how thick is the ice?...2016/11/16 · – 2 on multi-year ice; 6 on first-year ice • 54,287...
TRANSCRIPT
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How thick is the ice?
What scale?
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How thick is the ice?
July – melt August – melt September – freezeup
April – pre-melt May – pre-melt June – melt
What time?
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How thick is the ice? Young ice
First year ice Multiyear ice
New ice
What age?
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How thick is the ice?
What kind?
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What does ice thickness mean to you?
The distance from the top of the ice to the bottom
The great integrator
Ice strength
A barrier to heat, moisture, momentum
The key parameter (even bigger than albedo)
Storage of fresh water
An insulator
g(h) – the thickness distribution
Light transmission
Mass balance Ice deformation
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In situ observations of ice thickness
High resolution over small scales
Jackie Richter-Menge, Don Perovich
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Drilling holes
Most direct, most accurate, most information
Point measurement of:
• Snow depth = 30 cm
• Freeboard = 40 cm
• Ice thickness = 400 cm
Uncertainty of 1 cm
•Direct measurement
• Accurate
• Snow, ice, freeboard
• Simple equipment
• Hard work
• Slow, limited coverage
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Ice Transect Site 11
-130
-110
-90
-70
-50
-30
-10
10
30
50
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 102
108
114
120
126
132
138
144
Distance (m)
Ice P
rofi
le (
cm
)
Melt Pond Ice Ocean
Ice
Ocean
Pond
Pond morphology matters
Melt pond survey Important for
• Mass balance
• Mechanical properties
• Salinity balance
• Light transmittance
• Mechanical drilling
• 150 m long line
• Every 2 m
• 1.5 hour
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Ridge surveys
Ridges are trouble
0 20 40 60 80
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
Snow
Ice
Ocean
Po
sitio
n (
cm
)
Position
• Mechanical drilling
• 100 m long line
• Every 5 m
• Mean thickness = 410 cm
• Range from 160 cm to 760 cm
• Took 2.5 days
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Ridges and rubble fields
Rubble fields are worse. Want to borrow my drill?
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Hot water drilling
Two dimensional look at heterogeneity
•100 m x 100 m grid
• Every 10 m
• Mean thickness = 300 cm
• Range from 180 cm to 651 cm
• Took 2 days
• Direct measurement
• Accurate
• Snow, ice, freeboard
• More coverage
• Complicated, heavy equipment
• Major setup effort
• Jackie hates it…a lot
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Sea ice mass balance
Simple, but powerful observation – attributes change
• Simple concept • ice growth • surface melt • bottom melt
• Equipment • ablation stakes and thickness gauges • autonomous buoys
Above
Below
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
De
pth
(cm
)
Oct 15 Dec 15 Feb 15 Apr 15 Jun 15 Aug 15
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An array of mass balance sites
In this case all ice thinned over annual cycle 10/25 12/25 2/25 4/25 6/25 8/250
100
200
300
400
500
Ice T
hic
kness (
cm
)
-120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 00 20 40 60 80 100 1200.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
Surface melt
58 cm
Bottom melt
62 cm
Fra
ctio
n
Growth
50 cm
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Autonomous measurements of thickness and mass balance
Ice
Ocean
Ice
Snow
-20
-19
-18
-17
-16
-15
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
-350
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
Air
Tem
pera
ture
(oC
)
Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
Wate
r T
em
pera
ture
(oC
)
960
980
1000
1020
1040
1060
Baro
metr
ic p
ressure
(m
b)
Depth
(cm
)
• Position
• Air temperature
• Barometric pressure
• Ice temperatures
• Upper ocean temperatures
• Snow accumulation and ablation
• Ice growth
• Surface and bottom ice melt
2006 2007 2008
Sea ice mass balance buoys
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Electromagnetic induction
Cover more area, with less resolution
50 100 150 200 250 300 35050
100
150
200
250
300
350
Drill
hole
thic
kness (
cm
)
EM-31 thickness (cm)
• Easy to operate
• Lightweight, portable
• More coverage (km)
• In situ remote sensing
• Calibration needed
• 6 m maximum thickness
• Footprint 1.35 x distance
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In situ ice thickness surveys
Snow depth and ice thickness over kilometers
Add a magnaprobe!
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Transarctic ice thickness observations
Sampling across the Arctic
26 August
17 September
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Spatial surveys EM-31
First year ice near the end of the melt season
0
10
20
30
40
0
200
400
600
Sn
ow
de
pth
(cm
)
Ice
th
ickn
ess (
cm
)
0 400 800 1200 1600-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
Snow Ice
Count 312 312
Average 0.0 149
Median 0.0 133
Std dev 0.0 38.9
Minimum 0.0 91
Maximum 0.0 318
% > 6m 0.0%
Dis
tance F
rom
Sea L
evel (c
m)
Distance (m)
83 17.9 N, 171 53.3 W
26 Aug 2005
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Spatial surveys EM-31
Multiyear at the beginning of freezeup
0
10
20
30
40
0
200
400
600
Sn
ow
de
pth
(cm
)
Ice
th
ickn
ess (
cm
)
0 600 1200 1800-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
Snow Ice
Count 368 362
Average 15 164
Median 15 150
Std dev 4.9 58.9
Minimum 1 93
Maximum 32 463
% > 6m 1.6%
Dis
tan
ce
Fro
m S
ea
Le
ve
l (c
m)
Distance (m)
87 28.3 N, 57 35.3 E
17 Sep 2005
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0
5
10
15
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 300
100
200
300
400
Average
Median
Snow
depth
(cm
)
Site number
Ice thic
kness (
cm
)Transarctic thickness surveys
8% of sample was ridges more than 6 m thick
0 100 200 300 400 500 6000
5
10
15
20
Mean 179
Median 157
Mode 119
Std Dev 73
Minimum 24
Maximum > 600
Count 7738
Perc
ent
Ice thickness (cm)
> 6 m
August – September 2005
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Ship-based ice watch
Rough estimate, but multiple ships
• Many variables
• Standardized format
• Software widely available
• Many ships including tourism
• Excellent Antarctic dataset
• Very rough estimate
• Limited by season
• Sampling is biased
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Ship-based ice watch
Large in situ areal coverage
• In transit ice description • Thickness plus concentration, ridges, ponds, ice type, etc
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 23 Aug 30 Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 270.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Po
nd
fra
ctio
n
Ice
th
ickn
ess (
m)
Nilas
Brash
First year
Multiyear
Open water
Ice
co
nce
ntr
atio
n
EM-31
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In situ thickness and remote sensing
Connecting the scales
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• Measure surface elevation of snow, ice and open water
• Derive sea ice freeboard
• Assume equilibrium of floating ice cover
• Infer ice thickness, a function of:
– Snow, ice and water density – Snow depth – Ice freeboard
• Ice thickness uncertainty primarily influenced by errors snow depth
Sea Ice Thickness: Airborne and Satellite Altimetry An inferred measurement
Open Water
Snow Freeboard
Photo Credit: Andrew Roberts, SEDNA 2007
Snow
Sea Ice Ice
Draft
Sea
Surface
Radar Altimeter:
Ice Surface LiDAR Altimeter:
Snow surface
Ice
Freeboard
Snow Depth
Ice
Thickness
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• Measure surface elevation of snow, ice and open water
• Derive sea ice freeboard
• Assume equilibrium of floating ice cover
• Infer ice thickness, a function of:
– Snow, ice and water density – Snow depth – Ice freeboard
• Ice thickness uncertainty primarily influenced by errors snow depth
Sea Ice Thickness: Airborne and Satellite Altimetry An inferred measurement
Open Water
Snow Freeboard
Photo Credit: Andrew Roberts, SEDNA 2007
Snow
Sea Ice Ice
Draft
Sea
Surface
Radar Altimeter:
Ice Surface LiDAR Altimeter:
Snow surface
Ice
Freeboard
Snow Depth
Ice
Thickness Snow depth measurements
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Snow depth
Magnaprobe (Sturm et al.)
• Snow depth • Point measurement • GPS • Automatically logs obs • Easy to use • Quick • cm accuracy
Snow pit
• Detailed snow characterization • Point measurement • Density, grain size, salinity, layers • Tedious
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ICEX 2011: US Navy Ice Exercise Supporting Arctic Submarine Operations
March 2011, Alaskan Beaufort Sea
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Drill holes
ICEX2011: Coordinated Measurement Campaign
Ground-based
NRL Twin Otter
IceBridge NASA P3
US Navy Submarine
Snow depth and ice thickness
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ICEX2011: Coordinated around a 9-km-long survey line
North End
Reflector site
Devil’s Cauldron
South End
Calibration drill hole
Widely varying ice
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Multiyear ice
Undeformed first year
Refrozen lead
First-year ridge
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NASA P3 Over Flight of ICEX2011 Survey Line
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NASA P3 Over Flight of ICEX2011 Survey Line
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The Adventure Ends…
…The Analysis Begins
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Radar
Undeformed FYI Deformed FYI MYI
Improving in situ observations for cal/val
Surface roughness impacts snow radar return signal
Flight path
First return
Radar footprint
Snow depth: In situ versus radar
Newman et al., 2014, JGR
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Positio
n (
m)
Undeformed ice: 12 ± 5 cm
Improving in situ observations for cal/val
THE GRID: Provides 2D footprint of snow depth
-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200
-300
-200
-100
0
100
-30
-15
0
15
30
-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200
-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200
Position (m)
Near Shore Site
Snow Depth (cm)2.000
14.00
26.00
38.00
50.00
62.0070.00
= Reflector Position
Snow Depth Ice Bottom
Drill Hole
Rubble: 30 ± 16 cm
0
35
70
cm
March 2014: Barrow offshore
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March Madness2014
Rich resource of in situ, airborne and satellite observations
Eureka: FYI/MYI
Prepared by S. Farrell
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ECCC Operation IceBridge 2016 Campaign Snow on Sea Ice Survey
Stephen Howell1, Joshua King1, Peter Toose1, Arvids Silis1, Chris Derksen1,
Jack Landy2, and Thomas Newman3
1Environment and Climate Change Canada
2University of Manitoba, Centre for Earth Observation Science 3Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry / Sea Ice Research Group, NOAA Center for Weather and
Climate Prediction
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Smooth First Year Ice Eureka Sound
Ideal site: no drift, variable conditions, accessible
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Smooth first year ice Snow Depths: n=8361 avg = 15.3 cm STDV = 7.3 cm
Intensive Observation Site
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ECCC 2016 Eureka Campaign By the numbers
• 8 intensive survey sites measured – 2 on multi-year ice; 6 on first-year ice
• 54,287 GPS-tagged snow depths measured
• 22 snow pits providing detailed characterization
• 21 manually augured ice thickness measurements
• 260+km of GPS-tagged EM31 ice thickness measurements
• 255+ million LiDAR measurements of snow on sea ice surface roughness
https://github.com/kingjml/ECCC-Eureka-2014-Snow-on-Sea-Ice-Campaign
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In situ: Good news and bad news
What is the evolution of the ice thickness distribution?
We can examine in detail
We can cover meters to kilometers
We can measure undeformed ice easily
We have a wealth of data
We can answer many questions
But we have to be there
But not hundreds of kilometers
But ridges are problematic
But it has to be accessible
But we need a network
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•Develop a climatological record of sea ice thickness based on
in situ surface-based observations of the Arctic Ocean
55,000 points from 1894 to present
Arctic sea ice thickness archive
• Highly accurate and long-term records (Nansen/Fram -> present)
• Broader regional sampling than submarines (later discussion)
• Field Experiments: Position, date, ice thickness, snow depth, ice type, transects, grids
Ben Holt (JPL) is building this archive
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Summary: In situ thickness
Many detailed observations, but not everywhere, always
1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000
Re
so
lutio
n
Coverage (m)
Hig
he
r Low
er
Satellite
EM-31
Aircraft
Hot water Drill
• Always measure every hole
• Drilling holes is most accurate
• Snow depth, freeboard, ice thickness
• In situ autonomous for thickness changes
• Electromagnetic surveys provide coverage
• Snow depth, ice thickness
• Price is increased “fuzziness”
• Need to organize and archive data Submarine
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Questions?
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Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines
SCICEX cruise tracks, 1993-2003
Data release area defined by the Arctic Submarine Laboratory
From Rothrock and Wensnahan (2007):
• Bias in ice draft obs: + 29 cm
• STD: ± 25 cm
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Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines
Kwok and Cunningham, 2015
Rothrock et al., 1999
• Changes: 1950s-1970s to 1990s • Early evidence of thinning Arctic
sea ice cover
• Extends satellite-derived record of sea ice thickness
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Remote Ice Thickness Observations Submarines
Register for data alerts: https://nsidc.org/scicex
New data:
• 2011, 2012, 2014, 2016 • 6 traverses • Alaska North Pole • More to come • 65+ year record!