failure. It can be addressed by
horizontal or neutral matching grants to
qualified applications in all sectors.
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Sequencing of Support Instruments
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� In countries which have had early stage grants for
long time, venture capital seem to flourish : e.g. USA,
Israel (but no causality implied)
�Sequencing: early stage grants for long time build
deal flow) for venture capital.
�Yet, in Russia:
� Plenty of support for VC while
� FASIE is not growing much
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FASIE is small compared to other countries
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MATCHING
GRANT
SUPPORT
FOR SME
INNOVATION
Russia
2011
(FASIE)
United States
2009
(SBIR)
Finland 2010
(Tekes)
Total (million USD) 123 1,937 151
Per capita (USD) 0.9 6.3 28
Source: Tekes, SBIR and Enterprise Ireland websites. Interviews with FASIE.
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Rusnano
(130 bln RUB)
In Russia, the state has invested relatively
heavily in VC
� But equity is only relevant to a very specific type of firm at
a very specific stage of development
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Russian Venture
Company
(19.9 bln RUB) Regional
Venture
Funds
(8.6 bln
RUB)Rosinfocominvest
(1.5 bln RUB)
Startup R&D grants
FASIE
(<1.3 bln RUB)
Equity
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US government funding of startups focuses
on grants
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Lessons from Israel’s Innovation
*2010 constant USD12
� Since 1976, subsidized commercial R&D projects in private
firms. (Before only academic, RDIs)
� Venture capital is supported 20 years later.
� High-tech exports: from of $810 million in 1969 to $11.7
billion in 2010.* Resilient during global downturn
� Replicable? defense, universities, skills, business climate,
policies (compare to Russia).
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FOREIGN INVESTORS AND
INVENTORS
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INVENTIVE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ON
THE RISE
� Concentrated in a few of the more advanced economies
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INVENTION DRIVEN BY INTERNATIONAL
LINKAGES
� International co-invention contributes to the quality of patents and raises the quality of inventive efforts in post-transition countries
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Germany plays a central role in new
co-invention patterns
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Eastern Europe and Russia are losing its
edge to China and India
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Acquiring technology from abroad
� International linkages are particularly important for
absorption and innovation
� Transition to export status increases absorption by about
33%
� Joint venture with a multinational increases absorption by
41%
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Role of Corporate Governance
�Firm’s ability to tap world technology pool depends
on strong corporate governance
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Country Insight: Serbia
� Privatized Serbian firms show:
� Strategic owner, foreign or local >> improves corporate governance
� Foreign ownership >> increases technology absorption: large
increases in production, productivity
� But R&D often declines post-restructuring!
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THE UNFINISHED
RESTRUCTURING AGENDA
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Benchmarking of case studies of 21 RDIs in Croatia,
Lithuania, Poland, The Russian Federation, Serbia, Turkey, and Ukraine. It reveals , inter alia:
� Confusion between public and private roles.
� Isolation from other innovation actors and market.
� Governance, culture, staffing and staff incentives reflect
another era.
� Weak scientific and commercial output.
The State of Post-Transition RDIs
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Stakeholder role in governance
Composition of the Board of Directors
Public RDIs in the region have little private sector
representation in governance
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Public RDI funding
Composition of income of public RDIs
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Technology
push
Market
pull
Private goods
Public goods
↑
Closure or
restructure to IV
GOGO,
Corporatization
or restructure to
II
GOGO, GOCO
or Foundation
Quadrant I Quadrant II
Quadrant III Quadrant IV
Privatization
or transition to
II
Classification of RDIs
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Restructuring Options for RDIs
Option
Relevance
to public
goods
RDIs
Effect on
market-
pull of
RDI
Effect on
RDI
governance
incentives
Political
feasibility
1. Corporatization /
autonomy Government-
owned
+ - - ++
2. Insider restructuring,
Government-owned + ± - +
3. Government-owned,
contractor operated
(GOCO)
+ + + -
4. Non-profit Foundation + - ± ++
5. Insider privatization - ± - +
6. Outsider privatization - + + -
7. Liquidation/closure - + + --
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Policy Implications
� Support collaboration of local researchers and
foreign investors
Acquire Technology from
Abroad
Connect Research to
Firms
Bring Innovations to
Market
� Ensure RDI governance, structure and funding
models focus R&D efforts to commercialization
� Rethink support instruments
� Sequence instruments to meet different gaps
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THANK YOU!
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