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TRANSCRIPT
How can Asia advance
adoption of hybrid, electric and
fuel cell technologies?
30 July 2020 • 15:00-15:55 SGT • 08:00-08:55 BST
Part of
Maritime Hybrid,
Electric and Fuel Cells
Webinar Week
27-30 July 2020
Panellist documents
Page 2: Ma Shiao, BOS Offshore & Marine
Page 6: Dr. Imran Ibrahim, DNV GL – Maritime Advisory
Page 14: Dr Sanjay C Kuttan, Singapore Maritime Institute
Page 23: Jon Diller, Spear Power Systems
System Modeling How do you know one ship is ‘greener’ than
another?
Is the hybrid electric design optimized?
What performance can the vessel achieve with the design?
This is an indicative model for illustration only
Thank You!MA ShiaoBOS Offshore & MarineNo: 8 Penjuru Lane, Singapore 609189
HP: +65 9477 8775, Main Line: +65 6291 4444 DID: +65 6210 4793Mail: [email protected]: www.bos-sg.com
DNV GL © SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL ©
How can Asia advance adoption of hybrid, electric and fuel cell technologies?
1
Dr Imran Ibrahim, Head of Research and DevelopmentDNV GL Maritime Advisory, SEAPI
DNV GL ©
The dashboard to indicate key barriers for selected alternative fuels
2
Technical maturity
Designer, yard, engine/equipment supplier, shipowner, cargo owner
Fuel availabilityFeedstock supplier, fuel suppliers, authorities
InfrastructureFuel supplier, authorities, terminals, ports
RulesIMO, Class, regional, national
Capital expenditures
H2（FC）
Battery
Equipment supplier, designer, yard, incentive schemes
Energy costFeedstock supplier, fuel suppliers, competition authorities
Volumetric energy density
R&D, designer
Source: DNV GL MF 2050
DNV GL ©
Battery uptake globally is still quite low
3
Ships in operation Ships on order
Battery installed ships
Source: DNV GL MF 2050, Alternative Fuel Insight report 2020
Total 448 ships confirmed globally
Battery ships by type
Car/Passenger ferry has the largest number
DNV GL © 01 June 2020
Asia battery ships are less than 2.2% of the total number of global vessels
4
Battery application Area of operation
DNV GL © 01 June 2020
Publications with regards to emissions
Deep sea case - slow steaming for large container ships:
– 6% reduction in reduction in air emissions, when applying a speed limit of 18 knots.
– 23% reduction in reduction in air emissions, when applying a speed limit of 15 knots.
Short sea case - electric operation of small passenger ships
– Electrification of smaller passenger ships is technically feasible – in particular in case of hybridisation with high degree of electrification is considered
– Passenger vessels below 1000 GT account for 0.65 % of total ASEAN fuel consumption and emissions.
5
DNV GL ©
Norway has launched Green Shipping Program which is currently in phase 4 with growing participants
6
Source: https://www.dnvgl.com/maritime/green-shipping-programme/index.html
DNV GL ©
DNV GL has facilitated collaborations within electrification
Conferences
– Maritime Battery Forum (Asia)
– Maritime Battery Roundtable – DNV GL (Singapore)
Technical studies
– Ports: Green Gateways to Europe
– Battery-Hybrid LNG Bunker Vessel
7
DNV GL ©
Commercial in confidence
17 February 2020
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
The trademarks DNV GL®, DNV®, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas®
are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved.
Thank you
8
Dr Imran [email protected]+65 97337059
How can Asia advance adoption of hybrid, electric & fuel cell
technologies?
ASIA Maritime Hybrid and Electric Webinar
Dr Sanjay C KuttanExecutive Director
30 July 2020
Confidential 2
Key motivations to transform – burning platform
Are these existential issues and if so what is the cost of doing nothing?Are these existential issues and if so what is the cost of doing nothing?Are these existential issues and if so what is the cost of doing nothing?
Confidential 3
Efforts to decarbonise the maritime sector must be cognizant of the spheres of accountability
Port & Terminals
Scope 1
Domestic Shipping
Scope 2
International Shipping
Scope 3
National emissions accounting
IMO emissions accounting
Confidential 4
Advancing decarbonisation requires both technological and non-technological pathways
Reduction
• Energy efficient technologies / systems management / operations
• Hybrid electrification / Plug-In Hybrid systems• Electrification with “gas-derived” or “W2E” electrons• Alternative fuels e.g., methanol, liquid ammonia,
LOHCs, sustainable fuels, biofuel (drop in)• Carbon capture technologies
• Alternative fuels e.g., green hydrogen, green liquid ammonia
• 100% Biofuels• Green hydrogen based Fuel cells• Electrification with green electrons• Carbon Capture technologies
• Progressive policy instruments• Market based mechanisms
(carbon offset, carbon tax)• Green procurement policies• Training and education• Lead demand• Development grants
Decarbonisation technological pathways Non-technological pathways
Elimination
Public sector
Private Sector
• Market based mechanisms• Green procurement • Skills development• Financing and accounting
incentives
Confidential 5
Decarbonisation opportunities exist across the life cycle of maritime assets –vessels & ports
Decom-mission
Design1. Energy and resource efficiency (circular economy) systems
2. Superior performance envelopes of systems
3. Energy and resource efficient construction methods
4. Use of energy efficient / low carbon technologies
5. Use of alternative green or low carbon fuels
6. Green procurement practices
7. Energy and resource management systems
8. Smart maintenance, smart operations
9. Energy and resource efficient retrofitting work
10. Upgrade to energy efficient / low carbon technologies
11. Upgrade to alternative green or low carbon fuels
12. Energy and resource efficient decommissioning work
Build
Operate
Retrofit
Top 12 decarbonisation interventions across asset life cycle Asset Life Cycle
Confidential 6
Advancing decarbonisation efforts must be supported by efforts to lower the barriers to entry
Technical
Non-technical
Infrastructure• Technology maturity vs asset depreciation timeline• New system integration into existing infrastructure or green field• Capacity upgrades for power systems i.e., transformer • Technical standards – integration/interoperability, safetySupply Chain• Supply chain reliability for the new energy vector• Value chain ecosystem – cradle to gravePerformance envelope• Operability, maintainability, reliability, safety, energy efficiency, and GHG
reduction
Policies• Price of energy without subsidies and includes cost of externalities• Carbon Tax or other market based mechanisms• Carbon accounting standards – life cycle analysis• International trade Policies• Work force capabilities• Incumbents socio-political influenceFinance• Financing options, business models (cost benefit)• Residual value of current assets
Confidential 7
Advancing the adoption of Hybrid, Electric and Fuel cell technologies depends on three key areas
Performance envelope• For each use case the new
technology’s performance envelope (i.e., operability, maintainability, reliability, safety, energy efficiency, GHG reduction) must be able to be equal or greater than the incumbent technology performance envelope that satisfies the performance objectives of the use case.
• The cost benefit analysis must demonstrate a viable business case for the adopter and their stakeholders
First movers / adopters• For each use case the new
technology needs first movers who are willing co-invest in the demonstration and quantification of the performance and benefits under real operating conditions
• Supplementary government research grants and/or low interest borrowing to help reduce the financial risks
Policy management• All policies that limit the
application of the technology should be evaluated to create a policy sandbox without any compromise on safety
• Identification and establishment of a designated test-beddingarea, test-bedding protocol and independent test-bedding evaluator to serve as input for policies development that will enable scaling of deployment
Is the price of energy and electricity right?
Confidential 8
COVID19 has impacted the progress of R&D projects across the R&D process
R&D Project
Researchers
• Recruitment• Travel restrictions• Quarantine / sickness
Collaborators
• Co-funding• Expert access• Data access• Bankruptcy
Procurement
• Equipment • Materials• 3rd Party services
Lab work • Access• Specialised equipment
Field work
• Site access• Manpower• Equipment• 3rd party
Services
KnowledgeExchange
• Site visits• Conferences
• Project scoping• Project approval• Project Award
Confidential 9
Finding the PivotTrends in Maritime Battery Pricing
27/28/2020
Marine Battery Pricing
•Critical to capital decision making, thus gating green •Confusing at the surface, in automotive and stationary contexts •Trends drive timing, and we are out of time
For Public Release
37/28/2020 For Public Release
Cost Drivers
0 5 10 15 20 25
Auto
ESS
Marine
$Bn 2020
47/28/2020
Trends
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
$/kWh Marine vs ESS
ESS Marine
For Public Release
57/28/2020
Expectations
Cell
Module
String
BMS
•NMC improvements 2022•Protected anode 2025‐2027•Solid state 2028‐2030
For Public Release
GORDON FRYApplications Engineering Manager +1 816-844-1273 [email protected]
spearpowersystems.com
We look forward to working with you!
JON DILLERCommercial Director+1 [email protected]
MITCH MABREYMD Europe+32 [email protected]