hot-mix asphalt and flexible pavement design: the mepdg · arkansas: mepdg calibration “the...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
1
Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDGHot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG
Kevin D. Hall, Ph.D., P.E.Professor and Head, Dept. of Civil Engineering
University of ArkansasFlexible Pavement Research Symposium
Denver, Colorado -- February 18, 2009
![Page 2: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
The Plan for Today…• A Stroll Down Memory Lane
(where we’ve been)
• A Look Up the Road(where we’re going)
• A Peek at Arkansas’ MEPDG Efforts(how we are trying to get there)
![Page 3: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
Memory Lane: the AASHO Road Test (late 1950s)
(AASHO, 1961)
![Page 4: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
Memory Lane: AASHTO Pavement Design (Current – 1993 Edition)
07.8log*32.2
)1(109440.0
5.12.4log
20.0)1(log*36.9*log 10
19.5
10
101810
RoR M
SN
PSI
SNSZW
Flexible pavement design: the answer is structural number (SN)
Then you break SN into layers:
SN ≤ (aACHM * dACHM) + (abase * dbase)
The design is layer thickness
![Page 5: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Looking Ahead: M-E Pavement Design
Climate
TrafficMaterials
Structure
DistressResponseTime
Damage
Damage Accumulation
Level 1: I know a lot about this input…Level 2: I know some about this input…Level 3: I know very little about this input…
![Page 6: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Looking Ahead: MEPDG
• Distress Prediction Models– Fatigue Cracking– Rutting– Thermal Cracking– IRI
6
![Page 7: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
Looking Ahead: National MEPDG Efforts• FHWA Design Guide Implementation Team (DGIT)• NCHRP
– 1-37: Development of M-E Design Guide – 1-39: Traffic Data Collection, Analysis, and Forecasting– 1-40A: Independent Review of MEPDG– 1-40B: User Manual and Local Calibration Guide– 1-40D: Technical Assistance to NCHRP 1-40A– 1-41: Models for Predicting Reflection Cracking of HMA Overlays– 1-42A: Models for Predicting Top-Down Cracking of HMA– 1-47: Sensitivity Analysis of the MEPDG– 9-30: Experimental Plan for Calibration & Validation of HMA
Performance Models– 9-30A: Calibration of Rutting Models for HMA– 9-44: Development of Work Plan for Validating Endurance Limit for HMA
• “Lead States” activities
![Page 8: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
A Quick Peek at Arkansas’ Efforts
• Sensitivity Analyses• Materials Inputs
– HMA Dynamic Modulus– Unbound (Soil & Aggregate) Resilient Modulus
• Traffic Inputs• Design Studies• Local Calibration
– Database / Support Software Development– Section I.D.– Data Collection– Analysis
![Page 9: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Arkansas: Dynamic Modulus (E*)
• Level 1 Catalog
• Validation of Level 3Prediction Models
![Page 10: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Arkansas: Dynamic Modulus (E*)
![Page 11: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
Arkansas: Binder (DSR)
![Page 12: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
12
Arkansas: Traffic
![Page 13: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
13
Arkansas: Database Development
![Page 14: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
14
Arkansas: HMA Database
• HMA Design– Binder Conventional– Brookfield – DSR– Mixture Properties– Dynamic Modulus– Creep Compliance– Indirect Tension
• Construction– Core Thickness– Bulk Gravity– Max Gravity– Binder Content– Binder Grade– Volumetrics– Aggregate
Gradation– Compaction
• HMA Performance– Cracking– Rutting– IRI
• Other – FWD/GPR Tests– Friction Results
• Maintenance – Crack Sealing– Patching– Seal Coats– Milling– Overlay
![Page 15: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
15
Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration
“The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to establish confidence in the design and analysis procedure and facilitate its acceptance and use.”
Calibration: the mathematical process through which total (residual) error – the difference between observed and predicted values of distress – is minimized.
Validation: the process to confirm that the calibrated model can produce robust and accurate predictions for cases other than those used for model calibration.
NCHRP 1-40: Recommended Practice for Local Calibration of the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement
Design Guide
![Page 16: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
16
1. Select Hierarchical Input Level for Each Input Parameter2. Develop Experimental Design and Matrix3. Estimate Sample Size for Each Distress Model4. Select Roadway Segments5. Extract and Evaluate Roadway Segment/Test Section Data6. Conduct Field Investigations of Test Sections to Define Missing Data7. Assess Bias for the Experimental Matrix8. Determine Local Calibration Coefficient to Eliminate Bias of Transfer
Function9. Assess Standard Error for Transfer Function10. Improve Precision of Model: modify coefficients and exponents of
transfer functions11. Interpretation of Results: decide on adequacy of calibration
coefficients
Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration
![Page 17: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
• Sample size (minimum)– Distortion (total rutting or faulting) 20 roadway segments– Load-related cracking 30 roadway segments– Non-load-related cracking 25 roadway segments– Reflection cracking (HMA only) 15 roadway segments
• Roadway Segment / Condition Surveys– At least 3 condition surveys available for a roadway segment– Condition surveys cover at least 10 years– Increased number of surveys for higher levels of distress– Range of distress magnitudes – minor to “close to” design criteria– Distress definitions/measurements consistent with MEPDG
(Data Collection Guide for Long Term Pavement Performance)
Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration
![Page 18: Hot-Mix Asphalt and Flexible Pavement Design: the MEPDG · Arkansas: MEPDG Calibration “The calibration and validation of the performance prediction model is a mandatory step…to](https://reader031.vdocuments.site/reader031/viewer/2022021805/5baf4f3b09d3f2d16a8c6738/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
18
A Long-Term Effort???
THANK YOU !!!