how to start with cross-sell analysis

18
1 Slide notes will help you understand what was said during the conference.

Upload: dobry-web

Post on 24-May-2015

3.318 views

Category:

Technology


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Simple steps how to start with cross-sell analysis using e-commerce data from Google Analytics.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: How to start with cross-sell analysis

1

Slide notes will help you understand what was said during the conference.

Page 2: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Geddy Van Elburg’s presentation mentioned the importance of average order

value. In this presentation you’ll learn if leveraging your AOV can be beneficial

for you.

2

Page 3: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Everybody wants to be like Amazon and cross-sell products like crazy.

Amazon makes 20-30% of its sales from recommendations.

Only 16% of people go to Amazon with explicit intent to buy something.

Source: Toby Segaran, Ravi Pathak

http://www.slideshare.net/ravipathak1/liftsuggest-at-a-conference

3

Page 4: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Not a lot of website take care of their related products, even if their e-

commerce platform allows to manage relations easily.

The weakest point is human patience to fill in related products. Like you can

see in this case.

I completely understand, why they don’t care about it. It is quite difficult to

manage connections of 20 000 products.

Start with a minimum level of categories which should be perfected. But what

products to connect together?

4

Page 5: How to start with cross-sell analysis

There are several levels of cross-selling connections which you can read

about in every theoretical article.

What we found effective is to analyze your historical transactions and see

what customers wanted naturally.

Like in this example, where we don’t cross sell ovens with induction hobs or

fridges, but with some basic baking tins. But it makes sense.

When you’re buying an oven, you probably want to bake in it. So why don’t

you grab some nice tin that you can be sure that fits into your oven?

5

Page 6: How to start with cross-sell analysis

So far you haven’t seen anything advanced. We just want to recommend to

the customer some products that are really relevant.

If you want to start connecting dots even in your store, use your current data

and knowledge.

It is possible to understand what products and product categories to focus on

from historical data and knowledge of business context.

6

Page 7: How to start with cross-sell analysis

You may think that analyzing your data is something too complicated.

Online marketers are usually scared of any advanced analytics that is not

directly visible in Google Analytics as it is too technical or too robust to

accomplish.

Don’t worry about that. I want to show you basic step-by-step tutorial how to

analyze your data.

Get your hands dirty and dive into data!

7

Page 8: How to start with cross-sell analysis

You all probably use e-commerce tracking in Google Analytics for tracking

your orders or other type of transactions.

That’s great, because you already have a huge amount of data to analyze.

I personally love using Excellent Analytics as a tool to get my e-commerce

data into Excel where I do two basic things:

1) I start looking at the data. You can see that some of the rows have

different color, because those categories were sold within the same

transaction. This will be the base for our cross-selling analysis.

2) The second point is that I clean the data. In Czech republic there is some

kind of recycling tax for electric good that the customer has to pay. For

cross-selling analysis I’m not interested in those fees, so I wipe them out.

8

Page 9: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Don’t worry, I don’t want you to start programming not even trying to read

what is on the screenshot.

But we need somehow to analyze what products or product categories were

related in our orders. So I recommend you to use the software called R. It is

completely free and although it looks very technical, it is quite easy to use a

statistical library that will help you find strong associations in your orders.

On my last slide I put a link to an excellent and short article about how to do

precisely this analysis. I’m sure you will make it in less than one hour.

This is the real result from one of our client’s e-commerce data. Some minutes

before we were talking about ovens and other products for baking. You can

see that customers who are buying installed ovens are also buying induction

hobs. The confidence metric shows us that it is not that true vice versa, so

customers buying induction hobs are not buying installed ovens that much.

You can see that it is very clearly stated what product categories are related.

We don’t have customers that are buying from completely different categories,

but only very related goods. This is very important fact to recognize!

9

Page 10: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Now how do you know that it is worthy to start relating your products?

We’ll go back into Excel and with an easy pivot table we’ll divide our

transactions according to the number of items in them.

If we want to estimate how can sales go up with stronger cross-selling, we

should simulate a decrease of items with only one item.

From my simulation you can see how higher average order value helps your

sales.

I chose 12 % as a very conservative estimation based on the confidence

metric that I just showed you.

10

Page 11: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Now it’s your turn. As a homework after this presentation, you should try the

cross-sell analysis yourself.

In case you see some associated products, don’t start changing your site

completely. At first, try connecting manually products in top categories. In my

case from the example shown before a minute, I would start with ovens, GSM

phones and compact digital cameras.

If you are sure you can’t handle it manually, there are some services that can

ease you the work.

Lift suggest is one of the examples. It is made by an American-Indian

company Tatvic and they are running those codes in R software on their

servers and if you insert just a small code on your product pages, it will

automatically serve related products.

In any case, I want to show you how easy you can measure if the cross-

selling tools are performing well or not.

11

Page 12: How to start with cross-sell analysis

We’ll switch from e-commerce websites to a slightly different category.

Our company Dobry web organizes a large number of public trainings about

different areas of internet marketing.

12

Page 13: How to start with cross-sell analysis

On the training page there is an order form. Before you submit the order, you

can use a nice box for adding one or more training to the order.

On the screenshot you can see that it is a training about Google Analytics and

the visitor is just clicking on a button called Pridat (Add) to add a training

about web copywriting. He will get a nice 15 % discount if he orders two

trainings at once.

We are measuring every click on these Add buttons with Event Tracking in

Google Analytics.

13

Page 14: How to start with cross-sell analysis

If you haven’t worked with Event tracking before, I strongly recommend you

doing that. It is very easy way to measure all interactions on your webpage

that are not related to pageviews.

As we are tracking every click on Add button and even on the button called

Odebrat (Remove), we can see how many visitors have played with our cross-

selling tool. But this doesn’t show us if the tool has helped our visitors to order

more transactions. The real power of this data in Google Analytics lies in the

capability to be connected to visitor goals using the advanced segmentation.

14

Page 15: How to start with cross-sell analysis

These are very important figures. By using advanced segments we can clearly

see how many visits have used the cross-selling tool and how many of them

have actually purchased a training.

Every fourth visit that used cross-selling has converted! It is remarkable!

Now you can see how easy it is to measure the performance and efficiency of

cross-selling tools. I’m pretty sure you can manage to do it yourself.

15

Page 16: How to start with cross-sell analysis

What works for Amazon or your competitors doesn’t have to work for you. Try

analyzing your own orders. It will take you just one hour and I think you’ll

have fun as well.

By doing so you will get the picture and see if your store has any potential to

be better at cross-selling.

You can take an opportunity and make your Google Analytics perfect with

Event tracking.

Please, don’t forget to connect your data to the real world. It is really beneficial

to get some real feedback from real customers. You’ll justify if your cross-

selling tools are appropriate for your customers.

16

Page 17: How to start with cross-sell analysis

Twitter: @paveljasek

Email: [email protected]

Feel free to email me what have you observed in your data and how well is

your cross-selling doing.

Thank you!

17

Page 18: How to start with cross-sell analysis

You can download test set of orders and categories:

http://noca.cz/JBhUTh (CSV, 92 kB)

Save this file as C:./categories.csv

Sample code for R:

install.packages("arules");

library("arules");

txn = read.transactions(file="C:/categories.csv", rm.duplicates= FALSE,

format="single",sep=";",cols =c(1,2));

basket_rules <- apriori(txn,parameter = list(sup = 0.002, conf =

0.06,target="rules"), appearance = list(default = "both"));

inspect(basket_rules);

You can play with sup and conf parameters to adjust support and confidence

threshold.

18