half year results presentationnov 16, 2015  · depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m tax paid $(5.3m)...

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Half Year Results Presentation Argosy Property Limited 16 November 2015

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Page 1: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Half Year Results PresentationArgosy Property Limited 16 November 2015

Page 2: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Argosy Property Limited. The details in this presentation provide general information only. It is not intended as investment or financial advice and must not be relied upon as such. You should obtain independent professional advice prior to making any decision relating to your investment or financial needs. This presentation is not an offer or invitation for subscription or purchase of securities or other financial products. Past performance is no indication of future performance.

All values are expressed in New Zealand currency unless otherwise stated.

November 2015

Page 3: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary
Page 4: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Highlights

Page 5: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Highlights of 1H16

Gross distributable income increased to $30.1 million (increase of 9.3%)

Net distributable income increased to 3.10 cents per share (increase of 5.1%)

Net property income increased to $48.6 million (increase of 11.1%)

Portfolio revaluation gain of $27.6 million (increase of 2.1%)

Occupancy (by rental) at 99.4%

Weighted average lease term at 5.39 years

Acquisition of 8 Nugent Street, Grafton for $42 million

Divestment of non Core properties

Page 6: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Financial Overview

Page 7: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Income Reconciliation

51.5 ( 2.3 )5.8

0.6

47.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Gross Property

Income

30 September 2014

Acquisitions/

developments

Disposals Rent changes Gross Property

Income

30 September 2015

$m

Page 8: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Financial Performance

HY16 HY15

Net property income $48.6m $43.8m

Administration expenses $(4.4m) $(3.8m)

Profit before financial income/(expenses) and other gains/(losses)

$44.2m $40.0m

Interest expense $(14.2m) $(12.6m)

Gain/(loss) on derivatives $(7.8m) $(9.1m)

Finance income $0.1m $0.1m

Revaluation gains $27.6m $24.9m

Realised gains/(losses) on disposal $0.8m $(0.5m)

Unrealised loss on non-current assets held for sale $(0.4m) -

Profit before tax $ 50.3m $42.8m

Taxation expense $(4.2m) $(5.2m)

Profit after tax $46.1m $37.6m

Basic and diluted earnings per share (cents) 5.74 4.74

Page 9: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Distributable Income

HY16 HY15

Profit before income tax $50.3m $42.8m

Adjusted for:

Revaluation gains $(27.6m) $(24.9m)

Unrealised loss on non-current assets held for sale $0.4m -

Investment disposal losses $(0.8m) $0.5m

Derivative fair value adjustment $7.8m $9.1m

Gross distributable income $30.1m $27.5m

Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m

Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m)

Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m

Weighted average number of ordinary shares 803.5m 793.1m

Gross distributable income per share (cents) 3.74 3.47

Net distributable income per share (cents) 3.10 2.95

Page 10: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Investment Properties

1,374.2 ( 1.1 )

( 20.2 )( 0.9 )

45.1 17.3

27.6

1,306.4

900

950

1,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

1,300

1,350

1,400

InvestmentProperties

31 March 2015

Acquisitions Capex Disposals Change in fairvalue

Transfer toproperties held

for sale

Other InvestmentProperties

30 September2015

$m

Page 11: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Movement in NTA per share

98.6

( 0.9 )

3.4 0.1 0.1 0.1

95.8

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

NTA

31 March

2015

Loss on

derivatives

Revaluation

gain on

investment

properties

Realised

gains/losses

on disposal

Tax timing

adjustments

Residual

earnings less

dividends paid

NTA

30 September

2015

cps

Page 12: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Gearing

Following the settlement of properties held for sale (totalling $20.3 million), gearing is expected to decrease to approximately 38.3%.

The gearing ratio is expected to be in the order of 38.0% as at 31 March 2016.

HY16 FY15 HY15

Investment properties $1,374.2m $1,306.4m $1,222.6m

Other assets $22.8m $6.8m $51.7m

Total assets $1,397.0m $1,313.2m $1,274.3m

Bank debt (excl. capitalised borrowing costs) $548.4m $497.0m $474.6m

Debt to total assets ratio 39.3% 37.8% 37.2%

Page 13: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Banking

The weighted average duration of the bank facility is 3.75 years at 30

September 2015.

The weighted average duration of swaps is 8 years at 30 September 2015.

ICR is 3.08x at 30 September 2015.

Argosy continues to maintain strong relationships with its banking partners,

ANZ Bank New Zealand Limited, Bank of New Zealand and The Hongkongand Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, and remains well within its

banking covenants.

HY16 FY15 HY15

Weighted average fixed interest rate (excl. margin & line fees)

4.52% 4.54% 4.53%

Weighted average interest rate 5.12% 5.60% 5.72%

Page 14: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Dividends

Based on current projections, the FY16 dividend will be maintained at 6

cents per share, fully payable from net distributable income.

Again, based on current projections, it is expected that the dividend will

increase in FY17.

Page 15: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Portfolio Overview

Page 16: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Industrial

NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

40BOOK VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$527.1VACANCY FACTOR (BY RENT)

0.2%WALT (YEARS)

5.83PASSING YIELD

7.49%

Page 17: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Office

NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

17BOOK VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$540.8VACANCY FACTOR (BY RENT)

0.9%WALT (YEARS)

5.25PASSING YIELD

7.50%

Page 18: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Retail

NUMBER OF BUILDINGS

10BOOK VALUE OF ASSETS ($M)

$306.3VACANCY FACTOR (BY RENT)

0.8%WALT (YEARS)

4.89PASSING YIELD

7.48%

Page 19: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Leasing Environment

The global economy still faces uncertainty with moderate growth and volatility in financial markets.

The New Zealand economy looks encouraging with stabilising domestic data and consumer confidence on the rise, despite sharp declines in commodity prices and the exchange rate earlier in the year.

The Reserve Bank is expected to cut interest rates again in 2015.

Strong growth in the prime Auckland office market due to a scarcity of space, secondary office rental growth is exceeding that of prime.

Net effective rental growth being driven by further incentive reductions as well as market rental growth.

There has been limited rental growth in the industrial sector as the market shows the effects of firming capitalisation rates.

The large weight of capital seeking a return continues to compress property yields.

Good quality stock that meets modern requirements is relatively more attractive in Wellington, driving up market rents and firming yields for well located, structurally sound CBD properties.

Page 20: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Leasing

Occupancy, tenant retention and lease expiries remain key focus areas

for the asset management team.

Occupancy (by rental) has remained at a very high level at 99.4%

compared to 99.2% at March 2015.

Outstanding lease expiries for the period to 31 March 2016 have reduced to 5.8% from 11.8% at 31 March 2015.

During the period, 26 lease transactions were completed, including 12

new leases and 14 lease renewals and extensions.

The weighted average lease term is 5.39 years, which remains stable

from 5.54 years at 31 March 2015.

Page 21: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Lease Maturity

5.8%

9.5%

10.7%

12.9%

9.8%

4.8%

7.2%

10.0%

4.5%

10.1%

14.1%

0.6%

10

32

34

34

24

15

15

7

7

8

8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

11%

12%

13%

14%

15%

16%

Vacant Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 +

Pe

rce

nta

ge

of

po

rtfo

lio

(b

y i

nco

me

)

YEAR ENDINGTotal expiry Vacant Largest single expiry

The number above each bar denotes the total tenant expires per year (excludes monthly carparks, tenants with multiple leases within one property and properties held for sale)

Page 22: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Weighted Average Lease Term

WALT remains in a strong position at 5.39 years

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

WA

LT (Y

EA

RS

)

Excludes properties held for sale

Page 23: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Occupancy (by rental)

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

97%

98%

99%

100%

OC

CU

PA

NC

Y %

Occupancy remains at historically high level at 99.4%

Excludes properties held for sale

Page 24: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Developments

Argosy has a five-year evergreen lease with NZ Post from

the development completion date at 7-27 Waterloo Quay

in Wellington. Notwithstanding this lease, the requirements

of NZ Post have changed and subsequently progress on the

development has slowed as we work with NZ Post to

determine their future requirements.

The property at Foundry Dr, Christchurch, which was

damaged during the earthquakes in 2010 & 2011, is being

redeveloped. The total spend is $7.5 million with

completion expected in late 2016.

Page 25: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Valuations

Increase in property valuations of $27.6 million, up 2.1% on book values

immediately prior to the revaluation.

The desktop valuation was performed due to evidence of a firming in

capitalisation rates over the first six months of this financial year.

The portfolio is now valued at $1.374 billion.

Post revaluation Passing Yield of 7.49% and Fully Let Market Yield of 7.36%.

Page 26: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Strategy

Page 27: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Portfolio Mix as at 30 September 2015

TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE

BY SECTOR

TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE

BY REGIONPORTFOLIO MIX

22%

40%

38%

Retail

Office

Industrial

66%

27%

4%3%

Auckland

Wellington

Palmerston North

Other regional

78%

13%

9%

Core

Value Add properties

Properties and land to divest

Target

15 – 25%

35 – 45%

35 – 45%

Target

65 – 75%

20 – 30%

Target

75 – 85%

Page 28: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Strategy & Capital Management

Argosy’s strategy has not changed.

We have a clear investment strategy marked by a diversified portfolio of desirable properties that attract high-quality, long-term tenants.

The Board’s policy is for debt to total assets to be between 35 to 40% in the

medium term.

The debt to total assets ratio was 39.3% as at 30 September 2015. Following the settlement of properties held for sale (totalling $20.3 million), gearing is

expected to decrease to approximately 38.3%.

The gearing ratio is expected to be in the order of 38.0% as at 31 March

2016.

Page 29: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Divestments

Divestment of vacant land and non-Core assets will continue to be a key strategy for the company. The sale of vacant land at the Manawatu Industrial Park remains a focus.

The Porirua Mega Centre, 65 Upper Queen Street, Auckland and 7 El Prado Drive,

Palmerston North have all been sold with settlement occurring after 30 September 2015. Porirua has subsequently settled and 65 Upper Queen Street and 7 El Prado Drive will settle in December 2015.

11,000 square metres of vacant land at the Manawatu Industrial Park was also settled in October 2015.

TOTAL DISPOSALS

FY2016

$M$4.3

$20.8

$61.7

Settled

Unconditional

On the Market

(book value)

Property Sale price (net of

disposal costs)

Book Value Status

1 Allens Road, East Tamaki $3.27m $3.00m Settled

Manawatu Business Park $1.05m $0.51m Settled

Porirua Mega Centre $11.25m¹ $11.25m² Settled Oct 15

Manawatu Business Park $1.35m $0.78m Settled Oct 15

65 Upper Queen Street, Auckland $6.41m $6.41m² To settle in Dec 15

7 El Prado Drive, Palmerston North $1.76m $1.76m To settle in Dec 15

Wagener Place, St Lukes $10.50m On the market

Stewart Dawson’s Corner, Wellington $15.17m On the market

8-14 Willis Street, Wellington $14.24m On the market

Manawatu Business Park $21.80m On the market

¹ $500,000 to settle in October 2016 ² Written down book value as at 30/09/15

Page 30: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Total Shareholder Return

Page 31: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Total Shareholder return – 5 Years

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

Sep-1

0

Dec-1

0

Mar-

11

Jun-1

1

Sep-1

1

Dec-1

1

Mar-

12

Jun-1

2

Sep-1

2

Dec-1

2

Mar-

13

Jun-1

3

Sep-1

3

Dec-1

3

Mar-

14

Jun-1

4

Sep-1

4

Dec-1

4

Mar-

15

Jun-1

5

Sep-1

5

Gro

ss P

rices Indexed t

o 1

00

Argosy Property Limited NZ Property Gross Index NZX 50 Index

Page 32: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Total Shareholder Return – 1 Year

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Sep-1

4

Oct-

14

Nov-1

4

Dec-1

4

Jan-1

5

Feb-1

5

Mar-

15

Apr-

15

May-1

5

Jun-1

5

Jul-15

Aug-1

5

Sep-1

5

Gro

ss P

rices Indexed t

o 1

00

Argosy Property Limited NZ Property Gross Index NZX 50 Index

Page 33: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Concluding comments

Page 34: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Concluding comments

Our focus remains on adhering to the strategy, maintaining the portfolio’s

high level of occupancy, reducing near term lease expiries and improving tenant retention rates.

We are closely monitoring the property cycle so as to not be overexposed in

the event of a downturn.

We will also continue to look for opportunities to develop the portfolio in

line with our strategy.

Page 35: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Thank you

Page 36: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Appendix

Page 37: Half Year Results PresentationNov 16, 2015  · Depreciation recovered $0.1m $1.6m Tax paid $(5.3m) $(5.7m) Net distributable income $24.9m $23.4m Weighted average number of ordinary

Portfolio Interim Valuation

31 Mar 15 Valuation

1H2016 Movement

Book value 30 Sep 15 Valuation

r $ r % Market Yield

31 Mar 15 30 Sep 15

Auckland $841.4m $42.8m $884.2m $901.9m $17.7m 2.0% 7.58% 7.44%

Wellington $365.8m - $365.8m $376.2m $10.4m 2.8% 7.71% 7.33%

Palmerston North $55.3m ($2.8m) $52.5m $51.8m ($0.7m) (1.4%) 5.21% 4.95%

Other regional $43.9m $0.2m $44.1m $44.3m $0.2m 0.5% 8.72% 8.89%

Total $1,306.4m $40.2m $1,346.6m $1,374.2m $27.6m 2.1% 7.55% 7.36%

31 Mar 15 Valuation

1H2016 Movement

Book value 30 Sep 15 Valuation

r $ r % Market Yield

31 Mar 15 30 Sep 15

Industrial $510.4m $2.3m $512.7m $527.1m $14.4m 2.8% 7.60% 7.45%

Office $483.6m $48.7m $532.3m $540.8m $8.5m 1.6% 7.59% 7.37%

Retail $312.4m ($10.8m) $301.6m $306.3m $4.7m 1.6% 7.43% 7.20%

Total $1,306.4m $40.2m $1,346.6m $1,374.2m $27.6m 2.1% 7.55% 7.36%

By location

By sector