harry efstathiadis, phd...technology roadmap: solar photovoltaic energy 2014 since 2010, the world...
TRANSCRIPT
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THIN FILM SOLAR CELLS
HARRY EFSTATHIADIS, PHD
Pt
Carbon
Nanotu
be
5 m
SiO2
Nanoscale
Science
Nanoscale
Engineering
Parallel KYEY8 nanofibrils on graphite
4 nm4 nm
Nano-
Economics
Nano-
Biotechnology
First colleges in the world dedicated to nanotechnology
using an interdisciplinary approach
Mission: Create a financially and technically competitive environment to empower
the nanoelectronics and renewable energy industries with manufacturing
advantages through partnerships.
Faculty: 55
Grad. Students: 300+
Staff: 3000+
Degrees: B.S.,
M.S., Ph.D,
NanoMBA
Colleges of Nanoscale
Science and Engineering
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NanoFab South
$50M, 150Kft2
32K Cleanroom
Completed: 3/04
NanoFab East
$100M, 250K ft2
Completed: 3/09
NanoFab 200
$16.5M, 70K ft2
4K Cleanroom
Completed:
6/97
NanoFab North
$175M, 228K ft2
35K Cleanroom
Completed:
12/05
NanoFab Central
$50M, 100K ft2z
15K Cleanroom
Completed: 3/09
NanoFab Xtension
$365M, 280K ft2
60K Cleanroom
Completion: 12/12
>1,000,000 ft2 of cutting-edge facilities,with >135,000 ft2 cleanrooms
Current expansion to add 250,000 ft2 to support energy and bio programs
Over $17B in investments over last 10 years
CNSE’s World-Class Resources
CNSE Albany NanoTech Complex
E2TAC – Technology Thrusts
Evolutionary Disruptive Revolutionary
Short Term
Market Focus
Industry Driven
Medium Term
Investment Focus
Technology
Driven
Long Term
Policy Focus
Research Driven
H2/Fuel Cells PEM
SOFC*
Nanosupports
Catalysts
Electrodes
Sensors
Advanced Solar Thin film
a-Silicon
CIGS*
Polymer Based
Nanostructures
Energy Efficiency Green Buildings
Monitoring/
Control Systems
Power Electronics/
Power Quality
Ultra-capacitors
*CIGS: Copper Indium Gallium Selenide
**SOFC: Solid oxide Fuel Cell, PEM: Proton Exchange Fuel Cell
E2TAC: Energy and Environmental Technology Applications Center
http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images/view?back=http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=energy+efficient+light+bulb+&ei=UTF-8&fr=slv8-msgr&x=wrt&w=200&h=279&imgurl=www.mass.gov/envir/Sustainable/images/EPP_Images/Initiatives_EPP_Bulb.jpg&rurl=http://www.mass.gov/envir/Sustainable/initiatives/initiatives_EPP.htm&size=5.5kB&name=Initiatives_EPP_Bulb.jpg&p=energy+efficient+light+bulb&type=jpeg&no=1&tt=6,982&oid=26fd111038bf8564&ei=UTF-8http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images/view?back=http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=energy+efficient+light+bulb+&ei=UTF-8&fr=slv8-msgr&x=wrt&w=200&h=279&imgurl=www.mass.gov/envir/Sustainable/images/EPP_Images/Initiatives_EPP_Bulb.jpg&rurl=http://www.mass.gov/envir/Sustainable/initiatives/initiatives_EPP.htm&size=5.5kB&name=Initiatives_EPP_Bulb.jpg&p=energy+efficient+light+bulb&type=jpeg&no=1&tt=6,982&oid=26fd111038bf8564&ei=UTF-8http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images/view?back=http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=fuel+cell+plug+power+gencore&ei=UTF-8&fr=slv8-msgr&x=wrt&w=200&h=294&imgurl=www.plugpower.com/images/press/gencore.jpg&rurl=http://www.plugpower.com/news/details.cfm?prid=177&size=5.4kB&name=gencore.jpg&p=fuel+cell+plug+power+gencore&type=jpeg&no=1&tt=32&oid=cdd0bcc0d647012c&ei=UTF-8
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Ref.: Arun Majumdar
• Greenhouse effect: the heat radiation reflected from the ground is held back by the
greenhouse gases
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Development of the CO2 content in the atmosphere in the last 22 000 years
• The combustion of fossil fuels has contributed to the increase in CO2 in the
atmosphere from 270 ppm to 397 ppm,
• Anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions (i.e., emissions produced by
human activities) come from combustion of carbon based fuels, principally
wood, coal, oil, and natural gas.
Current Energy Challenges
Climate Change
Greenhouse
Gasses (GHG)
(burning fossil
fuels, clearing
land)
Oil Peak
Billi
ons
of
Bar
rels
per
yea
r
The consequences of using fossil fuels lead to global warming and climate change,
which in the scientific community is a well-settled matter
http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://peakoil.org.uk/national_geographic_peak_oil.jpg&imgrefurl=http://peakoil.org.uk/&h=436&w=300&sz=48&hl=en&start=10&um=1&tbnid=Zn6fUI0xZAARHM:&tbnh=126&tbnw=87&prev=/images?q=peak+oil&um=1&hl=en&rlz=1T4GZHZ_en___US244&sa=N
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• Electricity generation and industrial production
sectors are the biggest contributors of
greenhouse gas emissions.
• Solar is much more expensive than coal,
nuclear or natural gas.
• Solar installed price/watt has declined over the
last few decades, but is still higher than that
required to achieve grid parity.
Introduction
A New Industrial Revolution for a
Sustainable Energy Future
What is the consequence of global warming and greenhouse gas emissions?
“The average temperature rise is 0.8 degrees,” since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution.
In our homes and local weather, we are used to fluctuations of more than 10 degrees. “Who cares about 0.8 degrees?”
The average tells only a small part of the story.
The temperature deviation from the average over summer time follows a Gaussian distribution and can be normalized by the standard deviation.
Since the 1960s, the whole distribution has moved toward higher temperatures, and the distribution has broadened.
http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images/view?back=http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=coal+power+plant&ei=UTF-8&fr=slv8-msgr&x=wrt&w=640&h=994&imgurl=www.isgs.uiuc.edu/servs/pubs/geobits-pub/geobit12/assets/abbottbg.jpg&rurl=http://www.isgs.uiuc.edu/servs/pubs/geobits-pub/geobit12/gb12a.htm&size=79.6kB&name=abbottbg.jpg&p=coal+power+plant&type=jpeg&no=2&tt=6,532&oid=81c957fdbe4c56bc&ei=UTF-8
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Northern Hemisphere – Statistical
Temperature Distribution
Evolution over six decades (1950–
2011) of the statistical distribution of
the deviation of local summer
temperatures from their local
average temperatures.
Blue is colder than average,
Red is hotter than average.
The distribution not only moves to
the right, suggesting hotter
temperatures, but also broadens,
and the tails reach 3–5 times the
standard deviation at probabilities
that are an order of magnitude higher
than those six decades ago1. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSHiEawPRiA
Ref.: 1: J. Hansen , M. Sato , R. Ruedy , PNAS 109 ( 37 ), 14726 ( 2012 )
Energy Overview
How much and what forms of energy are used?
– Residential, industrial, transportation
– Supplied by mix of sources, with fossil fuels dominant
NGPL: Natural Gas Pipeline Company of America (NGPL)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSHiEawPRiAhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSHiEawPRiAhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSHiEawPRiA
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Technology - Based Solutions:
Energy efficiency
Renewable energy
Nonpolluting transportation fuels
Next generation nuclear energy technologies
Transition to distributed energy systems coupled with pollution-free energy carriers
Carbon dioxide sequestration
There is no single or simple answer
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Solar Cells
Solar Energy
What does photovoltaic (PV) mean?
The word 'photovoltaic' essentially means electricity from the energy of
sunlight. First used in about 1890, the word has two parts:
photo, derived from the Greek 'phos' meaning “light”, and
volt, a unit of measurement named for Alessandro Volta (1745-1827), a pioneer
in the study of electricity.
PV modules (solar cells) are unique
directly convert the incident solar radiation into electricity,
no noise, pollution or moving parts,
making them robust, reliable and long lasting
long lifetime (~20 to 25 years)
energy source is free
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Energy Generation
Methods of electricity generation
Most common energy conversion process is:
mechanical energy electrical energy
Source of mechanical power: most commonly is thermal expansion/compression
cycle via a generator; can also use a turbine or other types of engines
Nuclear, solar thermal, coal, gas
Other sources of mechanical power: Hydro, wind, wave or tidal.
Direct conversion process are “new” form of energy conversion, of which light is converted into electricity via the photovoltaic effect is most common.
Other examples: Seebeck effect – heat directly into electricity.
World Solar Power Capacity
In 2014, World solar power capacity reached for the first time 150 GW.
An unprecedented 30 GW was added to the world grid in 2012 alone
No one would have predicted even 10 years ago that we would see more than 150 GW of solar photovoltaic capacity in the world by 2014.
The photovoltaic industry clearly faces challenges, but the results of 2014 show there is a strong global market for solar technology
Ref. mercomcapital.com/reports/MI/Solar/OCT2014
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Nuclear Power
How much electricity does a typical nuclear power plant
generate? How is this compared to solar power?
In 2012, the "average" nuclear power plant in the US generated
about 11.8 billion kWh.
There were 65 nuclear power plants with 104 operating nuclear
reactors that generated a total of 769 billion kWh, or 19% of the
nation's electricity.
Thirty-six of those plants have two or more reactors.
The Palo Verde plant in Arizona has three reactors with the largest
combined generating capacity of about 3.9 GW.
Fort Calhoun in Nebraska had the smallest capacity with a single
reactor at 0.5 GW.
19
Global Solar Installation Growth Set to Hit
Three-Year High in 2014
Global PV installations are forecast to rise at the fastest pace in three
years in 2014, exceeding 40 GW and generating installation revenue of more than $86 billion.
Annual solar installations are predicted to expand at a rate of 18% in 2014, reaching 41 GW and marking the end of the solar industry’s two-year slowdown
PV installations will accelerate in 2015 driven by: low system prices, creation of new markets in emerging regions, and continued growth in major countries such as the United States, Japan and
China. Ref. mercomcapital.com/reports/MI/Solar/OCT2014
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Technology Roadmap: Solar
Photovoltaic Energy 2014
Since 2010, the world has added more solar PV capacity than in the
previous four decades. Total global capacity overtook 150 GW in early 2014.
While a few European countries, led by Germany and Italy, initiated large-
scale PV development, since 2013,
China has led the global PV market, followed by Japan and the United
States
China
USA
Regional Production of PV Electricity Envisioned
in the Roadmap
It is envisioned that PV’s share of global electricity reaching 16% by 2050, a significant
increase from the 11% goal in the 2010 roadmap
India
PV Cost - Towards Grid Parity
Lower cost Poly-Si panels support a key goal for solar known as grid parity,
it costs the same to generate power on rooftops as it does to buy it from the
grid.
The current market for solar PV is dominated by silicon SCs, and this technology is
expected to continue to dominate in the residential and commercial rooftop markets
due to higher efficiency and rapidly reducing costs.
There has been a 40% price reduction since the middle of 2009, largely as a result
of the improved supply of poly-Si. - Down to $21/Kgr in 2014
Ref.: Wolden et al.: Photovoltaic manufacturing: Present status, J. Vac. Sci. Technol. A 29„3 (2011)
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Solar Cells – Applying Nanotech
Innovations
• Sun is the ultimate energy source
– Free, essentially unlimited, not
localized
– CO2 free
• 170,000 TW strike Earth's surface any
given hour
– Global energy demand could be
met by covering a small portion of
earth’s surface with solar cells
• Innovations through:
– Lower cost – thinner silicon, thin
film technologies,
nanocrystalline silicon
– Higher Efficiency –
nanostructures, electrodes and
devices
Types of Solar Cells
Inorganic solar cells
Silicon-based
Wafer based (200 m) single and multi-crystalline Si solar cells
Thin film (less than 2 m)
a-Si:H cell (1x)
a-Si:H/a-SiGe:H/a-SiGe:H triple-junction cell (3x)
a-Si:H/nc-Si:H tandem cell (research stage) (2x)
Thick film (2 – 20m) Polycrystalline Si cell (early research stage)
Non silicon-based
CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Selenide)
CIAS (Copper Indium Aluminum Selenide)
CdTe (Cadmium Telluride)
Organic solar cells1
Dye-sensitized solar cell (DSSC) PCBM/P3HT
Source: Fonash, S. J., “Solar cell device physics ”, 1981
1. MRS Bull. 30 (1) (2005)
PCBM:[6,6]-Phenyl C61-butyric acid methyl ester
P3HT:Poly(3-hexylthiophene-2,5-diyl)
http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.sequoia.co.uk/home_images/silicon_images/Sanyo/Copy of amorton 3.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.sequoia.co.uk/silicon/manufacturers/Sanyo/Solar_panels.php&h=255&w=340&sz=93&hl=en&start=28&um=1&tbnid=PvIsRT6eSrdlnM:&tbnh=89&tbnw=119&prev=/images?q=silicon+solar+cell&start=20&ndsp=20&svnum=10&um=1&hl=en&rlz=1T4GZHZ_en___US244&sa=N
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Photovoltaic Cell Efficiencies
Multi-junction
Concentrators
Thin Films
3rd Generation
Silicon
CIGS offers lower manufacturing cost while efficiencies are comparable to multi-
crystalline Si based devices
PV Manufacturing Technology
The production of multicrystalline-silicon (c-Si) solar PV modules is set to
dominate PV manufacturing during 2014, with p-type multi c-Si technology
accounting for 62% of all modules produced. Solar PV manufacturers are currently
planning to increase module production by 25% in 2014, to 49.7 GW of modules,
compared to the 39.7 GW of modules being produced in 2013.
http://bit.ly/MercomQ3S
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The solar cell and solar module as basic
components of photovoltaics
Structure of a grid-coupled photovoltaic plant.
An inverter converts the direct current
supplied by the solar modules into alternating
current and feeds it into the public grid
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PV Manufacturers
• Suntech’s breakthrough Pluto technology is already achieving:
• over 18% conversion efficiency on monocrystalline photovoltaic (PV) cells and
• close to 17% conversion efficiency on polycrystalline PV cells in mass
production, well above conventional screen-printed crystalline PV cells.
http://suntech-power.com/
http://am.suntechpower.com/en/technology.html
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ1SC-vUe_I
Thin Fil - CuInGaSe Device Layers
Typical Materials
Glass or
Stainless
Cu(In,Ga)Se2 (CIGS)
Transparent Cond. TCO
Front Metal Contacts
Anti-Reflective Coating
+
v
Layer Purpose
Mo
p-type absorber
Reflective
Back Contact
Substrate
n-type buffer CdS
i-ZnO
ZnO:Al
Al
Intrinsic
Resistive TCO
MgF2
~1μm
~0.5μm
~0.5μm
~0.1μm Ni
~50nm
2-4μm*
~3mm
Emphasis is given on the deposition of the p-type CIGS absorber layer
*Graph: Not to scale
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ1SC-vUe_Ihttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ1SC-vUe_Ihttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ1SC-vUe_Ihttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ1SC-vUe_I
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Industry-led consortium with a manufacturing
development facility (MDF) in New York State with
capabilities for collaborative and proprietary activities
Overall investment of $300M over 5 years from DOE,
Industry, NY State – Launched in 2011
Focus on solar PV technology – CuInGaSe2 (CIGS)
thin films – and manufacturing methods
Expertise of primary partners – CNSE, SEMATECH, –
in consortium management, technology development,
manufacturing productivity, and workforce development
Breadth of support – partnership with ~60 companies
and organizations throughout thin film PV industry
supply chain
DOE SEMATECH CNSE
INDUSTRY
The U.S. PV Manufacturing Consortium
Thin-Film (CIGS) Challenges
Technical challenges –
CIGS cell complexity
Fundamental understanding
of materials and processing
(absorber layer, buffer layer,
front/back contacts,…)
Materials composition and integration
Interfaces and impurities
Deposition and processing parameters
Reliability testing and scientific understanding of degradation
High performance, high volume manufacturing equipment
Real time, in-line metrology
Roadmaps, standards, protocols, certifications
Scaling in manufacturing - small-area champion cell to large area
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Cell Types: 10cmX10cm glass or metal flexible substrates,
Co-evaporation and Precursor/Selenization
String / Module types:
- Strings via discrete interconnected cells
- Flexible or Rigid modules (form factors
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Components of a PV system
A PV system is made up of several different components. These include:
groups of PV cells called 'modules' (also known as 'panels');
one or more batteries (optional);
a charge regulator or controller for a stand-alone system;
an inverter for a utility-grid-connected system or when alternating current (AC) rather than direct current (DC) is required;
wiring; and mounting hardware or a framework.
How much space would be needed for PV systems to meet the entire world's electricity needs?
The landscape of a world relying on PV would be almost indistinguishable from the landscape we know today. There are three reasons for this.
First, PV systems have advantages over other technologies. They can be put on roofs and can even be an integral part of a building, such as a skylight.
Second, even ground-mounted PV collectors are efficient from the perspective of land use. Flat-plate PV technology is the most land-efficient means to produce renewable energy.
Third, adequate sunlight is ubiquitous and often abundant, and present in predictable amounts almost everywhere.
Solar Cells:
Challenges with Current Technology
Cost of Silicon based solar cells is high and it is fluctuating
Efficiencies need improvement from 17-20% even above 20%
Performance degradation over time and at increased temperatures
Shortage of raw silicon
Current methods of fabrication are equipment intensive and not
based on continuous processing
Many issues need to be overcome before solar cells
will be achieve widespread deployment
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The Need for Technology Development
Production is key cost-driver for variable module costs
Production equipment and process is not available “off-the-shelf”
Production processes and quality are far from optimized
Existing companies have little experience in scaling up equipment for 100 MW - GW scale solar cell manufacture
Ability to leverage know-how from existing industries (semiconductor and Flat Panel Display)
Fuel cell vehicles are twice as efficient as the average gasoline car. Hydrogen
filling is measured in kilograms (kg), so fuel economy is measured in miles per
kilogram.
Since there's approximately the same potential energy in 1 kg of hydrogen as
there is in 1 gal. of gasoline, comparing by prototype's "mpkg" numbers to the
mpg output of an internal-combustion vehicle is roughly equivalent.
Tank Size: 4.2 to 6 kg hydrogen
H2 Price/Kgr: ~ $4 - $5
Application of Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles
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PV and Fuel Cells & the Environment
Schematic of hydrogen economy dream
Ref.: www.uiowa.edu
3-5 minute hydrogen fueling
Key Drivers of the Clean Energy
Future
Technology
Cost
Performance
Demand Growth
GDP and population growth
Urbanization
Demand management
Rebates
Security
Independence
Competition
Resources
Raw materials
Infrastructure
Nonconventional
Supply Challenges
Local pollution
Climate change
Environment
GDP: Gross Domestic Product
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Solar Cells
Reduction in price of polysilicon and capital equipment in
addition to learning experience have been important drivers
of solar module cost reduction.
Thin Film - CIGS
The 100 kW Pilot facility is currently available in Halfmoon,
NY for demonstrating proof of concept ideas -
Demonstrated efficiency by co-evaporation 18.2%
Conclusions
Questions
What are the advantages and disadvantages of PVs
What are other forms of renewable energy?
What is the Greenhouse effect, why it is happening?
What is Parity?
Name some of the solar cell technologies – What is the efficiency
of each technology?
What is the Power of the Global PV installations What are the
key drivers of PV growth
Name some of the PV Industry challenges?