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1 IGA 412: The Geopolitics of Energy Professor Meghan L. O’Sullivan Harvard University’s Kennedy School Spring 2014 Syllabus as of 26 February 2014 INDEX: SECTION 1: Contact Information (page 2) SECTION 2: Course Description (page 3) SECTION 3: Course Policies, Assignments & Grading (page 4) SECTION 4: Class Schedule (page 7) SECTION 5: Required Texts & Reading List (page 16)

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IGA 412: The Geopolitics of Energy Professor Meghan L. O’Sullivan

Harvard University’s Kennedy School

Spring 2014

Syllabus as of 26 February 2014

INDEX:

SECTION 1: Contact Information (page 2)

SECTION 2: Course Description (page 3)

SECTION 3: Course Policies, Assignments & Grading (page 4)

SECTION 4: Class Schedule (page 7)

SECTION 5: Required Texts & Reading List (page 16)

2

SECTION 1: Contact Information

Faculty:

Professor Meghan O’Sullivan

Faculty Office: Littauer 329

Faculty Telephone: (617) 496-4308

Faculty Email: [email protected]

Faculty Assistant:

Leah Knowles

FA Office: Littauer 376A

FA Telephone: (617) 496-2737

FA Email:

[email protected]

Office Hours: Tuesdays from 2:15-4:00pm (starting

Jan 28th

). Please sign up on sheet

posted on door of L329

Course Assistant: Adam Papa

CA Email: [email protected]

Classes Times: Tues and Thurs from 11:40 AM – 1:00

PM in Littauer 230

Assignment submissions:

Share Folders and Files via Dropbox

with [email protected]

3

SECTION 2: Course Description

Energy has long been a major factor in the formulation of country strategies, the exercise of

national power, and in shaping international politics and security. As both concerns about

energy security and pressures to reduce carbon emissions intensify, countries are grappling to

situate their energy policies in the broader context of their grand strategies. Recent tensions

between Israel and Lebanon over recent natural gas findings in the Mediterranean Sea, China’s

seemingly relentless global quest for natural resources, and sanctions on oil exports from Iran

due to its nuclear pursuits demonstrate the nexus between international politics and energy needs.

Amidst these developments, a revolution in unconventional oil and gas is occurring in North

America, whose geopolitical implications are beginning be felt by countries from Europe to

Japan.

The Geopolitics of Energy will examine this intersection between international security, politics,

and energy issues. The course takes energy security as its launching point, exploring not only

how countries shape their grand strategies to meet their energy needs, but also how such actions

have implications for other countries and the international system. It looks at new technologies

and innovations – such as those making the extraction of shale gas and tight oil economical – and

how they are changing patterns of trade and could shape new alliances. Finally, while

acknowledging that oil and gas will be dominant for the next 20-40 years, the course considers

the consequences of a successful shift away from petroleum based economies to anticipate how a

new energy order will alter global politics in fundamental ways.

Four objectives define the course. Students can expect to 1) gain a greater understanding of the

energy security concerns of producer and consumer countries; 2) identify and analyze how

countries have altered their foreign policies, domestic efforts, and military strategies in light of

such concerns; 3) examine shifting trends in the energy realm, with a major focus on the

unconventional revolution; and 4) anticipate new patterns and structural shifts in the international

environment in light of these trends.

The course begins with an introductory section examining how energy has been a major

determinant of the international system in the past and exploring the current landscape in terms

of markets, governments, businesses, and international institutions. It then turns to examine

resource realities, including a deep dive into the unconventional revolution, the rise of resource

nationalism, and the nature of the resource curse. The course then examines a number of ways –

in the past, present, and possibly, in the future – how energy has been used as a means to project

power; we look at how OPEC, Russia, and others have used energy to advance broader national

security aims. The next section then explores the reverse: how countries and entities have used

their more conventional military, political, and economic power to protect and secure energy;

how should we view the U.S. presence in the Gulf or China’s actions in Africa? After a brief

examination of national security strategies and their geopolitical implications, the class

concludes with a section on new energy, asking how future developments in energy innovation

will affect the nature of politics and security.

4

SECTION 3: Course Policies, Assignments, and Grading

IGA 412 is a graduate level course appropriate for those with an interest in energy and

international security and strategy. There are no prerequisites for the course. The focus of the

readings, lectures, class conversations and projects will be more political and strategic than

technical in nature. Students must be able to attend all classes; absence from more than one class

may be reflected in a student’s grade. They should expect to arrive on time and be prepared to

actively participate in class. No laptops will be permitted in the classroom except for those of

students who are making presentations. Cell phone use is also prohibited during class.

Student evaluation will be based on a variety of inputs as outlined in the box below. There will

be no final exam.

Activity/Assignment Percentage

of Grade

Date due

General class participation: The class participation grade

involves several components:

Being part of the general class conversation; the

course schedule indicates specific questions that will

be addressed in class; students should be prepared to

discuss them and to be cold-called.

Making a special effort to offer the perspective of the

country which you “represent” (see below).

Participating in class debates as structured around the

“Take a Position” assignments.

20%

NA

Write three of eight proposed policy memos: Students

can choose which memos to write. The only limitation is

that you cannot write an individual memo on the country

you represent with your group (see below)

Memos should be 3 pages in length (more will not

be read, less is not recommended), single-spaced,

12pt times new roman font, with one-inch margins

Memos area due by 8am on the day the topic is

being discussed.

Memos should NOT have footnotes or formal

citations, but you should still give credit to a

particular source in the body of the memo if you are

borrowing directly from it; A list of references (and

charts/graphs) may be included at the end of the

memo and will not count against the page limit

30%

Various

days

throughout

the

semester,

indicated

below

5

Memo topics include:

Option 1: To Mexican President Pena Nieto about

successfully reforming Pemex, the Mexican national

oil company;

Option 2: To the leader of a country (either

Afghanistan, Peru, or Sierra Leone) facing new

energy finds and wanting to avoid the resource curse;

Option 3: To President Putin or Gazprom chief

Alexey Miller explaining the possible implications of

the unconventional revolution for Russia and how

Russia might respond to them;

Option 4: To the Iraqi National Security Advisor

giving him advice on how Baghdad might overcome

its dispute with the Kurds over oil revenues;

Option 5: To King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia about

whether you believe that the United States will

withdraw its forces from the Gulf in the wake of the

U.S. boom in unconventional oil and gas.

Option 6: To the U.S. national security advisor on

the implications of China’s quest for energy resources

abroad and implications for U.S. policy.

Option 7: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

Change (IPCC) has asked for your opinion on how

the boom in unconventional energy will affect

climate change.

Option 8: President Obama has asked for your advice

on steps the United States can take to better position

itself abroad, given its new energy prowess.

Please name your files according to the convention:

“Last Name, First Name – Policy Memo Option N”

where N is the option number; Please be sure to

include your name and the assignment name/number

in the body of your file as well.

Address three of six “Take a Position” propositions

delineated in the class schedule below. Students will be

asked to argue for or against the proposition by

submitting a view of no more than 350 words by 10 pm

before the day the topic is to be discussed in class.

20%

Various

days

throughout

the

semester

6

Take a position topics include:

Option 1: The revolution in unconventional energy in

the United States will not be replicated abroad

Option 2: There is no relationship between oil and

democracy.

Option 3: Consumers should be careful what they

wish for: a collapse of OPEC would not bring the

benefits commonly perceived.

Option 4: Consumers should be careful what they

wish for: a collapse of OPEC would not bring the

benefits commonly perceived.

Option 5: China’s rise and thirst for energy will

eventually lead to international military conflict.

Option 6: Renewable energies such as solar and wind

are subject to the same geopolitical complications as

oil and gas.

Please name your files according to the convention:

“Last Name, First Name – Take a Position N” where

N is the option number; Please be sure to include

your name and the assignment name/number in the

body of your file as well.

Country Specific Strategy for Geopolitics and Energy.

A 20-25 page strategy for one of 15 countries which each

student will select at the beginning of the course. The

strategy document will be a team effort, where the five

students “representing” the same country come together

to formulate the strategy. All members of the group will

get the same grade. The reports are due by 11:59pm on

April 17th

30%

April 17

Formatting requirements for assignments:

All papers should be single spaced, use Times New Roman 12pt font, and have

one inch margins.

Additional details on assignment submissions will be provided in a separate memo

7

SECTION 4: Class Schedule

Please note that the schedule below may change in small respects – in terms of the

sequence and possibly timing of certain classes – to accommodate guest speakers or

exciting opportunities as they arise. We will do our best to give you plenty of advance

notice.

Class Date Topic Main Questions

Assignment, If

Any

UNIT 1: ENERGY AS A DETERMINANT OF INTERNATIONAL

POLITICS AND SECURITY

1

Thursday

January

23

Shopping Day:

Introduction;

Overview of Course

and Requirements

What is the “geopolitics of

energy”? How has the idea of

energy security evolved?

2

Tuesday

January

28

Energy as a

Determinant of

International

Politics and Security

How have energy transitions

transpired in the past? What is a

strategic commodity? How has

energy, as a strategic commodity

shaped the international system in

the past? To what extent has

energy determined alliances, the

outcomes of wars, the pace of

development, and the rise and fall

of empires?

Be prepared to

discuss readings in

class.

3

Thursday

January

30

The Global Energy

Landscape:

Demand, Supply,

and Price

What are the factors influencing

global energy markets and the

major trends on today’s energy

landscape? What factors are

driving the fundamentals (demand,

supply, and price)? What are the

projections for demand and supply

– what challenges do they portend?

To what extent does supply and

demand depend on geopolitical

factors? What is the role of

governments in moving away from

oil and gas toward alternative

energies today and in the future?

8

UNIT 2: RESOURCE REALITIES

4

Tuesday

February

4

POLICY MEMO

Resource

Nationalism: The

Case of Latin

America

Guest Speaker

Professor Francisco

Monaldi

What has given rise to national oil

companies and what are the

implications for their control over

vast amounts of reserves? What

roles do NOCs often play in the

development of a country? How

have some countries sought to

reform their NOCs and introduce

greater competition? How does the

unconventional revolution in

energy create new incentives or

disincentives for resource

nationalism and NOCs?

Policy Memo

Option 1: What

advice would you,

as the energy

advisor to Mexican

President Pena

Nieto, give your

boss about

successfully

reforming Pemex,

the Mexican

national oil

company?

Thursday

February

6

REVIEW CLASS

5

Tuesday

February

11

The Unconventional

Revolution in Oil

and Gas

What were the innovations that

underpin the massive uptick in

production of shale gas and tight oil

in the United States? What was the

perhaps unique set of factors –

beyond technology and geology –

that led to the explosive growth in

production? How likely is it that

other countries will enjoy the same

benefits from their unconventional

resources? What are the

uncertainties surrounding the

trajectory of this revolution –

environmental, geological,

political?

Take a Position

Option 1: The

revolution in

unconventional

energy in the

United States will

not be replicated

abroad.

6

Thursday

February

13

The Unconventional

Revolution in Oil

and Gas, continued

What are the prospects of other

countries replicating the

unconventional revolution? What

are some of the geopolitical

implications for the United States?

9

7

Tuesday

February

18

Class Guest

President Felipe

Calderon, former

president of Mexico

What are the key elements of

Mexico’s new energy reforms?

What are the hopes and prospects?

What were the political deals that

had to be made to achieve them?

What remains to be done? What

are the biggest challenges to

implementation?

You can still

submit the policy

memo #1 (above)

regarding Mexican

energy reform

should you want.

8am deadline on

2/18.

Wed

February

19 5:00-

6:30 PM

Class Happy Hour Daedalus, Upstairs, 45 Mount

Auburn Street, Cambridge

Come join your

classmates, Adam,

and me in an

informal setting!

Thursday

February

20

10:10-

11:30am

Outside Class

Speaker Opportunity,

Faisod Room

Luay Al Khatteb, Director and

Founder of Iraq Energy Institute,

speaks on “Iraq, the Kurds, and

Turkey: Development of Energy

Resources under Political

Uncertainty.”

Please RSVP to

Amanda Propst,

HKS. The first 20

students to RSVP

will get priority.

8

Thursday

February

20

POLICY MEMO

The Resource Curse

What are the components of the

alleged “resource curse? How does

the discovery and exploitation of

resources affect the development of

a country’s political institutions? Is

the resource course inevitable?

What policy advice would you give

President Ernest Bai Koroma of

Sierra Leone, President Hamid

Karzai of Afghanistan, or President

Ollanta Humala of Peru – leaders of

three countries who recently

discovered potentially significant

amounts of natural resources?

Policy Memo

Option 2: What

advice would you

give one of the

presidents of

Sierra Leone,

Afghanistan, or

Peru about how to

develop his

country’s natural

resources?

Friday,

February

21

Neustadt

Classrm

RG-20

Outside Class

Speaker Opportunity

Maria Van der Hoeven, Executive

Director of the International Energy

Agency

First 15 students to

email Leah

Knowles will be

given priority.

10

9

Tuesday

February

25

Guest Drop In:

Deputy Secretary of

Energy of the United

States Dan Poneman

Resource

Endowments and

the Nature of the

State: what is the

relationship

between democracy

and oil?

How does the discovery and

exploitation of resources affect the

development of a country’s

political institutions? Will a

decline in the price of oil help or

hinder political reform? Have the

revolutions in the Arab world told

us anything about the resilience of

regimes reliant on oil revenues?

Take a Position

Option 2: There is

no relationship

between oil and

democracy.

UNIT 3: ENERGY AS A MEANS OF NATIONAL POWER: Using Energy

to Project Power

10

Thursday

February

27

Consumer Leverage

and the Use of

Sanctions: The Case

of Iran

What sort of leverage do consumers

of energy have? Under what

circumstances have consumer

countries been able to use energy as

a weapon? When are sanctions

most likely to succeed? What has

been the cost of sanctions on

energy producing states? How are

current U.S., UN, and international

sanctions on Iran affecting energy

interests?

Take a Position

Option 3:

Unconventional

revolution in oil

and gas opens the

possibility of the

more vigorous use

of sanctions.

Monday,

March 3

Belfer

Library

12:15pm-

1:45pm

Outside Class

Speaker Opportunity

Adnan Shihab Eldin, former

OPEC Secretary General

Sarah Donahue,

HKS, will accept

RSVPs once

announcement is

made

11 Tuesday

March 4 Russia and Europe

What is the energy relationship

between Russia and Europe? Is

European reliance on Russian

natural gas a threat to European

prosperity or security? If so, what

has been or could be done to

mitigate this threat and what is the

role of diplomacy in realizing such

outcomes? How, if at all, has the

unconventional revolution affected

Policy Memo

Option 3: Write a

memo to President

Putin or Gazprom

chief Alexey Miller

explaining the

possible

implications of the

unconventional

11

the European-Russian relationship

thus far? What might be the affect

of it in the future?

revolution for

Russia and how

Russia might

respond to them.

12 Thursday

March 6

Business and

Geopolitics: The

Southern Gas

Corridor - Al Cook, BP VP for

Shah Deniz

- Elshad Nasirov, Vice-

President of SOCAR

for Marketing and

Strategy

- Michael Hoffman,

External Affairs TAP

- Brenda Shaffer,

Visiting Professor

Georgetown Univ.

Several insiders come to speak to

us about the December 17, 2013

decision of the Shah Deniz

Consortium to develop the second

stage of the Shah Deniz gas field,

which opens the door to completing

the pipelines of the southern gas

corridor to deliver Caspian gas to

Europe while avoiding Russian

territory. How did geopolitics

affect this decision? What

methodology did the consortium

use to make this decision on a

mega-gas project?

13

Monday

March

10

4:10pm-

5:30pm

SPECIAL CLASS

at DIFFERENT

TIME to

ACCOMMODATE

GUEST SPEAKER

Guest Speaker:

Adam Sieminski

Administrator of the U.S. Energy

Information Agency (EIA)

14

Tuesday

March 11

PRODUCER CASE

STUDY

The Implications of

Iraq’s Energy

Strategy

Guest in Class:

Dr. Mowaffak al

Rubaie, former Nat’l

Security Advisor for

Iraq

How can Iraq translate its energy

wealth into domestic prosperity and

influence in the region? What is

the energy strategy of Iraq, a

strategic producer country, and

what are the geopolitical

implications of this strategy?

Policy Memo

Option 4: Write to

the Iraqi National

Security Advisor

giving him advice

on how Baghdad

might overcome its

dispute with the

Kurds over oil

revenues.

12

15 Thursday

March 13

GROUP EXERCISE

OPEC Today: How

to meet the

challenge of

unconventional

supply?

Students will be assigned a country

to represent and an “OPEC group”

of which to be part. On the day of

class, you will break into your

OPEC groups and seek to come up

with a common assessment and

strategy for dealing with the extra

supply generated from the

unconventional revolution, if one is

needed at all.

Post Exercise

Task: Groups

should collectively

submit an email to

Adam before end

of the day on

Wednesday

explaining the key

elements of your

approach. One

page is sufficient.

March 15-23: Spring Break

16 Tuesday

March 25

Cartelization:

OPEC and the

GECF

To what extent does the formation

of cartels produce strategic

advantage to its participants? How

has OPEC wielded political

influence over the decades – and

are the constraints on OPEC

internal or external? Is OPEC still

a force to be reckoned with today?

Should consumer countries hope

for OPEC’s collapse?

Take a Position

Option 4:

Consumers should

be careful what

they wish for: a

collapse of OPEC

would not bring

the benefits

commonly

perceived.

UNIT 4: ENERGY AS AN END TO FOREIGN POLICY AND SECURITY

STRATEGIES:

The Use of Power to Protect and Secure Energy

17 Thursday

March 27

POLICY MEMO

The United States in

the Gulf

What is the “true” cost of oil in the

United States? Why does the

United States maintain a military

presence in the Gulf? How valid

are claims that the 1991 and 2003

wars against Iraq were about oil?

How does the fact that the United

States will no longer need to import

Middle Eastern oil affect U.S.

foreign policy toward that region of

the world?

Policy Memo

Option 5: Write a

memo to King

Abdullah of Saudi

Arabia about

whether you, his

ambassador to

Washington DC,

believe that the

United States will

withdraw its forces

from the Gulf in

the wake of the

U.S. boom in

unconventional oil

and gas.

13

18 Tuesday

April 1

China’s Rise and

Thirst for Energy:

Is great power

conflict inevitable?

What are the connections between

energy and politics in China? What

are the projections for growth in

Chinese energy demand and how does

China expect to meet these needs?

What implications does this quest for

energy have for Chinese foreign policy

and, more specifically, how might it

create friction with the United States or

China’s more immediate neighbors?

How might the development of

China’s unconventional energy

resources change this picture?

Take a Position

Option 5: China’s

rise and thirst for

energy will

eventually lead to

international

military conflict.

19

Thursday

April 3

POLICY MEMO

Resource

Mercantilism;

China in Africa

What forms does energy

mercantilism take? How has China

sought to secure the energy it needs

to develop? What are the

implications of China’s strategy for

Africa? For the United States?

What new power alliances could or

are emerging as a result of the trend

toward energy mercantilism?

Policy Memo

Option 6: Write a

memo to the U.S.

national security

advisor on the

implications of

China’s quest for

energy resources

abroad and

implications for

U.S. policy. (See

case prompt

distributed in

class.)

20 Tuesday

April 8

CASE EXERCISE

The Geopolitical

Implications of

Pakistan’s National

Energy Strategy

Students will be assigned roles and

groups representing key members

of the Pakistani cabinet. They will

be provided with a simple computer

model, which will facilitate group

discussion regarding what is the

link between energy and security in

Pakistan? What strategy should

Pakistan adopt to address its

immediate and long term energy

needs? What choices does Pakistan

Post Exercise

Task: Groups

should collectively

submit an email to

Adam before end

of the day on

Wednesday

explaining the

rationale behind

their choices for

14

have in seeking to address its

energy challenges – and what are

the various geopolitical

implications of these choices?

Pakistan. One

page is sufficient.

UNIT 5: ALTERNATIVE, RENEWABLE, AND NEW ENERGY AND

GEOPOLITICS

21

Thursday

April 10

Geopolitical

Consequences of a

Shift to Nuclear

Power

Guest Speaker:

Professor Matt Bunn,

Director of Managing

the Atom Program

What would it take to make nuclear

power more viable as an alternative

to fossil fuels? What would be the

geopolitical repercussions if these

obstacles were surmounted? Is

nuclear power a viable option in the

Middle East and North Africa?

22 Tuesday

April 15

CASE STUDY

Geopolitical

Consequences of

Solar Energy: The

Case of DESERTEC

What is the potential for solar in

solving some of the energy

dilemmas of Europe and North

Africa? What geopolitical issues

come into play when one considers

the development and export of

solar-powered electricity? Are

their similarities and differences

than the issues associated with oil

and gas? What obstacles need to be

surmounted for DESERTEC to be

realized?

Take a Position

Option 6:

Renewable

energies such as

solar and wind are

subject to the same

geopolitical

complications as

oil and gas.

23 Thursday

April 17

Geo-Engineering

and International

Institutions

Guest Speaker:

Professor David

Keith

What happens if the world fails to

meet the challenge of changing its

behavior sufficiently to prevent

potentially catastrophic climate

change? Does science have any

other options to offer? What are

some of the politically complicated

realities around geo-engineering?

Are current international

institutions well suited to managing

its use?

15

24 Tuesday

April 22

National Security,

the Unconventional

Revolution, and

Climate Change

What are the implications of

climate change for national

security? What are the direct and

indirect mechanisms through which

climate change can affect energy

security? To what extent are efforts

to manage climate change and

energy security complementary or

in conflict?

Policy Memo

Option 7: The

Intergovernmental

Panel on Climate

Change (IPCC)

has asked for your

opinion on how the

boom in

unconventional

energy will affect

climate change.

UNIT 6: CONCLUSIONS AND FINAL THOUGHTS

25 Thursday

April 24

Selected

Presentations of

Country Strategies

for Geopolitics and

Energy

26 Tuesday

April 29

Selected

Presentations of

Country Strategies

for Geopolitics and

Energy

27 Thursday

May 1

WRAP UP and

U.S. Energy

Strategy and

Foreign Policy in

Light of the

Unconventional

Revolution

How can the United States turn its

newfound energy fortunes into

tangible advantages in the

international realm? How has the

world changed on account of the

unconventional revolution – either

to its advantage or disadvantage?

How might the United States

proactively develop a strategy that

blends energy and foreign policy

and national security?

Policy Memo

Option 8: Write a

Memo to President

Obama with your

advice on steps the

United States can

take to better

position itself

abroad, given its

new energy

prowess.

16

SECTION 5: Required Texts and Reading List Required Texts:

Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World,

(New York: Penguin Press), 2011.

David L. Goldwyn and Jan H. Kalicki (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World

in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013).

Andreas Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons,

2013). – Harvard students can access the e-book with their Harvard ID and pin at

http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:hul.ebook:WOB_9781118326275 ; Cross-registrants can

access the e-book through guest computers in the HKS Library (and MIT cross-

registrants should also be able to access the e-book through their MIT online catalogue).

Please consult an HKS Librarian for additional guidance.

Optional Texts:

Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power (Free Press), 2008.

Copies of the required books and all of the readings not available online will be held on reserve

in the HKS Library.

UNIT 1: ENERGY AS A DETERMINANT OF THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM

Class 1: Thursday January 23

Topic: Shopping Day

Required:

(2 pages) “From the Editor: Energy Geopolitics in the 21st Century,” Journal of Energy

Security, April 2012.

(http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=350:energy-

geopolitics-in-the-21st-century&catid=122:fromtheditor&Itemid=389).

(17 pages) Gal Luft and Anne Korin, “Energy Security: In the Eyes of the Beholder,” in

Energy Security Challenges for the 21st Century (Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger Security

International), 2009, Chapter 1 - pp. 1-17.

Class 2: Tuesday, January 28

Topic: Energy as a Determinant of the International System

17

Required:

Be sure to have read the required readings from January 23 (above).

(14 pages) Meghan O’Sullivan, “The Entanglement of Energy, Grand Strategy, and

International Security,” in Andreas Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy

Policy (John Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 2, pp. 30-43.

(17 pages) Daniel Yergin, “Energy Security and Markets,” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L.

Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns

Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 2, pp. 69-85.

Optional:

Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, 2008, Excerpt

from Chapter 8 - pp. 134-138; Exerpts from Chapters 16-19 - pp. 310-370; Excerpts from

Chapter 23 - pp. 432-460; Excerpt from Chapter 27 - pp. 524-526; Excerpt from Chapter

21 - pp. 404-408.

Yegor Gaidor, Collapse of an Empire: Lessons for Modern Russia (Washington DC:

Brookings Institution Press), 2007.

Class 3: Thursday January 30

Topic: The Global Energy Landscape: Demand, Supply, and Price

Required:

(43 pages) Richard G. Newell and Stuart Iler, “The Global Energy Outlook” in Energy

and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press,

2013), Chapter 2, pp. 25-68.

(8 pages) International Energy Agency, “Executive Summary,” World Energy Outlook

2013, OECD, 2013, pp. 23-29. (PDF of whole report on course page)

Optional:

(5 pages) BP Statistical Review of World Energy, JUN-2013, pp. 1-5.

http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/statistical-

review/statistical_review_of_world_energy_2013.pdf

OPEC, World Oil Outlook 2013, Executive Summary. December 2013.

http://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/Execu

tive_Summary_WOO2013.pdf

(10 page synopsis) David MacKay, Sustainable Energy – Without the Hot Air,

18

(Cambridge, UK: UIT Publishers), 2009. http://www.withouthotair.com/synopsis10.pdf

(17 pages) Christopher Allsopp and Bassam Fattouh “The Oil Market: Context, Selected

Features, and Implications,” in Andreas Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy

Policy (John Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 5 – pp. 81-97.

(14 pages) Daniel Yergin, “Chapter 11: Is the World Running Out of Oil?” The Quest:

Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World, (New York: Penguin Press),

2011, pp. 227-241.

(13 pages) Christof Ruehl, “Global Energy After the Crisis,” Foreign Affairs,

March/April 2010, pp. 63-75.

http://www.bp.com/liveassets/bp_internet/trinidad_and_tobago/STAGING/home_assets/c

hristof-ruehl-global-energy-after-crisis.pdf

World Economic Forum, The Future of Oil: Meeting the Challenges, Spring 2007, pp.

11-27. (16 pages) http://www.weforum.org/pdf/ip/energy/EnergyVisionUpdate2007-

Spring%20-%20Final.pdf

UNIT 2: RESOURCE REALITIES

Class 4: Thursday February 4

Topic: Resource Nationalism: The Case of Latin America

Speaker: Professor Francisco Monaldi

Assignment: Memo Option 1, 8am the day of class

Required:

Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, 2008, pp. 212-216;

pp. 254-262. (12 pages)

(14 pages) Thomas F. McLarty, “Latin America” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L.

Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns

Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 16 – pp. 344-357.

(23 pages) Noel Maurer and Aldo Musacchio, Pemex (A): In a Free Fall? HBS Case 9-

713-051, 17 January 2013.

(4 pages) Randal C. Archibold, “Mexico’s Pride, Oil, May Be Opened to Outsiders,” New

York Times, 12-DEC-2013.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/13/world/americas/mexico-

oil.html?hpw&rref=business

Optional:

19

(8 pages) Charles McPherson, “National Oil Companies: Ensuring Benefits and Avoiding

Systematic Risks,“ in Andreas Goldthau (ed.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy

(John Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 9, pp. 146-153.

(6 pages) “Resource Nationalism Update,” EY’s Global Mining & Metals Center, OCT-

2013

http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-M-and-M-Resource-nationalism-

update-October-2013/$FILE/EY-M-and-M-Resource-nationalism-update-October-

2013.pdf

(7 pages) “Supermajordämmerung: The Day of the Huge Integrated International Oil

Company is Drawing to a Close,” The Economist, 03-AUG-2013

http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21582522-day-huge-integrated-international-

oil-company-drawing

o (9 pages) “Oil and Gas Reality Check 2013: A Look at the Top Issues Facing the Oil and

Gas Sector,” Deloitte, 2013, pp. 14-22

http://www.deloitte.com/assets/Dcom-

BruneiDarussalam/Local%20Assets/Documents/oil_gas_reality_check_2013.pdf

(16 pages) Silvano Tordo, Brandon S. Tracy, and Noora Arfaa, “National Oil Companies

and Value Creation,” World Bank Working Paper, No. 218, 2011 pp. xi-xiv, 1-12

http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTOGMC/Resources/9780821388310.pdf

(2 pages) David Gardner, “Not All Forms of Resource Nationalism Are Alike,” Financial

Times, 18-AUG-2013.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/62be6d98-05df-11e3-ad01-00144feab7de.html

Tuesday, February 6

Topic: Optional review class (session moved to march 10th to accommodate a guest

speaker)

Class 5: Tuesday, February 11

Topic: The Unconventional Revolution in Oil and Gas: Opportunities and Constraints

Assignment: Take a Position Option 1, 10pm the night before class

Required:

(20 pages) Daniel Yergin, “Chapter 12: Unconventional,” The Quest: Energy, Security,

and the Remaking of the Modern World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, pp. 242-262.

(23 pages) Leonard Maugeri, The Unprecedented Upsurge of Oil Production Capacity

and What It Means for the World, Geopolitics of Energy Discussion Paper, June 2012.

20

(Pages 41-64 only) http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/files/Oil-

%20The%20Next%20Revolution.pdf

(13 pages) “Natural Gas Going Global? Potential and Pitfalls,” in Andreas Goldthau

(ed.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 6 –

pp. 98-111.

Optional:

(17 pages) David Victor “The Gas Promise,” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn

(eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins

University Press, 2013), Chapter 3 – pp. 88-104.

(5 pages) Jozef Badida, “A Golden Age of Natural Gas in Europe?” Journal of Energy

Security, April 2013

http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=440:a-golden-

age-of-natural-gas-in-europe&catid=135:issue-content&Itemid=419

(15 pages) Fan Gao, “Will There Be a Shale Gas Revolution in China by 2020?” Oxford

Institute For Energy Studies, NG 61, APR-2012, pp. 22-36.

http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/NG-61.pdf

(23 pages) Jonas Gratz, “Unconventional Resources: The Shifting Geographies and

Geopolitics of Energy,” Strategic Trends 2012, (Zurich: Center for Security Studies),

2012, pp. 79-102.

(9 pages) Stephen P.A. Brown, “The Shale Gas and Tight Oil Boom: U.S. States’

Economic Gains and Vulnerabilities,” Council on Foreign Relations, OCT-2013.

http://www.cfr.org/united-states/shale-gas-tight-oil-boom-us-states-economic-gains-

vulnerabilities/p31568

(5 pages) Maximlian Kuhn and Frank Umbach, “The Geoeconomic and Geopolitical

Implications of Unconventional Gas in Europe,” Journal of Energy Security, August

2011. (http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=320:the-

geoeconomic-and-geopolitical-implications-of-unconventional-gas-in-

europe&catid=118:content&Itemid=376).

(16 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern

World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, Chapter 16, “The Natural Gas Revolution,” pp.

325-341.

(12 pages) John Deutch, “The Good News About Gas”, Foreign Affairs 2011. http://ezp-

prod1.hul.harvard.edu/login?url=http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db

=aph&AN=56625795&site=ehost-live&scope=site (follow the link and click where it

says “HTML Full Text” on the left side of the page)

21

(13 pages) Secretary of Energy Advisory Board, Shale Gas Production Subcommittee

Second Ninety Day Report, U.S. Department of Energy¸18 November 2011, pp. 1-10, 16-

18. http://www.shalegas.energy.gov/resources/111811_final_report.pdf

Class 6: Thursday, February 13

Topic: The Unconventional Revolution in Oil and Gas: Prospects for Going Global

Required:

Review readings from Class 5 on Tuesday February 11

Class 7: Tuesday, February 18

Topic: Mexican Energy Reform

Speaker: Felipe Calderon, former President of Mexico

Assignment: Memo Option 1 (extended deadline)

Required:

Review readings from Class 4 on Thursday February 4

Class 8: Thursday, February 20

Topic: The Resource Curse

Speaker: Daniel Yergin, author of The Prize and The Quest

Assignment: Memo Option 2, due 8am the day of class

Required:

(17 pages) Charles McPherson, “Governance, Transparency, and Sustainable

Development” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security:

Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 19,

pp. 444-460.

(21 pages) Andrew Bauer and Juan Carlos Quiroz, “Resource Governance,” in Andreas

Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons, 2013),

Chapter 15 – pp. 244-264

(13 pages) Diamond, Larry; Mosbacher, Jack. “Petroleum to the People,” Foreign

Affairs. Sep/Oct2013, Vol. 92 Issue 5, pp. 86-98.

http://media.hoover.org/sites/default/files/documents/diamond_mosbacher_latest3.pdf

(7 pages) James M. Roberts and John A. Robinson, “Property Rights Can Solve the

Resource Curse,” Index of Economic Freedom (2013), Chapter 5.

http://www.heritage.org/index/book/chapter-5

22

Watch: PBS News Hour, “Valuable Mineral Resources Found in Afghanistan,” 14 June

2010, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQNQfaTNK14

Watch: In Focus, “Peru’s Petroleum Play,”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Opg7KsZUEmk&playnext=1&list=PLBCC2E10AC5

9021A3&feature=results_video

Optional:

(21 pages) Richard Dobbs, et al, “Reverse the Curse: Maximizing the Potential of

Resource-Driven Economies,” McKinsey Global Institute, December 2013, pp. 1-21

http://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/dotcom/Insights/Energy%20Resources%2

0Materials/Reverse%20the%20curse%20Maximizing%20the%20potential%20of%20res

ource%20driven%20economies/MGI%20Reverse%20the%20curse_Full%20report_Dec

%202013.ashx

(17 pages) Mark Delorey, Patricia Gude, Julia Haggerty, and Ray Rasker, “Oil and Gas

Extraction as an Economic Development Strategy in the American West: A Longitudinal

Performance Analysis, 1980-2011” In review in the Journal of Energy Economics, 2013.

http://headwaterseconomics.org/wphw/wp-

content/uploads/OilAndGasSpecialization_Manuscript_2013.pdf

(10 pages) Paul Stevens and Evelyn Dietsche, “Resource Curse: An Analysis of Causes,

Experiences and Possible Ways Forward,” Energy Policy 2008.

http://www.sciencedirect.com.ezp-

prod1.hul.harvard.edu/science/article/pii/S030142150700434X

(23 pages) Paul Segal, “How to Spend It: Resource Wealth and the Distribution of

Resources Rents,” Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, May 2012, pp. 1-23.

http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/SP_25.pdf

Class 9: Tuesday, February 25

Topic: Resource Endowments & the Nature of the State

Speaker: US Deputy Secretary of Energy, Dan Poneman

Assignment: Take a Position Option 2, due 10pm the night before class

Required:

(15 pages) Thomas L. Friedman, “The First Law of Petropolitics,” Foreign Policy, 19-

NOV-2013.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2006/04/25/the_first_law_of_petropolitics

(20 pages) Tarzi, Shah M., and Nathan Schackow. "Oil And Political Freedom In Third

World Petro States: Do Oil Prices and Dependence On Petroleum Exports Foster

Authoritarianism?" Journal Of Third World Studies 29, no. 2 (Fall 2012): 231-250

23

(6 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern

World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, Excerpt of Chapter 14 - pp. 291-296 (“The

Social Foundations” heading until “Iraq’s Potential” heading).

(6 pages) Paul D. Miller, “The Fading Arab Oil Empire,” The National Interest,

July/August 2012, pp. 38-43.

Optional:

(33 pages) F. Gregory Gause III, “Kings For All Seasons: How the Middle East’s

Monarchies Survived the Arab Spring,” Brookings Doha Center,

http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2013/09/24%20resilience%20ar

ab%20monarchies%20gause/resilience%20arab%20monarchies_english.pdf

(3 pages) Vali Nasr, “Business, Not as Usual,” International Monetary Fund, Finance &

Development, Vol. 50, MAR-2013

https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2013/03/point.htm

(25 pages) Michael Ross, “The Political Economy of the Resource Curse,” World

Politics, vol. 51, No. 2, January 1999, pp. 297-322. http://www.jstor.org.ezp-

prod1.hul.harvard.edu/stable/pdfplus/25054077.pdf

(6 pages) Michael L. Ross, “Will oil drown the Arab spring?” Foreign Affairs, Sep/Oct

2011, Vol. 90 Issue 5, pp. 2-7. http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68200/michael-l-

ross/will-oil-drown-the-arab-spring

(28 pages) Sarah M. Brooks and Marcus Kurtz, “Oil and Democracy: Endogenous

Natural Resources and the Political ‘Resource Curse’ “Presentation at the 2012 Annual

Meetings of the American Political Science Association, SEP-2012.

http://www.yale.edu/leitner/resources/papers/Brooks_Kurtz_2013_Oil%20and%20Demo

cracy.pdf

(7 pages) Robert Mabro, Helima Croft, Amrita Sen, Hakim Darbouche, and John

Hamilton, “Political Events in the Middle East and their Impact on Energy,” Oxford

Energy Forum, May 2011, pp. 3-11. http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-

content/uploads/2011/05/OEF-84.pdf

UNIT 3: ENERGY AS A MEANS OF NATIONAL POWER: Using Energy to Project

Power

Class 10: Thursday, February 27

Topic: Consumer Leverage and the Use of Sanctions: The Case of Iran

Assignment: Take a Position Option 3, due 8am before class

24

Required:

(8 pages) Meghan L. O’Sullivan, Shrewd Sanctions: Statecraft and State Sponsors of

Terrorism (Brookings Institution Press), 2003 Excerpt from Chapter 2 - pp. 24-32.

(26 pages) David Ramin Jalilvand, “Iran’s Gas Exports: Can Past Failure Become Future

Success?” Oxford Institute For Energy Studies, NG 78, JUN-2013.

http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/NG-78.pdf

(16 pages) Kenneth Katzman, “Iran Sanctions,” Congressional Research Service, 11-

OCT-2013, pp. 49-64. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS20871.pdf

(6 pages) Mehmet Kinaci, “Tightening Oil Sanctions on Iran,” Journal of Energy

Security, 7 August 2012.

(http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=372:tightening-

oil-sanctions-on-iran&catid=128:issue-content&Itemid=402).

Optional:

(20 pages) Anthony H. Cordesman, “US and Iranian Strategic Competition: Sanctions,

Energy, Arms Control, and Regime Change,” Center for Strategic & International

Studies, 19-APR-2013, Executive Summary pp. i-xix.

http://csis.org/files/publication/120124_Iran_Sanctions.pdf

(2 pages) Uri Berliner, “Crippled By Sanctions, Iran’s Economy Key in Nuclear Deal,”

NPR, 25-NOV-2013

http://www.npr.org/2013/11/25/247077050/crippled-by-sanctions-irans-economy-key-in-

nuclear-deal

(1 page) “Sanctions Reduced Iran’s Oil Exports and Revenues in 2012,” US Energy

Information Administration, 26-APR-2013

http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=11011

(6 pages) “The Lengthening List of Iran Sanctions,” Council on Foreign Relations, 14-

OCT-2013. http://www.cfr.org/iran/lengthening-list-iran-sanctions/p20258#

(12 pages) Daniel Drezner, “Sanctions Sometimes Smart: Targeted Sanctions in Theory

and Practice,” International Studies Review, Vol.13, Issue 1, 2011, pp. 96-108.

(8 pages) Robert McNally, “Managing Oil Market Disruption in a Confrontation with

Iran,” Council on Foreign Relations Energy Brief, January 2012, pp. 1-8.

http://www.cfr.org/iran/managing-oil-market-disruption-confrontation-iran/p27171

(16 pages) Suzanne Maloney, “Sanctioning Iran: If Only It Were So Simple,” The

Washington Quarterly, January 2010, pp. 131-147. (16 pages)

25

http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Files/rc/articles/2010/01_iran_sanctions_maloney/01

_iran_sanctions_maloney.pdf

Class 11: Tuesday, March 4

Topic: Russia and Europe

Assignment: Memo Option 3, due 8am the day of class

Required:

(15 pages) Pierre Noel, “European Gas Supply Security: Unfinished Business” in Jan H.

Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in

Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 7 – pp. 169-183.

(14 pages) Gustafson, Thane. “Putin’s Petroleum Problem,” Foreign Affairs.

Nov/Dec2012, Vol. 91 Issue 6, pp. 83-96.

(29 pages) Michael Ratners, et al, “Europe’s Energy Security: Options and Challenges to

Natural Gas Supply Diversification,” Congressional Research Service, 20-AUG-2013.

http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R42405.pdf

(5 pages) Keith Johnson, “Putin’s Gas Gambit Backfires,” Foreign Policy, 12-DEC-2013

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/12/12/putins_gas_gambit_backfires

Optional:

(10 pages) James Henderson, “Tight Oil Developments in Russia,” Oxford Institute for

Energy Studies, WPM 52, OCT-2013, pp. 1-7, 20-21

http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/WPM-52.pdf

(14 pages) James Henderson and Patrick Heather, “Lessons from the February 2012

European Gas “Crisis,” Oxford Institute for Energy Studies: Energy Comment, April

2012, pp. 1-14. http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-

content/uploads/2012/04/Lessons-from-the-February-2012-gas-crisis.pdf

(17 pages) Ariel Cohen, “Russia: The Flawed Energy Superpower,” in Gal Luft and Anne

Korin (eds.), Energy Security Challenges for the 21st Century, (Greenwood Publishing

Group, 2009), Chapter 7 - pp. 91-108.

(18 pages) Ariel Cohen, “Energy Security in the Caspian Basin,” in Gal Luft and Anne

Korin (eds.), Energy Security Challenges for the 21st Century, (Greenwood Publishing

Group, 2009), Chapter 8 - pp. 109-127.

(15 pages) Kevin Rosner, “The European Union: On Energy, Disunity,” in Gal Luft and

Anne Korin (eds.), Energy Security Challenges for the 21st Century, (Greenwood

Publishing Group, 2009), Chapter 11 - pp. 160-175.

26

Class 12: Thursday, March 6

Topic: Business and Geopolitics: The Southern Gas Corridor

Speaker: Multiple Guests

Required:

Brenda Shaffer, “Caspian energy phase II: Beyond 2005,” Energy Policy, no. 38 (2010),

pp. 7209–7215. (Posted on Course Web Page).

Brenda Shaffer, Natural gas supply stability and foreign policy, Energy Policy, August

2012. (Posted on Course Web Page).

Brenda Shaffer, “Gas Politics After Ukraine, Azerbaijan, Shah Deniz, and Europe's Newest

Energy Partner,” Foreign Policy, 17 December 2013.

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/140569/brenda-shaffer/gas-politics-after-ukraine

Class 13: Thursday, March 10

Topic: Special Class Session

Speaker: Adam Sieminski, Administrator of the US Energy Information Agency (EIA)

Required:

If you did not read Richard G. Newell and Stuart Iler, “The Global Energy Outlook” in

Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University

Press, 2013), Chapter 2, pp. 25-68, please go back and do so.

Check out the EIA website for their latest reports and assessments. http://www.eia.gov/

Class 14: Thursday, March 11

Topic: The Geopolitical Implications of Iraq’s National Energy Strategy, a Case Study

Speaker: Dr. Mowaffak al Rubaie, former Nat’l Security Advisor for Iraq

Assignment: Memo Option 4: Write a Memo to the Iraqi National Security Advisor giving

him advice on how Baghdad might overcome its dispute with the Kurds over oil revenues.

Required:

(38 pages) Sean Kane, “Iraq’s Oil Politics: Where Agreement Might Be Found,”U.S.

Institute of Peace, 2010.http://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/iraq_oil_pw64.pdf

(14 pages) J. Robinson West and Raad Alkadiri, “Iraq, Iran, and the Gulf Region,” in Jan

H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in

Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 10.

27

(22 pages) “Iraq Energy Outlook,” International Energy Agency, 2012, pp. 107-128

http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WEO_2012_Iraq_Energy_O

utlookFINAL.pdf

Those writing the memo will want to consult IraqOilReport and Al Monitor Iraq Pulse for

up to date information.

Optional:

(38 pages) CASE Meghan L. O’Sullivan, “Iraq: Translating Underground Wealth Into

Power and Prosperity” (Geopolitics of Energy Case #1), Harvard Kennedy School of

Government, 2011, (on course page).

(2 pages) “Iraq Embraces China’s growing Oil Dominance,” Reuters, 30-OCT-2013

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/30/iraq-oil-china-idUSL5N0IK25420131030

(3 pages) Ben Van Heuvelen, “Iraq’s Kurdish Region Pursues Ties with Turkey – for

Energy Revenue and Independence,” Washington Post, 09-NOV-2013

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/iraqs-kurdish-region-pursues-ties-

with-turkey--for-oil-and-independence/2013/11/09/ffae210a-41a5-11e3-8b74-

d89d714ca4dd_story.html

(1 page) Alex Lawler and Peg Mackey, “Iran, Iraq Put OPEC on Notice of Big Oil

Increases,” Reuters, 03-DEC-2013

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/03/opec-iran-idUSL5N0JI32X20131203

(54 pages) Robert Ebel, Geopolitics and Energy in Iraq: Where Politics Rule, CSIS

Report, 5 August 2010, pp. 1-54.

http://csis.org/files/publication/I00730_Ebel_IraqGeopolitics_Web.pdf

Class 15: Thursday, March 13

Topic: OPEC Today: How to meet the challenge of unconventional supply?

Assignment: Post-exercise task

Required:

(12 pages) Dag Harald Claes, “Cooperation and Conflict in Oil and Gas Markets,” in

Andreas Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons,

2013), Chapter 11 – pp. 176-187.

(10 pages) Amy Myers Jaffe and Ed Morse, “The End of OPEC,” Foreign Policy, 16-

OCT-2013.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/10/16/the_end_of_opec_america_energy_oil

28

(4 pages) Ajay Makan and Neil Hume, “Oil Supply: The Cartel’s Challenge,” Financial

Times, 01-DEC-2013.

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/bc23bc7a-581a-11e3-82fc-00144feabdc0.html

(5 pages) Gal Luft, “To Drill or Not to Drill,” Foreign Policy, 04-JUN-2013.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/05/27/to_drill_or_not_to_drill_saudi_arabia_

united_states_oil

(2 pages) Stephen Voss, Nayla Razzouk and Maher Chmaytelli, “OPEC to Study US

Shale Oil Bonanza as Export Concern Grows,” Bloomberg, 31-MAY-2013.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-31/opec-to-study-u-s-shale-oil-bonanza-as-

exporter-concern-rises.html

(2 pages) Andrew Torchia, “Mideast Money – Shale Oil May Shift Economic Policies in

Nervous Gulf,” Reuters, 06-MAR-2013.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/06/gulf-economy-shale-

idUSL6N0BMCAL20130306

(2 pages) Selina Williams, “BP Says North America Shale Oil Boom Will Pressure

OPEC,” Wall Street Journal, 16-JAN-2013.

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424127887323468604578245650412849768

Optional:

(4 pages) Anna Shiryaevskaya and Jake Rudnitsky, “Gas Exporter Defend Pricing as

Courts Reject Link With Oil,” Bloomberg, 1-JUL-2013.

(3 pages) Gal Luft, “Fifty Years to OPEC: Time to Break the Oil Cartel,” Journal of

Energy Security, September 2010,

(http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=263:fifty-

years-to-opec-time-to-break-the-oil-

cartel&catid=110:energysecuritycontent&Itemid=366).

(4 pages) Nancy Brune, “50 Years Later: OPEC’s Continuing Threat to American

Security,” Journal of Energy Security, September 2010.

(http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=263:fifty-

years-to-opec-time-to-break-the-oil-

cartel&catid=110:energysecuritycontent&Itemid=366)

March 15-23: Spring Break

Class 16: Tuesday, March 25

Topic: Cartelization: OPEC and the GECF

Assignment: Take a Position Option 4, due 8am before class

29

Required:

(16 pages) Amy Myers Jaffe and Edward L. Morse, “OPEC: Can the Cartel Survive

Another 50 Years” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security:

Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 5 –

pp. 121-136.

(7 pages) Chakib Khelil, “Commentary on Part I” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L.

Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns

Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 5 – pp. 157-163.

(20 pages) Bassam Fattouh and Lavan Mahadeva, “OPEC: What Difference Has It

Made?” Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, MEP 3, JAN-2013.

http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/MEP-3.pdf

(1 page) Alexander Kolyandr, “Putin: No Plans to Create Gas Cartel,” Wall Street

Journal, 1-JUL-2013

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130701-706596.html

(2 pages) Tyler Crowe, “Is Vladimir Putin Building a New OPEC?” Daily Finance, 9-

JUL-2013

http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/07/09/is-vladimir-putin-building-a-new-opec/

Optional:

(76 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, 2008,

Chapter 24 - pp. 461-480; Excerpts from Chapters 25-27 - pp. 498-511; Chapter 29 - pp.

570-594; Chapter 33 - pp. 658-680, 726-749.

(63 pages) Anna Rubino, Queen of the Oil Club: The Intrepid Wanda Jablonski and the

Power of Information (Boston: Beacon Press), 2008, pp. 135-198.

UNIT 4: ENERGY AS AN END TO FOREIGN POLICY AND SECURITY

STRATEGIES:

The Use of Power to Protect and Secure Energy

Class 17: Thursday, March 27

Topic: The United States in the Gulf

Assignment: Policy Memo Option 5

Required:

(12 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power, chapter

37, “Crisis in the Gulf,” Chapter 37 - pp. 750-762.

30

(25 pages) Charles L. Glaser, “How Oil Influences U.S. National Security,” International

Security, Fall 2013, Vol. 38, No. 2, Pages 112-146.

(13 pages) Michael O’Hanlon, “How Much Does the United States Spend Protecting

Persian Gulf Oil?,” in Carlos Pascual and Evie Zambetakis (eds), Energy Security:

Economics, Politics, Strategies and Implications, (Washington DC: Brookings, 2010),

Chapter 3 - pp. 59-72.

(7 pages) Anthony H. Cordesman, “American Strategy and US ‘Energy Independence’”

Center for Strategic and International Studies, 21-OCT-2013.

http://csis.org/files/publication/131021_AmericanStrat_EnergyIndependence.pdf

(2 pages) Rachel Bronson, “Review: America’s Oil Wars,” International Journal of

Middle East Studies, Vol. 38, No. 4 (Nov., 2006), pp. 617-618.

Optional:

(3 pages) Anna Nadgrodkiewiz, “Review: America’s Appetite for Oil: The Past, Present,

and a Bumpy Road Ahead,” The Review of Politics, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 538-541.

(2 pages) Jon B. Altman, “What should the Middle East Expect from the United States

and its Allies?” Center for Strategic and International Studies, Global Forecast 2014

http://csis.org/files/publication/131109_gf14_alterman.pdf

(4 pages) Loren Thompson, “What Happens When America No Longer Needs Middle

East Oil?” Forbes. 3-DEC-2012.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2012/12/03/what-happens-when-america-no-

longer-needs-middle-east-oil/

(4 pages) Steve Coll, Private Empire: Exxon Mobil and American Power, (London:

Penguin Books) 2012, First 4 pages of Chapter 11 - pp. 227-230.

(12 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern

World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, First 12 pages from Chapter 7 - pp. 141-153.

(4 pages) Steven Mufson, “A Crude Case for War?” The Washington Post, 16 March

2008. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-

dyn/content/article/2008/03/14/AR2008031403677_pf.html

(11 pages) Michael T. Klare. "Petroleum Anxiety and militarization," in Daniel Moran

and James Russell (eds.), Energy Security and Global Politics: the Militarization of

Resource Management, (New York: Routledge, 2009), Excerpt from Chapter 2 - pp. 46-

57.

31

(15 pages) Lawrence Korb and Ian Moss, Moving Beyond the Carter Doctrine:

Rethinking the U.S. Military Presence in the Persian Gulf, The Century Foundation,

2008, pp. 3-17. http://tcf.org/events/pdfs/ev232/korb.pdf/++atfield++file

Class 18: Tuesday, April 1

Topic: China’s Rise and Thirst for Energy: Is great power conflict inevitable?

Assignment: Take a Position Option 5

Required:

(19 pages) Daniel Yergin, “Chapter 9: China’s Rise” The Quest: Energy, Security, and

the Remaking of the Modern World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, pp. 189-208.

(11 pages) Christopher J. Fettweis, “No Blood for Oil: Why Resource Wars Are

Obsolete,” in Gal Luft and Anne Korin (eds.), Energy Security Challenges for the 21st

Century (Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger Security International), 2009, Chapter 5 - pp. 66-

77.

(21 pages) Michael Klare, “There Will Be Blood: Political Violence, Regional Warfare,

and the Risk of Great Power Conflict,” in Gal Luft and Anne Korin (eds.), Energy

Security Challenges for the 21st Century (Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger Security

International), 2009, Chapter 4 - pp. 44-65.

Optional:

o (15 pages) Oystein Noreng “Global Resource Scramble and New Energy Frontiers,” in

Andreas Goldthau (eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons,

2013), Chapter 10 – pp. 159-173.

(12 pages) Alvin Lin, Fuqiang Yang, and Jason Portner, “Global Energy Policy: A View

from China” in Andreas Goldthau (ed.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John

Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 23 – pp. 393-404.

(17 pages) Amy Myer Jaffe and Kenneth B. Medlock III, “China, India, and Asian

Energy” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security: Strategies

for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 13 – pp. 283-

299.

(2 pages) Gal Luft & Yaron Varona, “China’s Rare Earth Monopoly,” Journal of Energy

Security, December 2010.

http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=272:chinas-

rare-earth-monopoly&catid=112:energysecuritycontent&Itemid=367

32

(8 pages) “Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving

the People’s Republic of China 2013,” Office of the Secretary of Defense, 2013, pp. 15-

22. http://www.defense.gov/pubs/2013_china_report_final.pdf

(4 pages) Henry Philippens, “Fueling China’s Maritime Modernization: The Need to

Guarantee Energy Security,” Journal of Energy Security, December 2011, pp.

(http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=332:fueling-

chinas-maritime-modernization-the-need-to-guarantee-energy-

security&catid=121:contentenergysecurity1111&Itemid=386).

(34 pages) “Stirring Up the South China Sea: Regional Responses,” International Crisis

Group Asia Report No. 229, July 2012, pp. 1-34.

http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/asia/north-east-asia/229-stirring-up-the-south-

china-sea-ii-regional-responses

(2 pages) Gal Luft, “What does America’s Shale Gas Revolution Mean for China?”

Journal of Energy Security, AUG-2013.

http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=452:what-does-

americas-shale-gas-revolution-mean-for-china&catid=137:issue-content&Itemid=422

(6 pages) Damien Ma, “China’s Search for a New Energy Strategy: Time to Liberalize

Energy Prices,” Foreign Affairs, 04-JUN-2013.

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139425/damien-ma/chinas-search-for-a-new-

energy-strategy

Class 19: Thursday, April 3

Topic: Resource Mercantilism; China in Africa

Assignment: Memo Option 6, read case and be prepared to discuss

Required:

CASE (2 pages) Meghan L. O’Sullivan, “How to Respond to Chinese Energy Activities

in Africa,” Geopolitics of Energy Case #5, April 2012. (Posted on course page.) Read

the case and be prepared to discuss the questions posed in detail in class.

(3 pages) “Africa and China: This house [The Economist] believes that China’s growing

involvement in Africa is to be welcomed”, The Economist debates, 27 August 2011.

(Read opening remarks from The Economist’s moderator, professor Calestous Juma and

professor George Ayittey) http://www.economist.com/debate/overview/165

(24 pages) Bo Kong, China’s International Petroleum Policy (Praeger: Santa Barbara,

2010), Chapter 5 - pp. 116-140.

33

(6 pages) Alessi, Christopher, and Stephanie Hanson. "Expanding China-Africa Oil

Ties." Council on Foreign Relations. Feb 2012.

http://www.cfr.org/china/expanding-china-africa-oil-ties/p9557

(13 pages) Witney Schneidman, “A Trilateral Dialogue on the United States, Africa and

China,” Brookings Institution, 2013.

http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/Research/Files/Reports/2013/08/us%20africa%20chin

a%20trilateral%20dialogue/All%20Trade%20Papers.pdf

Optional:

(3 pages) “More than Minerals,” The Economist, 23-MAR-2013

http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21574012-chinese-trade-africa-

keeps-growing-fears-neocolonialism-are-overdone-more

(9 pages) Don Yamamoto, “Assessing China’s Role and Influence in Africa,” Testimony

Before the House Foreign Affairs Committee Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health,

and Human Rights, 29 March 2012. http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/112/HHRG-112-

FA16-WState-YamamotoD-20120329.pdf

(8 pages) David Shinn, “Assessing China’s Role and Influence in Africa,” Testimony

Before the House Foreign Affairs Committee Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health,

and Human Rights, 29 March 2012. http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/112/HHRG-112-

FA16-WState-ShinnD-20120329.pdf

(9 pages) Guy C.K Leung, “China's energy security: Perception and reality,” Energy

Policy, 2011, pp. 1330-1337. http://www.sciencedirect.com.ezp-

prod1.hul.harvard.edu/science/article/pii/S0301421510008864

(26 pages) David L. Goldwyn, “Squaring the U.S.-Africa-China Energy Triangle: The

Path from Competition to Cooperation,” in Gal Luft and Anne Korin (eds.), Energy

Security Challenges for the 21st Century (Santa Barbara, CA: Praeger Security

International), 2009, Chapter 15 - pp. 233-249.

(2 pages) Matthew Acocella, “What an energy-hogging China may mean for the U.S.

and global politics,” Foreign Policy blog, 28 July 2010.

http://ricks.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/07/28/what_an_energy_hogging_china_may_m

ean_for_the_us_and_global_politics

34

Class 20: Tuesday, April 8

Topic: The Geopolitical Implications of Pakistan’s National Energy Strategy

Assignment: Post-exercise task, read case and be prepared to discuss

Required:

CASE (10 pages) Francisco Aguilar, “Meeting Pakistan’s Energy Needs,” Case Prepared

for IGA 412, Harvard Kennedy School of Government, October 2011. (10 pages). Read

and examine the accompanying spread sheet. Think about possible solutions to this case

for you to propose/discuss in small groups in class. (Material on course page.)

(19 pages) Elizabeth Mills, Pakistan’s Energy Crisis, U.S. Institute of Peace, June 2012,

pp. 4-23. http://www.usip.org/files/resources/PW79_Pakistans_Energy_Crisis.pdf

o (7 pages) Michael Kugelman, “Pakistan’s Energy Crisis: From Conundrum to

Catastrophe?” The National Bureau of Asian Research, 13-MAR-2013.

http://www.nbr.org/downloads/pdfs/eta/Kugelman_commentary_03132013.pdf

(6 pages) Muhammad Umair Shah, “Pakistan’s Struggle for LNG,” Journal of Energy

Security, NOV-2012.

http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=392:pakisstans-

struggle-for-lng&catid=130:issue-content&Itemid=405

(7 pages) Asif Faiz, “The Political Economy of Pakistan’s National Energy Policy,”

Atlantic Council, 26-AUG-2013.

(2 pages) “Energy Starved Pakistan Eyes Solar Power,” Agence France Press, 26 March

2012. http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5iQqyeNGf_uL2m4W-

XHuCkHeBfBuw?docId=CNG.e90177df7bc765b1d1b36a47bff406c5.411

Optional:

(1 page) Associated Press, “Iran Cancels Pakistan Gas Pipeline Loan,” Washington Post,

14-DEC-2013

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/iran-cancels-pakistan-gas-pipeline-

loan/2013/12/14/8ff1078e-64bd-11e3-af0d-4bb80d704888_story.html

(3 pages) “Long, Hot, Summer,” The Economist, 08-JUL-2013

http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21579059-first-task-pakistans-new-prime-minister-

keep-lights-long-hot-summer

(2 pages) Rebecca Santana, “Pakistan’s Power Shortage Problem Is Country’s Biggest

Threat,” Huffington Post, 15-JUN-2013

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/15/pakistan-power-shortage_n_3447599.html

(1 page) Krista Mahr, “Pakistan’s Struggle for Power,” Time, 09-OCT-13

35

http://world.time.com/2013/10/09/pakistans-struggle-for-power/

(3 pages) Isobel Coleman, “Challenges for Pakistan’s Prime Minister,” Council on

Foreign Relations, 24-MAY-2013

http://blogs.cfr.org/coleman/2013/05/24/challenges-for-pakistans-prime-minister/

(28 pages) Robert Hathaway, Bhumika Muchhala, and Michael Kugelman, Fueling the

Future: Meeting Pakistan’s Energy Needs in the 21st Century, Woodrow Wilson Center,

2007, pp. 17-34 and pp. 93-104.

http://wilsoncenter.org/topics/pubs/Asia_FuelingtheFuture_rptmain.pdf

(9 pages) Haider Ali Hussein Mullick, “The Iran-Pakistan-India Pipeline: Economics,

Geopolitics, and Security, Pakistan Security Research Unit Brief No. 36, 11 June 2008.

http://haidermullick.com/Documents/Mullick%20PSRU%20IPI%20Brief+36.pdf

(15 pages) Ariel Cohen, Lisa Curtis, and Owen Graham “The Proposed Iran-Pakistan-

India Gas Pipeline: An Unacceptable Risk to Regional Security,” Heritage Foundation

Backgrounder, No: 2139, May 2008.

http://www.heritage.org/Research/Reports/2008/05/The-Proposed-Iran-Pakistan-India-

Gas-Pipeline-An-Unacceptable-Risk-to-Regional-Security

UNIT 5: ALTERNATIVE, RENEWABLE, AND NEW ENERGY AND GEOPOLITICS

Class 21: Thursday, April 10

Topic: Geopolitical Consequences of a Shift to Nuclear Power

Speaker: Professor Matt Bunn

Required:

(17 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern

World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, Chapter 18, “The Nuclear Cycle,” pp. 361-378.

(17 pages) Yury Yudin “Nuclear Energy and Non-Proliferation,” in Andreas Goldthau

(eds.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons, 2013), Chapter 13 –

pp. 205-221.

(5 pages) Charles Ferguson, and Sharon Squassoni, “Why Nuclear Energy Isn’t the

Great Green Hope,” Foreign Policy, 06-APR-2010.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2007/06/24/why_nuclear_energy_isnt_the_great_g

reen_hope

Optional:

36

(13 pages) “Restoring US Leadership in Nuclear Energy: A National Security

Imperative,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, JUN-2013 pp. ix-xxi.

http://csis.org/files/publication/130719_Wallace_RestoringUSLeadershipNuclearEnergy_

WEB.pdf

(1 page) “Asia airs Nuclear Ambitions at UN Gathering,” Reuters, 20-SEP-2013.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/20/nuclear-asia-idUSL5N0HE2DW20130920

(11 pages) Ernest Moniz, “Why We Still Need Nuclear Power,” Foreign Affairs,

November/December 2011, pp. 83-94.

(10 pages) Amory B. Lovins, Imran Sheikh, and Alex Markevich, “Forget Nuclear,”

Rocky Mountain Institute, 6 April 2008, pp. 1-10.

http://www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid467.php

(3 pages) Joseph Cirincione and Uri Leventer, “The Middle East’s Nuclear Surge,” The

New York Times,13 August 2007. http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/13/opinion/13iht-

edcirin.1.7097430.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print

(21 pages) International Energy Agency, “The Implications of Less Nuclear Power,”

World Energy Outlook 2011, OECD, 2011, pp. 447-468. (link to whole report on course

page)

Class 22: Thursday, April 15

Topic: Geopolitical Consequences of Solar Energy: The Case of DESERTEC

Assignment: Take a Position Option 6, due 8am before class

Required:

(24 pages) Daniel Yergin, The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern

World, (New York: Penguin Press), 2011, Chapter 27, “Rebirth of Renewables,” pp. 523-

547.

(4 pages) Iana Dreyer, Renewables: Do They Matter for Foreign Policy?, Policy Brief:

European Institute for Security Studies, June 2013.

http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Brief_23.pdf

(11 pages) Lasse Eisgruber, “The Resource Curse: Analysis of the applicability to the

large-scale export of electricity from renewable resources,” Journal of Energy Security,

vol. 57, June 2013, pp. 429-440.

(17 pages) Antoine Artiganave and Lukas Streiff, “Trans-Mediterranean Trade in Solar

Energy: What Should Europe Do?” Geopolitics of Energy Case on Desertec: Harvard

Kennedy School of Government, November 2010. (Available on course website)

37

Optional:

(12 pages) Johan Lilliestam, Saskia Ellenbeck, “Energy security and renewable

electricity trade—Will Desertec make Europe vulnerable to the “energy weapon?,”

Energy Policy, 2011. http://www.sciencedirect.com.ezp-

prod1.hul.harvard.edu/science/article/pii/S0301421511002151

(5 pages) Cordula Meyer, “European dream of desert energy takes shape”, Der Spiegel,

27 May 2010. http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,695908,00.html

(1 page) Christoph Steitz, “Europe must act to make green desert project work-Desertec

Head,” Reuters, 12-JUN-2013.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/jul/05/renewable-energy-desertec-

foundation-dii

(1 page) Jonathan Gifford, “Desertec to focus on EU MENA connection,” PV Magazine,

14-FEB-2013. http://www.pv-magazine.com/news/details/beitrag/desertec-pulls-out-of-

consortium-it-founded_100011883/

(6 pages) IEA, Technology Roadmap: Concentrated Solar Power, 2010, pp. 5-11.

http://www.iea.org/papers/2010/csp_roadmap.pdf

Class 23: Thursday, April 17

Topic: Geo-Engineering and International Institutions

Speaker: Professor David Keith

Assignment: Country Strategy Papers, due 11:59pm the day before class

Required:

(1 page) Melanie A. Kenderdine and Ernest J. Moniz, “Technology Development and

Energy Security,” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security:

Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 17

pp. 402-3.

David Keith, A Case for Climate Engineering, Chapters 2 and 5, A Boston Review Book,

MIT Press, 2013.

(2 pages) “Stopping a Scorcher: The Controversy Over Manipulating Climate Change,”

The Economist, 23-NOV-2013.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:H9CuK9Upwo0J:www.economi

st.com/news/books-and-arts/21590347-controversy-over-manipulating-climate-change-

stopping-scorcher+geoengineering&cd=12&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

(13 pages) David G. Victor, et al. "The Geoengineering Option." Foreign Affairs, 88.2

(2009): 64-76.

38

Optional:

(2 pages) Henry Gass, “Salt Spray May Prove Most Feasible Geoengineering,” Scientific

American, 12-DEC-2013.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=salt-spray-may-prove-most-feasible-

geoengineering

(23 pages) Kelsi Bracmort and Richard K. Lattanzio, “Geoengineering: Governance and

Technology Policy,” Congressional Research Service, 26-NOV-2013, pp. 1-23.

https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41371.pdf

(5 pages) Brad Plumer, “Should We Use Geoengineering to Cool the Earth? An Interview

with David Keith,” Washington Post, 30-OCT-2013.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/10/30/david-keith-explains-

why-geoengineering-isnt-as-crazy-as-it-sounds/

(13 pages) Michael Specter, The Climate Fixers: Is There a Technological Solution to

Global Warming?” The New Yorker, 14-MAY-2012.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2012/05/14/120514fa_fact_specter?currentPage=all

Class 24: Tuesday, April 22

Topic: National Security, the Unconventional Revolution, and Climate Change

Assignment: Memo Option 7, due 8am before class

Required:

(13 pages) Michael Levi, “Energy, Environment, and Climate: Framework and

Tradeoffs,” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security:

Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), Chapter 21

pp. 483-495.

(14 pages) Leon Fuerth, “National Security, Energy, Climate Change: New Paradigm;

New Strategy; New Governance,” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.),

Energy and Security: Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University

Press, 2013), Chapter 22 pp. 499-512.

(12 pages) Fariborz Zelli, et al. “Global Climate Governance and Energy Choices,” in

Andreas Goldthau (ed.), The Handbook of Global Energy Policy (John Wiley & Sons,

2013), Chapter 23 – pp 340-353.

Optional:

(24 pages) “Climate Change and the Path Toward Sustainable Energy Sources,” The

White House, 2013 Economic Report of the President, Chapter 6

http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/docs/erp2013/ERP2013_Chapter_6.pdf

39

(10 pages) Carmine Difiglio, “Energy and World Economic Growth,” Federation of

American Scientists, Public Interest Report, Spring 2013 – Volume 66 Number 2

http://blogs-cdn.fas.org/pir/wp-content/uploads/sites/8/2013/05/Energy-and-Economic-

Growth-Spring-131.pdf

(9 pages) Meagan S. Mauter, et al. “The Next Frontier in United States Shale Gas and

Tight Oil Extraction: Strategic Reduction of Environmental Impacts,” HKS Belfer Center,

Discussion Paper #2013-04, MAR-2013, pp. 34-42.

http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/files/mauter-dp-2013-04-final.pdf

(1 page) Javier Solana, “The Shale Revolution’s Global Footprint,” Project Syndicate,

20-NOV-2013. http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/javier-solana-examines-

the-impact-of-shale-energy-on-europe-and-asia

UNIT 6: CONCLUSIONS AND FINAL THOUGHTS

Class 25: Tuesday, April 24

Topic: Presentation of Country Strategies

No readings, but be prepared to give a ten minute presentation of your country strategy to the

class.

Class 26: Thursday, April 29

Topic: Presentation of Country Strategies

No readings, but be prepared to give a ten minute presentation of your country strategy to the

class.

Class 27: Thursday, May 1

Topic: Wrap Up and US Energy Strategy and Foreign Policy in Light of the

Unconventional Revolution

Assignment: Policy Memo Option 8 due 8am before class

Required:

(33 pages) Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn, “Conclusion: Energy, Security, and

Foreign Policy” in Jan H. Kalicki and David L. Goldwyn (eds.), Energy and Security:

Strategies for a World in Transition (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2013), pp. 545-

577.

(4 pages) Michael Levi, “America’s Energy Opportunity: How to Harness the New

Sources of US Power,” Foreign Affairs, 2013, pp. 92-96.

40

(35 pages) “A National Strategy for Energy Security: Harnessing American Resources

and Innovation” Energy Security Leadership Council, 2013, pp. 6-27, 112-125.

http://www.secureenergy.org/sites/default/files/SAFE_National-Strategy-for-Energy-

Security_0.pdf

(10 pages) Tom Donilon, “Energy and American Power: Farewell to Declinism,” Foreign

Affairs, 15-JUN-2013.

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139509/tom-donilon/energy-and-american-power

Optional:

(22 pages) Patrick Doherty, “A New US Grand Strategy,” Foreign Policy, 09-JAN-2013.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/01/09/a_new_US_grand_strategy

(3 pages) Ely Ratner and Thomas Wright, “America’s Not in Decline – It’s on the Rise,”

Washington Post, 18-OCT-2013

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/americas-not-in-decline--its-on-the-

rise/2013/10/18/4dde76be-35b1-11e3-80c6-7e6dd8d22d8f_story.html

(15 pages) Anthony Cordesman, “The Myth or Reality of US Energy Independence,”

Center for Strategic & International Studies, 02-JAN-2013

http://csis.org/files/publication/130103_us_energy_independence_report.pdf

(3 pages) Kevin Rosner, “Hindsight and Foresight in Gauging Our Energy Future,”

Journal of Energy Security, 21-NOV-2012

http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=395:hindsight-

and-foresight-and-gauging-energy-futures&catid=129:from-the-editor&Itemid=406

(9 pages) David Burwell, Deborah Gordon, “Managing the Unconventional Oil and Gas

Bonanza,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 29-NOV-2012

http://carnegieendowment.org/globalten/?fa=50162

(4 pages) Blake Clayton, “The Case for Allowing US Crude Oil Exports,” Council on

Foreign Relations, Public Innovation Memorandum No. 34, JUL-2013.

http://www.cfr.org/oil/case-allowing-us-crude-oil-exports/p31005