Hurricane Earl: A Case Study for the NHC Storm Surge

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Hurricane Earl: A Case Study for the NHC Storm Surge

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Jamie RhomeStorm Surge Specialist

National Hurricane Center

Jamie RhomeStorm Surge Specialist

National Hurricane Center

2

NHC Advisory/ NWS Local Statements

Probabilistic Storm Surge

*MEOWs

*MEOWs

*MOMs

*MOMs

Tier 1

Response

< 48 h of landfall

Tier 3

Planning/Mitigation

> 120 h of landfall

Tier 2

Readiness

48 h – 120 h of landfall

NHC Storm Surge Product Decision Support Wedge

3

Cat 4 MOM

4

5

Cat 4 MEOW

6

Cat 4 MEOW

7

Cat 4 MEOW

8

Adv #29 Track

9

Cat 4 MEOW

10

Cat 4 MEOW

11

Cat 4 MEOW

12

Ensemble/Probabilistic

13

Ensemble/Probabilistic

14

Ensemble/Probabilistic

15

Deterministic Run

16

Left Side of Cone

17

18

19

Prototype Warning

20

MEOW

21

MEOW

22

MEOW

23