harriet tregoning district of columbia office of planning local contributions to greenhouse gas...
TRANSCRIPT
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Harriet Tregoning
District of Columbia Office of Planning
Local Contributions to Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions
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The Washington Metro Region: the New Eco-heros?
• The move to Green is snowballing
• Climate/Carbon is gaining currency
• Role of urbanism/settlement patterns underplayed
• Reasons to believe past behavior not a good predictor
• Concentrations of Walkable Urbanity -
– Communities of choice(s)
• Affinity
• Options
• Cachet
– Aggregators of benefits
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District of ColumbiaGreen Building Act of 2006
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• Initially Funded in FY’08
– District or Instrumentality; New Construction, Disposition
by Lease, Schools
• Meet LEED NC or CS, Silver
– Residential (10,000+ sf)
• Green Communities Standard
• Beginning January 1, 2009
Non-Residential (50,000+ sf)
• Submit LEED Checklist to DCRA (at time of any
permit app.)
• Beginning January 1, 2012
– All Non-Residential (50,000+ sf)
• Meet LEED NC or CS, Basic Certification
NAR Building, Washington DC; LEED Gold
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LEED Projects in DC
• LEED Certified : 20 (6)
• LEED Registered: 204 (40)
• LEED ND Pilots: 8
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CO2 Emission Sources
18%21% 33%
Buildings and transportation account for 72% of US CO2 emissions
Source: EPA; INVENTORY OF U.S. GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS AND SINKS: 1990-2005
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Buildings alone are not the answer…• The average US citizen takes about 1,500
daily trips a year.
– 45 percent of daily trips are taken for shopping
and errands
– 27 percent of daily trips are social and
recreational, such as visiting a friend
– 15 percent of daily trips are taken for
commuting
• Half the trips we make are less than three miles, 40 percent are less than two miles; 28 percent are less than one mile ; and 13.7% are less than a half mile. Yet 75 percent of trips of less than one mile are made by car.
Sources: National Household Travel Survey, 1995. 2001-2002, US FHA; National Walking and Bicycling Study, Environmental Building News, Aug 2007, Driving to Green Buildings: The
Transportation Energy Intensity of Buildings
Comparing Transportation and Operating Energy Use for an Office Building
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Attributes of a Globally Competitive City/Region
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Attributes of a Globally Competitive City/Region
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10Larry Frank, University of British Columbia
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Three Policy Levers
Cleaner fuel Less CO2 produced for each gallon.
Fuel technology.
Better fuel efficiencyMore miles traveled per gallon.
Vehicle technology.
Drive lessFewer miles traveled.
Reduce travel demand. Change behavior.
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SETTING THE STAGE• ARLINGTON LOBBIED STRONGLY FOR AN UNDERGROUND ROUTE ALONG THE OLD
COMMERCIAL CORRIDOR VS ALONG THE MEDIAN OF FUTURE HIGHWAY
• Put up $300 million local money for preferred routes and more stations
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M
M
M
M
M
Lower Density ZoningLower Density Zoning
View of Rosslyn-Ballston Metro Corridor Development Patterns
Potomac River
The Capitol
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MEASURING SUCCESS
R-B CORRIDOR 1970 R-B CORRIDOR TODAY
22,000 jobs
5.5 million sf office
7,000 housing units
94,000 jobs
23.5 million sf office
24,500 housing units
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MEASURING SUCCESS
1991
ROSSLYN
• 13,637
COURT HOUSE
• 5,561
CLARENDON
• 2,964
BALLSTON
• 9,482
2004
ROSSLYN
• 30,663
COURT HOUSE
• 14,191
CLARENDON
• 6,848
BALLSTON
• 22,957
METRO RIDERSHIP (Average daily entries and exits)
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Diversifying Transportation• Biking
Paris SmartBikes
…Coming to DC in 2008
Bike Lanes – 26 miles -- > 60
• Car Sharing
– 700+ cars in 26 DC
Neighborhoods
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Growing Cooler
• What reduction in vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) is possible in the United States with compact development rather than continuing urban sprawl?
• What reduction in CO2 emissions will accompany such a reduction in VMT?
• What policy changes will be required to shift the dominant land development pattern from sprawl to compact development?
• AND DO COMMUNITIES WANT IT?
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20-40% VMT Reduction for Each
Increment of Compact Development
7-10% Reduction in Total CO2 Emissions
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• Carrots – make options more viable
– Increase transit service / facilities
– Transit price incentives (passes, lower fares)
– Investments in pedestrian and cycling facilities – bike sharing services, sidewalks, crosswalks, bicycle lanes/parking
– Supportive land use changes (e.g. closer destinations, mix of uses)
• Sticks—increase costs to drive
– Taxes (gas, carbon, VMT, etc)
– Cordon Charges (London, Singapore, NYC?)
– Distance-based vehicle insurance
– Distance-based development impact fees
– Road pricing
How do we Reduce Vehicle Travel?
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ProximityProximity
Connect-Connect-ivityivity
2 KM2 KM
1 KM1 KM
Larry Frank, University of British Columbia
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•Mixed UseMixed Use•DensityDensity•Street ConnectivityStreet Connectivity•Amount of RetailAmount of Retail
Census Census Block Block
GroupsGroups
WalkabilityWalkability
Larry Frank, University of British Columbia
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Larry Frank, University of British Columbia
Walkscore.com
Multiple Choices all within a mile walk…
• Grocery
• Schools
• Parks
• Libraries
• Fitness
• Drugstores
• Hardware
• Clothing
• Restaurants
• Bars
• Theaters
777 N. Cap = 86
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Source: LUTAQH final report, King County ORTP, 2005
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
0 - 4 4 - 7 7 - 10 10 -15 15+
Net Residential Density (housing units per residential acre)
CO
2 (K
G)
-- m
ean
dai
ly p
er
per
son
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
0 - 4 4 - 7 7 - 10 10 -15 15+
Net Residential Density (housing units per residential acre)
CO
2 (K
G)
-- m
ean
dai
ly p
er
per
son
North Redmond Queen Anne
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Source: LUTAQH final report, King County ORTP, 2005
8
9
10
11
12
13
0 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.2 0.2 - 0.3 0.3 - 0.4 0.4+
Intersections per acre
CO
2 (K
G)
-- m
ean
dai
ly p
er
per
son
8
9
10
11
12
13
0 - 0.1 0.1 - 0.2 0.2 - 0.3 0.3 - 0.4 0.4+
Intersections per acre
CO
2 (K
G)
-- m
ean
dai
ly p
er
per
son
North Redmond Queen Anne
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– FuelsFuels
– Vehicle TechnologyVehicle Technology
– Demand ReductionDemand Reduction
• Pricing Strategies
– Pay as you drive Insurance
– Distance Based Impact Fee Systems
– Peak Hour Congestion Pricing
• Prioritize Funding for Energy Efficient Modes of Travel (transit, walk, bike)
• Make seamless linkages between walk, bike (local) and transit (regional)
• Put Wider Range of Housing Types and Prices Points in More Walkable Settings
• Bring Residential, Commercial/Retail, Office, Institutional, and Recreational Uses Closer Together
• Tie federal transportation dollars to projects that are consistent with an approved and enforced growth plan
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Built Environment versus Individual Preferences
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People Turning 65 Annually1996-2025
19
96
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97
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99
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00
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Y e a r
0
5 0 0
1 ,0 0 0
1 ,5 0 0
2 ,0 0 0
Th
ou
san
ds
Pe
op
le T
urn
ing
65
in Y
ea
r
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Decline in Households with Kids
Household 1960 2000 2025With Children 48% 33% 28%Without Children 52% 67% 72%
Single 13% 26% 28%
Source: Census for 1960 and 2000, 2025 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation’s Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD (2003).
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BedZed (London Borough of Sutton)
Any reason to believe behavior will change?
Residential VMT decreased 65%
Green Transport Plan
• Solid Transit Links
• ‘Pedestrian First’ Priority
• Limited Parking
• Car Sharing
• Car Pool
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Any reason to believe behavior will change?