how thick is the ice?...2016/11/16  · – 2 on multi-year ice; 6 on first-year ice • 54,287...

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How thick is the ice? What scale?

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  • How thick is the ice?

    What scale?

  • How thick is the ice?

    July – melt August – melt September – freezeup

    April – pre-melt May – pre-melt June – melt

    What time?

  • How thick is the ice? Young ice

    First year ice Multiyear ice

    New ice

    What age?

  • How thick is the ice?

    What kind?

  • What does ice thickness mean to you?

    The distance from the top of the ice to the bottom

    The great integrator

    Ice strength

    A barrier to heat, moisture, momentum

    The key parameter (even bigger than albedo)

    Storage of fresh water

    An insulator

    g(h) – the thickness distribution

    Light transmission

    Mass balance Ice deformation

  • In situ observations of ice thickness

    High resolution over small scales

    Jackie Richter-Menge, Don Perovich

  • Drilling holes

    Most direct, most accurate, most information

    Point measurement of:

    • Snow depth = 30 cm

    • Freeboard = 40 cm

    • Ice thickness = 400 cm

    Uncertainty of 1 cm

    •Direct measurement

    • Accurate

    • Snow, ice, freeboard

    • Simple equipment

    • Hard work

    • Slow, limited coverage

  • Ice Transect Site 11

    -130

    -110

    -90

    -70

    -50

    -30

    -10

    10

    30

    50

    0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102

    108

    114

    120

    126

    132

    138

    144

    Distance (m)

    Ice P

    rofi

    le (

    cm

    )

    Melt Pond Ice Ocean

    Ice

    Ocean

    Pond

    Pond morphology matters

    Melt pond survey Important for

    • Mass balance

    • Mechanical properties

    • Salinity balance

    • Light transmittance

    • Mechanical drilling

    • 150 m long line

    • Every 2 m

    • 1.5 hour

  • Ridge surveys

    Ridges are trouble

    0 20 40 60 80

    -700

    -600

    -500

    -400

    -300

    -200

    -100

    0

    Snow

    Ice

    Ocean

    Po

    sitio

    n (

    cm

    )

    Position

    • Mechanical drilling

    • 100 m long line

    • Every 5 m

    • Mean thickness = 410 cm

    • Range from 160 cm to 760 cm

    • Took 2.5 days

  • Ridges and rubble fields

    Rubble fields are worse. Want to borrow my drill?

  • Hot water drilling

    Two dimensional look at heterogeneity

    •100 m x 100 m grid

    • Every 10 m

    • Mean thickness = 300 cm

    • Range from 180 cm to 651 cm

    • Took 2 days

    • Direct measurement

    • Accurate

    • Snow, ice, freeboard

    • More coverage

    • Complicated, heavy equipment

    • Major setup effort

    • Jackie hates it…a lot

  • Sea ice mass balance

    Simple, but powerful observation – attributes change

    • Simple concept • ice growth • surface melt • bottom melt

    • Equipment • ablation stakes and thickness gauges • autonomous buoys

    Above

    Below

    -300

    -250

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    De

    pth

    (cm

    )

    Oct 15 Dec 15 Feb 15 Apr 15 Jun 15 Aug 15

  • An array of mass balance sites

    In this case all ice thinned over annual cycle 10/25 12/25 2/25 4/25 6/25 8/250

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    Ice T

    hic

    kness (

    cm

    )

    -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 00 20 40 60 80 100 1200.00

    0.05

    0.10

    0.15

    0.20

    0.25

    0.30

    0.35

    Surface melt

    58 cm

    Bottom melt

    62 cm

    Fra

    ctio

    n

    Growth

    50 cm

  • Autonomous measurements of thickness and mass balance

    Ice

    Ocean

    Ice

    Snow

    -20

    -19

    -18

    -17

    -16

    -15

    -14

    -13

    -12

    -11

    -10

    -9

    -8

    -7

    -6

    -5

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    -350

    -300

    -250

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    -50

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    Air

    Tem

    pera

    ture

    (oC

    )

    Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov-2.0

    -1.5

    -1.0

    -0.5

    Wate

    r T

    em

    pera

    ture

    (oC

    )

    960

    980

    1000

    1020

    1040

    1060

    Baro

    metr

    ic p

    ressure

    (m

    b)

    Depth

    (cm

    )

    • Position

    • Air temperature

    • Barometric pressure

    • Ice temperatures

    • Upper ocean temperatures

    • Snow accumulation and ablation

    • Ice growth

    • Surface and bottom ice melt

    2006 2007 2008

    Sea ice mass balance buoys

  • Electromagnetic induction

    Cover more area, with less resolution

    50 100 150 200 250 300 35050

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    Drill

    hole

    thic

    kness (

    cm

    )

    EM-31 thickness (cm)

    • Easy to operate

    • Lightweight, portable

    • More coverage (km)

    • In situ remote sensing

    • Calibration needed

    • 6 m maximum thickness

    • Footprint 1.35 x distance

  • In situ ice thickness surveys

    Snow depth and ice thickness over kilometers

    Add a magnaprobe!

  • Transarctic ice thickness observations

    Sampling across the Arctic

    26 August

    17 September

  • Spatial surveys EM-31

    First year ice near the end of the melt season

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    0

    200

    400

    600

    Sn

    ow

    de

    pth

    (cm

    )

    Ice

    th

    ickn

    ess (

    cm

    )

    0 400 800 1200 1600-600

    -500

    -400

    -300

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    Snow Ice

    Count 312 312

    Average 0.0 149

    Median 0.0 133

    Std dev 0.0 38.9

    Minimum 0.0 91

    Maximum 0.0 318

    % > 6m 0.0%

    Dis

    tance F

    rom

    Sea L

    evel (c

    m)

    Distance (m)

    83 17.9 N, 171 53.3 W

    26 Aug 2005

  • Spatial surveys EM-31

    Multiyear at the beginning of freezeup

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    0

    200

    400

    600

    Sn

    ow

    de

    pth

    (cm

    )

    Ice

    th

    ickn

    ess (

    cm

    )

    0 600 1200 1800-600

    -500

    -400

    -300

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    Snow Ice

    Count 368 362

    Average 15 164

    Median 15 150

    Std dev 4.9 58.9

    Minimum 1 93

    Maximum 32 463

    % > 6m 1.6%

    Dis

    tan

    ce

    Fro

    m S

    ea

    Le

    ve

    l (c

    m)

    Distance (m)

    87 28.3 N, 57 35.3 E

    17 Sep 2005

  • 0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    0 5 10 15 20 25 300

    100

    200

    300

    400

    Average

    Median

    Snow

    depth

    (cm

    )

    Site number

    Ice thic

    kness (

    cm

    )Transarctic thickness surveys

    8% of sample was ridges more than 6 m thick

    0 100 200 300 400 500 6000

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Mean 179

    Median 157

    Mode 119

    Std Dev 73

    Minimum 24

    Maximum > 600

    Count 7738

    Perc

    ent

    Ice thickness (cm)

    > 6 m

    August – September 2005

  • Ship-based ice watch

    Rough estimate, but multiple ships

    • Many variables

    • Standardized format

    • Software widely available

    • Many ships including tourism

    • Excellent Antarctic dataset

    • Very rough estimate

    • Limited by season

    • Sampling is biased

  • Ship-based ice watch

    Large in situ areal coverage

    • In transit ice description • Thickness plus concentration, ridges, ponds, ice type, etc

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 23 Aug 30 Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 270.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    Po

    nd

    fra

    ctio

    n

    Ice

    th

    ickn

    ess (

    m)

    Nilas

    Brash

    First year

    Multiyear

    Open water

    Ice

    co

    nce

    ntr

    atio

    n

    EM-31

  • In situ thickness and remote sensing

    Connecting the scales

  • • Measure surface elevation of snow, ice and open water

    • Derive sea ice freeboard

    • Assume equilibrium of floating ice cover

    • Infer ice thickness, a function of:

    – Snow, ice and water density – Snow depth – Ice freeboard

    • Ice thickness uncertainty primarily influenced by errors snow depth

    Sea Ice Thickness: Airborne and Satellite Altimetry An inferred measurement

    Open Water

    Snow Freeboard

    Photo Credit: Andrew Roberts, SEDNA 2007

    Snow

    Sea Ice Ice

    Draft

    Sea

    Surface

    Radar Altimeter:

    Ice Surface LiDAR Altimeter:

    Snow surface

    Ice

    Freeboard

    Snow Depth

    Ice

    Thickness

  • • Measure surface elevation of snow, ice and open water

    • Derive sea ice freeboard

    • Assume equilibrium of floating ice cover

    • Infer ice thickness, a function of:

    – Snow, ice and water density – Snow depth – Ice freeboard

    • Ice thickness uncertainty primarily influenced by errors snow depth

    Sea Ice Thickness: Airborne and Satellite Altimetry An inferred measurement

    Open Water

    Snow Freeboard

    Photo Credit: Andrew Roberts, SEDNA 2007

    Snow

    Sea Ice Ice

    Draft

    Sea

    Surface

    Radar Altimeter:

    Ice Surface LiDAR Altimeter:

    Snow surface

    Ice

    Freeboard

    Snow Depth

    Ice

    Thickness Snow depth measurements

  • Snow depth

    Magnaprobe (Sturm et al.)

    • Snow depth • Point measurement • GPS • Automatically logs obs • Easy to use • Quick • cm accuracy

    Snow pit

    • Detailed snow characterization • Point measurement • Density, grain size, salinity, layers • Tedious

  • ICEX 2011: US Navy Ice Exercise Supporting Arctic Submarine Operations

    March 2011, Alaskan Beaufort Sea

  • Drill holes

    ICEX2011: Coordinated Measurement Campaign

    Ground-based

    NRL Twin Otter

    IceBridge NASA P3

    US Navy Submarine

    Snow depth and ice thickness

  • ICEX2011: Coordinated around a 9-km-long survey line

    North End

    Reflector site

    Devil’s Cauldron

    South End

    Calibration drill hole

    Widely varying ice

  • Multiyear ice

    Undeformed first year

    Refrozen lead

    First-year ridge

  • NASA P3 Over Flight of ICEX2011 Survey Line

  • NASA P3 Over Flight of ICEX2011 Survey Line

  • The Adventure Ends…

    …The Analysis Begins

  • Radar

    Undeformed FYI Deformed FYI MYI

    Improving in situ observations for cal/val

    Surface roughness impacts snow radar return signal

    Flight path

    First return

    Radar footprint

    Snow depth: In situ versus radar

    Newman et al., 2014, JGR

  • Positio

    n (

    m)

    Undeformed ice: 12 ± 5 cm

    Improving in situ observations for cal/val

    THE GRID: Provides 2D footprint of snow depth

    -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200

    -300

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    -30

    -15

    0

    15

    30

    -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200

    -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200

    Position (m)

    Near Shore Site

    Snow Depth (cm)2.000

    14.00

    26.00

    38.00

    50.00

    62.0070.00

    = Reflector Position

    Snow Depth Ice Bottom

    Drill Hole

    Rubble: 30 ± 16 cm

    0

    35

    70

    cm

    March 2014: Barrow offshore

  • March Madness2014

    Rich resource of in situ, airborne and satellite observations

    Eureka: FYI/MYI

    Prepared by S. Farrell

  • ECCC Operation IceBridge 2016 Campaign Snow on Sea Ice Survey

    Stephen Howell1, Joshua King1, Peter Toose1, Arvids Silis1, Chris Derksen1,

    Jack Landy2, and Thomas Newman3

    1Environment and Climate Change Canada

    2University of Manitoba, Centre for Earth Observation Science 3Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry / Sea Ice Research Group, NOAA Center for Weather and

    Climate Prediction

  • Smooth First Year Ice Eureka Sound

    Ideal site: no drift, variable conditions, accessible

  • Smooth first year ice Snow Depths: n=8361 avg = 15.3 cm STDV = 7.3 cm

    Intensive Observation Site

  • ECCC 2016 Eureka Campaign By the numbers

    • 8 intensive survey sites measured – 2 on multi-year ice; 6 on first-year ice

    • 54,287 GPS-tagged snow depths measured

    • 22 snow pits providing detailed characterization

    • 21 manually augured ice thickness measurements

    • 260+km of GPS-tagged EM31 ice thickness measurements

    • 255+ million LiDAR measurements of snow on sea ice surface roughness

    https://github.com/kingjml/ECCC-Eureka-2014-Snow-on-Sea-Ice-Campaign

  • In situ: Good news and bad news

    What is the evolution of the ice thickness distribution?

    We can examine in detail

    We can cover meters to kilometers

    We can measure undeformed ice easily

    We have a wealth of data

    We can answer many questions

    But we have to be there

    But not hundreds of kilometers

    But ridges are problematic

    But it has to be accessible

    But we need a network

  • •Develop a climatological record of sea ice thickness based on

    in situ surface-based observations of the Arctic Ocean

    55,000 points from 1894 to present

    Arctic sea ice thickness archive

    • Highly accurate and long-term records (Nansen/Fram -> present)

    • Broader regional sampling than submarines (later discussion)

    • Field Experiments: Position, date, ice thickness, snow depth, ice type, transects, grids

    Ben Holt (JPL) is building this archive

    [email protected]

  • Summary: In situ thickness

    Many detailed observations, but not everywhere, always

    1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000

    Re

    so

    lutio

    n

    Coverage (m)

    Hig

    he

    r Low

    er

    Satellite

    EM-31

    Aircraft

    Hot water Drill

    • Always measure every hole

    • Drilling holes is most accurate

    • Snow depth, freeboard, ice thickness

    • In situ autonomous for thickness changes

    • Electromagnetic surveys provide coverage

    • Snow depth, ice thickness

    • Price is increased “fuzziness”

    • Need to organize and archive data Submarine

  • Questions?

  • Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines

    SCICEX cruise tracks, 1993-2003

    Data release area defined by the Arctic Submarine Laboratory

    From Rothrock and Wensnahan (2007):

    • Bias in ice draft obs: + 29 cm

    • STD: ± 25 cm

  • Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines

    Kwok and Cunningham, 2015

    Rothrock et al., 1999

    • Changes: 1950s-1970s to 1990s • Early evidence of thinning Arctic

    sea ice cover

    • Extends satellite-derived record of sea ice thickness

  • Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines

    Register for data alerts: https://nsidc.org/scicex

    New data:

    • 2011, 2012, 2014, 2016 • 6 traverses • Alaska North Pole • More to come • 65+ year record!