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HEALTH TECHNOLOGY HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it Has the UK got it right? right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

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Page 1: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

HEALTH TECHNOLOGY HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENTASSESSMENT

Has the UK got it right?Has the UK got it right?

Michael DrummondCentre for Health Economics

University of YorkUnited Kingdom

Page 2: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Disclosure of Interests

• Chair of the NICE Guidelines Review Panel on Primary Care

• Centre for Health Economics is one of the independent review groups for the NICE Technology Appraisal process

• Recipient of grants from the NHS R and D

• Consultant for industry

Page 3: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Outline of Presentation

• Structure of health technology assessment (HTA) in the United Kingdom (UK)

• Key features of the HTA process

• How do we do?

• Conclusions

Page 4: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Structure of HTA in the UK

• NCCHTA:– Based in Wessex.– Commissions a wide range of empirical and

theoretical projects.– Administers contracts for NICE Technology

Assessment Reviews (TARs).• NICE:

– Programmes in Technology Appraisals, Clinical Guidelines and Public Health.

• SMC:– Produces evaluations of all new medicines launched

in Scotland.

Page 5: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Other Players in HTA in the United Kingdom

• NHS methodology programme

• Activities in Wales and Northern Ireland

• MRC and ESRC projects/fellowships

• Private research foundations

• Manufacturers of drugs and devices

• Health authorities

Page 6: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Key Features of the HTA Process

• Selection of topics

• Assessment procedures

• Stakeholder involvement

• Methodological development

Page 7: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Key Features of the HTA Process (continued)

• Developing a critical mass of skilled personnel

• Maintaining international links

• Implementation of HTA findings

• Transparency in decision-making

Page 8: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Cross-National Comparisons of Technology Assessment Processes

• Comparison of VATAP (USA), NICE (UK), CCOHTA (Canada) and AETS (Spain)

• Considered: (i) the reasons for the choice of topics,(ii) the types of technologies assessed,(iii) the methods of assessment and(iv) the outcomes of assessments

Garcia–Altés et al, Int. J. Tech. Assess. Health Care 2004

Page 9: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Health Policy Issues dealt with in the Assessments

Topic VATAP NICE CCOHTA AETS

Is the assessment the result of a formal prioritization process?

Is the assessment the result of a political decision?

Did the assessment include economic evaluation methods?

Did any stakeholders participate in the assessment?

Did the assessment include additional funding besides the own resources of the organization?

Source: Garcia–Altés et al, Int. J. Tech. Assess. Health Care 2004

Page 10: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Selection of Topics

• In England the Department of Health sets NICE’s agenda.

• In Scotland the SMC considers every new drug.

• The NCCHTA and NHS Methodology Programme consult widely on topics, but then commission projects.

Page 11: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Selection of Topics:Observations

• Unlikely to be cost-effective to assess every new technology

• The mechanisms to select topics in England are not totally transparent

• Sometimes the choices have been strange (e.g. appraisals when a major trial will report in 1-2 years)

Page 12: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Selection of Topics:Observations (continued)

• Procedures are required to ensure appropriate use of technologies that are not appraised (e.g. drugs in the Netherlands).

• The approach followed by NICE allows groups of similar technologies to be compared. (This has both advantages and disadvantages.)

Page 13: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Assessing Drugs in the Same Class Together

• Most common with NICE in the UK, although there are a few examples from elsewhere (e.g. Canada).

• Main problem is the lack of head-to-head clinical studies.

• Puts the onus on manufacturers to demonstrate extra benefits to justify a premium price.

Page 14: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

NICE’s Single Technology Appraisals

• A new ‘fast track’ procedure introduced in response to concerns over the time taken by NICE’s standard approach.

• So far applies to drugs, in the main cancer drugs.

• Will place more emphasis on analyses submitted by the manufacturer and incorporate less external review.

Page 15: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

NICE’s Single Technology Appraisals

• May suffice in situations where the number of comparators is limited

• Raises further questions about the methods for prioritising topics

• Raises issues about burden of proof and responsibility for the results of the appraisal

Page 16: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Assessment Procedures

• The majority of HTA agencies undertake assessments in-house, although probably all commission some work outside (e.g. in Canada, CCOHTA spends 25% of its budget outside).

• In England, NICE places considerable emphasis on independent review by academic groups

• By-and-large the independent review groups apply ‘Cochrane-style’ methods.

Page 17: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Is Independent Review Cost-Effective?

• Re-affirms the ‘arms length’ nature of HTA (assessment ≠ appraisal)

• More transparent and may help resolve disputes when multiple products are being considered, but:

• The Scots claim they reach the same decisions at a fraction of the (assessment) cost

• Systematic reviews place emphasis on RCTs as compared with other study designs

• Sometimes the economic model does not follow from the systematic review (‘a game of 2 halves’)

Page 18: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Methods

• Sample of all TARs published between January 2003 and July 2005.

• Data extracted on:– the TAR topic;– the clinical effectiveness measure;– the approach to pooling;– the measure of economic benefit;– the use, or non-use, of the systematic review

in the model.

Page 19: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Results (1)

• 38 TARs published in the period studied, all of which contained a systematic review.

• Most of the economic evaluations were cost-utility analyses (32), reflecting NICE’s appraisal guidelines.

• The other studies were cost-effectiveness analyses (4) and cost-minimisation analyses (2).

Page 20: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Results (2)

• In 15 cases, the clinical data were not pooled in the systematic review, owing to: (a) heterogeneity; or (b) the limited number of studies.

• In 5 cases, a new model was not constructed, because: (a) the cost implications were thought to be trivial; (b) lack of evidence; or (c) the existence of satisfactory models provided by industry.

Page 21: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Results (3)

• In cases where there was both a pooled estimate from the review and an economic model:– The review was always used when survival

was the endpoint (e.g. in the cost-effectiveness studies);

– It was less often used when the endpoint was QALYs (e.g. in the cost-utility analyses).

Page 22: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Reasons For Not Using The Systematic Review In Cost-utility

Analyses

• Preference-based QoL measures are only occasionally used in clinical studies

• The summary measure of clinical effectiveness does not facilitate the calculation of QALYs

Page 23: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Examples

• New drugs for epilepsy (adults):– clinical effects assessed in terms of total or partial

reduction in seizures;– These were classified as partial and total response

and a utility value to each state.

• Drug therapy for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD):– effectiveness measure was points change on the

Connors Hyperactivity Scale;– economic evaluation used response/non-response

and assigned a utility to each state.

Page 24: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Stakeholder Involvement

• Stakeholders can include manufacturers, professional organisations, health authorities, academic groups and patient organisations.

• All HTA agencies have some stakeholder involvement, but NICE is probably at the all-inclusive end of the spectrum.

• Stakeholder involvement is resource-intensive but may (i) lead to better assessments; (ii) reduce the number of appeals and (iii) lead to better implementation of HTAs.

Page 25: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Are Cochrane-Style Reviews Always Helpful?

Respite care for frail older people: an appraisal of effectiveness and cost-effectiveness (Mason et al, in press)

Number of hits (in the literature review) 12,927Papers retrieved 379No. of potential studies 171Potential economic evaluations 41Actual number of economic evaluations (EEs) 22Number of EEs of respite care meeting criteria for inclusion 5Number of such studies undertaken in the UK 1

Page 26: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Methodological Development

• No doubt that HTA processes in the UK have stimulated methodological development; e.g.: mixed treatment comparisons; probabilistic models

• Several methodology TARs

• The NHS Methodology Programme has a good track record in funding projects relevant to HTA

Page 27: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Developing A Critical Mass Of Skilled Personnel

• The steady funding for NICE TARs has enabled academic units to build a critical mass of skilled personnel.

• Training fellowships are available from the MRC, ESRC and the NHS R and D

• The UK is probably better placed than most countries

Page 28: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Maintaining International Links

• We could probably learn more from comparing and contrasting the different approaches for drugs in England and Scotland.

• On the international level, the UK seems to be fairly well-connected. After Canada, the UK has the most members of HTAi (the international society).

Page 29: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Implementation of HTA Findings

• No health care system does this particularly well.• Characteristics of the broader health care

system greatly influence the opportunities for implementation, e.g. whether funding is largely general, or tied to the use of particular technologies.

• Restrictions in use (to most common guidance from NICE) pose more implementation challenges than simple yes/no decisions.

Page 30: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Evidence On The Implementation Of NICE Guidance

• Sheldon et al, BMJ 2004; 329 (30 October)

• Audit Commission Report, September 2005

• Conn, F. Thesis, LSE, 2006

• Daily Mail – every issue!

Page 31: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

NICE Outcomes

Hospital use of Paclitaxil & Docetaxel Orlistat & Alzheimer drugs

Source: Sheldon et al, BMJ, April 2005

Page 32: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

NICE Outcomes• NICE commissioned report on 28 guidance areas covering 33 (1/3 of all

recommendations to start of 2005) recommendations to assess impact using IMS data and UK Hospital Pharmacy Audit data

• 30% recommended for 1st line use; 57% recommended for 2nd/3rd line use or specific patient groups; 12% (#4) rejected (but one entered a risk sharing agreement)

Source: NICE commissioned Report from Abacus International, 2005

Page 33: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

NICE Outcomes

Source: NICE commissioned Report from Abacus International, 2005

Page 34: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Implementation Of NICE Guidance

• Variable, by technology and location

• The formal requirement, to implement TAs within 3 months, probably has an impact

• Biggest problem is finding funding within a resource-constrained system. (The new tariffs will not reflect NICE guidance)

Page 35: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Implementation Of NICE Guidance (continued)

• Local professional involvement and good financial systems are important

• Almost half of GPs are welcoming of NICE

• NICE is perceived (by GPs) as being independent of industry but not of government

Page 36: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Implementation Of HTA Findings:what can be done?

• Develop an implementation plan for each HTA

• Produce more advice on what to discontinue, as well as what to adopt

• Link funding streams more closely to guidance (although not easy in the NHS)

• Increase the monitoring of the adoption of guidance

Page 37: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Transparency in Decision-Making

• In general all HTA increases transparency

• NICE is among the most transparent of HTA agencies

• The use of commercial-in-confidence data in technology appraisals can reduce transparency (Drummond, Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, 2004)

Page 38: HEALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Has the UK got it right? Michael Drummond Centre for Health Economics University of York United Kingdom

Conclusions

• Overall we do not do too badly in the UK• Although existing procedures for assessment,

involvement of stakeholders and production of guidance could be streamlined, they are basically sound

• Priorities for selection of topics and mechanisms of implementation of findings need more attention

• In resource-constrained systems, critics often confuse the message with the messenger