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58
➨䠐❶ 찵焫 덀턽둯茡툽팠熋臕 딶熲岢猣 䠉ಖㆤ⪅ㄪᰝ䛾⦪ᶓศᯒ䠉 ℈୰⩏㝯㸦ᅜ❧ᩍ⫱ᨻ⟇◊✲ᡤ㸧 䠍㻚 ၥ㢟䛾ᡤᅾ ᖹᡂ 26 2014 㸧ᖺᗘ Ꮫᇶᮏㄪᰝ㸦☜ᐃ㸧 ࠊࡤ㐣ᖺᗘ༞⪅ Ꮫ㸦Ꮫ㒊㸧㐍Ꮫ⋡ 51.5 ▷ࠊᮇᏛ ᑓ㛛Ꮫ➼ 㐍Ꮫ⪅ 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ᶵ 㛵㐍Ꮫ⋡ 80.0 㸣㐩 ࠕࠋᏛධ௦ ࡘࡘ ฟ㌟ᐙᗞ ⤒ࡢ῭ⓗ≧ἣ ಖㆤ⪅ ⫋ᴗⓗᆅᏛṔ➼ 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ 㐍Ꮫᶵ 㐍Ꮫᶵ᱁ᕪ Ꮡᅾ ࠊࡣ᪤ከ ᐇド◊✲ ࡓࡁ 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ ࠕࡢᶵᆒ➼ 㐩ᡂ ౫↛ 㔜せ ᨻ⟇ ⓗㄢ㢟 ᖺ㱋ே ⣙㸶 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ᶵ 㐍Ꮫ ࡞ࡓㄢ㢟⏕ ᩍ⫱㈝ᐙィ㸦ぶ㸧 ㈇ᢸ ࡣࡢᙜ↛ ࡢࡃᅜẸ ᩍ⫱ほ ࠊࡣ㐍Ꮫ 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ ⏝㈝ࡢ㈇ᢸ ࡢࡃᐙィ ࡋࡢ ࡗ࡞ ࠺࠸ၥ㢟 ࡇࡑ㏆ᖺ ♫ࠊⓗ㛵ᚰ ࠊࡣࡢᏛ⏕ᑐ ⤒῭ⓗᨭ ࠶ࡢ ࡢࡑ୰ᚰⓗ ⨨༨ ᪥ᮏᏛ⏕ᨭᶵᵓ ㈚ዡᏛ㔠ไᗘ ࠸ࡘ ዡᏛ㔠 ⏝⪅㸦≉᭷Ꮚ㈚㸧 ᛴ㏿ᣑ ࠊࡋேᙜ ㈚㢠 ࡓࡗ࡞ࡃࡁ㏉㑏㔠 ၥ㢟ど ࠋࡓࡗ࡞᪥ᮏᏛ⏕ᨭᶵ ㏉㑏㔠 ᙉ⤌ጞ ࠊࡀࡓᅇ᪉ἲ㏉㑏 ㈇ᢸቑ ♫ⓗⓎ⏕ ࡓࡋ࠺ࡇ≧ἣ⫼ᬒ ✲◊ࡢࠎ ࠊࡣ㧗➼ᩍ⫱㈝ ᐙィ㈇ᢸ ᐇែ ࡗ࡞ ㏆ᖺ ዡᏛ㔠 㧗➼ᩍ⫱ ᶵᆒ➼ᐤ Ꮫ⏕ᑐ ⤒῭ⓗᨭไᗘ ᨵၿⅬ ࠎ➼ࠊ 2012 11 ᭶ᖺ㸱᭶㧗➼Ꮫ༞ᴗ ࡓࡋᏊᣢ ಖㆤ⪅ᑐ ㄪᰝ㸦 ࢱࢽㄪᰝ㸧ᐇ ⤖ࡢࡑࠋࡓࡋ౫↛ ᐙィᡤᚓᏊ 㐍㊰ ࠶ࡀࡁࡘࡧ⤖࠸ ᮾிᏛᏛ⤒Ⴀᨻ⟇◊✲ 2006 ᖺᗘ ࠕࡓࡋᅜ㧗⏕ಖㆤ⪅ㄪᰝ㸦 CRUMP2006 ☜ࡣ ࠊࡓࡗຊᒙ㸦㸻୰Ꮫ㸱ᖺ ᡂ⦼ ࠕࡀᏛ㐍Ꮫ⋡ ᅜබ❧Ꮫ 㐍Ꮫ⋡ ᐙィᡤᚓᙳ㡪 ☜ࡀ ᩍ⫱ᶵ ᱁ᕪ ♧ࡀ 㸦ᑠᯘ 2014 ࡉࠋ ୰ᡤᚓᒙ㸦ᐙィᖺ 625-800 㸧௨ୗ 71

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  • 26 2014

    51 .5

    80 .0

    2012

    11

    2006

    CRUMP2006

    2014 625-800

    71

  • 46 47

    2013

    2013 2014 3

    2013 3

    72

  • 2013 NTT

    2 28 3 10

    3 24 27

    1375 1441 1289

    2013 3 2014 3

    2013 3

    26 .3

    26 .9 2013 3

    4 -1 %

    73

  • 19 .3

    e -S ta t

    6 7 3 4%

    10 12%

    10%

    25

    45 -54

    3~4

    50 .1 49 .6 47 .0

    1

    4 -2

    74

  • 2013

    25

    10

    2

    75

  • 72 .2 68 .1 4

    4%

    (1 ) (2 )

    (3 )

    4 -3

    4 -4

    4 -5

    76

  • ( 1 )

    1050

    (2 )

    ( 3 )

    400

    2

    400

    12 .9

    16

    4 -6

    77

  • 1 0

    22

    4-7

    78

  • =0 =1

    =1

    =4

    4 -8

    79

  • 10

    4 -9

    80

  • 10%

    3

    4

    5

    10 =1 =0

    81

  • 25 .3 34 .6

    10

    6

    10

    4 -10

    82

  • 45 .9

    49 .0 59 .92 =21 .046 df=2 p= .000

    46 .5

    48 .3 52 .9

    7

    83

  • 2013

    11

    11

    84

  • 11

    1

    6 0 3 03 5 4 0

    2

    3

    4 2 4 p . 2 3

    4 6 . 7 5 2 0 1 3

    2 0 1 4 6

    4 -11

    85

  • 7

    2 0 1 32 0 1 2 1 6

    2 0 1 4 ,, p p . 5 5 - 6 8

    2 0 1 4 ,p p . 1 9 7 - 2 0 8

    86

  • .

    22 JASSO

    22 JASSO

    2 1

    2

    2014

    2007

    2008

    2011 treatment effect model

    22 JASSO

    2

    3

    87

  • 947,900 828,000 1,225,600

    290,300 336,400 367,000

    238,800 257,400 290,300

    12,700 13,700 14,200

    1,489,700 1,435,500 1,897,100

    518,900 540,600 1,097,600

    44,100 42,300 39,100

    33,100 23,300 25,900

    32,100 44,300 64,400

    628,200 650,500 1,227,000

    211,000 173,900 144,700

    305,200 256,900 142,100

    32,000 33,700 33,400

    122,200 115,000 119,100

    86,900 86,900 90,900

    65,000 61,400 50,600

    822,300 727,800 580,800

    1,450,500 1,378,300 1,807,800

    746.6 674.6 740.2

    33.2% 40.3% 61.1%

    47.9% 53.8% 51.2%

    4,057 3,451 7,914N

    .

    2-1

    5-1

    5-1

    A B

    A

    30

    40 45

    2

    57 55

    25 15

    3 4 6

    35.8% 82.6% 39.2% 83.1% 60.7% 89.5%

    3.0% 7.0% 3.1% 6.5% 2.2% 3.2%

    2.3% 5.3% 1.7% 3.6% 1.4% 2.1%

    2.2% 5.1% 3.2% 6.8% 3.6% 5.2%

    43.3% 100.0% 47.2% 100.0% 67.9% 100.0%

    14.5% 25.7% 12.6% 23.9% 8.0% 24.9%

    21.0% 37.1% 18.6% 35.3% 7.9% 24.5%

    2.2% 3.9% 2.4% 4.6% 1.8% 5.8%

    8.4% 14.9% 8.3% 15.8% 6.6% 20.5%

    6.0% 10.6% 6.3% 11.9% 5.0% 15.7%

    4.5% 7.9% 4.5% 8.4% 2.8% 8.7%

    56.7% 100.0% 52.8% 100.0% 32.1% 100.0%

    100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    63.6% 57.7% 64.6%

    19.5% 23.4%

    100.0%

    19.3%

    16.0% 17.9% 15.3%

    0.9% 1.0% 0.7%

    100.0% 100.0%

    88

  • B

    7 4 5

    5 6 3

    2-2

    5-2

    5-2

    600,100 561,700 1,005,300 1,132,400 1,025,400 1,605,200

    195,500 238,400 336,700 338,200 404,600 416,300

    284,900 290,800 330,700 216,400 234,700 226,700

    12,300 17,200 14,300 12,900 11,600 14,000

    1,092,800 1,108,100 1,687,000 1,699,900 1,676,300 2,262,200

    518,600 539,700 1,093,400 519,000 541,200 1,105,500

    45,800 43,700 37,900 43,600 41,400 40,900

    31,200 22,000 24,500 34,000 24,300 28,100

    92,300 102,700 98,000 7,000 10,100 15,800

    687,900 708,100 1,253,800 603,600 617,000 1,190,300

    94,000 76,200 84,400 271,200 243,700 248,600

    - - - 480,000 460,700 444,400

    32,200 34,300 33,700 31,900 33,300 32,900

    112,500 109,300 114,700 127,000 118,800 126,300

    80,500 83,600 89,400 90,200 89,100 93,500

    65,100 61,800 52,700 64,900 61,200 47,400

    384,300 365,200 374,900 1,065,200 1,006,800 993,100

    1,072,200 1,073,300 1,628,700 1,668,800 1,623,800 2,183,400

    722.0 663.2 728.7 758.8 682.4 758.7

    37.9% 45.7% 48.1% 52.8% 59.3% 56.1%

    41.7% 60.1% 51.5% 35.8% 52.8% 45.8%

    1,345 1,391 4,839 2,712 2,060 3,075N

    89

  • 5-1 5-2

    2001

    5-2

    1 2

    2-3

    JASSO 5-1

    JASSO 36 144

    5-3

    90

  • 5-3

    5-3 A-B

    8 10

    200

    55 70

    651,700 1,222,400 -570 ,700 580,000 1,123,700 -543 ,700 888,600 1,574,800 -686 ,200

    675,000 0 675 ,000 678,800 0 678 ,800 790,200 0 790 ,200

    228,300 248,800 -20 ,500 258,600 256,300 2 ,300 295,300 285,000 10 ,300

    11,300 14,200 -2 ,900 9,900 18,500 -8 ,600 12,700 15,700 -3 ,000

    1,566,300 1,485,400 80 ,900 1,527,300 1,398,500 128 ,800 1,986,800 1,875,500 111 ,300

    501,400 534,800 -33 ,400 530,200 547,300 -17 ,100 1,089,300 1,106,600 -17 ,300

    51,100 38,100 13 ,000 47,500 36,700 10 ,800 45,200 33,100 12 ,100

    35,900 30,500 5 ,400 26,300 20,200 6 ,100 30,200 21,400 8 ,800

    28,300 35,600 -7 ,300 39,800 49,500 -9 ,700 66,000 63,100 2 ,900

    616,700 639,000 -22 ,300 643,800 653,700 -9 ,900 1,230,700 1,224,200 6 ,500

    224,700 198,400 26 ,300 188,100 157,300 30 ,800 153,000 136,100 16 ,900

    339,300 273,900 65 ,400 294,100 213,500 80 ,600 162,800 120,400 42 ,400

    34,700 29,700 5 ,000 35,200 31,900 3 ,300 34,000 32,700 1 ,300

    116,100 128,200 -12 ,100 112,500 118,500 -6 ,000 112,600 127,000 -14 ,400

    96,000 78,700 17 ,300 93,300 79,900 13 ,400 97,200 84,400 12 ,800

    74,200 56,900 17 ,300 68,000 54,600 13 ,400 56,700 44,700 12 ,000

    885,000 765,800 119 ,200 791,200 655,700 135 ,500 616,300 545,300 71 ,000

    1,501,700 1,404,800 96 ,900 1,435,000 1,309,400 125 ,600 1,847,000 1,769,500 77 ,500

    611.4 880.5 -269 .1 575.1 804.9 -229 .8 620.9 880.7 -259 .8

    26.3% 39.5% -13 .2% 34.2% 47.4% -13 .2% 57.5% 65.0% -7 .5%

    1,942 2,115 1,857 1,594 4,053 3,861N

    91

  • 2-4

    5-4

    +

    400 2014

    L 1 H 2 M

    M

    92

  • M

    0.1

    M

    5-4

    L M H L M H L M H

    +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++

    - - - - - - - - -

    +

    + +

    - --- --- - --- - --- --- ---

    +++ +

    -- --- - --- --- --- ---

    - - ---

    - --- ---

    - - - -- ---

    -- -- -- -

    -- - --

    + +++ +++

    - --- - -- --- -- -- --

    - - -

    - -- -- -- - --

    - -- - -- --- ---

    +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++ +++

    - - - - - - - - -

    -

    + +

    -- --- --- ++

    +++ + ++ ++ +++

    --- -- - -- --- ---

    --- ---

    - +++

    - -

    -- - --

    -

    +++

    - -

    - - ---

    -- - -- - ---

    - - -- +++

    N

    N

    93

  • M

    H

    L M

    M

    M

    M

    H

    2-5 1 2 3 4

    1 2

    3 4

    2003

    5-5~ 5-7

    94

  • 5-5

    5-6

    652,500 1,190,400 928,400 -537 ,900 643,900 1,221,000 946,500 -577 ,100 18 ,100

    651,000 0 282,700 651 ,000 687,400 0 293,200 687 ,400 10 ,500

    199,100 213,100 205,900 -14 ,000 259,000 283,000 271,300 -24 ,000 65 ,400

    11,500 16,100 13,700 -4 ,600 10,300 13,500 11,900 -3 ,200 -1 ,800

    1,514,100 1,419,600 1,430,700 94 ,500 1,600,600 1,517,500 1,522,900 83 ,100 92 ,200

    507,100 541,000 524,500 -33 ,900 497,700 531,800 515,900 -34 ,100 -8 ,600

    52,800 44,100 48,300 8 ,700 46,700 31,600 38,500 15 ,100 -9 ,800

    36,400 32,300 34,300 4 ,100 34,300 28,500 31,300 5 ,800 -3 ,000

    29,100 37,900 33,600 -8 ,800 27,900 35,000 31,600 -7 ,100 -2 ,000

    625,400 655,300 640,700 -29 ,900 606,600 626,900 617,300 -20 ,300 -23 ,400

    198,700 170,500 184,200 28 ,200 241,000 213,800 226,700 27 ,200 42 ,500

    299,100 239,500 268,500 59 ,600 366,200 290,200 326,200 76 ,000 57 ,700

    31,700 28,300 29,900 3 ,400 36,800 30,200 33,200 6 ,600 3 ,300

    106,600 114,300 110,300 -7 ,700 121,700 138,000 129,900 -16 ,300 19 ,600

    92,500 75,100 83,200 17 ,400 99,600 80,700 89,600 18 ,900 6 ,400

    80,500 60,500 69,900 20 ,000 70,500 55,500 62,400 15 ,000 -7 ,500

    809,100 688,200 746,000 120 ,900 935,800 808,400 868,000 127 ,400 122 ,000

    1,434,500 1,343,500 1,386,700 91 ,000 1,542,400 1,435,300 1,485,300 107 ,100 98 ,600

    602.4 862.7 731.4 -260 .2 618.5 887.2 754.9 -268 .7 23 .4

    28.2% 40.8% 34.7% -12 .6% 25.0% 39.5% 32.6% -14 .5% -2 .1%

    825 872 1,697 1,068 1,187 2,255N

    606,000 1,123,600 836,400 -517 ,600 547,900 1,107,300 806,700 -559 ,400 -29 ,700

    675,400 0 342,900 675 ,400 680,500 0 331,500 680 ,500 -11 ,400

    209,100 230,700 218,000 -21 ,600 309,800 288,300 299,600 21 ,500 81 ,600

    9,100 16,800 12,500 -7 ,700 10,900 20,300 15,100 -9 ,400 2 ,600

    1,499,600 1,371,100 1,409,800 128 ,500 1,549,100 1,415,900 1,452,900 133 ,200 43 ,100

    539,300 557,700 550,100 -18 ,400 521,700 538,600 531,600 -16 ,900 -18 ,500

    51,600 42,100 47,300 9 ,500 42,100 31,200 36,600 10 ,900 -10 ,700

    25,900 22,100 24,100 3 ,800 26,100 17,500 21,900 8 ,600 -2 ,200

    36,600 49,400 42,400 -12 ,800 43,400 50,100 46,500 -6 ,700 4 ,100

    653,400 671,300 663,900 -17 ,900 633,300 637,400 636,600 -4 ,100 -27 ,300

    172,200 140,000 157,800 32 ,200 202,300 169,200 186,800 33 ,100 29 ,000

    282,500 198,500 244,700 84 ,000 300,900 224,400 265,000 76 ,500 20 ,300

    32,600 31,000 31,900 1 ,600 37,400 32,400 35,000 5 ,000 3 ,100

    98,700 103,500 100,600 -4 ,800 126,600 133,100 129,400 -6 ,500 28 ,800

    89,100 77,400 83,600 11 ,700 97,300 82,200 90,100 15 ,100 6 ,500

    80,300 59,300 70,000 21 ,000 56,200 50,300 53,300 5 ,900 -16 ,700

    755,400 609,700 688,600 145 ,700 820,700 691,600 759,600 129 ,100 71 ,000

    1,408,800 1,281,000 1,352,500 127 ,800 1,454,000 1,329,000 1,396,200 125 ,000 43 ,700

    581.1 801.9 675.8 -220 .8 568.2 800.0 668.7 -231 .8 -7 .0

    32.2% 48.5% 39.5% -16 .3% 36.5% 47.2% 41.5% -10 .7% 2 .0%

    922 753 1,675 912 809 1,721N

    95

  • 5-7

    1

    1

    898,700 1,564,900 1,221,400 -666 ,200 866,800 1,559,200 1,211,700 -692 ,400 -9 ,700

    784,800 0 370,700 784 ,800 791,600 0 362,900 791 ,600 -7 ,800

    249,700 233,000 241,700 16 ,700 348,700 343,100 345,900 5 ,600 104 ,200

    11,700 15,500 13,400 -3 ,800 13,500 16,400 15,000 -2 ,900 1 ,600

    1,944,900 1,813,400 1,847,200 131 ,500 2,020,600 1,918,700 1,935,500 101 ,900 88 ,300

    1,076,800 1,104,300 1,090,200 -27 ,500 1,091,400 1,094,600 1,093,000 -3 ,200 2 ,800

    48,900 38,000 43,500 10 ,900 40,600 27,800 34,000 12 ,800 -9 ,500

    27,600 20,800 24,200 6 ,800 32,800 22,100 27,500 10 ,700 3 ,300

    65,200 63,300 64,200 1 ,900 66,600 63,400 64,800 3 ,200 600

    1,218,500 1,226,400 1,222,100 -7 ,900 1,231,400 1,207,900 1,219,300 23 ,500 -2 ,800

    140,000 120,300 130,500 19 ,700 166,700 151,200 159,000 15 ,500 28 ,500

    146,800 108,400 128,400 38 ,400 178,700 128,200 153,700 50 ,500 25 ,300

    32,900 31,700 32,300 1 ,200 35,000 33,500 34,200 1 ,500 1 ,900

    105,000 109,000 106,900 -4 ,000 120,800 145,300 132,300 -24 ,500 25 ,400

    92,400 78,600 85,700 13 ,800 102,300 90,400 96,400 11 ,900 10 ,700

    63,700 41,000 52,000 22 ,700 50,300 48,600 49,500 1 ,700 -2 ,500

    580,800 489,000 535,800 91 ,800 653,800 597,200 625,100 56 ,600 89 ,300

    1,799,300 1,715,400 1,757,900 83 ,900 1,885,200 1,805,100 1,844,400 80 ,100 86 ,500

    620.2 878.0 736.3 -257 .8 619.9 876.9 740.5 -257 .0 4 .2

    57.7% 65.6% 61.5% -7 .8% 57.2% 65.0% 61.1% -7 .8% -0 .4%

    2,060 1,896 3,956 1,965 1,931 3,896N

    96

  • 2-6

    . Treatment effect model

    3-1

    2007

    2007 treatment effect

    model

    97

  • (1) iiii SxY

    (2)

    otherwiseSifS

    uwS

    i

    ii

    ,00,1

    ^

    ^

    iY ix

    iS

    iw

    1 2

    3 4 1 2

    2003

    98

  • 3-2

    3-2-1

    5-8 1

    Z

    5-8

    5-4

    JASSO 1

    2 5-9

    1

    P>z P>z

    30 .598 4.05 0.000 11.670 1.77 0.077

    2.775 0.34 0.733 -7.309 -0.93 0.351

    -8.715 -1.17 0.242 -4.923 -0.66 0.507

    5.675 0.46 0.648 -18.039 -1.58 0.114

    -12.467 -0.59 0.556 -31.268 -1.67 0.095

    1.312 0.24 0.812 0.863 0.17 0.864

    -22.310 -1.52 0.128 -49 .088 -3.68 0.000

    38 .453 3.54 0.000 10.468 1.11 0.267

    6.077 0.32 0.753 -0.960 -0.06 0.956

    35.320 1.34 0.180 -87 .627 -3.19 0.001

    N 7,309 7,479

    99

  • 1 LINE

    5-9

    0

    2

    2

    5-9

    1

    2

    2

    2

    1 2

    1

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    27 .958 3.39 0.001 20.921 1.63 0.102 9.912 1.10 0.271 25 .973 2.87 0.004

    18 .416 2.06 0.039 -9.374 -0.68 0.498 -2.704 -0.25 0.799 0.411 0.04 0.969

    -2.391 -0.29 0.769 -27 .626 -2.16 0.031 -3.439 -0.34 0.733 -9.168 -0.90 0.366

    18.995 1.40 0.162 24.947 1.18 0.237 -12.378 -0.80 0.425 -42 .413 -2.70 0.007

    -77 .196 -3.32 0.001 50.000 1.39 0.166 -29.118 -1.14 0.253 -62 .026 -2.41 0.016

    -1.417 -0.24 0.814 4.920 0.53 0.598 0.490 0.07 0.943 -0.031 0.00 0.996

    -57 .339 -3.55 0.000 2.782 0.11 0.911 -44 .255 -2.43 0.015 -62 .738 -3.43 0.001

    41 .177 3.48 0.000 34.741 1.89 0.059 37 .034 2.87 0.004 17.338 1.35 0.178

    16.848 0.80 0.424 -13.440 -0.41 0.681 -7.759 -0.33 0.741 18.447 0.78 0.433

    -31.797 -1.11 0.268 101 .312 2.24 0.025 -44.457 -1.20 0.232 -132.654 -3.49 0.000

    N 7,309 7,479

    100

  • 2

    3-2-2

    5-10

    1

    2 1

    2

    1

    2

    5-10

    5-11

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    8.217 0.68 0.498 -0.251 -0.01 0.989 24 .682 2.24 0.025 29 .858 2.85 0.004

    26.072 1.91 0.056 -14.150 -0.70 0.487 7.805 0.59 0.553 -6.671 -0.53 0.593

    -18.655 -1.05 0.294 -18.890 -0.71 0.476 -19.698 -1.35 0.177 -5.302 -0.38 0.701

    19.261 1.19 0.235 28.700 1.18 0.237 15.927 1.02 0.306 -42 .259 -2.82 0.005

    -13.102 -1.34 0.181 -6.839 -0.47 0.639 -0.951 -0.11 0.916 -0.234 -0.03 0.978

    -37.159 -1.40 0.161 -17.805 -0.45 0.650 -43.984 -1.95 0.051 -73 .054 -3.40 0.001

    18.910 1.03 0.302 42.386 1.54 0.123 40 .712 2.54 0.011 15.993 1.06 0.290

    -26.851 -0.89 0.371 12.105 0.27 0.786 -27.462 -0.96 0.337 2.998 0.11 0.912

    3.544 0.09 0.927 13.151 0.23 0.820 24.470 0.60 0.549 -81 .693 -2.09 0.037

    N 2,645 4,554

    101

  • 5-11

    1

    2

    1 2

    1

    2

    4

    1 2

    1

    2

    3-2-3

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    32 .701 3.05 0.002 31.121 1.87 0.061 -9.490 -0.63 0.528 5.291 0.39 0.697

    15.278 1.35 0.178 -1.985 -0.11 0.910 -21.201 -1.21 0.227 12.031 0.76 0.446

    -3.542 -0.54 0.588 -15.495 -1.52 0.130 16.397 1.45 0.148 -3.698 -0.36 0.718

    23.650 1.25 0.212 18.433 0.63 0.528 -38.071 -1.24 0.214 -45.107 -1.61 0.108

    -100.489 -2.90 0.004 78.663 1.47 0.142 -4.693 -0.08 0.935 -123 .142 -2.31 0.021

    7.983 1.08 0.279 6.400 0.56 0.574 1.605 0.16 0.873 -6.813 -0.75 0.455

    -55 .784 -2.90 0.004 -22.188 -0.75 0.454 -49.733 -1.67 0.095 -33.408 -1.25 0.212

    42 .020 2.83 0.005 33.304 1.44 0.149 27.374 1.31 0.189 3.917 0.21 0.835

    33.785 1.22 0.223 -19.605 -0.46 0.647 0.106 0.00 0.998 32.074 0.91 0.364

    -38.181 -1.00 0.315 128 .253 2.13 0.033 -77.811 -1.17 0.242 -190 .929 -3.06 0.002

    N 4,664 2,925

    102

  • 5-12 5-13

    5-12

    1

    2

    1 2

    1

    2

    1 2

    LINE

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.632 0.37 0.714 -2.759 -0.18 0.858 41 .656 3.32 0.001 42 .598 2.34 0.019

    17.962 1.51 0.131 4.583 0.25 0.803 6.252 0.49 0.623 -36.014 -1.92 0.055

    -2.082 -0.19 0.850 -22.843 -1.32 0.186 -5.102 -0.43 0.667 -23.805 -1.38 0.168

    -0.732 -0.04 0.968 -25.369 -0.89 0.373 43 .281 2.22 0.026 49.987 1.76 0.078

    -91 .716 -2.84 0.005 87.017 1.71 0.087 -65 .695 -2.02 0.043 47.814 1.02 0.309

    -17 .145 -2.18 0.029 -6.988 -0.58 0.564 13.720 1.55 0.120 27 .764 2.15 0.032

    -14.264 -0.74 0.462 -23.413 -0.78 0.435 -81 .892 -3.35 0.001 11.765 0.33 0.738

    18.292 1.14 0.254 0.842 0.03 0.973 71 .564 4.22 0.000 66 .229 2.66 0.008

    44.091 1.36 0.172 -36.313 -0.72 0.471 -11.078 -0.41 0.681 -44.595 -1.14 0.255

    -86 .054 -2.01 0.045 11.072 0.17 0.867 23.785 0.64 0.521 186 .337 3.29 0.001

    N 3,268 3,882

    103

  • 2

    5-13

    1

    2

    2

    1

    2

    2

    1

    2003 2011

    2003

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    4.065 0.33 0.738 22 .831 1.98 0.048 13.397 1.05 0.293 44 .514 3.33 0.001

    6.285 0.44 0.659 -0.037 0.00 0.998 -19.188 -1.26 0.209 0.637 0.04 0.968

    4.037 0.29 0.772 -18.271 -1.38 0.168 -10.395 -0.73 0.465 5.670 0.39 0.698

    -30.560 -1.43 0.153 -32.779 -1.61 0.107 11.666 0.54 0.590 -35.560 -1.58 0.114

    -35.455 -1.01 0.314 -77 .457 -2.31 0.021 -13.086 -0.37 0.712 -34.797 -0.95 0.343

    17 .697 1.98 0.048 -1.008 -0.12 0.905 -14.577 -1.44 0.149 -0.783 -0.08 0.940

    -12.082 -0.49 0.621 -53 .565 -2.31 0.021 -69 .476 -2.65 0.008 -73 .135 -2.71 0.007

    29.285 1.65 0.099 32.671 1.93 0.053 45 .641 2.50 0.012 21.119 1.13 0.260

    -47.060 -1.35 0.178 26.670 0.81 0.418 1.242 0.04 0.967 -13.535 -0.43 0.664

    -16.727 -0.32 0.751 -127 .615 -2.54 0.011 -56.017 -1.10 0.271 -72.335 -1.37 0.170

    N 3,683 3,734

    104

  • .

    treatment effect model

    1 2

    1 2

    2

    treatment effect model

    105

  • 5-4

    1994 16 JASSO

    2009 1/56 1/14 1/135

    45.1% 15,422

    2003

    10

    2011 treatment effect model1 2

    3 4 5-4 2001 2014 2010

    50%30 H

    M L 72.5 H 65 72.5 M 65 L50 H 40 50 M 40 L

    2007

    106

  • 5-4

    2003 2008

    2001

    10-12 B 1

    334-377.

    2007

    277-334.

    2009

    21 279-296.

    2014

    25

    21-34.

    2003 No.58

    86-96

    2008 1999 , PRI

    Discussion Paper Series, No.08A-03

    2011

    No.33 19-32.

    107

  • 1.treatment effect model

    1.1

    1.1.1

    1.1.2

    N=7309 N=7479

    P>z P>z

    -0.054 -1.29 0.198 0.029 0.83 0.409

    -0.064 -1.49 0.137 0.095 2.16 0.031

    -0.001 -25.24 0.000 -0.001 -24.38 0.000

    0.021 0.41 0.681 -0.137 -2.96 0.003

    -0.164 -2.17 0.030 -0.214 -3.34 0.001

    0.100 0.89 0.376 -0.299 -2.46 0.014

    -0.017 -0.19 0.851 -0.122 -1.48 0.140

    0.034 0.92 0.355 -0.122 -3.63 0.000

    -0.414 -12.53 0.000 -0.234 -7.43 0.000

    0.040 1.25 0.211 0.051 1.67 0.095

    0.057 2.68 0.007 0.091 4.51 0.000

    -0.065 -0.88 0.377 0.098 1.11 0.269

    0.103 1.54 0.124 0.221 2.55 0.011

    -0.164 -3.04 0.002 0.030 0.62 0.532

    -0.133 -2.31 0.021 0.112 2.83 0.005

    0.025 0.39 0.699 0.223 2.71 0.007

    0.052 0.62 0.535 0.106 0.78 0.433

    0.220 3.98 0.000 0.360 5.92 0.000

    -0.017 -1.31 0.192 -0.011 -0.84 0.399

    0.099 3.00 0.003 0.000 -0.13 0.893

    -0.001 -7.26 0.000 0.858 12.20 0.000

    1.387 14.30 0.000

    N=7309

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.820 1.31 0.189 7.971 3.45 0.001 -5.745 -2.72 0.007 6.613 1.88 0.060 -0.930 -0.16 0.877

    10.466 4.81 0.000 14.604 6.23 0.000 -8.755 -4.08 0.000 24.446 6.84 0.000 31.089 5.11 0.000

    0.005 2.34 0.019 0.004 1.73 0.083 -0.006 -2.51 0.012 0.006 1.64 0.101 0.007 1.04 0.297

    0.039 22.06 0.000 0.036 18.66 0.000 0.027 15.49 0.000 0.118 40.55 0.000 0.215 43.21 0.000

    4.790 2.86 0.004 -1.119 -0.62 0.534 0.820 0.50 0.619 -33.242 -12.11 0.000 18.638 3.98 0.000

    28.480 12.48 0.000 17.866 7.26 0.000 106.659 47.35 0.000 -94.879 -25.28 0.000 -353.334 -55.25 0.000

    -15.586 -8.05 0.000 1.174 0.56 0.573 2.313 1.21 0.225 -6.240 -1.96 0.050 -6.173 -1.14 0.254

    -4.122 -5.88 0.000 -1.590 -2.11 0.035 -0.238 -0.34 0.731 11.902 10.34 0.000 9.744 4.97 0.000

    -1.407 -0.81 0.417 -7.540 -4.04 0.000 4.794 2.80 0.005 -7.220 -2.54 0.011 -1.086 -0.22 0.823

    -0.030 -4.32 0.000 -0.052 -6.96 0.000 -0.022 -3.18 0.001 -0.112 -9.86 0.000 -0.143 -7.39 0.000

    30.598 4.05 0.000 2.775 0.34 0.733 -8.715 -1.17 0.242 5.675 0.46 0.648 -12.467 -0.59 0.556

    -13.906 -1.64 0.102 0.045 0.00 0.996 -10.935 -1.30 0.192 78.498 5.62 0.000 122.158 5.13 0.000

    -0.163 0.010 0.096 -0.047 0.013

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    5.101 3.26 0.001 2.310 0.56 0.578 -6.968 -2.26 0.024 2.863 0.52 0.601 11.171 1.50 0.135

    -0.778 -0.49 0.624 -11.222 -2.66 0.008 -14.630 -4.67 0.000 -15.255 -2.75 0.006 45.220 5.97 0.000

    -0.002 -1.06 0.289 0.006 1.25 0.212 0.007 2.00 0.046 -0.007 -1.18 0.240 0.028 3.41 0.001

    0.034 26.52 0.000 0.151 43.77 0.000 0.081 31.97 0.000 0.171 37.73 0.000 0.702 113.73 0.000

    12.765 10.48 0.000 -0.629 -0.19 0.846 12.634 5.25 0.000 -10.470 -2.46 0.014 14.657 2.52 0.012

    19.605 11.77 0.000 75.033 16.95 0.000 45.236 13.80 0.000 98.439 16.88 0.000 -155.334 -19.54 0.000

    -1.598 -1.13 0.257 10.263 2.74 0.006 10.671 3.83 0.000 6.485 1.31 0.189 -5.175 -0.77 0.442

    1.441 2.82 0.005 6.644 4.90 0.000 1.405 1.39 0.163 -15.866 -8.88 0.000 25.186 10.33 0.000

    0.164 0.13 0.897 -2.723 -0.81 0.417 -2.879 -1.15 0.248 -1.172 -0.27 0.791 -17.897 -2.97 0.003

    -0.031 -6.17 0.000 -0.156 -11.61 0.000 -0.080 -8.08 0.000 -0.172 -9.72 0.000 0.374 15.54 0.000

    1.312 0.24 0.812 -22.310 -1.52 0.128 38.453 3.54 0.000 6.077 0.32 0.753 35.320 1.34 0.180

    -16.252 -2.62 0.009 -58.533 -3.55 0.000 -32.410 -2.65 0.008 -73.391 -3.38 0.001 68.664 2.32 0.020

    0.009 -0.025 -0.211 0.004 -0.127

    108

  • 1.2

    1.2.1

    N=7479

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    0.703 0.40 0.691 7.591 3.62 0.000 -2.371 -1.19 0.233 0.249 0.08 0.935 -0.514 -0.10 0.918

    -0.323 -0.15 0.883 16.405 6.29 0.000 -2.827 -1.14 0.253 15.643 4.12 0.000 7.491 1.20 0.229

    0.000 -0.21 0.831 -0.001 -0.79 0.427 -0.004 -1.96 0.050 0.002 0.59 0.558 -0.008 -1.76 0.078

    0.032 21.68 0.000 0.030 17.02 0.000 0.028 17.08 0.000 0.109 42.50 0.000 0.169 40.11 0.000

    5.284 3.37 0.001 -0.831 -0.45 0.656 6.171 3.49 0.000 -23.608 -8.70 0.000 9.755 2.19 0.029

    17.293 9.03 0.000 12.007 5.29 0.000 98.597 45.81 0.000 -98.440 -29.77 0.000 -365.596 -67.32 0.000

    -7.486 -4.28 0.000 5.401 2.60 0.009 -0.812 -0.41 0.679 -3.702 -1.23 0.220 8.675 1.75 0.080

    -5.357 -7.68 0.000 -0.157 -0.19 0.850 -0.708 -0.90 0.367 9.205 7.64 0.000 6.270 3.17 0.002

    -0.010 -4.85 0.000 -0.027 -10.95 0.000 -0.027 -11.81 0.000 -0.103 -28.83 0.000 -0.156 -26.77 0.000

    11.670 1.77 0.077 -7.309 -0.93 0.351 -4.923 -0.66 0.507 -18.039 -1.58 0.114 -31.268 -1.67 0.095

    -8.255 -1.35 0.178 -2.912 -0.40 0.688 -8.448 -1.23 0.220 104.638 9.90 0.000 223.940 12.89 0.000

    -0.016 0.128 0.099 0.063 0.052

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -0.177 -0.13 0.895 -3.372 -0.95 0.344 -11.704 -4.64 0.000 1.921 0.42 0.677 -9.594 -1.31 0.191

    -0.081 -0.05 0.962 -10.735 -2.42 0.015 -16.549 -5.27 0.000 -5.488 -0.96 0.339 9.025 0.99 0.323

    0.003 2.64 0.008 0.008 2.52 0.012 0.002 1.01 0.313 -0.001 -0.24 0.810 0.002 0.29 0.775

    0.031 27.02 0.000 0.131 43.68 0.000 0.079 37.08 0.000 0.121 31.19 0.000 0.608 99.01 0.000

    12.168 10.18 0.000 -2.697 -0.85 0.395 8.085 3.60 0.000 1.226 0.30 0.765 14.329 2.19 0.028

    18.401 12.63 0.000 58.525 15.15 0.000 40.379 14.77 0.000 70.262 14.04 0.000 -218.835 -27.52 0.000

    0.731 0.55 0.582 6.690 1.90 0.058 1.936 0.78 0.438 -2.648 -0.58 0.562 11.433 1.57 0.116

    1.006 1.90 0.058 7.914 5.62 0.000 2.240 2.25 0.025 -7.662 -4.20 0.000 20.413 7.04 0.000

    -0.029 -18.46 0.000 -0.132 -31.72 0.000 -0.081 -27.60 0.000 -0.136 -25.28 0.000 0.435 50.94 0.000

    0.863 0.17 0.864 -49.088 -3.68 0.000 10.468 1.11 0.267 -0.960 -0.06 0.956 -87.627 -3.19 0.001

    -13.545 -2.91 0.004 -19.816 -1.60 0.109 -2.672 -0.31 0.760 -35.720 -2.23 0.026 272.930 10.73 0.000

    -0.016 0.073 -0.052 0.028 0.136

    P>z P>z

    -0.060 -1.22 0.224 -0.001 -0.02 0.981

    0.041 0.82 0.414 -0.135 -3.05 0.002

    -0.002 -23.16 0.000 0.000 -10.36 0.000

    0.043 0.75 0.450 -0.067 -1.29 0.195

    0.107 1.21 0.225 -0.300 -3.74 0.000

    0.053 0.45 0.655 -0.093 -0.84 0.403

    -0.059 -0.63 0.529 -0.075 -0.85 0.394

    0.014 0.32 0.751 0.063 1.67 0.094

    -0.184 -4.74 0.000 -0.355 -10.41 0.000

    0.072 1.94 0.053 -0.051 -1.58 0.113

    0.104 4.28 0.000 0.016 0.76 0.445

    -0.264 -2.95 0.003 0.090 1.20 0.230

    0.013 0.17 0.864 0.082 1.20 0.228

    -0.105 -1.65 0.099 -0.144 -2.56 0.010

    -0.070 -1.03 0.303 -0.108 -1.81 0.071

    -0.057 -0.75 0.456 0.061 0.92 0.356

    -0.051 -0.51 0.607 0.059 0.70 0.486

    -0.080 -1.23 0.217 0.265 4.79 0.000

    -0.013 -0.86 0.389 -0.010 -0.76 0.450

    0.004 0.10 0.924 0.123 3.66 0.000

    -0.001 -7.34 0.000 0.000 -0.18 0.857

    0.698 6.56 0.000 -0.051 -0.55 0.585

    109

  • 1.2.2

    1

    2

    N=7309

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.035 0.95 0.340 8.110 3.52 0.000 -5.498 -2.62 0.009 6.767 1.93 0.054 -1.618 -0.27 0.788

    8.021 3.80 0.000 14.284 6.26 0.000 -8.174 -3.94 0.000 24.096 6.95 0.000 32.272 5.42 0.000

    0.002 1.22 0.221 0.006 3.08 0.002 -0.004 -2.14 0.033 0.008 2.44 0.015 -0.002 -0.30 0.765

    0.040 22.85 0.000 0.036 19.02 0.000 0.027 15.70 0.000 0.118 40.69 0.000 0.215 43.41 0.000

    4.561 2.72 0.007 -1.392 -0.77 0.442 0.781 0.47 0.636 -33.467 -12.15 0.000 19.732 4.17 0.000

    25.766 12.81 0.000 18.467 8.50 0.000 107.965 54.52 0.000 -95.210 -28.78 0.000 -355.079 -62.65 0.000

    -14.523 -7.57 0.000 1.251 0.60 0.546 2.026 1.07 0.283 -6.113 -1.94 0.052 -6.462 -1.19 0.232

    -4.247 -6.06 0.000 -1.561 -2.06 0.039 -0.207 -0.30 0.764 11.959 10.39 0.000 9.573 4.85 0.000

    -0.571 -0.33 0.739 -7.629 -4.12 0.000 4.496 2.67 0.008 -7.202 -2.56 0.011 -0.751 -0.16 0.877

    -0.030 -4.19 0.000 -0.046 -5.83 0.000 -0.020 -2.77 0.006 -0.106 -8.88 0.000 -0.170 -8.33 0.000

    27.958 3.39 0.001 18.416 2.06 0.039 -2.391 -0.29 0.769 18.995 1.40 0.162 -77.196 -3.32 0.001

    -1.439 -0.22 0.822 -7.763 -1.12 0.262 -18.071 -2.86 0.004 74.104 7.03 0.000 152.864 8.46 0.000

    -0.162 -0.132 0.040 -0.095 0.212

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    5.009 3.22 0.001 2.558 0.61 0.540 -7.702 -2.52 0.012 2.828 0.52 0.603 9.661 1.31 0.192

    -0.905 -0.59 0.556 -8.944 -2.17 0.030 -17.462 -5.77 0.000 -15.857 -2.95 0.003 43.187 5.90 0.000

    -0.002 -1.65 0.099 0.002 0.65 0.517 0.004 1.33 0.184 -0.006 -1.21 0.227 0.015 2.19 0.029

    0.035 26.86 0.000 0.148 43.08 0.000 0.081 32.29 0.000 0.172 38.16 0.000 0.700 114.21 0.000

    12.790 10.47 0.000 0.175 0.05 0.957 12.305 5.12 0.000 -10.703 -2.50 0.012 15.486 2.66 0.008

    19.461 13.27 0.000 74.250 18.88 0.000 41.322 14.36 0.000 98.637 19.21 0.000 -163.056 -23.34 0.000

    -1.538 -1.10 0.271 9.461 2.52 0.012 11.922 4.34 0.000 6.695 1.37 0.171 -3.976 -0.60 0.550

    1.420 2.78 0.005 6.705 4.89 0.000 1.330 1.33 0.185 -15.873 -8.89 0.000 24.972 10.28 0.000

    0.226 0.18 0.857 -2.940 -0.88 0.381 -1.882 -0.77 0.443 -1.125 -0.26 0.797 -16.254 -2.73 0.006

    -0.032 -6.12 0.000 -0.169 -11.92 0.000 -0.077 -7.45 0.000 -0.167 -9.06 0.000 0.350 13.93 0.000

    -1.417 -0.24 0.814 -57.339 -3.55 0.000 41.177 3.48 0.000 16.848 0.80 0.424 -31.797 -1.11 0.268

    -14.458 -3.09 0.002 -45.333 -3.62 0.000 -18.581 -2.03 0.043 -77.528 -4.74 0.000 121.323 5.45 0.000

    0.042 0.186 -0.209 -0.038 0.078

    N=7309

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.998 0.93 0.350 7.688 3.33 0.001 -5.908 -2.76 0.006 6.905 1.96 0.050 0.383 0.06 0.949

    9.993 4.19 0.000 13.543 5.26 0.000 -10.570 -4.43 0.000 26.348 6.70 0.000 36.396 5.41 0.000

    0.000 0.15 0.880 0.003 1.35 0.176 -0.006 -3.28 0.001 0.007 2.31 0.021 0.014 2.66 0.008

    0.040 22.44 0.000 0.036 18.79 0.000 0.027 15.54 0.000 0.118 40.37 0.000 0.215 43.18 0.000

    5.429 3.21 0.001 -1.297 -0.71 0.477 0.185 0.11 0.913 -32.664 -11.72 0.000 19.572 4.10 0.000

    26.825 10.68 0.000 16.464 6.07 0.000 104.706 41.75 0.000 -93.130 -22.49 0.000 -345.685 -48.80 0.000

    -15.392 -7.72 0.000 1.691 0.78 0.433 3.217 1.61 0.107 -7.163 -2.18 0.029 -8.801 -1.56 0.118

    -4.258 -6.08 0.000 -1.646 -2.18 0.030 -0.281 -0.40 0.689 11.980 10.38 0.000 9.985 5.05 0.000

    -1.092 -0.61 0.540 -7.073 -3.68 0.000 5.545 3.11 0.002 -7.974 -2.72 0.007 -3.488 -0.69 0.488

    -0.041 -6.50 0.000 -0.053 -7.75 0.000 -0.019 -2.97 0.003 -0.113 -10.80 0.000 -0.138 -7.68 0.000

    20.921 1.63 0.102 -9.374 -0.68 0.498 -27.626 -2.16 0.031 24.947 1.18 0.237 50.000 1.39 0.166

    4.591 0.61 0.540 6.703 0.83 0.407 -6.593 -0.88 0.378 73.137 5.93 0.000 87.836 4.16 0.000

    -0.117 0.095 0.251 -0.120 -0.173

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    5.133 3.29 0.001 3.287 0.79 0.430 -7.795 -2.54 0.011 2.409 0.44 0.659 11.692 1.54 0.122

    -0.447 -0.26 0.797 -9.174 -1.97 0.048 -14.380 -4.19 0.000 -16.883 -2.77 0.006 51.710 6.13 0.000

    -0.002 -1.15 0.250 0.011 2.92 0.003 0.001 0.33 0.740 -0.010 -1.96 0.050 0.029 4.23 0.000

    0.034 26.55 0.000 0.150 43.41 0.000 0.081 32.16 0.000 0.171 37.79 0.000 0.701 113.73 0.000

    12.875 10.45 0.000 -0.708 -0.22 0.830 13.627 5.60 0.000 -10.700 -2.48 0.013 17.020 2.84 0.004

    20.002 10.91 0.000 78.084 15.95 0.000 43.886 12.16 0.000 95.981 14.94 0.000 -148.847 -16.79 0.000

    -1.765 -1.21 0.225 9.304 2.39 0.017 10.519 3.67 0.000 7.288 1.43 0.153 -8.389 -1.19 0.235

    1.449 2.84 0.005 6.827 5.01 0.000 1.284 1.28 0.202 -15.947 -8.91 0.000 25.341 10.22 0.000

    0.022 0.02 0.986 -3.659 -1.05 0.292 -2.811 -1.10 0.273 -0.423 -0.09 0.926 -20.529 -3.25 0.001

    -0.032 -6.80 0.000 -0.147 -11.83 0.000 -0.094 -10.30 0.000 -0.174 -10.71 0.000 0.363 16.15 0.000

    4.920 0.53 0.598 2.782 0.11 0.911 34.741 1.89 0.059 -13.440 -0.41 0.681 101.312 2.24 0.025

    -17.286 -3.17 0.002 -79.645 -5.46 0.000 -12.482 -1.16 0.246 -61.620 -3.22 0.001 56.261 2.13 0.033

    -0.032 -0.109 -0.204 0.069 -0.275

    110

  • 1.3

    1.3.1

    1.3.2

    1

    P>z P>z

    0.047 1.07 0.282 0.012 0.35 0.725

    0.222 4.02 0.000 -0.047 -1.06 0.290

    -0.001 -20.62 0.000 -0.001 -16.67 0.000

    -0.079 -1.36 0.172 -0.120 -2.58 0.010

    0.053 0.64 0.520 -0.288 -4.29 0.000

    0.126 0.92 0.358 -0.274 -2.20 0.028

    0.090 0.98 0.328 -0.271 -3.23 0.001

    -0.118 -2.80 0.005 -0.053 -1.57 0.117

    -0.226 -5.80 0.000 -0.122 -3.88 0.000

    0.085 2.23 0.026 -0.012 -0.41 0.683

    0.052 2.09 0.037 0.084 4.14 0.000

    -0.364 -2.94 0.003 0.144 1.63 0.102

    -0.223 -2.03 0.042 0.240 2.83 0.005

    -0.127 -2.01 0.045 0.058 1.18 0.240

    -0.074 -1.47 0.142 0.141 3.54 0.000

    -0.085 -0.84 0.402 0.196 2.42 0.016

    -0.109 -0.66 0.511 0.107 0.80 0.425

    -0.012 -0.17 0.868 0.320 5.44 0.000

    -0.003 -0.19 0.853 -0.017 -1.25 0.212

    0.000 1.05 0.295 0.000 0.97 0.332

    -0.119 -1.30 0.195 0.191 2.69 0.007

    N=7479

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    0.500 0.28 0.778 7.604 3.64 0.000 -2.366 -1.19 0.233 0.473 0.16 0.877 -0.032 -0.01 0.995

    -0.931 -0.42 0.675 16.413 6.26 0.000 -2.800 -1.13 0.261 16.286 4.26 0.000 8.994 1.43 0.153

    -0.001 -1.08 0.279 -0.001 -0.34 0.732 -0.003 -1.96 0.050 0.004 1.51 0.131 -0.005 -1.31 0.189

    0.033 22.43 0.000 0.031 17.72 0.000 0.029 17.74 0.000 0.109 42.81 0.000 0.168 40.17 0.000

    5.253 3.34 0.001 -0.897 -0.48 0.629 6.132 3.48 0.001 -23.628 -8.72 0.000 9.813 2.20 0.028

    17.235 9.27 0.000 13.073 5.96 0.000 99.364 47.70 0.000 -97.540 -30.48 0.000 -364.816 -69.30 0.000

    -7.787 -4.48 0.000 5.635 2.74 0.006 -0.695 -0.36 0.722 -3.196 -1.07 0.286 9.400 1.91 0.056

    -5.460 -7.82 0.000 -0.160 -0.19 0.846 -0.720 -0.92 0.357 9.311 7.75 0.000 6.486 3.28 0.001

    -0.011 -5.43 0.000 -0.028 -11.38 0.000 -0.028 -12.22 0.000 -0.102 -28.83 0.000 -0.155 -26.56 0.000

    9.912 1.10 0.271 -2.704 -0.25 0.799 -3.439 -0.34 0.733 -12.378 -0.80 0.425 -29.118 -1.14 0.253

    -2.595 -0.64 0.519 -8.805 -1.85 0.064 -12.254 -2.72 0.007 94.012 13.58 0.000 208.072 18.27 0.000

    -0.040 0.065 0.036 -0.002 0.052

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -0.184 -0.14 0.891 -2.559 -0.71 0.476 -12.007 -4.73 0.000 1.939 0.42 0.675 -8.571 -1.17 0.241

    -0.099 -0.06 0.953 -8.248 -1.83 0.067 -17.923 -5.62 0.000 -5.313 -0.92 0.359 11.691 1.27 0.202

    0.003 2.96 0.003 0.013 4.54 0.000 0.004 1.82 0.069 -0.001 -0.42 0.676 0.013 2.24 0.025

    0.030 27.21 0.000 0.128 42.86 0.000 0.079 37.48 0.000 0.122 31.61 0.000 0.607 99.59 0.000

    12.172 10.18 0.000 -2.580 -0.81 0.419 7.843 3.47 0.001 1.264 0.31 0.758 14.109 2.17 0.030

    18.324 12.98 0.000 59.195 15.72 0.000 41.113 15.43 0.000 70.345 14.51 0.000 -214.052 -27.88 0.000

    0.705 0.53 0.593 7.883 2.24 0.025 2.305 0.92 0.356 -2.791 -0.61 0.539 14.250 1.98 0.047

    1.003 1.89 0.058 8.302 5.87 0.000 2.189 2.18 0.029 -7.685 -4.22 0.000 20.952 7.26 0.000

    -0.029 -18.52 0.000 -0.128 -30.71 0.000 -0.082 -27.82 0.000 -0.137 -25.49 0.000 0.438 51.61 0.000

    0.490 0.07 0.943 -44.255 -2.43 0.015 37.034 2.87 0.004 -7.759 -0.33 0.741 -44.457 -1.20 0.232

    -12.961 -4.24 0.000 -43.982 -5.40 0.000 -3.318 -0.58 0.565 -35.250 -3.36 0.001 218.168 13.13 0.000

    -0.014 0.105 -0.209 0.057 0.030

    111

  • 2

    1.4

    1.4.1

    N=7479

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    0.849 0.48 0.633 7.633 3.65 0.000 -2.444 -1.23 0.220 0.021 0.01 0.994 -0.791 -0.16 0.876

    0.877 0.39 0.698 16.454 6.20 0.000 -3.316 -1.31 0.190 13.722 3.49 0.000 4.784 0.74 0.457

    0.001 0.34 0.734 0.000 -0.15 0.884 -0.004 -2.18 0.029 0.000 0.02 0.982 -0.009 -2.17 0.030

    0.032 21.92 0.000 0.030 17.23 0.000 0.029 17.31 0.000 0.108 42.25 0.000 0.167 39.81 0.000

    5.652 3.57 0.000 -0.892 -0.48 0.632 6.019 3.40 0.001 -24.190 -8.79 0.000 8.878 1.97 0.049

    17.616 9.37 0.000 12.824 5.80 0.000 98.809 46.94 0.000 -99.230 -30.42 0.000 -366.505 -68.56 0.000

    -7.489 -4.29 0.000 5.717 2.79 0.005 -0.786 -0.40 0.687 -3.733 -1.23 0.218 8.847 1.78 0.075

    -5.252 -7.46 0.000 -0.127 -0.15 0.878 -0.761 -0.97 0.334 9.042 7.39 0.000 6.072 3.03 0.002

    -0.010 -5.06 0.000 -0.027 -11.07 0.000 -0.028 -11.94 0.000 -0.101 -28.40 0.000 -0.154 -26.35 0.000

    25.973 2.87 0.004 0.411 0.04 0.969 -9.168 -0.90 0.366 -42.413 -2.70 0.007 -62.026 -2.41 0.016

    -13.416 -2.25 0.024 -8.971 -1.28 0.200 -7.687 -1.15 0.249 114.143 11.04 0.000 234.438 13.85 0.000

    -0.152 0.060 0.113 0.217 0.182

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -0.171 -0.13 0.899 -3.545 -0.99 0.324 -11.628 -4.59 0.000 2.039 0.44 0.659 -10.075 -1.35 0.177

    -0.056 -0.03 0.974 -13.361 -2.93 0.003 -15.779 -4.91 0.000 -4.692 -0.80 0.424 3.326 0.35 0.726

    0.003 2.66 0.008 0.009 3.09 0.002 0.002 1.12 0.263 0.001 0.28 0.782 0.002 0.34 0.732

    0.030 26.88 0.000 0.130 43.34 0.000 0.079 37.25 0.000 0.122 31.55 0.000 0.606 98.72 0.000

    12.182 10.18 0.000 -3.731 -1.17 0.243 8.350 3.71 0.000 1.385 0.34 0.736 12.269 1.85 0.065

    18.202 12.79 0.000 59.350 15.63 0.000 40.378 15.08 0.000 71.820 14.68 0.000 -218.557 -27.77 0.000

    0.698 0.53 0.597 7.607 2.16 0.031 1.817 0.73 0.464 -2.273 -0.50 0.616 12.678 1.73 0.083

    1.011 1.90 0.058 7.792 5.48 0.000 2.294 2.29 0.022 -7.578 -4.14 0.000 20.071 6.79 0.000

    -0.029 -18.34 0.000 -0.130 -31.19 0.000 -0.082 -27.73 0.000 -0.137 -25.51 0.000 0.439 51.03 0.000

    -0.031 0.00 0.996 -62.738 -3.43 0.001 17.338 1.35 0.178 18.447 0.78 0.433 -132.654 -3.49 0.000

    -12.658 -2.81 0.005 -22.866 -1.90 0.057 -4.110 -0.49 0.628 -47.333 -3.06 0.002 278.873 11.18 0.000

    0.018 0.156 -0.105 -0.070 0.267

    P>z P>z

    -0.006 -0.07 0.945 -0.039 -0.53 0.595

    -0.072 -0.77 0.442 -0.109 -1.36 0.174

    -0.002 -15.24 0.000 -0.001 -7.22 0.000

    -0.015 -0.15 0.879 -0.025 -0.27 0.787

    0.010 0.06 0.954 -0.275 -1.78 0.075

    -0.864 -2.34 0.019 0.046 0.18 0.858

    -0.002 -0.01 0.988 -0.096 -0.70 0.483

    0.102 1.34 0.181 -0.019 -0.28 0.780

    0.052 0.79 0.429 -0.071 -1.25 0.212

    0.170 3.81 0.000 0.010 0.26 0.798

    -0.160 -1.00 0.317 0.008 0.06 0.955

    0.210 1.43 0.152 0.186 1.42 0.157

    -0.277 -2.44 0.015 -0.277 -2.76 0.006

    -0.147 -1.33 0.182 -0.001 -0.01 0.993

    0.015 0.10 0.918 0.251 1.98 0.048

    -0.086 -0.49 0.627 0.145 0.93 0.350

    -0.153 -1.38 0.169 0.317 3.33 0.001

    -0.026 -0.93 0.352 0.013 0.56 0.574

    0.027 0.40 0.686 0.096 1.64 0.102

    -0.001 -5.20 0.000 0.000 0.50 0.618

    0.882 4.78 0.000 -0.361 -2.20 0.027

    N=2645

    112

  • 1.4.2

    1

    2

    N=2645

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.932 -0.59 0.558 13.730 3.68 0.000 -7.586 -1.57 0.117 5.294 1.20 0.231

    5.937 1.76 0.079 17.874 4.68 0.000 -17.675 -3.56 0.000 17.839 3.94 0.000

    -0.002 -0.61 0.545 0.009 2.02 0.044 -0.014 -2.53 0.011 0.007 1.28 0.202

    0.045 14.64 0.000 0.044 12.80 0.000 0.064 14.18 0.000 0.105 25.64 0.000

    3.706 1.42 0.157 0.826 0.28 0.780 3.651 0.95 0.343 -20.517 -5.85 0.000

    -13.644 -4.57 0.000 -1.338 -0.40 0.692 9.116 2.08 0.038 -8.619 -2.15 0.031

    -7.441 -6.81 0.000 0.015 0.01 0.990 -1.344 -0.84 0.403 7.990 5.45 0.000

    -2.721 -1.03 0.301 -8.385 -2.82 0.005 5.550 1.43 0.151 -9.098 -2.58 0.010

    -0.040 -3.59 0.000 -0.050 -4.02 0.000 -0.049 -3.00 0.003 -0.085 -5.72 0.000

    8.217 0.68 0.498 26.072 1.91 0.056 -18.655 -1.05 0.294 19.261 1.19 0.235

    42.168 4.38 0.000 -6.814 -0.63 0.531 73.634 5.21 0.000 -7.220 -0.56 0.575

    0.018 -0.205 0.138 -0.119

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    4.786 1.79 0.073 0.418 0.06 0.954 -9.371 -1.88 0.060 11.616 1.42 0.155 5.338 0.51 0.614

    -1.147 -0.42 0.675 3.878 0.52 0.600 -15.018 -2.94 0.003 5.452 0.65 0.515 11.689 1.08 0.280

    -0.003 -0.83 0.409 0.028 3.33 0.001 -0.008 -1.30 0.194 -0.009 -0.96 0.336 0.017 1.35 0.178

    0.047 18.94 0.000 0.204 30.48 0.000 0.096 20.79 0.000 0.182 23.92 0.000 0.605 61.52 0.000

    11.594 5.46 0.000 -4.240 -0.74 0.460 10.047 2.54 0.011 -2.842 -0.44 0.662 5.067 0.60 0.546

    -1.511 -0.62 0.532 10.682 1.63 0.102 17.879 3.96 0.000 6.767 0.91 0.361 12.565 1.31 0.189

    0.640 0.72 0.471 12.458 5.20 0.000 2.209 1.33 0.182 -10.028 -3.70 0.000 14.526 4.14 0.000

    -1.341 -0.63 0.530 1.337 0.23 0.817 1.145 0.29 0.774 -1.042 -0.16 0.873 -13.512 -1.60 0.109

    -0.039 -4.32 0.000 -0.181 -7.49 0.000 -0.092 -5.53 0.000 -0.249 -9.09 0.000 0.464 13.11 0.000

    -13.102 -1.34 0.181 -37.159 -1.40 0.161 18.910 1.03 0.302 -26.851 -0.89 0.371 3.544 0.09 0.927

    -0.742 -0.10 0.924 -74.416 -3.53 0.000 19.379 1.33 0.183 32.348 1.36 0.175 45.987 1.49 0.136

    0.187 0.119 -0.097 0.100 0.030

    N=2645

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.949 -0.58 0.565 12.906 3.39 0.001 -8.191 -1.65 0.099 6.323 1.39 0.165

    5.781 1.57 0.117 16.071 3.87 0.000 -18.785 -3.47 0.001 19.770 3.98 0.000

    -0.004 -1.10 0.270 0.001 0.34 0.734 -0.013 -2.35 0.019 0.006 1.25 0.211

    0.044 14.24 0.000 0.044 12.61 0.000 0.063 13.98 0.000 0.105 25.37 0.000

    3.758 1.41 0.158 0.643 0.21 0.830 3.056 0.78 0.434 -19.670 -5.50 0.000

    -13.506 -4.49 0.000 -0.574 -0.17 0.865 9.202 2.08 0.037 -8.913 -2.20 0.028

    -7.478 -6.81 0.000 -0.043 -0.03 0.972 -1.138 -0.71 0.480 7.726 5.23 0.000

    -2.562 -0.95 0.342 -7.432 -2.45 0.014 5.860 1.48 0.139 -9.731 -2.68 0.007

    -0.043 -4.39 0.000 -0.061 -5.57 0.000 -0.040 -2.82 0.005 -0.094 -7.16 0.000

    -0.251 -0.01 0.989 -14.150 -0.70 0.487 -18.890 -0.71 0.476 28.700 1.18 0.237

    47.423 5.09 0.000 12.687 1.21 0.227 69.802 5.10 0.000 -6.254 -0.50 0.618

    0.079 0.136 0.123 -0.180

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    4.619 1.69 0.090 -0.684 -0.09 0.926 -7.673 -1.49 0.137 12.725 1.52 0.128 5.352 0.49 0.622

    -1.400 -0.47 0.638 2.652 0.33 0.740 -11.853 -2.11 0.035 7.438 0.82 0.414 12.236 1.03 0.301

    -0.001 -0.23 0.817 0.033 4.16 0.000 -0.006 -1.07 0.285 -0.002 -0.21 0.836 0.017 1.47 0.141

    0.047 18.72 0.000 0.212 31.56 0.000 0.095 20.39 0.000 0.178 23.20 0.000 0.610 61.48 0.000

    11.336 5.29 0.000 -4.978 -0.86 0.388 11.241 2.77 0.006 -2.691 -0.41 0.682 5.386 0.63 0.528

    -1.590 -0.66 0.512 10.542 1.62 0.106 17.263 3.77 0.000 5.973 0.80 0.421 12.424 1.29 0.198

    0.748 0.84 0.398 12.708 5.34 0.000 1.877 1.12 0.262 -9.929 -3.66 0.000 14.399 4.09 0.000

    -1.343 -0.62 0.537 1.248 0.21 0.831 0.041 0.01 0.992 -1.924 -0.29 0.773 -13.918 -1.61 0.108

    -0.033 -4.20 0.000 -0.170 -8.07 0.000 -0.101 -6.82 0.000 -0.235 -9.81 0.000 0.459 14.73 0.000

    -6.839 -0.47 0.639 -17.805 -0.45 0.650 42.386 1.54 0.123 12.105 0.27 0.786 13.151 0.23 0.820

    -5.729 -0.76 0.446 -94.867 -4.69 0.000 16.216 1.14 0.253 16.124 0.70 0.484 39.278 1.31 0.189

    0.080 -0.129 -0.205 0.029 -0.112

    113

  • 1.5

    1.5.1

    1.5.2

    1

    P>z P>z

    -0.005 -0.09 0.931 0.028 0.62 0.536

    0.197 2.71 0.007 -0.062 -1.08 0.281

    -0.001 -15.94 0.000 -0.001 -13.04 0.000

    -0.129 -1.58 0.114 -0.072 -1.15 0.250

    0.061 0.55 0.580 -0.301 -3.36 0.001

    0.244 0.98 0.330 -0.569 -2.29 0.022

    0.104 0.88 0.381 -0.134 -1.27 0.203

    -0.193 -3.39 0.001 -0.047 -1.06 0.287

    0.073 1.45 0.146 -0.026 -0.66 0.512

    0.054 1.58 0.114 0.097 3.64 0.000

    -0.306 -1.67 0.095 -0.018 -0.14 0.891

    -0.128 -0.74 0.461 0.294 2.29 0.022

    -0.203 -2.42 0.016 0.165 2.69 0.007

    -0.053 -0.83 0.409 0.250 4.99 0.000

    0.067 0.49 0.623 0.205 1.80 0.072

    -0.083 -0.36 0.720 0.364 2.00 0.046

    0.048 0.49 0.628 0.275 3.46 0.001

    0.011 0.48 0.628 -0.018 -1.05 0.295

    0.000 0.83 0.409 0.000 3.33 0.001

    -0.303 -2.43 0.015 -0.093 -1.01 0.311

    N=4554

    N=4554

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.607 1.66 0.098 8.133 3.13 0.002 -2.930 -1.01 0.310 1.144 0.37 0.710

    5.961 2.21 0.027 19.727 6.14 0.000 -4.394 -1.23 0.218 12.929 3.40 0.001

    0.000 0.01 0.994 -0.001 -0.47 0.639 -0.006 -2.90 0.004 0.005 2.24 0.025

    0.038 18.53 0.000 0.032 12.99 0.000 0.051 18.52 0.000 0.093 31.75 0.000

    5.477 2.83 0.005 0.279 0.12 0.904 7.954 3.10 0.002 -17.973 -6.57 0.000

    -8.250 -3.75 0.000 5.958 2.27 0.023 -2.349 -0.81 0.420 2.550 0.82 0.412

    -5.437 -6.35 0.000 -0.351 -0.34 0.731 -0.479 -0.42 0.673 6.294 5.20 0.000

    -0.017 -5.83 0.000 -0.025 -7.16 0.000 -0.044 -11.40 0.000 -0.082 -19.75 0.000

    24.682 2.24 0.025 7.805 0.59 0.553 -19.698 -1.35 0.177 15.927 1.02 0.306

    6.330 1.36 0.173 -3.057 -0.55 0.582 70.507 11.45 0.000 0.603 0.09 0.927

    -0.154 -0.051 0.142 -0.152

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.136 -0.64 0.524 0.043 0.01 0.992 -12.764 -4.01 0.000 -1.361 -0.24 0.810 -3.892 -0.48 0.631

    2.056 0.93 0.351 -4.085 -0.74 0.459 -12.259 -3.12 0.002 -12.910 -1.85 0.065 19.937 1.99 0.046

    0.003 2.24 0.025 0.009 2.57 0.010 0.005 2.12 0.034 -0.006 -1.38 0.169 0.015 2.41 0.016

    0.038 22.51 0.000 0.148 34.92 0.000 0.093 30.94 0.000 0.158 29.51 0.000 0.492 64.18 0.000

    12.320 7.78 0.000 -6.328 -1.60 0.110 8.584 3.04 0.002 4.066 0.81 0.419 10.302 1.43 0.152

    1.657 0.92 0.357 12.210 2.71 0.007 4.268 1.33 0.184 -2.689 -0.47 0.638 16.036 1.96 0.049

    0.401 0.57 0.568 8.131 4.64 0.000 2.060 1.65 0.100 -4.963 -2.23 0.026 10.613 3.34 0.001

    -0.037 -15.25 0.000 -0.148 -24.65 0.000 -0.096 -22.47 0.000 -0.178 -23.39 0.000 0.551 50.56 0.000

    -0.951 -0.11 0.916 -43.984 -1.95 0.051 40.712 2.54 0.011 -27.462 -0.96 0.337 24.470 0.60 0.549

    0.946 0.25 0.804 2.315 0.24 0.808 24.494 3.61 0.000 14.456 1.20 0.231 102.157 5.92 0.000

    -0.005 0.059 -0.252 0.117 -0.132

    114

  • 2

    1.6

    1.6.1

    N=4554

    P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.497 1.60 0.109 8.155 3.13 0.002 -2.783 -0.97 0.334 1.108 0.35 0.723

    8.379 3.03 0.002 19.582 5.93 0.000 -5.035 -1.38 0.168 10.664 2.69 0.007

    0.001 0.73 0.466 -0.002 -1.01 0.310 -0.005 -2.26 0.024 0.000 -0.16 0.869

    0.037 17.85 0.000 0.031 12.42 0.000 0.050 18.08 0.000 0.093 31.47 0.000

    6.094 3.13 0.002 0.205 0.09 0.930 7.777 3.03 0.002 -18.610 -6.67 0.000

    -8.764 -4.05 0.000 5.564 2.15 0.031 -1.659 -0.58 0.562 1.314 0.42 0.672

    -5.136 -5.98 0.000 -0.336 -0.33 0.743 -0.569 -0.50 0.616 6.097 4.95 0.000

    -0.017 -5.63 0.000 -0.024 -6.69 0.000 -0.043 -11.07 0.000 -0.081 -19.11 0.000

    29.858 2.85 0.004 -6.671 -0.53 0.593 -5.302 -0.38 0.701 -42.259 -2.82 0.005

    -1.497 -0.24 0.810 2.078 0.28 0.780 69.517 8.44 0.000 22.406 2.51 0.012

    -0.177 0.121 0.075 0.264

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.121 -0.63 0.529 0.205 0.05 0.964 -12.974 -4.12 0.000 -1.246 -0.22 0.825 -3.900 -0.48 0.633

    2.039 0.90 0.366 -9.719 -1.71 0.087 -10.434 -2.61 0.009 -13.319 -1.86 0.063 15.478 1.50 0.134

    0.003 2.10 0.036 0.004 1.15 0.252 0.004 1.43 0.152 -0.004 -0.76 0.450 0.004 0.65 0.516

    0.038 22.20 0.000 0.151 35.53 0.000 0.092 30.49 0.000 0.159 29.35 0.000 0.492 63.50 0.000

    12.312 7.74 0.000 -7.767 -1.94 0.052 9.040 3.22 0.001 3.990 0.79 0.428 9.041 1.24 0.214

    1.692 0.96 0.339 12.832 2.88 0.004 2.927 0.94 0.349 -1.585 -0.28 0.777 13.900 1.72 0.086

    0.400 0.57 0.569 7.449 4.22 0.000 2.323 1.87 0.061 -5.062 -2.28 0.023 10.222 3.18 0.001

    -0.036 -15.01 0.000 -0.150 -24.63 0.000 -0.096 -22.30 0.000 -0.179 -23.28 0.000 0.554 50.10 0.000

    -0.234 -0.03 0.978 -73.054 -3.40 0.001 15.993 1.06 0.290 2.998 0.11 0.912 -81.693 -2.09 0.037

    0.976 0.19 0.848 24.377 1.90 0.057 25.522 2.83 0.005 7.525 0.47 0.641 143.404 6.15 0.000

    0.015 0.188 -0.073 -0.023 0.197

    P>z P>z

    -0.098 -1.60 0.110 0.036 0.68 0.495

    0.075 1.22 0.221 -0.141 -2.65 0.008

    -0.001 -17.76 0.000 0.000 -7.80 0.000

    0.071 1.04 0.298 -0.095 -1.52 0.128

    0.144 1.40 0.163 -0.297 -3.15 0.002

    0.196 1.52 0.129 -0.127 -1.04 0.300

    -0.167 -1.31 0.190 -0.080 -0.69 0.490

    -0.022 -0.42 0.674 0.101 2.18 0.029

    0.080 1.76 0.078 -0.035 -0.88 0.377

    0.081 2.75 0.006 0.020 0.78 0.435

    -0.319 -2.93 0.003 0.118 1.31 0.190

    -0.049 -0.54 0.593 0.049 0.61 0.539

    -0.044 -0.57 0.572 -0.099 -1.44 0.149

    -0.023 -0.26 0.796 -0.200 -2.56 0.010

    -0.076 -0.84 0.402 -0.013 -0.16 0.869

    -0.056 -0.47 0.637 0.016 0.16 0.874

    -0.063 -0.79 0.429 0.235 3.42 0.001

    -0.008 -0.44 0.660 -0.019 -1.14 0.253

    -0.016 -0.35 0.729 0.124 3.01 0.003

    -0.001 -5.24 0.000 0.000 -0.54 0.588

    0.554 4.28 0.000 -0.051 -0.44 0.657

    N=4664

    115

  • 1.6.2

    1

    2

    N=4664

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    4.427 1.59 0.112 4.899 1.67 0.095 -4.876 -2.88 0.004 7.413 1.51 0.131 -4.347 -0.48 0.629

    9.192 3.38 0.001 13.100 4.56 0.000 -0.654 -0.39 0.693 27.521 5.73 0.000 40.219 4.58 0.000

    0.003 1.54 0.124 0.006 2.56 0.011 -0.001 -0.56 0.575 0.008 2.05 0.040 -0.008 -1.16 0.247

    0.037 17.21 0.000 0.033 14.38 0.000 0.011 7.94 0.000 0.122 31.59 0.000 0.298 42.51 0.000

    5.067 2.33 0.020 -2.317 -1.01 0.312 -0.329 -0.25 0.803 -41.472 -10.82 0.000 25.220 3.60 0.000

    -14.640 -5.87 0.000 2.250 0.85 0.393 -2.487 -1.64 0.101 -4.154 -0.94 0.345 -5.370 -0.67 0.505

    -2.315 -2.54 0.011 -2.219 -2.31 0.021 1.256 2.27 0.023 14.056 8.76 0.000 10.137 3.45 0.001

    1.268 0.57 0.572 -7.544 -3.19 0.001 4.616 3.38 0.001 -5.737 -1.45 0.147 -0.830 -0.11 0.909

    -0.028 -2.96 0.003 -0.043 -4.31 0.000 -0.005 -0.89 0.372 -0.115 -6.92 0.000 -0.248 -8.18 0.000

    32.701 3.05 0.002 15.278 1.35 0.178 -3.542 -0.54 0.588 23.650 1.25 0.212 -100.489 -2.90 0.004

    -7.045 -0.88 0.380 0.078 0.01 0.993 -2.810 -0.57 0.566 65.093 4.59 0.000 47.027 1.82 0.069

    -0.203 -0.105 0.046 -0.111 0.240

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    5.237 2.74 0.006 4.061 0.81 0.416 -6.668 -1.73 0.084 -0.580 -0.08 0.936 10.146 1.03 0.303

    -0.560 -0.30 0.764 -14.430 -2.95 0.003 -18.290 -4.86 0.000 -27.210 -3.88 0.000 56.098 5.82 0.000

    -0.001 -0.81 0.418 -0.002 -0.44 0.659 0.006 2.07 0.039 -0.006 -0.98 0.328 0.012 1.49 0.136

    0.030 19.64 0.000 0.128 32.70 0.000 0.075 24.75 0.000 0.171 30.18 0.000 0.734 94.41 0.000

    13.574 9.10 0.000 4.010 1.03 0.304 14.163 4.71 0.000 -14.458 -2.58 0.010 17.915 2.33 0.020

    -1.522 -0.89 0.374 7.313 1.63 0.102 8.476 2.45 0.014 5.762 0.90 0.370 -10.134 -1.15 0.251

    2.175 3.48 0.000 4.576 2.80 0.005 1.007 0.80 0.424 -19.322 -8.23 0.000 28.673 8.90 0.000

    1.325 0.86 0.390 -6.196 -1.54 0.124 -3.389 -1.09 0.275 -1.950 -0.34 0.736 -16.488 -2.08 0.038

    -0.029 -4.46 0.000 -0.163 -9.67 0.000 -0.073 -5.63 0.000 -0.126 -5.19 0.000 0.297 8.92 0.000

    7.983 1.08 0.279 -55.784 -2.90 0.004 42.020 2.83 0.005 33.785 1.22 0.223 -38.181 -1.00 0.315

    -13.192 -2.39 0.017 -2.304 -0.16 0.873 -9.674 -0.87 0.384 -84.701 -4.09 0.000 77.173 2.71 0.007

    -0.081 0.178 -0.210 -0.080 0.075

    N=4664

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.806 1.37 0.171 4.594 1.57 0.116 -4.801 -2.81 0.005 6.960 1.42 0.154 -2.202 -0.25 0.806

    12.719 4.09 0.000 13.234 4.06 0.000 -2.109 -1.10 0.270 29.700 5.44 0.000 45.500 4.55 0.000

    0.002 0.86 0.391 0.004 1.66 0.098 -0.002 -1.16 0.246 0.007 1.68 0.093 0.011 1.52 0.128

    0.037 16.83 0.000 0.033 14.22 0.000 0.011 7.89 0.000 0.122 31.33 0.000 0.298 42.31 0.000

    6.234 2.85 0.004 -2.044 -0.89 0.373 -0.647 -0.48 0.630 -40.694 -10.60 0.000 24.536 3.49 0.000

    -16.557 -6.22 0.000 2.261 0.81 0.418 -1.625 -0.99 0.321 -5.317 -1.14 0.255 -9.091 -1.06 0.289

    -2.131 -2.31 0.021 -2.263 -2.34 0.019 1.151 2.03 0.042 14.156 8.75 0.000 10.992 3.71 0.000

    0.227 0.10 0.923 -7.359 -2.98 0.003 5.225 3.62 0.000 -6.325 -1.53 0.125 -4.693 -0.62 0.535

    -0.039 -4.68 0.000 -0.049 -5.52 0.000 -0.004 -0.80 0.424 -0.123 -8.34 0.000 -0.206 -7.59 0.000

    31.121 1.87 0.061 -1.985 -0.11 0.910 -15.495 -1.52 0.130 18.433 0.63 0.528 78.663 1.47 0.142

    -3.940 -0.41 0.682 9.043 0.90 0.370 2.513 0.43 0.670 69.196 4.10 0.000 -41.157 -1.33 0.183

    -0.204 0.031 0.219 -0.073 -0.209

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    5.101 2.68 0.007 5.148 1.04 0.299 -7.596 -1.97 0.049 -1.318 -0.18 0.854 11.010 1.09 0.274

    0.224 0.11 0.916 -17.618 -3.18 0.001 -14.613 -3.39 0.001 -28.404 -3.55 0.000 67.037 5.96 0.000

    -0.002 -1.10 0.273 0.003 0.84 0.399 0.004 1.21 0.225 -0.012 -2.00 0.046 0.028 3.36 0.001

    0.029 19.37 0.000 0.129 32.74 0.000 0.075 24.69 0.000 0.171 30.05 0.000 0.734 93.91 0.000

    13.846 9.27 0.000 2.527 0.65 0.516 15.498 5.11 0.000 -14.126 -2.51 0.012 19.257 2.43 0.015

    -1.933 -1.06 0.288 8.888 1.88 0.061 6.449 1.75 0.081 6.651 0.97 0.331 -16.925 -1.76 0.079

    2.220 3.53 0.000 4.506 2.75 0.006 1.120 0.88 0.381 -19.568 -8.26 0.000 29.752 8.93 0.000

    1.122 0.70 0.485 -5.675 -1.36 0.175 -4.479 -1.37 0.169 -0.933 -0.15 0.877 -21.957 -2.58 0.010

    -0.032 -5.48 0.000 -0.142 -9.50 0.000 -0.089 -7.65 0.000 -0.140 -6.47 0.000 0.316 10.40 0.000

    6.400 0.56 0.574 -22.188 -0.75 0.454 33.304 1.44 0.149 -19.605 -0.46 0.647 128.253 2.13 0.033

    -11.763 -1.79 0.074 -21.657 -1.26 0.206 -3.599 -0.27 0.787 -58.345 -2.36 0.018 -1.363 -0.04 0.969

    -0.044 0.052 -0.220 0.066 -0.298

    116

  • 1.7

    1.7.1

    1.7.2

    1

    P>z P>z

    0.129 1.89 0.059 -0.022 -0.38 0.701

    0.278 3.24 0.001 -0.004 -0.05 0.960

    -0.001 -13.04 0.000 -0.001 -10.50 0.000

    -0.026 -0.31 0.758 -0.197 -2.81 0.005

    0.046 0.38 0.704 -0.272 -2.66 0.008

    0.083 0.50 0.617 -0.192 -1.32 0.188

    0.070 0.47 0.638 -0.506 -3.56 0.000

    -0.010 -0.15 0.878 -0.036 -0.67 0.501

    0.104 1.78 0.075 -0.007 -0.14 0.889

    0.048 1.28 0.199 0.056 1.79 0.073

    -0.375 -2.22 0.026 0.278 2.24 0.025

    -0.255 -1.78 0.074 0.198 1.73 0.083

    0.018 0.18 0.857 -0.104 -1.22 0.221

    -0.102 -1.27 0.203 -0.061 -0.92 0.360

    -0.222 -1.47 0.142 0.180 1.55 0.121

    -0.120 -0.50 0.616 -0.211 -1.03 0.302

    -0.069 -0.65 0.518 0.373 4.20 0.000

    -0.020 -0.76 0.446 -0.011 -0.49 0.626

    0.000 0.78 0.433 0.000 -1.50 0.134

    -0.215 -1.66 0.097 0.342 3.24 0.001

    N=2925

    N=2925

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -3.919 -1.30 0.195 6.967 1.97 0.049 -2.567 -1.13 0.260 0.537 0.09 0.931 1.315 0.11 0.910

    -11.087 -2.85 0.004 11.908 2.62 0.009 1.435 0.49 0.625 20.669 2.61 0.009 5.848 0.39 0.694

    -0.004 -1.54 0.123 0.000 -0.10 0.922 0.002 1.31 0.189 0.002 0.41 0.681 -0.009 -1.03 0.303

    0.029 13.52 0.000 0.030 12.00 0.000 0.011 6.58 0.000 0.122 27.67 0.000 0.311 37.41 0.000

    5.149 1.92 0.055 -2.779 -0.88 0.377 4.495 2.22 0.027 -33.550 -6.12 0.000 13.611 1.32 0.186

    -5.927 -2.04 0.042 6.900 2.03 0.043 2.846 1.30 0.195 -9.678 -1.63 0.103 17.357 1.56 0.119

    -5.671 -4.72 0.000 0.055 0.04 0.969 0.064 0.07 0.944 13.260 5.41 0.000 11.186 2.43 0.015

    -0.006 -1.93 0.054 -0.029 -8.41 0.000 -0.012 -5.54 0.000 -0.120 -19.83 0.000 -0.299 -26.21 0.000

    -9.490 -0.63 0.528 -21.201 -1.21 0.227 16.397 1.45 0.148 -38.071 -1.24 0.214 -4.693 -0.08 0.935

    8.694 1.43 0.152 -1.620 -0.23 0.819 3.936 0.86 0.390 84.160 6.80 0.000 5.143 0.22 0.825

    0.103 0.240 -0.177 0.085 -0.042

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.340 0.66 0.507 -6.143 -1.03 0.305 -10.575 -2.52 0.012 6.804 0.87 0.384 -13.044 -0.98 0.329

    -2.854 -1.10 0.272 -12.576 -1.63 0.103 -25.489 -4.72 0.000 10.109 1.01 0.315 -12.147 -0.71 0.480

    0.003 2.04 0.041 0.018 3.91 0.000 0.001 0.32 0.748 0.003 0.57 0.569 0.014 1.30 0.192

    0.024 16.48 0.000 0.110 25.72 0.000 0.067 22.45 0.000 0.089 15.85 0.000 0.705 73.49 0.000

    12.386 6.90 0.000 4.974 0.93 0.350 7.474 2.00 0.045 0.362 0.05 0.958 11.760 0.99 0.323

    -0.674 -0.35 0.729 1.342 0.23 0.816 -0.116 -0.03 0.977 -4.993 -0.66 0.507 12.049 0.94 0.349

    2.187 2.73 0.006 9.152 3.85 0.000 2.602 1.56 0.118 -10.472 -3.37 0.001 32.836 6.18 0.000

    -0.022 -10.95 0.000 -0.109 -18.62 0.000 -0.069 -16.64 0.000 -0.100 -13.00 0.000 0.334 25.38 0.000

    1.605 0.16 0.873 -49.733 -1.67 0.095 27.374 1.31 0.189 0.106 0.00 0.998 -77.811 -1.17 0.242

    -7.811 -1.93 0.054 -25.107 -2.09 0.037 14.244 1.69 0.091 0.733 0.05 0.963 81.639 3.04 0.002

    -0.018 0.185 -0.126 0.037 0.100

    117

  • 2

    1.8

    1.8.1

    N=2925

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -3.953 -1.31 0.190 6.842 1.95 0.051 -2.303 -1.01 0.311 -1.503 -0.24 0.810 -2.107 -0.18 0.859

    -11.343 -2.97 0.003 11.162 2.52 0.012 2.248 0.78 0.434 17.096 2.17 0.030 1.570 0.10 0.917

    -0.002 -0.91 0.362 0.003 1.04 0.297 0.000 0.26 0.795 0.001 0.12 0.902 -0.022 -2.31 0.021

    0.029 13.37 0.000 0.030 11.98 0.000 0.011 6.46 0.000 0.121 27.33 0.000 0.308 36.96 0.000

    5.052 1.89 0.058 -3.054 -0.98 0.325 4.738 2.36 0.018 -34.206 -6.19 0.000 13.277 1.26 0.206

    -5.853 -2.01 0.044 7.046 2.08 0.037 2.837 1.30 0.195 -10.579 -1.76 0.079 15.207 1.33 0.184

    -5.546 -4.63 0.000 0.286 0.21 0.837 -0.062 -0.07 0.945 13.212 5.33 0.000 10.392 2.20 0.027

    -0.005 -1.83 0.067 -0.029 -8.43 0.000 -0.012 -5.44 0.000 -0.121 -19.75 0.000 -0.299 -25.91 0.000

    5.291 0.39 0.697 12.031 0.76 0.446 -3.698 -0.36 0.718 -45.107 -1.61 0.108 -123.142 -2.31 0.021

    3.893 0.43 0.670 -12.987 -1.22 0.221 9.694 1.41 0.158 101.557 5.38 0.000 74.221 2.07 0.039

    0.009 -0.035 0.050 0.204 0.293

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.195 0.59 0.556 -8.305 -1.40 0.162 -9.909 -2.36 0.018 7.651 0.97 0.330 -20.043 -1.44 0.149

    -2.977 -1.16 0.245 -17.023 -2.27 0.023 -23.955 -4.52 0.000 11.095 1.12 0.264 -23.221 -1.32 0.185

    0.002 1.45 0.147 0.019 4.01 0.000 -0.001 -0.30 0.760 0.007 1.09 0.275 0.000 0.02 0.983

    0.024 16.30 0.000 0.111 26.04 0.000 0.068 22.53 0.000 0.090 15.94 0.000 0.703 72.97 0.000

    12.399 6.91 0.000 3.970 0.76 0.450 7.850 2.12 0.034 0.411 0.06 0.953 10.025 0.82 0.414

    -0.786 -0.40 0.688 0.529 0.09 0.926 0.023 0.01 0.995 -4.445 -0.59 0.557 8.426 0.63 0.529

    2.134 2.65 0.008 9.086 3.85 0.000 2.417 1.45 0.146 -10.277 -3.30 0.001 31.919 5.80 0.000

    -0.022 -10.90 0.000 -0.112 -19.16 0.000 -0.069 -16.68 0.000 -0.100 -12.99 0.000 0.331 24.75 0.000

    -6.813 -0.75 0.455 -33.408 -1.25 0.212 3.917 0.21 0.835 32.074 0.91 0.364 -190.929 -3.06 0.002

    -3.551 -0.58 0.563 -18.692 -1.04 0.299 17.663 1.39 0.164 -17.696 -0.74 0.457 171.799 4.11 0.000

    0.108 0.040 -0.063 -0.119 0.357

    P>z P>z

    0.004 0.06 0.954 -0.032 -0.51 0.612

    0.050 0.63 0.532 -0.205 -2.97 0.003

    -0.002 -15.61 0.000 0.000 -6.12 0.000

    0.006 0.08 0.938 -0.175 -2.29 0.022

    0.251 1.98 0.047 -0.325 -2.75 0.006

    0.232 1.36 0.173 -0.171 -1.04 0.299

    -0.042 -0.29 0.775 -0.149 -1.06 0.289

    0.023 0.36 0.716 0.012 0.21 0.834

    -0.171 -2.95 0.003 -0.403 -7.93 0.000

    0.039 0.71 0.480 -0.098 -2.03 0.042

    0.162 4.34 0.000 0.009 0.27 0.787

    -0.329 -2.41 0.016 0.118 1.05 0.292

    0.109 0.97 0.331 0.142 1.43 0.152

    -0.115 -1.22 0.221 -0.108 -1.32 0.188

    -0.026 -0.25 0.802 -0.153 -1.63 0.104

    -0.085 -0.72 0.469 -0.079 -0.77 0.441

    -0.120 -0.80 0.427 -0.068 -0.52 0.602

    -0.106 -1.10 0.272 0.249 3.00 0.003

    -0.058 -1.06 0.288 0.076 1.60 0.109

    -0.063 -1.09 0.276 0.223 4.44 0.000

    -0.001 -4.92 0.000 0.000 -0.11 0.911

    0.758 4.40 0.000 -0.144 -0.95 0.344

    N=3268

    118

  • 1.8.2

    1

    2

    N=3268

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.513 0.58 0.564 8.145 2.59 0.010 -1.222 -0.42 0.674 4.059 0.84 0.400 -12.758 -1.49 0.137

    0.359 0.13 0.897 18.409 5.51 0.000 -7.095 -2.30 0.022 23.698 4.63 0.000 24.803 2.73 0.006

    -0.001 -0.56 0.578 0.002 0.54 0.590 -0.003 -1.13 0.258 0.003 0.75 0.453 -0.004 -0.46 0.643

    0.031 13.51 0.000 0.031 11.16 0.000 0.025 9.86 0.000 0.106 25.31 0.000 0.206 27.98 0.000

    6.942 3.34 0.001 3.600 1.44 0.149 2.400 1.04 0.298 -32.984 -8.62 0.000 20.145 2.96 0.003

    24.941 10.17 0.000 12.942 4.40 0.000 109.328 40.19 0.000 -94.134 -20.88 0.000 -338.809 -42.42 0.000

    -17.526 -7.34 0.000 0.265 0.09 0.926 1.723 0.65 0.516 1.761 0.40 0.688 -0.235 -0.03 0.976

    -9.310 -4.48 0.000 -1.815 -0.73 0.467 -1.009 -0.44 0.662 19.663 5.14 0.000 15.694 2.31 0.021

    -1.703 -0.78 0.433 -9.559 -3.67 0.000 1.327 0.55 0.582 -5.345 -1.34 0.181 1.456 0.21 0.838

    -0.025 -2.93 0.003 -0.039 -3.71 0.000 -0.011 -1.19 0.234 -0.109 -6.85 0.000 -0.169 -5.97 0.000

    3.632 0.37 0.714 17.962 1.51 0.131 -2.082 -0.19 0.850 -0.732 -0.04 0.968 -91.716 -2.84 0.005

    29.888 3.61 0.000 1.427 0.14 0.886 -20.044 -2.18 0.029 86.036 5.65 0.000 157.748 5.84 0.000

    0.031 -0.141 0.026 -0.004 0.256

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.338 1.60 0.110 11.332 2.21 0.027 -5.650 -1.33 0.183 2.477 0.29 0.772 8.757 0.77 0.441

    -6.087 -2.75 0.006 -0.291 -0.05 0.957 -12.624 -2.80 0.005 -17.032 -1.88 0.060 41.171 3.41 0.001

    -0.002 -0.96 0.335 0.017 3.47 0.001 0.000 -0.02 0.984 -0.006 -0.69 0.492 0.012 1.08 0.280

    0.030 16.92 0.000 0.106 23.59 0.000 0.076 20.56 0.000 0.210 28.18 0.000 0.611 62.28 0.000

    10.914 6.58 0.000 -2.381 -0.58 0.559 11.908 3.54 0.000 -18.783 -2.77 0.006 20.544 2.28 0.023

    18.531 9.52 0.000 43.833 9.13 0.000 35.595 8.97 0.000 107.648 13.47 0.000 -187.773 -17.71 0.000

    1.083 0.57 0.569 5.664 1.21 0.226 6.652 1.72 0.085 6.566 0.84 0.399 -0.612 -0.06 0.953

    2.315 1.40 0.162 26.191 6.43 0.000 4.144 1.23 0.218 -31.039 -4.58 0.000 55.874 6.20 0.000

    -3.745 -2.16 0.031 -5.790 -1.36 0.173 -1.514 -0.43 0.667 1.483 0.21 0.834 -24.872 -2.64 0.008

    -0.032 -4.61 0.000 -0.107 -6.32 0.000 -0.072 -5.09 0.000 -0.177 -6.27 0.000 0.435 11.57 0.000

    -17.145 -2.18 0.029 -14.264 -0.74 0.462 18.292 1.14 0.254 44.091 1.36 0.172 -86.054 -2.01 0.045

    -2.069 -0.31 0.753 -52.436 -3.24 0.001 -8.397 -0.63 0.531 -115.068 -4.27 0.000 192.153 5.37 0.000

    0.269 0.068 -0.077 -0.113 0.218

    N=3268

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.433 0.54 0.590 8.251 2.60 0.009 -1.803 -0.60 0.546 3.451 0.70 0.482 -10.599 -1.21 0.228

    0.039 0.01 0.990 18.871 4.85 0.000 -9.575 -2.62 0.009 21.008 3.49 0.000 34.247 3.18 0.001

    -0.002 -0.92 0.358 -0.001 -0.27 0.784 -0.005 -1.80 0.072 0.001 0.29 0.770 0.019 2.31 0.021

    0.031 13.47 0.000 0.031 11.20 0.000 0.025 9.71 0.000 0.106 25.02 0.000 0.207 27.88 0.000

    6.854 3.16 0.002 3.885 1.50 0.134 1.499 0.62 0.538 -33.962 -8.47 0.000 22.948 3.20 0.001

    24.467 7.57 0.000 12.999 3.37 0.001 106.174 29.33 0.000 -97.873 -16.40 0.000 -322.973 -30.37 0.000

    -17.414 -7.19 0.000 0.337 0.12 0.907 2.266 0.83 0.405 2.347 0.52 0.600 -3.232 -0.40 0.687

    -9.348 -4.48 0.000 -2.225 -0.89 0.372 -0.635 -0.27 0.787 20.095 5.21 0.000 16.035 2.32 0.020

    -1.539 -0.63 0.530 -10.073 -3.44 0.001 3.023 1.10 0.272 -3.466 -0.77 0.444 -4.047 -0.50 0.617

    -0.027 -3.47 0.001 -0.046 -4.96 0.000 -0.010 -1.19 0.233 -0.108 -7.56 0.000 -0.134 -5.24 0.000

    -2.759 -0.18 0.858 4.583 0.25 0.803 -22.843 -1.32 0.186 -25.369 -0.89 0.373 87.017 1.71 0.087

    33.071 3.59 0.000 9.274 0.84 0.399 -10.926 -1.06 0.291 97.355 5.72 0.000 67.099 2.21 0.027

    0.056 -0.046 0.226 0.161 -0.307

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    3.144 1.50 0.133 10.468 2.02 0.043 -5.575 -1.30 0.194 1.695 0.20 0.845 8.770 0.77 0.442

    -6.859 -2.67 0.008 -3.284 -0.52 0.605 -12.457 -2.37 0.018 -20.772 -1.95 0.051 41.991 3.00 0.003

    0.000 0.07 0.943 0.017 3.64 0.000 -0.003 -0.74 0.462 -0.016 -2.00 0.045 0.026 2.53 0.011

    0.030 16.77 0.000 0.108 23.99 0.000 0.076 20.35 0.000 0.208 27.84 0.000 0.613 62.09 0.000

    10.531 6.17 0.000 -3.474 -0.82 0.411 12.071 3.45 0.001 -19.875 -2.80 0.005 20.353 2.19 0.029

    18.234 7.17 0.000 42.301 6.72 0.000 34.807 6.67 0.000 100.267 9.50 0.000 -181.864 -13.12 0.000

    1.102 0.58 0.563 6.335 1.34 0.179 6.764 1.73 0.084 7.771 0.98 0.327 -1.494 -0.14 0.886

    2.713 1.65 0.098 26.475 6.51 0.000 3.860 1.15 0.252 -31.145 -4.57 0.000 56.970 6.37 0.000

    -3.070 -1.59 0.111 -4.006 -0.84 0.401 -1.740 -0.44 0.660 3.755 0.47 0.639 -24.917 -2.37 0.018

    -0.025 -4.11 0.000 -0.104 -6.87 0.000 -0.078 -6.25 0.000 -0.193 -7.62 0.000 0.467 14.02 0.000

    -6.988 -0.58 0.564 -23.413 -0.78 0.435 0.842 0.03 0.973 -36.313 -0.72 0.471 11.072 0.17 0.867

    -8.605 -1.19 0.235 -52.059 -2.90 0.004 1.849 0.12 0.901 -73.014 -2.42 0.015 137.057 3.47 0.001

    0.113 0.030 0.035 0.162 -0.061

    119

  • 1.9

    1.9.1

    1.9.2

    1

    P>z P>z

    -0.110 -1.62 0.106 0.030 0.51 0.613

    0.043 0.62 0.534 -0.084 -1.40 0.163

    -0.002 -16.77 0.000 -0.00045 -7.94 0.000

    0.041 0.52 0.605 0.040 0.56 0.579

    -0.028 -0.22 0.826 -0.258 -2.29 0.022

    -0.155 -0.91 0.365 -0.006 -0.04 0.967

    -0.036 -0.29 0.774 -0.020 -0.17 0.864

    0.010 0.17 0.868 0.107 2.04 0.041

    -0.204 -3.80 0.000 -0.320 -6.82 0.000

    0.108 2.09 0.036 -0.018 -0.39 0.698

    0.066 1.99 0.046 0.030 1.02 0.305

    -0.190 -1.58 0.113 0.090 0.89 0.375

    -0.066 -0.60 0.545 0.045 0.48 0.635

    -0.094 -1.04 0.298 -0.194 -2.43 0.015

    -0.091 -1.01 0.313 -0.037 -0.47 0.639

    -0.004 -0.04 0.966 0.164 1.85 0.064

    0.035 0.27 0.791 0.147 1.27 0.203

    -0.046 -0.51 0.608 0.293 3.82 0.000

    0.080 1.59 0.111 -0.006 -0.14 0.889

    0.046 0.87 0.382 0.047 1.02 0.309

    -0.001 -5.44 0.000 -0.000003 -0.01 0.988

    0.383 1.71 0.087 -0.140 -0.71 0.477

    N=3882

    N=3882

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    1.619 0.50 0.617 8.146 2.49 0.013 -9.491 -3.11 0.002 9.066 1.80 0.072 10.574 1.26 0.208

    9.364 3.02 0.003 9.965 3.18 0.001 -8.878 -3.03 0.002 23.806 4.94 0.000 43.803 5.44 0.000

    0.005 1.86 0.063 0.006 2.11 0.035 -0.005 -1.92 0.055 0.012 2.72 0.006 -0.003 -0.38 0.702

    0.045 17.18 0.000 0.038 14.32 0.000 0.029 11.73 0.000 0.124 30.28 0.000 0.219 32.00 0.000

    1.127 0.44 0.660 -4.765 -1.84 0.066 -0.772 -0.32 0.749 -33.046 -8.30 0.000 19.384 2.92 0.004

    25.765 8.30 0.000 21.602 6.86 0.000 107.478 36.58 0.000 -93.766 -19.41 0.000 -369.083 -45.78 0.000

    -7.861 -2.69 0.007 2.134 0.72 0.469 2.621 0.95 0.341 -14.245 -3.14 0.002 -12.374 -1.64 0.102

    -7.827 -3.15 0.002 -2.671 -1.06 0.287 0.695 0.30 0.767 1.050 0.27 0.786 21.858 3.40 0.001

    0.157 0.06 0.952 -6.245 -2.39 0.017 7.082 2.91 0.004 -10.066 -2.51 0.012 -2.975 -0.44 0.657

    -0.038 -3.34 0.001 -0.052 -4.52 0.000 -0.029 -2.74 0.006 -0.094 -5.32 0.000 -0.171 -5.80 0.000

    41.656 3.32 0.001 6.252 0.49 0.623 -5.102 -0.43 0.667 43.281 2.22 0.026 -65.695 -2.02 0.043

    -1.441 -0.12 0.907 -1.560 -0.13 0.900 -16.874 -1.45 0.147 90.560 4.73 0.000 101.813 3.19 0.001

    -0.234 -0.024 0.072 -0.196 0.178

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    6.287 2.76 0.006 -5.205 -0.82 0.410 -8.762 -1.99 0.046 1.538 0.22 0.825 12.235 1.28 0.199

    1.912 0.88 0.381 -14.000 -2.31 0.021 -19.972 -4.74 0.000 -14.999 -2.25 0.024 46.000 5.03 0.000

    -0.002 -0.98 0.327 -0.005 -0.98 0.328 0.008 2.20 0.028 -0.009 -1.43 0.151 0.016 1.97 0.049

    0.038 20.39 0.000 0.182 35.39 0.000 0.085 24.11 0.000 0.147 25.85 0.000 0.760 97.21 0.000

    13.684 7.60 0.000 2.327 0.47 0.642 12.416 3.57 0.000 -3.453 -0.63 0.530 10.355 1.37 0.170

    21.046 9.63 0.000 101.718 16.78 0.000 46.892 11.17 0.000 88.114 13.19 0.000 -138.349 -15.08 0.000

    -2.700 -1.32 0.188 6.923 1.22 0.224 16.007 4.04 0.000 7.129 1.14 0.254 -9.496 -1.10 0.269

    -0.022 -0.01 0.990 2.701 0.56 0.577 5.126 1.52 0.129 -19.708 -3.70 0.000 20.909 2.86 0.004

    2.313 1.27 0.203 3.164 0.63 0.530 -2.311 -0.66 0.510 -3.940 -0.71 0.477 -8.881 -1.17 0.243

    -0.033 -4.11 0.000 -0.211 -9.54 0.000 -0.070 -4.52 0.000 -0.175 -7.18 0.000 0.302 9.03 0.000

    13.720 1.55 0.120 -81.892 -3.35 0.001 71.564 4.22 0.000 -11.078 -0.41 0.681 23.785 0.64 0.521

    -21.026 -2.43 0.015 -60.250 -2.51 0.012 -53.249 -3.19 0.001 -9.122 -0.35 0.730 37.974 1.05 0.296

    -0.145 0.232 -0.370 0.037 -0.063

    120

  • 2

    1.10

    1.10.1

    N=3882

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    0.819 0.25 0.800 7.670 2.30 0.022 -9.551 -3.11 0.002 8.195 1.63 0.104 13.094 1.57 0.117

    12.448 3.70 0.000 7.623 2.20 0.028 -10.490 -3.29 0.001 27.254 5.21 0.000 47.000 5.42 0.000

    0.004 1.27 0.206 0.002 0.59 0.555 -0.007 -2.50 0.012 0.011 2.43 0.015 0.011 1.52 0.128

    0.044 16.74 0.000 0.038 13.97 0.000 0.029 11.60 0.000 0.124 30.05 0.000 0.219 31.82 0.000

    2.478 0.97 0.333 -4.762 -1.80 0.072 -1.026 -0.42 0.672 -31.647 -7.94 0.000 17.900 2.71 0.007

    27.846 7.65 0.000 17.074 4.56 0.000 105.116 30.42 0.000 -90.465 -15.95 0.000 -360.863 -38.34 0.000

    -10.411 -3.33 0.001 4.252 1.32 0.188 4.030 1.36 0.174 -17.222 -3.53 0.000 -15.172 -1.88 0.060

    -6.874 -2.76 0.006 -2.625 -1.02 0.306 0.535 0.23 0.820 2.042 0.53 0.598 20.657 3.22 0.001

    0.458 0.18 0.860 -5.541 -2.07 0.039 7.333 2.98 0.003 -9.847 -2.43 0.015 -5.218 -0.78 0.436

    -0.054 -5.47 0.000 -0.055 -5.38 0.000 -0.028 -2.94 0.003 -0.112 -7.20 0.000 -0.140 -5.47 0.000

    42.598 2.34 0.019 -36.014 -1.92 0.055 -23.805 -1.38 0.168 49.987 1.76 0.078 47.814 1.02 0.309

    -0.168 -0.01 0.990 18.299 1.30 0.194 -8.436 -0.65 0.515 88.320 4.15 0.000 49.512 1.40 0.160

    -0.252 0.319 0.208 -0.240 -0.157

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    6.162 2.68 0.007 -2.763 -0.44 0.658 -10.445 -2.35 0.019 1.480 0.21 0.831 13.180 1.30 0.194

    3.871 1.62 0.104 -13.642 -2.10 0.035 -15.520 -3.37 0.001 -18.006 -2.50 0.013 58.544 5.57 0.000

    -0.001 -0.58 0.564 0.007 1.30 0.195 0.005 1.20 0.230 -0.011 -1.88 0.060 0.031 3.51 0.000

    0.038 20.10 0.000 0.184 35.62 0.000 0.085 24.10 0.000 0.147 25.62 0.000 0.762 96.77 0.000

    14.202 7.82 0.000 0.144 0.03 0.977 14.613 4.16 0.000 -3.965 -0.72 0.470 11.902 1.48 0.138

    23.171 8.98 0.000 108.160 15.35 0.000 51.052 10.29 0.000 83.717 10.69 0.000 -118.910 -10.56 0.000

    -4.353 -1.96 0.050 6.294 1.04 0.297 12.067 2.81 0.005 9.769 1.45 0.146 -20.513 -2.10 0.036

    0.326 0.19 0.853 1.055 0.22 0.826 6.716 1.97 0.049 -20.037 -3.76 0.000 21.832 2.80 0.005

    2.200 1.19 0.233 1.092 0.22 0.828 -1.701 -0.48 0.633 -3.502 -0.63 0.530 -11.225 -1.38 0.168

    -0.038 -5.36 0.000 -0.176 -9.18 0.000 -0.100 -7.32 0.000 -0.171 -8.00 0.000 0.296 9.52 0.000

    27.764 2.15 0.032 11.765 0.33 0.738 66.229 2.66 0.008 -44.595 -1.14 0.255 186.337 3.29 0.001

    -26.737 -2.76 0.006 -106.359 -4.03 0.000 -50.417 -2.70 0.007 6.055 0.21 0.837 -35.985 -0.85 0.398

    -0.272 -0.150 -0.392 0.169 -0.486

    P>z P>z

    -0.001 -0.02 0.984 0.006 0.12 0.908

    0.159 2.02 0.043 -0.063 -0.98 0.328

    -0.001 -14.13 0.000 -0.001 -11.34 0.000

    -0.138 -1.63 0.104 -0.097 -1.44 0.151

    -0.018 -0.14 0.886 -0.364 -3.59 0.000

    -0.131 -0.66 0.509 -0.359 -2.08 0.038

    0.089 0.63 0.527 -0.326 -2.54 0.011

    -0.035 -0.60 0.550 -0.073 -1.52 0.129

    -0.256 -4.65 0.000 -0.127 -2.81 0.005

    0.145 2.69 0.007 -0.025 -0.57 0.565

    0.098 2.76 0.006 0.025 0.86 0.392

    -0.181 -1.14 0.255 0.241 1.93 0.053

    -0.235 -1.42 0.155 0.326 2.57 0.010

    -0.090 -1.00 0.315 0.196 2.77 0.006

    0.002 0.02 0.982 0.180 3.21 0.001

    -0.205 -1.35 0.178 0.259 2.24 0.025

    -0.261 -1.00 0.317 0.210 1.08 0.279

    -0.021 -0.21 0.835 0.433 5.16 0.000

    0.034 0.64 0.525 0.007 0.16 0.875

    0.000 0.63 0.529 0.000 0.60 0.548

    -0.264 -1.84 0.065 0.185 1.63 0.102

    N=3683

    121

  • 1.10.2

    1

    2

    N=3683

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.095 0.89 0.376 6.524 2.35 0.019 1.185 0.44 0.662 1.185 0.28 0.776 -16.557 -2.41 0.016

    0.860 0.29 0.773 19.497 5.57 0.000 3.519 1.03 0.304 16.895 3.22 0.001 -5.671 -0.66 0.512

    -0.003 -1.88 0.060 -0.002 -0.74 0.460 -0.003 -1.35 0.176 0.004 1.10 0.271 -0.005 -0.88 0.377

    0.034 16.87 0.000 0.033 13.61 0.000 0.028 12.00 0.000 0.104 28.94 0.000 0.169 28.70 0.000

    4.958 2.33 0.020 2.261 0.90 0.366 6.155 2.52 0.012 -23.599 -6.29 0.000 6.622 1.07 0.284

    15.999 6.42 0.000 14.596 4.99 0.000 96.548 33.79 0.000 -87.876 -20.04 0.000 -338.113 -46.85 0.000

    -12.442 -5.39 0.000 2.994 1.10 0.270 -2.055 -0.78 0.438 -0.990 -0.24 0.808 17.500 2.61 0.009

    -3.536 -1.67 0.095 5.451 2.19 0.028 -4.748 -1.95 0.051 16.011 4.29 0.000 5.132 0.84 0.403

    -0.016 -5.72 0.000 -0.031 -9.43 0.000 -0.028 -8.79 0.000 -0.098 -19.96 0.000 -0.143 -17.71 0.000

    4.065 0.33 0.738 6.285 0.44 0.659 4.037 0.29 0.772 -30.560 -1.43 0.153 -35.455 -1.01 0.314

    2.243 0.39 0.696 -19.653 -2.92 0.004 -5.687 -0.86 0.387 84.238 8.34 0.000 184.948 11.13 0.000

    -0.020 -0.019 -0.037 0.072 0.044

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -2.194 -1.25 0.210 0.926 0.19 0.846 -11.589 -3.34 0.001 7.477 1.10 0.273 -18.424 -1.80 0.072

    1.597 0.72 0.469 -10.134 -1.69 0.092 -17.019 -3.89 0.000 -3.991 -0.46 0.643 9.544 0.74 0.460

    0.005 3.30 0.001 0.013 3.52 0.000 0.005 1.81 0.071 -0.008 -1.58 0.114 0.013 1.67 0.094

    0.031 20.56 0.000 0.118 28.72 0.000 0.073 24.72 0.000 0.138 23.66 0.000 0.590 66.85 0.000

    9.223 5.85 0.000 -3.998 -0.93 0.352 5.897 1.89 0.059 1.089 0.18 0.859 7.518 0.81 0.416

    19.571 10.65 0.000 56.677 11.29 0.000 38.181 10.47 0.000 68.545 9.55 0.000 -184.417 -17.08 0.000

    -0.066 -0.04 0.969 8.106 1.74 0.082 1.142 0.34 0.736 2.139 0.32 0.748 14.190 1.42 0.156

    2.213 1.41 0.157 18.709 4.38 0.000 -1.170 -0.38 0.706 -23.643 -3.87 0.000 38.063 4.14 0.000

    -0.029 -13.92 0.000 -0.116 -20.71 0.000 -0.071 -17.36 0.000 -0.155 -19.29 0.000 0.469 38.84 0.000

    17.697 1.98 0.048 -12.082 -0.49 0.621 29.285 1.65 0.099 -47.060 -1.35 0.178 -16.727 -0.32 0.751

    -17.409 -4.11 0.000 -55.779 -4.83 0.000 2.533 0.30 0.763 -16.936 -1.02 0.306 175.434 7.06 0.000

    -0.204 0.000 -0.164 0.155 -0.051

    N=3683

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.560 1.07 0.284 6.524 2.34 0.019 0.861 0.31 0.755 0.616 0.15 0.884 -18.055 -2.60 0.009

    2.724 0.88 0.381 19.654 5.42 0.000 2.374 0.66 0.507 13.943 2.54 0.011 -12.261 -1.36 0.175

    -0.001 -0.64 0.525 -0.002 -0.90 0.370 -0.005 -2.23 0.026 0.003 0.70 0.481 -0.010 -1.77 0.076

    0.034 16.34 0.000 0.032 13.34 0.000 0.027 11.51 0.000 0.103 28.46 0.000 0.171 28.60 0.000

    5.386 2.53 0.012 2.417 0.97 0.332 6.054 2.46 0.014 -24.691 -6.56 0.000 4.741 0.76 0.445

    16.502 6.58 0.000 14.145 4.83 0.000 95.043 32.94 0.000 -88.098 -19.93 0.000 -339.290 -46.55 0.000

    -11.829 -5.04 0.000 2.962 1.08 0.279 -2.603 -0.96 0.335 -1.794 -0.43 0.665 15.493 2.27 0.023

    -3.590 -1.69 0.092 5.537 2.23 0.026 -4.518 -1.84 0.065 15.944 4.25 0.000 5.174 0.84 0.404

    -0.015 -5.40 0.000 -0.031 -9.26 0.000 -0.027 -8.43 0.000 -0.098 -19.73 0.000 -0.145 -17.74 0.000

    22.831 1.98 0.048 -0.037 0.00 0.998 -18.271 -1.38 0.168 -32.779 -1.61 0.107 -77.457 -2.31 0.021

    -8.169 -1.02 0.309 -18.104 -1.93 0.053 5.499 0.60 0.552 95.522 6.75 0.000 216.891 9.29 0.000

    -0.158 0.022 0.192 0.164 0.197

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -2.245 -1.29 0.198 -0.182 -0.04 0.970 -11.006 -3.14 0.002 8.145 1.19 0.233 -20.927 -2.00 0.045

    1.853 0.82 0.413 -14.628 -2.34 0.019 -14.052 -3.08 0.002 -2.671 -0.30 0.763 -0.394 -0.03 0.977

    0.003 2.01 0.044 0.008 2.01 0.045 0.006 2.06 0.039 -0.002 -0.28 0.783 0.001 0.08 0.934

    0.031 20.35 0.000 0.120 28.97 0.000 0.073 24.43 0.000 0.136 23.06 0.000 0.591 66.21 0.000

    9.602 6.18 0.000 -5.088 -1.19 0.236 6.977 2.23 0.026 0.482 0.08 0.937 5.398 0.58 0.563

    18.687 10.21 0.000 55.886 11.08 0.000 38.288 10.42 0.000 71.185 9.93 0.000 -188.838 -17.26 0.000

    -0.165 -0.10 0.923 6.691 1.42 0.156 1.942 0.56 0.573 3.047 0.45 0.649 10.696 1.04 0.297

    2.395 1.54 0.123 18.769 4.38 0.000 -1.088 -0.35 0.727 -24.160 -3.97 0.000 38.623 4.15 0.000

    -0.028 -13.83 0.000 -0.119 -20.97 0.000 -0.070 -17.13 0.000 -0.153 -19.01 0.000 0.467 38.19 0.000

    -1.008 -0.12 0.905 -53.565 -2.31 0.021 32.671 1.93 0.053 26.670 0.81 0.418 -127.615 -2.54 0.011

    -13.371 -2.28 0.022 -32.353 -2.00 0.045 -8.631 -0.73 0.463 -38.644 -1.69 0.092 237.285 6.77 0.000

    0.011 0.161 -0.199 -0.044 0.227

    122

  • 1.11

    1.11.1

    1.11.2

    1

    P>z P>z

    0.101 1.58 0.113 0.012 0.24 0.807

    0.274 3.46 0.001 -0.031 -0.49 0.625

    -0.001 -14.73 0.000 -0.001 -11.87 0.000

    -0.027 -0.34 0.736 -0.135 -2.07 0.039

    0.102 0.90 0.366 -0.227 -2.50 0.013

    0.405 2.07 0.038 -0.175 -0.97 0.331

    0.109 0.88 0.378 -0.210 -1.88 0.061

    -0.183 -2.97 0.003 -0.019 -0.39 0.695

    -0.200 -3.55 0.000 -0.124 -2.78 0.005

    0.022 0.40 0.687 0.003 0.07 0.947

    0.006 0.16 0.874 0.136 4.85 0.000

    -0.597 -2.90 0.004 0.067 0.53 0.594

    -0.200 -1.35 0.175 0.195 1.70 0.090

    -0.175 -1.93 0.053 -0.061 -0.88 0.378

    -0.157 -2.12 0.034 0.100 1.76 0.079

    0.008 0.06 0.952 0.131 1.15 0.252

    0.005 0.02 0.983 -0.056 -0.29 0.771

    -0.004 -0.04 0.972 0.218 2.61 0.009

    0.061 1.12 0.264 -0.039 -0.91 0.362

    0.000 1.10 0.273 0.000 1.11 0.267

    -0.287 -1.27 0.202 0.207 1.18 0.240

    N=3734

    N=3734

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.836 -0.70 0.483 9.117 2.90 0.004 -5.110 -1.75 0.080 -0.973 -0.22 0.827 16.667 2.29 0.022

    -0.602 -0.18 0.854 15.104 3.83 0.000 -7.006 -1.91 0.056 14.552 2.61 0.009 22.278 2.44 0.015

    0.001 0.44 0.663 0.000 -0.08 0.936 -0.004 -1.56 0.118 0.006 1.62 0.105 -0.003 -0.48 0.633

    0.031 14.58 0.000 0.028 11.20 0.000 0.031 13.01 0.000 0.110 30.55 0.000 0.163 27.47 0.000

    5.658 2.45 0.014 -4.870 -1.75 0.079 5.885 2.28 0.023 -22.389 -5.69 0.000 13.404 2.08 0.037

    17.669 6.43 0.000 10.357 3.14 0.002 102.558 33.39 0.000 -109.439 -23.40 0.000 -391.465 -51.12 0.000

    -2.293 -0.88 0.379 7.131 2.28 0.023 0.137 0.05 0.962 -3.486 -0.79 0.432 1.526 0.21 0.834

    -10.018 -4.33 0.000 -12.568 -4.52 0.000 -2.226 -0.86 0.390 1.483 0.38 0.707 8.295 1.29 0.198

    -0.004 -1.18 0.239 -0.024 -6.29 0.000 -0.028 -7.94 0.000 -0.100 -18.39 0.000 -0.167 -18.82 0.000

    13.397 1.05 0.293 -19.188 -1.26 0.209 -10.395 -0.73 0.465 11.666 0.54 0.590 -13.086 -0.37 0.712

    4.126 0.43 0.666 40.709 3.55 0.000 -8.613 -0.81 0.420 118.300 7.27 0.000 231.163 8.68 0.000

    -0.038 0.192 0.105 -0.106 0.032

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.353 1.13 0.257 -6.063 -1.12 0.261 -12.842 -3.42 0.001 -2.507 -0.40 0.687 1.313 0.13 0.900

    -0.705 -0.27 0.786 -5.765 -0.85 0.394 -19.013 -4.04 0.000 -10.234 -1.31 0.189 18.842 1.44 0.150

    0.002 0.99 0.321 0.014 3.29 0.001 0.002 0.66 0.507 -0.003 -0.56 0.575 0.017 2.14 0.032

    0.030 17.88 0.000 0.136 31.10 0.000 0.085 28.02 0.000 0.108 21.27 0.000 0.614 72.39 0.000

    14.190 7.74 0.000 -2.147 -0.45 0.652 10.223 3.08 0.002 1.711 0.31 0.756 19.954 2.16 0.031

    17.238 7.91 0.000 62.334 11.00 0.000 44.190 11.22 0.000 70.396 10.77 0.000 -246.559 -22.47 0.000

    0.881 0.43 0.670 4.913 0.91 0.361 2.976 0.80 0.427 -6.297 -1.02 0.310 11.785 1.13 0.257

    1.783 0.97 0.332 3.479 0.73 0.467 2.762 0.83 0.406 6.825 1.24 0.215 -7.010 -0.76 0.448

    -0.029 -11.51 0.000 -0.138 -21.03 0.000 -0.093 -20.39 0.000 -0.126 -16.66 0.000 0.418 32.94 0.000

    -14.577 -1.44 0.149 -69.476 -2.65 0.008 45.641 2.50 0.012 1.242 0.04 0.967 -56.017 -1.10 0.271

    -13.060 -1.72 0.085 -29.644 -1.50 0.133 -7.177 -0.52 0.601 -65.624 -2.89 0.004 335.804 8.80 0.000

    0.124 0.179 -0.254 0.054 0.080

    123

  • 2

    2.

    N=3734

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    -1.395 -0.52 0.601 8.898 2.85 0.004 -5.211 -1.79 0.073 -0.959 -0.21 0.830 16.355 2.24 0.025

    1.569 0.47 0.637 14.341 3.69 0.000 -7.263 -2.00 0.045 13.981 2.50 0.012 20.621 2.26 0.024

    0.004 1.97 0.049 0.001 0.56 0.575 -0.002 -0.84 0.399 0.001 0.25 0.806 -0.005 -0.85 0.398

    0.031 14.55 0.000 0.028 11.00 0.000 0.031 12.95 0.000 0.110 30.22 0.000 0.162 27.25 0.000

    5.967 2.53 0.012 -4.759 -1.72 0.085 5.988 2.32 0.020 -22.738 -5.73 0.000 13.190 2.04 0.042

    19.101 6.75 0.000 10.765 3.24 0.001 103.113 33.20 0.000 -111.878 -23.46 0.000 -393.036 -50.48 0.000

    -2.503 -0.96 0.339 7.892 2.58 0.010 0.573 0.20 0.841 -4.110 -0.93 0.350 1.846 0.26 0.797

    -9.248 -3.90 0.000 -12.717 -4.59 0.000 -2.240 -0.87 0.386 1.134 0.28 0.776 7.720 1.19 0.234

    -0.004 -1.20 0.230 -0.024 -6.18 0.000 -0.028 -7.92 0.000 -0.098 -18.08 0.000 -0.166 -18.61 0.000

    44.514 3.33 0.001 0.637 0.04 0.968 5.670 0.39 0.698 -35.560 -1.58 0.114 -34.797 -0.95 0.343

    -16.652 -1.41 0.159 36.983 2.67 0.008 -13.595 -1.05 0.293 140.117 7.05 0.000 247.693 7.64 0.000

    -0.288 0.092 -0.006 0.187 0.133

    P>z P>z P>z P>z P>z

    2.168 1.05 0.294 -7.506 -1.40 0.162 -12.108 -3.25 0.001 -2.685 -0.43 0.665 0.242 0.02 0.982

    -1.356 -0.53 0.599 -11.658 -1.74 0.082 -16.217 -3.49 0.000 -10.923 -1.41 0.158 14.018 1.07 0.284

    0.003 1.56 0.118 0.012 2.60 0.009 0.000 0.11 0.909 -0.004 -0.82 0.414 0.014 1.63 0.104

    0.030 17.71 0.000 0.137 31.40 0.000 0.085 27.93 0.000 0.109 21.52 0.000 0.613 72.00 0.000

    14.262 7.79 0.000 -2.427 -0.51 0.610 10.167 3.08 0.002 1.565 0.28 0.776 19.649 2.11 0.035

    17.588 7.98 0.000 62.244 10.88 0.000 43.541 10.96 0.000 70.702 10.68 0.000 -248.563 -22.23 0.000

    1.440 0.71 0.478 6.990 1.33 0.185 1.385 0.38 0.705 -6.532 -1.07 0.283 13.515 1.31 0.190

    1.643 0.89 0.371 1.694 0.36 0.723 3.505 1.06 0.290 6.552 1.19 0.234 -8.510 -0.91 0.362

    -0.029 -11.42 0.000 -0.139 -21.21 0.000 -0.093 -20.41 0.000 -0.128 -16.85 0.000 0.420 32.88 0.000

    -0.783 -0.08 0.940 -73.135 -2.71 0.007 21.119 1.13 0.260 -13.535 -0.43 0.664 -72.335 -1.37 0.170

    -15.363 -1.68 0.094 -5.854 -0.25 0.806 -9.279 -0.56 0.575 -59.625 -2.17 0.030 364.048 7.82 0.000

    0.041 0.164 -0.132 -0.016 0.170

    519.8 495.3 537.6 531.1

    690.1 625.2 654.1 658.0

    631.6 590.1 643.1 638.5

    124

  • 3.

    3.1

    645,500 210,400 345,700 435,100 + 0.000 *** 1,263,200 608,800 747,700 654,400 + 0.000 ***

    0 674,600 464,900 -674,600 - . 0 758,500 597,500 -758,500 - .

    361,900 289,700 312,200 72,200 + 0.170 267,000 251,300 254,600 15,700 + 0.660

    57,700 18,500 30,700 39,200 + 0.120 107,500 56,900 67,600 50,600 + 0.256

    1,065,100 1,193,400 1,153,500 -128,300 - 0.030 * 1,637,700 1,675,500 1,667,500 -37,800 - 0.573

    447,100 403,200 416,900 43,900 + 0.114 497,200 417,500 434,400 79,700 + 0.000 ***

    40,300 60,900 54,500 -20,600 - 0.001 ** 36,200 61,900 56,500 -25,700 - 0.000 ***

    37,200 38,400 38,000 -1,200 - 0.893 36,900 44,000 42,500 -7,100 - 0.451

    96,700 115,100 109,400 -18,400 - 0.214 10,300 13,100 12,500 -2,800 - 0.451

    621,200 617,700 618,800 3,500 + 0.913 580,600 536,600 545,900 44,000 + 0.074 +

    92,600 106,400 102,100 -13,800 - 0.272 260,100 268,400 266,700 -8,300 - 0.643

    - - - - . - 422,800 433,500 431,200 -10,700 - 0.747

    28,100 45,400 40,000 -17,300 - 0.007 ** 34,300 39,300 38,200 -5,000 - 0.376

    131,900 105,500 113,700 26,400 + 0.108 127,400 126,300 126,500 1,100 + 0.936

    77,900 112,900 102,000 -35,000 - 0.022 * 113,000 108,300 109,300 4,700 + 0.745

    70,100 137,200 116,300 -67,100 - 0.005 74,900 109,600 102,300 -34,700 - 0.356

    400,500 507,400 474,200 -106,900 - 0.016 * 1,032,600 1,085,400 1,074,200 -52,800 - 0.378

    951,600 987,900 976,600 -36,300 - 0.435 1,538,200 1,512,300 1,517,800 25,900 + 0.622

    74 164 238 87 323 410

    766,500 350,300 595,800 416,200 + 0.000 *** 1,396,600 789,700 1,031,300 606,900 + 0.000 ***

    0 611,400 250,800 -611,400 - - 0 724,600 436,100 -724,600 - .

    327,400 284,400 309,700 43,000 + 0.099 + 259,500 229,800 241,600 29,700 + 0.067 +

    42,000 46,600 43,900 -4,600 - 0.831 45,700 39,900 42,200 5,800 + 0.564

    1,135,900 1,292,700 1,200,200 -156,800 - 0.000 *** 1,701,700 1,784,000 1,751,300 -82,300 - 0.005 **

    529,600 519,800 525,600 9,800 + 0.436 525,000 505,300 513,100 19,700 + 0.013 *

    44,100 75,900 57,100 -31,800 - 0.000 *** 44,000 54,500 50,300 -10,500 - 0.008 **

    38,200 45,300 41,100 -7,100 - 0.249 40,900 46,700 44,400 -5,800 - 0.240

    102,000 107,600 104,300 -5,600 - 0.519 11,600 14,500 13,300 -2,900 - 0.273

    713,900 748,600 728,200 -34,700 - 0.044 * 621,400 620,900 621,100 500 + 0.963

    87,100 108,600 95,900 -21,500 - 0.009 ** 252,900 266,800 261,300 -13,900 - 0.095 +

    - - - - . - 422,500 472,800 452,800 -50,300 - 0.003 **

    34,200 46,000 39,000 -11,800 - 0.034 * 34,300 40,400 38,000 -6,100 - 0.074 +

    132,500 111,700 124,000 20,800 + 0.283 148,500 136,000 141,000 12,500 + 0.164

    77,300 110,500 90,900 -33,200 - 0.000 *** 90,200 102,100 97,400 -11,900 - 0.038 *

    67,200 103,300 82,000 -36,100 - 0.016 * 75,200 88,800 83,400 -13,600 - 0.117

    398,300 480,100 431,900 -81,800 - 0.007 ** 1,023,500 1,107,000 1,073,800 -83,500 - 0.001 **

    1,045,000 1,125,400 1,078,000 -80,400 - 0.012 * 1,569,800 1,639,100 1,611,500 -69,300 - 0.014 *

    335 233 568 461 697 1,158

    867,000 429,200 775,200 437,800 + 0.000 *** 1,635,800 974,200 1,397,500 661,600 + 0.000 ***

    0 644,000 135,000 -644,000 - . 0 689,900 248,500 -689,900 - .

    316,300 302,100 313,300 14,200 + 0.591 236,400 244,700 239,400 -8,300 - 0.619

    52,700 21,800 46,200 30,900 + 0.014 * 56,600 24,900 45,200 31,700 + 0.109

    1,236,000 1,397,100 1,269,800 -161,100 - 0.000 *** 1,928,900 1,933,600 1,930,600 -4,700 - 0.904

    542,000 549,800 543,600 -7,800 - 0.524 540,500 535,000 538,500 5,500 + 0.364

    51,700 66,700 54,800 -15,000 - 0.066 + 48,400 63,800 53,900 -15,400 - 0.035 *

    44,200 60,000 47,500 -15,800 - 0.104 57,200 53,100 55,700 4,100 + 0.700

    94,900 111,800 98,500 -16,900 - 0.082 + 13,500 16,200 14,500 -2,700 - 0.349

    732,800 788,400 744,400 -55,600 - 0.025 * 659,600 668,100 662,700 -8,500 - 0.537

    115,000 118,400 115,700 -3,400 - 0.769 297,800 289,600 294,800 8,200 + 0.394

    - - - - . . - 536,700 525,600 532,700 11,100 + 0.523

    37,700 47,900 39,800 -10,200 - 0.075 + 37,000 40,500 38,300 -3,500 - 0.204

    148,900 148,100 148,700 800 + 0.961 160,300 144,900 154,800 15,400 + 0.115

    87,900 113,300 93,200 -25,400 - 0.032 * 109,800 109,800 109,800 0 - 0.998

    84,600 138,000 95,800 -53,400 - 0.031 * 96,700 109,900 101,500 -13,200 - 0.309

    474,000 565,700 493,200 -91,700 - 0.007 ** 1,238,300 1,220,400 1,231,900 17,900 + 0.581

    1,122,200 1,216,100 1,141,900 -93,900 - 0.010 ** 1,801,300 1,778,600 1,793,100 22,700 + 0.520

    426 113 539 732 412 1,144

    125

  • 3.2

    769,800 212,300 377,000 557,500 + 0.000 *** 1,236,700 595,300 714,900 641,400 + 0.000 ***

    0 700,700 493,700 -700,700 - . 0 790,600 643,200 -790,600 - .

    304,600 340,400 329,800 -35,800 - 0.379 263,200 298,900 292,300 -35,700 - 0.411

    103,100 63,300 75,100 39,800 + 0.302 119,500 31,100 47,600 88,400 + 0.065 +

    1,177,600 1,316,700 1,275,600 -139,100 - 0.026 * 1,619,500 1,716,000 1,698,000 -96,500 - 0.139

    535,800 461,700 483,600 74,100 + 0.000 *** 521,800 467,300 477,400 54,500 + 0.005 **

    43,700 62,500 56,900 -18,800 - 0.013 * 52,800 59,000 57,900 -6,200 - 0.557

    22,900 42,400 36,700 -19,500 - 0.018 * 27,600 38,200 36,200 -10,600 - 0.283

    115,000 119,200 118,000 -4,200 - 0.711 18,700 16,300 16,700 2,400 + 0.614

    717,400 685,800 695,100 31,600 + 0.151 620,900 580,800 588,300 40,100 + 0.157

    79,400 115,800 105,100 -36,400 - 0.009 ** 211,300 249,200 242,100 -37,900 - 0.047 *

    - - - - - . 392,900 452,200 441,100 -59,300 - 0.105

    33,900 43,900 41,000 -10,000 - 0.087 + 37,500 42,400 41,500 -4,900 - 0.489

    103,700 128,300 121,000 -24,600 - 0.177 130,900 126,000 126,900 4,900 + 0.754

    85,800 133,100 119,100 -47,300 - 0.002 ** 84,500 112,900 107,600 -28,400 - 0.058 +

    94,100 106,800 103,000 -12,700 - 0.683 69,000 89,500 85,700 -20,500 - 0.408