hercot how to do a policy delphi

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Are you Planning to do Research for Policy? David Hercot, Wim Van Damme Institute of Tropical Medicine Antwerp Belgium

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Are you Planning to do Research for Policy?

David Hercot, Wim Van DammeInstitute of Tropical Medicine Antwerp Belgium

• Pic Niger desert

• Graph mortality reduction countdown

Child survival

• Donor driven • Poorly aligned• Large share of government health expenditure• Fragile results

Define your Research questionSelect your Methods

IDI

Literature

HIS

Analyse & Refine

Define your Research questionSelect your Methods

IDI

Literature

HIS Theory

• Information is unavailable or expensive to obtain

• Subjectivity is dominating • Heterogeneity and anonymity of informants is

an issue

Are you Planning to do Research for Policy?

Why not a Policy Delphi?

Round 1

Round 2

Analyse & Refine

Theory

Round 3

Delphi Technique

Policy Delphi

Round 1

Round 2

Analyse & Refine

Stakeholder Mapping

Theory

Round 3

Stakeholders Mapping

• Users• Urban/Rural• Men/women

• Institutions• NGO Unions

press

• Ministry Officials & Staff

• Central & Local Government

Elected Officials

Appointed

Officials

Individuals

Members of

Interest groups

Round 1

Round 2

Analyse & Refine

Stakeholder Mapping

Theory

Round 3

Round 1

Round 2&3

Analyse & Refine

Define your Research questionSelect your Methods

Stakeholder Mapping

IDI

Literature

HISContext

Mechanism

Outcome

Theory

Neonatal Diarrhea Pneumonia Malaria Measles Other

Child Mortality

Vit A DPT 3 Bednets Measles TT C Care 0

20406080

100

Mass campaigns Curative Nutrition Behavior change not reported

Round 1

Round 2&3

Analyse & Refine

Define your Research questionSelect your Methods

Stakeholder Mapping

IDI

Literature

HISContext

Mechanism

Outcome

Theory