hw&co. industry reader template...altice has agreed to acquire cablevision systems, the us-based...
TRANSCRIPT
www.harriswilliams.com
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd is a private limited company incorporated under English law having its registered office at 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE, UK, registered withthe Registrar of Companies for England and Wales under company number 7078852. Directors: Mr. Christopher Williams, Mr. Ned Valentine, Mr. Paul Poggi and Mr. Thierry Monjauze,authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd Niederlassung Frankfurt (German branch) is registered in the Commercial Register (Handelsregister) of the Local Court (Amtsgericht) of Frankfurt am Main,Germany, under registration number HRB 96687, having its business address at Bockenheimer Landstrasse 33-35, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Permanent Representative(Ständiger Vertreter) of the Branch Niederlassung: Mr. Jeffery H. Perkins.
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
0
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
PAGE |
www.harriswilliams.comwww.harriswilliams.de
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
1
COMPANY SPECIFIC NEWS
Altice has agreed to acquire Cablevision Systems, the US-based telecommunications and media company providing cable operations, valuing the business at $16.6bn
Vista Equity Partners has agreed to acquire Solera, the US-based provider of risk and asset management software and services to insurers and OEMs, valuing the business at c.$6.5bn
Dialog Semiconductor has agreed to acquire Atmel, the US-based company engaged in the design and manufacture of microcontrollers, capacitive touch solutions and radio frequency components, valuing the business at $4.2bn
Paddy Power has reached an agreement to merge with the Betfair Group, the UK-based gambling company, valuing the combined business at c.£6.0bn
Siris Capital announced plans to acquire Premiere Global Services, the US-based provider of web conferencing and online meeting technology software and services, valuing the business at c.$1.0bn
Tele Columbus has agreed to acquire Pepcom, the Germany-based provider of cable network services, from STAR Capital, valuing the business at €608m
Amazon Web Services has agreed to acquire Elemental Technologies, the US-based company that designs and develops video processing solutions, valuing the business at c.$500m
The Carlyle Group has agreed to acquire The Innovation Group, the UK-based provider of software and outsourcing services, valuing the business at £437m
Interoute Communications has agreed to acquire Easynet Global Services, the UK-based provider of integrated networks, hosting and unified communications solutions, from Equistone Partners valuing the business at £402m
Technicolor has acquired The Mill, the UK-based provider of visual effects for both advertising agencies and brands, from Equistone Partners Europe, for £190m in a HW&Co. transaction
Veeva Systems has acquired Zinc Ahead, the UK-based provider of of commercial content management solutions, valuing the business at $120m, with an additional potential earn-out of up to $10m
Valid Soluciones Tecnologicas has agreed to acquire Fundamenture, the Denmark-based provider of smart card technology solutions to the global telecom market, valuing the business initially at $90m, with an additional potential earn-out of up to $48m
News Corp has agreed to acquire Unruly Holdings, the UK-based ad platform providing digital and social video advertising for clients globally, valuing the business at £58m, with an additional potential earn-out of up to £56m
InfraVia Capital Partners has agreed to acquire the Telecoms Infrastructure business of Coillte, the Ireland-based business division providing telecoms infrastructure solutions to the Irish telecoms and broadcast industries, valuing the business at €70m
Credit Mutuel Arkea has acquired an 86% stake in Leetchi, the France-based online money pot collection platform for charities, from a group of investors including Idinvest Partners and Kima Ventures, valuing the business at €58m
Kyocera Document Solutions has agreed to acquire Ceyoniq, the Germany-based provider of intelligent, digital documentation and information administration services, valuing the business at JPY 5bn
Pearson has agreed to acquire Learndirect, the UK-based provider of technology-led training that includes adult skills, employability and apprenticeships and eAssessment services, for an undisclosed amount
WorldPay, the UK-based provider of online payment processing services to SMEs, has announced plans to raise £890m through an IPO
On the Beach Group, the UK-based online retailer of affordable short-haul beach holidays, has announced plans to raise c.£90m through an IPO
Oberthur, the France-based smartcard manufacturer, has announced plans for an IPO by the end of 2015
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
CONTENTS
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
PUBLIC MARKET TRADING
SOFTWARE
IT SERVICES
COMMUNICATIONS
INTERNET AND DIGITAL MEDIA
TMT GROUP OVERVIEW
Our Technology, Media & Telecom (TMT) Group is dedicated to providing superior merger & acquisition and capital markets advisory services to market leading companies. Our extensive industry knowledge and transaction leadership experience spans the software, digital media, IT services and communications sectors. Our professionals in London, Boston and San Francisco have global relationships with leading technology companies and financial investors. Thoughtful advice, deep experience and technology expertise, creativity and attention to detail from our senior technology bankers have resulted in a track record of consistently exceeding our clients' expectations.
CONTACTS
EUROPE
Thierry MonjauzeManaging [email protected]+44 (0) 20 7518 8901
Jonathan OrganVice [email protected]+44 (0) 20 7518 8909
UNITED STATES
Jeff BistrongManaging [email protected]+1 (617) 482-7501
Michael WilkinsManaging [email protected]+1 (415) 288-4260
Sam HendlerManaging [email protected]+1 (617) 654-2117
PAGE |
(40%)
(35%)
(30%)
(25%)
(20%)
(15%)
(10%)
(5%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015
Communications DJ Stoxx 600 Technology
Internet and Digital Media IT Services
Nasdaq Composite Software
According to Juniper Research, retailers will spend $2.5bn a year on Bluetooth beacons, RFID tags and other technology associated with the 'internet of things' by 2020 up from €670m in 2015, representing a CAGR of 30.1%
According to a new IT spending forecast report published by IDC, IT spending by Western European utilities is expected to reach $18.4 billion by 2019, representing a CAGR of 3.3% from 2014
According to new figures from eMarketer, UK programmatic digital display ad spending will grow 66.2% to reach £1.8bn this year, accounting for more than 59.0% of the UK display advertising market for the first time. Additional double-digit growth will push spending toward £2.5bn in 2016
The global banking IT market will be worth approximately $486.3m in 2015 and will reach €520.6m by 2018, representing a CAGR of 2.3%, according to Gartner’s latest forecast
Public cloud services are gradually gaining acceptance in Central and Eastern Europe, with total market value expected to reach $386m (excluding Russia) in 2015, according to a cloud market report series published by IDC
Forrester Research forecasts that the strong dollar will drop global tech markets spending by 3.1% in 2015 (as measured in US dollars) - even though most countries will see the market grow by 3% or more in their own currencies
INDUSTRY TRENDS
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
2
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
LAST TWELVE MONTHS
Stock Performance
LAST 30 DAYS
PUBLIC MARKET TRADING STATISTICS
Source: Various industry news outlets
(0.6%)
(1.9%)
(2.2%)
(3.1%)
(3.1%)
(3.9%)
5.1%
3.9%
3.2%
0.5%
(1.8%)
(21.3%)
(10%)
(8%)
(6%)
(4%)
(2%)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
27 Aug 03 Sep 10 Sep 17 Sep 24 Sep
Communications DJ Stoxx 600 Technology
Internet and Digital Media IT Services
Software Nasdaq Composite
PAGE |
PUBLIC MARKET TRADING STATISTICS
3
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
COMPARABLE TRADING SUMMARY
Rev. Growth EBITDA Margin CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Software
European Large Cap. Software 14.4% 34.1% 5.0x 4.7x 15.0x 13.6x 22.6x 20.4x
Application Software 4.1% 25.8% 4.0x 3.7x 16.4x 14.1x 19.1x 21.0x
Infrastructure Software 13.2% 29.4% 3.3x 3.0x 11.4x 10.1x 16.9x 16.7x
Large Cap. SaaS 29.4% 13.8% 7.4x 5.9x 29.1x 23.5x 36.3x 36.9x
Small Cap. SaaS 22.0% 5.2% 4.5x 3.7x 31.0x 27.0x NM 38.2x
HCM/WFM 22.2% 6.9% 6.4x 5.2x 27.4x 20.4x 25.0x 23.7x
FinTech 12.4% 26.9% 5.0x 4.4x 18.0x 15.3x 24.0x 22.2x
Healthcare IT 9.8% 13.3% 3.3x 3.0x 14.6x 12.7x 24.2x 21.9x
Data and Data Analytics 12.7% 24.5% 4.8x 4.2x 10.9x 14.4x 17.8x 16.2x
Security Software 18.3% 21.6% 5.6x 4.7x 14.0x 14.4x 17.9x 19.2x
CAx/PLM 3.1% 27.1% 4.5x 4.3x 17.4x 13.5x 26.3x 22.4x
IT Services
IT Services 2.4% 12.7% 1.0x 1.0x 8.4x 7.4x 17.2x 14.5x
Offshore IT Services 11.1% 24.0% 3.4x 3.0x 14.1x 12.5x 19.2x 17.5x
Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting 10.3% 29.2% 2.6x 2.4x 9.6x 8.4x 20.8x 18.4x
Data Centres 7.9% 53.0% 7.6x 6.9x 14.4x 12.8x 30.4x 31.8x
PaaS/IaaS 14.6% 24.3% 3.6x 3.0x 10.0x 8.3x 17.7x 18.4x
Communications
Digital Broadband (0.7%) 10.5% 1.1x 1.0x 11.5x 8.5x 18.9x 20.0x
Diversified Communication Equipment 2.1% 10.9% 1.0x 0.9x 10.1x 7.4x 19.1x 13.8x
Mobile Content/Solutions Providers 13.8% 13.9% 1.2x 1.0x 8.6x 5.9x 21.2x 14.7x
Mobile Infrastructure Software 1.8% 23.9% 2.3x 2.2x 12.1x 7.7x 18.5x 14.8x
Internet and Digital Media
Global Internet Leaders 9.4% 34.5% 5.4x 4.5x 15.8x 12.9x 19.7x 21.2x
Chinese Internet Leaders 41.5% (0.1%) 4.4x 3.0x 19.0x 10.9x 25.3x 18.1x
Online Classifieds 14.6% 32.2% 5.4x 4.5x 15.4x 11.7x 23.9x 19.6x
Content Providers/Communities 22.6% 17.6% 4.5x 3.5x 26.6x 17.1x 21.6x 34.7x
Ecommerce 14.3% 17.3% 3.4x 2.9x 17.5x 13.5x 26.2x 26.2x
Interactive Entertainment 0.8% 27.7% 2.7x 2.5x 9.9x 9.3x 21.9x 19.1x
Intermediation and Comparison 23.7% 16.9% 3.0x 2.6x 13.3x 12.8x 23.8x 20.9x
Online Gambling 11.0% 24.2% 3.5x 3.0x 14.4x 12.9x 19.9x 22.7x
Digital Marketing 20.8% 12.6% 2.6x 2.2x 12.8x 14.6x 19.9x 16.4x
Online Travel 10.3% 22.5% 3.9x 3.3x 17.1x 14.3x 25.7x 24.3x
Educational Technology (1.4%) 1.7% 2.8x 2.4x 6.3x 12.3x 22.2x 26.2x
Internet Services 31.6% 15.5% 3.0x 2.5x 18.3x 13.9x 11.6x 20.3x
P / EEV / Revenue EV / EBITDACY2015E
PAGE |
(15%)
(10%)
(5%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
27 Aug 03 Sep 10 Sep 17 Sep 24 Sep
Application Software CAx/PLM Data and Data Analytics European Large Cap. Software
Fintech HCM/WFM Healthcare IT Infrastructure Software
Large Cap. SaaS Security Software Small Cap. SaaS
SOFTWARE
4
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
LAST 30 DAYS PERFORMANCE
LAST TWELVE MONTHS PERFORMANCE
(40%)
(30%)
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015
Application Software CAx/PLM Data and Data Analytics European Large Cap. Software
Fintech HCM/WFM Healthcare IT Infrastructure Software
Large Cap. SaaS Security Software Small Cap. SaaS
Small Cap. SaaS 22.7%
Fintech 19.3%
Security Software 15.4%
Data and Data Analytics 15.2%
Large Cap. SaaS 12.7%
Healthcare IT 4.3%
HCM/WFM 0.5%
European Large Cap. Software (4.3%)
Application Software (5.0%)
Infrastructure Software (15.6%)
CAx/PLM (15.6%)
HCM/WFM 4.5%
Fintech 0.8%
Small Cap. SaaS 0.7%
Security Software (0.9%)
Application Software (0.9%)
European Large Cap. Software (2.2%)
Large Cap. SaaS (2.8%)
Healthcare IT (4.0%)
Infrastructure Software (4.1%)
Data and Data Analytics (5.3%)
CAx/PLM (5.6%)
PAGE |
SOFTWARE
5
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
European Large Cap. Software
SAP 76,947 84,153 34.5% 7.9% 3.7x 3.5x 10.7x 10.0x 15.9x 14.4x
Dassault Systemes 18,727 17,457 33.5% 12.8% 5.5x 5.0x 16.3x 14.5x 30.2x 26.7x
Sage 8,455 9,228 29.9% 3.5% 4.3x 4.1x 14.4x 13.6x 20.5x 19.2x
Micro Focus 4,079 5,465 40.9% 56.8% 4.8x 4.4x 11.8x 10.5x 15.0x 12.9x
Temenos 2,737 3,142 35.0% 9.7% 5.9x 5.4x 16.9x 14.2x 24.7x 21.4x
Aveva 2,090 1,933 30.5% (4.3%) 6.0x 5.8x 19.7x 18.6x 29.1x 27.6x
Mean 34.1% 14.4% 5.0x 4.7x 15.0x 13.6x 22.6x 20.4x
Median 34.0% 8.8% 5.1x 4.7x 15.4x 13.9x 22.6x 20.3x
Application Software
Microsoft 351,431 290,376 27.1% (4.8%) 3.3x 3.1x 12.1x 8.1x 17.5x 15.7x
Oracle 153,740 140,301 46.0% (2.8%) 3.7x 3.6x 8.1x 7.8x 14.1x 13.0x
SAP 76,947 84,153 34.5% 7.9% 3.7x 3.5x 10.7x 10.0x 15.9x 14.4x
Intuit 24,370 23,173 31.7% (3.8%) 5.3x 4.9x 16.6x 13.3x 31.3x 24.4x
Constellation Software 9,082 9,303 24.0% 9.8% 5.1x 4.3x 21.2x 17.7x 26.7x 22.2x
Sage 8,455 9,228 29.9% 3.5% 4.3x 4.1x 14.4x 13.6x 20.5x 19.2x
Tyler Technologies 5,112 4,908 26.8% 17.5% 8.5x 7.4x 31.6x 26.1x NM 49.6x
Guidewire Software 3,694 3,122 17.7% 6.1% 8.0x 7.3x 45.4x 40.2x NM NM
IFS 882 846 17.0% 8.0% 2.1x 1.9x 12.1x 11.0x 30.0x 23.7x
SDL 397 385 9.5% 2.2% 0.9x 0.9x 9.8x 8.0x 16.2x 13.3x
Cegid 376 423 27.0% (4.1%) 1.4x 1.3x 5.1x 4.8x 14.5x 13.3x
American Software 262 197 18.2% 9.7% 1.8x 1.7x 9.7x 8.9x 23.5x 22.3x
Mean 25.8% 4.1% 4.0x 3.7x 16.4x 14.1x 19.1x 21.0x
Median 26.9% 4.8% 3.7x 3.6x 12.1x 10.5x 17.5x 19.2x
Infrastructure Software
Hewlett-Packard 44,974 53,700 12.3% (6.8%) 0.5x 0.5x 4.2x 4.3x 7.0x 6.7x
VMware 33,394 27,905 35.9% 10.2% 4.2x 3.8x 11.7x 10.7x 19.7x 17.4x
Red Hat 13,380 12,932 26.5% 14.5% 6.6x 5.7x 24.7x 21.2x NM 34.9x
CA Technologies 12,074 10,655 38.1% (6.8%) 2.6x 2.6x 6.9x 6.6x 11.4x 10.9x
Citrix Systems 11,558 11,994 29.4% 3.0% 3.7x 3.5x 12.6x 11.8x 19.3x 17.7x
F5 Networks 8,149 7,351 39.8% 9.9% 3.7x 3.4x 9.4x 9.5x 17.1x 15.3x
Brocade 4,349 3,821 29.7% 1.8% 1.7x 1.7x 5.7x 6.0x 10.5x 10.4x
Netscout Systems 3,643 3,435 26.9% 88.3% 4.1x 2.6x 15.2x 9.1x 19.4x 15.9x
Solarwinds 3,062 2,815 46.4% 18.5% 5.6x 4.7x 12.0x 11.0x 19.5x 17.0x
Software AG 2,297 2,292 27.5% (6.4%) 2.3x 2.3x 8.5x 8.1x 12.9x 12.3x
Pegasystems 1,880 1,653 16.8% 11.7% 2.5x 2.2x 14.7x 12.4x 31.3x 27.2x
Progress Software 1,309 1,256 31.1% 27.1% 3.0x 2.8x 9.6x 9.2x 17.8x 16.5x
Radware 770 689 21.9% 6.1% 2.9x 2.6x 13.4x 11.7x 17.5x 15.3x
Mean 29.4% 13.2% 3.3x 3.0x 11.4x 10.1x 16.9x 16.7x
Median 29.4% 9.9% 3.0x 2.6x 11.7x 9.5x 17.6x 15.9x
Large Cap. SaaS
Salesforce 47,488 46,110 18.4% 23.3% 7.0x 5.8x 37.8x 27.3x NM NM
Workday 13,933 12,141 6.1% 47.5% 10.5x 7.7x NM NM NM NM
NetSuite 6,862 6,527 6.9% 34.3% 8.8x 6.7x NM NM NM NM
The Ultimate Software Group 5,246 4,968 23.9% 21.9% 8.1x 6.6x 33.7x 26.7x NM NM
Athenahealth 5,220 5,139 18.2% 23.1% 5.6x 4.6x 30.6x 25.0x NM NM
Guidewire Software 3,694 3,028 17.7% 6.1% 7.8x 7.1x 44.0x 39.0x NM NM
Dealertrack Technologies 3,450 4,219 20.5% 29.7% 3.8x 3.3x 18.8x 15.6x NM 33.7x
Veeva Systems 3,202 2,641 29.6% 27.6% 6.6x 5.4x 22.4x 18.3x NM 41.8x
Medidata Solutions 2,437 2,276 23.2% 19.9% 5.6x 4.7x 24.3x 18.9x NM 37.1x
Fleetmatics 1,922 1,700 31.6% 22.3% 6.0x 4.9x 19.0x 15.3x 35.1x 28.4x
Cornerstone OnDemand 1,906 1,849 0.5% 31.5% 5.4x 4.2x NM NM NM NM
LogMeIn 1,640 1,344 24.3% 20.4% 5.1x 4.3x 20.8x 17.6x NM 36.8x
Paylocity 1,508 1,400 3.7% 39.1% 8.0x 6.2x NM NM NM NM
Cvent 1,383 1,243 10.5% 31.0% 6.7x 5.4x NM 44.8x NM NM
Mean 13.9% 29.4% 7.2x 5.7x 27.9x 22.6x 35.1x 35.6x
Median 18.2% 27.6% 7.0x 5.4x 24.3x 18.9x 35.1x 36.8x
EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA P / E
(1) COX Automotive has entered into an agreement to acquire Dealertrack Technologies
(1)
PAGE |
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Small Cap. SaaS
SPS Commerce 1,136 995 13.8% 24.4% 6.3x 5.3x 45.7x 35.5x NM NM
Callidus 961 850 11.5% 25.2% 5.1x 4.4x 43.9x 30.4x NM NM
Benefitfocus 881 836 (20.3%) 29.8% 4.7x 3.8x NM NM NM NM
Textura 667 597 11.1% 42.3% 6.7x 4.8x NM 25.9x NM 45.8x
JIVE 355 242 0.5% 9.0% 1.2x 1.2x NM 27.8x NM NM
SciQuest 286 149 17.6% 1.8% 1.4x 1.3x 8.1x 6.7x 38.5x 30.7x
Channel Advisors 251 194 (8.0%) 14.3% 2.0x 1.7x NM NM NM NM
Marin Software 128 81 (11.3%) 7.6% 0.8x 0.7x NM NM NM NM
Mean 5.2% 22.0% 4.5x 3.6x 30.0x 26.6x NM 37.2x
Median 11.1% 25.2% 5.1x 4.4x 27.9x 26.8x NM 36.2x
HCM/WFM
Workday 13,933 12,529 5.9% 47.5% 10.8x 7.9x NM NM NM NM
The Ultimate Software Group 5,246 5,144 23.9% 21.9% 8.3x 6.9x 34.9x 27.6x NM NM
Cornerstone OnDemand 1,906 1,909 0.5% 31.5% 5.6x 4.4x NM NM NM NM
Paylocity 1,508 1,427 3.7% 39.1% 8.2x 6.4x NM NM NM NM
Benefitfocus 881 833 (20.3%) 29.8% 4.7x 3.8x NM NM NM NM
ATOSS Software 216 192 26.1% 7.3% 3.9x 3.5x 14.8x 13.4x 25.0x 22.7x
Halogen 145 107 (9.2%) 16.8% 1.6x 1.4x NM NM NM NM
Invision Software 108 109 24.7% (16.1%) 8.0x 7.0x 32.5x 20.2x NM 24.7x
Mean 6.9% 22.2% 6.4x 5.2x 27.4x 20.4x 25.0x 23.7x
Median 4.8% 25.8% 6.8x 5.4x 32.5x 20.2x 25.0x 23.7x
Healthcare IT
McKesson 44,675 50,352 2.7% 10.8% 0.3x 0.2x 9.9x 9.0x 15.6x 13.8x
Cerner 20,949 21,014 32.1% 34.1% 4.6x 4.1x 14.5x 12.1x 28.7x 24.0x
Sysmex 11,245 10,884 26.1% 17.5% 5.3x 4.7x 20.4x 17.7x NM 35.4x
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions 2,458 3,053 17.4% 0.5% 2.2x 2.1x 12.5x 10.7x 28.4x 22.6x
CompuGroup 1,639 2,031 22.0% (2.0%) 3.3x 3.1x 15.0x 13.3x 20.6x 17.6x
Emis 987 993 30.5% 14.1% 4.1x 3.8x 13.4x 12.3x 23.0x 20.8x
Merge Healthcare 693 942 21.6% 16.6% 3.8x 3.4x 17.4x 14.9x 30.2x 25.6x
Cegedim 554 1,145 18.8% (47.1%) 2.0x 1.9x 10.5x 9.8x NM 12.2x
Computer Programs & Systems 489 452 20.8% (10.0%) 2.4x 2.3x 11.5x 9.9x 20.0x 17.8x
Sectra Aktiebolag 485 453 18.9% 3.8% 3.7x 3.3x 19.8x 16.2x 25.9x 27.7x
Castlight Health 434 269 (83.8%) 71.3% 3.6x 2.3x NM NM NM NM
Craneware 276 236 32.5% 8.0% 4.9x 4.4x 15.2x 13.9x 25.8x 23.9x
Mean 13.3% 9.8% 3.3x 3.0x 14.6x 12.7x 24.2x 21.9x
Median 21.2% 9.4% 3.6x 3.2x 14.5x 12.3x 25.8x 22.6x
Security Software
Palo Alto Networks 15,370 15,069 18.4% 53.1% 13.6x 10.1x NM 40.4x NM NM
Check Point 14,403 13,176 56.7% 9.2% 8.1x 7.5x 14.3x 13.2x 19.8x 17.7x
Symantec 13,543 11,748 32.5% (7.9%) 1.9x 1.8x 5.9x 5.3x 11.3x 10.1x
Verisign 7,866 7,841 67.0% 4.3% 7.4x 7.1x 11.1x 10.4x 22.8x 20.3x
Fortinet 7,721 6,848 16.5% 33.2% 6.8x 5.5x 41.2x 31.7x NM NM
Gemalto 5,729 6,285 17.9% 17.0% 1.8x 1.7x 9.9x 8.7x 15.6x 12.9x
FireEye 5,202 4,701 (26.3%) 50.9% 7.4x 5.3x NM NM NM NM
Trend Micro 4,778 3,748 34.1% 8.6% 3.6x 3.5x 10.6x 10.1x 25.3x 23.9x
Proofpoint 2,446 2,371 0.9% 34.2% 9.2x 7.3x NM NM NM NM
Imperva 2,156 1,911 (3.3%) 33.6% 8.8x 7.1x NM NM NM NM
Barracuda Networks 1,351 1,155 27.0% 17.4% 3.7x 3.2x 13.8x 11.2x NM NA
AVG Technologies 1,178 1,326 36.9% 17.0% 3.1x 2.7x 8.3x 7.2x 12.0x 10.1x
Qualys 1,015 856 28.6% 24.5% 5.2x 4.2x 18.1x 14.5x NM 42.9x
Vasco Data Security 714 557 23.8% 24.0% 2.3x 2.5x 9.8x 10.8x 14.6x 16.2x
F-Secure 410 325 18.7% (12.8%) 2.0x 1.9x 10.6x 9.0x 22.0x 18.9x
Intercede 80 71 (3.4%) (13.0%) 4.3x 3.3x NM NA NM NM
Mean 21.6% 18.3% 5.6x 4.7x 14.0x 14.4x 17.9x 19.2x
Median 21.2% 17.2% 4.7x 3.9x 10.6x 10.6x 17.7x 17.7x
P / EEV / Revenue EV / EBITDA
SOFTWARE
6
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
PAGE |
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Fintech
Intuit 24,370 23,173 31.7% (3.8%) 5.3x 4.9x 16.6x 13.3x 31.3x 24.4x
Fiserv 20,591 24,297 33.6% 4.5% 4.6x 4.4x 13.7x 12.7x 23.0x 20.4x
Fidelity Information Services 19,210 23,897 30.3% 1.3% 3.7x 3.0x 12.1x 9.8x 20.7x 17.9x
Paychex 16,869 16,333 42.2% 8.5% 5.8x 5.4x 13.6x 12.7x 25.6x 22.2x
SS&C Technologies 6,970 6,705 42.1% 36.2% 6.4x 4.7x 15.2x 11.0x 27.6x 22.9x
MSCI 6,651 6,996 42.5% 7.6% 6.5x 6.0x 15.3x 13.7x 27.9x 23.4x
Jack Henry 5,610 5,514 34.8% 3.2% 4.3x 4.0x 12.2x 11.3x 26.1x 23.8x
Guidewire 3,694 3,122 17.7% 6.1% 8.0x 7.3x 45.4x 40.2x NM NM
Temenos 2,737 3,142 35.0% 9.7% 5.9x 5.4x 16.9x 14.2x 24.7x 21.4x
Fair Isaac 2,566 3,129 24.9% 6.3% 3.7x 3.5x 14.8x 12.5x 17.6x 14.3x
SimCorp 2,117 2,092 28.5% 7.8% 6.7x 6.2x 23.5x 21.0x 33.8x 29.3x
Ellie Mae 2,063 1,973 25.7% 52.6% 8.3x 6.7x 32.1x 25.0x NM 43.3x
Paycom 2,028 2,012 21.6% 44.2% 9.5x 7.3x 43.8x 35.0x NM NM
Envestnet 1,163 1,113 18.0% 19.1% 2.7x 2.1x 14.9x 10.6x 32.8x 24.3x
Fidessa 1,052 958 17.3% 2.0% 2.2x 2.1x 12.5x 12.0x 23.6x 22.3x
Iress 1,024 1,112 30.5% (9.1%) 4.5x 4.1x 14.8x 13.0x 23.2x 19.7x
Bottomline Technologies 983 998 21.5% 5.1% 2.9x 2.6x 13.7x 11.9x 18.3x NM
Ebix 931 1,053 36.1% 25.4% 4.1x 3.9x 11.3x 10.7x 13.2x 12.8x
Q2 Holdings 890 772 (7.6%) 36.7% 7.2x 5.5x NM NM NM NM
Linedata 228 274 25.0% (0.3%) 1.4x 1.4x 5.7x 5.7x 11.2x 10.8x
StatPro 74 71 13.7% (1.8%) 1.5x 1.4x 10.9x 9.7x 27.2x 23.9x
Mean 26.9% 12.4% 5.0x 4.4x 18.0x 15.3x 24.0x 22.2x
Median 28.5% 6.3% 4.6x 4.4x 14.8x 12.6x 24.7x 22.3x
Data and Data Analytics
Nielsen 17,151 24,377 30.2% (1.8%) 3.9x 3.8x 13.0x 12.2x 17.8x 16.0x
Experian 15,403 18,752 35.0% (1.9%) 4.0x 3.9x 11.3x 11.2x 17.5x 16.7x
Verisk 12,431 15,601 47.4% 21.5% 7.4x 6.4x 15.6x 13.6x 24.7x 22.2x
Equifax 11,523 12,959 34.9% 9.4% 4.9x 4.5x 14.0x 12.7x 22.1x 19.8x
Splunk 7,350 6,495 6.1% 43.5% 10.3x 7.8x NM NM NM NM
Tableau Software 5,961 5,232 12.1% 60.3% 8.3x 6.1x NM 45.1x NM NM
Microstrategy 2,332 1,904 29.1% (9.6%) 3.5x 3.2x 12.1x 10.9x 23.2x 20.2x
Convergys 2,240 2,370 12.8% 5.0% 0.8x 0.8x 6.2x 5.7x 13.4x 12.1x
Neustar 1,481 1,857 45.4% 8.1% 1.8x 1.9x 3.9x 4.1x 6.1x 6.8x
PROS 680 636 (8.0%) (7.2%) 3.6x 3.6x NM NM NM NM
Mean 24.5% 12.7% 4.8x 4.2x 10.9x 14.4x 17.8x 16.2x
Median 29.6% 6.5% 3.9x 3.8x 12.1x 11.7x 17.8x 16.7x
CAx/PLM
Dassault Systems 18,727 17,457 33.5% 12.8% 5.5x 5.0x 16.3x 14.5x 30.2x 26.7x
Autodesk 10,625 9,721 13.2% (0.5%) 3.9x 4.3x 29.6x NM NM NM
Ansys 8,108 7,266 52.0% 2.5% 7.6x 7.0x 14.6x 13.4x 26.2x 23.7x
PTC 3,712 4,061 27.9% (9.0%) 3.3x 2.9x 11.8x 9.0x 14.7x 14.7x
Aveva 2,090 1,933 30.5% (4.3%) 6.0x 5.8x 19.7x 18.6x 29.1x 27.6x
Nemetschek 1,388 1,378 25.0% 18.0% 4.4x 4.0x 17.8x 15.6x 30.0x 26.0x
Mensch und Maschine 130 162 7.6% 2.0% 0.9x 0.9x 12.2x 9.8x 27.4x 15.5x
Mean 27.1% 3.1% 4.5x 4.3x 17.4x 13.5x 26.3x 22.4x
Median 27.9% 2.0% 4.4x 4.3x 16.3x 14.0x 28.2x 24.8x
EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA P / E
SOFTWARE
7
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
(1) Schneider Electric has entered into an agreement to acquire a majority stake in Aveva
(1)
PAGE |
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015
Data Centres IT Services Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting Offshore IT Services PaaS/IaaS
(8%)
(6%)
(4%)
(2%)
0%
2%
4%
27 Aug 03 Sep 10 Sep 17 Sep 24 Sep
Data Centres IT Services Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting Offshore IT Services PaaS/IaaS
IT SERVICES
8
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
LAST 30 DAYS PERFORMANCE
LAST TWELVE MONTHS PERFORMANCE
Offshore IT Services 0.6%
Data Centres (0.8%)
Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting (3.2%)
PaaS/IaaS (3.5%)
IT Services (4.7%)
Offshore IT Services 17.4%
IT Services 12.5%
Data Centres 11.1%
PaaS/IaaS (12.2%)
Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting (15.3%)
PAGE |
0
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
IT Services
Accenture 60,781 56,959 16.6% 2.4% 1.8x 1.7x 11.1x 10.4x 20.0x 18.2x
KDDI 56,792 65,495 30.2% 0.5% 1.7x 1.7x 5.8x 5.6x 13.8x 12.7x
Capgemini 15,384 13,860 11.7% 5.4% 1.0x 0.9x 8.9x 7.5x 18.4x 15.3x
NTT Group 14,140 15,921 16.4% 6.5% 1.2x 1.2x 7.5x 7.1x 37.0x 26.7x
Capita 12,171 15,035 15.2% 8.8% 2.0x 1.9x 13.4x 12.5x 17.1x 15.9x
CGI 11,046 12,424 18.3% (14.6%) 1.6x 1.6x 8.8x 8.3x 15.0x 13.6x
Fujitsu 9,779 15,696 7.2% (1.0%) 0.4x 0.4x 5.6x 5.1x 10.0x 9.1x
Computer Sciences 8,481 8,924 17.3% (11.4%) 0.8x 0.8x 4.6x 4.4x 12.8x 11.9x
NEC 8,067 10,745 7.4% (1.7%) 0.4x 0.4x 5.9x 5.8x 19.2x 11.9x
Atos Origin 7,943 7,792 11.2% 11.2% 0.6x 0.6x 5.7x 5.3x 12.3x 10.9x
Sopra 2,224 2,916 7.8% 46.1% 0.7x 0.7x 9.3x 7.9x 15.7x 12.8x
Bechtle 1,853 1,787 5.3% 2.5% 0.6x 0.5x 10.6x 9.6x 18.7x 16.6x
Tieto 1,831 1,848 13.6% (11.4%) 1.1x 1.1x 8.3x 7.6x 19.0x 14.6x
Indra Sistemas 1,701 2,544 5.3% (7.8%) 0.8x 0.8x 14.8x 8.9x NM 15.9x
GFI Informatique 357 403 7.5% 0.8% 0.4x 0.4x 5.5x 5.2x 11.7x 11.1x
Mean 12.7% 2.4% 1.0x 1.0x 8.4x 7.4x 17.2x 14.5x
Median 11.7% 0.8% 0.8x 0.8x 8.3x 7.5x 16.4x 13.6x
Offshore IT Services
Tata 76,182 72,871 28.3% 15.5% 4.6x 4.1x 16.3x 14.7x 22.8x 20.2x
Infosys 39,292 34,940 26.7% 5.2% 4.0x 3.5x 14.9x 13.0x 21.0x 19.4x
Cognizant 37,358 34,854 20.2% 21.8% 2.8x 2.5x 13.9x 12.1x 20.3x 17.7x
Wipro 22,309 19,388 22.4% 2.3% 2.6x 2.3x 11.5x 10.8x 16.4x 15.6x
HCL 20,241 18,735 22.2% 10.7% 3.1x 2.7x 14.0x 11.9x NA 17.2x
Mean 24.0% 11.1% 3.4x 3.0x 14.1x 12.5x 20.1x 18.0x
Median 22.4% 10.7% 3.1x 2.7x 14.0x 12.1x 20.6x 17.7x
Managed Services, Colocation and Hosting
Level 3 15,489 25,958 31.7% 21.6% 3.1x 2.9x 9.9x 9.0x 27.2x 18.9x
United Internet 10,357 12,105 20.9% 13.3% 2.9x 2.7x 13.9x 12.3x 25.1x 20.3x
Rackspace 3,891 3,749 33.1% 10.9% 1.9x 1.7x 5.7x 5.0x 33.3x 27.2x
Interxion 1,873 2,413 43.8% 4.0% 5.6x 5.0x 12.7x 11.2x NM 35.2x
Endurance 1,705 2,742 36.2% 19.7% 3.7x 3.2x 10.1x 8.5x 10.1x 8.2x
GoDaddy 1,672 2,697 20.4% 15.5% 1.7x 1.5x 8.3x 6.8x 21.7x 18.1x
Windstream 723 11,545 31.2% (2.8%) 2.0x 2.1x 6.5x 7.1x NM NM
iomart 420 443 43.4% 13.1% 4.0x 3.6x 9.1x 8.3x 18.4x 15.9x
Redcentric 397 408 23.1% 22.1% 2.5x 2.3x 10.9x 9.8x 20.9x 17.4x
Internap 366 723 24.8% (3.3%) 2.2x 2.1x 9.0x 7.7x NM NM
Proact 119 126 NA 7.9% 0.4x 0.4x NA NA 11.9x 10.1x
Melbourne IT 118 128 12.6% 2.0% 1.2x 1.1x 9.5x 6.4x 18.5x 12.5x
Mean 29.2% 10.3% 2.6x 2.4x 9.6x 8.4x 20.8x 18.4x
Median 31.2% 12.0% 2.4x 2.2x 9.5x 8.3x 20.9x 17.7x
Data Centres
Equinix 15,908 20,282 46.8% 10.6% 7.5x 6.7x 16.1x 14.2x NM 28.3x
Digital Realty Trust 8,691 14,691 57.8% 4.1% 8.7x 7.9x 15.1x 13.6x 38.7x 45.7x
Telecity 3,399 3,868 46.6% 0.5% 7.1x 6.5x 15.2x 13.6x 28.7x 24.7x
DuPont Fabros 1,675 3,587 63.1% 5.9% 8.1x 7.6x 12.9x 11.9x 23.6x 20.3x
Coresite 1,340 2,068 50.9% 18.6% 6.4x 5.6x 12.7x 10.8x NM 40.1x
Mean 53.0% 7.9% 7.6x 6.9x 14.4x 12.8x 30.4x 31.8x
Median 50.9% 5.9% 7.5x 6.7x 15.1x 13.6x 28.7x 28.3x
PaaS/IaaS
EMC 45,770 46,933 25.9% 3.2% 1.9x 1.8x 7.2x 6.6x 12.7x 11.4x
Akamai 12,600 12,571 40.3% 13.3% 5.7x 4.9x 14.1x 12.2x 29.3x 24.8x
ServiceNow 11,373 11,110 14.2% 47.1% 11.1x 8.2x NM NM NM NM
Netapp 8,720 5,258 18.2% (7.9%) 0.9x 0.9x 5.0x 4.0x 13.4x 10.8x
Commvault Systems 1,572 1,161 11.6% (5.8%) 2.0x 1.9x 17.3x 12.0x NM 33.7x
Synchronoss 1,515 1,517 34.7% 27.1% 2.6x 2.2x 7.6x 6.3x 15.4x 13.2x
Progress Software 1,309 1,256 31.1% 27.1% 3.0x 2.8x 9.6x 9.2x 17.8x 16.5x
Carbonite 312 247 18.7% 12.6% 1.8x 1.6x 9.6x 7.9x NM NM
Mean 24.3% 14.6% 3.6x 3.0x 10.0x 8.3x 17.7x 18.4x
Median 22.3% 12.9% 2.3x 2.1x 9.6x 7.9x 15.4x 14.9x
EV / Revenue P / EEV / EBITDA
IT SERVICES
9
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
(1) Equinix has entered into an agreement to acquire Telecity
(1)
(1)
PAGE |
(70%)
(60%)
(50%)
(40%)
(30%)
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015
Digital Broadband Diversified Communication Equipment Mobile Content / Solutions Providers Mobile Infrastructure Software
COMMUNICATIONS
10
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
LAST 30 DAYS PERFORMANCE
LAST TWELVE MONTHS PERFORMANCE
Digital Broadband 4.7%
Diversified Communication Equipment (18.2%)
Mobile Infrastructure Software (23.8%)
Mobile Content / Solutions Providers (56.9%)
(20%)
(15%)
(10%)
(5%)
0%
5%
10%
27 Aug 03 Sep 10 Sep 17 Sep 24 Sep
Digital Broadband Diversified Communication Equipment Mobile Content / Solutions Providers Mobile Infrastructure Software
Diversified Communication Equipment 0.8%
Digital Broadband (2.8%)
Mobile Content / Solutions Providers (4.9%)
Mobile Infrastructure Software (5.1%)
PAGE |
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Digital Broadband
TomTom 2,375 2,290 12.5% (2.0%) 2.0x 1.9x 16.3x 12.2x NM 26.3x
Technicolor 2,335 2,973 16.4% (1.9%) 0.8x 0.6x 4.6x 4.5x 9.1x 10.5x
Logitech 2,134 1,661 8.4% (2.5%) 0.8x 0.8x 9.5x 8.7x 30.5x 16.6x
Pace 1,735 1,737 11.1% (5.9%) 0.7x 0.6x 6.3x 6.1x 9.0x 8.6x
Kudelski 721 984 13.6% 4.6% 1.0x 1.0x 7.6x 7.7x 15.4x 14.0x
Parrot 569 497 5.8% 11.3% 1.5x 1.4x 26.1x 15.0x NM 46.7x
Extreme Networks 331 322 5.9% (8.4%) 0.6x 0.6x 10.3x 5.2x 30.6x 17.7x
Mean 10.5% (0.7%) 1.1x 1.0x 11.5x 8.5x 18.9x 20.0x
Median 11.1% (2.0%) 0.8x 0.8x 9.5x 7.7x 15.4x 16.6x
Diversified Communication Equipment
LM Ericsson Telephone 31,187 27,989 12.8% 0.4% 0.9x 0.9x 7.4x 6.3x 15.4x 12.7x
Alcatel-Lucent 9,963 10,834 11.3% (0.3%) 0.7x 0.7x 6.0x 5.4x 17.6x 12.5x
CIENA 2,788 3,235 13.8% 10.2% 1.3x 1.1x 9.2x 7.7x 14.9x 12.2x
ADTRAN 735 622 5.7% (1.9%) 1.0x 1.0x 17.6x 10.2x 28.4x 17.7x
Mean 10.9% 2.1% 1.0x 0.9x 10.1x 7.4x 19.1x 13.8x
Median 12.0% 0.1% 1.0x 1.0x 8.3x 7.0x 16.5x 12.6x
Mobile Infrastructure Software
QUALCOMM 83,619 73,195 36.9% (11.6%) 3.1x 3.1x 8.4x 7.8x 12.2x 10.7x
Amdocs 8,815 7,413 20.3% 2.5% 2.0x 1.9x 9.9x 9.2x 17.0x 15.6x
VeriSign 7,866 7,841 67.0% 4.3% 7.4x 7.1x 11.1x 10.4x 22.8x 20.3x
Synchronoss Technologies 1,515 1,517 34.7% 27.1% 2.6x 2.2x 7.6x 6.3x 15.4x 13.2x
Redknee Solutions 307 269 15.0% (15.3%) 1.2x 1.0x 8.1x 4.8x 30.2x 11.3x
Sonus Networks 295 196 5.3% (16.8%) 0.8x 0.7x 15.0x 4.5x NM 17.2x
TeleCommunication Systems 205 296 10.0% 6.5% 0.8x 0.7x 7.7x 6.7x 13.2x 10.4x
Smith Micro Software 42 31 2.4% 18.1% 0.7x 0.6x 29.3x 11.7x NM 19.5x
Mean 23.9% 1.8% 2.3x 2.2x 12.1x 7.7x 18.5x 14.8x
Median 17.7% 3.4% 1.6x 1.4x 9.1x 7.2x 16.2x 14.4x
Mobile Content / Solutions Providers
Opera Software 799 892 17.2% 19.2% 1.5x 1.2x 8.6x 6.3x 21.2x 13.0x
GameLoft 320 273 10.6% 8.4% 0.9x 0.8x 8.6x 5.4x NM 16.3x
Mean 13.9% 13.8% 1.2x 1.0x 8.6x 5.9x 21.2x 14.7x
Median 13.9% 13.8% 1.2x 1.0x 8.6x 5.9x 21.2x 14.7x
EV / EBITDA P / EEV / Revenue
COMMUNICATIONS
11
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
PAGE |
(40%)
(20%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Sep 2014 Dec 2014 Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Sep 2015
Chinese Internet Leaders Content Providers / Communities Digital Marketing eCommerce
Global Internet Leaders Interactive Entertainment Intermediation and Comparison Online Classifieds
Online Travel Online Gambling Internet Services Educational Technology
INTERNET AND DIGITAL MEDIA
12
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
LAST 30 DAYS PERFORMANCE
LAST TWELVE MONTHS PERFORMANCE
(20%)
(15%)
(10%)
(5%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
27 Aug 03 Sep 10 Sep 17 Sep 24 Sep
Chinese Internet Leaders Content Providers / Communities Digital Marketing Ecommerce
Global Internet Leaders Interactive Entertainment Intermediation and Comparison Online Travel
Online Classifieds Online Gambling Internet Services Educational Technology
Online Gambling 11.1%
Chinese Internet Leaders 7.8%
Intermediation and Comparison 5.7%
Online Travel 3.4%
Internet Services 3.0%
Content Providers / Communities 1.5%
Digital Marketing 0.6%
Global Internet Leaders 0.5%
Online Classifieds (1.1%)
Interactive Entertainment (1.4%)
Ecommerce (1.9%)
Educational Technology (3.1%)
Interactive Entertainment 63.2%
Online Gambling 47.5%
Online Travel 6.5%
Educational Technology 3.3%
Global Internet Leaders 0.3%
Ecommerce (0.7%)
Chinese Internet Leaders (5.9%)
Digital Marketing (6.7%)
Intermediation and Comparison (20.1%)
Online Classifieds (21.1%)
Content Providers / Communities (30.9%)
Internet Services (31.5%)
(1)
(1)
(1) Education Technology index has been normalised to reflect Graham Holdings’ spin-off of its cable segment
PAGE |
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Global Internet Leaders
Apple 654,159 673,714 34.6% 21.8% 2.9x 2.7x 8.3x 8.1x 12.4x 11.5x
Google 429,153 369,355 40.3% 11.3% 5.0x 4.3x 12.4x 10.6x 22.2x 19.0x
Microsoft 351,431 290,376 27.1% (4.8%) 3.3x 3.1x 12.1x 8.1x 17.5x 15.7x
Facebook 261,384 247,408 61.5% 38.8% 14.4x 10.6x 23.4x 17.4x NM 33.9x
Amazon 245,197 249,149 9.5% 18.6% 2.4x 2.0x 24.7x 18.0x NM NM
Alibaba 148,836 138,526 51.4% 23.5% 9.6x 7.5x 18.7x 15.0x 24.3x 19.5x
Baidu 47,162 41,469 22.6% 34.9% 3.9x 2.9x 17.2x 13.2x 22.4x 17.4x
eBay 30,858 27,926 40.1% (51.9%) 3.2x 3.1x 8.1x 7.7x 14.3x 13.3x
Yahoo! 27,423 22,870 23.9% (4.7%) 5.5x 5.5x 22.8x 22.9x NM 41.1x
Yandex 3,406 3,243 34.1% 6.1% 3.7x 3.1x 10.8x 8.6x 24.7x 19.6x
Mean 34.5% 9.4% 5.4x 4.5x 15.8x 12.9x 19.7x 21.2x
Median 34.4% 14.9% 3.8x 3.1x 14.8x 11.9x 22.2x 19.0x
Ecommerce
Amazon 245,197 249,149 9.5% 18.6% 2.4x 2.0x 24.7x 18.0x NM NM
Alibaba 148,836 138,526 51.4% 23.5% 9.6x 7.5x 18.7x 15.0x 24.3x 19.5x
Naspers 50,613 53,367 9.3% (3.6%) 8.8x 7.6x NM NM NM 29.7x
Netflix 43,555 43,158 7.5% 23.8% 6.3x 5.0x NM NM NM NM
JD.com 35,886 32,261 0.3% 53.1% 1.2x 0.8x NM NM NM NM
eBay 30,858 27,926 40.1% (51.9%) 3.2x 3.1x 8.1x 7.7x 14.3x 13.3x
IAC 5,935 6,153 14.8% 4.6% 1.9x 1.8x 12.9x 9.4x 21.5x 16.3x
JUST EAT 4,072 3,833 23.3% 49.9% 10.8x 8.2x 46.2x 29.0x NM 43.7x
Mercadolibre 4,058 4,008 29.5% 17.4% 6.3x 5.3x 21.2x 17.7x 40.0x 27.9x
Mail.ru 3,663 3,913 47.2% 11.5% 6.6x 5.8x 14.0x 11.9x 21.6x 17.9x
Asos 3,368 3,269 5.9% 15.5% 1.8x 1.5x 30.0x 23.6x NM 45.5x
Ocado 2,859 3,018 7.4% 13.2% 1.8x 1.5x 24.3x 20.3x NM NM
Cimpress 2,409 3,010 14.4% 14.6% 1.9x 1.7x 13.1x 11.2x 21.2x 21.1x
Groupon 2,349 1,273 9.1% 0.1% 0.4x 0.4x 4.4x 3.7x 26.3x 19.0x
zulily 2,187 1,873 4.8% 11.1% 1.4x 1.2x 28.9x 20.6x NM 48.6x
GrubHub 2,106 1,799 30.5% 45.1% 4.9x 3.8x 16.2x 12.2x 38.8x 29.9x
YOOX 1,892 1,914 9.5% 11.3% 2.7x 2.3x 28.4x 21.8x NM NM
Shutterfly 1,320 1,506 18.2% 15.5% 1.4x 1.3x 7.8x 6.6x NM NM
Shutterstock 1,089 823 19.6% 29.7% 1.9x 1.6x 9.9x 8.0x 25.7x 20.2x
Coupons.com 733 530 13.1% 15.8% 2.0x 1.7x 15.5x 8.9x NM 28.2x
RetailMeNot 447 244 25.5% (10.2%) 1.0x 1.0x 4.1x 3.9x 13.8x 13.7x
Overstock 434 330 2.6% 16.5% 0.2x 0.2x 7.5x 6.2x 29.3x 19.6x
Blue Nile 388 348 4.8% 3.3% 0.7x 0.7x 14.8x 13.4x 37.4x 32.2x
Mean 17.3% 14.3% 3.4x 2.9x 17.5x 13.5x 26.2x 26.2x
Median 13.1% 15.5% 1.9x 1.7x 15.1x 12.0x 25.0x 21.1x
Online Travel
The Priceline Group 63,517 65,729 39.6% 10.1% 7.1x 6.0x 18.0x 14.9x 22.0x 18.1x
Amadeus 18,552 20,437 37.7% 3.6% 4.8x 4.5x 12.7x 11.8x 21.9x 20.7x
Expedia 17,039 16,750 18.2% 14.4% 2.5x 2.0x 13.9x 10.5x 27.9x 19.4x
Tripadvisor 10,039 9,616 31.7% 23.9% 6.2x 5.1x 19.7x 15.4x 31.3x 24.7x
Ctrip 9,305 10,070 8.4% 45.0% 5.9x 4.3x NM 31.6x NM 34.6x
Sabre Corporation 7,648 10,274 31.7% 6.1% 3.5x 3.1x 10.9x 9.5x 25.6x 20.5x
Travelport 1,648 4,001 24.0% 2.8% 1.8x 1.7x 7.5x 6.9x NM 24.8x
MakeMyTrip 563 435 6.4% (4.1%) 2.8x 2.3x 44.1x 19.6x NM NM
Travelzoo 122 66 5.2% (9.1%) 0.5x 0.5x 9.7x 8.6x NM 31.3x
Mean 22.5% 10.3% 3.9x 3.3x 17.1x 14.3x 25.7x 24.3x
Median 24.0% 6.1% 3.5x 3.1x 13.3x 11.8x 25.6x 22.7x
P / EEV / EBITDAEV / Revenue
INTERNET AND DIGITAL MEDIA
13
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
(1) Zulily has entered into an agreement to be acquired by Liberty Interactive
(1)
PAGE |
INTERNET AND DIGITAL MEDIA
14
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Digital Marketing
HomeAway 2,580 2,010 24.3% 12.1% 4.0x 3.5x 16.5x 13.5x NM NM
Criteo 2,477 2,173 25.4% 47.8% 4.1x 3.1x 16.0x 11.2x 32.6x 22.9x
Cvent 1,383 1,220 10.5% 31.0% 6.6x 5.3x NM 44.0x NM NM
Marketo 1,258 1,154 (10.3%) 41.6% 5.5x 4.1x NM NM NM NM
Callidus Software 961 870 11.5% 25.3% 5.2x 4.4x 44.9x 31.2x NM NM
Constant Contact 794 613 19.9% 12.2% 1.6x 1.4x 8.3x 6.6x 18.8x 14.5x
The Rubicon Project 620 521 15.1% 101.5% 2.1x 1.6x 14.0x 10.1x 30.7x 28.1x
Bazaarvoice 377 331 (2.5%) 7.8% 1.7x 1.5x NM 46.2x NM NM
TechTarget 286 265 22.9% 13.2% 2.2x 2.0x 9.8x 7.9x 22.6x 17.6x
Harte-Hanks 220 262 9.5% (11.1%) 0.5x 0.5x 5.6x 4.7x 11.5x 10.5x
Marchex 173 69 9.5% (18.8%) 0.5x 0.5x 4.9x 5.5x 24.2x 30.2x
Dotdigital 161 147 27.5% 27.1% 4.0x 2.9x 14.4x 8.1x 24.0x 14.3x
Matomy Media 153 168 9.7% 12.7% 0.6x 0.5x 6.5x 4.7x 9.0x 6.6x
InternetQ 135 136 17.1% 18.0% 0.7x 0.6x 4.2x 3.5x 9.9x 7.6x
1000mercis 132 126 23.3% 4.8% 2.1x 1.9x 9.0x 6.9x 15.9x 12.0x
Marin Software 128 89 (11.3%) 7.6% 0.8x 0.7x NM NM NM NM
Mean 12.6% 20.8% 2.6x 2.2x 12.8x 14.6x 19.9x 16.4x
Median 13.3% 12.9% 2.1x 1.7x 9.4x 8.0x 20.7x 14.4x
Content Providers / Communities
LinkedIn 25,275 23,372 22.8% 34.7% 7.9x 6.0x 34.8x 23.4x NM NM
Twitter 17,104 15,140 24.1% 61.9% 6.8x 4.7x 28.1x 17.1x NM 41.3x
Pandora Media 4,428 4,056 6.9% 28.7% 3.4x 2.8x 49.7x 24.6x NM 48.0x
GoPro 4,293 3,776 20.3% 44.0% 2.0x 1.6x 9.7x 8.0x 18.2x 15.5x
JustEat 4,072 3,833 23.3% 49.9% 10.8x 8.2x 46.2x 29.0x NM 43.7x
WebMD Health 1,430 1,625 29.7% 8.7% 2.6x 2.4x 8.7x 7.7x 25.0x 22.9x
XING 1,131 1,050 30.7% 14.6% 7.7x 6.5x 24.9x 19.5x NM 39.3x
XO Group 368 282 18.1% (1.6%) 2.0x 1.9x 11.3x 9.1x NM 32.2x
Brightcove 164 144 4.2% 7.1% 1.1x 1.0x 25.8x 15.9x NM NM
Demand Media 84 42 (4.5%) (21.7%) 0.3x 0.3x NM NM NM NM
Mean 17.6% 22.6% 4.5x 3.5x 26.6x 17.1x 21.6x 34.7x
Median 21.5% 21.6% 3.0x 2.6x 25.8x 17.1x 21.6x 39.3x
Intermediation and Comparison
Zillow 4,968 4,573 12.9% 105.6% 6.9x 5.4x NM 26.2x NM NM
Moneysupermarket 2,780 2,745 39.8% 9.7% 6.5x 6.1x 16.3x 15.4x 24.0x 22.7x
Bankrate 1,037 1,197 27.8% (3.0%) 2.3x 2.2x 8.1x 7.8x 15.2x 14.4x
Gruppo MutuiOnline 345 377 17.3% 61.9% 3.0x 2.8x 17.1x 14.6x 17.0x 16.4x
Angie's List 292 281 8.2% 12.0% 0.8x 0.7x 9.8x 6.7x 33.1x 16.7x
eHealth 245 193 4.5% 1.0% 1.1x 1.0x 23.9x 13.6x 34.6x 33.0x
Liquidity Services 226 130 7.7% (21.5%) 0.3x 0.3x 4.5x 5.2x 18.7x 22.0x
Mean 16.9% 23.7% 3.0x 2.6x 13.3x 12.8x 23.8x 20.9x
Median 12.9% 9.7% 2.3x 2.2x 13.1x 13.6x 21.4x 19.4x
Online Classifieds
Rightmove 5,544 5,526 74.4% 14.2% 19.1x 17.2x 25.7x 23.1x 33.2x 29.2x
SEEK 2,906 3,750 39.4% (1.2%) 5.8x 5.1x 14.6x 13.1x 21.9x 19.4x
SouFun 2,327 2,375 10.1% 26.0% 2.7x 2.1x 27.0x 15.6x 37.6x 17.8x
Yelp 1,668 1,300 13.8% 45.1% 2.4x 1.9x 17.3x 11.2x NM 33.6x
51job 1,565 996 32.4% 7.0% 3.0x 2.6x 9.4x 7.3x 15.7x 13.5x
Zoopla 1,340 1,281 42.2% 36.1% 7.0x 4.8x 16.6x 12.0x 25.7x 18.2x
Monster 589 737 16.5% (5.9%) 1.0x 1.0x 6.1x 4.8x 15.1x 9.8x
Dice 402 473 29.3% (4.8%) 1.9x 1.8x 6.5x 6.2x 17.8x 15.2x
Mean 32.2% 14.6% 5.4x 4.5x 15.4x 11.7x 23.9x 19.6x
Median 30.8% 10.6% 2.9x 2.3x 15.6x 11.6x 21.9x 18.0x
P / EEV / Revenue EV / EBITDA
PAGE |
Market Enterprise CY2015E
Cap ($m) Value ($m) EBITDA Margin Rev. Growth CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E CY2015E CY2016E
Internet Services
LendingClub 4,975 NM 12.8% 91.5% NA NA NA NA NM NM
HomeAway 2,580 2,010 24.3% 12.1% 4.0x 3.5x 16.5x 13.5x NM NM
Web.com 1,087 1,537 27.5% (1.8%) 2.8x 2.6x 10.0x 9.2x 8.9x 7.9x
Xoom 979 792 10.5% 21.4% 4.1x 3.4x 39.5x 23.1x NM 41.4x
LifeLock 823 497 12.3% 21.9% 0.9x 0.7x 7.0x 5.1x 14.4x 11.6x
Wix.com 720 628 5.8% 44.6% 3.1x 2.3x NM 18.7x NM NM
Mean 15.5% 31.6% 3.0x 2.5x 18.3x 13.9x 11.6x 20.3x
Median 12.6% 21.7% 3.1x 2.6x 13.3x 13.5x 11.6x 11.6x
Educational Technology
Graham 3,372 2,941 12.1% (23.4%) 1.1x 1.1x 8.9x 8.1x 22.6x 18.0x
2U 1,580 1,491 (5.9%) 35.1% 10.1x 7.8x NM NM NM NM
Chegg 651 589 1.1% 0.2% 1.9x 2.1x NM 21.3x NM 32.0x
K12 504 348 10.3% (2.0%) 0.4x 0.4x 3.7x 3.5x 21.7x 28.6x
Cambium Learning Group 218 343 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Rosetta Stone 145 118 (9.2%) (16.8%) 0.5x 0.5x NM 16.1x NM NM
Mean 1.7% (1.4%) 2.8x 2.4x 6.3x 12.3x 22.2x 26.2x
Median 1.1% (2.0%) 1.1x 1.1x 6.3x 12.1x 22.2x 28.6x
Chinese Internet Leaders
Tencent 157,289 154,876 44.5% 22.1% 10.0x 7.7x 22.5x 18.0x 31.7x 24.0x
Baidu 47,162 41,469 22.6% 34.9% 3.9x 2.9x 17.2x 13.2x 22.4x 17.4x
Netease 14,787 11,464 33.1% 63.2% 3.8x 3.1x 11.4x 9.3x 14.9x 12.6x
58.com 5,738 5,279 (55.5%) 159.8% 7.8x 4.7x NM NM NM NM
Autohome 3,238 2,720 39.4% 64.7% 5.0x 3.7x 12.7x 9.8x 19.8x 15.5x
Youku Tudou 3,128 2,230 (15.4%) 53.6% 2.3x 1.6x NM NM NM NM
Weibo Corporation 2,364 2,035 13.6% 43.0% 4.3x 3.2x 31.4x 15.0x NM 21.0x
SouFun 2,327 2,375 10.1% 26.0% 2.7x 2.1x 27.0x 15.6x 37.6x 17.8x
Sina 2,199 1,376 7.0% 13.7% 1.6x 1.4x 22.8x 9.5x NM 24.4x
Sohu 1,604 1,341 9.7% 18.1% 0.7x 0.6x 7.0x 4.0x NM NM
Renren 1,034 790 (110.1%) (22.4%) 11.2x 5.4x NM NM NM NM
Dangdang 479 204 (0.6%) 21.2% 0.1x 0.1x NM 3.5x NM 12.1x
Mean (0.1%) 41.5% 4.4x 3.0x 19.0x 10.9x 25.3x 18.1x
Median 9.9% 30.4% 3.8x 3.0x 19.9x 9.8x 22.4x 17.6x
Online Gambling
Betfair 4,558 4,398 23.2% 14.3% 5.6x 5.1x 24.3x 21.9x NM 34.9x
Playtech 4,161 3,604 40.3% 37.3% 4.8x 3.6x 12.0x 9.0x 16.9x 13.3x
bwin.party digital entertainment 1,335 1,170 16.5% (4.3%) 1.8x 1.7x 10.6x 11.0x 22.8x 24.2x
888 916 779 16.7% (3.5%) 1.8x 1.7x 10.6x 9.8x 20.1x 18.5x
Mean 24.2% 11.0% 3.5x 3.0x 14.4x 12.9x 19.9x 22.7x
Median 19.9% 5.4% 3.3x 2.6x 11.3x 10.4x 20.1x 21.3x
Interactive Entertainment
Activision 23,372 22,928 34.3% (3.8%) 4.9x 4.6x 14.3x 12.5x 24.0x 20.6x
Electronic Arts 21,663 19,417 30.0% 5.6% 4.4x 4.2x 14.6x 13.0x 25.6x 21.5x
Take-Two Interactive Software 2,567 1,858 14.9% 18.6% 1.2x 1.1x 8.0x 6.5x 21.6x 20.3x
Ubisoft Entertainment 2,289 2,067 57.4% (26.4%) 1.6x 1.0x 2.7x 2.4x 16.3x 14.0x
Zynga 2,163 1,104 1.8% 9.9% 1.5x 1.4x NM 11.9x NM NM
Mean 27.7% 0.8% 2.7x 2.5x 9.9x 9.3x 21.9x 19.1x
Median 30.0% 5.6% 1.6x 1.4x 11.2x 11.9x 22.8x 20.5x
P / EEV / Revenue EV / EBITDA
INTERNET AND DIGITAL MEDIA
15
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
(1)
(1) Xoom has entered into an agreement to be acquired by Paypal
(2) bwin.party digital entertainment is in takeover talks to be acquired by GCV Holding
(2)
Energy, Power& Infrastructure
IndustrialsHealthcare & Life Sciences
Transportation & Logistics
Aerospace, Defense & Government
Services
Business Services
Building Products & Materials
Technology, Media & Telecom
Specialty Distribution
Consumer
PAGE |
HARRIS WILLIAMS & CO. OFFICE LOCATIONS
UNITED STATES EUROPE
BostonTwo International Place24th FloorBoston, Massachusetts 02110Phone: +1 (617) 482-7501Fax: +1 (617) 482-7503
Cleveland1900 East 9th Street20th FloorCleveland, Ohio 44114Phone: +1 (216) 689-2400Fax: +1 (216) 689-2401
Minneapolis222 South 9th StreetSuite 3350Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402Phone: +1 (612) 359-2700Fax: +1 (612) 359-2701
Richmond (Headquarters)1001 Haxall Point9th FloorRichmond, Virginia 23219Phone: +1 (804) 648-0072Fax: +1 (804) 648-0073
San Francisco575 Market Street31st FloorSan Francisco, California 94105, USAPhone: +1 (415) 288-4260Fax: +1 (415) 288-4269
FrankfurtBockenheimer Landstrasse 33-3560325 FrankfurtGermanyPhone: +49 069 3650638 00Fax: +49 069 3650638 01
London63 Brook StreetLondon W1K 4HS, EnglandPhone: +44 (0) 20 7518 8900Fax: +44 (0) 20 7526 2187
NETWORK OFFICES
Beijing
Hong Kong
Mumbai
New Delhi
Shanghai
Technology, Media & Telecom
16
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
Harris Williams & Co. has a broad range of industry expertise, which creates powerful opportunities.Our clients benefit from our deep-sector experience, integrated industry intelligence andcollaboration across the firm, and our commitment to learning what makes them unique. For moreinformation, visit our website at www.harriswilliams.com/industries
OUR FIRM
PAGE |
HARRIS WILLIAMS & CO.
Capital IQ as of 28th September 2015, broker reports and various industry news outlets
17
SOURCES
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ SEPTEMBER 2015
Harris Williams & Co. (www.harriswilliams.com and www.harriswilliams.de) is a preeminent middle market investment bank focused on the advisory needs of clients worldwide. The firm has deep industry knowledge, global transaction expertise, and an unwavering commitment to excellence. Harris Williams & Co. provides sell-side and acquisition advisory, restructuring advisory, board advisory, private placements, and capital markets advisory services.
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd is a private limited company incorporated under English law having its registered office at 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE, UK, registered with the Registrar of Companies for England and Wales under company number 7078852. Directors: Mr. Christopher Williams, Mr. Ned Valentine, Mr. Paul Poggi and Mr. Thierry Monjauze, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
Harris Williams & Co. Ltd Niederlassung Frankfurt (German branch) is registered in the Commercial Register (Handelsregister) of the Local Court (Amtsgericht) of Frankfurt am Main, Germany, under registration number HRB 96687, having its business address at Bockenheimer Landstrasse 33-35, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Permanent Representative (Ständiger Vertreter) of the Branch Niederlassung: Mr. Jeffery H. Perkins.
THIS REPORT MAY CONTAIN REFERENCES TO REGISTERED TRADEMARKS, SERVICE MARKS AND COPYRIGHTS OWNED BY THIRD-PARTY INFORMATION PROVIDERS. NONE OF THE THIRD PARTY INFORMATION PROVIDERS IS ENDORSING THE OFFERING OF, AND SHALL NOT IN ANY WAY BE DEEMED AN ISSUER OR UNDERWRITER OF, THE SECURITIES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS OR OTHER INVESTMENTS DISCUSSED IN THIS REPORT AND SHALL NOT HAVE ANY LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY STATEMENTS MADE IN THE REPORT OR FOR ANY FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS OR OTHER FINANCIAL INFORMATION CONTAINED OR ATTACHED AS AN EXHIBIT TO THE REPORT. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE MATERIALS PROVIDED BY SUCH THIRD PARTIES, PLEASE CONTACT US AT +44 (0) 20 7518 8900.
The information and views contained in this report were prepared by Harris Williams & Co. Ltd (“Harris Williams”). It is not a research report, as such term is defined by applicable law and regulations, and is provided for informational purposes only. It is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy. The information contained herein is believed by Harris Williams to be reliable but Harris Williams makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information.
Harris Williams and/or its affiliates may be market makers or specialists in, act as advisers or lenders to, have positions in and effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned herein and also may provide, may have provided, or may seek to provide investment banking services for those companies. In addition, Harris Williams and/or its affiliates or their respective officers, directors and employees may hold long or short positions in the securities, options thereon or other related financial products of companies discussed herein. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute Harris Williams’ judgment and are subject to change without notice. The financial instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisors as they believe necessary and based upon their specific financial situations and investment objectives. Also, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form or by any means, or redistributed, without Harris Williams’ prior written consent.
Copyright© 2015 Harris Williams & Co., all rights reserved.
DISCLOSURES