high hopes for hybrid wheat… bill angus · crops such as maize (corn), barley and oil seed rape...
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High Hopes for Hybrid
wheat…...
Bill Angus
Or – to put it another way….
The Quest for the Holy Grail of wheat breeding….
Hang on… haven’t we been here before?
We have but life has changed and
we have learnt a few lessons
Hybrid wheat – what is it?
• Wheat is a self pollinating crop – does not out
pollinate much
• Hybrid wheat captures the value of combining two
sets of genetics through ‘cross pollination’
• Hybrid vigour is well established in many commercial
crops such as Maize (corn), barley and oil seed rape
• Hybrid winter barley gives an insight into the
potential for hybrid wheat – the highest yielding
varieties on the RL
Hybrid wheat – so what has changed
in the last twenty years?• Wheat yield progress has slowed as breeders have
utilised a lot of ‘yield traits’
• On farm yields have slowed as a result of shorter
rotations and low grain prices inhibiting investment in
wheat growing
• Environmental issues have increased in priority
• Effective fungicides are under increasing pressure
and the ‘pipeline’ is ‘challenging’
• New technologies are available to the breeding
community to enhance selection efficiency
A short history of hybrid wheat
breeding• 1951 – Cytoplasmic Male Sterility (CMS) was
discovered but commercial hybrids were not
available until 1970s
• 1959 – Nuclear male sterility discovered but no
commercial activities
• 1970s – Chemical Hybridising Agents (CHAs)were
developed
• A number of CHAs were developed – WL84811
(Shell), Genesis (Rohm and Haas) Croisor (Saaten
Union)
• Croisor is registered for use in France and the
Czech Republic
So where did it all go wrong before?
• Every hybrid wheat activity in the UK has failed
because of the cost of seed production and/ or lack
of seed purity – not variety performance
• The two issues are intrinsically linked
Wheat flowering biology – the key to
hybrid seed production• Wheat has been selected by man to self pollinate for
thousands of years
• Now we have to change this crop to being an ‘out
pollinator’
• Fortunately there are a few varieties (very few) that
have this attribute
• When the first hybrids were made this was not taken
into account fully as breeders rushed to cross
‘anything with anything’ in the hope of exploring the
crops potential.
Wheat flowering biology – the key to
hybrid seed production -2• There is no shortage of pollen
• For every fertilisation event there are approximately
9,000 pollen grains available (3 anthers at 3,000 pollen
grains each
• However wheat pollen is very heavy and is not easy to
transfer by wind
• Wheat pollen has a short life – just 2 minutes under dry
conditions
• Early models were developed whereby strips of males
and females lines were used to produce seed
• This system was doomed to failure because of the
dynamics of poor wind transfer of pollen
So what can we do now?
• Develop male populations which exude their anthers
• Look within related species for larger anthers
• Look within related species for higher pollen grain
numbers
• Select for different flowering patterns – longer
duration of flowering or rapid flowering?
• Use new technology (molecular markers) to identify
flowering traits and use these to fast track material
for optimal flowering types
So that’s the males sorted – what
about the females?• Differences in female receptivity have been found –
these can be optimised
• Again molecular markers can be used to transfer this
rapidly (using other technologies such as single
seed descent or double haploids to speed up the
process)
• Consider other dwarfing genes previously discarded
for conventional breeding so as to be shorter than
the males and hence allow pollen to drop on to
receptive stigmas
• Develop a seed production system that depends on
a mixed male: female production (as for barley and
rye)
CONVERT THIS
TO THIS…..
THE WORST CASE SCENARIO
A ‘tell tale’ sign of poor flowering -ergot
Wheat yield frontiers
Source: FAO Expert Meeting on How to Feed the World in 2050 (Rome, 24-26 June 2009)
Best practice
New technology gap
Systems gap
Technologicalpossibility
Current technologypotential
Best Farmerpractice
Average yield
Based on Bio-Physical limits
PotentialYield (Plot Trials)
Top Quartile Farmers
Country Ave. Yield t/haPotential Yield t/ha
% Gap
Yaqui valley,Mexico
6 9 50%
Punjab, India 4.3 6.25 45%
Haryana, India
4.2 5.75 35%
Western Australia
1.8 2.6 45%
N Dakota, USA
2.5 3.7 50%
United Kingdom
8.0 10.4 25%
Eastern China 4.7 7.0 50%
Kansas, USA 2.6 3.9 45%
Benefits of Hybrid Wheat
• Consistent yields
• Second wheats
• Light land
• Take- all situations
• Good physical grain characters
• (Fusarium resistance)
• Potential competitiveness with Black grass
Hybrid Yield Performance
• Hybrid wheat HAS to solve a problem on farm – it is
not a panacea for higher yield in every situation
• The UK is one of the least favourable countries for
hybrid wheat because of its benign climate and high
yield potential
• Initial expectations were for high yield advantages
but these were often based upon small plots and/ or
plots not treated with fungicides
Norman S Morley ‘Quote’
• I don’t want the highest yielding variety this year – I
want one that will be in the top three every year…
Hybrid wheat: Stability of yield –Exploiting today’s potential
HybridsConventionalYield
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6
Yield
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6
Consistency of Performance
• The RL gives an interesting insight into year x year
interactions
• Hybrid barleys are an example of consistency over
years
• Hybrid wheats tend to be taller, have higher biomass
(6-8%) and good flowering characteristics (derived
from their male parent)
• Hybrid wheats ‘finish’ – they don’t die like
conventional wheats
Second wheats, light land and take-all
situations
• Better rooting, higher biomass and resilience >
better yields
Where does this leave hybrids in terms of
potential market shares in the UK?
• 20-25% of the UK could be hybrid wheat
So what else have we learnt?
• There are no market outlets that cannot be covered
by hybrid wheats
Feed
Bread
Biscuit
Distilling
• Hybrids fare better than conventional wheats in
untreated trials – even with the same level of
disease susceptibility – more resilient but why?
So is this just a ruse by seed companies
to make sure growers buy seed every
year?
• Farmers are wise enough to know whether an
investment (in this case seed) is appropriate
• Examples from other parts of the world (eg soya in
Argentina) show that when the product is good then
growers will adopt it (98% soya in Argentina is Round
Up Ready)
• Large companies know that the balance between
genetics and chemistry is changing and as such now
recognise the contribution that seed can make to their
businesses.
So what else will change?
• The continuing story of a greater technical approach
to growing crops will continue
• Hybrid seed rates will be lower than for conventional
wheat
• High speed precision drilling? – perhaps this will be
how a field of hybrid wheat will look….
Conclusions
• This is the continuing story of the development of hybrid
wheat….
• Breeders have learnt a lot over the last 30 years
• New technologies are available that will add significantly to the
efficiency of selection for hybrid wheats
• Major businesses such as Dow-Dupont, Bayer and Syngenta are
investing
• The current farming environment is very difficult and demands
radical solutions
• Wheat demand continues to rise and population projections
point to 9 billion people to feed by 2050
• We cannot afford to fail this time.