heating in housing and utilities sector
TRANSCRIPT
Heatinginhousingandutilitiessector:
StatusandProspects
DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION
ThereportwaspreparedincooperationwiththeGovernmentofGermany,theEUDelegationto
Ukraine,theEUSupportGrouptoUkraine,BerlinEconomics,CoordinationCenterforInteractionwiththeCMUatthePresidentofUkraine,NationalReformsCouncil,theStateAgencyforEnergyEfficiency
andEnergySavingofUkraine,expertsoftheWorldBankGroupinUkraine
TheMinistryofRegionalDevelopment,Construction,
HousingandCommunalServicesofUkraine
March25th,2016
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
2
Contents1. Executivesummary..................................................................................................4
2. ReviewofHUSmarketforhouseholds....................................................................5
2.1. EstimationofHUSmarketcapacityforhouseholds........................................5
2.2. Paymentforutilityservicesbythepopulation................................................5
2.3. HUSpaymentbysubsidies...............................................................................7
2.4. Reformingthegaspaymentsystem(commitmentstotheIMF)..................10
3. Impactofheatingefficiencyonenergybalanceandmacroeconomicindicators 12
3.1. Energybalanceandconsumptionefficiency................................................12
3.2. Heatproduction,supplyandconsumption...................................................13
3.3. Economicevaluationoflosses.Costsofinaction.........................................13
3.4. Assessmentofoverallinvestmentneedsandgasconsumptionreductionpotential.....................................................................................................................14
4. Individualheating...................................................................................................15
4.1. Energyresourcesforindividualheating........................................................15
4.2. Centralizedgassupplysystem(Oblgazes).....................................................16
4.3. Tariffsforcentralizedgassupplyandmarketcapacity................................19
4.4. Thesystemofpaymentsforcentralizedgassupplies...................................23
5. Centralizedheating................................................................................................24
5.1. Heatenergyproduction.................................................................................24
5.2. Heatenergytransportation...........................................................................28
5.3. Heatenergyconsumption..............................................................................29
5.4. Tariffsforcentralizedheatingandhotwatersupply....................................31
5.5. Commercialmeteringandheatconsumptionnorms...................................34
6. Analysisoftheschemeofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingforthepopulation.38
6.1. AnalysisofdeadlinetopayforcentralizedheatconsumedbythepopulationandNaftogazgassuppliestoDHP.............................................................................38
6.2. Schemeofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingforhouseholds......................40
6.3. AlgorithmformutualpaymentswithHUSsubsidies.....................................41
6.4. DebttoDHCforcompensationinthedifferenceoftariffs...........................41
6.5. Analysisofaccumulateddebtsinthesector.................................................42
6.6. Suggestedapproachtodebtrestructuring....................................................42
7. DHCinvestmentneedsandexpectedeffect.........................................................43
7.1. Assessmentofoverallinvestmentneeds......................................................43
7.2. Assessmentofminimalinvestmentneedstomodernizeheatnetworks....43
7.3. Assessmentoffirstprioirityinvestmentsinthereplacementofboilers......44
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
3
8. ThecurrentstateofDHPinvestmentprojectsandbarrierstotheirimplementation..............................................................................................................45
8.1. Analysisofcompletedinvestmentworksatheatproductionin2015.........45
8.2. Analysisofprogrammesonenergyefficiencyofheatproduction,distributionandconsumption...................................................................................47
8.3. IBRDprogrammeeffeciency..........................................................................52
8.4. TheintroductionofprocurementsforprojectimplemenationontheexampleofSweden....................................................................................................53
8.5. BarrierstotheimplementationofDHPmodernizationprojects..................54
9. LegalregulationofHUSmarket.............................................................................57
9.1. Legislativeframework....................................................................................57
9.2. Licensingandcontrolofcompanies(NEURC)...............................................58
10. Glossary..............................................................................................................60
11. Sources...............................................................................................................62
12. Annexes..............................................................................................................63
12.1. Annex1.HUSbillforanindividualhouseheatedbygas..........................63
12.2. Annex2Schemeofgaspurchasefinancingtill2015................................64
12.3. Annex3.ReferenceonHUSkeyindicators...............................................65
12.4. Annex4.ChangeintotalHUSbillforamultistorybuildingappartmentinthemonthofheatingseason.....................................................................................66
12.5. Annex5.FormulasforsharesofreceivedfundsundertheCMUNo21767
12.6. Annex6.ReferenceonreducednaturalgasconsumptionattheheatsupplyobjectsofallformsofownershipasofDecember2015...............................70
12.7. Annex7.ReferenceonthereplacementofnaturalgasconsumptionattheheatsupplyobjectsofallformsofownershipasofDecember2015................72
12.8. Annex8.Supplywithheatingand/orhotwaterusingalternativefuels.74
12.9. Annex9.Referenceonkeyenergyefficiencyinvestmentprogrammes..75
12.10. Annex10.Referenceontechnicalassistanceprogrammesinenergyefficiencyarea............................................................................................................78
12.11. Annex11.UDHEEPexpectedresultsfor2021..........................................80
12.12. Annex12.Basiclegislationregulatinghousingandutilitysector.............82
12.13. Annex13.CompositionoftheWorkingGroup.........................................85
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
4
1. Executivesummary
• Residential and public sector accounts for 60% of the total natural gasconsumptioninUkraine
• The dependency on natural gas imports (19.5 billion m³ in 2014 and 16.4billionm³in2015)isthebiggestchallengetoUkraine'senergysecurity
• Centralizedheating sector is oneof thebiggestnatural gas consumers - 7.2billionm³in2015)
• The sector has huge inefficiencies in terms of heat production andtransmission (outdatedDHPandTEP facilities) and in termsof consumption(largelossesinbuildings).Accordingtoourestimates,gasconsumptioncouldbereducedby5.0billionm³annually
• In terms of investment efficiency exaclty the modernization of supplies(isolation of networks and upgrading of boiler houses) has the greatestpotential, thus, having invested about USD 6.0 billion, the reduction in gasconsumptionmaybeabout2.4billionm³
• As of today the international financial institutions and donors are ready toinvestgreatelyinDHP(aboutUSD0.8billion),buttoensuretheeffectiveuseofthefundsandattractnewonesit'sneededtosolveanumberof industryproblems:
− Torestructuredebtsthroughoutthesupplychain(population/DHP/Naftogaz)
− Toreviewthepaymentsystem,whichislargelycontrolledbythestateandcreatessignificant"liquidity"gapsformarketplayers
− To review the tariff-making system that currentlydoesnotmotivatebusinessestoinvestinfacilities
− Tostreamlinethesectoral legislativeframeworkandalignitwiththeEUstandards
− To review the governmental procedures for selecting and approvingprojects, which significantly slow down the implementation ofinvestments
• The main positive industry trends are the fulfillment of GovernmentcommitmentstotheIMF,namely:
− A significant progress in installation of commercialmetering devices(about50%ofbuildingsasoftheendof2015)
− A gradual increase in tariffs for population to economically justifiedlevel based on gas import price and reduced deficit of the JSC"Naftogaz"
− Transfer to a target public subsidy system,which, on theonehand,reduces the State Budget expenditures and, from the other hand,motivatespeopletosaveenergy
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
5
2. ReviewofHUSmarketforhouseholds
Thepopulation is themainhousingandutilities services (HUS)consumerand targetgroupaimedbythestatepolicyinthissector.ThestateandlegalentitiesarealsoHUSconsumers,buttheirshareintotalconsumptionismuchlowerand,forexample,forcentralheatingitmakesupabout30%.
The HUS sector in Ukraine is characterized by a significant state intervention ineconomic relations, including the service price setting. This applies particularly toenergy services (heating, gas and electricity supplies) for which the final householdpricesaremuchlowerthananeconomicallyjustifiedlevel.
2.1. EstimationofHUSmarketcapacityforhouseholds
As of today, theHUSmarket capacity is far from the economic realities in termsofprices for end users. But Ukraine is actively reforming this sector and the mainobjectiveistotransfertothemarketprinciplesoftariffsetting.Thus,accordingtothecommitments to the IMF, since April 2017 the household price for natural gas andheatingshouldbebasedonnaturalgasimportprice(formoredetailsseeParts5and6).
In2015,inthefinalpricestheHUSmarketcapacityforhouseholdsmadeupUAH82.7billion,but in2017 thecapacitymay raiseup toUAH136billion (mainlydue to theincreaseinheatingandgastariffs).
Diagram2.1.ThestructureofHUScharges,billionUAH
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
2.2. Paymentforutilityservicesbythepopulation
TheamountofHUSbillischaracterizedbyconsiderableseasonalitythatexplainstheneedforbuildingheating.InthewintermonthstheHUSbillsmaybetwicemorethanHUSbillsinthesummermonths.
65,0(79%)
17,6(21%)
population
budget
Sources
28%
12%
23%
17%
11%8%
1% Gasforindividualheating
Gasforotherpurposes
heating
electricity
Buildingmaintenance
Water
Waste
TotalUAH83billionin 2015
26%
11%
31%
17%
8%
6% 1%TotalUAH136billionin 2017
TheHUSsectorinUkraineischaracterizedbyasignificantstateinterventionineconomicrelationsandservicepriceformation
TheHUSmarketcapacityforhouseholdsinpriceswillraisefromUAH82.7billiontoUAH136billion(mainlyduetotheincreaseinheatingandgastariffs)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
6
Diagram2.2.ThetotalHUSchargespaidbyhouseholds,UAHbillion
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
In2015thehouseholdspaidUAH61.9billionthatmadeup95.2%ofthechargedUAH65.0billion.Forcomparison,in2014thehouseholdspaidUAH47.0billionor93.4%ofthechargedUAH50.3billion.
TotalhouseholddebttoHUScompaniesisUAH11.5billionasoftheendof2015.
Diagram2.3.ThestructureofbudgetpaymentsforHUSbenefitsandsubsidies
Source:Naftogazdata,Workinggroupanalysis
AccordingtoNaftogazin2015thegassubsidieswerechargedaboutUAH7.8billionmorethanactualconsumption.Thus,therealneedinsubsidieswasUAH17.6billion.
Diagram2.4.Levelofservicespaidbyhouseholds,billionUAH
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
5,95,7
5,1
2,2 2,9 2,5 2,7 2,9 2,9
3,8
5,96,8 6,2 6,3
5,6 5,6
4,43,7 4,0 3,663,7
4,5
7,08,3
-4+1
+9 +12
+19 +20+24 +23
+18
+10
+2-1 0 0
+7
+12
+18+23 +24 +25
+20
+9+6
+3
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
3001 000 0002 000 0003 000 0004 000 0005 000 0006 000 0007 000 0008 000 0009 000 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Fen Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014(50,3bln)
2015(65,0bln)
charged temperature
19,9subsidies
5,5benefits
3,0
14,0
8,4
ChargedforHUS "Realmoney" Clearingpayments Budgetdebtasof31.12.15
25,4
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Fen Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
110%100%90%
2014 2015
In2015thehouseholdspaidUAH62billionthatmadeup95%ofthechargedUAH65billion
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
7
AsfortheHUSchargingandhouseholdpaymentsin2014-2015therearetwofactorsthatshouldbenoted:
1) asignificant increase in tariffs (mainly forenergy resources) resulted inbiggerchargedamountsandaffectedthepossibilityofhouseholdstopaythebills.
2) a significant increase in HUS subsidies, in particular, the budget for subsidiesandloansforthepopulationraisedfrom6to25billionhryvnia.Itreducedthechargedamountsandpositivelyinfluencedthelevelofpayments(asfarasthesubsidiesareprovidedtotheleastsolventhouseholds).
Approximation of economically reasonable rates and increased social support aregenerallypositivefortheHUSmarket.Thenegativepointisthatinthecurrentsystemthemost subsidies are clearing payments, which in turn is a barrier to finance theoperatingactivitiesoftheindustry(formoredetailsseePart7).
ThelevelofHUSpaymentbythepopulationlargelydependsontheregions.Theworstindexes are in Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk regions, where the period outstandingexceeds5months.Forcomparison,asignificantnumberofregions(mostlyinWesternUkraine)havemuchbetterpaymentdiscipline.
Diagram 2.5. Population debts for HUS by regions as of 31.12.2015 (excludingelectricity)
Remark:AnegativedebtmeansthattheregionhasanoverpaymentforHUS,whichwasmainly
formeddueto"excessive"subsidies(seePart3.3).
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
2.3. HUSpaymentbysubsidies
Despite the fact that the beneficiaries are households, the most subsidies aretransferredtotheaccountsofenterprisesaspaymentsforservicesandarenot"real"money (used as clearing payments, see Part 7). Moreover, the Budget fulfills itspayment obligations with delay that leads to the formation of debts to HUScompanies.
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizhia
KirovogradDnipropetrovsk
Kyivregion
Vinnytsia
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk
-217- 2370
5,2 13095,7
-174-
2452,9
7323,4
1300,6
-18-
-63-
3564,9
5512,1
Kyivcity
ChermigivSumy
Poltava Kharkiv
KhersonOdesa
Mykolvaiv
Cherkasy
Khmelnytsk
Rivne
Ternopil
Chernivtsi
9423,4
1631,6
3962,0
-282-
-77-
2162,6
-190-
19033,5
-124--368
-
15643,7
-274-
-88-
-173-
8829mln.hrn.TotaldebtforHUS
2.1 monthAveragetermofdebtforHUSin
Ukraine
In2015theStateBudgetcovered17.0billionforHUSbenefitsandsubsidies
ArealneedinsubsidiesconsideringexcessivegassubsidiesisUAH17.7billion
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
8
Diagram2.6.Budgetexpendituresforpublicbenefitsandsubsidies
Source:BudgetofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
Inaddition,according toNaftogazaboutUAH7.7billionwasexcessivelycharged forhouseholdgassuppliesasof31.12.2015.Thus,a realneed insubsidiesandbenefitsmadeupUAH17.6billion in2015.Mostoftheseexcessivechargesareexplainedbydifferentapplicationoftwo-leveltariffforbillingandsubsidycalculation:
• gas volume for preferential tariff UAH 3.600 is 1.200 m³ for the entireheatingseason,i.e.intheendoftheseasonthebillswillbemainlycalculatedunderbiggertariffUAH7.188andwillbemuchhigher
•atthesametime,themonthlysubsidyisfixedfortheentireheatingperiod
TheamountofexcessivesubsidychargesisexpectedtodecreasetoUAH6.2billionbytheendoftheheatingseason.
UndercommitmentstotheIMFinMay2016thesubsidiesandbenefitsareexpectedtomergeandmostbeneficiarieshavetobetransferredtothesubsidysystemthatwilleasetheburdenonadministrationofbothsystems.
In2016theBudgetofUkraineallocatesUAH35billion for thepaymentofsubsidiesand benefits that makes up 5.1% of budget expenditures. According to the IMFassessments in 2017 theneed inHUS subsidiesmay reachup toUAH80billion (or10%of theStateBudget). TheResolutionof theCabinetofMinistersofUkraineNo106ofMay2015greatlysimplifiedthesubsidyadoptionprocedure. Itresulted inanincreasednumberof subsidy applicants andamountof state social support forHUSservices.
5,817,0
35,0
80,0
1,5%3,0%
5,5%
10,0%
-2,00%
3,00%
8,00%
0
50
100
2014(financed)
2015(financed)
2016(Budget)
2017(potential)
HUSsubsidiesandbenefits,UAHbillion
%ofBudget
BudgetexpendituresforHUSsubsidiesarelikelytoreach10%oftheBudgetin2017
UAH35billionisbudgetedfor2016forpublicsubsidies
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
9
Diagram 2.7. The number of households that receive subsidies in the respectivemonth,millionhouseholds
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
Thus,4.6millionhouseholdsreceivedHUSsubsidiesandabout0.7millioncitizensreceivedbenefitsinDecember2015.TheHUSsubsidiesintheamountofUAH19.9billionandbenefitsintheamountofUAH5.5billionweretotallychargedin2015.
Diagram2.8.HUSsubsidieschargedin2014-2015,millionUAH
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
Diagram2.9.AverageamountofHUSsubsidies,UAH
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
1,1 1,1 1,2 1,00,3 0,4 0,4 0,5 0,1 0,4 0,7
1,11,1 1,2 1,3 1,20,4 0,9
1,42,0
2,73,4
3,94,6
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2014
2015
262 257 253 126 6 25 34 31 30 45 253 528561 528 510 864197 244 386 424 455
2 800
5 390
7 521
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
20142015
354,2 326,4 273,9 335,2 267,6 205,2 212,8 190,9 143,8321,3
771,5
1090,9
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
UAH25.4billionsubsidiesandbenefitschargedtothepopulationin2015
InDecember2015theaverageamountofchargedpublicsubsidywasUAH1091
4.6millionhouseholdsreceivedsubsidiesinDecember2015
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
10
2.4. Reformingthegaspaymentsystem(commitmentstotheIMF)
OnJuly21,2015UkrainesignedaMemorandumthatenvisagesanumberofreforms.The Memorandum implementation is a key factor to stabilize and improve theeconomicandpoliticalsituationinthecountryaswellastoattractfundsfromtheIMFandotherIFIs.
According to the commitments, the main focus of reforms in energy sector is toreducethedeficitof"Naftogaz"andincreasetheliquidityofitscashflows.Firstofall,itwillbedoneintwoways:
• ReformofNaftogazfundingsystem;• Increaseinheatingandgastariffstothejustifiedworldmarketprices.
ReformofNaftogazfundingsystem
TheformulafordistributionofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingthatcometotheDHPaccounts shall be reviewed. Itwill enableNaftogas to collect gradually the debts ofcompanies.
Historically the Government directly supported Naftogas by replenishing theauthorized capital (in 2010 – 2015 the authorized capital was replenished to theamount of UAH 160 billion). The replenishment was financed by issuing domestictreasurybonds.
Diagram2.10.FinancingthedeficitofNaftogazin2010-2015(USD160billion)
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Since 2017 any state support to companies shall be in the formof subsidies to thepopulation,ratherthanthroughdirectsubsidies.
Contribution ofgovernmentbondsintheauthorizedcapital
Saleofgovernmentbonds
Government Naftogaz
NBU Statebanks
Funding securedbygovernmentbonds
Naftogasdeficitin2010-15isthegovernmentdebt(DSB)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
11
Diagram 2.11. Overall budget expenditures for Naftogaz funding and HUS paymentsocialsupport,USDbillion
Source:actualdataof IMF,dataofMinistryofSocialPolicy; IMFforecast (under thecurrentsubsidysystem)
As a first but important step towards the introduction of subsidies, the CMUResolutionNo 106 ofMay 1 abolished all restrictions on the right to receive publicsubsidies, other than the purchase to the amount of UAH 50 thousand during theprevious 12 months. In addition, consultants were engaged to work onrecommendationstoreducethereceivablesofNaftogaz.
Increaseinheatingandgastariffstothejustifiedworldmarketprices.
TofulfillthecommitmentstotheIMFinApril2016thetariffratesforgasandheatingshouldbe at the levels that cover 75%of the costs and100% till April 2017on thebasisofworldprices.
Diagram2.12.Ukraine'shistoricalcommitmentstobringgaspricestotheeconomicallyjustifiedlevel
Source:MemorandumwithIMF,Workinggroupanalysis
InApril2015thegasandcentralizedheatingtariffsforendconsumersraisedby285%and67%respectively.
Governmentcommitment:Marketpricefor 3yearstilltheendof2011
Governmentcommitment:Marketpricefor 2,5 yearstillMay2013
Governmentcommitment:Marketpricefor 2 yearstillMay2017
0
100
200
300
400
500
01.2007 11.2008 09.2010 03.2015 05.2017
Actualprice TheGovernmentobligationstotheIMF
IMFprogrammeworth $16,4bln
IMFprogrammeworth $15,5 bln
IMFprogrammeworth $17,5 bln
Gasp
riceforhouseholds,$perthous.m
3
In2015thepricesforgasandcentralizedheatingincreasedby285%and67%respectively
Since2017anystatesupporttoNaftogazwillbeprovidedonlythroughpublicsubsidies
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
12
3. Impactofheatingefficiencyonenergybalanceandmacroeconomicindicators
Excessiveenergyconsumptioncausessubstantialcostsandrisksintheareasofenergysecurity,governmentspending,tradebalance,economicandsocialactivities,andenvironmentalprotection,andthereforeithasagreatpotentialforimprovement.
3.1. Energybalanceandconsumptionefficiency
Ukraineheavilydependsonenergyimportsthatinthecurrentgeopoliticalconditionscauses high risks for energy independence. Natural gas takes the biggest share inimportsofenergyamountingto19.5billionm³(or15.7milliontonsofoilequivalent).
Diagram 3.1. Total supplies of primaryenergy in 2014 (105.7million tons of oilequivalent)
Diagram3.2.Energytradebalancein2014(netimport28.0milliontonsofoilequivalent)
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine(excludingtheARofCrimeaand"ATO"zone)
Diagram3.3.Centralizedheatingfuelconsumptionin2014(12,2milliontonsofoilequivalent)
Diagram3.4.Fuelconsumptiononproductionofelectricityin2014(43,5milliontonsofoilequivalent)
Diagram3.5.Energyconsumptionbypopulationincl.transformationandtransportationlossesin2014(32,9milliontonsofoilequivalent)
Source: data of State Statistics Service of Ukraine (excluding the AR of Crimea and "ATO" zone),Workinggroupanalysis
34%
31%
22%
10% 3%
Coal GasNuclearenergy OilRenewables
-5,5
-15,7
-7,5
0,7
Coal Gas Oil Electricity
73%
22%
3% 2%Gas
Coal
Biofuel
Other
3%
42%
2%
53%
Gas
Coal
Renewables
Nuclear
41%
47%
12% Electricity
Heat
Other
Naturalgasmakesupabout55%ofenergyimports
Lessdependencyongasimportsisoneofthekey
tasksofthenationalsecurityofUkraine
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
13
Most of the natural gas is consumed by residential and public buildings sector.Industrialsectorconsumesonly~40%ofgas.
Diagram3.6.Naturalgasconsumptionandprogresstowardmarketrelations
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
3.2. Heatproduction,supplyandconsumption
ThesectorofresidentialandpublicbuildingsheatinghasoneofthelargestpotentialsforimprovingenergyefficiencyinUkraine.Theannualconsumptionofnaturalgasforheatingpurposes is estimated at 18.6billionm³with the reductionpotential (whenreaching the current level of losses in the EU) of 11.4 billion m³ of gas (~58% ofUkrainianimports):
Diagram3.7.Estimationofpossiblereduceinnaturalgasconsumptionbydirections,billionm³.
Source:WorkingGroupanalysis
3.3. Economicevaluationoflosses.Costsofinaction
Excessiveenergyconsumptiontoheatresidentialandpublicbuildingshaspermanentnegativeconsequencesthatre-occureveryyear.
Table 3.1. Economic evaluation of annual losses caused by excessive energyconsumptionforheating.
~USD3.0billion(~3%GDP)
excessiveconsumptionwithoutarealeconomicstimulus
7,3
1,71,1 1,3
Buildingthermalinsulation
Individualboilerschange
Districtboilersmodernization
Insulationofnetworks
11,4 bln m³ - totalpotential
~USD3billion(or~3%GDP)isexcessively
consumedannuallywithoutthestimulusforeconomy,ofwhich~USD
2.5billionspentongasimports
Thehighestpotential
possessedbymeasuresvonthelevelofbuildings
(thermalrehabilitationandreplacementofindividualboilers)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
14
~USD2.5billion
excessiveexpendituresongasimports(pressureontradebalance)
>USD1.0billion
excessiveexpendituresofstatebudgetonenergysubsidies
Source:Workinggroupanalysis,attherateofimportgaspriceUSD225perthousandm³
3.4. Assessmentofoverallinvestmentneedsandgasconsumptionreductionpotential
ThesectorofresidentialandpublicbuildingsheatinghasoneofthelargestpotentialsforimprovingenergyefficiencyinUkraine.Theannualconsumptionofnaturalgasforheatingpurposes is estimated at 18.6billionm³with the reductionpotential (whenreaching the current level of losses in the EU) of 11.4 billion m³ of gas (~58% ofUkrainianimports):
The solution of problems related to building heating requires the attraction ofsignificantinvestments:
Table3.2.Preliminaryassessmentofoverallinvestmentneeds
SectorInvestment
needsGasconsumptionreductionpotential
GasconsumptionreductionperUSD1billionofinvestments
Rehabilitationofmultistorybuildings
USD17billion 2,3billionm³ 135millionm³
Rehabilitationofindividualhouses
USD28billion 4,7billionm³ 168millionm³
Replacementofindividualboilersbymoreefficientones
USD4billion 1,7billionm³ 425millionm³
Rehabilitationofpublicbuildings
USD2billion 0,3billionm³ 150millionm³
Modernizationofheatproductionsystemandnetworks
USD6billion 2,4billionm³ 400millionm³
Total ~USD57billion 11,4billionm³
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Themodernization of heat production and distribution takes only 21% of the totalcapacitytoreducegasconsumption,butitrequiressignificantlylessinvestmentsthanthe thermal rehabilitation of buildings. Therefore, the investments in DHP have thegreatestpotentialintermsofimpactonthereductionofenergyconsumptionperunitofinvestedfunds.
~57billiondollars–assessmentofoverallinvestmentneedson
energyefficiencyofheating
DHPmodernizationhasthegreatestpotentialintermsofimpactonthereductionofenergyconsumptionperunitofinvestedfunds
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
15
4. Individualheating
4.1. Energyresourcesforindividualheating
About50%ofhouseholdsuseindividualheating(thisfiguremayvarydependingontheregion).
Thefactorsthathouseholdscanreducegasconsumptionforindividualheatingarelikelytobeahighgaspriceandmoreprudentuseofgasbecauseofconcernsaboutitslack.
Diagram4.1.Shareoffuelsinheatgeneration Diagram4.2.Useofgasforhouseholdneeds,billionm3
Source:dataofStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
Source:Naftogazdata,Workinggroupanalysis
Gasis75%ofallresourcesusedbythepopulationforindividualheating.IntheWestofthecountrypeoplemostlyuseindividualgasheatingandthecentralizedheatingprevailsintheeast.
Diagram4.3.Structureofhouseholdheatingresources
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
11%
9%
6%
74%
Coal FirewoodforheatingOthersolidfuels Gas
1917 18 17 18 17 17 17
15
11
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
KirovohradDnipropetrovsk
Kyivregion
Vinnytsia
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya
Ivano-Frankivsk
KyivcityChernigiv Sumy
PoltavaHarkiv
Herson
Odessa
Mykolaiv
Cherkasy
Chmelnytskiy
Reivne
Ternopil
Chernigiv
46%
16%
38%
Gasheating Otherresources Centralheating
54%27% 19%
45%22% 33%
43%
5%
52%
31% 23%46%
51%37%
12%
65%35%
0%
34%13%
53%
81%
9% 10%
62%
4%
34%
42% 42%16%
42%18%
40%
68%
1%31%
48%17%
36%
36%20%
45%
55%
3%
42%
46%31% 23%
53%
10%37%
78%
11% 11%38%
10%
52%
41% 36%23%
60%
18% 22%
45%27% 28%
60%
23% 17%
53%
23% 24%
3% 0%
97%
Resourcesusedforheating
Theuseofgashasdecreasedby43%overthelast10years
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
16
4.2. Centralizedgassupplysystem(Oblgazes)
The natural gas is provided to consumers, DHP and enterprises in the regions byregionalgascompanies(Oblgazes)."UkrGazEnergy"company controlsabout70%ofgassupplyterritoryinUkraine.
Diagram4.4.Groupimpactzonesbyregions
UkrGazEnergoKES-Holding
NaftogazOthers
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Thegasnetworkconsistsofmainpipelinesanddistributionnetworks:
• In caseof large industrial consumers thathavedirectbrancheson themainpipeline,gasgoesdirectlytotheconsumersandOblgazisnotinvolvedatall
• Incaseofmostmediumandlargeindustrialconsumers,othercompaniesaresuppliers,theypaytoOblgazonlyfortransportation
• In case of small enterprises, households and government institutions, gas issupplied via a local network of pipelines, which is controlled by one ofOblgazesthatalsoactsasasupplier
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
17
Diagram4.5.SimplifiedsystemofgasflowsinUkraine
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
11.3billionm3ofnaturalgaswasreleasedforindividualheatingofthepopulationin2015.
Diagram4.6.Thelargestgasconsumersbyregions
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Thebiggestgasconsumersarehistoricallyindustrialregions:Donetsk,Lugansk,Dnipropetrovsk,KyivregionsandKyivcity.
TodaythegaspipelineinUkraineisinapoorstateduetolackoffunding.ManypartsofpipelinehavenotbeenchangedsinceUkraine'sindependence.
MainpipelineOwnerofpipeline:StateGastransporter: UkyTransGaz
DistributionnetworkOwnersofpipeline:State,OblgazGastransporter: OblgazПостачальникгазу:Oblgaz,other suppliers
Gas
Ownersofpipeline:Subsidaries ofNaftogazUkrGazEnergoLocalmanufacturers
~65% ~35%
Population DHP
Gasconsumptionin2013,billionm3
0-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6
65%ofgasisusedforpublicneedsand35%-forDHPwiththepurposeofheatproduction
Thebiggestgasconsumersarehistoricallyindustrialregions
55%ofpipelineismorethan20yearsold
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
18
Diagram4.7.Breakdownofofgastransportationsystempipesbyage,years
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
OnlysomeresidentsofUkrainecangetgasthroughthemainpipelineandthisproblemiscurrentlysolvedonlybysupplyingLNG(liquefiednaturalgas),whichismoreexpensiveandnotaseasytouseasthecentralpipeline.
Diagram4.8.ThelevelofgasificationinUkraine
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
AccordingtotheLawofUkraine"Onthenaturalgasmarket"withthepurposeofde-monopolizationofgas supplymarket the regionalgascompaniesarenotallowed tosupply natural gas to consumers. According to the CMU Resolution No 74 dated02.03.2015theagreementongassupplybecomesatrilateralagreement,wherethefirst partу is the supplier, the second - a gas distribution company, the third - aconsumer.
Butthischangeisratherconditional,sincethesubsidiaryenterprisestosupplynaturalgaswerecreatedonthebasisofOblgazes,thusthecontrolofnaturalgassuppliesis"inthehands"ofOblgazes.
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
270300 305 320 310 330 350
45% 47% 50% 58% 62%70%
80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
050100150200250300350400
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011thouskmofpipeline Gasificationlevel
1020253040
BasedonRGCsthesubsidiaryenterpriseswerecreatedtosupplynaturalgasthatretainsthecontrolofnaturalgassupplies"inthehands"ofRGCs.
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
19
Diagram4.9.Schemeofcashflowsinthegassupplysystem
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
4.3. Tariffsforcentralizedgassupplyandmarketcapacity
GastariffsarecontrolledbytheNEURCthathasabilateralnature.Ontheonehand,the Commission's tariff policy acts more in the interests of energy companies andsometimes at the expense of gas companies. On the other hand, the Commissioncontrols the gas sector less strictly that allows the Oblgazes to operate moreindependently.
Although,theNEURCsetsthehouseholdgastariffs,accordingtotheCMUNo758theCabinetofMinisterssetsmarginalretailpricesfornaturalgasforthepopulationandreligious institutions inthetransitionperiod(fromApril,12016tillMarch31,2017).AlsothisResolutionsetsthemaximumretailmarginfornaturalgasforsuppliers.
Atthetariffasoftheendof2015theindividualhouseof80m2,whichisheatedwithgas,pays forgasused forheatingaboutUAH2736amonththat is84%of thetotalHUSbill amount. In 2017 consideringmarketprices thepayment for gasmay reachUAH3696(80%ofthetotalHUSbillamount).AdetaileddescriptionisgiveninAnnex1.
Thetariff forgassupply iscalculatedaccordingtothemethodologystipulated inthe"Procedure for setting tariffs fornatural gas transportation viadistributionpipelinesonthebasisofalong-termincentiveregulation".
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
20
Diagram4.10.Themethodologyforgastariffcalculation
Source:NEURCResolutions
Diagram4.11.Thestructureofnaturalgastariffforthepopulation
Source:NEURCResolutions
AccordingtotheNEURCResolutionNo583ofApril1,2015thehouseholdgastariffis7.188UAH/m3.
Themain change in the structure of billing system is the establishment of a singletariffrate,regardlessofthegasconsumptionvolume.ButfromOctober1toApril30,2016theCMUsetsapreferentialrateof3.6UAH/m3providedtheconsumedvolumeis less than 1200 m3 in this period, which is paid by 60% of consumers. Thus, theaverageweightedtariffis5.035UAH/m3.
Diagram4.12.Averageweightedtariffforhouseholdgas,UAH/m3
Source:IMFreportonUkraine,Workinggroupanalysis
70%
3%4%
5% 1%
17%Actualcostofgas
Fee(extracharge)
Costoftransportationthroughpipeline
Costoftransportationthroughdistributionpipeline
Costofgassuppliestohouses
VAT
1,048 1,308
5,035 5,8107,746
since01.08.2010
since01.05.2014
since01.04.2015
since1.04.2016
since2017
+285%+25% +15% +33%
Gastariffisatwo-ratetariff
Theaverageweightedtariffis5.035UAH/m3
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
21
Diagram4.13.Calculationofgasmarkettariff,UAH/thous.m3
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
ThehouseholdgastariffisoneofthelowestinEurope.
Diagram4.14.Comparisonofgastariffs,Euro/m3(two-ratetariffinUkraine)
Source:Eurostatdata
TheNEURCsets tariffs for theOblgazes for transportation in theamountthatundertheir assessment will cover costs of Oblgazes and provide a revenue (5.2% -6.0%accordingtothelatesttariffupdate).
Settingtariffs forgascompaniestheNEURChastodocomplexcalculations for tariffbalancing,whichincludestransportationtaxofgascompaniesandUkrTransGastariffthatisidenticalthroughoutUkraine.
In 2014 the population used 15 billion m3 of gas, of which ~ 11 billion m³ - forindividual heating (Working group assessments). Considering the current averageweighted tariff for gas in the amount of UAH 5.035 USD per m³, the overallexpendituresofthepopulationfor individualheatingofbuildingsmadeup~UAH55bilionperyear.
If gas price changes in 2016 and 2017, the annual expenditures of population forindividualheatingwillincreaseby~53%in2017against2015.
5423,5 216,9 815,01290,9 7746,3
Gasprice($225) specialfee4% Transportation VAT Markettariff
0,525 0,478 0,4430,326 0,281
0,141
Poland Estonia Lithuania Romania Ukraine
Theexpendituresforindividualheatingwillincreaseby~53%in2017against2015
Gasmarkettariffis~7.74UAH/m3
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
22
Diagram4.15.Analysisofhouseholdannualcostsforindividualgasheating
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Thehouseholdgascostiscalculatedintwoways:
Table4.1.Methodsofchargingforgasconsumedbyhouseholds
Withmeteringdevices
• UndermeteringdevicesAsof2015~100%ofgasforheatingisconsumedthroughmeteringdevices;
Withoutmeteringdevices
• underratesbasedonpercapitaandhomesteading
Source:CMUResolutionNo630
Diagram4.16.Comparisonofconsumptionratesforthepopulation,m3
,
Source:Report"EstimationofHUSconsumption"preparedintheframeworkofUSAIDproject
55,363,5
84,75,0
5,8
7,7
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
2015 2016 2017
Annualexpendituresforgasindividualheating,billionUAHGasprice,hrn./m³
5,8
17,6
6,0
18,0
3,0
9,0
Gassupplyifhotwaterisavailable
Gassupplyifwaterheaterisavailable
RealconsumptionRateforsubsidychargingRateforservicecostcalculation
100%ofgasconsumedbypopulationforheatingismetered
Ratesusedforcalculationofgasconsumptionwithoutmeteringdevicesarelowerthanaverageconsumption
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
23
4.4. Thesystemofpaymentsforcentralizedgassupplies
BeforetheMemorandumadoptiontheoldsystemforgaspurchasingforNaftogaswasused(Annex2).ButtofulfillcommitmentstotheIMFthefinancingstructureforgaspurchasingforNaftogaswaschangedfromdirectbusinesssubsidiestopublicsubsidies.
So,ifinthepastallpaymentsforgaswereincash,nowtheschemealsoincludessubsidysettlements.
Diagram4.17.Asimplifiedcurrentsystemofpaymentsforcentralizedgassuppliestothepopulation
Source: CMU Resolution No217, CMU Resolution 20, Order of the Minenergy and MFU No493/688,Minregion,Workinggroupanalysis
Таблиця4.2.Explanationstopaymentscheme
Moneyflows Subsidies
1) The population pays for HUS tothespecialaccount
2) NEURC according to the CMUResolutionNo217approvesratesfor money allocation from thespecialaccount
3) Funds are transferred to othermarketparticipants
4) Naftogazimportsgas
1) Thepopulationappliesforsubsidies2) Allmarketentitiessigntheprotocol
onmutualpayments3) The Budget on the basis of MSP
data transfers subsidies to gassuppliersasclearingpayments
4) Themutualsettlementsforgasarecarriedouthierarchically
5) Naftogaz or Ukrgazvydobuvannyacarry out mutual subsidysettlements with the Budget inexchangefortaxesorrentalfee
Source: CMU Resolution No217, CMU Resolution 20, Order of the Minenergy and MFU No493/688,Minregiondata,Workinggroupanalysis
– Subsidy“liabilities”/Mutualpayments
– Gassupply
– Realmoney
Naftogaz
Transporter
Distributor
Supplier Bank(spec.account)
NERC
Population
Subsidyaccount
GasimportUkrgazvydobu-vannyaBudget
Approvesfundsdistributionrate
ThesystemofdirectsubsidiestoNaftogazwasreplacedbyitsfinancingthroughpublicsubsidies
Therearetwosourcesofpayments:
1. Paymentsofhouseholds
2. HUSsubsidies
HUSsubsidiesreceivedbyDHPandRGCsareclearingpayments
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
24
5. Centralizedheating
5.1. Heatenergyproduction
Centralizedheatsupplycovers40%ofthepopulation.Heatenergyisproducedontheplantsoftwotypes:centralheatingplants(CHP)andthermoelectricplants(TEP).
Diagram 5.1. Number of households bydifferenttypesofheating,million
Source:Minregiondata
Diagram5.2.BreakdownofproductionatCHPandTEP,mlntonnesofoilequivalent
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
Ukrainianheatenergymarket inrecentyearstendstodecrease.Giventhedynamicsof production change (decline in the crisis years), the reduction is explained bydecreaseddemandofindustrialenterprises.Duringtheperiod2005-2009themarkethasshrunkby29%.Dropin2014wasdrivenbyexclusionofARofCrimeaand"ATO"zone.
Diagram5.3.Heatenergyproduction,millionGcal*
*datafor2014excludingtheARofCrimeaand"ATO"zone
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
Thepopulation is the largest heat energy consumereach year. The shareof energysuppliedtothepopulationis~65%.Inaddition,theenergymarketisinefficient. Itisprovedbyheatlosses,whichareabout15%ofservedenergy.Itshouldbenotedthatdataon losses isnormative.Thereal losses,accordingtoexperts,canbeupto50%.Thus, improving the efficiency of transport and use of heat energy by populationshouldbethefirstprioritytask.
5,49
6,59
2,26 Centralizedheating
Gasheating
Other
3,8
6,1
ThermoelectricplantsCentralheatingplants
127,2 124,6
112,1104,7
98,0104,1 104,7 104,1
96,5
73,0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
For4yearstheheatproductionmarkethasdecreasedby29%.
Thepopulationisthelargestheatenergyconsumer(~65%)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
25
Diagram5.4.Heatenergyreleasedbysegments(TEPandDHP),millionGcal
*datafor2014excludingtheARofCrimeaand"ATO"zone
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
The main role at heat energy market is played by the biggest boiler houses thatproduceheatenergyforconsumers inbigcities.Thus,reformingtheDHPsectorthethebiggestboilerhousesshouldbeoffirstpriority.
Diagram5.5.Breakdownofheatproductionbyboilerhouseswithdifferentcapacitiesin2014(total62.6mlnGcal)
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
Table5.1.Numberofboilerhouseswithdifferentcapacities
Capacity Number(%)
<3Gcal/h 27772(89,6%)
3-20Gcal/h 2616(8,4%)
20-100Gcal/h 443(1,4%)
>100Gcal/h 161(0,5%)
Total 30992(100%)
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
UkrainianDHParedependentongas.Gastakesthelargestshareinthestructureofheatenergysources,althoughthisproportiontendstodecrease.However,gasisreplacedbylessefficientandmoreenvironmentallyharmfulsources:coalandpeat.
63%25%
13% Population
Publicandcommercialbuildings
Forproductionneed
12%
16%
18%54%
Upto3Gcal/h 3-20Gcal/h
20- 100Gcal/h >100Gcal/h
>50%ofheatenergyisproducedby161boilerhouses
Gasisreplacedbymoreenvironmentallyharmfulsources:coalandpeat
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
26
Diagram5.7.Structureofheatenergysourcesin2007-2014
*datafor2014excludingtheARofCrimeaand"ATO"zone
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
UseofDHPgashasagreatlypronouncedseasonality, i.e.consumptioninthewintermonthsis10timeshigherthaninthesummermonths.Thus,gasusedirectlydependsonheatingseason.Inaddition,itgivesaroughideaofDHPcostsduringayear.
Diagram5.8.PlanofgasusebyDHPfor2016,millionm³(total9413millionm³)
Source:Minregiondata
82,6% 80,4% 73,9% 79,3% 79,9% 77,8% 74,1% 71,4%
14,1% 15,2%17,2%
16,3% 16,1% 17,9% 20,7% 22,8%
1,2% 1,8% 2,0% 2,1% 2,1% 2,5% 3,0% 3,6%2,1% 2,5% 7,0% 2,4% 1,9% 1,8% 2,2% 2,2%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Naturalgas Coalandpeat Biofuelsandwaste other
17741525
1313
515
175 154 159 149 175
636
1218
1603
Inwintergasconsumptionsis10timeshigher
>50%ofheatenergyisproducedby161boilerhouses
Gasisreplacedbymoreenvironmentallyharmfulsources:coalandpeat
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
27
Diagram5.9.Forecastofgasuseforcentralizedheatingandhotwatersupply(HWS)for2016,billionm3
Source:Minregiondata,Workinggroupanalysis
MostregionsofUkrainesignificantlydependongassupplies.Thevolumeofusedgasis driven by the number of big cities with centralized heating. The exception isZakarpattyaregion,whereindirectheatingsystemsaremostlyused.
Diagram5.10.PlanofgasusebyDHPforcentralizedheatingandHWSbyregionsfor2016,millionm3(total9.4billionm3).
Source:Minregiondata
7,5
1,9 Centralizedheating
HWS
Zakarpattya
ChernigivSumy
PoltavaCharkiv
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
Cherson
OdessaMykolaiv
KirovohradDnipropetrovks
CherkassyKyiv
Vinnytsia
Zhytomyr
Chmelnitska
Rivne
Ternopil
Volyn
Lviv
Ivano-Frankivsk
Chernivtsi
Kyivcity
3 073
2
1 028
354
334
152
76
83
62
192
134
110148
329 160
121
122
235
209 244
222957
490
480
84
DHPin5regionsconsume~65%ofallgas
DHPuse80%ofgasforheating
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
28
5.2. Heatenergytransportation
Todaythemajorityofresidentialbuildingsareconnectedtocentralizedheatingorthroughcentralheatstations(diagram5.11)ordirectlytoHS/TEP/boilerhouses(diagram5.12).
Diagram5.11.Schemeofconnectiontocentralizedheatingthroughcentralheatstations
Source:WorldBankreport
Diagram5.12.Schemeofdirectconnectiontocentralizedheating
Source:WorldBankreport
Thetotalnetworklengthisabout21thousandkm,andaveragelossesinthenetworksmakeup16%accordingtotheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine.However,accordingtomarketoperators,thereal lossesinsomespotscanreachupto50%andneedanimmediaterepairorreplacement.
Diagram5.13.Assessmentofheatlossesinnetworksin2014,thousandGcal
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
CHP,TEPCentralHeat
Station
consumers
consumers consumers
consumers
CHP,TEP
consumers
consumers consumers
consumers
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
29
5.3. Heatenergyconsumption
Threelargestregionsconsumingheatenergymakeupnearly50%ofthemarket.
Diagram5.14.Analysisofheatenergyconsumptionbythepopulationintheoverallstructurefor2014,millionGcal(total62.6millionGcal,includingforthepopulation-39.4millionGcal)
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
HeatconsumptioninUkraineisinefficient.Theactualconsumptioninsomeregionsismorethan60%higherthantheEUstandard.
Diagram5.15.Mapofenergyefficiencyinheatandhotwaterconsumptionin2013,Gcal/m²
Source:"Newsocialandeconomicpolicy"
0,280,40,60,70,70,81,01,11,21,31,41,41,51,51,71,82,22,42,4
3,43,63,7
7,0,08,6
11,9
ZakarpattyaChernivtsiTernopil
Ivano-FrankivskKirovohrad
KhersonLuganskVolyn
VinnytsyaZhytomyr
RivneMykolaiv
KhmelnytskyChernihivCherkassy
SumyKyivLviv
OdesaDonetsk
ZaporizhiaPoltavaKharkiv
DnipropetrovskKyivcity
Total
Population
Chernigiv
Sumy
PoltavaCharkiv
Luhansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
ChersonOdessa Mykolaiv
Kirovohrad Dnipropetrovsk
Cherkasy
Kyiv
Vinnytsya
Zhytomyr
Chmelnitskiy
Rivne
Ternopil
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya
Ivano-Frankivsk
Chernivtsi
0,13 0,10
-24%
0,160,09
-42%
0,190,08
-56%
0,180,08
-53%
0,14 0,09
-36%
0,160,09
-44%
0,170,09
-46%
0,140,09
-35%
0,22
0,09
-60%
0,12 0,09
-24%
0,21
0,08
-60%0,170,08
-51%
0,170,09
-47%
0,140,08
-41%
0,21
0,09
-54%
0,150,09
-41%0,17
0,09
-46%
0,180,09
-49%0,20
0,08
-58%
0,13 0,09
-32%
0,15 0,09
-40%0,15
0,09
-37%
0,14 0,09
-34%
0,150,09
-39%0,18
0,07
-63%
Kyivcity
0,170,09
Actualconsumption
PotentailaccordingtotheEU¹standard
-49%AverageinUkraine
Threelargestregionsconsume50%ofheatenergy
InsomeregionstheconsumptionofheatexceedstheEUstandardby60%
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
30
Oneofthereasonsof ineffectiveconsumption isanobsoletehousingstock.Mostoftheexistinghousingstock(about85%)inUkrainewasbuiltbeforetheindependenceofUkraine.Mostbuildingswerenotdesignedforefficientheatconsumption.
Diagram5.16.The breakdownofresidentialbuildingsbytheyearsofconstructionasof01.01.2015
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
Despite the fact that the structureofhousing stockby the yearsof construction insomeEuropeancountriesdoesn'tdiffersignificantly,inthesecountriesthebuildingswererenovated.
Table5.2.ThebreakdownofbuildingsbytheyearsofconstructioninUkraineandEuropeancountriesasof2008
Periodofconstruction
Ukraine GermanyCzech
RepublicLithuania
Till1919 5% 14% 11% 6%
1919–1945 13% 14% 14% 23%
1946–1970 51% 46% 25% 33%
1971–1980 16% 13% 22% 18%
After1981 15% 13% 28% 20%
%referstothenumberofbuildings
Source:Report"MarketAssessment“ResidentialSectorofUkraine"
The housing stock shall be modernized in both apartment buildings and privatebuildings, as far as their share in the total housing stock is almost equal. AdditionaldataonthehousingstockisprovidedinAnnex3.
4.8%
11.5%
23.5%21.6%
14.4%
9.2%
4.2%
10.8%
Till1919 1919-45 1946-60 1961-70 1971-80 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-14
About85%ofthehousingstockisolderthan25years
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
31
Diagram5.18.Thebreakdownofhousingstockbytype,mln.m²
Source:Report"MarketAssessment“ResidentialSectorofUkraine"
Diagram5.19.Thebreakdownofhousingstockbytype,thsbuildings
Source:dataoftheStateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
5.4. Tariffsforcentralizedheatingandhotwatersupply
To fulfill obligations to the IMF the heating and gas tariffs are to reach themarketlevelbasedonimportgaspricefromApril2017.OfthetotalpaymentforHUSheatingisabout50%,butafterthemarketpricesettingthecostcouldriseupto60%.MoredetailedinformationisgiveninAnnex4.
Centralizedheatingtariff
Tariffsforcentralizedheatingdependonandaresensitivetochangesinpricesforgas,since the fuel price constitutes nearly 3/4 of the tariff, and for district heatingprovidersexactlynaturalgasisthemainfuel.
AfterNEURCtariffsreviewthestructureoftariffforcentralizedheatingwaschangedin April 2015. The share of gas increased significantly, while other costs remainedalmostthesame.Thus,thereviewoftariffsdidnotaffecttheformationofresourcesforinvestmentsatDHP.
Diagram5.20.Thestructureoftheaverageweightedcostofthermalenergyfortheneedsofthepopulationbeforeandafter01.04.2015
Source:NEURCdata
501
565
Appartmentbuildings
Privatebuildings
240
6 500
Appartmentbuildings
Privatebuildings
61,6%75,9%
21,4%12,4%
9,1% 7,1%7,9% 4,6%
before01.04.2015 after01.04.2015
Otherexpenditures
Electricalenergy
Costsoflabour
Fuel
Thereviewoftariffsdidnotimpactontheformationatenterprisesofresourcesforinvestment
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
32
According to the NEURC Resolution No1171 dated May 1, 2015 the centralizedheating tariffs were increased. These tariffs are determined for each heatorganization.
ItisworthnotingthatinrecentyearsthetariffsdidnotcoverthecostofheatenergyproductionforDHP,thedifferencebetweenthecostandtariffwascoveredwithlocalorstateBudgetintheformofgrants.
Diagram5.21.Dynamicpatternofaverageweightedtariffandthecostof1Gcalofheatenergy,UAH/Gcal
Source:Minregionadata,Workinggroupanalysis
Diagram5.22.Calculationofmarketheatingtariff,UAH/Gcal
Source:BudgetofUkraine2016,NEURCResolutionNo3159,1888,Workinggroupanalysis
Thetariffissegmentedbyconsumers.Budgetaryandcommercialconsumersactuallypay the market price for heat. The tariffs for the population and religiousorganizationsare2.3timesless.
Diagram 5.23. Imbalance of tariffs for different consumers as in the case of"Kyivenergo"in2015,UAH/Gcal
Source:Kyivenergodata
Inresultoftariffsegmentationsomeconsumershavetooverpayforothers,especiallyitisrelevanttotheunderstatedheatingenergytariffforthepopulation.
358,2 389,8654,2
1134,7
1513,0
475,5 509,2708,8
2013 2014 2015 2016О 2017О
Tariff(withVAT)
1Gcalcost
657,2 709,5
1 503,4 1 503,4
Population Religious Budgetary Otherconsumers
MarketheatingtariffisaboutUAH1513
Residentialtariffislessthanforbudgetaryinstitutions2.3timesless
+8,5%+68%
+33%
+73%
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
33
Diagram5.24.ComparisonofDHPrevenuesandthevolumeofsuppliedheatenergybyconsumersin2014
Source:Minregiondata
The tariff can be calculated in twoways: for customerswithmetering devices - forconsumed hihakalori, and for consumers metering devices - per square metercalculatedattherateof0.0245Gcal/monthforKyiv.
The price of centralized heating for the population remains one of the lowest inEurope.
Diagram5.25.Comparisonoftariffsforcentralizedheating,Euro/Gcal
Source:theIMFReport#15/218(August2015)
HeatenergytariffsarenonmarketableanddonotsolvetheproblemofDHPfinancialsecurity. Despite the increase in the average weighted tariff, the level of costreimbursementbythetariffremainsataboutthesamelevel-75%.
Hotwatersupplytariff
Inmostcasestheheatproducingcompaniesprovidethepopulationwithheatandhotwatersimultaneously.For this reason,hotwater tariffsareadopted inparallel withheattariffsindividuallyforeachcompany.
80,3%54.8%
4,4%
8,9%
9,5%
22,9%
5,8% 13,3%
Heatenergysupplied Revenuefromsales
population statebudgetaryinstitutionslocalbudgetaryinstitutions otherconsumers
96.3
77.8 75.0
55.6
24.1
Lithuania Estonia Romania Poland Ukraine
Tariffcoversonly75%ofheatenergycost
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
34
Diagram5.26.Dynamicsoftariffsforcentralizedhotwatersupplyof"Kyivenergo"forthepopulation(average),UAH.
Source:Kyivenergodata
Diagram5.27.Calculationofmarkettariffforhotwater,UAH/m3
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Theresidentialtariffisalmosttwicelessthanthetariffforbudgetaryinstitutionsandothercustomersandalmostthesamewithreligiousinstitutions.
Diagram5.28.Imbalanceintariffsfordifferentconsumersin2015,UAH.
Source:Kyivenergodata
5.5. Commercialmeteringandheatconsumptionnorms
There are a few ways of introducing heat metering on the basis of its actualconsumption.Itisworthnotingthatsomeofthem,exceptformeteringfunctions,alsoimprovethequalityofcentralizedheatingservices.
The model of connection to building meters allows consumers to pay for actuallyconsumedenergyenergy.However,themostperfectmodelistoconnectconsumersthroughindividualheatingstation(IHS)thatgivesthepossibilitytoperformmeteringandregulatethevolumeofenergysupplied.
ThroughtheprogramoftheMinregionjointlywithNEURCtheheatmeteringdevicesarebeinginstalledinhouses.Accordingtotheplanitisexpectedtoreach80%ofheatenergymeteringtilltheendof2016.Theinvestmentneedtoreach100%ofmeteringmakesupaboutUSD100million.
16.2424.24
40.92
65.85
87.80
2011 2014 2015 04.2016 04.2017
39,91 40,92
79,44 79,44
Religious Population Budgetary Otherconsumers
Markettariffforhotwaterisabout~88UAH/m3
ModelofconnectionwithIHPensuresthemeteringandincreasesthequalityofcentralizedheatingservices
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
35
Diagram5.29.Equipmentofbuildingswithheatmeteringdevices
Source:Minregiondata
Theintroductionofcommercialmeteringsolvesthefollowingproblems:
• Obtaining accurate data on service consumption that will give NEURC thepossibilitytosetreasonablerates.
• Households will pay the reasonable cost of consumed services rather thanundertheratesestablishedbythestate.
• Cash flows coming from the population to service providers will becometransparent.
• Thepopulationwillbestimulatedtoreduceenergyconsumptionandimproveenergyefficiencyinbuildingsandhomes.
Also, increasing energy efficiency by introducing heat metering is one of theconditions forgrantingUkraine the third tranche fromthe IMF.Thenationalenergyefficiencyactionplantill2020envisagestoreach100%ofheatandwatermeteringby2019.
Forbetterefficiencyof fundsuse it is reasonable to install IHPs, since inaddition toheatmeteringitsavesabout15-20%ofheat.
About64%ofhotwater is consumed throughtmeters andonly ~50%of residentialbuildings, which are connected to centralized heating, have metering devices.
38%51%
80%
2014 2015 2016F
Bytheendof2016itisplannedtoreach80%ofheatenergymetering.
IHPsallowtosaveabout15-20%ofconsumedheat
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
36
Diagram5.30.Equipmentofbuildingswiththedevicestometerheat(01.01.2016)andhotwaterconsumption(30.03.2015)
Source:Minregiondata
TheRulesforprovisionofcentralizedheatandhotwatersupplyareregulatedbytheNEURC Resolution No 630. Thus, if the building is equipped with heat meteringdevices,itsdwellerspayonthebasisofmeterreadings.Incasethemeteringdevicesarenotavailablethepaymentforconsumedservicesischarged:
• from centralized heating – under rates (norms) per 1 square meter andconsideringtheactualoutdoortemperatureandactualnumberofdaysoftheserviceprovision;
• fromcentralizedwatersupply–underrates(norms)basedonpercapitaandhomesteading.
The norms for utilities are unreasonably high, consequently, themajority of peoplewithoutmeteringdeviceshavetopaymorethantheyconsume.
Diagram5.31.AverageheatsupplynormsinUkraine,Gcal/m2
Source:KTM204Ukraine244-94.Reportontheresearchwork"Developmentofscientific-basedproposalsonsettingofsocialconsumptionrates"
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
KirovohradDnipropetrovsk
Kyivregion
Vinnytsya
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakarpattya
Ivano-Frankivsk
Kyivcity Chernigiv Summy
PoltavaCharkiv
Cherson
Odessa
Mykolaiv
Cherkassy
Khmelnytsk
Rivne
Ternopil
Chernivtsi
51%64%
Heatsupply Hotwater
67% 64%
34% 61%
41% 54%37%
71%
31%
100%
60% 67%
46%84%
46%79%
40%100%
14% 23%
73% 85%
68% 98%
32% 19%
24%51%
45% 41%41% 52%
7%57%
56% 31%
50% 32%
62% 65%
27% 44%
31%
66% 62%70% 62%
Aviability ofmeteringdevices
-
0.140
0.129
Consumptionnorm Evaluationofrealconsumption
Heatsupplyrateshavenotbeenchangedsince1993
Apersonthatlivesinthebuildingwithoutheatmeteroverpaysabout10%
Peoplewithoutmeteringdeviceshavetopayunderunreasonablyhighratesofconsumption
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
37
Diagram5.32.AveragenormsofhotwaterconsumptioninUkraine,m3/monthpercapita
Source:KMSAResolutionNo579.Reportontheresearchwork"Developmentofscientific-based
proposalsonsettingsocialconsumptionrates"
Diagram5.33.Comparisonofwater(hot+cold)consumptionwithothercountries,m3/monthpercapita
Source: Report on the research work "Development of scientific-based proposals on settingsocialconsumptionrates"
Theratesofheatenergyandhotwaterconsumptionareoutdatedandexaggerated.In addition, the consumption rate concept leads to the fact that the people do nothaveany incentivesforenergyefficiency.Thus,theensuringof100%ofheatenergymeteringisaprerequisiteforfurtherreformofcentralizedheatingsector.
5.6Thecapacityofcentralizedheatingmarket
The capacity of centralized heating market in consumer prices grows, despite thedecrease in heat energy supply. It should benoted that having applied themarkettariffs,thecapacityofcentralizedheatingmarketmayincreasemorethan2times.
Diagram5.34.OverallcapacityofcentralizedheatingmarketinUkraine,billionUAH
Source:Minregiondata,Workinggroupanalysis
1,652,8
3,6
RealaverageconsumptioninUkraine
NormofconsumptioninKyiv AveragenormofUkraine
1.7 1.8 2.4 2.51.8
3.6
Netherlands Spain Belarus England AveragevalueinWesternEurope
Ukraine(norm)
29.6
69.5
2015 2017
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
38
6. Analysisoftheschemeofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingforthepopulation
Thesystemofmutualsettlementsforheatconsumedbythepopulationandrelevantgas supplies has significant "gaps" in liquidity due to fail of the state to fulfill itscommitmentsonHUSsubsidypaymentanddifferenceintariffs.Bythis,theburdenofliquidity"gaps"fallsonDHP:
•Asof01.01.2016thestatedebtonHUSsubsidyisUAH7.7billion,includingUAH1.1billiondebttoDHP.
•Asof01.01.2016 the statedebt fordifference in tariffs isUAH4.7billion,including UAH 1.8 billion debt to DHP. The Budget 2016 does not envisagesubsidiesforthedifferenceintariffs,sothedebtwillgrow.
•According toNaftogaz theDHPandTEP debt for gas in2015 isUAH4.0billion, thus it can be paid by 73% (UAH 2.9 billion) due to the debts forsubsidiesanddifferenceintariffs.
The existing regulations additionally "punish" DHP for debts caused by the state'sfailuretofulfillitscommitmentsinteralia.
• Newprocedure under reviewed CMUResolutionNo 217,which comes intoforce from February 2016, introduces corrective coefficients depending onDHP debts for gas that arise due to the state debts for HUS subsidies anddifference in tariffs. These coefficients reduce the share of "real" moneyreceivedbyDHP.Thesecorrectioncoefficientsactually leaveDHPwithout funds foroperatingactivities-insomecasesDHPreceiveonlyaminimalshare(Sm)inpaymentsfortaxesandwages.
• The reviewed CMU Resolution No 217 envisages the mechanism to"transform" the share of subsidies to "real" cash flow for DHP. But themechanismhassignificant implementationrisks, so it isunknownwhether itwillfunctioneffectively.
6.1. AnalysisofdeadlinetopayforcentralizedheatconsumedbythepopulationandNaftogazgassuppliestoDHP
• DHPhavetopayforgasbefore(tillthe14thday)theyreceivepaymentsfromcustomers(mostlyonthe15th-25thday)andmutualsettlementforgaswithsubsidies(beforethe24thday)ismadethat"washesout"thecurrentassetsofDHP.
• There is an imbalance in charging penalties for non-payment, i.e. Naftogazcharges a penalty for the delay in payments for gas, but the penalty is notchargedtothepopulationforfailuretopayforconsumedheat.
MutualsettlementsforHUSsubsidiesonthebasisofCommonDecisionProtocol(CDP)(CMUResolution20,OrderoftheMinenergyandMinfinNo493/688)
• Frequencyandtimeframeworkformutualsettlementsarenotregulated.Anyof the parties (Treasury, Naftogaz or business) can not sign CDP, then themutualpaymentswillnotbemade.
Theexistingsystemofpaymentsforheatleadstodecreaseinsystemliquidity
DHPhavetopayforgasbeforegettingpaymentsfromcustomersandmutualsettlementforgaswithsubsidiesismadethat"washesout"thecurrentassetsofDHP
Mutualsettlementsforsubsidiesarecarriedoutwith1monthdelay
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
39
• Providedthatallthepartiesareinterestedinamutualsettlement,itismadewith1monthdelayfollowingthemonthwhentheserviceswereprovided.
• CertainDHPinacertainmonthmayhaveseveralsettlementsandsignedCDP(afewmutualsettlement"chains" orone"chain"settlementcanbedividedintoseveralCPD)
Diagram6.1.TermsofmutualsettlementsforsubsidieschargedforJanuary2016(comparedtothepaymentsforconsumedgas)
Source:MinregionandKyivenergodata
Householdpaymentsforconsumedheat(CMUResolutionsNo217andNo630)
• AccordingtotheCMUResolutionNo630incaseoffailuretopayforheattillthe20thday,"consumershallpayapenaltyintheamountenvisagedbytheLawandagreement".ButneithertheLawnoragreementprovidesthepenaltyamount,forthisreasonitisnotchargedinpractice.
Diagram6.2.TermsofhouseholdpaymentforheatinJanuary2016(comparedtothepaymentsforconsumedgas)
Sourc:MinregionandKyivenergodata
NaftogazchargesapenaltytoDHPforgasdebtsbutthepenaltyisnotchargedtothepopulationforfailuretopayforconsumedheat
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
40
6.2. Schemeofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingforhouseholds
Therearetwosourcesofpaymentsforcentralizedheatingandgasforhouseholds:
• HouseholdpaymentscometospecialaccountsinOschadbank,andthentheyaredistributedbetweenDHP,RGCandNaftogaz(CMUResolutionNo217)
• HUS subsidies, which are, actually, the mutual settlements between thesupplychainandStateBudget(CMUResolutionNo20andjointOrderoftheMinenergyandMinfinNo493/688)
In2015therewasamechanismtopaythedifferenceintariffs,butin2016itdoesnotwork,becausetheBudgetfor2016doesnotprovidetheappropriatefunds(seePart7.4).
Diagram6.3.Simplifiedschemeofcentralheatingsettlements
Source:CMUResolutionNo217,CMUResolutionNo20,OrderoftheMinenergyandMinfinNo493/688,Minregiondata,Workinggroupanalysis
• DHPmaycarryoutmutualsettlementsonHUSsubsidieswithexpendituresforgasorelectricity.
• TheStateBudgetcarriesoutmutualsettlementsonHUSsubsidieswithtaxesfromNaftogazandUkrgazvydobuvannya.
• Since February 2016 (after the introductioin of amendments to the CMUResolution No 217 in December 2015) the mutual settlements for HUSsubsidies also influence the share of "real"money received byDHP from aspecial account - themoreBudget debt for subsidies to theDHP, the lessshareof"real"moneyreceivedbyDHPfromconsumers(seeAnnex5).
• Thechainofmutualsettlementsmayhavemoreparties,butitstartswithDHPandendswithNaftogazorUkrgazvydobuvannya.
• TheschemeofmutualsettlementsforhouseholdgassuppliesdifferswiththeabsenceofDHP-theBudgetcarriesoutamutualsettlementwithOblgaz(gassupplier).
Mutualsettlementsoccuronlyifthereareliabilities
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
41
6.3. AlgorithmformutualpaymentswithHUSsubsidies
• AllthepartiesareobligedtohaveopenaccountsattheStateTreasuryofUkraineformutualsettlements.
• If at any stage of the chain there are no corresponding liabilities, the mutualsettlementsdonottakeplacethatcausesthedelaysinHUSsubsidypayment
• BeforetheTreasury"issues"fundsforsubsidiesitreceivescommitmentsfromallthe parties to carry out mutual settlements in the form of Common ProtocolDecision.
• Maximumtermof"transfer"fromonepartytoanotheris1businessday.
Diagram 6.4. Algorithm of mutual payments (on the example of DHP settlementpaymentsforgas)
Source: CMUResolutionNo 20, Order of theMinenergy andMinfinNo 493/688,Minregiondata,Workinggroupanalysis
6.4. DebttoDHCforcompensationinthedifferenceoftariffs
Tariffsforheatandotherutilityservicesaregenerallylowerthanrealexpendituresofutilityenterprises:
• NEURCishappentoreviewtariffswithadelayaftertheincreaseinthecostofelectricity,wagesandothercomponents.Moreover,thereviewproceduremaylastupto2months;
• Thevolumeofheatgenerationmaybelessthanitisplannedintariffthatentailstheincreaseinheatunitcost;
Therefore,accordingtotheLU"OnHUS"andtheLU"OnHeatSupply"thestatehastocompensate the difference in tariffs. In 2015 there was a mechanism (CMUResolution No 375) that envisaged subventions from the State Budget for thesepurposes and a relevantmutual settlement of subventions with DHP taxes and/ orsettlement for gas with Naftogaz. For 2015 the State Budget allocated UAH 5600million for subventions (theMinregion is an administrator of these subventions), infactthemutualpaymentsweremadetotheamountofUAH4800million.
Budget
DHC
Gassupplier
Naftogaz
Ukrgazvydobu-vannya
ThesubsidytotheaccountintheTreasury
Treasury
SignedbyeachpartyCommonprotocoldecisionwiththe
obligationtoperformacertainamountof
settlement
12
Theordertotransfersubsidies
3
4
5
6
7Taxes
“Payment”forgasintheTreasuryaccount
“Payment”forgasintheTreasuryaccount
“Payment”forgasintheTreasuryaccount
TheBudgetfor2016doesnotenvisagesfundstoreimbursedifferenceintariffstoDHP
ThestatedebtforreimbursementofdifferenceintariffstoDHPasof01.01.2016isaboutUAH1.8billion
MutualpaymentsaremadethroughtheTreasuryaccounts
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
42
Asof01.01.2016thestatedebtforreimbursementofdifferenceintariffsamountedtoUAH4762million,includingUAH1760milliondebttoDHP.
The budget for 2016 does not envisage subventions to pay debts for difference intariffs, thus for2016 there isnoanymechanismtopay thedebts thatwill continuegrowinginthefuture.
6.5. Analysisofaccumulateddebtsinthesector
The result of non-market regulated relations in the sector was a significantaccumulationofdebtsforheatandgasforitsproduction:
Diagram6.5.Debtsinthesectofasof01.02.2016
Source:dataofNaftogas,Minregiondata,StateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
6.6. Suggestedapproachtodebtrestructuring
Restructuringofexistingdebtisoneofthenecessarystepstofinancialrecoveryofthesector, which is a prerequisite for industry modernization. But to avoid theaccumulation of new debts in the future, the system to regulate relations in thesectorhastobeadaptedtomarketrealities:
Diagram6.6.Suggestedapproachtofinancialrecoveryofthesector
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Acomprehensiveapproachwillallowtoavoidtheaccomulationofdebtsinthefuture
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
43
7. DHCinvestmentneedsandexpectedeffect
7.1. Assessmentofoverallinvestmentneeds
The possible reduction of natural gas consumption provided the rehabilitation ofbuildingsandmodernizationofDHCis5billionm³peryear.
Firstofall,itisnecessarytocarryoutthemeasuresthatwillhavethegreatesteffectandhelptoavoidthebiggestexpendituresinthenetwork.
Table7.1.Preliminaryassessmentofoverallinvestmentneeds
SectorInvestment
needs
Gasconsumptionreductionpotential
ReductioningasconsumptionbyUSD1billion
Rehabilitationofmultistorybuildings
USD17billion 2.3billionm³ 135mlnm³
Rehabilitationofpublicbuildings
USD2billion 0.3billionm³ 150mlnm³
Modernizationofheatproductionsystemandnetworks
USD3billion 1.1billionm³ 366mlnm³
Modernizationandreplacementofheatnetworks
USD3billion 1.3billionm³ 433mlnm³
Total ~USD25billion 5.0billionm³ 200mlnm³
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Themost efficient use of funds can be achievedwith the help ofmodernized heatproductionsystemsandheatnetworks.Therefore,DHPmodernizationshallbeoffirstprioritytoimprovetheefficiencyofgasconsumption.
7.2. Assessmentofminimalinvestmentneedstomodernizeheatnetworks
Accordingtopreliminaryassessmentsthetotalnumberofheatnetworksinneedofrepairorreplacementis60%.TheminimuminvestmentamountforthesepurposesisuptoUSD1billion,theeffectofwhichcouldreachannualgassavingsofmorethan500millionm³.
TheminimuminvestmentamountformodernizationofheatnetworksisaboutUSD1billion
OverallinvestmentneedisaboutEUR25billion
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
44
Diagram7.1.AssessmentoffirstpriorityneedsfordifferenttypesofrepairandreplacementofheatsystemsinUkraine
Source:Minregiondata
7.3. Assessmentoffirstprioirityinvestmentsinthereplacementofboilers
ThemonitoringresultsshowedthatthetotalnumberofNIISTU-5boilersis4332.Thistype of boilers is the least effective, for this reason it shall be replaced in the firstpriority.Theestimatedcost isUSD86million.Reduction ingasconsumptioncanbeover160millionm³/year.
Diagram7.2.NumberofNIISTU-5boilersandthecostoftheirreplacement
Source:Minregiondata
Lugansk
Donetsk
Zaporizzya
KirovohradDnipropetrovsk
Kyivregion
Vinnytska
Zhytomyr
Volyn
Lviv
Zakerpattya
Ivano-Frankivsk
379
29441%
13%6%
3153
10%
30%20%
1628
11%
30%19%
37633%
17%11%
6337%
14% 9%
1366
24%30%
6%
320
23%30%
7%
101438%
21%
1%
60526% 30%
4%
835
19%30%
11%
387
12%
30%
11%
2676
11%
30%
11%
Kyivcity
Chernigiv Sumy
Poltava
Charkiv
ChersonOdessa
Mykolaiv
Cherkassy
Chmelnytskiy
Rivne
Ternopil
Chernivtsi
1083
51%
6% 3%
416
8%
30%22%
63627% 30%
3%
429
10%
30%20%
71441%
16%3%
31936%
17%7%
207330%
16% 14%
305
14%
30%
16%
58324%
30%
6%
550
21%30%
19%
286
11%
30%19%
60730%
14% 17%
50%
30%20%
23% 25%
12%
Worn-outandunsafe
Needreplacementby
previouslyisolated
Engineeringcommissioningofresidentialbuildings
21096kmtotallengthofheatingnetworks
ForecastedinvestmentamountforNIISTU-5boilersreplacementisaboutUSD86million
Consumptionreduceisover160mlnm³/year
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
45
8. ThecurrentstateofDHPinvestmentprojectsandbarrierstotheirimplementation
8.1. Analysisofcompletedinvestmentworksatheatproductionin2015
Completedworksareaimedatreplacingnaturalgasconsumptionin2015
Diagram8.1.Sourcesforfundingworksonthereplacementofnaturalgasconsumption(totalUSD286million)
Source:Minregiondata
Diagram8.2.Numberofboilerhousesandnewboilersredirectedtoalternativefuels(total801)
Source:Minregiondata
MoredetailedinformationonthereductionandreplacementofgasconsumptionisgiveninAnnex6and7.InformationonfacilitiesthatusealternativefuelsisgiveninAnnex8.
Diagram8.3.Numberofboilersredirectedtoalternativefuelsin2015andexpectedvolumeofnaturalgassubstitution
Source:Minregiondata
17%
16%
18%12%
37%
StatebudgetRegionalbudgetLocalbudgetDHPfundsOther(grants,privateinvestments,etc.)
72%
13%
3%7% 5%
Wood/pellet/woodchipsCoalBiomassOilfuel
UAH286millionwasinvestedinredirectionofboilersandboilerhousestoalternativefuels
Hencetheconsumptionofgaswasreducedby52mlnm³/yeartotheamountofaboutUAH290million(atgasimportpriceofUSD225)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
46
Worksaimedatreducingnaturalgasconsumptionin2015
Diagram8.4.Numberofmodernizedboilerhousesandboilers
Source:Minregiondata
Diagram8.5.Sourcesforfundingmeasurestoreducenaturalgasconsumption(totalUAH183mln)
Source:Minregiondata
Diagram8.6.Completedworksonreducingnaturalgasconsumptionin2015
Source:Minregiondata
483
901
numberofboilerhouses
Numberofboilers
5% 4%
16%
53%
18%
StatebudgetRegionalbudgetLocalbudgetDHPfundsOther(grants,privateinvestments,etc.)
Themostcurrentprogrammesare
aimedatDHPmodernizationand
rehabilitationofpublicbuildings
UAH183millioninvestedinmodernizationofboilersandboilerhouses
Hencetheconsumptionofgaswasreducedby28mln.m³/yeartotheamountofaboutUAH150mln.(atgasimportpriceofUSD225)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
47
8.2. Analysisofprogrammesonenergyefficiencyofheatproduction,distributionandconsumption
A few national, donor and IMF programmes on funding the energy efficiencymeasuresarebeingimplementedordevelopedinUkraine.Thekeyinstitutionsthatmanagetheseprogrammesarethefollowing:
• SAEEandNEURCfromthesideofstate• EBRD,IBRD,EIB,KfW,NEFKO,Е5Р,SIDAfromthesideofIMFanddonors
Despite the fact that the greatest investment need is in the residential sector, themostprogrammesarefocusedonupgradingofdistrictheatingproviders.
Diagram 8.7. Assessment of investment potential of existing programmes, millionUSD
Source:officialinformation,Workinggroupanalysis
In practice from the existing USD 1 billion for the projects aimed at DHCmodernization or rehabilitation of public buildings in the active phase there is notmorethan30%ofthisamount(seeParts9.2and9.3).
ThelistofinvestmentprogrammesisgiveninAnnex9.ThelistoftechnicalassistanceprogrammesisgiveninAnnex10.
ProgrammesforDHCmoderniationandrehabilitationofpublicbuildings
Theoverallfinancialpotentialforupgradingdistrictheatingprovidersandrenovationof public buildings in the framework of current programmes is USD 1 billion that isabout12.5%oftotalinvestmentneedsinthissector.
TheseprogrammesaremanagedbyIFIanddonors(EBRD,IBRD,EIB,KfW,NEFKO,Е5Р,SIDA)andareusuallystructuredinoneoftwoways:
1. Financingprogrammesagainstthestateguaranteesandwiththeinvolvementof central executive authorities (Minfin,Minregion, CMU, etc.). Examples ofsuchprogrammesare"Improvingenergyefficiencyinthesectorofcentralizedheatsupply" (IBRD)and"Municipal InfrastructureDevelopmentProgramme"(EIB).
2. Financingtheprojectsagainstmunicipalguaranteeswithouttheinvolvementofcentralexecutiveauthorities.Forexample,EBRDprojectsonfinancingtheupgradingofdistrictheatingproviders.
75250
750
Rehabilitationofresidentialbuildings
Rehabilitationofpublicbuildings
ModernizationofDHCs
ProgrammesforDHPmodernizationandrehabilitationofpublicbuildingsarefinancedagainstthestateormunicipalguarantees
PotentionalfundingofexistingprogrammesisUSD1billion
Theprojectsarefinancedagainstthestateand/ormunicipalguarantees
Mostprogrammesarefocusedonmodernization
ofdistrictheatingcompaniesorrehabilitationofpublic
buildings
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
48
Diagram8.8.Schemetoprovidestateguarantees
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Financing against the state guarantees requires complicated and long-termproceduresdeterminedbybothUkrainianlegislationandIFIrules:
Diagram8.9.Theprocessofprojectselection(usingtheexampleofIBRDfinancingprogramme)
Source:Minregiondata
Minregion asresponsibleministryannounces
theselectionofprojects
Utilitycompany(UC)developsprojectjustificationfollowing theIBRDelements,which
isapprovedbythemunicipal councilsession
Minfin providestheconclusionon
UCfinancialstatus(onthebasisof
creditterms)
ExpertWorkinggroup(Minregion, Minfin,MEDT,
NERC,publiccouncil)considersprojects
CMUapprovesthelistofprojectsandauthorizestosigntheLoanAgreement
Minfin,Minregion and IBRD signtheLoanAgreement
UC,Minfin,Minregion and NERC signsub-loanagreements
1
2 3
4
5
6
7
Potentialofexistinginvestmentprogrammesisusedby~30%
Theprocessofprojectselectiontakesmorethan1year
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
49
Theprojectselectionprocessmaytakemorethanoneyear,dependingonthequalityof existing DHP covered by the projects. Also, if it is necessary to undergo theprocedureundertheCMUResolutionNo1027(itisoptionalprovidedtheVerkhovnaRadaofUkraineratifiedtheagreementwiththeIMF),theprocedureperiodisabout1yearmore.
Diagram 8.10. Project initiation (selection and approval) according to the CMUResolutionNo1027
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Moreover, theprocessof tendersandpreparation forpayments to contractorsmaytakeabout1.5year.
ImplementationoftheprocedureundertheCMUResolutionNo1027complicatestheprocessandincreasestheperiodofprojectselectionandapprovalforabout1year
Theprocessoftendersandpreparationforpaymentstocontractorsmaytakeabout1.5year
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
50
Diagram 8.11. Duration of the procedure for tenders and contract payments (7-18months)
Source:Minregiondata
AlsoaccordingtotheCMUResolutionNo560theapprovalperioddependsontheprojectcostanditis2monthsmore,ifthecostexceedsUAH100million:
Diagram8.12.ProjectjustificationapprovalundertheCMUResolutionNo560
Source:Minregiondata
The efficiency of project implementation depends on the teamwork of all partiesinvolved to the process. The important role is played by the Central ProjectManagementGroup (CPMG) and theRegional ProjectManagementGroups (RPMG)buttheactivitiesofCPMGarefinancedbytheprogram(itis1-2%ofthetotalprogramamount),andtheRPMG-byownfundsofutilitycompanies(UC).Therefore,asarule,theRPMGcompetenceismuchlowercomparedtoCPMG.
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
51
Diagram8.13.Operationalstructureofprojectimplementation
Source:Minregiondata
TheMinistryofFinanceofUkraineplaysanimportantroleintheprocessofprojectfunding.
Diagram8.14.Schemeofprojectfunding
Source:Minregiondata
CPMGandRPMGplayanimportantroleinprojectimplementation,butCPMGisfinancedbytheprogramme,andRPMG-byownfundsofutilitycompanies
TheMinfinplaysanimportantroleintheprocessofprojectfunding
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
52
8.3. IBRDprogrammeeffeciency
TheProgramme"Enhancingenergyefficiencyinthesectorofcentralizedheatsupply"(UDHEEP)hascovered8citiesofUkrainethatwillgivethepossibilityto reducefueluseby108millionm3/year.Totalfinancingforimplemenationofapprovedprojectsis USD 290.9 million. More detailed information on the work performed and theexpectedresultsisprovidedinAnnex11.
Diagram8.15.GeographyofUDHEEPfinancingandresults
Source:CPMGdata
Table8.1.KefeaturesofUDHEEPProgramme
DateofprojectapprovalbytheIBRD 22.05.2014
Currentfunding,including USD315.5million
IBRDloan USD265.5million
CleanTechnologiesFundloan USD50million
Expectedinternalrateofreturn(IRR) 17.2%Source:ProjectjustificationandCPMGdata
ProgrammefundingisprovidedbytheEBRDandtheCTFatlowrates-1%.However,theloanisgivenindollars,whichincreasestheriskofnon-paymentincaseofhryvniadevaluation.Thisisoneofthemainrisksintheprovisionoffundingbydonors.
Kharkiv
107,3
Dnipropetrovsk
22,2
Kherson
21,6Mykolaiv
21,7
Vinnytsia
43,3
Kamenets-Podilskiy
15,3
Chernigiv
34,9
Ternopil
24,6
Totallyselectedprojects
290,9 USDmln
108mln m³/yearFuelsaving(ingas
equivalent)
60,8%Reduceinpowerconsumption
11,9%ReduceinСО2
emissions
UDHEEPProgrammewillgivethepossibilitytoreducefueluseby108millionm3/year(gasequivalent)
Partofthefundsremainsunallocated
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
53
Diagram8.16.DistributionoffundsinUDHEEPProgramme
Source:CPMGdataasof15.01.16
Diagram8.17.TermsofUDHEEPProgrammefinancing
Source:CPMGdataasof15.01.16
8.4. TheintroductionofprocurementsforprojectimplemenationontheexampleofSweden
ToensureatransparentfundingofDHPmodernizationandupgradefromthesideofthe stateandMFIs theProcurementAgenciesexist andareestablished in countriessuchasSwedenandtheUK.TheAgencyisanon-profitinstitutionthatconnectsutilityorganizationsandsuppliersofequipmentorservices.
Along-termgoalistoincreasetheproductqualityandenhancestandardizationlevelthatwillmakeservicescompetitiveandmoreefficient.
Table8.2.TheAgencybenefitsforvariousmarketplayers
Benefitsforutilitycompanies: Benefitsforsuppliers: Benefitsforthestate:
• Easier attraction ofinternational and publicfunding
• Access to the bestcorrelation of price andequipment/ serviceeffectiveness
• Better guarantee of contactexecution
• The current procurementmethodology of the Agencycanimplementinnovations
• Use the establishedconnections
• Reducing operatingcosts
• Reducing berries tothemarket
• Access to the "widemarket"
• Single entry point tothemarket
• Simplified attraction ofinternationalinvestors
• Transparant purchasesystem
• Simplified controlprocedure
• Corruptionprevention• Facilitating the orverall
energy sectormodernization
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Agencyacceleratesthemarketingofnewenergyefficiencytechnologiesthathelpstosolvetheenergydependenceproblem.Inturn,theDHPhavetherighttopurchasewithoutAgency.
290,9
5,51,1
18
Subprojects CPMGbudget
Up-frontcommission Unallocatedamount
0,25%
0,79% 0,75%
0,45%
IBRDcreditingterms СТFcreditingterms
Initialup-frontcommission Interestratecommissionformanagement
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
54
Diagram8.18.GeneraldataoftheSwedishProcurementAgency“Värmek”
Source:Värmekdata
TheprocessofsuchAgencylaunchinginUkrainemaytakeabout1year.
8.5. BarrierstotheimplementationofDHPmodernizationprojects
Thekeybarrierstoprojectfundingand implementationofafullpotentialofexistingprogrammesofIFOanddonorsare:
LackofexpertiseatthelocalleveltodraftprojectdocumentsandimplementprojectsfollowingtheIFOrequirements.
The IFOs require organizaional and technical specifications to the project andborrower, including the project registration. Unfortunately, only a few DHP haveappropriate competence and experience of coopeation with internationalorganizations.Thiscausesdelays inproject implementationandsignificantly reducesthenumberofDHPparticipatinginsuchprogrammes.
DebtsofutilitycompaniesandnewlegislationonDHCaccountblockingbyNaftogaz
ThenewLawNo423-VIIIwasadoptedonMay14,2015tostabilizethefinancialstateofNaftogaz.UnderthisLawNaftogazcanautomaticallycollectpaymentsfromcentralheatprovidersandblocktheiraccountsiftheyhaveoverdueliabilities.Consequently,Naftogaz has blocked the bank accounts of some central heat provides (includingZhytomyr,LutskandLviv).Thisnewlegislationwillaffectmoreorlessallthecentralheat providers inUkraine and significantly limit their running costs. In addition, thenewLawallowsNaftogaz to sell theDHPdebtsandassets to thirdparties thatmayleadtotheDHPshadowprivatization.
OnetheconsequencesofthisLawisthatIFOsordonorswillnotprovideloansand/orgrants to DHP if there is a risk that these fundswill be used to repay old debts toNaftogaz.The CMU Resolution "On amending the Resoluton of the Cabinet ofMinisters of Ukraine No 217" dated December 29, 2015 significantly increases theliquidityofNaftogazandreducesthelevelofcurrentassetsremainingatthedisposalofheatgenerating/heatsupplycompanies,usingthemechanismofconsideratoinof"calculaiton level" rate when calculating the ratio of funds transferring from theaccountswithaspecialusemodeofheatgenerating/heatsupplycompanies.
ThebasisforapprovalofanyinvestmentprogrammeistheprocedureforaprovingbyjointOrderoftheMinregionNo630andregulatorResolutonNo381.Thereareafewproblemswiththecurrentprocedure:
• The procedure directly contradicts the IFO procurement rules because itrequires a detailed project documentation and prices (even the names ofspecificmanufacturers)beforeatenderisannounced.
• The procedure requires to provide detailed calculations and projectdocuments for each object, such as a boiler house, pipeline section orindividualheatingunit(IHU)thattakesalotoftime.
Draftdocumentsshallcomplywiththeinternationalstandards
TheblockingsofDHPaccountsbyNaftogazdoesnotallowtofinanceprojects
Theintroductionofaccountswith“special”usemodeandcertainprioritiesincalculationsdecreasestheDHPliquidity
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
55
• Despite themergerof two regulatorsover a year ago, theDHP still have toprovideandprotecttwoseparate investmentprojects:oneproject is forgasboilerhouses,pipelines,etc.,andanotheroneisforcogenerationplantsandalternativesourcesofheat supply, suchasboilerhousesusingbiomass. It isnot convenient and demotivates DHP to develop the alternative sources ofheatsupply.
• Applyingproceduralprovisions, theregulatoralsoobjects to the inclusionofindividualheatingunits(IHU)totheDHPinvestmentprojectssayingthatthismeasuredoesnotprovidedirectfinancialbenefits.ItmeansthatDHPdonotwant to co-finance the IHU, since they can not recover the costs throughtariffs.
• To approve investments the Minregon is still using the outdated buildingstandards.Moreover, the Internationalagreementsshallbealignedwith theEuropean standards (for instance, FIDIC) to facilitate the implementation ofprojects.
AdoptionofcentralheattariffsbytheregulatorandhryvniadevaluationagainstUSDandEUR
Timely and reasonable tariff amendments remain a key regulatory risks for all DHPimplementingtheprojectsattheexpenseofIFOloanfunds.TheNEURCrarelyadoptstariffsintimethatwouldallowtoservicetheDHPdebts.Thisproblemisexacerbatedintheconditionsofnationalcurrencydevaluation,asfarastheIFOloansareinUSDoreuro.
VATandcustomsexemptionsforthegrantfinancialcomponent
Exemption from taxes and customs duties on grants and loans has been officiallyenacted,butseveralobstaclesstillremain.Article3.2oftheTaxCodeofUkraineandthe relevant international treaties ratified by the Ukrainian parliament allow theexemption from taxes and duties on the purchase of goods, materials, works andserviceswith the use of grant funds.However, this exception is only at the level ofgeneralcontractoranddoesnotpenetratetothelevelofsubcontractors.Thereisnomechanism to reclaim VAT paid by Ukrainian subcontractors. Thus, the currentlegislation discriminates Ukrainian subcontractors and provides a competitiveadvantagetointernationalcontractorsorserviceproviders.
Approvalofmunicipalguarantees
Theprocessofapprovingmunicipalguaranteeshasbeengreatly improvedthankstocooperationwith theMinistry of Finance. However, it should bemore rational. Forexample,theMinistryofFinancehasrecentlybeguntorequiretheutilitycompaniesto provide: (I) mortgages in municipalities and (II) meetings of the special tendercommittees, which preliminary selected the investment projects following theprocedureapprovedbytheCMUbeforethemunicipalguaranteesareprovided.
In fact, both requirements areunnecessary.As to the first requirement,utilities areowned by respective municipalities and in most cases they only manage municipalproperty, so utilities can not pledge the property of their owner, in addition, thisrequirement is beyond thebindingnormsof theBudgetCodeofUkraine.As to thesecond requirement, it was initially intended for investment projects supported by
Hryvniadevaluationcreatesadditionalrisks
CurrentlegislationdiscriminatesUkrainiansubcontractors
Theprocedureforapprovingmunicipalguaranteescontainsextrarequirements
Theinvestmentprogrammeapprovalprocedureneedssomeimprovals
SometimesMFIloanfundsareblockedintheaccountsoftheTreasury
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
56
sovereign guarantees. However, because of outdated definition of state support inArticle 12-1 of the Law on investment ativities, this requirement is automaticallyconnected to the localprojects supportedbymunicipal guarantees, although it fullycontradictsthedecentralizationreform,whichisimplementedbytheGovernmentofUkraine.
DelaysinpaymentsforStateTreasurydebtservicing
ThisproblemisrelatedtocrisisresponseforprioritypaymentsbytheResolutoinNo65 of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine (CMU) and Resolution No 160 of theNational Bank ofUkraine (NBU). These Laws affect cash flows, since sometimes theIFOloanfundsareblockedintheaccountsoftheTreasuryandmunicipalclientscannotaccessresourcestouseandservicetheloans.
Theexistingschemeofpaymentsforcentralheatingforthepopulation(theCMUNo217) and late mutual payments for HUS subsidies and difference in tariffs causesignificant risks to DHP operation financing and central heat sector functioning ingeneral.
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
57
9. LegalregulationofHUSmarket
9.1. Legislativeframework
Themarketofhousingandutilitiesservicesisregulatedbythestate,butabignumberofnormativeandlegalactsmakestheregulationsystemcomplexanddisordered(>50NLA). Themain regulators are theCabinetofMinistersofUkraine and independentNationalEnergyandUtilitiesRegulatoryCommission(NEURC).
Table9.1.Authoritypowersinhousingandutilitiessector
CMU NEURC Minregion
Sets:
• a tariff formationprocedure
• rules for serviceprovisonanduse
• the generalprocedure forserviceprovisionandpaymentforit
• resourceconsumptionrates
• responsibilities ofvarious marketplayers
• the overall actionstrategy of thegovernment
Sets:
• thelicenseconditionsandlicensestheactivitiesofheatcompanies
• tariff formation methods andtariffs
• rules and framework agreementson the use of heat and watersupplynetworks
• procedure of payment forconnection
• calculates ratios of funds transferfrom special accounts on amonthlybasis
Developslegalframeworkon:
• HUS price/ tariff formation(excludingHUSwhere tariffs aresetbytheNEURC)
• standards, ratios, norms,proceduresandrulesinHUSarea
• upkeep, current and capitalrepairs, reconstruction ofhousingfacilities
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
TheNEURCdecisionsthatarenormativeandlegalactsdonotneedapprovalofotherpublicauthorities.
ThemainNLArelatingtotheprovisionofhouseholdgasandheatsupplyservicesarelistedinAnnex12,butthebasisofthelegalframeworkinthefieldofheatandgassupplyconsistsoftheLawsandResolutionsasfollows:
LawsofUkraine:
• “Onheatsupply”• “Onnaturalgasmarket”• “Oncommercialmeteringofnaturalgas”• “Onhousingandutilitiesservices”• “Onstateregulationinthesectorofutilitiesservices”
TheHUSmarketisdirectlyregulatedbytheNEURC
ThemainNLAregulatingHUSsectorare:
• LU“OnHUS”
• CMURNo869
• CMURNo630
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
58
ResoltuionsoftheCabinetofMinistersofUkraine
• No869“Onensuringaunifiedapproachtosettingtariffsforhousingandutilityservices”
• No630“Onapprovingtherulesforprovisionofcentralheating,coldandhotwateranddrainageandamodelcontractforprovisionofcentralheating,coldandhotwateranddrainage”
• No1198“OnapprovaloftheRulesofheatenergyuse"• No2246«OnapprovaloftheRulesofhouseholdgassupply"
TheseLawsestablishthegenerallegalprinciplesandrelationshipsintheHUSmarket,andtheResolutionsservethebasisfortariffsettingandconsumptionpayments.Theuseofheatenergyisallowedonlyonthebasisofacontractconcludedinaccordancewith standard forms. In turn, the fees for utility services are charged monthlyaccordingtothecontract.
Thenormativeandlegalactsstillhavesomeproblemstobesolved.Forexample,theCMURNo630statesthatifthehouseadministratorfailestocarryoutsomeheatingmeasures,theconsumerdoesnotpayforheatingforonemonthofcommonbuldinguse. This reduces the incentive for building dwellers to take energy efficiencymeasures.
9.2. Licensingandcontrolofcompanies(NEURC)
TheDHParelicensedaccordingtotheResolutionoftheCabinetofMinistersNo278.DespitethefactthatthenumberofNEURClicenseesismuchless,exacltytheNEURClicensees produce ~ 95% of the heat energy. Therefore, the sector reform isimpossiblewithouttheinterventionofthenationalregulator.
Table9.2.DHPlicensingscheme
NEURCLicensesDHPthathave
LocalauthoritiesLicensesDHPthathave
• >1activityarea
• >18thousandGcal/year
179Licensee
~95%totalheatenergy
• only1activityarea
• <18thousandGcal/year
828Licensee
~5%totalheatenergy
Source:CMUResolutionNo278
The licensee (serviceprovider) calculates tariffs for theplannedperiodaccording tothe requirementsof theProcedureof setting tariffs for heat energy, its production,transportation and supply, central heating and hot water supply, approved by theResolutionoftheCabinetofMinistersofUkraineonJune1,2011No869.
Conditionsfortariffchange(itcalculatedonthebasisofannualproductionplans):
• changesinthevolumeofservicesprovidedbymorethan15%• changesinthestructureoftheheatingfundbymorethan15%
Tariffreviewfrequencyisnotlegallyregulated
DHPactivitiesarelicensedbyNEURCorlocalauthorities
About95%ofheatenergyisproducedbyNEURClicensees
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
59
• changes in the investment programme if it leads to tariff change bymorethan2%
• changes in tax rates and fees, minimum wage, rent and depreciation,changes in prices and tariffs for fuel and energy and other materialresourcesifaccumulativelyit leadstotariffchangebymorethan2%oftheprescribedlevel.
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
60
10. Glossary
Acronyms/abbreviations Definition
"Warmloans"Stateprogrammeofpartialreimbursementforthecostofloansforenergyefficiency
GIZ Deutschegesellschaftfürinternationalezusammenarbeit
KfW NationalDevelopmentBankofGermany
UREEF UkrainianRevolvingEnergyEfficiencyFund
GDP GrossDomesticProduct
HWS Hotwatersupply
Gcal Gigacalorie
SАЕЕ StateAgencyforEnergyEfficiencyandEnergySavingofUkraine
HH Household(s)
StateStatistics StateStatisticsServiceofUkraine
ЕЕ Energyefficiency
ЕЕloan Loanforenergyefficiencyproject
ЕЕproject Projectonresidentialenergyefficiencyimprovements
Energyaudit
SystematicprocedureperformedbyanindependentEnergyAuditorwiththepurposeofobtainingaccurateinformationonthelevelofheatconsumptioninbuildingsandidentifyingtheimpactandcostofenergyefficiencymeasuresandreportingresultsintheapprovedform
ESC Energyservicecontract
EBRD EuropeanBankforReconstructionandDevelopment
EIB EuropeanInvestmentBank
HUS Housingandutilitiesservices
LU LawofUkraine
IHU Individualheatingunit
CMU CabinetofMinistersofUkraine
IMF InternationalMonetaryFund
MemorandumDiplomaticdocumentoutliningfactual,documentaryorlegalsideofanyissue.Usuallyitisattachedtoanoteordeliveredbyhandtotherepresentativeofanothercountry
MEDT MinistryofEconomicDevelopmentandTradeofUkraine
Minenergy MinistryofEnergyandCoalIndustryofUkraine
MinregionMinistryofRegionalDevelopment,Construction,HousingandCommunalServicesofUkraine
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
61
MSP MinistryofSocialPolicyofUkraine
MFU MInistryofFinanceofUkraine
IFI InternationalFinancialOrganization(s)
NEURC NationalEnergyandUtilitiesRegulatoryCommission
ISSNU InstituteforStrategicStudies"NewUkraine"
NLA Normativeandlegalact(s)
SB Sovereignbonds
LA Localauthorities
HA HomeownersAssociation(s)
WorkingGroup WorkingGroupcompositionisgiveninAnnex13
TPP Thermalpowerplant
TEP Thermoelectricplant(cogeneration)
DHC/DHP Districtheatingcompany/provider
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
62
11. Sources
1. GaryStuggins,AlexanderSharabaroff,andYadvigaSemikolenova.2013.EnergyEfficiency:LessonsLearnedfromSuccessStories.Washington,DC:WorldBank.
2. NationalEcologicalCentreofUkraine,FriedrichEbertFoundationinUkraineandKyivInternationalInstituteofSociology.AttitudesofUkrainianstowardenergysaving.ResultsofAll-UkrainianSocialSurvey:SummaryandRecommendations.Kyiv,2015.
3. YadvigaSemikolenova,LaurenPierce,DenzelHankinson"ModernizationofthecentralheatsupplysysteminUkraine:heatmeteringandpaymentsbasedonitsactualconsumption",theInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment,2012
4. WorleyParsons;InstituteforLocalDevelopment;EnergySavingsInternational;IB,Slovenia.Finalreport.MarketResearchresidentialsectorinUkraine:legal,regulatory,institutional,technicalandfinancialaspects.InAugust2011.
5. ProjectappraisaldocumenttoUkraineforadistrictheatingenergyefficiencyproject,IBRD,2014
6. EuropeanComission,EIB"Renovationloanprogramme"
7. Danfoss,IFC"Thermalmodernizationofresidentialbuilding"
8. Project“EnergyEfficiencyinBuildings”,DeutscheGesellschaftfürInternationaleZusammenarbeit(GIZ)GmbHincooperationwiththeMinistryofRegionalDevelopment,Construction,HousingandCommunalServicesofUkraine,orderedbytheFederalMinistryofEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(BMZ),Kyiv,2013.
9. BerndKalkum,"FinancingEnergyEfficiencyMeasuresforResidentialBuildingStock",WorldBankGroup,May2014
10. UnitedNationsEconomicCommissionforEurope"Goodpracticesforenergy-efficienthousingintheUNECEregion",2013
11. IFC,WorldBank"EnergyEfficiencyinRussia:UntappedReserves"
12. IMF"Ukraine:LetterofIntent,MemorandumofEconomicandFinancialPolicies,andTechnicalMemorandumofUnderstanding"July2015
13. GraysonHeffner,NinaCampbell"Evaluatingtheco-benefitsoflow-incomeenergy-efficiencyprogrammes",InternationalEnergyAgency,2011
14. OlenaBorysova"EBRD’sactivitiesandfinancialsupportforenergyefficiencyinbuildingsinUkraine"EBRD
15. FrankLee,EuropeanInvestmentBank"FinancingInstruments2014-2020underEuropeanStructuralandInvestmentFunds(ESIF)
16. ValiusSerbenta,Agencyforenergysupplyinthehousingsector,"ImplementationoftheProgrammeonrenovationofomultistorybuildings-institutsionalarrangement"2015
17. IMF"Energysubsidyreform:lessonsandimplications",2013
18. EnergyCharterSecretariat,2013"In-DepthReviewoftheEnergyEfficiencyPolicyofUkraine"
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
63
12. Annexes
12.1. Annex1.HUSbillforanindividualhouseheatedbygas
Individualhouseheatesbygas80m2,householdof3persons
2015 2017
80 consumption/rate tariff amount tariff(UAH) amount
Gasforcooking(m3/person)
withmetering 3.9 7.2 84.24 7.7 90.09
withoutmetering 3.0 7.2 64.80 7.7 69.30
Gasforheating(m3/m2)
100%ofmetering 6
3.6(upto200m3)2736.00
7.73696.00
7.2(>200m3) 7.7
CWS(m3/person)
withmetering 4.2 10.24 129.02
12.85161.85
withoutmetering 9.0 10.24 276.48 346.82
HWS(m3/person)
withmetering 1.65 40.92 202.55
85.35422.48
withoutmetering 3.6 40.92 441.94 921.78
Electricity(kV*g/person)
100%ofmetering 65.6
0.456(upto100kV*g)
121.98
0.9(upto100kV*g)
255.980.789(>100kV*g) 1.68(>100kV
*g)
Totalamountwithmeteringdevices 3273.79
4626.40
Totalamountwithoutmetering
devices3641.19
5292.20
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
64
12.2. Annex2Schemeofgaspurchasefinancingtill2015
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
65
12.3. Annex3.ReferenceonHUSkeyindicators
Source:Minregiondata
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
66
12.4. Annex4.ChangeintotalHUSbillforamultistorybuildingappartmentinthemonthofheating
season
Appartment50m2,householdof3persons
2015 2017
50 consumption/rate tariff(UAH) amount tariff(UAH) amount
Gasforcooking
(m3/person)
withmetering 3.9 7.2 84.24 7.7 90.09
withoutmetering 3.0 7.2 64.80 7.7 69.30
Centralheating
(Gcal/m2)
withmetering 0.0215 14.06 703.00 31.73 1586.50
withoutmetering 0.0233 15.24 762.00 34.39 1719.50
CWS(m3/person)
withmetering 4.2 10.24 129.02 11.47 144.51
withoutmetering 9.0 10.24 276.48 11.47 309.66
HWS(m3/person)
withmetering 1.65 40.92 202.55 85.35 422.48
withoutmetering 3.6 40.92 441.94 85.35 921.78
Electricity
(kV*g/perpson)
100%ofmetering 65.6
0.456(upto100kV*g)
121,98
0.9(до100kV*г)
255.98
0.789(>100kV*g 1.68(>100kV*g)
Rent(m2/person) - 50 2.25 112.50 2.25 112.50
Totalamountwith
meteringdevices1353.29
2612.06
Totalamount
withoutmetering
devices
1779.69
3388.72
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
67
12.5. Annex5.FormulasforsharesofreceivedfundsundertheCMUNo217
DHC-districtheatingcompany(HGSand/orDSC) HGS–heatgeneratingstation DH–districtheating
DSC–districtsupplycompany HWS–hotwatersupply
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
69
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
70
12.6. Annex6.ReferenceonreducednaturalgasconsumptionattheheatsupplyobjectsofallformsofownershipasofDecember2015
Region
BoilerhouseswheretheworksonreducednaturalgasconsumptioniarecompletedIndicativevolumeofplannedreductionof
naturalgasconsumptionaftertheworks,thous.
m³/year
Numberofboilerhouses
Numberofboilers
Costofworkdone,UAHthous.
Total,including:
StatebudgetRegionalbudget
Localbudget DHPfunds
other(grants,privateinvestment,
etc.)
Vinnytsya 14 19 2105.8 0.0 0.0 845.8 0.0 1260.0 223.4
Volyn 45 70 13496.8 201.0 837.0 3872.4 3885.4 4701.0 817.0
Dnipropetrovsk 43 104 2329.8 0.0 0.0 19.8 2084.0 226.0 6128.8
Donetsk 18 18 782.3 0.0 0.0 311.6 273.2 197.5 1387.1
Zhytomyr 14 29 15688.0 0.0 0.0 358.0 5645.6 9684.4 1888.5Zakarpattya 9 15 1805.5 - 1012.0 749.5 44.0 - 89.3
Zaporizhia 52 125 3445.1 482.8 14.5 900.6 1710.2 337.0 617.7
Ivano-Frankivsk 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kyiv 30 63 21566.3 0.0 0.0 4629.9 16935.5 0.0 1782.5
Kirovograd 13 81 16154.3
335.6 1351.0 8217.6 6250.1 1952.8
Lugansk 13 21 4056.4 3072.4 0.0 165.8 0.0 918.2 498.4
Lviv 12 21 870.0 0.0 0.0 352.0 0.0 518.0 94.0
Mykolaiv 14 14 3629.0 - - - 3629.0 - 980.0
Odesa 9 12 8767.0 0.0 0.0 259.3 8507.7 0.0 392.5
Poltava 25 41 19849.5 0.0 1942.0 1246.4 14818.7 1842.5 1415.6
Rivne 44 77 12015.6 3562.6 468.0 2147.0 5638.7 200.0 2058.4
Sumy 4 6 1302.5 849.4 453.1 118.5
Ternopil 0.0 - - - - - -
Kharkiv 6 8 2335.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2335.0 0.0 162.8Kherson 16 25 9801.5 1267.4 0.0 5326.1 3207.0 1.0 724.4Khmelnytsky 56 85 13735.8 527.3 2704.1 4111.3 4349.6 2043.5 3425.3
Cherkasy 7 12 5298.0 0.0 0.0 1000.0 4298.0 0.0 450.0
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
71
Chernivtsi 2 4 292.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 292.5 0.0 28.3
Chernigiv 18 32 22450.0 - - 1370.0 15600.0 5480.0 2600.0
Kyivcity 19 19 950.0 - -
950.0
237.5
Total 483 901 182826.4 9113.5 7313.1 29865.8 102874.8 33659.2 28072.7
Source:Minregiondata
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
72
12.7. Annex7.ReferenceonthereplacementofnaturalgasconsumptionattheheatsupplyobjectsofallformsofownershipasofDecember2015
Region
Numberofboilerhousesthatstarted
usingalternative
fuelsandnewboilers,pcs.,including:
Woo
d/pe
llet/woo
dchips
Coal
Biom
ass
Oilfuel
Other(spe
cifywhichtype
offue
lisused)
Costofworkdone,UAHthous.
Indicativevolumeofplannedreplacementofnaturalgasconsumptionaftertheworks,thous.
m³/yearTotal,including:Statebudget
Regionalbudget
Localbudget
DHPfunds
other(grants,privateinvestment,
etc.)
Vinnytsya 75 57 16 0 0 2 29699.0 0.0 29186.0 0.0 512.8 8232.5
Volyn 71 91 35
54
28794.0 1176.0 1672.5 6997.6 4669.5 13738.0 5735.0
Dnipropetrovsk 3 2 1 0 0 0 428.7 0.0 329.1 99.6 0.0 0.0 114.7
Donetsk 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Zhytomyr 56 44 10 1 2 3 28808.9 9548.9 0.0 15134.0 25.4 4100.6 2806.0
Zakarpattya 19 16 2 1 7198.3 4496.4 2701.9 334.7
Zaporizhia 14 4 8 0 0 2 4766.1 2716.0 1197.8 446.9 250.0 200.0 408.0
Ivano-Frankivsk 16 16 0 0 0 0 8549.0 8332.0 0.0 0.0 217.3 0.0 2648.0
Kyiv 66 49 3 5 0 9 24789.3 5875.6 0.0 1217.2 1849.5 15879.0 6890.1
Kirovograd 35 35 2 35333.1 14170.4 546.4 3742.9 8235.0 8638.3 906.0
Lugansk 10 3 7 1 0 2 831.6 464.4 0.0 60.0 49.0 258.2 895.1
Lviv 42 68 0 0 0 0 11908.9 0.0 1410.0 3118.4 1133.5 6247.0 1409.9
Mykolaiv 14 29 20300.0 20300.0 5150.0
Odesa 1 1 0 0 0 0 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 3.0
Poltava 10 10 6 1 0 0 18492.2 273.0 0.0 1065.0 5154.2 12000.0 1318.0
Rivne 25 19 2 2 0 14 6334.7 417.0 1933.3 1914.2 798.0 1331.8 1268.0
Sumy 9 9 0 0 0 0 2956.0 0.0 0.0 1805.0 411.0 740.0 812.6
Ternopil 23 19 2 6 10554.9 4283.1 407.3 2627.2 0.0 3237.3 1363.0
Kharkiv 31 29 0 0 0 2 9926.7 2150.0 0.0 158.0 1400.0 6218.7 1795.2
Kherson 9 5 3 0 0 1 2369.4 235.4 0.0 1454.0 0.0 680.0 407.1
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
73
Khmelnytsky 42 33 8 1 16568.2 3473.7 5066.7 6027.5 2000.3 5746.0
Cherkasy 10 7 3 0 0 0 6500.0 0.0 0.0 1000.0 5000.0 500.0 1000.0
Chernivtsi 10 10 0 0 0 0 1130.2 0.0 378.0 752.2 0.0 0.0 616.0
Chernigiv 28 19 9 9800.0 1100.0 350.0 8350.0 3250.0
Kyivcity 0 0
0.0
0.0 0.0
Total 619 575 108 20 56 42 290652.8 55559.5 43514.1 50479.9 36686.0 104413.2 53172.6Source:Minregiondata
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
74
12.8. Annex8.Supplywithheatingand/orhotwaterusingalternativefuels
Region
Reside
ntial
stock
%ofnatural
gas
Educational
institu
tions
%ofnatural
gas
Pre-scho
ol
institu
tions
%ofnatural
gas
Health
care
facilities
%ofnatural
gas
Other
%ofnatural
gas
Vinnytsya 54.0 0.1 433.0 0.5 70.0 0.1 93.0 0.7 25.0 0.6
Volyn 20.0 0.0 22.0 0.0
7.0 0.0 25.0 0.0
Dnipropetrovsk 885.0 6.0 126.0 12.0 107.0 13.0 13.0 6.0 0.0 0.0
Donetsk 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Zhytomyr
5.0
1.0
3.0
3.0Zakarpattya
12.0 100.0 4.0 100.0 2.0 100.0 1.0 100.0
Zaporizhia 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0
Ivano-Frankivsk 10.0 100.0 8.0 100.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 100.0 0.0 0.0
Kyiv 30.0
55.0
19.0
26.0
101.0
Kirovograd
17.0 5.7 10.0 4.3 6.0 13.0 2.0
Lugansk 0.0 0.0 8.0 41.3 1.0 20.0 3.0 25.5 3.0 50.0
Lviv 0.0 0.0 24.0 50.6 0.0 0.0 8.0 49.1 5.0 26.0
Mykolaiv 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 10.0 11.0
Odesa 0.0 0.0 67.0 4.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Poltava 46.0 70.0 8.0 100.0 3.0 100.0 1.0 100.0 11.0 28.0
Rivne 0.0 0.0 13.0 1140.0 4.0 400.0 5.0 340.0 7.0 490.0
Sumy 22.0
5.0
4.0
2.0
29.0
Ternopil 10.0 50.0 19.0 70.5 6.0 58.3 4.0 50.0 6.0 75.0
Kharkiv 0.0
17.0
4.0
4.0
7.0
Kherson 11.0 100.0 7.0 100.0 4.0 100.0 6.0 71.8 35.0 85.0
Khmelnytsky 117.0 2.5 74.0 9.4 12.0 1.6 17.0 23.9 58.0 14.0
Cherkasy 715.0 20.0 148.0 22.0 85.0 20.0 168.0 22.0 0.0 0.0
Chernivtsi 0.0 0.0 5.0 18.0 3.0 10.0 1.0 20.0 1.0 1.0
Chernigiv
100.0 12.0 44.0 4.0 57.0 3.0 86.0 7.0 59.0
Kyivcity
0.0 0.0
Total 1920.0
1085.0
1482.0
784.0
662.0
Source:Minregiondata
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
75
12.9. Annex9.Referenceonkeyenergyefficiencyinvestmentprogrammes
Institution Programme Termsoffinancing RealEEprojects EEfinancingpotential
EBRD
LoanstoDHP• LoanamountisfromEUR5mln,rate
~10%,periodis10-15years
• ApprovedDHPprojectsintheamountofEUR130million
• EUR180mln–DHP(2morepotentialprojects)
USELF(loanstoprivatecompanies) • LoanamountisEUR1.5-15mln• Focusontheprojectswithrenewables
-• EUR100mln–
privatesector
UKEEP(loanstoprivateandESCcompanies) • LoanamountisEUR3-10mln -
• EUR100mln–privatesector
loanstoprivatecompaniesthroughUkreximbanl • LoanamountisuptoEUR3mln -
• EUR50mln–privatesector
UREEF(ЕЕinresidentialsector)
(onthestageofdevelopment)
• LoanstoЕЕprojectinresidentialsectorthroughcommercialbanks,namely,OTP,Raiffeisen,etc
-• EUR100mln–
residentialbuildings
FundE5P
MultilateraldonorfundwiththeamountofEUR93mln
(fundadministratoristheEBRD)
• GrantuptoEUR5mlnisprovidedasadditionalsupportoftheprojectsfinancedbyEBRD,EIB,NEFCO,etc.
• ~EUR10mln
• EUR50mln–DHP• EUR30mln–public
buildings
• EUR20mln-residentialbuildings
EIB
Directfinancingofprojects • LoanamountisfromEUR25mln - -
ProgrammefortherecoveryofeasternUkraine(loans)
• ProgrammebudgetisEUR200mln(partoffundsforЕЕprojects)
• ~EUR10mlnProjectsonЕЕinpublicbuildings
• EUR20mln-publicbuildings
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
76
Municipalinfrastructuredevelopmentprogramme
• ProgrammebudgetisEUR400mln
• Interestonloanis2.4-4%• PartoffundscanbeusedforEEprojects
-• EUR100mln–DHP• EUR100mln-public
buildings
IBRD
UDHEEP(Enhancingenergyefficiencyinthesectorofcentralizedheatsupply)
• Interestonloanis<1.0%
• 8DHPprojectsareselectedtothetotalamountUSD291mln
• USD309mln–DHP
LoanprovisionthroughUkreximbank - -
• USD150mln–publicsector
• USD50mln–DHP
KfW
InvestmentprojectsontherecoveryofeasternUkraine
• Interestonloanis4.5%• PartoffundscanbeusedforEEprojects
• EUR39mln–preliminarilyselectedprojects
• EUR39mln-DHP
ProgrammeofGerman-UkrainianFund(GUF) • LoanamountisEUR100-200ths - -
IFCEnergyefficientprojectsandsupportofHomeownersAssociation • Loanamountdependsonproject - -
SIDA Supportprogrammes • Provisionofadditionalgrantstosupportloanprojects
- -
NEFKO
Programme"Demo–Ukraine"• LoanamountisuptoEUR3mln
• Interestonloanis3%
• EUR10mln–DHP(Demo-1)
• EUR20mln–DHP(togetherwithDemo-
2)
"Green"production
(loanstoenterprises)
• LoanamountisuptoEUR350thous
• Interestonloanis6%- -
SAEEProgrammeonreimbursementofprincipleamountoftheЕЕloan
• Reimbursementof20%-70%ofprincipleamountoftheЕЕloansgrantedbythestatebanks,namely,Ukrgasbank,SavingsBank,Ukreximbank
• UAH1246mlnloansattractedin2015
• UAH3bln–potentialofattractionin2016(~UAH800mlnofbudgetfundsfor2016)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
77
NEURC Installationofheatmeters • Installationofheatmetersinbuildingsduetoinvestmentcomponentinthetariff
- -
NaftogasReplacementofindividualgasboilers(onthestageofdevelopment)
• ESCmodelonthebasisofNaftogaz
• Itisexpectedtoreplace3.5mlngas -boilerswithmoreefficientones
-
• USD1.5billion–Replacementofindividualgasboilers(loanfromChinaDevelopmentBank)
Source:informationonthewebsitesoftheinstitutions,press-releases,Workinggroupanalysis
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
78
12.10. Annex10.Referenceontechnicalassistanceprogrammesinenergyefficiencyarea
Project(programme)nameAmount,USD
millionExecutor Donor Implementationperiod
EnergyefficiencyprojectVinnytsyacity 21,4
FirstClimate(Switzerland)AG,Zurich;FelaPlanungsAG,Energoresource-invest,LLC“KSKAutomatyzatsia”,Viesmann(Schweiz)AG,LLC“Komenenergoservice"
Switzerland 01.01.2012–30.06.2017
INOGATEprogrammes"INOGATETechnicalSecretariatandIntegratedProgrammeinsupportoftheBakuInitiativeandtheEasternPartnershipenergyobjectives"
16,6 AconsortiumledbyRambollDanmarkA/S EU 02.2012–01.2016
ProjectonenergyefficiencyinZhytomyrcity 15,7 - Switzerland 07.05.2015–31.07.2019
MunicipalenergyreforminUkraine 14,5
InternationalResourcesGroup;
All-UkrainianCharityOrganization“InstituteforLocalDevelopment”(additionalexecutorisdefined)
USA 27.09.2013–29.09.2017
Grantoftheprogramme"Demo-Ukraine" 8,3LLC“EnergyEquipmentPlant“ДАН”,JSC“AxisIndustries”(LithuanianRepublic),LLC“Brunata”(RepublicofBulgaria)
Sweden 2012−2016
“Improvingenergyefficiencyandpromotingrenewableenergysourcesintheagri-foodandothersmallandmedium-sizedenterprises(SMEs)inUkraine"
5,2MissionoftheUnitedNationsIndustrialDevelopmentOrganization(UNIDO)
GEF 01.2012–04.2016
Programmeforenergyefficientconstruction 5,2 GermanInternationalCooperation(GIZ)Gmbh Germany 15.03.2009–31.07.2016
DevelopmentandcommercializationofbioenergytechnologiesinthemunicipalsectorinUkraine
4,7UnitedNationsDevelopmentProgrammeinUkraine(UNDP)
GEF 01.06.2014–31.03.2018
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
79
Energyefficiencyincommunities 4,5 GermanInternationalCooperation(GIZ)Gmbh Germany 01.09.2013-31.08.2016
NordicenergyefficiencyandhumanitariansupportinitiativeinUkraine
3,7 - Norway 2014–2015
CreationofenergyagenciesinUkraine 3,4 GermanInternationalCooperation(GIZ)Gmbh Germany 01.01.2014–31.12.2017
Modernizationofpartnershipenergyefficiencyinhospitals 3,2 - Germany 2016–2019
LocalinitiativesforsustainabledevelopmentofUkraine 3,0 - Norway 04.2015–03.2018
CreationofBioenergyKnowledgeandLearningCenterandlocalenergymanagement
2,9 - Norway 2015–2017
Ukrainian-DanishEnergyCenter 2,1 - Denmark 2015–2018
Total 114.4
Source:dataofMEDTandMinregion
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
80
12.11. Annex11.UDHEEPexpectedresultsfor2021
City
ReconstructionHeatnetworkreconstruction
(km)
Constructionofcogenerationplants
IHUinstallation(additationally
meters)MW(el.) MW(heat)TEP Boilerhouses
Centralheatsupply
Vinnytsy 2 - - 38.0 3.0 3.3 220
Kharkiv 1 79 - 29.9 5.0 5.4 250(1000)
Mykolaiv - 32 4 33.1 - - 93
Kamyanets-Podilskiy - - - 3.2 1.2 1.3 67
Kherson - 6 1 13.3 - - 13(140)
Dnipropetrovsk - 27 - 19.5 - - 34
Ternopil - 9 - 2.8 1.6 1.74 311
Chernigiv - - 46 26.0 - - 127(46)
Total 3 153 51 165.8 10.8 11.7 1115(1186)
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
81
City
Fuelsaving(ingasequivalent)
Reducingelectricityconsumptionattheexpenseofdomesticproductionandeconomy
Overall
СО2reduction
thous.m³/year % MW*g/year % thous.tonn/year %
Vinnytsya 5625.0 16.0% 5283.1 64.1% 33.2 13.9%
Kharkiv 47535.1 14.4% 7681.1 12.2% 215.2 27.5%
Mykolaiv 7279.5 3.9% 4459.1 13.1% 18.7 11.1%
Kamyanets-Podilskiy 8943.0 92.1% 8726.8 219.9% 8.9 12.5%
Kherson 2716.4 2.8% 1353.2 6.5% 6.2 7.1%
Dnipropetrovsk 2755.9 16.4% 798.2 14.4% 7.8 10.1%
Ternopil 5906.5 7.6% 14548.5 69.6% 16.5 10.9%
Chernigiv 27742.7 6.6% 109119.5 86.1% 28.6 2.4%
Total 108504 20.0% 151969 60.8% 335.1 11.9%
Source:ProjecttechnicaljustificationandCPMGdata
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
82
12.12. Annex12.Basiclegislationregulatinghousingandutilitysector
LawsofUkraine
Onheatsupply Generalfunctioningofheatmarket
Onnaturalgasmarket Legalbasisforgasmarketfunctioning
Onesuringcommercialmeteringofnaturalgas Introductionof100%naturalgasmetering
OnhousingandutilityservicesRelationshipsonthehousingandutility
market
OnstateregulationintheutilityareaLegalbasisforhousingandutilitiesmarket
regulation
ResolutionsoftheCabinetofMinistersofUkraine
Dated1.06.2011No869"OnEnsuringUnifiedApproachestothe
FormationofTariffsforHousingandUtilityServices"
Methodoftheformationoftariffsfor
housingandutilityservices
Dated21.07.2005No630"Onapprovingtherulesforprovisionof
centralheating,coldandhotwateranddrainageandamodel
contractforprovisionofcentralheating,coldandhotwaterand
drainage"
Relationshipsbetweenconsumerand
supplierofheat,rulesforservicespayment
Verionof09.03.15No2246"OnapprovaloftheRulesforhousehold
gassupply"
Rulesforservicesprovisionandpayment,
therelationshipbetweengassuppliers,
distributorsandpopulation
Dated03.10.2007No1198"OnapprovaloftheRulesforheatenergy
use"
Rulesforservicesprovisionandpayment,
therelationshipbetweencompaniesand
heatenergyconsumers
Dated06.08.2014No409"Ontheestablishmentofsocialstandardsin
theareaofhousingandutilityservices"
Setssocialratesforthepeoplewhoreceive
subsidies
Versiondated06.05.2015No619"Onapprovaloftheratesofnatural
gasconsumptionbythepopulationintheabsenceofgasmeters"
Setsthegasconsumptioniratesfortariff
calculationintheabsenceofmeters
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
83
Dated01.10.2015No758"Provisiononimposingspecificobligations
totheentitiesofnaturalgasmarkettoensuregeneralsocialinterests
intheprocessofnaturalgasmarketfunctionining(relationsinthe
transitionperiod)"
Settingtherulesfordeterminationofretail
gasprices,settingretailgasprices(3.6UAH/
m3)intransitionperiod
Dated29.12.15No217“OnapprovaloftheProcedureforallocating
fundsreceivedoncurrentaccountswithspecialmodeofusefor
payingtothenaturalgassupplier,whoischargedwithspecialduties"
ReallocationoffundsreceivedtotheDHP
accountswiththespecialmodeofuse
Dated15.11.2010No1132“OnapprovaloftheProcedurefor
transferingintergovernmentaltransfers"Transferofintergovernmentaltransfers
Dated11.01.2005No20"OnapprovingtheProcedureofthetransfer
ofcertainsubventionsfromthestatebudgettolocalbudgetsfor
provisionofbenefits,subsidiesandcompensation"
Subsidytransferscheme
DatedOctober21,1995No848"OnsimplifiedProcedureofsubsidies
toreimbursetheexpensesincurredduetopaymentforhousingand
utilityservices,purchaseofliquidgas,solidandliquidstovefuel"
Proceduresforgrantingsubsidiesto
population
Dated09.10.2013No750"OnapprovingtheProcedureforcrediting
fundstothecurrentaccountswithspecialuseforpaymentsunder
investmentprogrammes,useoffundsandcontrolovertheirspending
intheareas"
Transferofmoneyfromthecurrentaccount
tothespecialaccounttoimplement
investmentprogrammes
Dated1.10.2014No552"Someissuesonimplementationof
investmentprogrammesintheareasofheating,centralizedwater
supplyanddrainageareas"
Controloverinvestmentprogramme
implementation
Dated25.11.2015No1228“OntheNationalActionPlanforEnergy
EfficiencyforthePeriodtill2020"
MainactivitiesoftheMinregionandSАЕЕtill
2020
Versiondated27.08.2015No1056“Someissuesonfundsuseinthe
areaofenergyefficiencyandenergysaving”
Mechanismforusingstatefundsreceived
fromtheEUforenergyefficiency
NEURCRESOLUTIONS
Dated20.06.2014No766“OnapprovingthePprocedureforsetting
tariffsforcentralheatingandcentralhotwatersupply"
Definesthegroundsfortariffchangeand
procedurefortariffsetting
Dated31.03.2015No1171"Onsettingtariffsforcentralheatingand
hotwatersuppliedtothepopulationbyeconomicentitiesthatare
executorsoftheseservices"
Approvestariffsforhouseholdheatandhot
waterforeachDHP
Dated26.02.2015No220"Onsettingtariffsforelectricitysuppliedto
households"
Approvestariffsforhouseholdelectricity
tillMarch2017
Dated31.03.15“Onsettingtariffsforheatenergyfortheneedsof
budgetaryinstitutions,religiousorganizationsandotherconsumers
(excludingpopulation)”
Resolutionsapprovingtariffandstructure
forheatenergyforeachDHP(forexample,
tariffforKyivenergo–ResoltuionNo613"
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
84
Dated30.09.2015No2496“OnapprovingtheRulesfornaturalgas
supply”
Relationshipsbetweenthegassupplierand
consumer,connectionconditions,gas
supplyprocedure
Dated17.02.2011No244"OnapprovingtheProceduresforsetting
tariffsforheatenergy,Itsproduction,transportationandsupply”
Mechanismforsettingtariffsforheat
energy,Itsproduction,transportationand
supply
Dated03.03.2015No583“Onsettingretailpricesfornaturalgas
usedforhouseholdneeds”Settinggastariff
Dated10.08.2012No278"Onapprovingthetermsoflicencingthe
actcivitiesonheatenergysupply”
Determinationoflicensorsandtermsfor
licensingactivitiesonheatenergysupply
Othernormativeandlegalacts
KTM204Ukraine244-94
Settingheatconsumptionrates(usedfor
paymentcalculationintheabsenceof
meteringdevices)
StatebuilingcodeDBNВ.2.2-15-2005"Residentialbuildings.Main
provisionswithamendments"1,2,3
RulesandconditionsforIHUplacement
paragraph6.24–requirementsforIHU
placementunderlivingquarters
StatebuilingcodeDBNВ.2.5-67:2013"Heating,ventilationandair
conditioning"
Onconnectiontoheatsupplysurces.
Onenergyconsumptionmetering.
Typesofheatingsystemsandtheir
characteristics–AnnexA
RequirementsforIHUwhenitisplaced
underlivingquarters
Directive2014/32/EU Onstandardsandratesofmeters
Source:Workinggroupanalysis
Heatenergyinhousingandutilitiessector:StatusandProspects(DOCUMENTFORDISCUSSION)
85
12.13. Annex13.CompositionoftheWorkingGroup
The reportwaspreparedbyadvisers to theVicePrimeMinister,MinisterofRegional
Development, Construction and Housing and Communal Services of Ukraine and in
closecooperationwith:
• CoordinationCenterforInteractionwiththeCMUatthePresidentofUkraine
• theGovernmentofGermany
• theEUDelegationtoUkraine
• theEUSupportGrouptoUkraine
• NationalReformsCouncil
• BerlinEconomics
• theStateAgencyforEnergyEfficiencyandEnergySavingofUkraine
• expertsoftheWorldBankGroupinUkraine