headline analysis from the 2016/17 he admissions cycle and 2017/18 cycle to date
TRANSCRIPT
H e a d l i n e a n a l y s i s f r o m t h e 2 0 1 6 / 1 7 H E a d m i s s i o n s c y c l e a n d 2 0 1 7 / 1 8 c y c l e t o d a t e
David BrackHead of Customer ExperienceUCAS
Headlines from the 2016/17
HE admissions cycle
# H U E M E A 1 7
535,000 people entered UK HE in 2016, an increase of 0.5% on last year
Acceptances by domicile group
# H U E M E A 1 7
The number of 18 year olds accepted at HEPs rose by 1.5% to 238,900 –the highest on record
UK acceptances by age group
# H U E M E A 1 7
Slowdown in the gap between the most and least advantaged in society entering HE
Entry rates for English 18 year olds by multiple equality measure groups (group 5 most likely to enter HE)
# H U E M E A 1 7
Acceptances from other EU countries rose by 7% to 31,400 – the highest on record
Number of acceptances in 2016 by selected European country
# H U E M E A 1 7
Acceptances to HEPs with high or medium entry requirements increased to their highest on record, students placed at low tariff HEPs fell 2.9%
Acceptances by provider tariff group
Headlines from the 15 January 2017
deadline
# H U E M E A 1 7
Total applicants for UK HE down 5% to 564,190 – a return to 2013 cycle levels
Change in total applicants at January 2017 deadline
• Falling demand from EU applicants
• Falling demand for Nursing
• Falling demand from mature applicants
• Slowdown in growth for 18 year old applicants
Four key drivers behind the fall in demand
# H U E M E A 1 7
Falling demand from EU applicants
• EU applicant figures decreased by 7% to 42,000
• Applicant numbers from international applicants have stagnated
• The subject experiencing the most notable decrease in applications is nursing
• Applicants in England making at least one choice to nursing fell by 23%
• Most applicants to nursing are mature applicants aged 19+ and this cohort decreased between 16% and 29%
Falling demand for Nursing
# H U E M E A 1 7
Falling demand from mature applicants
Continued decline in applications from mature applicants – 19 year old applicants have fallen by 9%, 20 year olds by 9%, 21-24 year olds by 15% and 25 year olds and over by 23%
18 year old applicant numbers are similar to last year at 272,330 despite a fall of 1% in the 18 year old population, but growth rate note keeping up with rate of population decline
Slowdown in growth in 18 year old applicants
