ibm research gto 2010 v lyon lite

© 2010 IBM CorporationGlobal Technology Outlook 2010 - Do not Distribute

“A Global Technology Outlook from a Systems & Technology Group perspective”

Claude RioussetExecutive IT ArchitectIBM Systems & Technology Group

IBM Systems Technical University – Lyon, France - 25-29 October, 2010

« Lite version »

© 2010 IBM Corporation2

“Today, innovation is about much more than new products. It is about reinventing business processes and building entirely new markets that meet untapped customer needs.

Most important, as the Internet and globalization widen the pool of new ideas, it's about selecting and executing the right ideas and bringing them to market in record time.”

A Radical Rethink of R&D

IBM has launched a major initiative to capitalize on the changes. It's forming tieupswith governments, universities, and companies globally to harness new ideas and pursue promising avenues of research.

2006………… 2009


IBM Research

China

WatsonAlmaden

Austin

TokyoHaifa

Zurich

India

IBM Research Lab

~3,000 employees


Hardware

Software

Res

earc

h A

gend

a

1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2008

Collaboration for a SmarterPlanet

Services

IntegratedSolutions

Evolution of IBM Research


IBM Research: Collaborative Innovation

China

WatsonAlmaden

Austin

TokyoHaifa

Zurich

India

IBM Research Lab

Global, Smarter Planet Collaborations

Pangoo


A diversity of disciplines

Chemistry Computer Science ElectricalEngineering

Materials Science Mathematical Science Physics Service Science

Behavioral Science

BusinessInnovation

TechnologyInnovation

Social Innovation

Demand Innovation

Science & Engineering

Business & Management

Social & Cognitive Sciences

Economics & Markets


6 Turing Awards5 Nobel Laureates

9 US National Medals of Technology 5 US National

Medals of Science

22 Members in National Academy of

Sciences

64 Members in National Academy of Engineering

> 400 Professional Society Fellows

10 Inductees in National Inventors Hall

of Fame

SiGe

Copper Chip Technology

DRAM

Silicon-on-Insulator

High Performance ComputingFirst woman recipient in the history of

this prestigious ACM award

� AAAS� ACM� ACS

� APS� AVS� ECS

� IEEE� IOP� OSA

Nuclear Magnetic

Resonance Techniques

Basis for MRI today

Scanning Tunneling Microscope

Electron Tunneling Effect

High Temperature Superconductivity

A Culture of Innovation – External Recognition

Laser-etched hair based on excimerlaser surgery – foundation for LASIK

surgery

© 2010 IBM Corporation8 Source: IFI Patent Intelligence

2009 US Patent Leaders

Microsoft Intel HPIBM OracleEMCApple AccentureGoogle

Num

ber

of P

aten

ts

>3x>15x

4914

2906

15371273

289 250 208 141 430

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

17 Consecutive Years of Patent Leadership


A legacy of world-class research

2009 Nano MRI

2008 World’s First Petaflop Supercomputer

2005 Cell

2004 Blue Gene/L

2003 Carbon Nanotubes

1997 Copper Interconnect Wiring

1997 Deep Blue

1994 Silicon Germanium (SiGe)

1987 High-Temperature Superconductivity

1986 Scanning Tunneling Microscope

1980 RISC

1971 Speech Recognition

1970 Relational Database

1967 Fractals

1966 One-Device Memory Cell

1957 FORTRAN

1956 RAMAC


10 Research Contributions Over the Last 10 Years

Supercomputing Technology

Silicon Technology

Database Technology

WebSphere Systems Management

Unix Systems Technology

Services Technology

Game Processor Technology

Mainframe System Technology

Storage Technologies

© 2010 IBM Corporation

11

By 2011, the world will store 10X the Data stored in 2006, BUT,

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Exa

byte

s RFID,Digital TV,

MP3 players,Digital cameras,

Camera phones, VoIP,Medical imaging, Laptops,

smart meters, multi-player games,Satellite images, GPS, ATMs, Scanners,

Sensors, Digital radio, DLP theaters, Telematics ,Peer -to-peer, Email, Instant messaging, Videoconferencing,

CAD/CAM, Toys, Industrial machines, Security systems, Appliances

10xgrowth in Dataover five years

Internet connected devices will grow by 2000X, from 500M to 1 Trillion , and each will demand that someone “listen”.


12

Dominant Technology Trends

� Conventional CMOS scaling benefits are diminishing.Transistor performance scaling to continue, but at a slower rate

Power is limiting practical performance

Single thread performance is slowing dramatically

A B C

Rel

ativ

e

Conventional CMOS scaling benefits are diminishing.


Year of Announcement1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010M

odul

e H

eat F

lux

(wat

ts/c

m2 )

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

BipolarCMOS

Vacuum tube

IntegratedCircuit

JunctionTransistor

Inno

vatio

n R

equi

red

3D Integration

As Classical Scaling Ends, Innovation Accelerates

Water Cooling

IBM 360

Power4

?

CPU 1

CPU 2

L2 Cache

“Lower-Power” Multicore

Multi-Core SoC / eDRAM

The Core Issue Then and Now; Power


14

Holistic Design; Innovation at All Levels of Systems Stack

� Enhance emerging workload consolidationHybrid Systems

� Help improve Data Center efficiencyClouds

Computational Lithography � Extend CMOS density scaling

3D Integration � Revolutionize chip packaging

Multi-core Processors � Change hardware system design

10G Ethernet � Enable network fabric convergence

� Allow better asset utilizationSystem Management

Security � Provide trusted computing

Flash � Increase system performance and efficiency


Nobel Prize, STM

15

NanophotonicSwitch

Atomic Manipulation

Carbon Nanotube

Transistors

Self Assembly

NanotubeIC

Molecular Processing

Atomic Storage

Dual Core

SOI

High-k

3D ChipStacking

Airgap

Immersion

Frozen SiGeChip

eDRAM

Copper

StrainedSilicon

Slowing Speed of

Light

HighestResolution

STEM

Innovation Across Novel Materials, Structures, Processes, and Architecture Continues …


16

IBM demonstrates 100GHz graphene transistor

Feb 7th 2010 , IBM researchers announced thatthey managed to open up a bandgap for graphene-based field-effect transistors, but they're now already back to show off what that'smade possible: a 100GHz graphene transistor.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/02/05/ibm_graphene_transistor/

Le graphène est un cristal bidimensionnel (monoplan) carbone dont l'empilement constitue le graphite. Les électrons se déplacent sur le graphène à une vitesse de 1 000 km/sec, soit 30 fois la vitesse des électrons dans le silicium.

Grâce encore à ses propriétés de cristalbidimensionnel, un transistor de graphène ne s'échauffe pas.


1717

DNA transistor: breakthrough fast sequencing & low cost

The sequence of 3 billion chemical units ("letters") that compose a person's genome contains many of the clues for that person's health care. A necessary step towards unfolding those clues and usher the era of personalized medicine is to be able to read those letters, and to do so in fast and cheap way.

Research challenge is to create a solid state device, functionalized with addressable electrodes, that reads the sequence of DNA letters as a single DNA molecule translocatesthrough a pore of nanometer size in one day and for less than $1000.


GTO 2010, the genetic map

GTO 2010


1. Enabling Technologies for Healthcare TransformationEvidence-based medicine, payment-for-outcomes

6. Workload Optimized SystemsHW, SW co-design, integration, optimization

2. Orchestrating the Smarter PlanetModels and model orchestration enable integrated operation and optimization

3. Software Technology TrendsNew development models, tools and methods transforming the SW industry

4. Future of LegacyTools & services to “Identify, Improve and Operate” legacy

5. Convergence of IT and Wireless InfrastructureIT enabled wireless infrastructure optimizations

Analytics & Optimization

Industry Transformation

Software &Services

Systems & Infrastructure

2010 Global Technology Outlook


Smarter Traffic - Stockholm Congestion Management


21

Petascale achieved 2008 . . . Exascale new target

Exascale possibilities for a smarter planet

More than doubling the world's oil reservesexascale computing could predict with incredible accuracy the location of oil deposits, increasing those recovery rates to as high as 70%.

Predicting and fighting pandemics in real-timeexascale systems can turn around disease prediction, identification and cures in real time, allowing doctors to outrun the epidemics of tomorrow.

Real-time analysis of oceans of financial services data


22

Reservoir projects: Resources and Services Virtualization without barriers

2010 Research challenges:

1. Ease of Integration2. Hypervisor Independence3. Scalability4. Image Provisioning 5. Boundaryless Placement and

Migration6. Virtual Java Service Container

(VJSC)

http://62.149.240.97/


Highly Threaded Applications

Mixed WorkloadsUpdates to shared data and work queues

Client needs and workloads are definitely not unique

One size DOES NOT fit all

Characteristics vary: Application Usage Pattern SLA Data Structure

Small Discrete Application Instances

Parallel Data Structures with Analytics

Type 1

Type 4Type 2

Type 3


Continuous Ingestion Continuous Queries /Analytics on data in motion

Stream Computing, aka How not to drown in dataA new paradigm for ultra low latency and high throughput in-motion analytics

An Application Specific Solution


Streams Processing Building BlocksM

illio

ns o

f Eve

nts

< 1 millisecond latency

HurricaneForecastModel N

HurricaneForecastModel …

Video News

CaptionExtraction

TopicFiltration

Speech Recognition

EarningsRelatedNews

AnalysisVideo News

CaptionExtraction

TopicFiltration

Speech Recognition

EarningsRelatedNews

AnalysisVideo News

CaptionExtraction

TopicFiltration

Speech Recognition

EarningsRelatedNews

Analysis

EarningsMovingAverage

Calculation

HurricaneWeather

DataExtraction

VWAPCalculation

Weather Data

SEC Edgar

10 Q Earnings

Extraction

NYSEDynamic P/E Ratio

Calculation

HurricaneImpact

Join P/E with

Aggregate Impact

HurricaneIndustryImpact

Trade Decision

Correlate

Transform

Annotate

Filter Classify

HurricaneRisk

Encoder

EarningsNewsJoin

HurricaneForecastModel 2

HurricaneForecastModel 1


TD Bank referenceBuilding a next generation trading platform

� Identify and execute trades

� Process over 5M events per second with average latency of 150 microseconds

� Expand to incorporate content feeds, news text, audio, video, to establish greater context for better decisions

CIO TD Bank "TD Bank Financial Group worked with IBM Research t o develop a first-of-a-kind architecture capable of consuming, analyzing and ac ting on real-time market data while maintaining sub-millisecond response times even under extreme d ata loads”


University of Ontario Institute of Technology A Research Project to monitor premature infants in the ICU

� Correlating blood oxygenation with blood pressure to predict “Baby crashing”

� Nosocomial Infection Prediction– Monitoring heart rate variability with

other information to predict sepsis– Alarms up to 24 hours earlier

than by experienced ICU Nurses

http://www.youtube.com/ibmhealthcare

Life-Changing When Applied in Medicine


What makes IBM’s approach so unique?

System z Power Systems System x

System Software

Storage Data CenterNetworking

Infrastructure-wide Virtualization

Workload Optimized Systems

Cloud

Smart Business Services and

Systems

IntegratedService Management

A WORKLOAD OPTIMIZED

APPROACHTechnology Leadership

INTEGRATEDSERVICE MANAGEMENT

FLEXIBLEDELIVERYCHOICES

…..looking at IT service delivery from the business’ perspective.

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