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Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008

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Page 1: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico

Implications and Strategies for Iowa

Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico

Implications and Strategies for Iowa

Remarks by Craig CoxEnvironmental Working

GroupOctober 15, 2008

Remarks by Craig CoxEnvironmental Working

GroupOctober 15, 2008

Page 2: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Starting Point: Reactive Nitrogen Cascade

Starting Point: Reactive Nitrogen Cascade

Despite some recycling, over 80% of the fertilizer N applied to a farmer’s field devoted to animal feed production is eventually lost to the environment (red arrows), partly to the air as ammoniaand nitrogen oxides and partly to rivers, groundwater and estuaries as nitrate. Less than 20% isconsumed by humans as meat. From Galloway et al., in press.” UNEP Reactive Nitrogen in theEnvironment, 2007.

Despite some recycling, over 80% of the fertilizer N applied to a farmer’s field devoted to animal feed production is eventually lost to the environment (red arrows), partly to the air as ammoniaand nitrogen oxides and partly to rivers, groundwater and estuaries as nitrate. Less than 20% isconsumed by humans as meat. From Galloway et al., in press.” UNEP Reactive Nitrogen in theEnvironment, 2007.

Page 3: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Starting Point: NRC Mississippi Water Quality &

Clean Water Act

Starting Point: NRC Mississippi Water Quality &

Clean Water Act “Agriculture contributes the major portion of nutrients and sediments delivered to the Mississippi.”

“Reductions in pollutant loadings, especially nutrients, from agriculture therefore are crucial to improving Mississippi River water quality.

“…will require site-specific, targeted approaches directed at areas of higher nutrient and sediment runoff.”

“Recent increases in biofuels production, and the increased nutrient and sediment pollutant loads…provide an even stronger rationale to target applications of USDA programs.”

“Agriculture contributes the major portion of nutrients and sediments delivered to the Mississippi.”

“Reductions in pollutant loadings, especially nutrients, from agriculture therefore are crucial to improving Mississippi River water quality.

“…will require site-specific, targeted approaches directed at areas of higher nutrient and sediment runoff.”

“Recent increases in biofuels production, and the increased nutrient and sediment pollutant loads…provide an even stronger rationale to target applications of USDA programs.”

Page 4: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Starting PointPolicy and Institutional

Inertia

Starting PointPolicy and Institutional

Inertia Not a technological problem (yet).

We have the right N, P, and soil conservation practices now.

Conservation effort in agriculture landscapes is well below state-of-the-art.

Fundamental problem is policy and institutional inertia.

Not a technological problem (yet).

We have the right N, P, and soil conservation practices now.

Conservation effort in agriculture landscapes is well below state-of-the-art.

Fundamental problem is policy and institutional inertia.

Page 5: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Starting Point: Concerted Action Needed Now

Starting Point: Concerted Action Needed Now

Source: Gulf Hypoxia Action Plan 2008 Source: Gulf Hypoxia Action Plan 2008

Page 6: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

What to Do?What to Do?

Dramatically increase the effectiveness of voluntary programs.

Put in place a regulatory framework that works for agriculture.

Strengthen technical assistance and scientific support network.

Accountability. “Get real and get results.”

Dramatically increase the effectiveness of voluntary programs.

Put in place a regulatory framework that works for agriculture.

Strengthen technical assistance and scientific support network.

Accountability. “Get real and get results.”

Page 7: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Make Voluntary Programs Work

Make Voluntary Programs Work

Traditional approach targets individual farms and ranches.

Traditional approach doesn’t take advantage of cumulative or joint effects.

Farm- and ranch-based ranking criteria can disperse rather than focus effort.

Solution: Allocate funds to watershed-based projects. Work through intermediaries who are motivated to get results and have the political space to target.

60 percent of voluntary program funds allocated through such projects by 2012.

Traditional approach targets individual farms and ranches.

Traditional approach doesn’t take advantage of cumulative or joint effects.

Farm- and ranch-based ranking criteria can disperse rather than focus effort.

Solution: Allocate funds to watershed-based projects. Work through intermediaries who are motivated to get results and have the political space to target.

60 percent of voluntary program funds allocated through such projects by 2012.

Page 8: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Making Voluntary Programs Work

Precision Conservation

Making Voluntary Programs Work

Precision Conservation

Good News: Can reduce phosphorus pollution by treating only a small part of this watershed.

Bad News: 80 percent participation by farmers could produce almost no reduction if phosphorus pollution IF they are the wrong farmers.

The way we currently operate voluntary programs is more likely to produce the bad news than the good newsSource: Sharpley A. et al. 2006. Nutrient Management Practices. In Environmental Benefits of Conservation on Cropland: The Status of Our Knowledge. Schnepf and Cox (eds). Soil and Water Conservation Society, nkeny Iowa.

Good News: Can reduce phosphorus pollution by treating only a small part of this watershed.

Bad News: 80 percent participation by farmers could produce almost no reduction if phosphorus pollution IF they are the wrong farmers.

The way we currently operate voluntary programs is more likely to produce the bad news than the good newsSource: Sharpley A. et al. 2006. Nutrient Management Practices. In Environmental Benefits of Conservation on Cropland: The Status of Our Knowledge. Schnepf and Cox (eds). Soil and Water Conservation Society, nkeny Iowa.

Page 9: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

But…Inherent Weaknesses of Voluntary

Programs

But…Inherent Weaknesses of Voluntary

Programs Producers who volunteer often not the ones causing the most damage.

Producers’ goals and priorities dominate especially if they are picking up part of the cost.

Equal treatment and opportunity for producers becomes more important than solving problems.

Result is random acts of conservation

Producers who volunteer often not the ones causing the most damage.

Producers’ goals and priorities dominate especially if they are picking up part of the cost.

Equal treatment and opportunity for producers becomes more important than solving problems.

Result is random acts of conservation

Page 10: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Regulation that WorksRegulation that Works Traditional command and control regulatory approach has same problems as voluntary programs.

Conservation Compliance in 1985 farm bill is the most effective policy innovation in decades: a successful model of a framework that combined carrots and sticks.

Well designed regulatory framework will make voluntary programs work better. Drive right producers into right programs in the right places.

Establish goals, timelines and accountability. Water quality standards and criteria that we can work back upstream.

Traditional command and control regulatory approach has same problems as voluntary programs.

Conservation Compliance in 1985 farm bill is the most effective policy innovation in decades: a successful model of a framework that combined carrots and sticks.

Well designed regulatory framework will make voluntary programs work better. Drive right producers into right programs in the right places.

Establish goals, timelines and accountability. Water quality standards and criteria that we can work back upstream.

Page 11: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Regulation that WorksRegulation that Works

Get beyond individual permits and regulations that depend on “plans.” Phase-out most deleterious practices (fall nitrogen, manure on frozen ground, livestock in streams, etc.).

Watershed-based regulation. Joint responsibility with flexibility to come up with solutions.

Adaptive management with clear accountability.

Pollution credit trading???

Get beyond individual permits and regulations that depend on “plans.” Phase-out most deleterious practices (fall nitrogen, manure on frozen ground, livestock in streams, etc.).

Watershed-based regulation. Joint responsibility with flexibility to come up with solutions.

Adaptive management with clear accountability.

Pollution credit trading???

Page 12: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Technical Services & Scientific Support

Technical Services & Scientific Support

Fraying scientific and technical support network is a serious barrier to moving forward. Critical practices and systems are knowledge-based.

Targeting requires analysis of data at local-scales.

Barrier to policy and program reform. Primary federal role--build scientific and technical network capable of driving watershed-based water quality initiatives.

Academics MUST help translate knowledge into action.

Fraying scientific and technical support network is a serious barrier to moving forward. Critical practices and systems are knowledge-based.

Targeting requires analysis of data at local-scales.

Barrier to policy and program reform. Primary federal role--build scientific and technical network capable of driving watershed-based water quality initiatives.

Academics MUST help translate knowledge into action.

Page 13: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Concerted Action NowConcerted Action Now Voluntary Programs:

Targeting and precision conservation. Focus resources on multi-producer projects.

Regulation that Works: Get the right producers into voluntary programs.

Restrict high impact practices. Joint responsibility, flexibility, and accountability

Technical Infrastructure: Knowledge into action. Primary federal role.

Voluntary Programs: Targeting and precision conservation. Focus resources on multi-producer projects.

Regulation that Works: Get the right producers into voluntary programs.

Restrict high impact practices. Joint responsibility, flexibility, and accountability

Technical Infrastructure: Knowledge into action. Primary federal role.

Page 14: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Reality CheckReality Check

Big increases in public funding unlikely given current conditions.

We can’t do everything everywhere: Must pick our target watersheds and strategies.

Concentrate people and resources on those targets.

Courage to stay the course. Business as usual won’t cut it. The longer we wait the harder it gets.

Big increases in public funding unlikely given current conditions.

We can’t do everything everywhere: Must pick our target watersheds and strategies.

Concentrate people and resources on those targets.

Courage to stay the course. Business as usual won’t cut it. The longer we wait the harder it gets.

Page 15: Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico Implications and Strategies for Iowa Remarks by Craig Cox Environmental Working Group October 15, 2008 Remarks by Craig Cox

Thank YouThank You

Craig CoxEnvironmental Working

GroupMidwest Office: Ames,

[email protected]

Craig CoxEnvironmental Working

GroupMidwest Office: Ames,

[email protected]