idirect healthcheck may 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/idirect_healthcheck_june15.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
June 22, 2015
Monthly Update
Q4 numbers mixed; Margins under pressure… For Q4FY15 I-Direct universe registered YoY revenue growth (Ex Sun Pharma) of 11% to | 23662 crore, driven by 8.2% growth in the US and 18.5% growth in Indian formulations. Slow growth in the US was largely due to lack of new product approvals and high base. Growth in Indian formulations was driven by price hikes as well as incremental product launches. The quarter also witnessed heated currency volatility in some of the markets especially Russia and Europe. The EBITDA for the universe (ex – Sun pharma) de-grew 5.3% YoY to | 4601 crore and the lower growth was attributable to forex losses, higher R&D spends and higher fixed cost. The PAT de-grew ~10% YoY to | 2784 crore. The de-growth was attributable to lower operational performance and higher depreciation and taxation. On the revenue front, companies such as Aurobindo, Ajanta, Cadila, Apollo Hospitals, Indoco and Cipla reported strong revenue growth on account of incremental product launches and sustained base business growth. On the other hand Glenmark, Lupin, IPCA, Torrent and Jubilant reported weak set of numbers due to lack of product approvals, impact of currency volatility in emerging markets and regulatory impact. In other news, the Central Drugs Standards Control Organisation (CDSCO) has started the biggest sampling drive ever in the country to conclusively analyse the extent of counterfeit drugs that are available in the market. An unprecedented 50,000 samples have been collected from across the country over the last one and half months. The last such sample survey was conducted in 2008 with about 2500-3000 samples being analysed then. Jubilant got some respite from the USFDA when its pharmaceutical sterile manufacturing facility in Spokane, Washington (USA), has been upgraded to the status of Voluntary Action Indicated (VAI). This action tantamounts to the acceptance of current good manufacturing practice (cGMP) status for the facility since receiving the warning letter in 2013. Apollo Hospitals continued it quest for inorganic growth by acquiring majority stake in Guwahati-based Assam Hospitals for a consideration of ~| 57 crore. The acquisition is expected to strengthen Apollo Hospitals' presence in the Northeast region. This is second such acquisition in the last six months. Finally on the domestic front, the Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) registered growth of 11.2% YoY to | 7717 crore for the month of May. The growth was mainly driven by price hikes – 4.9% volume growth - 3.0% and new product launches – 2.8%. Pharma continues to consolidate Pharma stocks are witnessing a brief phase of consolidation after riding on re-rating wave in FY15. The consolidation was warranted as even after re-rating, most of the Pharma stocks were running slightly ahead of valuation. We however maintain our long term bullish view on the sector on the back of structural strength. Strong visibility on the back of a good product basket and a reasonable base business growth continue to attract buying interest in the Pharma sector despite premium valuations. The US and Indian formulations remain the main growth drivers for the sector on the back of strong pipeline and incremental product launches. Healthy operating margins, relatively low leverage and strong return ratios are some of the
Health CheckSector View
Outperformer
Index Performance as on June 19, 2015
Return (%) 1M 3M YTD 1Y
CNX 500 -2 -4 0 12
Nifty -2 -5 -1 9
CNX Pharma -5 -7 8 46
Return (%)
Stocks Performance Mcap
Company 1M 3M YTD 1Y 18-Jun
Sun Pharma.Inds. -10 -18 4 33 206298
Lupin 4 -7 25 77 80478
Dr Reddy's Labs -7 -1 5 39 57909
Cipla -12 -15 -4 41 48382
Aurobindo Pharma -2 11 20 95 39736
Cadila Health. 4 13 13 78 37002
Glaxosmit Pharma 2 1 3 34 28063
Glenmark Pharma. 9 15 28 70 27677
Divi's Lab. 3 1 7 37 24512
Torrent Pharma. 4 16 17 95 22506
Apollo Hospitals -6 -17 7 21 16737
Wockhardt 2 -26 39 146 15486
Ajanta Pharma 13 24 63 181 13398
Pfizer -8 -7 -7 47 9175
Biocon 4 5 9 -6 9293
Ipca Labs. 3 -11 -6 -17 8620
Natco Pharma -11 -1 41 109 7169
Strides Arcolab 8 2 24 129 7115
Indoco Remedies -5 0 15 132 3299
Jubilant Life 1 5 41 -20 2716
Unichem Labs. -6 -12 -22 -8 1719
Return (%)
Mcap: Market cap in | crore
Price movement
50006000700080009000
100001100012000130001400015000
Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
CNX Pharma Nifty (RHS)
Research Analyst
Siddhant Khandekar [email protected] Mitesh Shah [email protected]
Nandan Kamat [email protected]
![Page 2: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 2
other attributes for most of the Pharma players. Sun Pharma, Lupin, DRL are our top picks from the large cap Pharma space whereas Cadila, Aurobindo, Torrent Pharma and Ajanta Pharma are our picks from the Mid-cap Pharma space.
Regulatory approvals
Exhibit 1: Summary of USFDA approvals for May 2015
[5
Company Drug Name Therapeutic Area Innovator company Generic Version of Market SizeStrides Acrolab Lamivudine and Zidovudine Anti-retroviral ViV Healthcare Combivir US$ 295 millionLupin Azithromycin Anti-infective Pfizer Zithromax NAGlenmark Pharma Desmopressin Acetate Respiratory Ferring Pharma Minirin NALupin Moxifloxacin Hydrochloride Anti-Bacterial Bayer Healthcare Avelox US$ 400 million
Company Drug Name Therapeutic Area Innovator company Generic Version of Market SizeGlenmark Pharma Rufinamide Anti-Epilepsy Eisai Banzel US$ 121.8 millionCipla Lopinavir and Ritonavir Anti-Retroviral Abbott Labs Kaletra NA
Final Approvals
Tentative Approvals
CNS: Central Nervous System; CVS: Cardiovascular, NA: Not available; Source: USFDA, ICICIdirect.com Research
Regulatory approvals / IP Issues / Clinical Trials
Biocon’s biosimilar molecules enters Phase 3 clinical trials Biocon's two biosimilar drug molecules to treat cancer and rheumatoid arthritis had entered global phase 3 clinical trials, which entail testing on patients to assess effectiveness and safety. The two molecules, pegfilgrastim and adalimumab, were developed in partnership with Mylan. Law suits / Court rulings / Settlements
Sun Pharma reviewing Meijer Complaint Sun Pharma is reviewing a complaint filed against it and its subsidiaries by Meijer Inc alleging anti-trust and other violations in connection with Ranbaxy securing market exclusivity for certain products. Ranbaxy recklessly stuffed the generic drug approval queues with grossly inadequate applications, deceived the FDA into granting tentative approvals to lock in statutory exclusivities to which Ranbaxy was not entitled, and brandished these undeserved exclusivities to exclude others while its own applications floundered, all at the direct expense of U.S. drug purchasers. RBI withdraws restrictions on purchase of IPCA shares The Reserve Bank of India has withdrawn restrictions placed on the purchase of shares of IPCA Laboratories as the FIIs investment limit in the company has gone below the revised threshold caution limit. The RBI further notified that FIIs/ RFPIs can now invest up to 35% of the paid up capital of Ipca Labs under the Portfolio Investment Scheme (PIS). CCI imposes fines on GSK and Sanofi The Competition Commission of India (CCI) has imposed a | 60 crore penalty on GlaxosmithKline and | 3 crore on Sanofi India for indulging in unfair trade practices. The CCI in its investigation found that both companies formed a cartel to get government tenders to supply meningitis vaccine which is required to be administered upon the pilgrims who wish to go on annual pilgrimage of Hajj. Price changes / New Launches / Recalls
Mylan’s gSeretide launch in UK Mylan launched first generic version of Glaxo SmithKline's anti-asthma drug Seretide in the UK market. The generic Seretide market in Europe is worth about US $800 million, of which the UK is the largest market at US $400 million. This is seen as a negative for Cipla which is also in line to launch its own generic version of Advair.
![Page 3: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 3
Jubilant hikes Vitamin B3 product’s price by 10% Jubilant Life Sciences has taken a 10% price hike for its Vitamin B3 product Niacinamide. In FY15 (June 2014), the company had taken a 9% price hike for this product. Warning Letters / Import alerts / Letter 483s / clearance letters Jubilant’s Facility gets its status upgraded by USFDA Jubilant’s pharmaceutical sterile manufacturing facility in Spokane, Washington (USA), has been upgraded to the status of Voluntary Action Indicated (VAI). This upgradation by the USFDA from Official Action Indicated (OAI) to VAI is indicative of the current good manufacturing practice (cGMP) status at the facility since receiving the warning letter in 2013. M&As, Demergers and JVs
Apollo Hospitals Acquire Assam Hospitals Apollo Hospitals announced acquisition of majority stake in Guwahati-based Assam Hospitals for a consideration of ~| 57 crore. The acquisition is expected to strengthen Apollo Hospitals' presence in the Northeastern region. The company entered into definitive agreements for the acquisition of 51% stake in Assam Hospitals, which runs a 220 bed hospital in Guwahati. Capex / Investments / Fund raising
Strides to raise | 2000 crore Strides Arcolab is seeking shareholders' approval to earmark up to | 2,000 crore for investment and loan purposes. Natco to increase FII limit Natco Pharma seeks to increase FII limit in the company to 49% through issue of fresh shares or convertible securities. Currently FII is currently holding ~10% in the company. The board would also consider issue of shares or convertible securities in the form of Private Placement, Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) to FIIs, Qualified Institutional Buyers or any other investors. Torrent Pharma receives approval to raise FII limit to 35% Company got approval from the government to raise the limit of investment by foreign institutional investors (FII) from 13.09% to 35%. This would mean a total investment of about | 3,000 crore. Strides Acrolab’s application to raise FII limit rejected Strides Arcolab had made an application to Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) seeking approval for issuing equity shares to non-resident shareholders of Shasun Pharmaceuticals under the proposed Scheme of Amalgamation. The Government rejected the proposal. Syngene’s proposal to raise FDI approved Syngene's proposal to raise FDI of around | 930 crore by raising the foreign investment to 44% from 10% was approved by the Government of India. The company plans to raise the sum by way of initial public offering of equity shares to FIIs, FPIs and NRIs. Deals & Alliances / Tenders
Dr. Reddy’s and Astrazeneca enter into a Distribution agreement AstraZeneca Pharma and Dr Reddy's Labs have entered into a distribution agreement for two drugs - Riax and Riax-M - used for the treatment of
![Page 4: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 4
diabetes in India. Both Riax and Riax M are trademarks of the AstraZeneca group. Dr Reddy's Laboratories will be distributing the two drugs in India. Cipla signs agreement with Serum Institute Cipla signed an agreement with Serum Institute to exclusively sell influenza vaccine Nasovac-S in India. Under this agreement, Serum Institute will develop and manufacture the vaccine, while Cipla will market it in India. Q4FY15 Results
Apollo Hospitals maintains growth tempo Standalone revenues increased 20.6% YoY to | 1203.7 crore mainly on 31% YoY growth to | 478 crore growth in the pharmacy business. Healthcare services (60% of sales) grew 14.6% to | 725.8 crore. EBITDA margins declined 54 bps YoY to 14.5% owing to an unfavourable segment mix. EBITDA increased 16.3% YoY to | 174.5 crore. Net profit declined 4.9% to | 77.3 crore mainly due to higher-than-expected taxation and lower other income. Actavis portfolio weighs on Aurobindo margins Revenues grew 35.7% YoY to | 3162.1 crore on account of 335% growth in Europe (Actavis consolidation) to | 769.1 crore. EBITDA margins declined 1114 bps to 20.7% mainly due to consolidation of the low margin Actavis European business and high base effect. EBITDA de-grew 11.7% to | 656.1 crore. Net profit declined 19.5% to | 403.8 crore due to higher tax outgo and lower other income.
Cipla - Next 18-24 months crucial for scalability Revenues grew 22% YoY to | 3092.7 crore on account of 32% growth in export formulation to | 1690 crore. Domestic formulations also grew 19.6% YoY to | 1086 crore. EBITDA margins improved 27 bps to 16.4%. EBITDA in absolute terms grew 24% YoY to | 507.7 crore. Net profit de-grew 0.4%% YoY to | 259.7 crore. Muted growth was on account of higher depreciation and tax outgo and lower other income. One-offs affect Glenmark margins Revenues grew 4.2% YoY to | 1775.8 crore. India, LatAm, US and Europe sales grew 15%, 70.5%, 7.1% and 26% YoY to | 440.6 crore, | 181 crore, | 536.3 crore and | 243.3 crore, respectively. RoW declined 35.8% to | 219.8 crore. EBITDA margins declined 655 bps to 15.8% due to forex losses and expenses related to Glenmark Generics consolidation which were accounted in other expenses. EBITDA declined 26.3% YoY to | 281.4 crore. Net profit declined 24.1% YoY to | 197.7 crore on the back of negative tax expenses. Exports drag Indoco numbers Revenues grew 14.3% YoY to | 210 crore. Domestic formulations grew 16.7% to | 123 crore while export formulations grew 9.9% to | 75 crore. EBITDA margins declined 13 bps YoY to 17.8% mainly due to higher-than-expected other expenditure. EBITDA grew 13.5% to | 37.3 crore. Net profit grew marginally by 1.1% YoY to | 18.75 crore on account of the subdued operational performance and higher depreciation. Remedial measures continue to weigh on Ipca numbers Revenues declined 16.2% YoY to | 628 crore due to USFDA import alert, lower institutional business and currency fluctuations in emerging markets. EBITDA margins declined 1896 bps to 5.4% on account of higher fixed cost. EBITDA declined 81.5% to | 33.7 crore. Net profit declined 94.3% to | 7.8 crore on account of a below expectation operational performance and higher depreciation.
![Page 5: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 5
Improved margins cover subdued revenue growth for Natco Revenues grew 9.2% YoY to | 200.8 crore. Growth in domestic formulation (49% YoY) was partially offset by 41.8% de-growth in export formulation. EBITDA margins increased ~436 bps YoY to 24.6%. EBITDA grew 32.7% YoY to | 49.5 crore. Adjusted net profit declined 3.1% YoY to | 23.3 crore. The higher operational performance was nullified by higher depreciation and lower other income. Ranbaxy acquisition, remedial measures affect Sun Pharma numbers Sun Pharma’s Q4FY15 revenue stood at | 6157 crore (down 11% QoQ), due to supply constraints in the US owing to ongoing compliance issues at the Halol Facility and inventory adjustment in the domestic market. EBITDA margins declined 1674 bps QoQ to 14.5% due to assumption of additional charges for the Ranbaxy consolidation. EBITDA declined 58.8% to | 892.5 crore. Net profit grew 125% QoQ to | 888.1 crore mainly due to Tax write back on account of Ranbaxy losses.
![Page 6: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 6
Q4FY15 Results Review
For Q4FY15 I-Direct universe registered YoY revenue growth of 11% to | 23662 crore (Excluding Sun Pharma), driven by 8.2% growth in the US and 18.5% growth in Indian formulations. The growth in the US was more or less on expected lines, subdued by lack of new product approvals and high base. Growth in Indian formulations was driven by new product launches as well as price hikes. This quarter witnessed heated currency volatility in some of the emerging markets especially Russia. The EBITDA for the universe de-grew 5.5% YoY to | 4601 crore and the lower growth was attributable to forex losses, higher R&D spends and remedial expenses to comply with cGMP issues. The PAT de-grew 9.9% YoY to | 2783.8 crore. The de-growth was attributable to lower EBITDA growth and higher depreciation and taxation.
Exhibit 2: Actual s Vs Estimates
Q4FY15E Q4FY15 Q4FY15E Q4FY15 Q4FY15E Q4FY15Apollo Hospitals 1201.5 1203.7 178.4 174.5 94.8 77.3Aurobindo Pharma 3308.8 3162.1 671.7 656.1 466.0 403.8Ajanta Pharma 358.9 368.8 126.4 140.8 86.4 90.8Biocon 778.1 837.3 164.6 184.9 86.1 106.0Cadila Healthcare 2184.6 2288.2 441.3 495.9 291.0 350.4Cipla 2948.0 3092.7 604.3 507.7 332.4 259.7Dr Reddy's Labs 3993.0 3870.4 1038.2 825.6 755.9 518.8Glenmark Pharma 1713.5 1775.8 281.5 281.4 129.4 197.7Indoco Remedies 218.1 209.9 45.7 37.3 23.8 18.8Ipca Labs 637.6 627.9 224.4 33.7 144.5 7.8Jubilant Life Sciences 1556.3 1536.5 220.8 247.4 25.7 42.7Lupin 3328.8 3078.2 915.4 789.4 614.5 547.0Natco Pharma 200.4 200.8 49.1 49.5 25.1 23.3Torrent Pharma 1171.6 1154.0 246.0 162.0 151.0 130.0Unichem Labs 281.9 256.0 26.9 14.8 17.1 9.8Total 23881.2 23662.4 5234.8 4600.8 3243.7 2783.8
CompanyRevenues EBITDA Net profit
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 3: Quarterly Performance of I-Direct Healthcare coverage
Company Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var.(%) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var.(%) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var.(%)Apollo Hospitals 1203.7 998.2 20.6 174.5 150.1 16.3 77.3 81.3 -4.9Aurobindo Pharma 3162.1 2329.8 35.7 656.1 743.0 -11.7 403.8 501.8 -19.5Ajanta Pharma 368.8 311.1 18.6 140.8 112.3 25.3 90.8 71.4 27.2Biocon 837.3 728.5 14.9 184.9 175.6 5.3 106.0 113.1 -6.3Cadila Healthcare 2288.2 1968.5 16.2 495.9 358.6 38.3 350.4 239.2 46.5Cipla 3092.7 2535.6 22.0 507.7 409.3 24.0 259.7 260.7 -0.4Dr Reddy's 3870.4 3480.9 11.2 825.6 781.3 5.7 518.8 481.7 7.7Glenmark Pharma 1775.8 1703.6 4.2 281.4 381.6 -26.3 197.7 260.6 -24.1Indoco Remedies 209.9 183.6 14.3 37.3 32.9 13.5 18.8 18.6 1.1Ipca Labs 627.9 749.6 -16.2 33.7 182.3 -81.5 7.8 137.0 -94.3Jubilant Life Scie. 1536.5 1562.3 -1.7 247.4 245.8 0.7 42.7 98.8 PLLupin 3078.2 3120.5 -1.4 789.4 876.9 -10.0 547.0 553.0 -1.1Natco Pharma 200.8 183.8 9.2 49.5 37.3 32.7 23.3 24.0 -3.1Torrent Pharma 1154.0 1225.0 -5.8 162.0 350.0 -53.7 130.0 244.0 -46.7Unichem Labs 256.0 244.1 4.9 14.8 31.7 -53.3 9.8 3.4 191.9Total 23662.4 21325.1 11.0 4600.8 4868.5 -5.5 2783.8 3088.5 -9.9
Revenues EBITDA Profit
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research, LP: Loss to Profit
On the revenue front, companies such as Aurobindo, Ajanta, Cadila, Apollo Hospitals, Indoco and Cipla reported strong revenue growth on account of incremental product launches and sustained base business growth. On the other hand Ipca Labs, Torrent Pharma, Lupin and Jubilant reported weak set of numbers due to lack of product approvals, impact of currency volatility in emerging markets and regulatory impact.
Performance in Indian market in Q4FY15
(| crore) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var. (%) Q3FY15 Var. (%)
Biocon 98.0 92.6 5.8 105.0 -6.7
Cadila 679.7 624.7 8.8 641.8 5.9
Glenmark 440.6 383.0 15.0 433.1 1.7
Indoco 123.0 105.3 16.7 122.9 0.1
Ipca 229.0 196.6 16.5 278.7 -17.8
Lupin 663.7 576.3 15.2 743.8 -10.8
Cipla 1086.0 908.0 19.6 1199.0 -9.4
Dr Reddy's 234.1 177.4 32.0 194.7 20.2
Ajanta 114.0 95.0 20.0 132.0 -13.6
Torrent 399.0 258.0 54.7 421.0 -5.2
Unichem 146.2 139.1 5.2 158.1 -7.5
Total 4213.2 3555.9 18.5 4430.0 -4.9
India
Performance in US market in Q4FY15
(| crore) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var. (%) Q3FY15 Var. (%)
Aurobindo 1340.5 1160.0 15.6 1201.2 11.6
Cadila 978.9 678.3 44.3 895.9 9.3
Glenmark 536.3 500.9 7.1 507.2 5.7
Lupin 1377.9 1469.9 -6.3 1404.3 -1.9
Dr Reddy's 1715.4 1496.4 14.6 1681.9 2.0
Torrent 224.0 400.0 -44.0 171.7 30.5
Total 6173.0 5705.5 8.2 5862.2 5.3
US
Performance in Europe market in Q4FY15
(| crore) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var. (%) Q3FY15 Var. (%)
Aurobindo 769.1 176.8 335.0 860.9 -10.7
Cadila 74.0 84.5 -12.4 84.7 -12.6
Glenmark 243.3 193.2 25.9 173.0 40.7
Dr Reddy's 275.3 249.2 10.5 266.8 3.2
Lupin 89.1 79.5 12.1 80.5 10.7
Torrent 209.0 251.0 -16.7 225.7 -7.4
Total 1659.8 1034.2 60.5 1691.5 -1.9
Europe
Performance in Latin American market in Q4FY15
(| crore) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var. (%) Q3FY15 Var. (%)
Cadila 54.7 57.3 -4.5 61.0 -10.3
Glenmark 181.0 106.2 70.5 234.4 -22.8
Torrent 140.8 128.0 10.0 155.8 -9.6
Total 376.5 291.5 29.2 451.3 -16.6
Latin America
Performance in API Segment in Q4FY15
(| crore) Q4FY15 Q4FY14 Var. (%) Q3FY15 Var. (%)
Aurobindo 676.5 754.8 -10.4 674.4 0.3
Cadila 87.0 94.0 -7.4 95.9 -9.3
Cipla 205.0 239.0 -14.2 151.0 35.8
Glenmark 154.7 153.1 1.1 146.5 5.6
Indoco 13.0 11.7 10.8 12.9 0.8
Ipca Labs 153.6 170.1 -9.7 150.4 2.1
Lupin 307.5 291.4 5.5 275.8 11.5
Dr Reddy's 212.4 175.4 21.1 174.9 21.4
Unichem 21.5 24.0 -10.5 28.3 -23.9
Total 1831.2 1913.5 -4.3 1710.0 7.1
API
![Page 7: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 7
Revenues from the US market grew ~8.2% YoY to | 6173 crore during the quarter. Slow growth was attributable to low product launches besides traction from the base business and regulatory impact especially on IPCA, Sun Pharma and Dr Reddy’s. Companies such as Aurobindo, Cadila, and DRL registered strong YoY growth whereas Torrent, Lupin and Glenmark were laggards on account of slowdown in product approvals. Indian formulations business witnessed a growth of ~18.5% to | 4213.2 crore on the back of low base and strong growth in chronic segments. However, overall growth was still lower than I-Direct expectation mainly due to seasonality impact in acute portfolios of some of the companies.
Exhibit 4: I-Direct Healthcare Universe Revenues trend
2131922309 22533
2318123662
15000
17000
19000
21000
23000
25000
Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
| cr
ore
Revenues
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research; *Ex-Sun Pharma
Exhibit 5: I-Direct Healthcare Universe EBITDA trend
4869 51464744 4853 4601
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
| cr
ore
EBITDA
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research; *Ex-Sun Pharma
Exhibit 6: I-Direct Healthcare Universe profits trend
2898
3045
283327842791
2650270027502800285029002950300030503100
Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
| cr
ore
Profits
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research; *Ex-Sun Pharma
Exhibit 7: Trends in EBITDA & PAT margin of I-Direct Healthcare Universe
22.8 23.120.9
19.4
13.6 13.612.0 11.8
21.1
12.6
579
1113151719212325
Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
%
EBITDA Margins (%) PAT Margins (%)
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research; *Ex-Sun Pharma
![Page 8: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 8
Exhibit 8: Change in outlook post Q4 numbers [5
Company Initial Rating Current RatingDeviation from
estimates Remarks
Ajanta Pharma BUY BUY Above Exports growth and strong operational performance
Apollo Hospitals BUY BUY Inline Aurobindo Pharma BUY BUY Below Low margin Actavis business, higher than expected taxation and lower other income
Biocon HOLD HOLD Above Growth in Biopharma business
Cadila Healthcare HOLD BUY Above High US Formulations Business & Strong Operational Performance
Cipla HOLD HOLD Below Higher Other Expenses
Dr Reddy's Labs HOLD BUY Below Higher R&D cost and raw material expenses
Glenmark Pharma HOLD HOLD Above Negative Tax expenses
Indoco Remedies BUY BUY Inline
Ipca labs HOLD HOLD Below Due to USFDA import alerts & lower institutional business
Jubilant Life Sciences SELL HOLD Above Lower Other Expenditure
Lupin BUY BUY Below Slowdown in product approvals and increased competition
Natco Pharma HOLD HOLD Inline
Torrent Pharma HOLD BUY Below Higher Employee costs and Other Expenditure
Unichem Labs HOLD HOLD Below Increase in operating expenditure
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
![Page 9: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 9
Exhibit 9: Patent litigations in last 12 months [5
Month Innovator ANDA Filer Brand Name API Used for Jun-14 AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals LP Sun Pharma Global FZE; Onglyza Saxagliptin DiabetesJun-14 Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. Aurobindo Pharma Reyataz Atazanavir HIVJun-14 Teva Women's Health Lupin Quartette Levonorgestre ContraceptiveJun-14 Forest Laboratories Inc Aurobindo Pharma Namenda XR Memantine Alzheimer's diseaseJun-14 Senju Pharma Lupin Pharma Inc. Prolensa Bromfenac Ocular InflammationJul-14 Pfizer Inc Aurobindo Pharma Tygacil Tygecycline InfectionJul-14 GlaxoSmithKline LLC Glenmark Generics Inc. Coreg Carvedilol High Blood PressureJul-14 Allos Therapuetics Inc Dr Reddy's Folotyn Pralatrexate LymphomaJul-14 Acorda Therapeutics Inc.; Aurobindo Pharma Ampyara Dalfampridine Multiple SyrosysJul-14 Alcon Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Aurobindo Pharma Vigamox Moxifloxacin Eye InfectionJul-14 Gilead Sciences Inc. Lupin Ltd. Atripla Efavirenz/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir HIVJul-14 AbbVie Inc. Aurobindo Pharma Norvir Ritonavir HIVJul-14 Alkermes Pharma Ltd. Sun Pharmaceuticals Focalin XR Dexmethylphenidate ADHDJul-14 Otsuka Pharma Co. Torrent Pharma Abilify Aripiprazole SchizophreniaJul-14 Astrazeneca AB Cadila Healthcare Nexium Esomeprazole Acid RefluxAug-14 Janssen Products LP Cipla Ltd. Prezista Darunavir HIVAug-14 Forest Labs Lupin Ltd. Namenda Memantine Hydrochloride Alzheimer's diseaseAug-14 Senju Pharma Ltd. Lupin Ltd. Prolensa Bromfenac Ocular InflammationAug-14 Novartis Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Gleevec Imatinib Mesylate Organ RejectionSep-14 Millenium Pharmaceuticals Glenmark Pharma Valcade Bortezomib Multiple MylomaSep-14 Teva Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Copaxon Glatiramer Acetate Multiple SclerosisSep-14 Reckitt Benckiser LLC Aurobindo Pharma Mucinex Guaifenesin MucusSep-14 Cephalon Inc. Dr. Reddy's Labs Treanda Bendamustine LeukemiaSep-14 Cephalon Inc. Sun Pharma Treanda Bendamustine LeukemiaOct-14 Novartis Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Gleevec Imatinib LeukemiaOct-14 Braintree Laboratory Inc. Taro Pharma Suprep Sodium Sulphate Bowel PreparationOct-14 Cephalon Inc. Wockhardt Treanda Bendamustine LeukemiaNov-14 Biomarin Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Kuvan Sapropterin Dihydrochloride phenylketonuriaNov-14 Otsuka Pharma Cadila Healthcare Abilify Aripiprazole schizophreniaNov-14 Otsuka Pharma Alembic Pharma Abilify Aripiprazole schizophrenia
Jan-15 iCeutica Lupin Ltd. Zorvolex Diclofenac Anti-Inflammatory
Jan-15 Senju Pharma Lupin Ltd. Prolensa Bromfenac Eye Inflammation
Jan-15 Sheonogi & Co. Aurobindo Pharma Doribax Doripenem Infection
Jan-15 Teva Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Copaxone Glatiramer Multiple Sclerosis
Feb-15 Roxane Laboratories Lupin Ltd. Roxane Calcium Acetate CCalcium Acetate Serum phosphorous Reductio
Feb-15 Cephalon Inc. Glenmark Generics Treanda Bendamustine Leukemia
Feb-15 Cephalon Inc. Dr. Reddy's Labs Treanda Bendamustine Leukemia
Mar-15 Otsuka Pharma Indoco Remedies Abilify Aripiprazole Schizophrenia
Apr-15 Sanofi Aventis Dr. Reddy's Labs Jevtana KIT Cabazitaxel Prostate Cancer
Apr-15 Sanofi Aventis Glenmark Jevtana KIT Cabazitaxel Prostate Cancer
Apr-15 Medicis Pharma Taro Pharma Zyclara Imiquimod Actinic Keratoses
Apr-15 Alcon Research Wockhardt Patanol Olopatadine hydrochloride Allergic Conjunctivitis
Apr-15 Janssen Products LP Cipla Prezista Darunavir Anti-Retroviral
Apr-15 Teva Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Copaxone Glatiramer Multiple Sclerosis
Apr-15 Eli Lilly Lupin Effient Prasugrel CVS
Apr-15 Horizon Pharma Lupin Pennsaid Diclofenac Osteoporosis
May-15 Apotex Inc. Lupin Paxil CR Paroxitine Hydrochloride Anti-Anxiety
May-15 Galderma Labs Glenmark Epiduo Adapalene; Benzoyl Peroxide Acne
May-15 Horizon Pharma Dr. Reddy's Labs Vimovo Esmoprazole Magnesium; Naproxen Osteoporosis
May-15 Merz Pharma Taro Pharma Naftin Naftifine Hydrochloride Fungal Infection
May-15 Takeda Zydus Pharma Daliresp Roflumilast CVS
May-15 Takeda Strides Daliresp Roflumilast CVS
May-15 Acorda Therapeutics Inc. Sun Pharma Ampyra Dalframpridine Multiple Sclerosis
May-15 Merck Lupin Safyral Drospiranone; Ethinyl Estradiol; LevoBirth Control
May-15 Kowa Lupin Livalo Pitavastatin Calcium High Cholestrol
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
![Page 10: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 10
IPM grows 11% in May… • The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) registered growth of 11.2% YoY
to | 7717 crore for the month of May. The growth was mainly driven by price hikes – 4.9% volume growth - 3.0% and new product launches – 2.8%.
• Drugs under NLEM list witnessed growth of 5.3% YoY to | 953 crore while non-NLEM drugs posted a growth of 12.1% to | 6399 crore. Volume growth in NLEM and Non-NLEM was 0.3% and 3.4% respectively.
• Among our covered companies, Glenmark has registered highest growth of 28.9% YoY followed by Torrent pharma, Sun Pharma, Dr Reddy and Cipla clocking growth of 27.0%, 19.9%, 15.4% and 15.4% respectively.
• Therapy wise, 8 therapies have outpaced the IPM growth. Notable among them with growth rates- anti-diabetic – 20.7%, dermatology- 20.0% gastro intestinal – 14.2% and respiratory 11.9%.
• In all, 224 new brands were launched in May. • On a MAT basis, IPM growth stood at 14.0% YoY to | 88948 crore. • Domestic companies have grown 11.2%, while MNC companies have
grown ~10.2% in May 2015. Exhibit 10: Domestic formulations - growth trend
12.1 13
.9
10.7 11
.4
20.8
7.6
21.5
12.2 14
.8
20
19.6
17.5
11.1
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market[
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 11: Companies growth in domestic market in May 2015
27.023.1
-1.4
15.4
3.08.1
21.2
11.910.2
2.50.6
-6.0
0.6
28.9
15.4
4.8
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Woc
khar
dt
Unic
hem
Torr
ent
Sun
Phar
ma
Pfize
r
Nov
artis
Lupi
n
Ipca
Lab
s
Indo
co
GSK
Phar
ma
Glen
mar
k
Dr. R
eddy
s
Cipl
a
Cadi
la
Bioc
on
Ajan
ta
(%)
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Therapy wise performance (| crore) Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) April'15 QoQ (%)Anti-Infectives 1110 1053 5.5 1190 -6.7Cardiac 983 888 10.7 1019 -3.5Gastro Intestinal 978 857 14.2 984 -0.6Vitamins 719 660 8.9 731 -1.6Respiratory 510 456 11.9 607 -15.9Anti Diabetic 639 529 20.7 644 -0.9Pain 535 493 8.5 558 -4.1CNS 479 434 10.5 492 -2.6Derma 466 388 20.0 475 -2.0Gynaecological 396 362 9.2 413 -4.1Vaccines 123 123 0.1 134 -8.0Hormones 122 119 2.8 132 -7.4Anti-Neoplastics 124 117 6.1 139 -11.0Ophthal 120 107 12.4 127 -5.3Others 99 81 22.2 99 0.4Blood Related 89 81 9.8 92 -3.0Urology 91 74 23.0 91 -0.5Anti Malarials 35 39 -10.2 37 -5.9Sex Stimulants 41 37 8.6 44 -8.0Stomatologicals 33 32 2.7 34 -4.8
Source: AIOCD data base
Top brands in Indian pharma market Brand Company Therapy May'15 May'14 Gr. (%)Augmentin GSK Anti-Infectives 329.9 253.9 29.9Becosules Pfizer Vitamins 253.3 227.9 11.1Corex Pfizer Respiratory 234.7 230.4 1.9Lantus Sanofi Anti Diabetic 230.2 175.4 31.3Clavam Alkem Anti-Infectives 225.2 210.2 7.1Volini Ranbaxy Pain 209.3 223.6 -6.4Spasmo Prox Wockhard GI 200.7 107.9 86.1Galvus Met Novartis Anti Diabetic 194.2 146.1 32.9Taxim Alkem Anti-Infectives 186.5 151.8 22.9Taxim O Alkem Anti-Infectives 186.4 149.8 24.5
Source: AIOCD data base; Date as per MAT May 15 & May 14 Industry acute to chronic therapy ratio percentage…
Acute, 61951.5,
69.8%
Chronic, 26823.8,
30.2%
Source: AIOCD data base ; As per AIOCD MAT May 2015
![Page 11: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 11
Sun Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
80
125
170
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Sun Pharma
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 12: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
16.5 17
.6
15.3
14.4
9.9
9.7
14.9
21.7
13.5 16
.0
20.0
26.8
23.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 13: Market share in Indian formulations market
5.5
5.1
5.35.2
4.9
5.4
5.6 5.7
5.9
5.4
5.65.7
6.1
4.8
5.0
5.2
5.4
5.6
5.8
6.0
6.2
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 14: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Gemer Anti Diabetic 13.5 11.0 23 12.8 6
Pantocid Gastro Intestinal 11.9 10.2 16 11.9 0
Susten Gynaecological 13.2 10.2 30 12.6 5
Istamet Anti Diabetic 13.1 8.7 50 12.6 4
Levipil Neuro 12.2 8.9 37 11.6 5
Pantocid Dsr Gastro Intestinal 10.2 7.5 35 9.8 4
Aztor Cardiac 9.9 7.7 28 9.9 -1
Montek-Lc Respiratory 6.1 4.5 36 6.3 -3
Glucored Anti Diabetic 6.2 5.9 6 6.3 -1
Oxetol Neuro 6.2 5.3 16 6.0 3
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 15: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15) z
Neuro 35%
Cardiac23%
Gastro Intestinal19%
Anti Diabetic15%
Gynaecological8%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 16: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Neuro 126.2 100.3 25.7 123.6 2.1
Cardiac 86.7 69.6 24.6 85.0 2.0
Gastro Intestinal 70.8 54.7 29.6 70.2 0.9
Anti Diabetic 57.9 45.6 26.9 56.0 3.4
Gynaecological 29.2 30.6 -4.6 28.5 2.5
Pain 20.4 16.1 26.2 20.4 -0.2
Ophthal 19.9 16.2 23.0 20.0 -0.4
Respiratory 16.2 13.4 21.1 16.9 -4.1
Vitamins 16.3 11.0 48.4 15.2 6.7
Hormones 9.1 9.7 -6.0 9.8 -7.7
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 90.7, 28%
Chronic, 231.9, 72%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
22%
11%
8%11%
48%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 12: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
June 22, 2015
Monthly Update
Ranbaxy Laboratories
Stock Performance
80120160200240
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Ranbaxy
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 17: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
4.1
15.0
8.5
10.1
15.9
0.9 10
.7
8.2
8.5
3.8 6.7
5.9
12.8
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25M
ay-1
4
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Ranbaxy Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 18: Market share in Indian formulations market
3.53 3.563.49
3.583.48 3.44
3.67
3.43 3.40
3.13 3.113.21
3.58
2.82.93.03.13.23.33.43.53.63.73.8
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Ranbaxy Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 19: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Volini Pain 16.0 17.7 -10 16.9 -6
Rosuvas Cardiac 13.8 10.1 37 12.7 8
Revital Vitamins 1.0 20.1 -95 0.6 62
Mox Anti-Infectives 9.2 6.9 32 9.3 -1
Storvas Cardiac 10.3 8.4 23 10.4 0
Sporidex Anti-Infectives 6.0 3.8 58 6.1 0
Cifran Anti-Infectives 4.6 5.8 -20 3.8 23
Cepodem Anti-Infectives 5.3 4.1 28 5.2 2
Moxclav Anti-Infectives 5.8 3.9 49 5.5 6
Zanocin Anti-Infectives 5.0 3.7 35 4.7 5
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 20: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15) z
Anti-Infectives32%
Cardiac15%Pain
12%Derma11%
Vitamins 6%
Other24%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 21: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives 81.9 66.1 23.9 78.8 3.9
Cardiac 45.8 35.6 28.6 43.8 4.7
Pain 31.6 29.6 6.8 31.9 -1.0
Derma 33.4 26.6 25.3 30.2 10.6
Vitamins 14.4 26.0 -44.5 6.8 112.6
Gastro Intestinal 19.8 16.6 19.1 18.8 5.3
Urology 12.8 8.4 52.3 12.9 -0.4
Respiratory 8.1 7.7 4.6 8.6 -6.1
Neuro 9.1 9.0 1.5 8.1 12.0
Anti Diabetic 9.3 6.2 50.4 9.0 4.0
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 2291.5, 76%
Chronic, 713.3, 24%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
49%
19%
10%
10%
12%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 13: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 13
Cipla
Stock Performance
80
110
140
170
200
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Cipla
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 22: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
7.2 12
.4
10.4
15.4
38.8
10.3
8.3 13
.5
13.2
24.0
24.8
25.4
15.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Cipla
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 23: Market share in Indian formulations market
4.74.6
4.7
4.9
5.4
5.04.9
5.1 5.15.3
5.1
5.3
4.9
4.04.24.44.64.85.05.25.45.6
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Cipla
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 24: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Foracort Respiratory 14.9 12.0 24 17.5 -15
Asthalin Respiratory 10.2 10.3 -1 12.2 -17
Budecort Respiratory 10.5 9.0 17 13.0 -20
Seroflo Respiratory 10.8 9.6 13 12.5 -13
Duolin Respiratory 8.4 7.4 13 10.6 -20
Aerocort Respiratory 8.1 7.8 3 9.8 -18
Azee Anti-Infectives 6.1 5.1 20 7.2 -16
Novamox Anti-Infectives 6.6 5.9 12 5.8 13
Montair Lc Respiratory 5.7 4.4 30 6.7 -14
Dytor Cardiac 6.2 4.9 26 6.6 -7
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 25: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Respiratory30%
Anti-Infectives27%
Cardiac13%
Gastro Intestinal7%
Urology5%
Other18%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 26: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr '15 QoQ (%)Respiratory 107.6 95.3 13.0 129.2 -16.7Anti-Infect ives 95.9 84.5 13.4 109.5 -12.4
Cardiac 49.4 43.0 14.9 55.9 -11.6Gastro Intestinal 31.0 25.7 20.9 33.1 -6.2
Urology 18.8 14.3 31.7 20.6 -8.9Neuro 14.2 11.4 24.6 15.6 -8.8
Pain 11.4 7.8 46.2 12.7 -10.0
Ophthal 10.0 8.7 14.8 10.7 -7.0
Derma 8.5 7.7 10.9 9.5 -10.5
Vitamins 8.8 8.4 4.8 9.0 -2.7
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 2639.2, 59%
Chronic, 1833.3, 41%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
25%
12%
9%12%
42%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 14: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 14
Dr Reddy’s Laboratories
Stock Performance
70
100
130
160
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15CNX Pharma Dr. Reddys
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 27: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
8.9
16.0
9.3
15.3 16.6
1.6
9.3 12
.8
12.3 16
.1
24.1 25
.9
15.4
-10
0
10
20
30
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Dr. Reddys Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 28: Market share in Indian formulations market
2.12.1
2.1
2.1 2.1
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.12.1
2.2 2.22.2
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Dr. Reddys Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 29: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Omez Gastro Intestinal 11.2 8.9 26 10.3 8
Omez D Gastro Intestinal 7.8 6.6 19 7.1 10
Nise Pain 5.9 5.4 9 5.5 7
Stamlo Cardiac 5.3 4.8 9 5.4 -2
Econorm Gastro Intestinal 6.9 5.0 37 6.1 12
Mintop Derma 3.8 3.1 23 4.6 -17
Stamlo Beta Cardiac 4.5 4.0 10 4.3 4
Razo D Gastro Intestinal 3.4 3.9 -11 4.2 -18
Reditux Anti-Neoplastics 3.3 4.0 -18 4.8 -31
Razo Gastro Intestinal 3.4 3.7 -7 3.7 -7
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 30: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Gastro Intestinal23%
Cardiac16%
Anti-Neoplastics
11%Anti-Infectives9%
Pain 8%
Other33%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 31: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Gastro Intestinal 42.0 35.9 16.9 40.9 2.7
Cardiac 28.3 24.4 16.2 28.9 -1.9
Anti-Neoplastics 19.2 15.6 23.4 21.7 -11.2
Anti-Infectives 12.4 9.8 26.7 13.6 -8.8
Pain 12.9 12.1 6.1 12.9 -0.4
Anti Diabetic 12.3 10.8 14.4 12.6 -2.2
Derma 10.6 10.1 4.7 12.1 -12.2
Respiratory 6.9 6.0 13.8 7.7 -11.1
Urology 6.7 6.1 10.9 6.5 4.1
Stomatologicals 6.3 5.9 6.4 6.2 1.3
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 1310.7, 70%
Chronic, 570.9, 30%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
31%
16%9%
12%
32%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 15: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 15
Lupin
Stock Performance
75115155195
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Lupin
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 32: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6
17.5
23.0
13.3
8.5
19.8
10.5 13
.7
18.3
15.0
23.3
3.6
0.6
21.5
11.1
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Lupin
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 33: Market share in Indian formulations market
3.7 3.7
3.4
3.23.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
3.23.1
3.23.3
2.32.52.72.93.13.33.53.73.9
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Lupin
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 34: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Gluconorm-G Anti Diabetic 10.7 11.0 -2 11.2 -4
Tonact Cardiac 7.3 8.1 -9 7.9 -7
Budamate Respiratory 7.1 5.2 35 6.1 16
Ramistar Cardiac 4.2 4.6 -9 4.3 -3
R-Cinex Anti-Infectives 4.1 4.5 -9 4.1 0
Rablet-D Gastro Intestinal 4.4 3.8 17 4.2 6
Rablet Gastro Intestinal 3.9 3.8 2 4.1 -4
Esiflo Respiratory 4.1 3.1 32 3.5 19
Merotrol Anti-Infectives 2.5 4.3 -43 3.1 -19
Telekast-L Respiratory 3.0 2.7 13 3.0 1
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 35: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Cardiac24%
Anti-Infectives23%
Respiratory12%
Anti Diabetic11%
Gastro Intestinal8%
Other22%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 36: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Cardiac 63.9 63.1 1.3 65.9 -3.1
Anti-Infectives 54.0 62.7 -13.9 55.9 -3.5
Respiratory 29.8 25.0 19.2 28.9 3.4
Anti Diabetic 28.7 26.2 9.5 28.3 1.4
Gastro Intestinal 21.3 20.0 6.5 21.0 1.2
Vitamins 15.4 16.3 -5.9 15.6 -1.5
Neuro 12.7 13.5 -6.2 12.7 -0.6
Pain 12.5 11.8 5.7 13.1 -5.0
Gynaecological 8.5 7.1 18.9 8.0 5.9
Derma 1.6 1.6 -0.8 1.6 -2.8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 1549.2, 52%
Chronic, 1405.5, 48%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
20%
12%
9%13%
46%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 16: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 16
Cadila Healthcare
Stock Performance
5080
110140170200230
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Cadila Healthcare
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 37: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7 11
.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
8.8 11
.2
9.1
8.9
12.0
0.9
7.4
11.6
5.1
5.2
8.9
8.8
4.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Cadila Healthcare
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 38: Market share in Indian formulations market
3.9 3.9
3.8
3.8
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.9 3.9
3.73.7 3.8
3.7
3.6
3.8
4.0
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 39: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Skinlite Derma 14.1 13.3 6 16.3 -14
Atorva Cardiac 10.0 9.0 11 10.4 -4
Mifegest Kit Gynaecological 13.2 9.6 38 14.6 -10
Deriphyllin Respiratory 7.7 7.8 0 8.8 -12
Pantodac Gastro Intestinal 7.5 6.7 12 7.8 -4
Amlodac Cardiac 6.2 6.0 4 6.1 3
Aten Cardiac 5.0 6.0 -16 5.3 -6
Falcigo Anti Malarials 2.6 3.7 -29 3.3 -21
Primolut N Gynaecological 4.9 4.2 16 5.5 -11
Zyrop Blood Related 1.9 4.7 -60 2.4 -23
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 40: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Cardiac18%
Gastro Intestinal14%
Gynaecological12%
Respiratory11%
Derma9%
Other36%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 41: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Cardiac 53.8 50.7 6.3 54.4 -1.1
Gastro Intestinal 39.6 39.5 0.3 43.2 -8.3
Gynaecological 38.7 31.3 23.4 42.9 -9.7
Respiratory 28.6 26.4 8.5 31.8 -10.2
Derma 24.6 20.7 18.7 26.1 -5.9
Pain 20.4 23.3 -12.2 20.5 -0.2
Anti-Infectives 17.7 18.8 -6.1 17.3 2.2
Vitamins 12.4 10.3 20.1 12.1 2.3
Anti-Neoplastics 12.0 9.1 31.9 13.7 -12.3
Anti Malarials 4.9 5.0 -2.9 5.4 -9.8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 2270.1, 68%
Chronic, 1091.5, 32%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
27%
13%
8%11%
41%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 17: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 17
GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
80110140170200
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma GSK Pharma
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 42: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
-7.0 -4
.5
-6.0
1.4
13.0
12.1
5.5
0.8 2.
6
6.6 10
.8 12.9
0.6
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 43: Market share in Indian formulations market
3.6 3.63.6
3.7
3.53.4 3.5 3.4
3.3 3.3
3.43.4
3.3
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 44: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Augmentin Anti-Infectives 24.7 20.6 20 26.6 -7
Synflorix Vaccines 14.0 11.3 24 15.8 -12
Calpol Pain 11.5 13.0 -11 13.9 -17
Zinetac Gastro Intestinal 14.4 12.8 12 14.4 0
Betnovate C Derma 14.9 7.9 90 14.5 3
Ceftum Anti-Infectives 10.7 10.4 3 10.2 5
Betnovate N Derma 11.7 10.1 15 12.2 -5
Eltroxin Hormones 10.9 11.0 -1 11.9 -8
T Bact Derma 8.6 7.6 13 8.0 8
Betnesol Hormones 8.9 5.5 60 10.0 -11
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 45: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Anti-Infectives25%
Derma20%Vaccines
12%
Pain 9%
Vitamins 7%
Other27%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 46: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives 58.6 63.4 -7.5 63.2 -7.3
Derma 60.3 45.5 32.6 61.7 -2.3
Vaccines 25.9 34.1 -24.0 30.9 -16.3
Pain 21.6 22.3 -2.8 24.9 -13.0
Vitamins 18.2 17.7 2.6 19.1 -4.7
Hormones 20.6 17.1 20.5 22.7 -9.5
Gastro Intestinal 17.0 16.4 3.9 17.2 -1.1
Respiratory 12.1 13.0 -7.2 15.0 -19.6
Cardiac 5.9 7.1 -17.5 6.3 -6.2
Ophthal 2.9 3.5 -16.6 3.6 -19.1
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 2661.8, 87%
Chronic, 407.9, 13%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
49%
15%
9%
11%
16%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 18: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 18
Wockhardt
Stock Performance
050
100150200250300350400
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Wockhardt
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 47: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6 12
.2 14.8
13.5 19
.6 21.5
17.5
11.1
-5.9
14.6 18
.0
-2.6
-2.4
8.5
5.0
-5.1
19.0
31.2
44.0
29.7
21.2
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Wockhardt
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 48: Market share in Indian formulations market
1.151.09
1.191.24
1.08
1.161.10
1.16
1.37
1.47
1.40
1.291.25
1.01.11.11.21.21.31.31.41.41.51.5
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Wockhardt
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 49: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Spasmo Proxyvon PluGastro Intestinal 22.3 12.3 82 23.4 -5
Practin Vitamins 6.0 4.8 NA 6.9 -14
Bro Zedex Respiratory 3.4 3.8 -11 4.5 -24
Tryptomer Neuro 3.9 4.2 -7 4.1 -6
Biovac V Vaccines 6.4 0.0 #DIV/0! 6.3 2
Zedex Respiratory 2.8 2.7 1 3.4 -18
Methycobal Vitamins 3.5 3.1 13 3.3 8
Ace Proxyvon Pain 2.7 2.3 18 2.9 -8
Biovac A Vaccines 2.7 1.2 127 3.2 -16
Depiwhite Derma 1.2 0.7 64 1.9 -38
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 50: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15) Gastro Intestinal
20%
Vitamins 17%
Respiratory14%Derma
8%
Neuro 8%
Other33%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 51: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Gastro Intestinal 24.4 13.8 77.1 25.3 -3.6
Vitamins 16.0 15.4 4.0 17.2 -6.5
Respiratory 10.3 10.2 0.5 13.2 -22.3
Derma 6.3 6.4 -0.7 6.9 -8.1
Neuro 7.1 6.6 6.6 7.9 -10.5
Anti-Infectives 5.7 5.2 9.8 6.1 -6.0
Vaccines 9.1 1.2 654.7 9.5 -4.0
Pain 6.2 5.5 12.4 6.2 0.3
Anti Diabetic 6.0 4.9 22.2 5.7 4.1
Hormones 1.9 4.3 -54.5 2.1 -8.2
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 889.3, 80%
Chronic, 215.6, 20%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
52%
17%
8%
9%
14%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 19: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 19
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
60
100
140
180
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15CNX Pharma Glenmark
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 52: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
15.0 18
.0
9.9
9.1
27.2
2.6
20.4 21
.5
21.4 24
.2
28.1 30
.3
28.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 53: Market share in Indian formulations market
1.92.0
2.02.1
2.4
2.1
2.4 2.52.4
2.32.3
2.32.2
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.5
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 54: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Telma Cardiac 13.4 11.5 17 13.6 -1
Telma H Cardiac 10.3 8.2 26 10.8 -5
Ascoril Plus Respiratory 5.5 5.2 6 7.9 -31
Candid-B Derma 6.5 5.4 20 7.4 -12
Candid Derma 8.9 4.5 98 6.3 41
Zitamet Anti Diabetic 6.7 3.5 92 6.8 -1
Telma Am Cardiac 5.8 3.8 53 5.5 6
Zita(Glenmark) Anti Diabetic 4.6 2.2 108 4.9 -6
Ascoril Ls Respiratory 2.4 1.5 56 3.2 -26
Candid Mouth Derma 2.9 2.3 27 3.3 -11
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 55: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Derma29%
Cardiac23%
Respiratory15%
Anti-Infectives14%
Anti Diabetic8%
Other11%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 56: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Derma 51.7 38.6 33.9 52.4 -1.3
Cardiac 41.3 32.8 25.9 43.0 -4.1
Respiratory 20.1 16.1 24.7 26.5 -24.1
Anti-Infectives 23.2 18.9 22.8 27.1 -14.4
Anti Diabetic 15.5 10.3 50.8 15.9 -2.3
Gastro Intestinal 4.5 3.5 29.6 5.2 -13.8
Vitamins 4.5 3.3 35.4 4.4 1.7
Pain 3.7 3.4 8.6 4.0 -8.4
Gynaecological 3.1 3.2 -4.6 3.2 -3.6
Otologicals 2.8 1.9 45.8 2.9 -5.6
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 1264.0, 63%
Chronic, 738.3, 37%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
38%
13%10%
12%
27%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 20: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 20
Torrent Pharmaceuticals
Stock Performance
80
170
260
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Torrent Pharma
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 57: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
4.7
12.2
10.9
8.4
18.5
6.0
23.2
30.7
21.1
30.9
30.5
28.8
27.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Torrent Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 58: Market share in Indian formulations market
2.202.26 2.26
2.11 2.12
2.242.31
2.432.36
2.402.32
2.45 2.52
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Torrent Pharmaceuticals
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 59: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Shelcal Vitamins 18.2 8.7 110 19.8 -8
Chymoral Forte Pain 10.3 4.8 116 9.9 4
Nikoran Cardiac 6.4 6.2 3 6.8 -5
Dilzem Cardiac 5.3 5.7 -6 5.7 -7
Nebicard Cardiac 4.9 4.1 19 5.1 -3
Nexpro Rd Gastro Intestinal 4.4 3.4 28 4.2 5
Azulix-Mf Anti Diabetic 4.7 3.7 25 4.7 -1
Nexpro Gastro Intestinal 3.9 2.9 34 4.1 -4
Alprax Neuro 3.1 2.9 7 3.4 -8
Domstal Gastro Intestinal 3.2 3.2 0 2.9 8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 60: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Cardiac29%
Neuro 16%Gastro Intestinal
16%
Vitamins 14%
Pain 7%
Other18%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 61: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Cardiac 54.9 48.5 13.3 57.5 -4.6
Neuro 30.7 26.1 17.5 31.3 -2.1
Gastro Intestinal 30.3 23.5 28.8 29.1 4.1
Vitamins 30.2 19.1 57.6 31.2 -3.3
Pain 15.2 8.0 90.1 14.6 4.1
Anti-Infectives 10.0 10.4 -3.3 10.5 -4.6
Anti Diabetic 10.9 8.7 24.8 11.1 -1.9
Derma 4.4 2.9 50.7 4.4 -0.4
Gynaecological 3.8 3.2 19.0 3.9 -1.8
Blood Related 0.7 0.6 19.7 0.8 -14.1
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 1028.2, 50%
Chronic, 1030.8, 50%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
32%
14%
9%
12%
33%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 21: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 21
Ipca Laboratories
Stock Performance
60
120
180
May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15
CNX Pharma Ipca
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 62: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6 12
.2 14.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.122
.2
23.1
15.5
21.4
16.3
13.0
12.9
28.6
35.9
12.2 14
.5
9.2 -6
.0
-10-505
10152025303540
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Ipca Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 63: Market share in Indian formulations market
1.5 1.51.4 1.5
1.51.4
1.31.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Ipca Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 64: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Zerodol Sp Pain 7.1 5.4 30 6.7 5
Zerodol P Pain 5.5 5.5 -1 5.2 5
Hcqs Anti Malarials 4.8 5.0 -4 5.9 -18
Larinate Anti Malarials 2.4 3.0 -20 2.0 20
Rapither-Ab Anti Malarials 3.6 2.9 26 3.4 6
Lariago Anti Malarials 2.1 2.6 -21 2.6 -21
Glycinorm M Anti Diabetic 2.9 3.1 -6 2.3 23
Folitrax Anti-Neoplastics 2.5 2.8 -11 2.8 -11
Azibact Anti-Infectives 1.8 2.1 -12 1.6 12
Lumerax Anti Malarials 1.2 2.0 -42 1.2 -3
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 65: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Pain 23%
Anti Malarials21%
Cardiac17%
Gastro Intestinal8%
Anti-Infectives7%
Other24%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 66: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Pain 26.0 24.7 5.1 24.8 4.6
Anti Malarials 17.1 19.0 -9.9 17.6 -3.1
Cardiac 17.3 18.9 -8.6 17.8 -3.3
Gastro Intestinal 10.0 10.1 -1.1 8.9 12.8
Anti-Infectives 6.1 7.1 -14.1 6.6 -6.7
Anti Diabetic 5.4 6.3 -13.6 4.9 9.3
Respiratory 3.2 3.7 -14.3 3.7 -12.3
Neuro 3.3 3.5 -5.1 4.9 -33.0
Anti-Neoplastics 3.6 3.6 0.5 4.9 -26.3
Derma 2.4 3.5 -31.0 2.8 -14.5
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 874.4, 73%
Chronic, 322.5, 27%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
36%
15%11%
13%
25%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 22: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 22
Biocon
Stock Performance
6080
100120140160180
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15CNX Pharma Biocon
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 67: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
21.5
17.5
11.1
33.8
43.1
19.6
20.3
11.4
31.3
9.8
1.0
7.2
18.8
17.5
11.6
11.7
3.0
05
101520253035404550
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Biocon
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 68: Market share in Indian formulations market
0.37
0.40
0.360.35
0.39
0.37
0.36 0.36
0.38
0.35
0.36
0.340.34
0.33
0.34
0.35
0.36
0.37
0.38
0.39
0.40
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Biocon
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 69: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Insugen Anti Diabetic 7.0 5.8 20 6.7 5
Basalog Anti Diabetic 4.1 3.3 27 4.7 -13
Canmab Anti-Neoplastics 1.7 0.4 346 1.6 7
Erypro Blood Related 1.6 1.0 65 1.4 9
Blisto Mf Anti Diabetic 1.5 2.1 -30 1.7 -14
Abraxane Anti-Neoplastics 1.4 1.5 -10 1.0 45
Insugen R Anti Diabetic 1.3 1.2 11 1.4 -8
Insugen N Anti Diabetic 0.8 0.7 13 0.9 -9
Abstet Anti-Neoplastics 0.7 0.2 228 0.8 -7
Psorid Anti-Neoplastics 0.5 0.3 37 0.6 -17
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 70: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Anti Diabetic58%
Anti-Neoplastics
21%
Cardiac9%
Blood Related4%
Derma3%
Other 5%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 71: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Anti Diabetic 15.9 14.9 6.6 16.9 -5.8
Anti-Neoplastics 5.5 3.9 38.8 5.0 9.5
Cardiac 1.6 2.8 -41.9 1.9 -16.3
Blood Related 1.6 1.0 64.7 1.4 8.9
Derma 0.8 0.8 2.6 0.8 5.8
Anti-Infectives 0.6 1.6 -65.6 0.6 -5.5
Others 0.2 0.3 -18.8 0.2 -1.3
Vitamins 0.2 0.2 -22.1 0.2 8.8
Gastro Intestinal 0.1 0.1 45.0 0.1 33.4
Hormones 0.1 0.0 25.1 0.1 15.9
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 90.7, 28%
Chronic, 231.9, 72%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
72%
12%
7%
6%
3%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
![Page 23: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 23
Pfizer
Stock Performance
80110140170200230
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Pfizer
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research Exhibit 72: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6 12
.2 14.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
11.0
9.9
6.7
3.3
24.1
10.0
34.1
24.8
26.1
22.8
17.9
18.5 10.2
-10-505
10152025303540
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Pfizer
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 73: Market share in Indian formulations market
2.902.82 2.86
2.812.92
2.87
3.07
3.253.34
3.042.98 3.02
2.88
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Pfizer
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 74: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Becosules Vitamins 22.4 18.2 23 23.4 -4
Corex Respiratory 19.8 16.2 22 21.5 -8
Magnex Anti-Infectives 11.0 8.2 34 14.4 -24
Gelusil Mps Gastro Intestinal 11.2 8.2 37 11.5 -2
Dolonex Pain 10.2 9.8 4 11.2 -9
Minipress Xl Cardiac 9.7 9.0 7 10.3 -6
Mucaine Gastro Intestinal 7.9 6.7 17 8.5 -8
Wysolone Hormones 6.3 7.1 -11 7.5 -16
Dalacin C Anti-Infectives 5.8 5.1 14 5.9 -1
Solu Medrol Hormones 5.4 4.7 13 5.6 -3
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 75: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Anti-Infectives17%
Vitamins 12%
Respiratory12%
Gastro Intestinal11%Hormones
9%
Other39%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 76: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives 34.1 32.1 6.3 41.6 -17.9
Vitamins 27.8 22.4 23.8 29.0 -4.3
Respiratory 24.7 20.2 21.8 27.6 -10.6
Gastro Intestinal 24.3 19.4 25.2 25.6 -5.0
Hormones 18.4 18.1 1.8 19.9 -7.6
Gynaecological 17.3 14.7 17.4 18.8 -8.3
Cardiac 15.8 14.7 7.3 16.9 -6.6
Pain 15.0 15.3 -1.8 16.2 -7.3
Neuro 15.9 18.2 -12.9 17.1 -7.2
Vaccines 6.9 6.0 14.6 7.6 -8.8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 2262.0, 85%
Chronic, 394.0, 15%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
49%
19%
10%
10%
12%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base l
![Page 24: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 24
Novartis India
Stock Performance
80
130
180
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Novartis India
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 77: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
-0.9
-1.9
-2.4
-0.5
13.4
5.9
5.1 6.
7
1.1 5.
9
-0.1
2.5
2.6
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Novartis India
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 78: Market share in Indian formulations market
1.36 1.35 1.34
1.30
1.34
1.42
1.32
1.38
1.34
1.26 1.25 1.241.25
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.5
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Novartis India
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 79: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Galvus Met Anti Diabetic 17.8 14.1 26 17.3 3
Voveran Pain 13.5 13.3 1 15.2 -11
Galvus Anti Diabetic 9.2 7.6 21 8.3 11
Rabipur (Novartis) Vaccines 8.5 8.4 1 8.4 2
Otrivin Respiratory 4.2 4.0 7 5.5 -23
Tegrital Neuro 4.5 5.4 -17 4.5 0
Regestrone Gynaecological 3.0 3.0 -1 3.2 -7
Methergin Gynaecological 2.5 2.3 10 3.0 -16
Voveran Pain 2.7 2.5 11 2.6 4
Genteal Ophthal 2.7 2.3 21 2.9 -6
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 80: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Anti Diabetic26%
Pain 19%
Respiratory12%
Vitamins 10%
Gynaecological8%
Other25%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 81: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Anti Diabetic 27.7 22.6 22.5 26.4 5.0
Pain 19.2 19.2 0.2 21.1 -9.0
Respiratory 6.9 9.0 -24.2 9.6 -28.9
Vitamins 9.9 10.5 -6.0 9.5 4.6
Gynaecological 7.3 7.4 -1.2 8.1 -10.3
Vaccines 8.6 8.5 1.2 8.4 2.7
Neuro 7.3 8.4 -13.5 7.3 -0.2
Anti-Infectives 4.2 3.2 29.0 4.4 -5.9
Ophthal 3.2 2.7 19.3 3.3 -3.7
Cardiac 1.1 1.3 -21.7 1.1 -3.8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 751.2, 64%
Chronic, 419.3, 36%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
68%
15%
6%6% 5%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 25: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 25
Unichem Laboratories
Stock Performance
70100130160
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Unichem Labs
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 82: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
16.9
10.3 13
.9
13.0
13.8
-15.
9
2.9
3.8 6.6
13.6 16
.7
12.9
11.9
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Unichem Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 83: Market share in Indian formulations market
1.00
0.930.97
0.90
0.97
0.85
0.95 0.940.98
0.950.97
1.010.95
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Unichem Laboratories
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 84: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Losar H Cardiac 7.3 6.6 9 7.5 -3
Ampoxin Anti-Infectives 7.0 5.3 32 6.9 0
Unienzyme Gastro Intestinal 7.3 5.3 38 6.4 14
Losar Cardiac 5.3 5.1 4 5.8 -8
Vizylac Gastro Intestinal 3.6 2.6 38 3.3 10
Trika Neuro 2.2 2.2 2 2.5 -12
Serta Neuro 1.7 1.7 -1 1.7 -1
Telsar Cardiac 1.6 1.8 -13 1.6 0
Unistar (Unichem) Cardiac 1.5 1.5 -3 1.5 0
Telsar-H Cardiac 1.2 1.4 -9 1.2 0
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 85: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Cardiac42%
Anti-Infectives18%
Gastro Intestinal13%
Neuro 12%
Pain 4% Other
11%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 86: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Cardiac 30.9 31.4 -1.4 31.6 -2.2
Anti-Infectives 13.5 11.0 22.9 13.4 0.9
Gastro Intestinal 12.6 9.1 38.7 11.3 11.2
Neuro 9.5 8.6 10.1 9.4 0.4
Pain 2.9 2.3 25.4 2.8 5.7
Anti Diabetic 2.4 2.7 -10.7 2.4 0.7
Respiratory 1.9 1.5 25.1 1.9 1.1
Vitamins 2.2 1.3 64.8 2.0 12.1
Derma 1.2 1.0 24.1 1.1 13.5
Gynaecological 0.5 0.4 9.6 0.4 24.4
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 365.9, 43%Chronic,
476.9, 57%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
48%
13%
10%
11%
18%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 26: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 26
Indoco Remedies
Stock Performance
80
180
280
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Indoco
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 87: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
19.0
19.0
8.5
17.5
34.4
6.1
4.8
-1.48.
6 8.9
18.9
22.0
2.4
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Indoco Remedies
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 88: Market share in Indian formulations market
0.7 0.8 0.8
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.7 0.7 0.70.8
0.7
0.7 0.7
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indoco Remedies
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 89: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)
Febrex Plus Respiratory 3.2 5.1 -38 5.8 -45
Cyclopam Gastro Intestinal 4.0 3.7 8 3.5 15
Sensodent-K Stomatologicals 2.5 3.3 -25 3.1 -20
Oxipod Anti-Infectives 2.3 2.1 10 2.5 -7
Cital Urology 3.3 2.9 15 3.0 11
Atm Anti-Infectives 2.0 1.7 19 2.1 -6
Sensoform Stomatologicals 1.4 1.7 -14 1.7 -13
Sensodent-Kf Stomatologicals 1.5 1.5 -1 1.8 -14
Cloben G Derma 1.6 1.6 1 1.7 -5
Cyclopam Gastro Intestinal 1.9 1.6 19 1.7 16
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 90: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15) Respiratory
19%
Stomatologicals17%
Anti-Infectives17%
Gastro Intestinal14%
Vitamins 6%
Other27%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 91: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Respiratory 6.0 8.1 -26.2 9.1 -34.3
Stomatologicals 8.3 8.9 -6.5 9.4 -11.4
Anti-Infectives 8.1 7.7 5.4 8.4 -3.8
Gastro Intestinal 9.1 8.4 8.2 8.0 14.2
Vitamins 3.4 2.7 24.8 3.4 1.4
Urology 3.6 3.1 16.9 3.2 12.7
Pain 2.2 2.5 -13.2 2.1 2.4
Derma 2.2 2.0 6.9 2.3 -4.8
Anti Diabetic 1.7 2.1 -18.4 1.9 -13.0
Ophthal 2.2 2.0 6.5 2.2 -3.6
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 621.7, 93%
Chronic, 44.7, 7%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
48%
17%
8%
10%
17%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 27: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 27
Ajanta Pharma
Stock Performance
50100150200250300350400
Jun-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15
CNX Pharma Ajanta
Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 92: Company growth vis-à-vis Indian pharma market growth
12.1 13
.9
10.7
11.4
20.8
7.6
12.2 14
.8
13.5
19.6 21
.5
17.5
11.1
45.6
41.5
27.5
19.9
44.8
36.0
23.2
33.1
14.6
16.2
15.4
10.5
8.1
05
1015
2025
3035
4045
50M
ay-1
4
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Indian Pharma Market Ajanta Pharma
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 93: Market share in Indian formulations market
0.50 0.500.49
0.470.45
0.50
0.53
0.51 0.510.52
0.480.47
0.49
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-
14
Sep-
14
Oct-1
4
Nov
-14
Dec-
14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-1
5
May
-15
(%)
Ajanta Pharma
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 94: Top 10 brands performance (| crore) Brand Therapy May'15 May'14 Var. (%) Apr'15 Var. (%)Met Xl Cardiac 3.8 4.3 -11.7 3.2 17.8
Melacare Derma 3.5 3.6 -3.2 3.7 -5.1
Atorfit Cv Cardiac 2.8 2.5 13.6 2.8 0.9
Soft Drops Ophthal 1.2 1.0 16.1 1.1 7.7
Met Xl Am Cardiac 1.0 1.0 -0.6 0.9 11.0
Feburic Pain 0.9 0.9 -4.2 0.9 -0.8
Rosufit Cv Cardiac 0.9 0.8 14.5 0.9 3.5
Peroclin Derma 0.6 0.6 8.5 0.6 3.8
Metaspan Vitamins 0.6 0.6 -5.9 0.5 10.8
Melacare Plus Derma 0.5 0.6 -11.9 0.6 -19.7
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 95: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
Cardiac33%
Derma24%
Ophthal22%
Vitamins 6%
Pain 5%
Others10%
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 96: Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy May'15 May'14 YoY (%) Apr'15 QoQ (%)
Cardiac 12.5 11.4 9.0 11.7 6.9
Derma 8.5 8.7 -1.7 9.1 -5.9
Ophthal 8.9 7.7 14.7 8.9 -0.3
Vitamins 2.4 1.9 31.6 2.3 7.6
Pain 1.8 1.6 18.0 1.8 1.1
Gastro Intestinal 1.0 1.1 -8.8 1.4 -27.0
Neuro 0.9 0.9 -1.7 0.8 9.2
Ophthal 0.5 0.5 3.3 0.6 -5.7
Respiratory 0.2 0.4 -45.2 0.3 -15.9
Anti-Infectives 0.5 0.2 173.8 0.4 22.8
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Acute : Chronic contribution (MAT May’15)
Acute, 225.4, 52%
Chronic, 211.5, 48%
Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT May’15)
43%
13%9%
13%
22%
Top 10 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 50 Others
Source: AIOCD data base
![Page 28: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 28
Exhibit 97: One year forward P/E of CNX Pharma vs. Nifty
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Mar
-06
Oct-0
6
May
-07
Dec-
07
Jul-0
8
Feb-
09
Sep-
09
Apr-1
0
Nov
-10
Jun-
11
Jan-
12
Aug-
12
Mar
-13
Oct-1
3
May
-14
Dec-
14
x
CNX Pharma Sensex [
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 98: Two year forward P/E of CNX Pharma Index vs. Nifty
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Mar
-07
Aug-
07
Jan-
08
Jun-
08
Nov
-08
Apr-0
9
Sep-
09
Feb-
10
Jul-1
0
Dec-
10
May
-11
Oct-1
1
Mar
-12
Aug-
12
Jan-
13
Jun-
13
Nov
-13
Apr-1
4
Sep-
14
Feb-
15
x
CNX Pharma Sensex
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Healthcare) ICICIdirect Healthcare coverage Universe
I-Direct CMP TP Rating M CapCode (|) (|) (| Cr) FY14 FY15E FY16E FY14 FY15E FY16E FY14 FY15E FY16E FY14 FY15E FY16E FY14 FY15E FY16E
Ajanta Pharma AJAPHA 1504 1488 BUY 13231.0 26.5 38.3 45.6 56.8 39.3 33.0 35.9 26.0 21.9 44.9 40.6 38.1 39.4 32.8 28.9
Apollo Hospitals APOHOS 1253 1454 BUY 17432.4 22.8 24.0 35.3 55.0 52.3 35.5 27.3 25.6 17.2 11.6 10.3 14.4 10.6 10.4 13.7
Aurobindo Pharma AURPHA 1361 1680 BUY 39732.9 47.3 53.9 72.7 28.8 25.2 18.7 20.3 17.0 13.5 24.1 23.5 25.3 31.3 30.3 29.7
Biocon BIOCON 467 447 HOLD 9337.0 20.7 20.1 22.5 35.1 29.2 32.4 21.2 21.1 18.0 12.2 10.7 11.7 13.7 15.2 12.4
Cadila Healthcare CADHEA 1793 1913 BUY 36715.5 39.2 56.2 75.4 45.7 31.9 23.8 32.3 22.0 16.9 15.9 21.3 24.7 23.4 26.4 27.4
Cipla CIPLA 607 650 HOLD 48719.5 17.3 14.9 23.8 35.1 40.7 25.5 23.2 22.9 15.6 15.5 13.2 18.5 13.8 10.8 15.1
Dr Reddy's Labs DRREDD 3385 3949 BUY 57708.0 126.7 123.6 150.9 26.7 27.4 22.4 17.4 16.6 14.2 19.2 18.1 20.2 23.7 19.3 19.6
Glenmark Pharma GLEPHA 868 927 HOLD 27882.3 20.0 17.1 35.1 49.4 57.8 28.1 23.2 25.2 16.0 16.0 12.7 22.9 18.3 14.3 24.1
Indoco Remedies INDREM 362 410 BUY 3317.4 6.3 8.8 14.3 57.3 40.9 25.2 28.2 20.5 14.8 16.6 19.4 24.4 12.7 15.5 20.8
Ipca Laboratories IPCLAB 681 625 HOLD 8589.1 37.9 20.5 28.9 17.9 33.3 23.6 11.2 18.1 16.5 27.6 11.4 12.5 24.4 12.1 15.1
Jubilant Life Sciences VAMORG 168 168 HOLD 2680.7 6.8 -6.5 20.0 24.6 -26.0 8.4 6.5 11.8 5.7 10.1 5.7 8.2 4.2 -2.4 6.6
Lupin LUPIN 1817 1899 BUY 81726.0 41.0 53.6 61.1 44.4 33.9 29.7 27.9 22.0 19.5 31.8 31.1 29.9 24.3 25.3 23.4
Natco Pharma NATPHA 2190 2200 HOLD 7278.6 30.3 31.2 51.0 62.3 60.3 37.0 41.9 34.8 24.9 15.3 15.6 20.6 14.1 12.4 17.9
Sun Pharma SUNPHA 846 970 BUY 203571.4 6.6 19.8 29.1 127.8 42.8 29.0 49.9 23.2 17.6 32.4 31.2 28.8 27.0 25.3 23.1
Torrent Pharma TORPHA 1335 1450 BUY 22585.3 39.2 47.2 50.4 34.0 28.3 26.5 23.9 21.1 17.0 28.5 21.4 26.7 34.9 32.4 28.0
Unichem Laboratories UNILAB 187 214 HOLD 1700.9 18.7 7.2 14.1 10.0 25.9 13.2 9.4 16.1 9.7 15.7 7.2 13.5 20.7 7.5 13.9
RoNW (%)Company
EPS (|) PE(x) EV/EBITDA (x) RoCE (%)
![Page 29: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 29
RATING RATIONALE ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock. Sector view: Over weight compared to index Equal weight compared to index Under weight compared to index Index here refers to BSE 500
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No. 7, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093
![Page 30: IDirect HealthCheck May 15content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_HealthCheck_June15.pdf · ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research June 22, 2015 Monthly Update Q4 numbers](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022052017/602f8435ce3bcc1441519690/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 30
ANALYST CERTIFICATION We /I, Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER Mitesh Shah MS (Finance) Nandan Kamat MBA Finance, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Terms & conditions and other disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com. ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates might have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover. The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, ICICI Securitiesis is under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent ICICI Securities from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities might be acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain other circumstances. This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past twelve months. ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction. ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned in the report in the past twelve months. ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. It is confirmed that Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER Mitesh Shah MS (Finance) Nandan Kamat MBA Finance, Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. It is confirmed that Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER Mitesh Shah MS (Finance) Nandan Kamat MBA Finance, Research Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report. ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies mentioned in the report. We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.