heat pumps key technology for europe …...heat pumps can help to decarbonise the heating and...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Heat pumps – key technology for Europe decarbonisation
Vincenzo Belletti
Project Manager [email protected]
European Heat Pump Association (EHPA)
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
• 125 members from 22 countries (status 05/2018)• Heat pump manufacturers
• Component manufacturers
• National associations
• Consultants
• Research & test institutes
• EU-wide representative of heat pump industry
EHPA represents the majority of players in the EU heat pump industry!
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Market growth ‘05 – ’17 | HP stock2017: 10.6 mill. installed
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Growth of sanitary hot water heat pumps | 2017: 873k
sta
ts.e
hpa.o
rg
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
HP sales in 2017 per type
sta
ts.e
hp
a.o
rg
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
HP sales 2017 per country
Huge untapped potential in large heating and coolingmarkets ...
sta
ts.e
hp
a.o
rg
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Renewable energy
CO2 savings
Final energy savings
116TWh
29.8Mt
148TWh
Demand response potential
Up to3.2
TWh
Heat pump benefits 2017Based on 10.6 million heat pumps installed
Clean air
No PM at point of
operation
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Units sold per 1000 households in 2017
Huge untapped potential for HPin the rest of Europe
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
If Norway was everywhere ...
Potential of an increase in sales by factor 5 to 6
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Is the value chain ready?
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
RES in heating and cooling (based on Eurostat Shares)
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/de/web/energy/data/shares
10,26% 10,95% 11,54% 12,90% 13,25% 14,86% 14,97% 15,60% 16,44% 16,98% 18,09% 18,68% 19,06%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0,00
1.000,00
2.000,00
3.000,00
4.000,00
5.000,00
6.000,00
7.000,00
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total final energy demand for heating and cooling | EU 28 (in TWh)
Final energy consumption Derived heat Heat pumps Non RES-H&C RES-H&C [%]
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Heat pumps in the EU boiler marketBoiler data from BRG Building solutions
Use of fossil energy for heating dominates in Europe!
Heat pumps can help to decarbonise the heating and cooling sector
We need more ambition!
5.6 million boilers
962 000 heating heat pumps (17%)
7.8 million sanitary hot water
138 000 dedicated hot water heat pumps
(1.7%)
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
New 2030 political targets
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
32%
Renewable energy
(binding)
+1.3pp
Annual increase
heating / cooling
• „buildings as active
nodes in the energy
grid“
• Requests MS to set up
a long term renovation
strategy
Energy performance
of buildings
32.5%
-1,5
Annual decrease
of final energy
Energy Efficiency
(indicative)
New primary
energy factor:
2.1
Implementation will benefit heat pump technology
To be achieved with
renewable and waste energy
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
EU low-carbon Energy roadmap 2050 (under preparation2018): 100% emission reduction by 2050
• “Meeting the Paris goal of keeping climate change well below 2°C – and aiming for no more than 1.5°C – requires bold action, including reaching climate neutrality this century”
• Carbon neutrality to become a target for 2050
• Commissions work will include “in-depth analysis of the economic, social and environmental transformations needed to inform the political debate in the context of the development of the mid-century strategies,”
• Public consultation ongoing
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
We have solutions!
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Heat pumps in residential sector
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Heat pump in commercial sector
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Heat pump in industrial sector
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
http://brasseriedelasenne.be/philosophy/?lang=en
Issues:
• 12-25% of energy in industrial processes is used for drying.
• 11.3 EJ of energy loss due to inefficiency
DryFiciency is a Horizon 2020 funded project, developing and demonstrating two
high-temperature industrial heat pump systems for waste heat recovery for
industrial drying and dehydration processes.
The DryFiciency project
Expected key results
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Industries involved
Grant agreement No. 723576.
https://www.ehpa.org/fileadmin/red/03._Media/03.02_Studies_and_reports/Large_heat_pumps_in_Europe_MDN_II_final4_small.pdf
For more examples check out our brochure!
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
What’s stopping the sector?
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Energy price ratios accross Europe
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
1
-0,050
0,000
0,050
0,100
0,150
0,200
EU-2
8
Euro
area
Belgium
Bulgaria
Czech
Repub
lic
Denm
ark
Germ
any
Esto
nia
Irelan
d
Greece
Spain
Franc
e
Croat
iaIta
ly
Cypru
s
Latv
ia
Lithua
nia
Luxe
mbour
g
Hunga
ry
Malt
a
Netherla
nds
Austria
Poland
Portu
gal
Roman
ia
Slove
nia
Slova
kia
Finlan
d
Swed
en
United K
ingdo
m
Taxation burden in absolute terms: bar above x-axis electricity tax higher than gas, below: opposite (in ct)
EU-28
Euro area
Belgium
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Denmark
Germany
Estonia
Ireland
Greece
Spain
France
Croatia
Italy
Cyprus
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Hungary
Malta
Netherlands
Austr ia
Poland
Po
stive
va
lue
s =
ta
x b
urd
en
on
ele
ctr
icity is h
igh
er
European energy taxation does not helpDifference of taxation in eurocent
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
2
• CAN Europe2017: 122 billion € / year (in 14 EU countries)
• IEA2013: fossil fuel consumption subsidies USD 548 billion
• OECD2013 estimates total fossil fuel support• at USD 160-200 billion/year for OECD and BRIICS states
• 39 billion for EU member states
Fossil fuel subsidies still exist in Europe
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
3
Is the value chain ready? What is needed?
• Solutions for the renovation sector, multi-family buildings, industrialapplications, district energy
• Solutions for sector coupling
• Manufacturing capacity & availability of components (incl F-gas)
• Knowledgable planners and architects
• Installation capacity
• Building codes
• Financing and business models
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
A 100% renewable society is possible – by 2050Join us at www.decarbheat.eu
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Initiative supported by:
The Decarb Heat Initiative
DecarbHeat vision:100% decarbonised heating and cooling system in Europe by 2050
industry pledgepolicy
requestssupport
document
Industry plattform
Join us at www.decarbheat.eu
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018
Next conference in Bruxelles in cooperation with the European Commission
Heat Pump Development in Europe - Vincenzo Belletti - GRETA final conference - 07/11/2018