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HEART TRANSPLANTATION Pediatric Recipients ISHLT 201 2 J Heart Lung Transplant. 2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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HEART TRANSPLANTATION. Pediatric Recipients. ISHLT. 2012. J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095. NUMBER OF CENTERS REPORTING PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS. ISHLT. 2012. J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Pediatric Recipients

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 2: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

NUMBER OF CENTERS REPORTING PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

0102030405060708090

100110120

OtherNorth AmericaEurope

Transplant Year

Num

ber o

f Cen

ters

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 3: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

AVERAGE CENTER VOLUME AND PERCENTAGE OF TRANSPLANTS BY CENTER VOLUMEPediatric Heart Transplants: January 1, 2000 - June 30, 2011

1-4 5-9 10+0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0

7

14

21

28

35

42

49

56

139

17 14

111

21 21

Number of centers 2000-2005 Number of centers 2006-June 2011Percentage of transplants 2000-2005 Percentage of transplants 2006-June 2011

Average number of heart transplants per year

Num

ber o

f Cen

ters

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 4: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS Distribution of Transplants By Location and Average Center

Volume (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Europe North America Other0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1-4/year 5-9/year 10+/year

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 5: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

DISTRIBUTION OF TRANSPLANTS By Center Volume

Pediatric Heart Transplants: January 1, 2000 - June 30, 2011

1-4 5-9 10+0

10

20

30

40

50

60

33.126

40.9

22.4 22.4

55.3

2000-2005 2006-June 2011

Average number of heart transplants per year

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 6: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS(Transplants: January 2000 - June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 170

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Recipient Age (Years)

Num

ber o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 7: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION OF PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSBy Year of Transplant

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

050

100150200250300350400450500550600

11-17 Years1-10 Years<1 Year

Num

ber o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012

NOTE: This figure includes only the heart transplants that are reported to the ISHLT Transplant Registry. As such, this should not be construed as evidence that the number of hearts transplanted worldwide has increased and/or decreased in recent years.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 8: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSAge Distribution By Location

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Europe North America Other0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

<1 years 1-10 years 11-17 years

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 9: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

AGE DISTRIBUTION FOR DONORS OF PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS (Transplants: January 2000 - June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18-25

26-30

31+0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Donor Age (Years)

Num

ber o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 10: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSDonor Age Distribution By Location

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Europe North America Other0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

<1 1-10 11-17 18-34 35-49 50-64

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 11: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

DISTRIBUTION OF TRANSPLANTS by Donor/Recipient Weight Ratio

(Pediatric Heart Transplants: January 1, 2000 - June 30, 2011)

<0.75 0.75-<1.0 1.0-<1.5 1.5-<2.0 2.0-<2.5 2.5+0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2000-2005 2006-June 2011

Donor/Recipient Weight Ratio

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 12: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

DIAGNOSIS IN PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS (Age: < 1 Year)

ISHLT 2012

21%

76%

2%1%

Myopathy

Congenital

Other

ReTX1988-1999

38%

59%

3%

1%

2000-6/2011

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

25

50

75

100Myopathy Congenital

% o

f Cas

es

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 13: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

DIAGNOSIS IN PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS (Age: 1-10 Years)

ISHLT 2012

54%

39%

2%

5%Myopathy

Congenital

Other

ReTX1988-1999

56%

37%

3%

5%

2000-6/2011

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

25

50

75

100Myopathy Congenital

% o

f Cas

es

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 14: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

DIAGNOSIS IN PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS (Age: 11-17 Years)

ISHLT 2012

66%28%

3%3%

Myopathy

Congenital

Other

ReTX1988-1999

65%

23%

3%

9%

2000-6/2011

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

25

50

75

100Myopathy Congenital

% o

f Cas

es

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 15: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSDiagnosis Distribution By Location

(Transplants: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Europe North America Other

Other

Re-TX/Graft Failure

Malignancy

Coronary Artery Disease

Congenital

Cardiomyopathy

% o

f Tra

nspl

ants

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 16: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS% of Patients Bridged with Mechanical Circulatory Support*

by Year (Transplants: January 2005 – December 2010)

ISHLT 2012

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

22.1 21.122.7 22.1 28.3 24.6

AnyECMOVAD + ECMO

% o

f Pat

ient

s

* LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMOJ Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 17: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS% of Patients Bridged with Mechanical Circulatory Support*

(Transplants: July 2004 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Any Device (N=578)

LVAD (N=243)

ECMO (N=166)

BIVAD (N=125)

VAD+ECMO (N=28)

RVAD (N=9) Unknown Type

(VAD or TAH) (N=4)

TAH (N=3)0

5

10

15

20

25

30

23.3

9.8

6.75.0

1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1

% o

f Pat

ient

s

* LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMOJ Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 18: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS% of Patients Bridged with Mechanical Circulatory Support*

by Age Group (Transplants: July 2004 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

<1 1-10 11-170

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

21.9 23.524.2

AnyECMOVAD + ECMO

Age Group

% o

f Pat

ient

s

* LVAD, RVAD, TAH, ECMOJ Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 19: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS PRA Distribution by Year (Transplants: 2005 – 2010)

ISHLT 2012

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%0-9% 10-39% 40-79% 80%+

% o

f Pat

ient

s

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 20: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS PRA Distribution by Age Group (Transplants: July 2004 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

<1 1-10 11-170%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%0-9% 10-39% 40-79% 80%+

Age Group

% o

f Pat

ient

s

p-value = 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 21: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 200

20

40

60

80

100<1 Year (N = 2,396)1-10 Years (N = 3,512)11-17 Years (N = 3,695)Overall (N = 9,603)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Half-life <1: 19.2 Years; 1-10: 15.6 Years; 11-17: 11.9 Years

ISHLT 2012

0-<1 vs. 1-10: p = 0.0041 0-<1 vs. 11-17: p = 0.9859 1-10 vs. 11-17: p = 0.0003

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 22: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSConditional Kaplan-Meier Survival (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 200

20

40

60

80

100

<1 Year (N = 1,673) 1-10 Years (N = 2,741)11-17 Years (N =2,934) Overall (N = 7,348)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Half-life: <1: n.c.; 1-10: 19.2 Years; 11-17: 15.9 Years

ISHLT 2012

0-<1 vs. 1-10: p = 0.0003 0-<1 vs. 11-17: p < 0.00011-10 vs. 11-17: p < 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 23: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Era (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 200

20

40

60

80

1001982-1989 (N=925) 1990-1999 (N=3,872)

2000-6/2010 (N=4,806)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Half-life 1982-1989: 9.1 years; 1990-1999: 13.9 years; 2000-6/2010: n.c.

ISHLT 2012

All p-values significant at p = 0.001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 24: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSConditional Kaplan-Meier Survival for Recent Era

(Transplants: 1/2000-6/2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 750

60

70

80

90

100

<1 Year (N = 841) 1-10 Years (N = 1,463)11-17 Years (N = 1,502) Overall (N = 3,554)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

0-<1 vs. 1-10: p = 0.02720-<1 vs. 11-17: p = 0.0008 1-10 vs. 11-17: p < 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 25: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Era (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

Age: < 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 170

20

40

60

80

100

1982-1989 (N=188) 1990-1999 (N=1,077)2000-6/2010 (N=1,131)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

1982-1989 vs. 1990-1999: p = 0.00571982-1989 vs. 2000-6/2010: p < 0.0001 1990-1999 vs. 2000-6/2010: p < 0.0001Half-life 1982-1989: 10.8 years; 1990-1999: 18.3 years; 2000-6/2010: n.c.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 26: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Era (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

Age: 1-10 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 170

20

40

60

80

100 1982-1989 (N = 288) 1990-1999 (N=1,425)2000-6/2010 (N=1,799)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

All p-values significant at p = 0.0001

Half-life 1982-1989: 8.0; 1990-1999: 14.3; 2000-6/2010: n.c.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 27: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Era (Transplants: 1/1982-6/2010)

Age: 11-17 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 190

20

40

60

80

1001982-1989 (N=449) 1990-1999 (N=1,370)2000-6/2010 (N=1,876)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

1982-1989 vs. 1990-1999: p = 0.01581982-1989 vs. 2000-6/2010: p < 0.0001 1990-1999 vs. 2000-6/2010: p = 0.0311

Half-life 1982-1989: 9.3; 1990-1999: 11.4; 2000-6/2010: n.c.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 28: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis (Transplants: 2000-6/2010)

Age: < 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

Congenital (N=662) Cardiomyopathy (N=422)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

p-value < 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 29: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis (Transplants: 2000-6/2010)

Age: 1 - 10 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

Congenital (N=652) Cardiomyopathy (N=1,001)Retransplant (N=83)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

Congenital vs. Cardiomyopathy: p < 0.0001Congenital vs. Retransplant: p = 0.0154Cardiomyopathy vs. Retransplant: p < 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 30: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Diagnosis (Transplants: 2000-6/2010)

Age: 11 - 17 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

20

40

60

80

100

Congenital (N=423) Cardiomyopathy (N=1,185)Retransplant (N=164)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

Congenital vs. Cardiomyopathy: p = 0.0526 Congenital vs. Retransplant: p = 0.1841Cardiomyopathy vs. Retransplant: p=0.0024

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 31: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Patient vs. Graft Survival (Transplants: 1/2000-6/2010)

Average Center Volume: 1-4 Transplants per Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90

20

40

60

80

100

Patient (N=1,500) Graft (N=1,500)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

p = 0.1973

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 32: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Patient vs. Graft Survival (Transplants: 1/2000-6/2010)

Average Center Volume: 5-9 Transplants per Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90

20

40

60

80

100

Patient (N=1,193) Graft (N=1,193)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

p = 0.0580

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 33: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Patient vs. Graft Survival (Transplants: 1/2000-6/2010)

Average Center Volume: 10+ Transplants per Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90

20

40

60

80

100

Patient (N=2,113) Graft (N=2,113)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

ISHLT 2012

p = 0.0135

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 34: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Cross-Sectional Analysis

Functional Status of Surviving Recipients (Follow-ups: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

1 Year (N = 1,130) 3 Years (N = 944) 5 Year (N = 789)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No Activity Limitations Performs with Some AssistanceRequires Total Assistance

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 35: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Functional Status of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: January 2000 – June 2011)Age: <1 Year

ISHLT 2012

1 Year (N = 246) 3 Year (N = 251) 5 Year (N = 240)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No Activity Limitations Performs with Some AssistanceRequires Total Assistance

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 36: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Functional Status of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: January 2000 – June 2011)Age: 1-10 Years

ISHLT 2012

1 Year (N = 444) 3 Year (N = 350) 5 Year (N = 295)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No Activity Limitations Performs with Some AssistanceRequires Total Assistance

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 37: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Functional Status of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: January 2000 – June 2011)Age: 11-17 Years

ISHLT 2012

1 Year (N = 440) 3 Year (N = 343) 5 Year (N = 254)0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

No Activity Limitations Performs with Some AssistanceRequires Total Assistance

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 38: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSFunctional Status of Surviving Recipients

US Recipients Only(Follow-ups: March 2005 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1 Year (N = 1,712)

2 Years (N = 1,533)

3 Years (N = 1,388)

10% 20%

30% 40%

50% 60%

70% 80%

90% 100%

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 39: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSRehospitalization Post-transplant of Surviving Recipients

(Follow-ups: January 2000 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1 Year (N = 3,361)

3 Years (N =2,675)

5 Years (N = 2,153)

No Hospitalization Hospitalized, Not Rejection/Not InfectionHospitalized, Rejection Hospitalized, Infection OnlyHospitalized, Rejection + Infection

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 40: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSInduction Immunosuppression

(Transplants: January 2001 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

Any Induction (N = 1,982)

Polyclonal ALG/ATG (N =

1,332)

OKT3 (N = 56) IL-2R Antagonist (N = 659)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

% o

f Pat

ient

s

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the discharge

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 41: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSInduction Immunosuppression

(Transplants: January 2001 – June 30, 2011)

ISHLT 2012Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the discharge

20012003

20052007

2009

1/11-6/112001

20032005

20072009

1/11-6/112001

20032005

20072009

1/11-6/110

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

% o

f Pat

ient

s

Any Induction Polyclonal ALG/ATG IL-2R AntagonistTest of increasing trend over time:Any induction p < 0.0001Polyclonal p < 0.0001IL-2R p < 0.0001

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 42: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Induction Group Conditional on

Survival to 14 Days (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 950

60

70

80

90

100

No induction (N = 1,527)

Polyclonal induction (N = 1,237)

IL-2R antagonist (N = 524)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

No comparisons are statistically significant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 43: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival by Induction Group and Treated Rejection

Between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-up (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2010)

Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 550

60

70

80

90

100

No induction/No rejection (N = 462)Polyclonal induction/No rejection (N = 469)IL-2R antagonist/No rejection (N = 207)No induction/Treated Rejection (N = 142)Polyclonal induction/Treated Rejection (N = 169)IL-2R antagonist/Treated Rejection (N = 80)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

No pair-wise comparisons of survival by induction are statistically significant within either rejection grouping

ISHLT 2012

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 44: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Induction Group Conditional on

Survival to 14 Days (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)Age: <1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 650

60

70

80

90

100

No induction (N = 346)

Polyclonal induction (N = 430)

IL-2R antagonist (N = 81)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

No comparisons are statistically significant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 45: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Induction Group Conditional on

Survival to 14 Days (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)Age: 1-10 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 750

60

70

80

90

100

No induction (N = 604)

Polyclonal induction (N = 433)

IL-2R antagonist (N = 206)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

No comparisons are statistically significant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 46: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival by Induction Group Conditional on

Survival to 14 Days (Transplants: January 2000 – June 2010)Age: 11-17 Years

0 1 2 3 4 5 650

60

70

80

90

100

No induction (N =577)

Polyclonal induction (N = 374)

IL-2R antagonist (N = 237)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

No comparisons are statistically significant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 47: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSMaintenance Immunosuppression at Time of Follow-up

(Follow-ups: January 2001 – June 2011)

Cyclosporine Tacrolimus Sirolimus/Everolimus

MMF/MPA Azathioprine Prednisone0

20

40

60

80

100Year 1 (N = 2,904) Year 5 (N = 1,842)

% o

f Pat

ient

s

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

ISHLT 2012Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 48: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Maintenance Immunosuppression at Time of Follow-up

for Same Patients at Each Time Point(Follow-ups: January 2001 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Year 1 (N = 1,180)

Year 5 (N = 1,180)

None

Other

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA + Sirolimus/Everolimus

Tacrolimus + Sirolimus/Everolimus

Tacrolimus

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA

Tacrolimus + AZA

Cyclosporine

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA

Cyclosporine + AZA

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 49: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Maintenance Immunosuppression Drug Combinations at

Time of Follow-up (Follow-ups: January 2001 – June 2011)

ISHLT 2012

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Year 1 (N = 2,904)

Year 5 (N = 1,842)

None

Other

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA + Sirolimus/Everolimus

Tacrolimus + Sirolimus/Everolimus

Tacrolimus

Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA

Tacrolimus + AZA

Cyclosporine

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA

Cyclosporine + AZA

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

NOTE: Different patients are analyzed in Year 1 and Year 5

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 50: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival Based on Prednisone Use

Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1050

60

70

80

90

100

Prednisone use at discharge and 1 year (N = 1,631)

No Prednisone at discharge or at 1 year (N = 484)

Prednisone at discharge/not at 1 year (N = 460)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

p = 0.0009

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 51: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival Stratified by Tacrolimus vs.

Cyclosporine Use at DischargeConditional on Survival to 14 Days (Transplants: January 2000 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1050

60

70

80

90

100

Tacrolimus use at discharge (N = 1,902)

Cyclosporine use at discharge (N = 1,243)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

p = 0.1599

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 52: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival Stratified by Tacrolimus vs. Cyclosporine Use

Conditional on Survival to 1 Year (Transplants: January 2000 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1050

60

70

80

90

100

Cyclosporine use at discharge and 1 year (N = 787)Tacrolimus use at discharge and 1 year (N = 1,458)Cyclosporine use at discharge/Tacrolimus at 1 year (N = 241)Tacrolimus use at discharge/Cyclosporine at 1 year (N = 33)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

p = 0.0567

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 53: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year

Conditional on survival to 1 year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 650

60

70

80

90

100

Free from Rejection during 1 year (N = 942)

Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 438)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

p = 0.0151

ISHLT 2012

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year

Stratified by Calcineurin Use at DischargeConditional on survival to 1 year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 5 650

60

70

80

90

100

CyA: Free from Rejection during 1 year (N = 238)CyA: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 139)TAC: Free from Rejection during 1 year (N = 648)TAC: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 262)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Free from Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.5818Treated Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.0332 CyA: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.9998TAC: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.0067

ISHLT 2012

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 55: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year

Stratified by Calcineurin Use at Discharge: Age = 0-10 YearsConditional on survival to 1 year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 4 550

60

70

80

90

100

CyA: Free from Rejection during 1 year (N = 172)CyA: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 91)TAC: Free from Rejection during 1 year (N = 426)TAC: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 146)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Free from Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.6663Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.2116 CyA: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.5128TAC: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.0361

ISHLT 2012

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 56: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTSKaplan-Meier Survival Based on Treated Rejection within 1st Year

Stratified by Calcineurin Use at Discharge: Age = 11-17 Years Conditional on survival to 1 year (1-Year Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2010)

0 1 2 3 450

60

70

80

90

100

CyA: Free from Rejection during 1st Year (N = 66)CyA: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N =48)TAC: Free from Rejection during 1st Year (N = 222)TAC: Treated Rejection within 1st Year (N = 116)

Years

Surv

ival

(%)

Free from Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.9896Treated Rejection: CyA vs. TAC p = 0.0944 CyA: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.4559TAC: Rejection vs. no rejection p = 0.1451

ISHLT 2012

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 57: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Era (Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

7/2004-6/2008, Treatment 7/2004-6/2008, Rejection/Not Treated7/2008-6/2011, Treatment 7/2008-6/2011, Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1 y

ear

All pair-wise comparisons were statistically significant at < 0.02

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17 Female Male

ISHLT 2012 Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Induction (Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

No induction, Treatment No induction, Rejection/Not TreatedInduction (no OKT3), Treatment Induction (no OKT3), Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1

year

No comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17 Female Male

ISHLT 2012 Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 59: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Type of Induction (Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

No induction, Treatment No induction, Rejection/Not TreatedPolyclonal, Treatment Polyclonal, Rejection/Not TreatedIL-2R antagonist, Treatment ILR antagonist, Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1 y

ear

No comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05 except:Overall – No induction vs. IL-2R antagonist (p=0.0371)

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17 Female Male

ISHLT 2012 Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 60: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression and Induction(Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

CyA+No induction, Treatment CyA+No induction, Rejection/Not TreatedCyA+Induction (no OKT3), Treatment CyA+Induction (no OKT3), Rejection/Not TreatedTAC+No induction, Treatment TAC+No induction, Rejection/Not TreatedTAC+Induction (no OKT3), Treatment TAC+Induction (no OKT3), Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1 y

ear

All pair-wise comparisons were significant at 0.05 except: CyA + no induction vs. CyA + induction (overall and all age groups); TAC + no induction vs. TAC + induction (overall and all age groups); CyA + induction vs. TAC + no induction (<1); CyA + induction vs. TAC + induction (<1).

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17

ISHLT 2012

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 61: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Maintenance Immunosuppression(Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0102030405060

Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA, Treatment Cyclosporine + MMF/MPA, Rejection/Not TreatedCyclosporine + AZA, Treatment Cyclosporine + AZA, Rejection/Not TreatedTacrolimus + MMF/MPA, Treatment Tacrolimus + MMF/MPA, Rejection/Not TreatedTacrolimus + AZA, Treatment Tacrolimus + AZA, Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1 y

ear

Overall: all comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05 except CyA+MMF/MPA vs. CyA+AZA and TAC+MMF/MPA vs. TAC+AZA<1: CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA (p =0.0008)1-10: CyA + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA (p = 0.0002); CyA + AZA vs. TAC + MMF/MPA (p=0.0011).11-17: all comparisons were statistically significant at 0.05 except CyA +MMF/MPA vs. CyA +AZA and TAC + MMF/MPA vs. TAC + AZA

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17

ISHLT 2012

Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 62: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PERCENTAGE OF PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS Experiencing Rejection between Transplant Discharge and 1-Year Follow-Up

Stratified by Stratified by Calcineurin Inhibitor Use at Discharge(Follow-ups: July 2004 - June 2011)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Cyclosporine, Treatment Cyclosporine, Rejection/Not TreatedTacrolimus, Treatment Tacrolimus, Rejection/Not Treated

% e

xper

ienc

ing

reje

ctio

n w

ithin

1 y

ear

Overall: CyA vs. TAC (p < 0.0001)<1: CyA vs. TAC (p = 0.0046) 1-10: CyA vs. TAC (p = 0.0001)11-17: CyA vs. TAC (p < 0.0001)

Overall < 1 1-10 11-17

ISHLT 2012 Analysis is limited to patients who were alive at the time of the follow-up

Treated rejection = Recipient was reported to (1) have at least one acute rejection episode that was treated with an anti-rejection agent; or (2) have been hospitalized for rejection.No rejection = Recipient had (i) no acute rejection episodes and (ii) was reported either as not hospitalized for rejection or did not receive anti-rejection agents.

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 63: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1250

60

70

80

90

100

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 64: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Stratified by Induction

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1050

60

70

80

90

100

Induction (N = 1,894)No Induction (N = 2,071)

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

p = 0.2843

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 65: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

Stratified by Tacrolimus vs. Cyclosporine Use Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 950

60

70

80

90

100

Cyclosporine use at discharge and 1 year (N = 841)Tacrolimus use at discharge and 1 year (N = 1,354)Cyclosporine use at discharge/Tacrolimus at 1 year (N = 253)Tacrolimus use at discharge/Cyclosporine at 1 year (N = 35)

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

p = 0.7785

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 66: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

Stratified by Age Group

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 950

60

70

80

90

100

<1 Year (N = 759)

1-10 Years (N = 1,113)

11-17 Years (N = 1,091)

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

p < 0.0001

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 67: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

Stratified by Ischemia Time

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 950

60

70

80

90

100

0-<2 hours (N=267)

2-<4 hours (N=1,520)

4+ hours (N=929)

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

p = 0.0232

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 68: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Coronary Artery VasculopathyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

Stratified by Ischemia Time and Recipient Age

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 950

60

70

80

90

100

0-<2 hours/0-10 years (N=157)2+ hours/0-10 years (N=1,555)0-<2 hours/11-17 years (N=110)2+ hours/11-17 years (N=894)

Years

% F

ree

from

CA

V

0-10 years: p = 0.029711-17 years: p = 0.4690

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 69: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Graft Survival Following Report of Coronary Artery Vasculopathy

For Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)Stratified by Age Group

0 1 2 3 4 50

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

<1 Year (N = 54)

1-10 Years (N = 123)

11-17 Years (N = 176)

Time since Report of CAV (Years)

Surv

ival

sin

ce R

epor

t of C

AV

(%)

p = 0.7238

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 70: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction*For Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1150

60

70

80

90

100

Years

% F

ree

from

Sev

ere

Ren

al D

ys-

func

tion * Severe renal dysfunction = Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl

(221 μmol/L), dialysis or renal transplant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 71: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Severe Renal Dysfunction*For Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: 2000 – June 2011)

Stratified by Tacrolimus vs. Cyclosporine Use Conditional on Survival to 1 Year

ISHLT 2012

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1050

60

70

80

90

100

Cyclosporine use at discharge and 1 year (N = 870)

Years

% F

ree

from

Sev

ere

Ren

al D

ys-

func

tion * Severe renal dysfunction = Creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl

(221 μmol/L), dialysis or renal transplant

p = 0.3394

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 72: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Freedom from Renal Replacement TherapyFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1550

60

70

80

90

100

Years

% F

ree

from

Sev

ere

Ren

al D

ys-

func

tion

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 73: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

Malignancy Post-Heart Transplant for PediatricsCumulative Morbidity Rates in Survivors

(Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

Malignancy/Type 1-Year Survivors

5-Year Survivors

10-Year Survivors

No Malignancy 4,358 (98.3%) 1,900 (95.1%) 579 (91.2%)

Malignancy (all types combined) 76 (1.7%) 97 (4.9%) 56 (8.8%)

Malignancy Type*

Lymphoma 70 92 53

Other 5 5 4

Skin 0 1 1

Type Not Reported 1 0 0

*Recipients may have experienced more than one type of malignancy so sum of individual malignancy types may be greater than total number with malignancy.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 74: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

FREEDOM FROM MALIGNANCYFor Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 150

20

40

60

80

100

All malignancy Lymphoma Skin Other

Years

% F

ree

from

Mal

igna

ncy

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 75: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

FREEDOM FROM MALIGNANCYby Maintenance Immunosuppression Combinations at Discharge

For Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: January 2000 - June 2011) Conditional on Survival to 1 year

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 850

60

70

80

90

100

Cyclosporine use at discharge and 1 year (N = 772)Tacrolimus use at discharge and 1 year (N = 1,371)Cyclosporine use at discharge and Tacrolimus use at 1 year (N = 245)Tacrolimus use at discharge and Cyclosporine use at 1 year (N = 33)

Years

% F

ree

from

Mal

igna

ncy

ISHLT 2012

p = 0.0385

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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FREEDOM FROM LYMPHOMA BY INDUCTION For Pediatric Heart Recipients (Follow-ups: April 1994 – June 2011)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1550

60

70

80

90

100

Induction (N=1,858)No Induction (N=1,854)

Years

% F

ree

from

Lym

phom

a

ISHLT 2012

p = 0.5803

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Incidence of Hypertension between 1 and 3 Years

(Transplants: January 2000 - June 2008)

Maintenance Immunosuppression at discharge and 1 year

% HTN reported between 1 and 3 years

P-valueFor Patients on

drugFor Patients not on drug

Azathioprine 20.1 24.9 0.1917

Cyclosporine 24.7 21.6 0.3397

MMF/MPA 23.8 23.9 0.9864

Prednisone 26.9 20.9 0.0987

Sirolimus/Everolimus 35.7 23.3 0.3363

Tacrolimus 23.4 24.3 0.7847

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

Page 78: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTS Incidence of Hypertension between 3 and 5 Years

(Transplants: January 2000 - June 2006)

Maintenance Immunosuppression at discharge and 1 year

% HTN reported between 3 and 5 years

P-valueFor Patients

on drugFor Patients not on drug

Azathioprine 13.1 17.5 0.3137

Cyclosporine 14.2 17.0 0.5003MMF/MPA 15.3 16.1 0.8745Prednisone 18.8 10.0 0.0607Sirolimus/Everolimus 16.7 16.1 > 0.9999

Tacrolimus 17.7 14.8 0.4838

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 79: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RECIPIENTSRelationship of Rejection and Coronary Artery Vasculopathy

(Follow-ups: July 2004 – June 2011)

Rejection During 1st Year

Reported CAV between 1st and 3rd years post-transplant

Yes No All

Yes 175.4%

30094.6%

317100%

No 254.6%

52195.4%

546100%

p = 0.6058

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 80: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 540

50

60

70

80

90

100

<1 Year (N=57) 1-<3 Years (N=45) 3-<5 Years (N=52) 5+ Years (N=192)Primary TX (N=6,762)

Surr

viva

l (%

)

Comparison of survival for re-transplant groups: p = 0.0002

Time (years) since most recent transplant

PEDIATRIC HEART RETRANSPLANTS Kaplan-Meier Survival Rates Stratified by Inter-Transplant Interval

(Re-transplants: January 1994 - June 2010)

Only patients who were less than 18 years old at the time of re-transplant are included.

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 81: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART RE-TRANSPLANTSBy Transplant Year

(Re-transplants: January 1994 – December 2010)

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Num

ber o

f tra

nspl

ants

Year of re-transplantOnly patients who were less than 18 years old at the time of re-transplant are included.ISHLT 2012

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 82: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

<1 month 1-<12 months

12-<36 months

36-<60 months

60+ months Not reported0

10

20

30

40

50

0-10 Years 11-17 Years

% o

f Re-

Tran

spla

nts

Time Between Previous and Current Transplant

PEDIATRIC HEART RE-TRANSPLANTSBy Inter-transplant Interval

(Re-transplants: January 1994 - June 2011)

Only patients who were less than 18 years old at the time of re-transplant are included. Analysis is based on the age at the time of re-transplant

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 83: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS: Cause of Death (Deaths: January 2000 - June 2011)

CAUSE OF DEATH 0-30 Days (N = 240)

31 Days - 1 Year (N = 282)

>1 Year - 3 Years (N = 240)

>3 Years - 5 Years (N = 191)

>5 Years - 10 Years (N = 335)

>10 Years(N = 262)

CORONARY ARTERY VASCULOPATHY 3 (1.3%) 14 (5.0%) 40 (16.7%) 47 (24.6%) 84 (25.1%) 71 (27.1%)

ACUTE REJECTION 22 (9.2%) 50 (17.7%) 47 (19.6%) 24 (12.6%) 43 (12.8%) 13 (5.0%)

LYMPHOMA   6 (2.1%) 5 (2.1%) 7 (3.7%) 26 (7.8%) 20 (7.6%)

MALIGNANCY, OTHER   1 (0.4%) 3 (1.3%) 1 (0.5%) 5 (1.5%) 10 (3.8%)

CMV   7 (2.5%) 1 (0.4%)      

INFECTION, NON-CMV 30 (12.5%) 37 (13.1%) 16 (6.7%) 8 (4.2%) 14 (4.2%) 18 (6.9%)

GRAFT FAILURE 80 (33.3%) 42 (14.9%) 74 (30.8%) 66 (34.6%) 106 (31.6%) 75 (28.6%)

TECHNICAL 20 (8.3%) 2 (0.7%) 1 (0.4%) 1 (0.5%) 4 (1.2%) 6 (2.3%)

OTHER 16 (6.7%) 23 (8.2%) 27 (11.3%) 16 (8.4%) 26 (7.8%) 21 (8.0%)

MULTIPLE ORGAN FAILURE 32 (13.3%) 53 (18.8%) 11 (4.6%) 8 (4.2%) 9 (2.7%) 11 (4.2%)

RENAL FAILURE   7 (2.5%) 1 (0.4%) 1 (0.5%) 1 (0.3%) 7 (2.7%)

PULMONARY 11 (4.6%) 27 (9.6%) 10 (4.2%) 7 (3.7%) 10 (3.0%) 6 (2.3%)

CEREBROVASCULAR 26 (10.8%) 13 (4.6%) 4 (1.7%) 5 (2.6%) 7 (2.1%) 4 (1.5%)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 84: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANT RECIPIENTS:Relative Incidence of Leading Causes of Death

(Deaths: January 2000 - June 2011)

0-30 Days(N = 240)

31 Days - 1 Year(N = 282)

>1 Year - 3 Years (N = 240)

>3 Years - 5 Years (N = 191)

>5 Years - 10 Years (N = 335)

>10 Years(N = 262)

0

10

20

30

40

50CAV Acute Rejection Infection (non-CMV) Graft Failure

Perc

enta

ge o

f Dea

ths

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 85: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

VARIABLE N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

ECMO, age = 0 years 129 2.98 <.0001 2.11.-4.21Retransplant 212 1.98 0.0017 1.29-3.05Congenital diagnosis 1376 1.98 <.0001 1.51-2.59ECMO, age = 1-17 years 145 1.91 0.0033 1.24-2.93On dialysis 108 1.68 0.0073 1.15-2.46On ventilator 696 1.57 0.0003 1.23-2.01Prior sternotomy 815 1.55 0.0014 1.19-2.02Donor cause of death = cerebrovascular/stroke vs. head trauma 387 1.45 0.023 1.05-1.99Male donor/female recip vs. male donor/male recip 893 1.39 0.0125 1.07-1.80

Previous transfusions 1155 1.28 0.0416 1.01-1.61Donor cause of death = anoxia vs. head trauma 335 0.68 0.0033 0.53-0.88

N = 3,417Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 3,417

ISHLT 2012

VARIABLE N Relative Risk P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Donor with prior clinical infection 912 0.81 0.0816 0.63-1.03

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 87: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Donor age Ischemia time

Recipient pre-transplant creatinine

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 88: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Donor Age

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 400.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Donor Age

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.022

ISHLT 2012

(N = 3,417)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 89: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Pre-Transplant Creatinine

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.50.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Recipient creatinine (mg/dl)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0381

ISHLT 2012 (N = 3,417)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 90: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Ischemia time

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Ischemia time (hours)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0099

ISHLT 2012 (N = 3,417)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 91: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Age = <1 Year

Risk Factors For 1 Year MortalityVARIABLE N Relative

RiskP-value 95% Confidence

Interval

ECMO, diagnosis = congenital 80 3.09 <.0001 1.94-4.92

PRA > 10% 64 2.65 0.0006 1.52-4.61

ECMO, diagnosis = not congenital 48 2.37 0.0057 1.29-4.38

On dialysis 30 2.35 0.0026 1.35-4.10

Donor cause of death = cerebrovascular/stroke vs. head trauma 33 2.27 0.0141 1.18-4.36

Prior sternotomy 181 2.24 <.0001 1.49-3.36

On ventilator 358 2.15 <.0001 1.50-3.09

N = 902Reference group = Congenital, no devices

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 92: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009) Age = <1 Year

Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 902

ISHLT 2012

VARIABLE N Relative Risk P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Infection requiring IV drug therapy (within 2wk/TX) 257 1.40 0.0579 0.99-1.99

Transplant year: 2002-2003 vs. 2000-2001 161 0.59 0.0747 0.33-1.05

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 93: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009) Age = <1 Year

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient pre-transplant creatinine Ischemia time

Volume of pediatric transplants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 94: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = <1 Year

Recipient Pre-Transplant Creatinine

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.00.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Recipient creatinine (mg/dl)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0036

ISHLT 2012 (N = 902)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 95: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = <1 Year

Ischemia time

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 80.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Ischemia time (hours)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0005

ISHLT 2012 (N = 902)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 96: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = <1 Year

Center Volume for Pediatric Transplants

0 5 10 15 20 250.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Center volume (cases per year)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0096

ISHLT 2012 (N = 902)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 97: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Age = 1-10 Years

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

VARIABLE N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

ECMO 104 1.96 0.0157 1.14-3.38

Previous transfusion 380 1.92 0.001 1.30-2.83

Diagnosis = congenital 521 1.83 0.0049 1.20-2.78

Donor cause of death = anoxia vs. head trauma 324 0.46 0.0023 0.28-0.76

N = 1,306Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009) Age = 1-10 Year s

Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

N = 1,306

ISHLT 2012

VARIABLE N Relative Risk P-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Female recipient 664 1.45 0.0546 0.99-2.11

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 99: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009) Age = 1-10 Year s

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Recipient pre-transplant creatinine

Recipient height Recipient pre-transplant bilirubin

Donor BSA

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

Page 100: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 1-10 Years

Recipient Age

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

Recipient Age (years)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.00143

ISHLT 2012NOTE: Due to the correlation in donor size, recipient size and recipient age, the interpretation of the impact of each factor should be considered in the context of the other factors.

(N = 1,306)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 1-10 Years

Recipient Height

65 75 85 95 105 115 125 135 145 1550.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Recipient Height (cm)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0055

NOTE: Due to the correlation in donor size, recipient size and recipient age, the interpretation of the impact of each factor should be considered in the context of the other factors.

(N = 1,306)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

Page 102: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 1-10 Years

Donor BSA

0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.80.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

Donor BSA (m2)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.042

ISHLT 2012NOTE: Due to the correlation in donor size, recipient size and recipient age, the interpretation of the impact of each factor should be considered in the context of the other factors.

(N = 1,306)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 1-10 Years

Recipient Pre-Transplant Creatinine

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.30.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

Recipient creatinine (mg/dl)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0018

(N = 1,306)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 104: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 1-10 Years

Recipient Pre-Transplant Bilirubin

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.30.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient bilirubin (mg/dl)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.0052

(N = 1,306)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 105: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Age = 11-17 Years

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

VARIABLE N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Retransplant 132 2.63 0.0006 1.51-4.58

Diagnosis = congenital 296 2.07 0.0017 1.31-3.25

Previous transfusion 284 1.60 0.0292 1.05-2.45

Donor cause of death = anoxia vs. head trauma 162 0.36 0.024 0.15-0.87

N = 1,200Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009) Age = 11-17 Year s

Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient pre-transplant bilirubin Height ratio (borderline)

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 107: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 11-17 Years

Recipient Pre-Transplant Bilirubin

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.00

1

2

3

4

Recipient bilirubin (mg/dl)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.0228

(N = 1,200)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 108: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (2000-2009)Risk Factors For 1 Year Mortality in Age = 11-17 Years

Donor Height/Recipient Height Ratio

0.9 1.0 1.1 1.20.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Donor height/recipient height

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.0574

ISHLT 2012 (N = 1,200)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 109: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

VARIABLEN Relative

RiskP-value 95% Confidence

Interval

ECMO, age = 0 years 78 2.50 <.0001 1.77-3.54

ECMO, age = 11-17 years 42 2.01 0.0086 1.19-3.40

Retransplant 179 1.93 <.0001 1.44-2.59

Diagnosis = congenital 1246 1.62 <.0001 1.36-1.91

On dialysis 77 1.50 0.0285 1.04-2.15

PRA > 10% 297 1.49 0.0002 1.21-1.85

Male donor/female recip vs. male donor/male recip 723 1.37 0.0013 1.13-1.67

On ventilator 554 1.28 0.016 1.05-1.67

N = 2,940Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

VARIABLEN Relative

RiskP-value 95% Confidence

IntervalInfection requiring IV drug therapy (within 2wk/TX) 448 1.20 0.0702 0.99-1.46

N = 2,940Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Recipient age Estimated GFR (borderline)

Volume of pediatric transplants (borderline)

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Age

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 170.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Recipient Age (years)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 5

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.0002

(N = 2,904)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 113: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Center Volume for Pediatric Transplants

0 5 10 15 20 250.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center volume (cases per year)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 5

Yea

r Mor

talit

y

p = 0.0728

(N = 2,904)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 114: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1996-2005)Risk Factors For 5 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Pre-Transplant Estimated GFR

30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 1200.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Estimated GFR (mL/min/1.73 m2)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 5

Yea

r Mor

talit

y p = 0.0687

(N = 2,904)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

ISHLT 2012

Page 115: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

VARIABLE N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Retransplant 135 2.21 <.0001 1.73-2.84

ECMO, age = 0 years 36 1.8 0.0095 1.15-2.82

On ventilator 492 1.31 0.0009 1.12-1.54

Diagnosis = congenital 1501 1.29 0.0001 1.13-1.46Male donor/female recip vs. male donor/male recip 777 1.27 0.0017 1.09-1.47

Transplant year: 1995/1996 vs. 1991/1992 609 0.82 0.0314 0.68-0.98

0-3 vs. 4-6 total HLA mismatches 297 0.76 0.01 0.62-0.94

Transplant year: 1999/2000 vs. 1991/1992 704 0.73 0.0009 0.61-0.88

Transplant year: 1997/1998 vs. 1991/1992 707 0.66 <.0001 0.55-0.80

N = 3,263Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Borderline Significant Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

VARIABLEN Relative

RiskP-value 95% Confidence

Interval

Balloon pump 35 1.59 0.0517 1.00-2.54

Diagnosis = not myopathy, congenital or retransplant 160 1.28 0.0676 0.98-1.66

Donor cause of death = anoxia vs. head trauma 558 0.85 0.0624 0.72-1.01

N = 3,263Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Donor age Recipient weight

Volume of pediatric transplants

J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095ISHLT 2012

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Donor Age

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 400.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Donor Age (years)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

0 Ye

ar M

orta

lity p = 0.0074

ISHLT 2012 (N = 3,263)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Recipient Weight

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 900.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Recipient Weight (kg)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

0 Ye

ar M

orta

lity

p = 0.0048

ISHLT 2012 (N = 3,263)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 120: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1991-2000)Risk Factors For 10 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Center Volume for Pediatric Transplants

0 5 10 15 20 250.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center volume (cases per year)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

0 Ye

ar M

orta

lity

p = 0.0041

ISHLT 2012 (N = 3,263)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 121: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1988-1995)Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality

VARIABLE N Relative Risk

P-value 95% Confidence Interval

Retransplant 69 1.66 0.0024 1.20-2.30

Balloon pump 31 1.62 0.0368 1.03-2.56

Recipient history of malignancy 45 1.60 0.0116 1.11-2.31

On ventilator 397 1.28 0.0031 1.09-1.51

Diagnosis = congenital 1076 1.16 0.0436 1.00-1.35

N = 2,113Reference group = Cardiomyopathy, no devices

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1988-1995)Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality

Continuous Factors (see figures)

Donor age Volume of pediatric transplants

ISHLT 2012J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

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PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1988-1995)Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Donor Age

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 400.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Donor Age (years)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

5 Ye

ar M

orta

lity p = 0.0061

ISHLT 2012 (N = 2,113)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095

Page 124: HEART TRANSPLANTATION

PEDIATRIC HEART TRANSPLANTS (1988-1995)Risk Factors For 15 Year Mortality with 95% Confidence Limits

Center Volume for Pediatric Transplants

0 5 10 15 20 250.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Center volume (cases per year)

Rel

ativ

e R

isk

of 1

5 Ye

ar M

orta

lity

p = 0.0004

ISHLT 2012 (N = 2,113)J Heart Lung Transplant.  2012 Oct; 31(10): 1045-1095