gy o - gy 5 1. introduction general principles of pricingdirect’s evaluation methodology...
TRANSCRIPT
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Disclaimer
©JPMorgan Chase & Co. All Rights Reserved. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Member FDIC. All services are
subject to applicable laws and regulations and service terms. Not all products and services are available in
all geographic areas. Eligibility for particular products and services is subject to final determination by J.P.
Morgan and/or its affiliates/subsidiaries.
PricingDirect Inc. does not provide any accounting, regulatory or legal advice. Although the information
contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness
cannot be guaranteed. Pricing Direct is a wholly-owned subsidiary of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Pricing
Direct is neither a broker-dealer nor a member of any Exchanges or self-regulatory organizations. Pricing
Direct does not hold securities or trade; and, pricing services provided by PD are not intended to be, nor
should they be considered an offer to purchase or sell securities or as a representation that a purchase or
sale could be accomplished at such price. Research services referenced are products of J.P. Morgan
Securities, LLC (“JPMS, LLC”, Member SIPC, Finra, the NYSE and most major exchanges) and or JPMCB.
Securities products and trading services are offered through JPMS, LLC in the United States.
© 2017 PricingDirect Inc. All rights reserved. PricingDirect®, TransparencyDirect® and PricingStudio® are
registered trademarks of JPMorgan Chase & Co. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC is a registered broker-dealer
and a member of the NYSE, FINRA, and SIPC. v. 20170405
v.20170405
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Table of contents
1. Introduction ...............................................................................................5 General Principles of PricingDirect’s Evaluation Methodology .................5
2. Definitions ..................................................................................................8 Pricing Factors .........................................................................................8
3. Government and Supranational Securities .............................................9 U.S. Treasury Securities...........................................................................9 U.S. Government Agency Debentures and Supranationals.................... 10 U.S. Government Agency and Supranational STRIPs ........................... 11 European Sovereigns and Supranationals ............................................. 12
4. Mortgage-Backed Securities .................................................................. 13 To Be Announced Securities (TBAs) ...................................................... 13 Stipulated To Be Announced Securities (Stip TBAs) .............................. 15 Options on To Be Announced Securities (TBA Options) ........................ 16 Fixed-Rate Pass-Through Certificates (Specified Pools)........................ 17 Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Securities (ARMs) ........................................ 19 Small Business Administration Pools (SBAs) ......................................... 20 Structured Agency Mortgage IO/PO ....................................................... 21 Agency Mortgage Inverse IO .................................................................. 22 Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs) ......................................... 23 Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) ................................. 35 Delegated Underwriting and Servicing Pools (DUS) .............................. 36 GNMA Project Loan Securities ............................................................... 37 Hard-to-Value Securities (HTV) .............................................................. 38 European Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) ....................................... 40 Australian Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) ...................................... 42
5. Asset-Backed Securities ........................................................................ 44 Autos ...................................................................................................... 44 Credit Cards ........................................................................................... 45 Manufactured Housing ........................................................................... 46 Student Loans ........................................................................................ 48 UK and European Auto Loans, Student Loans, Consumer Loans and
Credit Cards ........................................................................................... 49
6. Collateralized Loan and Debt Obligations ............................................ 50 Broadly Syndicated and Middle Market Structures (CLOs) .................... 50 Small and Medium Enterprise Structures (SME CLOs) .......................... 50
7. Corporate Securities ............................................................................... 52 Investment Grade Corporate Bonds ....................................................... 52 High Yield Corporate Bonds ................................................................... 53 European Investment Grade and High Yield Corporate Bonds .............. 55 European Covered Bonds ...................................................................... 55 Emerging Market Bonds ......................................................................... 56
8. Money Market Instruments ..................................................................... 57 Corporate and Asset-Backed CP, Repurchase Agreements (RPs),
Certificates of Deposit (CDs), and Bankers’ Acceptances (BAs) ............ 57
9. Interest Rate Derivatives ........................................................................ 59 Interest Rate Swaps, Inflation Swaps, Cross Currency Swaps and
Forward Rate Agreements ..................................................................... 59 Interest Rate Swaptions, Caps, Floors and Collars ................................ 59 Forward Starting Interest Rate Swaptions .............................................. 62 Inflation Caps, Floors and Collars .......................................................... 62
PricingDirect, Inc.
Unmesh Bhide, CFA Managing Director
+1 212 272 8703
Sales
George Maloney Executive Director +1 212 272 8896 [email protected]
Danielle Agrapides Executive Director +1 212 272 0879 [email protected]
Ira Barry Executive Director +1 312 732 5712 [email protected]
Michael Cebo Executive Director +44 20 7742 7708 [email protected]
Brett Johnson Analyst +1 212 2729765 [email protected]
Christopher Kim Vice President +1 212 272 4731 christopher.kim @jpmorgan.com
Lance Kisling Executive Director +1 212 272 7792 [email protected]
Michael O’Mealey Executive Director +1 617 310 0756 [email protected]
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Hybrid Structures .................................................................................... 64
10. Credit Derivatives .................................................................................... 66 Credit Default Swaps (Single Name CDS) ............................................. 66 Credit Default Swap Indices (CDSI) ....................................................... 68 Credit Default Swap Index Tranches (CDSI Tranches) .......................... 70 Credit Default Swap Index Options (CDSI Options) ............................... 72
Bond Forwards………………………………………………………………..71
Bond Total Return Swaps…………………………………………………...71
11. Mortgage Synthetic ................................................................................. 74 IOS/POS/MBX Total Return Swaps ....................................................... 74
12. Foreign Exchange Derivatives ............................................................... 75 Forwards, Non-Deliverable Forwards, Average Rate Forwards, ............ 75 Double Average Rate Forwards, Average Strike Forwards, ................... 75 Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Digital Options, Barrier Options, ........... 75 Basket Options, Basket Average Options, Touch Options, .................... 75 Average Strike Options, Double Average Options, Swaps, .................... 75 Variance Swaps, Volatility Swaps .......................................................... 75
13. Equity Derivatives ................................................................................... 77 Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Barrier Options, .................................... 77 Variance Swaps, Callable Total Return Swaps ...................................... 77
14. Commodity Derivatives .......................................................................... 78 Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Basket Options, .................................... 78 Basket Average Options, Forwards, Swaps, Basis Swaps, .................... 78 Spread Swaps, Callable Total Return Swaps ......................................... 78
15. ASC Topic 820 ......................................................................................... 80
16. Summary: PricingDirect Product Coverage .......................................... 83
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1. Introduction
General Principles of PricingDirect’s Evaluation Methodology
PricingDirect evaluates over 1.3 million assets every business day. In order to develop market-
based evaluations for this universe of domestic and international taxable fixed income securities
and other assets, PricingDirect has established a valuation process that is supported by
professional evaluators. Throughout each day, the evaluators track the market by interacting
with various market participants, and capture market intelligence for traded, quoted securities. In
addition, they also analyze the market to understand how less liquid securities move compared
with actively traded securities.
Since only a small fraction of all fixed income securities may be traded on a given day, it is an
enormous challenge to evaluate the large number of securities that are not traded. PricingDirect
has developed a methodology that relies on information from J.P. Morgan trading desks and
research, other market participants including our clients, electronic trading platforms such as
TRACE, and/or third-party data vendors to provide market intelligence. In order to create a
reliable, systematic and scalable process, PricingDirect has classified the instruments it
evaluates into over 40 broad asset classes, and over 500 more detailed sub-sectors. Within
each of these asset classes, we have developed methodologies that allow us to utilize available
market information to evaluate the full universe of securities. Though the details of the
evaluation methodology may be different for each asset class, PricingDirect’s generic evaluation
methodology includes the following steps:
Trader Input: For all asset classes, PricingDirect receives information about traded
securities and evaluations of benchmark securities directly from the J.P. Morgan trading
desks. For most asset classes, PricingDirect also receives information from other market
participants including our clients, electronic trading platforms such as TRACE, and/or third-
party data vendors. The J.P. Morgan trading desks are direct market participants who trade
in their asset class every business day and commit capital to support markets. PricingDirect
treats their evaluations as the market level, and does not describe how the traders determine
their evaluations since they are the market makers. The traders may use models while
trading.
Traders provide PricingDirect with evaluations for actively traded securities, i.e., those
securities that are very liquid such as government securities, TBA mortgages, certain agency
CMOs, and benchmark securities in other asset classes, including securities whose issuers
are in the news. All such evaluations of actively traded securities contain information and
intelligence that can be used to evaluate less actively traded securities. The information that
PricingDirect receives from other sources may be used to supplement the information
obtained from the J.P. Morgan trading desks, or to perform quality control procedures on that
information, or for a combination of both.
Quality Control on Trader Input: The trader input is treated as sample input from market
participants. PricingDirect evaluators may perform quality control tests on prices obtained
from the trading desk and/or other sources, using established principles and procedures.
Some sample evaluations are not used in the methodology development, but are used
instead for out-of-sample testing. As a result of these quality control procedures, evaluators
may adjust the prices that PricingDirect receives from its sources for certain securities.
Calculated Input: J.P. Morgan research has developed state-of-the-art analytical models
and statistical techniques, which may be used to determine the underlying evaluation factors
(e.g., spreads, credit curves, forward curves, prepayment speeds). For example,
PricingDirect evaluators may use mortgage prepayment and default models to determine
projected prepayment speeds and default rates for mortgage-backed securities.
Rules Based Adjustments: The securities in each asset class are grouped by security
characteristics and/or performance. PricingDirect evaluators, in conjunction with the trading
desk, develop rules based logic to evaluate such groups of securities. Starting with the bonds
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evaluated by traders, they may adjust the pricing factors so that they can evaluate other
securities in the same asset class. This methodology uses market observable input from both
traders and evaluators based on historical data and current market conditions. These inputs
may reflect relative differences among evaluation factors or adjustments for specific
characteristics of securities within an asset class.
Evaluation Models: PricingDirect evaluates the remaining securities in each asset class
using the previously established evaluation factors and the NPV or OAS models developed by
J.P. Morgan research.
Out-of-Sample Testing: PricingDirect tests out-of-sample evaluations to ensure that the
evaluation methodology is optimal for all securities. This process is repetitive and dynamic,
and requires frequent analysis by PricingDirect’s evaluators to ensure that we deliver market-
based valuations.
Refinements: Current offerings, actual transactions and prior evaluations are monitored in
order to continually refine the evaluation methodology. As securities change over time, our
evaluation methodology may be adjusted to be consistent with current conditions. For
example, corporate bond evaluations reflect the impact of any ratings downgrades, while
evaluations of CMOs reflect the current cashflow profile of each tranche, so a “busted PAC”
would be evaluated as a sequential bond.
Quality Control on Output: Prior to each delivery, PricingDirect evaluators perform multiple
quality control procedures on final output, including tests for “stale” prices and validation of
day-to-day price changes. For derivative instruments, additional controls are performed on
volatility inputs, swap curves, currency exchange rates and other factors, including model
output such as DV01.
Mean Pricing: PricingDirect provides bid, mean and offer evaluations for fixed income
securities. For each fixed income asset class, PricingDirect has developed mean pricing
methodologies that account for the unique trading characteristics of that asset class.
Depending on the asset class, the methodology may incorporate dollar duration, spread
duration, average life, dollar price spread, or a combination of these and other factors. With
regards to our derivatives pricing, we provide a mid-market evaluation, which is market
convention.
Price Challenge Process
PricingDirect has developed a comprehensive price challenge process. Using a web portal or an
Excel add-in, clients can register price challenges and receive real-time challenge responses.
Challenges are re-evaluated against trading desk information, external sources, news, and
market intelligence, and the original evaluation is confirmed or adjusted. PricingDirect’s
proximity to J.P. Morgan’s global trading desks means evaluators have quick access to
comprehensive market color.
PricingDirect aims for a 24 hour response time for challenges from mutual fund clients, and a 48
hour response time for all other clients. We also accommodate some mutual funds’ need to
receive a response before 6:00 PM ET on the day of the evaluation.
Multiple Delivery Options
PricingDirect’s global mutual fund and UCITS clients may be subject to regulations about
reporting NAV, which require them to take market snapshots at specific times during the day.
PricingDirect can provide its clients with evaluated prices for market snapshots that are used by
market participants in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia. Please see the Product
Delivery Matrix on the following page for details.
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2. Definitions
Pricing Factors
Description
Within this document, the following definitions apply to the terms used in the “Pricing Factors” section. Average Life: The average number of years that each dollar of principal remains outstanding; the weighted average time to the receipt of all future cashflows, where the weights are the dollar amount of the cashflows. BEEM (Bond Equivalent Effective Margin): Discount margin discounted at semi-annual frequency. CDR (Conditional Default Rate): The annualized rate of involuntary principal prepayments (i.e. defaults) of a mortgage backed security. CPR (Constant Prepayment Rate): The annualized rate of principal prepayments of a mortgage backed security. The prepayments measured by this rate can be voluntary, involuntary (i.e. defaults), or a combination of both. CPJ: A prepayment assumption used for GNMA project loans that combines both a voluntary CPR rate (i.e. “15 CPJ”), and an involuntary default rate that is derived from an industry standard default curve assumption for this asset type. Because of the addition of the GNMA project loan default curve to the base CPR assumption, the composite prepayment speed implied by “15 CPJ” will be higher than 15 CPR. CPY (Constant Prepayment Yield): A prepayment assumption used for commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), whereby the security is assumed to pay at zero CPR through the yield maintenance period, and then the designated constant CPR thereafter. DM (Discount Margin): The return that is expected to be earned in addition to the index underlying a floating rate fixed income security. OAS (Option Adjusted Spread): The single spread that, when added to all projected future rate paths, discounts the cashflows of a fixed income security to its price. Payup: The additional price, relative to a generic benchmark, that is demanded for a mortgage backed security that has one or more specific characteristics. Severity: The percentage loss on a loan balance. A 65% severity equates to a 35% recovery. Spread/Nominal Spread: The additional return over a benchmark that is expected to be earned by an investor in a fixed income security. Volatility: As used in the generation of projected future rate paths, a measure of the standard deviation from the mean for a set of observations. Yield: The discount rate that equates the present value of a bond’s cashflows to its price. Z-Spread (Zero Volatility Spread): The spread that, when added to the zero volatility forward rate path, discounts the cashflows of a fixed income security to its price.
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3. Government and Supranational Securities
U.S. Treasury Securities
Description
These securities include the following instruments that are issued by the U.S. Treasury, and
backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government:
U.S. Treasury Bills, Notes and Bonds
U.S. Treasury TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities)
U.S. Treasury STRIPS (Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities)
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk acts as a primary dealer in U.S. Treasury securities, and as
such has access to the markets to determine prices based on actual transactions. The desk
also obtains market information through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
Evaluations of Treasury securities by the trading desk are based on supply and demand.
PricingDirect evaluators gather additional market information from other sources in order to
perform their own quality control and consistency checks on the evaluations provided by the
desk.
U.S. Treasury Closes
Bench Price Chg Yield Chg Identifier Coupon Maturity
3MO 0.10000 0.040 0.10141 0.041 912795UL3 0.000 20100401
6MO 0.20000 0.000 0.20298 0.000 912795U66 0.000 20100701
12MO 0.43500 -0.005 0.44245 -0.005 912795UK5 0.000 20101216
2YR 99.80859 0.352 1.09702 0.061 912828ML1 1.000 20111231
3YR 98.56641 -0.012 1.62315 0.005 912828MB3 1.125 20121215
5YR 97.91406 0.047 2.57917 -0.010 912828LZ1 2.125 20141130
7YR 96.54297 0.113 3.31305 -0.019 912828MA5 2.750 20161130
10YR 96.46094 0.266 3.80796 -0.033 912828LY4 3.375 20191115
30YR 95.64062 0.859 4.64605 -0.056 912810QD3 4.375 20391115
Pricing Factors
Supply and demand
Methodology
After performing its quality control checks, PricingDirect delivers the evaluations directly to
clients.
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U.S. Government Agency Debentures and Supranationals
Description
Quasi-government and supranational entities sell unsecured securities to fund their activities.
These agencies include Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Federal Home Loan Bank, the Federal
Farm Credit Bank, the Tennessee Valley Authority, KfW, etc.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides data on bond characteristics such as issuer
name, issue date, coupon and coupon payment schedule, maturity, ratings, call schedule,
original and outstanding amount, etc.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants provide evaluations and/or
actual trade data for the actively traded benchmark bonds, as well as callable indicative grids,
based on their observations and trading activities. The trading desk also provides volatilities
for the actively traded callable bonds.
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research to calculate
additional inputs based on market assumptions provided by traders, and on performance data.
o Using these models, the evaluators determine the spread curve (for bullet bonds) and
the OAS curve (for callable bonds) for actively traded debentures.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
examine reference data such as issuer name, issue size, ratings, maturity, call type and other
features. They may adjust the spread and/or OAS of selected issues based on these features,
liquidity and/or similar market-related factors.
Pricing Factors
Spread/benchmark yield (for bullet bonds), OAS (for callable bonds)
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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U.S. Government Agency and Supranational STRIPs
Description
These securities are zero coupon bonds that are stripped off bonds issued by quasi-government
and supranational entities.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides data on bond characteristics such as issuer
name, issue date, coupon and coupon payment schedule, maturity, ratings, original and
outstanding amount, etc.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants provide evaluations and/or
actual trade data for the actively traded benchmark bonds based on their observations and
trading activities.
PricingDirect evaluators use proprietary models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o Using these models, the evaluators determine the spread curve for actively traded
debentures.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
examine reference data such as issuer name, issue size, ratings, maturity, and other features.
They may adjust the spread of selected issues based on these features, liquidity and/or similar
market-related factors.
Pricing Factors
Yield
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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European Sovereigns and Supranationals
Description
These securities include the following instruments that are issued by sovereign governments in
Europe, including those that are both inside and outside the Euro-zone.
Germany: Bubills, Schätze, Bobls, Bunds
Italy: BOTs, CTZs, BTPs, CCTs
France: BTFs, BTANs, OATs
Great Britain: Conventional Gilts, Index-linked Gilts
Spain: Letras del Tesoro, Bonos del Estado, Obligaciones del Estado
The Netherlands: DTCs, DSLs
Across all countries: supranational institutions and agencies
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk is one of the world’s largest broker-dealers in European
sovereign and supranational securities, and as such has access to the markets to determine
prices based on actual transactions. The desk also obtains market information through
contacts with the broker-dealer community. Evaluations of European sovereign securities by
the trading desk are based on supply and demand.
PricingDirect evaluators gather additional market information from other sources in order to
perform their own quality control and consistency checks on the information provided by the
desk.
Pricing Factors
Supply and demand
Methodology
After performing its quality control checks, PricingDirect delivers the trader evaluations directly to
clients.
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4. Mortgage-Backed Securities
To Be Announced Securities (TBAs)
Description
TBAs are contracts for the future purchase or sale of agency mortgage-backed securities. The
contract settles on an agreed-upon future date that is associated with the type of the underlying
securities, and may be one, two, or three months in the future. The contract specifies certain
broad characteristics of the underlying securities – agency, term and coupon – but does not
specify the actual agency pools that are to be exchanged at settlement. For the purposes of the
TBA contract, any agency pool that meets the broad definition of the contract is “good delivery”,
and such pool(s) are delivered to holders of the contract at settlement.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk makes markets in TBA securities, and as such has access to
the markets to determine prices based on actual transactions. The desk also obtains market
information through contacts with the broker-dealer community. Evaluations of TBA securities
are based on supply and demand.
PricingDirect evaluators gather additional market information from other sources in order to
perform their own quality control and consistency checks on the TBA evaluations provided by
the desk.
Pass-Through Daily Performance Sheet
30-Year TBA
vs. Prior Close vs. Tsy vs. Swp GN30 Dec Jan Feb Mar
3.75 3.75 7.63 3.5% 92-22.4 92-11.4 92-00.4 91-20.2
6.25 3.13 6.25 4.0% 97-04.4 96-25.4 96-14.4 96-03.0
5.50 2.50 5.00 4.5% 100-20.0 100-07.2 99-27.2 99-14.2
3.63 2.00 4.00 5.0% 103-11.1 102-31.1 102-19.1 102-06.1
1.75 1.50 3.13 5.5% 105-08.1 104-28.0 104-18.2 104-07.6
0.75 1.13 2.38 6.0% 105-31.6 105-26.6 105-20.4 105-13.0
-1.00 0.88 1.75 6.5% 106-17.0 106-14.0 106-09.0 106-03.2
vs. Prior Close vs. Tsy vs. Swp FN30 Dec Jan Feb Mar
3.75 3.75 7.63 3.5% 93-07.4 92-27.0 92-14.0 92-01.0
6.25 3.13 6.25 4.0% 97-03.7 96-25.4 96-15.1 96-04.3
5.25 2.50 5.00 4.5% 100-09.3 99-30.4 99-19.1 99-06.7
3.63 2.00 4.00 5.0% 103-01.7 102-23.3 102-11.2 101-30.1
1.75 1.50 3.13 5.5% 105-03.0 104-25.4 104-14.5 104-03.0
0.75 1.13 2.38 6.0% 106-13.4 106-02.6 105-24.7 105-15.1
-0.25 0.88 1.75 6.5% 107-19.6 107-08.6 106-29.1 106-18.6
vs. Prior Close vs. Tsy vs. Swp GD30 Dec Jan Feb Mar
3.75 3.75 7.63 3.5% 92-20.0 92-07.0 91-26.0 91-13.0
6.25 3.13 6.25 4.0% 96-30.2 96-20.0 96-09.7 95-31.1
5.25 2.50 5.00 4.5% 100-07.3 99-28.4 99-17.1 99-05.1
4.00 2.00 4.00 5.0% 102-31.3 102-20.7 102-09.1 101-28.5
1.25 1.50 3.13 5.5% 105-05.4 104-28.0 104-17.3 104-05.3
0.75 1.13 2.38 6.0% 106-16.0 106-05.2 105-27.4 105-16.6
-0.25 0.88 1.75 6.5% 107-17.6 107-06.2 106-26.4 106-12.1
GN/FN and Gold/FN swap prices are based on Dec TBA contracts
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Market Rates and Indices
Benchmarks Price Yield Price Change Yield Change
2yr Tsy 99.80859 1.09702 0.352 0.061
3yr Tsy 98.56641 1.62315 -0.012 0.005
5yr Tsy 97.91406 2.57917 0.047 -0.010
7yr Tsy 96.54297 3.31305 0.113 -0.019
10yr Tsy 96.46094 3.80796 0.266 -0.033
30yr Tsy 95.64062 4.64605 0.859 -0.056
Treasury Prior Yield Current Yield Yield Change
3mo Treasury 0.06084 0.09634 0.0355
6mo Treasury 0.20298 0.19790 -0.0051
1yr Treasury 0.44756 0.44245 -0.0051
2yr Treasury 1.03623 1.09702 0.0608
3yr Treasury 1.61860 1.62315 0.0046
4yr Treasury 2.10393 2.10116 -0.0028
5yr Treasury 2.58926 2.57917 -0.0101
6yr Treasury 2.96048 2.94611 -0.0144
7yr Treasury 3.33170 3.31305 -0.0187
10yr Treasury 3.84111 3.80796 -0.0332
30yr Treasury 4.70162 4.64605 -0.0556
Swap Prior Yield Current Yield Yield Change
1mo Swap 0.23125 0.23094 -0.0003
3mo Swap 0.25063 0.25063 0.0000
6mo Swap 0.43125 0.43438 0.0031
1yr Swap 0.97875 0.99750 0.0188
2yr Swap 1.37800 1.37800 0.0000
3yr Swap 2.01600 2.02000 0.0040
4yr Swap 2.53300 2.54300 0.0100
5yr Swap 2.94600 2.93400 -0.0120
6yr Swap 3.25800 3.25300 -0.0050
7yr Swap 3.49200 3.48600 -0.0060
8yr Swap 3.68400 3.67200 -0.0120
9yr Swap 3.84000 3.82300 -0.0170
10yr Swap 3.97700 3.93700 -0.0400
12yr Swap 4.17900 4.15500 -0.0240
15yr Swap 4.37400 4.33700 -0.0370
20yr Swap 4.50400 4.45200 -0.0520
30yr Swap 4.56200 4.50700 -0.0550
Indices Prior Yield Current Yield Yield Change
COFI 1.25900 1.25900 0.0000
PRIME 3.25000 3.25000 0.0000
1mo Libor 0.23125 0.23094 -0.0003
3mo Libor 0.25063 0.25063 0.0000
6mo Libor 0.43125 0.43438 0.0031
12mo Libor 0.97875 0.99750 0.0188
Pricing Factors
Supply and demand
Methodology
After performing its quality control checks, PricingDirect delivers the evaluations directly to
clients.
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Stipulated To Be Announced Securities (Stip TBAs)
Description
TBAs are contracts for the future purchase or sale of agency mortgage-backed securities. The
contract settles on an agreed-upon future date that is associated with the type of the underlying
securities, and may be one, two, or three months in the future. In additional to the terms of the
standard TBA contract, which specifies the agency, term and coupon of the underlying securities,
the stipulated TBA contract specifies one or more additional features such as loan-to-value ratio
(LTV), maximum loan balance (LB), geography and/or eligibility under the Making Home
Affordable (MHA) program. In practice, stipulated TBAs are most often defined as having just
one additional feature, although more than one such feature can be specified in the contract.
For the purposes of the stipulated TBA contract, any agency pool that meets the particular set of
specifications in the contract is “good delivery”, and such pool(s) are delivered to holders of the
contract at settlement.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk makes markets in TBA securities, and as such has access to
the markets to determine prices based on actual transactions. The desk also obtains market
information through contacts with the broker-dealer community. Evaluations of TBA securities
are based on supply and demand.
PricingDirect evaluators gather additional market information from other sources in order to
perform their own quality control and consistency checks on the TBA evaluations provided by
the desk.
PricingDirect clients supply the assumptions in the stipulated TBA contracts for which they
request evaluations.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
maintain a payup matrix based on the market assumptions provided by traders and/or other
market participants, performance data, and mortgage model projections.
o Based on these inputs, the evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to the
payup matrix, as described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
The payup matrix relates to various characteristics of mortgage-backed securities such as, but
not limited to, weighted average coupon (WAC), weighted average maturity (WAM), agency (i.e.,
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae), maximum loan balance, loan vintage, loan-to-value ratio
(LTV), geography and prepayment penalties. Based on trade information including payups,
market developments, and trade color received from the J.P. Morgan trading desk for TBA
securities, PricingDirect evaluators derive evaluations for all classes of specified pools.
Pricing Factors
Payup
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Options on To Be Announced Securities (TBA Options)
Description
TBAs are contracts for the future purchase or sale of agency mortgage-backed securities. The
contract settles on an agreed-upon future date that is associated with the type of the underlying
securities, and may be one, two, or three months in the future. The contract specifies certain
broad characteristics of the underlying securities – agency, term and coupon – but does not
specify the actual agency pools that are to be exchanged at settlement. For the purposes of the
TBA contract, any agency pool that meets the broad definition of the contract is “good delivery”,
and such pool(s) are delivered to holders of the contract at settlement.
There is also a market for options on TBA contracts. Investors can buy or sell TBA options for
the purpose of portfolio hedging, or to express a view of the market. At present, such options
are traded only on standard TBA contracts, not on stipulated TBAs, which have at least one
additional collateral characteristic specified in the contract, and which are described elsewhere in
this document.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk makes markets in TBA securities, and as such has access to
the markets to determine prices based on actual transactions. The desk also obtains market
information through contacts with the broker-dealer community. Evaluations of TBA securities
are based on supply and demand. The J.P. Morgan desk also makes markets in TBA options,
and provides option volatility in the option pricer that is utilized by PricingDirect.
PricingDirect evaluators gather additional market information from other sources in order to
perform their own quality control and consistency checks on the TBA evaluations provided by
the desk.
Pricing Factors
TBA prices for a specific agency, term and coupon for a given settlement month; mortgage
prepayment model; option strike price, expiry date and volatility cube.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluates TBA options using a valuation tool developed by the J.P. Morgan
quantitative research team. TBAs are modeled using the J.P. Morgan prepayment model, and
option volatility is modeled using the SABR method. The model uses forward price, coupon rate
and tenor as inputs, as well as OAS duration, convexity, and other parametric outputs from the
stochastic mortgage model. By using the stochastic process to model the option’s tenor as a
function of the TBA security’s prepayment optionality, PricingDirect’s valuation process properly
accounts for the negative convexity of the contract’s underlying mortgages. PricingDirect
receives the TBA prices from the J.P. Morgan trading desk; the OAS analytics are supported by
the J.P. Morgan quantitative research group.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Fixed-Rate Pass-Through Certificates (Specified Pools)
Description
A mortgage pass-through security represents a fractional undivided interest in a pool of
residential mortgage loans that meets certain underwriting guidelines. The principal and interest
payments of these securities are implicitly or explicitly guaranteed by government or
government-related agencies such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, and include
different mortgage maturities such as 30-year, 15-year, 20-year, etc.
The respective agency creates a mortgage pass-through, which distributes to investors all
scheduled and prepaid principal and interest from the underlying mortgage loans net of fees
associated with the agency guarantee and loan servicing. If a borrower defaults on a mortgage
and the servicer liquidates the loan at a loss, the agency absorbs this loss and thereby
eliminates credit risk for the investor.
The specified pool market allows for the trading of securities that are perceived to have
incremental value over TBAs due to characteristics such as WAC (low or high), maximum loan
balance, or geographic concentration in one or more states. Specified pool “payups” over the
price for generic (TBA) pools reflect this perceived incremental value, and may differ for each
specified pool depending on the characteristics of the pool, investor demand, and market
conditions.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides detailed collateral information about each
agency pool, including the parameters that are used to define “payups” to TBA prices.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the markets
to determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
maintain a payup matrix based on the market assumptions provided by traders and/or other
market participants, performance data, and mortgage model projections.
o Based on these inputs, the evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to the
payup matrix, as described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
The payup matrix relates to various characteristics of mortgage-backed securities such as, but
not limited to, weighted average coupon (WAC), weighted average maturity (WAM), weighted
average loan age (WALA), agency (i.e., Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae), maximum loan
balance, loan vintage, loan-to-value ratio (LTV), geography and prepayment penalties. Based
on trade information including payups, market developments, and trade color received from the
J.P. Morgan trading desk for TBA securities, PricingDirect evaluators derive evaluations for all
classes of specified pools.
Pricing Factors
Spread, payup, CPR
Methodology
For specified pool evaluations, we calculate spot TBA prices for T+0 settlement, and we may use
distinct assumptions for pools in each of the Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae I and Ginnie
Mae II programs. For each of those mortgage programs, the rules based adjustments are
applied as described in the paragraph above.
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PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Securities (ARMs)
Description
Agency adjustable-rate mortgage securities (ARMs) are pools issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie
Mac and Ginnie Mae, and backed by mortgage loans with interest rates that adjust periodically in
response to changes in a specific index. The coupon on a traditional ARM pool typically begins
to adjust at the first periodic reset date, e.g., six months after origination for a 6-month LIBOR
ARM pool. The coupon for a hybrid ARM pool is fixed for a period that may range between one
and ten years, after which it adjusts on a periodic basis. For example, the coupon on a “5/1
hybrid” will be fixed for five years, and then adjust annually thereafter.
PricingDirect provides evaluations for all types of agency ARMs, including pools with the
following indices:
1-month, 6-month and 1-year LIBOR
1-year, 3-year and 5-year Constant Maturity Treasury (CMT)
6-month Certificate of Deposit (CD)
11th District Cost of Funds Index (COFI)
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides all available collateral information for agency
ARM pools.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the markets
to determine prices, bond equivalent effective margins (BEEMs) and Z-spreads of actively
traded ARM pools.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine BEEMs and Z-spreads for sample bonds, using prices received
from the J.P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the BEEM, Z-spreads and/or CPR used to price each bond. This logic is based on
ARM pool characteristics such as, but not limited to, index, margin, reset date, collateral types,
life cap, periodic cap, and loan seasoning.
Pricing Factors
BEEM, Z-spread, CPR
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Small Business Administration Pools (SBAs)
Description
The Small Business Administration (SBA), an agency of the U. S. government, provides financial
assistance to businesses through its participating SBA lenders in the form of loan guarantees.
The SBA guarantee generally covers 75%–90% of the outstanding loan and is backed by the full
faith and credit of the U.S. government. Interest rates on SBA loans generally float above the
prime rate. PricingDirect provides evaluations for variable rate SBA pools.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides all available collateral information for SBA
pools.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the markets
to determine prices, discount margins and other market assumptions through actual traded
prices, and through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with evaluations for actively traded SBA pools.
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research to evaluate all
SBA pools based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on performance data.
o The evaluators determine discount margin and prepayment speeds for the actively traded
SBA pools.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the discount margin and CPR for each SBA pool based on reference data such as,
but not limited to, life cap (maximum allowable interest rate over the life of the loan), margin
(percentage point spread over the index) and WAM (weighted average maturity).
Pricing Factors
Discount margin, CPR
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Structured Agency Mortgage IO/PO
Description
These agency securities are issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, and are
backed by mortgage pools issued by the respective agency. They represent rights to interest
only (IO) or principal only (PO) cashflows from the underlying mortgage loans.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: collateral grouping, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, cashflow window.
o Tranche Type: interest only or principal only.
o Collateral Characteristics: average loan size, WAC, WAM, WALA, geography, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The J.P. Morgan trading desk provides evaluations for “on the run” trust IOs and POs.
These actively traded issues are benchmarks for valuing all other structured IOs and POs.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
determine the OAS (option adjusted spread) for the desk’s evaluations of benchmark trust IOs
and POs.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules-based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the OAS used to price each structured IO/PO. This logic is based on deal and
tranche characteristics such as structure and cashflow waterfall; analytical output from the OAS
model such as, but not limited to, convexity, duration and model projected CPR; and collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, coupon, term, WAC, WAM, average loan
size and geography.
For short average life bonds, our evaluations assume forward rates at zero volatility, and use a
prepayment vector from the J.P. Morgan econometric prepayment model.
Pricing Factors
OAS, yield, CPR
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Agency Mortgage Inverse IO
Description
These agency securities are issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, and are
backed by mortgage pools issued by the respective agency. They represent rights to inverse
interest only (IIO) cashflows from the underlying mortgage loans.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: collateral grouping, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, cashflow window.
o Collateral Characteristics: average loan size, WAC, WAM, WALA, geography, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The J.P. Morgan trading desk provides evaluations for “on the run” trust IOs. These
actively traded issues are benchmarks for valuing agency mortgage inverse IOs.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
determine the OAS (option adjusted spread) for the desk’s evaluations of benchmark trust IOs.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules-based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the OAS used to price IIOs based upon trust IOs. This logic is based on deal and
tranche characteristics such as structure and cashflow waterfall; analytical output from the OAS
model such as, but not limited to, convexity, duration and model projected CPR; and collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, coupon, term, WAC, WAM, average loan
size and geography.
Pricing Factors
OAS, yield, CPR
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Agency, Prime Jumbo and Alt-A (Seniors)
Description
CMOs are multi-class securities that are ultimately backed by residential mortgage loans.
However, within this group of securities there is a key distinction between “agency” CMOs and
“non-agency” CMOs. In the first group are securities that are issued by the agencies Fannie
Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and which are comprised of a group of agency mortgage
pools (i.e., TBA or specified pools, as described earlier). These single-class pools are, in turn,
backed by individual mortgage loans. Investors in agency CMOs do not assume any credit risk,
as potential losses on the underlying residential mortgages would not flow through to them.
Non-agency CMOs differ in two key respects. First, they are in most cases backed by a group of
individual mortgage loans directly, rather than through an intermediate “pooling” of such loans.
Second, and more important, investors in non-agency CMOs assume credit risk. In general, this
credit risk is mitigated in non-agency CMOs through structure: generally either a senior
subordinate “shifting interest” structure whereby lower-rated tranches absorb principal losses, or
an excess spread/overcollateralization structure whereby the CMO has extra cashflow that is
designed to absorb principal losses. In general, non-agency CMOs with higher initial credit
quality (i.e., “prime jumbo” and some “Alt-A”) use the shifting interest structure, while lower
quality Alt-A, as well as subprime, use the excess spread method.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information, as each may be applicable based on whether the bond is
an agency or non-agency CMO:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: sequential, floating rate, inverse floating rate, Planned Amortization Class
(PAC), Target Amortization Class (TAC), Non-Accelerated Senior (NAS), support, accrual
(Z-bond), Accretion Directed (AD), Non-Sticky Jump (NSJ), etc.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (agency, prime jumbo or Alt-A), loan vintage,
geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, re-performing loans,
non-performing loans etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and delinquency.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity and loss.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation of non-agency securities, as these parameters may be applicable. For agency
securities, they provide OAS, CPR, and spread information.
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PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the nominal spreads, option-adjusted spreads, CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used
to price each bond. This logic is based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not
limited to, shelf, structure, credit enhancement, and the effects of the deal triggers on the
cashflow waterfall; collateral characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography,
LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size and documentation; actual collateral performance data
such as CPR, CDR, severity and delinquency; and/or model projections for average life, duration,
convexity, and future CPR, CDR, severity, and loss. Such model projections may be compared
to projections for other deals in the same vintage, and as a result one or more pricing factors
may be adjusted.
Pricing Factors
Pricing factors for agency CMOs include CPR, and either nominal spread or OAS.
Pricing factors for non-agency CMOs may include CDR and severity in addition to the above.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Payment Option ARMs (Seniors)
Description
A payment option ARM is a type of mortgage whose coupon rate periodically resets in relation to
a specified index. Additionally, with this type of mortgage the borrower is given the option to
defer principal payments, which may cause the loan to negatively amortize. Typically, the senior
portion of a payment option ARM deal includes multiple tranches rated AAA at origination, with
varying original weighted average lives. The bonds’ interest rates adjust monthly according to a
specified margin over one month LIBOR or the 12 month MTA.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: super senior, senior mezzanine, junior mezzanine or pass-through.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (payment option ARM), loan vintage,
geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and delinquency.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and loss.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is based on
deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit support, and
the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral characteristics such as, but
not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size and
documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR, severity and delinquency;
and/or model projections for average life, duration, convexity, and future CPR, CDR, severity,
and loss. Such model projections may be compared to projections for other comparable deals,
and as a result one or more pricing factors may be adjusted.
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Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Prime Jumbo and Alt-A Fixed/ARM and Payment Option ARM (Subordinates)
Description
Subordinate tranches in a non-agency CMO have varying cashflow windows and risk profiles,
depending on their position in the cashflow waterfall, collateral performance, the deal’s loss and
delinquency triggers, and other factors.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window.
o Tranche Type: subordinate.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (prime fixed or ARM, Alt-A fixed or ARM, or
payment option ARM), loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size,
documentation, re-performing loans, non-performing loans etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and delinquency.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the
J.P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is based on
deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit support, and
the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral characteristics such as, but
not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size and
documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR, severity and delinquency;
and/or model projections for average life, duration, convexity, and future CPR, CDR, severity,
and loss. Such model projections may be compared to projections for other comparable deals,
and as a result one or more pricing factors may be adjusted.
Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
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Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Subprime Mortgage-Backed Second Lien and HELOC (Seniors)
Description
A subprime mortgage-backed deal contains mortgages with an average FICO (credit) score of
approximately 600 to 675. The collateral primarily consists of first lien residential mortgages, but
may also include second/junior liens, home equity lines of credit, or similar assets. The
underlying mortgages may be fixed rate or adjustable rate. Typically, the senior structure of a
subprime deal includes multiple tranches rated AAA at origination, with original weighted
average lives of 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, and a longer last cashflow bond. Each senior bond’s
coupon may be fixed rate or float off of a specified index.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: pass-through, with original weighted average life of 1, 2, or 3 years; and
last cashflow bond.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (subprime), loan vintage, geography, LTV
ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, delinquency and loss.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity and loss.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is based on
deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit support, and
the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral characteristics such as, but
not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size and
documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR, severity and delinquency;
and/or model projections for average life, duration, convexity, and future CPR, CDR, severity,
and loss. Such model projections may be compared to projections for other comparable deals,
and as a result one or more pricing factors may be adjusted.
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Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Non-Performing and Re-performing
Description
Non-performing loans (NPL) are backed by seasoned collateral that are highly delinquent. Most
NPLs are characterized by substantial credit enhancement with an early redemption,
incentivizing the issuer to call the deal after 3 years or earlier. Re-performing loans (RPL) are
backed by loans that were previously delinquent and are currently paying.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization, early
redemption, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: rating, structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: pass-through, with original weighted average life of 1, 2, or 3 years; and
last cashflow bond.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (NPL/ RPL), loan vintage, geography, LTV
ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, delinquency and loss.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity and loss.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk and other market participants provide PricingDirect with prices on bid lists,
offerings, and sample bonds in addition to coverage on new issue primary market. They
also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for valuation, as
these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk and other market participants.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is based on
deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit support, and
expected redemption the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score,
average loan size and documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR,
severity and delinquency; and/or model projections for average life, duration, convexity, and
future CPR, CDR, severity, and loss. Such model projections may be compared to projections
for other comparable deals, and as a result one or more pricing factors may be adjusted.
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Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)
Subprime Mortgage-Backed Second Lien and HELOC (Subordinates)
Description
A subprime mortgage-backed deal contains mortgages with an average FICO (credit) score of
approximately 600 to 675. The collateral primarily consists of first lien residential mortgages, but
may also include second/junior liens, home equity lines of credit, or similar assets. The
underlying mortgages may be fixed rate or adjustable rate. Typically, the subordinate securities
in a subprime deal include tranches with rating of less than AAA at origination; these tranches
provide credit support to the senior tranches, thus forming a foundation for the deal’s capital
structure. Each subordinate bond’s coupon can be fixed rate or floating off of a specified index.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window.
o Tranche Type: pass-through or sequential.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (subprime), loan vintage, geography,
LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, delinquency and loss.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, severity and loss.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is based on
deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit support,
position in the capital structure, and the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall;
collateral characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO
score, average loan size and documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR,
CDR, severity, delinquency and loss; and/or model projections for average life, duration,
convexity, CPR, CDR, severity, and expected collateral loss as compared to comparable vintage
performance. Such model projections may be compared to projections for other comparable
deals, and as a result one or more pricing factors may be adjusted.
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Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)
Description
Commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) are backed by loans on commercial real estate.
Typically these consist of retail shopping malls (both anchored and unanchored), industrial and
office properties, multi-family housing and lodging (hotels, motels, etc.). PricingDirect evaluates
CMBS conduit (fixed rate) deals with ratings originally rated from AAA to BBB-. We do evaluate
selectively single loan deals where we get enough loan level information.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and structuring teams provide the following deal, tranche
and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, rating, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: interest-only (IO), super senior, junior mezzanine, subordinate.
o Collateral Characteristics: loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR), property type, etc.
o Historical Performance: defeasance and delinquency.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about spread for valuation.
PricingDirect evaluators use the following additional input data to complement the
benchmark spreads received from the desk:
o The evaluators independently gather information from actual trades, bid lists, offering
sheets as well as from other market participants (such as customer insight/opinion).
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the yields and/or spreads used to price each bond. This logic is based on deal and
tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, average life, credit
enhancement, rating, extension risk, and the effects of deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall;
collateral characteristics such as, but not limited to, DSCR, LTV ratio, vintage, property type,
location, seasoning and maturity; and actual collateral performance such as defeasance,
delinquency and special servicing. Such adjustments may also be based on current market
movements and trading color.
Pricing Factors
Yield, spread, average life, CPY, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Delegated Underwriting and Servicing Pools (DUS)
Description
DUS pools are Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities secured by income-producing
multifamily mortgage loans. These securities may contain one loan or multiple loans, and may
also be structured as mega pools. Interest on DUS bonds can be calculated on either an
Actual/360 or 30/360 basis.
DUS securities are familiarly known as 10/9.5 or 7/6.5. A 10/9.5 security has a 10-year stated
maturity and a 9.5-year principal lockout period. Similarly, a 7/6.5 security has a 7-year stated
maturity and a 6.5-year principal lockout period.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services team provides all available collateral information for DUS
pools.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the markets
to determine prices and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and through
contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with evaluations for actively traded DUS pools.
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research to evaluate all
DUS pools based on the market assumptions provided by the traders, and on performance
data.
o The evaluators determine prepayment speeds for actively traded DUS pools using the
models as well as trader input.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the spread and prepayment assumption for each DUS pool based on reference data
such, but not limited to, maturity and lockout period.
Pricing Factors
Spread, CPY
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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GNMA Project Loan Securities
Description
While similar in structure to agency CMOs, Ginnie Mae project loan securities are backed by
commercial loans. The collateral features a U.S. government guarantee for 100% of the
principal and interest due. These deals typically consist of four to six fixed-rate, sequential pay
classes of varying duration and an Interest Only class.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, cashflow window, financial guarantee.
o Tranche Type: sequential, accrual (Z-bond), Interest Only (IO).
o Collateral Characteristics: deal vintage, geography, LTV ratio, property type, average loan
size, etc.
o Historical Performance: prepayments, defaults, special servicing, etc.
o Model Projected Performance: CPJ.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide CPJ and spread information.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the
J. P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the nominal spreads and CPJ used to price each bond. This logic is based on deal
and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, deal vintage and structure; and/or
collateral characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography and LTV ratio.
Pricing Factors
Spread, CPJ
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Hard-to-Value Securities (HTV)
Description
Hard-to-value (HTV) securities are non-agency mortgage products that are particularly difficult to
structure, model and value. HTV securities may fall into any non-agency product category,
including prime jumbo as well as Alt-A and subprime. While the inclusion of a particular type of
security in this category may depend on market conditions, we generally classify a mortgage-
related security as HTV if it falls into one or more of the following categories:
Its original rating was below AAA;
It is a particularly illiquid security;
It is a resecuritization of non-agency RMBS;
It is a bond backed by non-US mortgages.
Agency risk transfer bonds (For e.g. STACR, CAS)
Single Family Rentals (SFR deals)
Methodology
The methodologies used to generate HTV evaluations are different for each product category,
and are based on the processes described in the appropriate sections of this booklet. For each
product that is classified as HTV, PricingDirect evaluators work very closely with the trading desk
to determine appropriate assumptions based on the security’s position in the capital structure, its
current delinquencies, current and projected losses, the effect of deal triggers, etc. This is by
definition a painstaking process that requires considerable attention for each security, given the
multiplicity of relevant variables (e.g., a deal’s delinquency pipeline, current credit support,
historical losses and future expectations, etc.). In addition, other common features of
PricingDirect’s HTV valuation process are loan level data collection on the underlying collateral,
structuring of frequently complex cashflows, and comprehensive modeling of prepayments,
defaults, severities and losses. The figure below explains the key aspects of this process with
respect to a non-agency RMBS resecuritization.
Structuring and Modeling
The HTV valuation process uses actual historical performance data, model-calculated input (e.g.,
loss projections) and market observable input that may be provided by the trading desk. Model
projections are a key element in determining inputs to HTV evaluations even if the models are
not explicitly used.
RMBS
Resecuritization
Structured
Securities
Loans
RMBS
Resecuritization
Structured
Securities
LoansSubordinate
Mezzanine
Senior
Prepayments
Defaults
Cashflows
National
Models (Calibrated Monthly)
Bottom-Up
Top-Down
MSA (2)
HPA (1)
Assumptions
Structuring
1 Home Price Appreciation2 Metropolitan Statistical Area
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Non-Agency RMBS Resecuritizations
Among the most complex examples of HTV securities are resecuritizations of non-agency
residential mortgage-backed securities. For these instruments, PricingDirect evaluators first
analyze the performance of the underlying bonds, across the dimensions of voluntary CPR, CDR
and severity. They then determine appropriate future assumptions for each variable based on
past history, subject to upper and lower limits that have been defined in conjunction with
mortgage research and/or the trading desk, as well as current market conditions. Finally, they
flush the existing delinquency pipeline of each underlying bond over an appropriate interval.
Once the cashflows have been defined in this manner, evaluators determine DM or yield for
each tranche of the resecuritization based on a similar analysis of the underlying bonds. This
analysis takes into account the credit support provided by the structure, as well as that provided
by the collateral. Finally, any of these assumptions may be modified based on news items
pertaining to each underlying structure, the resecuritization itself, or the market in general.
Loan Level Data Collection and Modeling
J.P. Morgan, as a specialist in mortgage related products, maintains extensive databases
including history on millions of loans and securities. This is actual historical data collected by
various agencies and reported monthly, and it is used in modeling prepayment, default and
severity rates for a wide variety of collateral types.
Among the resources used by PricingDirect in its HTV evaluations is the home price model that
has been developed by J.P. Morgan research, and which is based on Case-Shiller/Fiserv data.
The home price model takes as input a vector of future home price changes on a national level,
and translates that national assumption down to the MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) level by
using a variety of factors that include future forecasts of interest rates, as well as income,
employment and population forecasts at the MSA level. The output is a highly robust estimate
that is in turn used as an input to the prepayment, default and severity model, where projections
are performed at the loan level. The advantage of this approach is that projections of security
performance are based on a granular—and therefore realistic—assessment of the level of
available home equity in each geographical area on a zip code level. In the current environment,
such an approach is far superior to a “one size fits all” blanket assumption for future home prices
across all geographic regions.
The suite of available prepayment, default and severity models spans all collateral types, from
prime jumbo, to Alt-A, and subprime, fixed and adjustable-rate including hybrids and option
ARMs, etc. All models in the non-agency space operate on the loan level.
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European Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)
European Prime and Non-Prime MBS; UK MBS (Prime, Non-conforming,
Buy-to-let)
Description
These are multi-class securities backed by residential mortgage loans originated in continental
Europe and in the UK. Credit risk is mitigated through structure: generally either a senior
subordinate “shifting interest” structure whereby lower-rated tranches absorb principal losses, or
an excess spread/overcollateralization structure which provides extra cashflow that is designed
to absorb principal losses.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: sequential, floating rate.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type, loan vintage, geography, documentation,
credit quality, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and delinquency.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators utilize trader color, mortgage research reports and data, and deal
performance statistics to determine their CPR, CDR, severity and yield inputs for each deal.
They run those assumptions using industry standard mortgage cashflow models.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the
J.P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the yields, CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit
enhancement, and the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography, average loan size and
documentation; and/or actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR, severity and
delinquency.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
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Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use industry standard cashflow models as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Australian Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)
Description
These are multi-class securities backed by residential mortgage loans originated in Australia.
Credit risk is mitigated through structure: generally either a senior subordinate “shifting interest”
structure whereby lower-rated tranches absorb principal losses, or an excess
spread/overcollateralization structure which provides extra cashflow that is designed to absorb
principal losses. Australian mortgages are predominantly (~65%) considered prime. Loans
classified as low-doc/ no-doc comprise most of the remainder, while non-conforming have a very
small market share.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, collateral grouping, cross-collateralization,
triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: sequential, floating rate.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type, loan vintage, geography, documentation,
credit quality, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, and delinquency.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation, as these parameters may be applicable.
PricingDirect evaluators utilize trader color, mortgage research reports and data, and deal
performance statistics to determine their CPR, CDR, severity and yield inputs for each deal.
They run those assumptions using industry standard mortgage cashflow models.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the
J.P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the yields, CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit
enhancement, and the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography, average loan size and
documentation; actual collateral performance data such as CPR, CDR, severity and delinquency.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
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Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use industry standard cashflow models as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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5. Asset-Backed Securities
Autos
Description
An auto ABS is an asset-backed security that is collateralized by automobile loans or leases
made to borrowers. These bonds have either fixed or floating rate coupons, an average life of
one to three years at origination, and may be insured by a third party guarantor.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and structuring teams provide the following deal, tranche
and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, series, subordination, cross-collateralization, triggers, cashflow
waterfall, initial interest spread, reserve amount (if applicable).
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, coupon type (fixed or floating), average life, credit
enhancement, cashflow window, financial guarantee (if applicable).
o Collateral Characteristics: prime, near prime, or subprime.
o Historical Performance: prepayments, delinquency, severity.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, discount margins, and other market assumptions through actual traded
prices, and through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about average life spreads and
discount margins for valuation.
PricingDirect evaluators may apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the average life spread and/or discount margin used in each bond’s evaluation,
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, original
and/or current rating, average life, cashflow waterfall and financial guarantee (if applicable).
Pricing Factors
Discount margin, or average life spread and prepayment rate
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Credit Cards
Description
A credit card ABS is an asset-backed security that is collateralized by credit card receivables.
These bonds have either fixed or floating rate coupons. Credit card ABS have a soft bullet
maturity, meaning the bond is expected to receive a single principal payment at maturity.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and structuring teams provide the following deal, tranche
and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, series, subordination cross-collateralization, and triggers.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, coupon type (fixed or floating), average life and credit
enhancement.
o Collateral Characteristics: prime, near prime, or subprime.
o Historical Performance: prepayments, delinquency, severities, excess spread, portfolio
yield.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample bonds.
They also provide market assumptions for average life spreads and discount margins,
based on shelf, original rating and average life.
PricingDirect evaluators may apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the average life spread and/or discount margin used in each bond’s evaluation,
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, original
and/or current rating, average life, cashflow waterfall and financial guarantee (if applicable).
Pricing Factors
Discount margin or average life spread
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Manufactured Housing
Description
Manufactured housing securities are backed by mortgages on single family homes constructed
on a chassis at a factory and shipped in one or more sections to a housing site. The loan types
are predominately fixed rate with 15 to 20 or 25 to 30-year amortization schedules. The actual
securities have either a fixed rate or floating rate coupon.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, subordination, triggers, cashflow waterfall.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, credit enhancement, cashflow window, financial
guarantee (if applicable).
o Tranche Type: Senior or subordinate.
o Collateral Characteristics: deal collateral type (manufactured housing), loan vintage,
geography, LTV ratio, FICO score, average loan size, documentation, etc.
o Historical Performance: CPR, CDR, severity, loss and delinquency.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about CPR, CDR, and severity for
valuation.
PricingDirect evaluators use mortgage models developed by J.P. Morgan research to
calculate additional inputs based on the market assumptions provided by traders, and on
performance data.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the yields, CPRs, CDRs, and/or severities used to price each bond. This logic is
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, credit
enhancement, and the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, loan vintage, geography, LTV ratio, FICO score,
average loan size and documentation; and/or actual collateral performance data such as CPR,
CDR, severity, loss and delinquency.
Evaluators determine the yield of a security based on factors including, but not limited to, loan
vintage, credit support, type of cashflow, collateral characteristics and deal and/or tranche
performance.
Pricing Factors
Yield, CPR, CDR, severity
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Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Student Loans
Description
Student loan ABS are secured by FFELP (or government-guaranteed) student loans or private
label student loans. These securities typically employ one of the following forms of credit
enhancement:
External credit enhancement:
o For FFELP loans, through the U.S. government’s guarantee of at least 97% of principal,
depending on the date of loan origination.
o For private label loans, through an insurance wrap.
Internal credit enhancement:
o Excess spread.
o Reserve funds.
o Over-collateralization (which refers to the parity ratio of total assets over total liabilities).
o Senior/subordinate structure.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services, structuring and research teams provide the following deal,
tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, series, subordination.
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, coupon type (fixed versus floating), and credit
enhancement.
o Historical Performance: prepayments, delinquency, excess spread.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community. The trading desk provides PricingDirect
with evaluations of actively traded student loan ABS, as well as spreads for benchmark
securities in the sector.
PricingDirect evaluators may apply rules based adjustments to their pricing and spread
assumptions, as described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
adjust spreads for securities based on factors including, but not limited to, shelf, collateral type
(FFELP or private label), capital structure, bond rating, and average life. In addition,
PricingDirect evaluators may further adjust evaluations based on factors including, but not
limited to, current and/or historical parity ratio, and student status (in school, grace period,
deferment, forbearance, repayment, claim).
Pricing Factors
Spread
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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UK and European Auto Loans, Student Loans, Consumer Loans and
Credit Cards
Description
This category includes asset-backed securities that are collateralized by automobile loans or
leases, student loans, credit card receivables and consumer loans made to borrowers across
continental Europe and in the UK. These bonds have either a fixed or a floating rate coupon and
a relatively short average life, and may be insured by a third party guarantor.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and structuring teams provide the following deal, tranche
and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: shelf, series, subordination, cross-collateralization, triggers, cashflow
waterfall, initial interest spread, reserve amount (if applicable).
o Tranche Characteristics: structure, coupon type (fixed or floating), average life, credit
enhancement, cashflow window, financial guarantee (if applicable).
o Collateral Characteristics: prime or near prime.
o Historical Performance: prepayments, delinquencies, defaults, severities.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, discount margins, and other market assumptions through actual traded
prices, and through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market assumptions about average life spreads and
discount margins for valuation.
PricingDirect evaluators may apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the average life spread and/or discount margin used in each bond’s evaluation,
based on deal and tranche characteristics such as, but not limited to, shelf, structure, original
and/or current rating, average life, cashflow waterfall and financial guarantee (if applicable).
Pricing Factors
Discount margin, or average life spread and prepayment rate
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use industry standard cashflow models as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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6. Collateralized Loan and Debt Obligations
Broadly Syndicated and Middle Market Structures (CLOs)
Small and Medium Enterprise Structures (SME CLOs)
Description
A collateralized loan obligation (CLO) is backed by portfolio of predominantly high yield loans.
The collateral varies based on the type of deal. Broadly syndicated deals consist primarily of
senior secured loans of large cap companies, while middle market deals consist of small to mid
cap company loans, for example business loans. In most cases, the collateral in CLOs is
dynamic and is managed by a collateral manager. CLO tranches and collateral may be either
fixed rate or floating rate off of a specified index. Tranches with original ratings less than AAA,
the subordinate tranches, provide credit support to the senior tranches.
PricingDirect can provide evaluations for US and European CLOs.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and structuring teams, and third party data sources,
provide the following deal, tranche and collateral information:
o Deal Characteristics: collateral manager, collateral type, deal vintage.
o Tranche Characteristics: interest coverage, market value overcollateralization,
overcollateralization cushion, PIK feature, subordination, turbo feature.
o Tranche Type: fixed/float coupon, original/current ratings.
o Collateral Characteristics: already defaulted recovery, average loan portfolio price,
defaulted assets, deal collateral type (loan type), lien concentration, structured finance
concentration, loan ratings, loan vintage, weighted average coupon, etc.
o Model Projected Performance: CPR, CDR, reinvestment profile, severity.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with prices on bid lists, offerings, and sample
bonds. They also provide current market levels for different rating ranges.
PricingDirect evaluators use cashflow models developed by the research team to create
stress vectors and other outputs, which are then used to calculate additional inputs based on
the market assumptions provided by traders, and on performance data.
o The evaluators determine spread and/or dollar price for the sample bonds, using data
received from the J.P. Morgan trading desk.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using rules based logic developed in conjunction with the trading desk, PricingDirect evaluators
may adjust the spread used to price each bond. This logic is based on deal and tranche
characteristics such as, but not limited to, coupon, structure, subordination, market value
overcollateralization, overcollateralization cushion, interest coverage test, original and current
rating, event of default language, collateral manager tiering, turbo features, weighted average life,
historical payments, and the effects of the deal triggers on the cashflow waterfall; collateral
characteristics such as, but not limited to, average collateral portfolio price, size of CCC rated
bucket, lien concentration, industry concentration, defaulted assets, and average defaulted
recovery.
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Pricing Factors
DM, yield, CPR, CDR, severity
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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7. Corporate Securities
Investment Grade Corporate Bonds
Description
Nationally recognized statistical rating organizations classify corporate debt as investment grade
when it falls within the following ranges:
Moody’s: AAA to Baa3;
S&P/Fitch: AAA to BBB-.
PricingDirect’s evaluation methodology divides investment grade corporate debt instruments into
two categories: bullet bonds and bonds with embedded options such as calls, puts, step-ups and
sinking funds. As noted below, certain details of the evaluation process differ for bullet bonds,
as compared to bonds with embedded options.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide indenture information for
investment grade bonds.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators use real time color from the above sources to construct and
maintain yield curves for each investment grade issuer. These curves may be further
differentiated by rating and seniority.
o For bullet bonds, PricingDirect evaluators use the appropriate issuer curve to price each
bond. In addition, the evaluators may maintain more generic yield curves for industry
sectors.
o For bonds with embedded options, Pricing Direct evaluators leverage a rigorously
reviewed, tested, and approved J.P. Morgan corporate bond evaluation model to calculate
the option adjusted spread (OAS) on selected benchmark issues. This model also
accounts for any market volatility.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
In order to account for differences among bonds having the same issuer, rating and seniority,
PricingDirect evaluators may adjust their spread assumptions based on coupon and/or maturity.
For each bond that is evaluated, the nominal or option adjusted spread (depending on the type
of bond) may be adjusted higher or lower based on one or both of the above factors. In addition,
spreads may be adjusted for liquidity or other similar market factors.
Pricing Factors
Nominal spread for bullet bonds, and OAS for bonds with embedded options.
Methodology
Bullet bonds are evaluated using a spread to U.S. Treasury securities. The evaluation is
based on the current profile of the bond, rather than its original classification. For example,
bonds with expired options are treated as bullet bonds.
Bonds with embedded options are evaluated using the OAS methodology.
In both cases, PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the
valuation tool. PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future
cashflows to the net present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Investment Grade Floater Bonds
Description
Nationally recognized statistical rating organizations classify corporate debt as investment grade
when it falls within the following ranges:
Moody’s: AAA to Baa3;
S&P/Fitch: AAA to BBB-.
PricingDirect’s evaluation methodology evaluates investment grade bullet corporate floater debt
instruments. We currently evaluate instruments which are indexed to 1 month Libor, 3 Month
Libor, 6 month Libor and 3 Month T-Bill. We evaluate floating rate debt instruments from
corporate issuers and supranational entities such as Fannie Mae (FNMA), Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corp (FHLMC), Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB), Federal Farm Credit Bank (FFCB),
and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD).
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide indenture information for
investment grade bonds.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators use real time color from the above sources to construct and
maintain yield curves for each investment grade issuer. These curves may be further
differentiated by rating and seniority.
o PricingDirect evaluators use the appropriate issuer curve to price each bond. In addition,
the evaluators may maintain more generic yield curves for industry sectors.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
In order to account for differences among bonds having the same issuer, rating and seniority,
PricingDirect evaluators may adjust their spread assumptions based on coupon and/or maturity.
For each bond that is evaluated, discount margin may be adjusted higher or lower based on
floating index and capital structure. In addition, spreads may be adjusted for liquidity or other
similar market factors.
Pricing Factors
Discount margin spread is used for bullet bonds.
Methodology
Floater bonds are evaluated using a discount margin spread to the underlying index. The
evaluation is based on the current profile of the bond, rather than its original classification.
For example, bonds with expired options are treated as bullet bonds.
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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High Yield Corporate Bonds
Description
Nationally recognized statistical rating organizations classify corporate debt as high yield when it
falls within the following statistical ranges:
Moody’s: Ba1 to D;
S&P/Fitch: BB+ to D.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide indenture information for high
yield bonds.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides PricingDirect with indicative prices for various liquid high yield
bonds, and also for bonds that have defaulted.
o Other market participants provide transacted prices on specific bonds and bond indices, as
well as bid lists and general market color.
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research to calculate
additional inputs based on market data and assumptions.
o The evaluators determine yields for the sample bonds, using prices received from the J.P.
Morgan trading desk.
o Using real time color obtained from the J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market
participants, PricingDirect evaluators maintain yield curves for each issuer. In addition,
these curves may be further differentiated by rating and seniority.
o If a company has defaulted, it is not possible to perform a discounted cashflow analysis on
its bonds, so PricingDirect evaluators use the trading desk price across all maturities of
bonds in each seniority bucket.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
In order to account for differences among bonds having the same issuer, rating and seniority,
PricingDirect evaluators may adjust their assumptions based on coupon, maturity and/or the
presence of embedded options. For each bond that is evaluated, the yield may be adjusted
higher or lower based on the coupon and/or maturity. For bonds with embedded options,
evaluators determine the price both with and without the option; the price without the option is
the “base price”. In the case of bonds with calls, the final evaluation is the lesser of “base price”
and “price with call”. In the case of bonds with puts, the final evaluation in the greater of “base
price” and “price with put.”
Pricing Factors
Yield
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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European Investment Grade and High Yield Corporate Bonds
European Covered Bonds
Description
PricingDirect provides evaluations for European investment grade and high yield corporate
bonds. The distinction between these two classifications may be made based on seniority, the
credit rating from a recognized statistical rating organization, market liquidity, and/or other
factors. In addition, PricingDirect provides evaluations on European covered bonds.
PricingDirect’s evaluation methodology divides European corporate debt instruments into two
categories: bullet bonds and bonds with embedded options such as calls, puts, step-ups and
sinking funds. As noted below, certain details of the evaluation process differ for bullet bonds,
as compared to bonds with embedded options.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide indenture information for
European investment grade and high yield corporate bonds, as well as covered bonds.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, z-spreads and other market assumptions through actual traded
prices, and through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators use real time z-spreads and market color from the above sources
to construct and maintain credit curves for each corporate bond issuer. These curves may be
further differentiated by country of issuance, rating, seniority and/or other factors. The
evaluators also gather additional market information from other sources in order to perform
their own quality control and consistency checks on the information provided by the desk.
o For bullet bonds, PricingDirect evaluators use the J.P. Morgan bullet corporate bond
evaluation model, and the appropriate issuer credit curve, to price each bond.
o For bonds with embedded options, PricingDirect evaluators use the J.P. Morgan
corporate bond OAS (option adjusted spread) evaluation model, and the appropriate issuer
credit curve, to price each bond.
o The evaluators may also apply rules based adjustments to their pricing assumptions, as
described below.
Rules Based Adjustments
In order to account for differences among bonds having the same issuer, rating and seniority
and/or other characteristics, PricingDirect evaluators may adjust their spread assumptions based
on one or more of such factors. For each bond that is evaluated, the z-spread or option adjusted
spread (depending on the type of bond) may be adjusted higher or lower based on one or both
of the above factors. In addition, spreads may be adjusted for liquidity or other similar market
factors.
Pricing Factors
Z-spread for bullet bonds; OAS for bonds with embedded options
Methodology
Bullet bonds are evaluated using the z-spread to the appropriate benchmark swap curve.
The evaluation is based on the current profile of the bond, rather than its original classification.
For example, bonds with expired options are treated as bullet bonds.
Bonds with embedded options are evaluated using the OAS methodology.
In both cases, PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the
valuation tool. PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future
cashflows to the net present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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Emerging Market Bonds
Description
While there is no generally accepted distinction between emerging and developed markets,
countries are classified in one of these categories largely on the basis of their sovereign rating.
Emerging market bonds, issued by either sovereign governments or emerging market
corporations, generally have lower ratings from the credit rating agencies, and are associated
with one or more inherent risks such as political uncertainty, economic uncertainty, imperfect
fundamental data or limited remedies in the event of default.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide indenture information for
emerging market sovereign and corporate bonds.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
o The trading desk provides market color, evaluations and/or actual trade data for bonds
based on their observations and trading activity.
o PricingDirect also receives information from other market participants via electronic trading
platforms such as TRACE, and/or third-party vendors. The information that PricingDirect
receives from other sources may be used to supplement the information obtained from the
J.P. Morgan trading desks, or to perform quality control on that information, or for a
combination of both.
PricingDirect evaluators use real time color from the above sources to monitor how
emerging markets bonds are being priced throughout the day. Valuation models may be run
multiple times during the day, and pricing assumptions may be adjusted based on market
conditions. Further differentiation may also be made within the emerging markets universe
based on country of risk, currency, issuer, industry, liquidity or other factors.
Rules Based Adjustments
Using all available information from the above sources, PricingDirect evaluators may adjust
prices as necessary at each valuation snapshot based on new market color and/or news items,
as well as on other factors such as movements in interest rate curves, or geopolitical events.
Pricing Factors
Yield
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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8. Money Market Instruments
Corporate and Asset-Backed CP, Repurchase Agreements (RPs),
Certificates of Deposit (CDs), and Bankers’ Acceptances (BAs)
Description
Corporate and asset-backed commercial paper (CP) is issued by institutions wishing to secure
short-term financing for their activities, including the acquisition of working capital. CP programs
can be further distinguished by how the paper is placed (dealer placed or direct issue), and by
whether or not it is asset-backed. Repurchase agreements (RPs) also allow institutions to obtain
short-term financing, and their value is dependent on the quality of the collateral used in the
transaction, as well as the seller’s credit standing (i.e., counterparty risk). Certificates of deposit
(CDs) are issued by financial institutions in order to attract deposits from other institutional
buyers. Bankers’ acceptances (BAs) are short-term instruments issued by a non-financial firm
and guaranteed by a bank.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan data services and research teams provide available information for
money market instruments.
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine prices, yields, and other market assumptions through actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators use real time color from the above sources to construct and
maintain yield curves for each type of money market program (CP, RPs, CDs, and BAs). The
evaluators use trading color to construct a “generic” curve that can be applied to a large
number of similar money market instruments within a given program. Trading color is
collected based on an appropriate set of attributes, as described below.
o For corporate and asset-backed CP, the evaluators use bid lists and other trader color to
construct curves that capture the impact of program type (dealer placed or direct issue;
asset-backed or corporate), term and issuer credit tier.
o For repurchase agreements (RPs), the evaluators use bid lists and other trader color to
construct curves that capture the impact of collateral quality and counterparty risk. A
particular repo is evaluated based upon term of the repo, collateral type and the dealer.
o For certificates of deposit (CDs), the evaluators use bid lists and other trader color to
construct curves that capture the impact of term, issuer credit tier, and bank type
(yankee/euro/domestic).
o For banker’s acceptances (BAs), the evaluators use bid lists and other trader color to
construct curves that capture the impact of term and the credit standing of the guarantor.
o In general, the curves generated by these processes will apply to a smaller number of
instruments than each program’s “generic” curves.
o For each instrument, a final curve is built that optimizes the available information from all of
the above sources.
Pricing Factors
Yield, program type, credit tier, collateral quality, counterparty risk, term, optionality, guarantor
credit risk.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
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PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the security, as the valuation technique.
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9. Interest Rate Derivatives
Interest Rate Swaps, Inflation Swaps, Cross Currency Swaps and
Forward Rate Agreements
Description
An interest rate swap is an agreement under which two counterparties agree to a periodic
exchange of cashflows for a set length of time based on a specified notional amount of principal.
One of the cashflow streams typically is based on a fixed rate set at the inception of the contract,
and the other is referenced to an interest rate index that varies over time. At each payment date,
the two rates are compared, and the difference is paid by one counterparty to the other party.
PricingDirect evaluates interest rate swaps for below currencies and has the capability to add
more currencies upon request.
Because an interest rate swap is a contract between two parties, clients provide PricingDirect
with the relevant terms and conditions of the contract. If day count information is not provided,
PricingDirect will use the standard default day count conventions for each currency.
A zero coupon interest rate swap pays only one cashflow, at the maturity of the swap.
The notional principal amount for an amortizing interest rate swap declines over the life of the
swap, based on a predetermined schedule or benchmark.
The cashflows for a multi-leg interest rate swap are reported in discrete legs, rather than being
netted together, but are financially identical to a standard interest rate swap.
A cross-currency swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange principal and fixed or
floating rate interest payments on a loan in one currency, for principal and floating or fixed rate
interest payments on an equal loan in another currency.
A single currency basis swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange principal and
interest rate payments based on a float index, for principal and interest rate payments on a
different tenor index in the same currency, plus a spread.
A forward rate agreement is a cash settled forward contract that pays only one cashflow on the
settlement date of the contract. The cashflow is based on the present value of the difference
between the contract’s rate and the reference rate determined on the fixing date, times the
notional of the contract.
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An inflation swap is a variant of an interest rate swap, in which the floating payment is based
upon a specified inflation index rather than upon a specified interest rate. PricingDirect provides
evaluations for the following types of inflation swaps:
USD, on the US Urban CPI index;
EUR, on the HICP (Eurozone CPI ex-tobacco), FCPI (France CPI ex-tobacco) , ITCPI (Italy
CPI ex-tobacco), GRCP (Germany CPI) and SPCP (Spanish CPI) indices;
GBP, on the UK RPI index; and
JPY, on the Japan Nationwide CPI index.
AUD, on the AUD CPI index
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine rates of various currencies based on actual traded prices, and through contacts
with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time, intra-day snapshots of the interest rate, currency
basis and inflation curves provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk. The interest rate curves
are built using the most actively traded securities for a given maturity, including cash and
money market instruments, futures and swap rates. In addition to access to real-time curve
snapshots, all of PricingDirect’s interest rate, currency basis and inflation curves undergo an
extensive quality control process before they are utilized for valuation. Our evaluators track
market data and news throughout the trading day to ensure that our rates are properly
capturing current market conditions.
For each snapshot throughout the day, our curves are compared to various market sources,
and tight tolerance levels are maintained to ensure a high level of quality. Once the curves
have been approved by the evaluators, another level of quality control is implemented on the
final output. Our evaluators check each individual derivative’s day-to-day price changes, to
confirm that all price deltas are consistent with the market’s movement. This process
improves the quality and independence of PricingDirect’s derivative evaluations.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
These models (1) build swap curves from the snapshots provided by the J.P. Morgan trading
desk, and (2) use those swap curves, along with other reference data, to derive valuations for
interest rate swaps, cross currency swaps, inflation swaps and forward rate agreements.
PricingDirect can evaluate interest rate swaps, inflation swaps and forward rate agreements by
discounting them to LIBOR, or by discounting them to OIS. In the case of discounting to OIS,
the J.P. Morgan trading desk marks the OIS basis to LIBOR across the term structure. OIS
rates are then generated using approximate conversion formulae to account for convention
adjustments. As a result, nominal observable data points (i.e. par coupon) will be the same
across the OIS and LIBOR curves. For valuation purposes, both projection curves and discount
curves incorporate the OIS basis, and the two curves may not necessarily be the same.
Unless instructed otherwise by our clients, the OIS methodology used by PricingDirect assumes
that the collateral to be posted will be in the same currency as the swap to be evaluated (except
for MXN, COP and BRL, as shown in the table below). OIS evaluations for major currencies will
be as follows:
Swap Currency Projection Curve OIS Discount Curve Assumed Collateral Posted
USD LIBOR Fed Funds USD
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EUR Euro LIBOR EONIA EUR
GBP Sterling LIBOR SONIA GBP
JPY Yen LIBOR TONA JPY
CAD CDOR CORRA CAD
AUD AUD-BBA AONIA AUD
NZD NZD-BB90D NZIONA NZD
SEK STIBOR SIOR SEK
MXN MXN-TIIE USD USD
COP IBR Onshore USD USD
BRL* CDI Offshore USD USD
*Using NDF methodology
Depending on clients’ specific CSA agreements, PricingDirect can also evaluate interest rate
swaps with the following discounting methodology:
Discounting curve in a different currency, which assumes the collateral will be posted
in a currency other than the swap currency; or
Cheapest to deliver (CTD), which assumes that the collateral can be posted in
multiple currencies.
The above discounting methods are available for selected currency pairings or combinations.
The CTD valuation model is developed by JP Morgan quantitative research and builds a
multi-currency cheapest to deliver curve. The CTD curve is based on the forward overnight
rates for each of the eligible single currencies, inclusive of an optionality component. As the
counterparty paying the collateral has the choice of selecting the collateral currency
throughout the life of the contract, the embedded optionality is valued based on a stochastic
model that takes into account the volatility of forward overnight rates.
PricingDirect can also evaluate non-deliverable interest rate swaps. Under the non-deliverable
methodology, the cashflows are forecasted using the non-deliverable curve (either onshore or
offshore) and then converted into deliverable currency cashflows by using NDF FX rates.
These cashflows are then discounted back to a present value using the deliverable currency
discounting curve. Depending on the deliverable/non-deliverable currency pair, PricingDirect
can use either Libor or OIS discounting.
PricingDirect offers non-deliverable interest rate swap evaluations on the below currencies
and has the capability to add more currencies upon request.
Swap Currency Projection Curve Discount Curve
BRL CDI Offshore USD
CNY CNRR007 Offshore USD
INR OIS Offshore USD
KRW KWCDC USD
MYR KLIBOR Offshore USD
THB THFX6M Offshore USD
TWD TAIBOR Offshore USD
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the net
present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Interest Rate Swaptions, Caps, Floors and Collars
Forward Starting Interest Rate Swaptions
Inflation Caps, Floors and Collars
Description
The buyer of an interest rate swaption has an option to enter into an interest rate swap
contract on a specified date in the future.
The buyer of an interest rate cap receives money at the end of each period in which the
reference interest rate exceeds the agreed strike rate.
The buyer of an interest rate floor receives money at the end of each period in which the
reference interest rate is below the agreed strike rate.
An investor enters into an interest rate collar by simultaneously buying (selling) an interest
rate cap and selling (buying) an interest rate floor, each of which has an identical index,
maturity and notional principal amount.
PricingDirect evaluates swaptions, caps and floors for the following currencies: USD, EUR,
GBP, JPY and AUD, and has the capability to add more currencies upon request.
A forward starting interest rate swaption is a variant of an interest rate swaption in which
there is a lag between the swaption’s expiration date and the start date of the underlying swap.
PricingDirect provides valuations for USD forward starting interest rate swaptions.
An inflation cap, floor or collar is a variant of an interest rate cap, floor or collar, in which
the floating payment of the underlying contract is based upon a specific inflation index rather
than upon a specified interest rate. PricingDirect provides evaluations for the following types
of inflations caps, floors or collars:
USD, on the US Urban CPI index;
EUR, on the HICP (Eurozone CPI ex-tobacco), FCPI (France CPI ex-tobacco) , ITCPI (Italy
CPI ex-tobacco), GRCP (Germany CPI) and SPCP (Spanish CPI) indices; and
GBP, on the UK RPI index
JPY, on the Japan Nationwide CPI index.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine rates and volatilities of various currencies based on actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time, intra-day snapshots of the interest rate curves
and volatilities provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk. Additionally, in the case of
forward starting interest rate swaptions, PricingDirect evaluators capture the correlation of
the underlying swap pairs provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk. The interest rate
curves are built using the most actively traded securities for a given maturity, including
cash and money market instruments, futures and swap rates. In addition to access to real-
time curve snapshots, all of PricingDirect’s interest rate and inflation curves undergo an
extensive quality control process before they are utilized for valuation. Our evaluators
track market data and news throughout the trading day to ensure that our rates are
properly capturing current market conditions.
For each snapshot throughout the day, our curves are compared to various market sources,
and tight tolerance levels are maintained to ensure a high level of quality. Once the curves
have been approved by the evaluators, another level of quality control is implemented on
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the final output. Our evaluators check each individual derivative’s day-to-day price
changes, to confirm that price movement is consistent with change in underlier’s rate and
with change in volatility.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
These models (1) build swap curves from the snapshots provided by the J.P. Morgan trading
desk, and (2) build the volatility cube, which represents different volatilities for skews (in-the-
money, at-the-money, and out-of-the-money) based on expiration, underlier’s maturity and
strike. As the valuation tool, PricingDirect evaluators run a SABR model developed by J.P.
Morgan research that uses these curves and volatilities to derive evaluations for interest rate
swaptions, caps and floors.
PricingDirect can evaluate interest rate swaptions, caps and floors by discounting them to
LIBOR, or by discounting them to OIS. In the case of discounting to OIS, the J.P. Morgan
trading desk marks the OIS basis to LIBOR across the term structure. OIS rates are then
generated using approximate conversion formulae to account for convention adjustments. As
a result, nominal observable data points (i.e. par coupon) will be the same across the OIS and
LIBOR curves. For valuation purposes, both projection curves and discount curves
incorporate the OIS basis, and the two curves may not necessarily be the same. Unless
instructed otherwise by our clients, the OIS methodology used by PricingDirect assumes that
the collateral to be posted will be in the same currency as the swap to be evaluated.
OIS evaluations will be as follows:
Swap Currency Projection Curve OIS Discount Curve Assumed Collateral Posted
USD LIBOR Fed Funds USD
EUR Euro LIBOR EONIA EUR
GBP Sterling LIBOR SONIA GBP
JPY Yen LIBOR TONA JPY
AUD AUD-BBA AONIA AUD
Depending on clients’ specific CSA agreements, PricingDirect can also evaluate interest rate
swaptions, caps and floors with the following discounting methodology:
Cheapest to deliver, which assumes that the collateral can be posted in multiple
currencies; or
Discounting curve in a different currency, which assumes the collateral will be posted
in a currency other than the swap currency.
The above discounting methods are available for selected currency combinations or pairings.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the
net present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Hybrid Structures
Description
A cancellable swap is a variant of an interest rate swap, in which one of the parties has the
option to terminate the swap on one or more predetermined dates prior to the swap’s
maturity.
PricingDirect provides evaluations for USD cancellable swaps and has the capability to add
other currencies upon request.
A limited price inflation (LPI) swap is a variant of an inflation swap, in which the floating
payment is capped and/or floored at pre-determined reference inflation rate levels that are
agreed upon at the inception of the swap.
PricingDirect provides evaluations for LPI swaps that are based on the UK RPI index.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine rates and volatilities of various currencies based on actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time, intra-day snapshots of the interest rate curves,
inflation curves and volatilities provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk. These curves are
built using the most actively traded securities for a given maturity, including cash and
money market instruments, Eurodollar futures and swap rates. In addition to access to
real-time curve snapshots, all of PricingDirect’s swap curves undergo an extensive quality
control process before they are utilized for valuation. Our evaluators track market data and
news throughout the trading day to ensure that our rates are properly capturing current
market conditions.
For each snapshot throughout the day, our curves are compared to various market sources,
and tight tolerance levels are maintained to ensure a high level of quality. Once the curves
have been approved by the evaluators, another level of quality control is implemented on
the final output. Our evaluators check each individual derivative’s day-to-day price
changes, to confirm that price movement is consistent with change in underlier’s rate and
with change in volatility.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use models developed by J.P. Morgan research as the valuation tool.
These models (1) build swap curves from the snapshots provided by the J.P. Morgan trading
desk, and (2) build the volatility cube, which represents different volatilities for skews (in-the-
money, at-the-money, and out-of-the-money) based on expiration, underlier’s maturity and
strike. For deriving evaluations on the option component of these instruments, PricingDirect
evaluators run a SABR model developed by J.P. Morgan research that uses swap curves and
volatilities.
PricingDirect can evaluate cancellable swaps and limited price inflation swaps by discounting
them to LIBOR, or by discounting them to OIS. In the case of discounting to OIS, the J.P.
Morgan trading desk marks the OIS basis to LIBOR across the term structure. OIS rates are
then generated using approximate conversion formulae to account for convention adjustments.
As a result, nominal observable data points (i.e. par coupon) will be the same across the OIS
and LIBOR curves. For valuation purposes, both projection curves and discount curves
incorporate the OIS basis, and the two curves may not necessarily be the same. Unless
instructed otherwise by our clients, the OIS methodology used by PricingDirect assumes that
the collateral to be posted will be in the same currency as the swap to be evaluated.
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OIS evaluations for hybrid instruments will be as follows:
Instrument Projection Curve OIS Discount Curve Assumed Collateral Posted
USD Cancellable Swap LIBOR Fed Funds USD
UK LPI UK RPI Inflation SONIA GBP
Depending on clients’ specific CSA agreements, PricingDirect can also evaluate cancellable
swaps with the following discounting methodology:
Cheapest to deliver, which assumes that the collateral can be posted in multiple
currencies; or
Discounting curve in a different currency, which assumes the collateral will be posted
in a currency other than the swap currency.
The above discounting methods are available for selected currency combinations or pairings.
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the
net present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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10. Credit Derivatives
Credit Default Swaps (Single Name CDS)
Description
A credit default swap (CDS) is used to transfer the credit risk of an underlying entity—called
the “reference entity”—from one party to another. It is a bilateral contract between two parties,
one of which is the protection buyer and the other of which is the protection seller. The
protection buyer pays a fixed coupon to the protection seller at a predetermined frequency, for
a specified notional amount of protection.
In case of a default event, the protection seller pays the protection buyer the notional amount
of the protection (par), while the protection buyer delivers debt obligations of the reference
entity to the protection seller. In practice, most contracts are settled in cash, and the amounts
exchanged are netted. Since defaulted debt by definition trades below par, the difference
between par and the value of the reference obligation implicitly defines the “recovery rate”, or
the percent of par at which the bonds are valued after default.
The client provides PricingDirect with the following terms and conditions of the CDS contract:
Credit name Reference obligation Currency
Coupon Start date Maturity date
Buyer/Seller Restructuring type Seniority
There are several additional fields such as day count, pay frequency, ISDA definition clause
and notional amount, that can either be provided by the client, or for which PricingDirect will
use default values.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine spreads of various credit names based on actual traded prices, and through
contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time updates from the J.P. Morgan trading desk on
credit spreads and curves for issuers throughout the day via emails and database. The
evaluators maintain credit curves and recovery rates for these issuers, which may vary
depending on the restructuring convention and the position in the capital structure. The
curves are monitored throughout the day to adjust for changes in the market. The
evaluators also actively monitor other sources of macroeconomic news on their respective
sectors throughout the day. In addition, the evaluators may calculate additional inputs
based on actual data, spread information from the trading desk and market assumptions.
Pricing Factors
Credit spreads, recovery rates, interest rate curves.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use a CDS evaluation model that is developed and supported by the
J.P. Morgan quantitative research team. Conditional default probabilities are modeled as a
continuous curve from observable market spreads.
The issuer credit curve, which is the major factor in an evaluation, is dependent on market
quotes. For issuers with multiple debt structures,restructuring types, settlement currencies
and/or ISDA definition clauses, PricingDirect maintains multiple credit curves and assigns an
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appropriate curve to each swap. In addition, PricingDirect evaluators monitor the market
throughout the day to capture issuer-specific changes, which are incorporated in the
evaluations. The traders assign recovery rates to each issuer according to the current credit
standing of the entity in the marketplace.
The CDS evaluation model determines default probabilities from the issuer credit curves.
Both default probabilities and recovery rates are used to evaluate each swap, and cash
settlement is assumed. The CDS evaluation model determines the appropriate cashflows for
both legs of the swap (based on default probability and recovery rate for the contingent leg,
and based on survival probability for the premium leg).
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the
net present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Credit Default Swap Indices (CDSI)
Description
A credit default swap index (CDSI) is a standard portfolio of weighted single name credit
default swaps. It provides default protection on each single name contract in the underlying
portfolio. The protection buyer makes fixed quarterly payments to the protection seller for the
duration of the contract or until all the constituents of the index are subject to a credit event.
The names that are part of the index are usually equally weighted. The most common and
liquid maturities are five, three, seven and ten years. A new “on-the-run” index is launched
every six months; the new index tends to be the most liquid, but older indices continue to
trade as “off-the-run”. Once an index is created, its content remains static over time, except
for removals due to credit events.
PricingDirect supports evaluation of CDS indices for US, Europe and Asia in investment grade,
high volatility, high yield, crossover, loan CDS, muni CDS and emerging markets.
The client provides PricingDirect with the following terms and conditions of the CDS index
contract:
Index name Reference Code Currency
Coupon Start date Maturity date
Buyer/Seller
There are several additional default fields used by PricingDirect such as day count, pay
frequency and notional amount.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine credit index spreads based on actual traded prices, and through contacts with
the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time updates from the J.P. Morgan trading desk on
both on-the-run and off-the-run index curves throughout the day via emails and database.
The evaluators maintain credit curves for the indices according to their standard maturity
and recovery rates. The curves are monitored throughout the day to adjust for changes in
the market. The evaluators also actively monitor other sources of macroeconomic news
throughout the day, as well as specific news concerning credit names that are part of each
index. In addition, the evaluators may calculate additional inputs based on actual data,
spread information from the trading desk and/or market assumptions.
Pricing Factors
Credit index spreads, recovery rates, interest rate curves
Methodology
The PricingDirect evaluation process for credit default swap indices is very similar to that of
single-name credit default swaps, except that there is an independent market for each product
(CDS and CDSI).
PricingDirect evaluators use a CDS evaluation model that is developed and supported by the
J.P. Morgan quantitative research team. Conditional default probabilities are modeled as a
continuous curve from observable market spreads.
The CDS model determines default probabilities from the index-specific credit curves. Both
default probabilities and recovery rates are used to evaluate the swap, and cash settlement is
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assumed. The evaluation model determines the appropriate cashflows for both legs of the
swap (based on default probability and recovery rate for the contingent leg, and based on
survival probability for the premium leg).
PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the
net present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Credit Default Swap Index Tranches (CDSI Tranches)
Description
A standard synthetic CDSI tranche is a bilateral, over-the-counter credit derivative contract
that transfers a portion of the credit risk of an index (a portfolio of single-name credit default
swaps) from the protection buyer to the protection seller. The protection buyer pays the seller
a periodic premium in return for credit protection. The premium payments as well as the credit
protection continue until the transaction matures or until the notional amount of the tranche is
fully written down by losses.
Standard tranches mature on the maturity date of the underlying index. The contract specifies
a range of credit losses in the portfolio referenced by the tranche and risk transference is
limited to losses in a specified band. The band is defined by the attachment and detachment
points. These points represent the losses as a percentage of the reference portfolio notional
amount.
PricingDirect supports evaluation of CDSI tranches for CDX IG, CDX HY, LCDX, iTraxx Main
and iTraxx Crossover,
The client provides PricingDirect with the following terms and conditions of the CDSI tranche
contract:
Index name Reference Code Currency
Coupon Start date Maturity date
Buyer/Seller Attachment Point Dettachment Point
There are several additional default fields used by PricingDirect such as day count, pay
frequency and notional amount.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine spreads on underlying credit names based on actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time updates from the J.P. Morgan trading desk on
credit spreads and both on-the-run and off-the-run index curves throughout the day via
emails and database. The evaluators maintain credit curves for the indices and underlying
single names according to their standard maturity and recovery rates. The curves are
monitored throughout the day to adjust for changes in the market. The evaluators also
actively monitor other sources of macroeconomic news throughout the day, as well as
specific news concerning credit names that are part of each index. In addition, the
evaluators may calculate additional inputs based on actual data, spread information from
the trading desk and/or market assumptions.
Pricing Factors
Single name spreads, recovery rates, tranche base correlations, interest rate curves
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use a base correlation model that is developed and supported by the
J.P. Morgan quantitative research team.
Base correlations are derived from market spreads through a bootstrapping process using a
stochastic recovery Copula model. Base correlations, spreads and recovery rates of
underlying credit names are then used to evaluate the swap.
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PricingDirect evaluators use the income approach, which discounts future cashflows to the
net present value of the derivative, as the valuation technique.
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Credit Default Swap Index Options (CDSI Options)
Description
A credit default swap index option is an option to buy or sell CDS protection on a specified
reference entity at a fixed spread/price (the strike) on a specified future date. A call option
gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to enter into a long risk CDS contact (receive
strike spread/price). A put option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to enter into
a short risk CDS contact (pay strike spread/price).
Index options do not “knock-out” if there is a credit event on an underlying name. In this case,
the contract remains on the original series that includes the name that experienced a credit
event. At expiration, the option buyer will exercise the option on the “old” index (with the
defaulted name), the defaulted name will be triggered by the buyer of protection, and the
index will then become the current index after the defaulted name is removed.
PricingDirect evaluates CDSI options with a European-style expiry on both on-the-run and off-
the-run CDX and iTraxx indices.
The client provides PricingDirect with the following terms and conditions of the CDSI option
contract:
Index name Reference Code Currency
Index Start date Index Maturity date Option Expiry
Strike Option Type (Put/Call) Long/Short Option
There are several additional default fields used by PricingDirect such as index coupon, pay
frequency, day count convention and notional amount.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market
to determine spreads and volatilities of various indices based on actual traded prices, and
through contacts with the broker-dealer community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time updates from the J.P. Morgan trading desk on
index spreads and volatilities throughout the day via emails or database. For each index,
the evaluators maintain spread curve and volatility matrix based on standard expiry dates
and strikes. The spreads and volatility matrices are monitored throughout the day to adjust
for changes in the market. The evaluators also actively monitor throughout the day other
sources of macroeconomic news, as well as specific news concerning credit names that
are part of the index.
Pricing Factors
Credit index spreads, volatility matrix, interest rate curves
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators use a valuation model that is developed and supported by JP
Morgan’s quantitative research team. The model used is a Black-76 model that relies on
lognormal distribution of spreads at maturity. The forward CDS spread is adjusted upward to
account for the no knock-out feature, since an index option offers protection from the day of
the trade as opposed to the forward that only offers protection from the option expiry.
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Bond Forwards
Description
The bond forward is the contract between two parties at a given price and on a given date.
The client provides a date in the future and a strike price.
Methodology
PricingDirect evaluators uses a valuation model to calculate forward price based upon spot
price as described in the methodology book in various sections and financing rate.
Bond Total return Swaps
Description
The total return swaps are a derivative instrument in which without owning the underlying
bond you get the exposure underlying return of the bond.
Methodology
The total return swap is calculated based upon starting price(strike). PricingDirect can provide
evaluations based upon one or two legs. One leg would provide capital gain and accrued
interest and other leg would provide financing cost.
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11. Mortgage Synthetic
IOS/POS/MBX Total Return Swaps
Description A total return swap (TRS) allows the party holding the swap to receive any income generated, in the form of interest payments and potential asset appreciation, by the underlying asset. The TRS underlying asset in this case are either an Interest-Only Synthetic (IOS), Principal-Only Synthetic (POS) or Mortgage-Backed Synthetic (MBX) indices.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk has access to the market to determine spreads/prices on
the indices based on actual traded prices.
Markit provides access to the (i) reset index prices based on the closing prices submitted
from their dealer contributors, and (ii) reset index factors.
Pricing Factors
Current Index Price
o This is the underlying asset price obtained each valuation day from a 3pm EST
snapshot provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk.
Reset Index Factor
o This is the underlying asset factor one NY business day prior to the 12th of each month.
Reset Index Price
o This is the underlying asset final closing price one NY business day prior to the 12th of
each month.
Reset 1 Month LIBOR Rate
o This is the 1M LIBOR rate one NY business day prior to the 12th of each month.
Index Coupon
o This is the net coupon of the underlying asset.
Original Trade Notional
o This is the original face trade size of the swap. In the absence of any original face trade
size provided by the client, PricingDirect will use $1 million.
Methodology
PricingDirect IOS, POS and MBX TRS valuations are a difference between the Reset Index Price and Current Index Price plus the addition of an interest and financing component for a given valuation time horizon.
The interest component is the fixed interest amount calculated from the Reset Date to the date on which PricingDirect provides the related valuation (Index Coupon x Original Trade Notional x Reset Index Factor) which the TRS buyer receives from the TRS seller. The financing component is calculated for the period between the Reset Date and the date on which PricingDirect provides the related valuation (Reset 1 Month LIBOR Rate x Reset Index Price x Original Trade Notional x Reset Index Factor), which the TRS buyer pays to the TRS seller. The “Reset Date” means the date that occurs one NY business day prior to the 12
th of each month.
The new accrual period will begin on the 12th of each month. The Reset Index Price for the new
accrual period will use the closing price provided by Markit on the Reset Date. PricingDirect calculates the TRS valuation on a daily basis based on the pricing components as described above.
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12. Foreign Exchange Derivatives
Forwards, Non-Deliverable Forwards, Average Rate Forwards,
Double Average Rate Forwards, Average Strike Forwards,
Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Digital Options, Barrier Options,
Basket Options, Basket Average Options, Touch Options,
Average Strike Options, Double Average Options, Swaps,
Variance Swaps, Volatility Swaps
Description
An FX forward is an agreement to purchase or sell a set amount of a foreign currency at a
specified price for settlement at a predetermined future date. The two parties will physically
exchange the currencies on the settlement date. In an FX non-deliverable forward, netting of
profit/loss on the contract rather than physical exchange will occur on the settlement date.
An FX average rate forward is a forward whose payoff is determined by the average value of
the spot rates of an underlying asset on a specific set of dates prior to maturity.
An FX double average rate forward is an average rate forward whose strike is set equal to the
average value of the underlying asset on a specific set of dates prior to the payout date.
An FX average strike forward is a forward whose strike is set equal to the average value of the
underlying asset on a specific set of dates prior to the payout date.
An FX vanilla option is a derivative financial instrument that grants the owner the right but not
the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency, at a
predetermined exchange rate on a specified date.
An FX Asian option is an option whose payoff depends on the average value of the spot rates
of an underlying asset over a specified period.
An FX digital option is a type of exotic option whose payoff is either a specified amount or
nothing at all, depending on whether the underlying asset exceeds a predetermined threshold.
An FX barrier option is a type of exotic option whose payoff depends on whether the underlying
asset reaches or exceeds a predetermined price; there can be a single barrier or a double
barrier.
An FX basket option is a type of exotic option whose underlying asset is a weighted sum of
different assets.
An FX basket average option is a type of exotic option whose payoff depends on the average
of the underlying basket.
An FX no-touch, one-touch or double-touch option is a type of digital option whose payoff
depends on whether the price of the underlying asset reaches, or does not reach, one or two of
the predetermined barrier levels.
An FX average strike option is an option whose strike is set equal to the average value of the
underlying asset on a specific set of days prior to the payout date.
An FX double average option is an Asian option whose strike is set equal to the average value
of the underlying asset on a specific set of dates prior to the payout date.
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An FX swap is a simultaneous purchase and sale of identical amounts of one currency for
another with two different value dates (normally spot to forward).
An FX variance swap is a type of volatility swap for which the payout is linear to variance rather
than volatility.
An FX volatility swap is a forward contract on the future realized volatility of a given underlying
asset.
PricingDirect provides extensive coverage of the above options, swaps and forwards in a large
number of major and minor currencies, including the core currencies and others from Europe,
the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine yields of various currencies, the FX spot and forward curves, FX volatilities, and
interest rates based on actual traded prices, and through contacts with the broker-dealer
community.
PricingDirect evaluators capture real-time, intra-day snapshots of the interest rate curves,
FX spot, forward curves provided by the J.P. Morgan trading desk. The interest rate curves
are built using the most actively traded securities for a given maturity, including cash and
money market instruments, futures and swap rates. In addition to access to real-time curve
snapshots, all of PricingDirect’s interest rate and forward curves and volatility surfaces
undergo an extensive quality control process before they are utilized for valuation. Our
evaluators track market data and news throughout the trading day to ensure that our rates
properly capture current market conditions.
For each snapshot throughout the day, our curves are compared to various market sources,
and tight tolerance levels are maintained to ensure a high level of quality. Once the curves
have been approved by the evaluators, another level of quality control is implemented on the
final output. Our evaluators check each individual derivative’s day-to-day price changes, to
confirm that all price deltas are consistent with the market’s movement.
Methodology
The J.P. Morgan FX derivatives quantitative research (QR) group has developed a set of models for pricing vanilla and exotic products. For European vanilla FX options, PricingDirect uses the Garman Kohlhagen pricing model, which is mathematically identical to the variation of Black Scholes for options on a dividend-paying stock (Black-Scholes-Merton), only the stock’s continuous dividend yield now represents the foreign currency’s continuously compounded risk-free rate. Many exotic FX options (such as single and double barrier options, one touch, no touch, double one touch and double no touch options) are priced using a stochastic local volatility model with a stochastic interest rate adjustment. The stochastic interest rate adjustment is calculated by modeling the two interest rates using a Hull-White model. This allows the model to separate FX spot volatility and interest rate volatility (as opposed to modeling forward volatility alone). At expiration barrier options are priced through a technique known as vanilla replication, i.e. as a portfolio of vanilla options.
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13. Equity Derivatives
Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Barrier Options,
Variance Swaps, Callable Total Return Swaps
Description
An equity vanilla option is a derivative financial instrument that grants the owner the right but
not the obligation to purchase (call) or sell (put) an equity instrument (single name or index), at a
predetermined strike on or before a specified date.
An equity Asian option is an option whose payoff depends on the average value of an
underlying equity over a specified period.
An equity barrier option is a type of exotic option whose payoff depends on whether the
underlying asset reaches or exceeds a predetermined price.
An equity variance swap is a derivative financial instrument whose payoff depends on the
difference between the realized variance of the returns on the underlying asset and the strike.
All of the above instruments can be priced on a single name or an index underlying.
An equity total return swap is a derivative financial instrument in which one party makes regular
payments based on a set rate or index, while the other party makes payments that are based on
the performance of an underlying asset.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine equity spot and forward prices, equity volatilities and interest rates.
Methodology
The J.P. Morgan equity derivatives quantitative research (QR) group has developed a set of
models for pricing vanilla and exotic products. For pricing European index equity vanilla options,
PricingDirect uses the variation of the Black-Scholes formula that was devised for a dividend-
paying stock. The model uses continuous dividend yield, which is reflected in the forward price of
the underlying instrument. For pricing American options, the tree model is used with discrete
dividends.
The pricing of equity total return swaps entails pricing both the asset and the financing legs. The
model calculates the total return of the equity leg up to the valuation date and the accrued
interest for the funding leg.
A closed form Black-Scholes model is used for pricing Asian options, while a finite difference
model with local volatility is used for barrier options. PricingDirect equity derivatives evaluators
use the same proprietary models and equity data that are employed by the J.P. Morgan equity
derivatives trading desk.
The variance swap is priced using ClosedFormIntegrateLN model. The model decomposes the
payoff of the variance swap into a weighted sum of calls and puts which are priced using Black-
Scholes model mentioned above.
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14. Commodity Derivatives
Vanilla Options, Asian Options, Basket Options,
Basket Average Options, Forwards, Swaps, Basis Swaps,
Spread Swaps, Callable Total Return Swaps
Description
A commodity vanilla option is a derivative financial instrument that grants the owner the right
but not the obligation to purchase (call) or sell (put) an underlying commodity at a predetermined
strike on a specified date.
A commodity Asian option is an option whose payoff depends on the average value of an
underlying commodity over a specified period.
A commodity basket option is a type of exotic option whose underlying asset is a weighted sum
or average of different commodities.
A commodity basket average option is a type of basket option for which the underlying
commodities are averaged over a specified set of fixing dates.
A commodity forward is an agreement to purchase (call) or sell (put) a set amount of a
commodity at a specific price for settlement at a predetermined future date.
A commodity swap is an agreement between two parties whereby a floating (or market or spot)
price based on an underlying commodity is exchanged for a fixed price over a specified period.
The floating price is the average price of the underlying commodity over a series of
predetermined fixings, whereas the fixed price is determined at the inception of the trade. The
swap may have a single settlement date or a series of settlement dates.
A commodity basis swap is an agreement between two parties whereby the first party pays the
second party the price of a commodity, and the second party pays the first party the price of a
different commodity, plus a spread.
A commodity spread swap is an agreement between two parties whereby a floating (or market
or spot) price based on the difference between the prices of two underlying commodities is
exchanged for a fixed price over a specified period.
A commodity variance swap is a derivative financial instrument whose payoff depends on the
difference between the realized variance of the returns on the underlying asset and the strike.
A commodity total return swap is a derivative financial instrument in which one party makes
regular payments based on a set rate or index, while the other party makes payments that are
based on the performance of an underlying asset.
Inputs
The J.P. Morgan trading desk and other market participants have access to the market to
determine commodity spot and forward prices, commodity volatilities and interest rates.
Methodology
The J.P. Morgan commodities quantitative research (QR) group has developed a set of models
for pricing exchange listed and OTC commodity options. PricingDirect provides evaluations on
commodity derivatives for which the underlying is either energy (various oil benchmarks as well
as non-oil commodities), base metals, precious metals or an index. PricingDirect commodity
derivative evaluators use the same proprietary models and market data that are employed by the
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J.P. Morgan commodities trading desk. For commodity options, PricingDirect uses the Black-76
model, in which the spot price of the underlying is replaced by the futures price.
At each valuation snapshot, a swap’s forward price is marked by traders either from a market
quote or from the trader’s estimate. The trader’s estimate may be based upon, but not limited to,
one or more of the following: a mark that is flat to a previous trade, a spread to a benchmark, a
linear combination of benchmarks, and/or adjustments based upon seasonal or annual spreads.
The swap’s fixing is obtained from the appropriate publication source for each commodity.
For commodity variance swap, the model supports both fixed underlying futures contract and
rolling underlying futures contract. Fixed contract variance swap is priced using vanilla
replication. Floating prompt variance swap is priced using N-factor mean reverting model.
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15. ASC Topic 820
FASB ASC Topic 820 (formerly FAS 157) is a statement by the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (“FASB”) that defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in
GAAP, and specifies the requirements for disclosures about fair value measurements. This
statement was developed by FASB in order to increase consistency and comparability in fair
value measurements, and is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning
after November 15, 2007 and their interim periods.1 PricingDirect has prepared this Evaluation
Methodology booklet in order to assist clients in determining and disclosing the requisite fair
value measurements.
PricingDirect has developed a methodology that relies on information from J.P. Morgan trading
desks and research, other market participants including our clients, electronic trading platforms
such as TRACE, and/or third-party data vendors to provide market intelligence. In order to
create a reliable, systematic and scalable process, PricingDirect has classified the instruments it
evaluates into over 40 broad asset classes, and over 500 more detailed sub-sectors. Within
each of these asset classes, we have developed methodologies that allow us to utilize available
market information to evaluate the full universe of securities. Though the details of the
evaluation methodology may be different for each asset class, PricingDirect’s generic evaluation
methodology includes the following steps:
Trader Input: For all asset classes, PricingDirect receives information about traded
securities and evaluations of benchmark securities directly from the J.P. Morgan trading
desks. For most asset classes, PricingDirect also receives information from other market
participants including our clients, electronic trading platforms such as TRACE, and/or third-
party data vendors. The J.P. Morgan trading desks are direct market participants who trade
in their asset class every business day and commit capital to support markets. PricingDirect
treats their evaluations as the market level, and does not describe how the traders determine
their evaluations since they are the market makers. The traders may use models while
trading.
Traders provide PricingDirect with evaluations for actively traded securities, i.e., those
securities that are very liquid such as government securities, TBA mortgages, certain agency
CMOs, and benchmark securities in other asset classes, including securities whose issuers
are in the news. All such evaluations of actively traded securities contain information and
intelligence that can be used to evaluate less actively traded securities. The information that
PricingDirect receives from other sources may be used to supplement the information
obtained from the J.P. Morgan trading desks, or to perform quality control procedures on that
information, or for a combination of both.
Quality Control on Trader Input: The trader input is treated as sample input from market
participants. PricingDirect evaluators may perform quality control tests on prices obtained
from the trading desk and/or other sources, using established principles and procedures.
Some sample evaluations are not used in the methodology development, but are used
instead for out-of-sample testing. As a result of these quality control procedures, evaluators
may adjust the prices that PricingDirect receives from its sources for certain securities.
Calculated Input: J.P. Morgan research has developed state-of-the-art analytical models
and statistical techniques, which may be used to determine the underlying evaluation factors
(e.g., spreads, credit curves, forward curves, prepayment speeds). For example,
PricingDirect evaluators may use mortgage prepayment and default models to determine
projected prepayment speeds and default rates for mortgage-backed securities.
Rules Based Adjustments: The securities in each asset class are grouped by security
characteristics and/or performance. PricingDirect evaluators, in conjunction with the trading
1 Please note that PricingDirect does not provide advice regarding FASB ASC Topic 820 or any other accounting, regulatory or legal
advice.
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desk, develop rules based logic to evaluate such groups of securities. Starting with the bonds
evaluated by traders, they may adjust the pricing factors so that they can evaluate other
securities in the same asset class. This methodology uses market observable input from both
traders and evaluators based on historical data and current market conditions. These inputs
may reflect relative differences among evaluation factors or adjustments for specific
characteristics of securities within an asset class.
Evaluation Models: PricingDirect evaluates the remaining securities in each asset class
using the previously established evaluation factors and the NPV or OAS models developed by
J.P. Morgan research.
Out-of-Sample Testing: PricingDirect tests out-of-sample evaluations to ensure that the
evaluation methodology is optimal for all securities. This process is repetitive and dynamic,
and requires frequent analysis by PricingDirect’s evaluators to ensure that we deliver market-
based valuations.
Refinements: Current offerings, actual transactions and prior evaluations are monitored in
order to continually refine the evaluation methodology. As securities change over time, our
evaluation methodology may be adjusted to be consistent with current conditions. For
example, corporate bond evaluations reflect the impact of any ratings downgrades, while
evaluations of CMOs reflect the current cashflow profile of each tranche, so a “busted PAC”
would be evaluated as a sequential bond.
Quality Control on Output: Prior to each delivery, PricingDirect evaluators perform multiple
quality control procedures on final output, including tests for “stale” prices and validation of
day-to-day price changes. For derivative instruments, additional controls are performed on
volatility inputs, swap curves, currency exchange rates and other factors, including model
output such as DV01.
Mean Pricing: PricingDirect provides bid, mean and offer evaluations for fixed income
securities. For each fixed income asset class, PricingDirect has developed mean pricing
methodologies that account for the unique trading characteristics of that asset class.
Depending on the asset class, the methodology may incorporate dollar duration, spread
duration, average life, dollar price spread, or a combination of these and other factors. With
regards to our derivatives pricing, we provide a mid-market evaluation, which is market
convention.
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16. Summary: PricingDirect Product Coverage
GOVERNMENT AND SUPRANATIONAL SECURITIES
U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCY DEBENTURES AND SUPRANATIONALS U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCY AND SUPRANATIONAL STRIPS
EUROPEAN SOVEREIGNS AND SUPRANATIONALS
MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES
TO BE ANNOUNCED SECURITIES (TBAS) STIPULATED TO BE ANNOUNCED SECURITIES ( STIP TBAS) OPTIONS ON TO BE ANNOUNCED SECURITIES (TBA OPTIONS)
FIXED-RATE PASS-THROUGH CERTIFICATES (SPECIFIED POOLS) ADJUSTABLE-RATE MORTGAGE SECURITIES (ARMS) SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION POOLS (SBAS)
STRUCTURED AGENCY MORTGAGE IO/PO AGENCY MORTGAGE INVERSE IO COLLATERALIZED MORTGAGE OBLIGATIONS (CMOS)
COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (CMBS) DELEGATED UNDERWRITING AND SERVICING POOLS (DUS)
GNMA PROJECT LOAN SECURITIES
HARD-TO-VALUE SECURITIES (HTV)
NON-AGENCY RMBS RESECURITIZATIONS PRIME JUMBO AND ALT-A FIXED / ARM AND PAYMENT OPTION ARM CMOS (SUBORDINATES)
SUBPRIME MORTGAGE-BACKED CMOS (SUBORDINATES) MANUFACTURED HOUSING
ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES
AUTOS CREDIT CARDS
STUDENT LOANS
COLLATERALIZED LOAN AND DEBT OBLIGATIONS
BROADLY SYNDICATED AND MIDDLE MARKET STRUCTURES (CLOS) SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISE STRUCTURES (SME CLOS)
CORPORATE SECURITIES
INVESTMENT GRADE CORPORATE BONDS
HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BONDS EMERGING MARKET BONDS
NON-US SECURITIES
EUROPEAN SOVEREIGNS AND SUPRANATIONALS EUROPEAN INVESTMENT GRADE, HIGH YIELD AND COVERED BONDS
EUROPEAN PRIME AND NON-PRIME MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (MBS) UK MBS (PRIME, NON-CONFORMING, BUY-TO-LET) AUSTRALIAN MBS
EUROPEAN CLOS AND SME CLOS UK AND EUROPEAN AUTO LOANS, STUDENT LOANS, CONSUMER LOANS AND CREDIT CARDS
MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS
CORPORATE AND ASSET-BACKED CP
REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS (RPS) CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT (CDS) BANKERS’ ACCEPTANCES (BAS)
INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES INTEREST RATE SWAPS, INFLATION SWAPS AND FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS
FORWARD STARTING INTEREST RATE SWAPTIONS INTEREST RATE SWAPTIONS, CAPS, FLOOR AND COLLARS INFLATION CAPS, FLOORS AND COLLARS
HYBRID STRUCTURES
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CREDIT DERIVATIVES CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS (SINGLE NAME CDS)
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP INDICES (CDSI) CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP INDEX TRANCHES (CDSI TRANCHES) CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP INDEX OPTIONS (CDSI OPTIONS)
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS ON ABS (ABS/CDS) CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS ON ABS INDICES (ABS/CDS INDICES)
MORTGAGE SYNTHETIC
IOS/POS/MBX TOTAL RETURN SWAPS
FOREIGN EXCHANGE DERIVATIVES FORWARDS
NON-DELIVERABLE FORWARDS AVERAGE RATE FORWARDS DOUBLE AVERAGE RATE FORWARDS
AVERAGE STRIKE FORWARDS VANILLA OPTIONS ASIAN OPTIONS
DIGITAL OPTIONS BARRIER OPTIONS (SINGLE AND DOUBLE) BASKET OPTIONS
BASKET AVERAGE OPTIONS NO-TOUCH, ONE-TOUCH AND DOUBLE-TOUCH OPTIONS AVERAGE STRIKE OPTIONS
DOUBLE AVERAGE OPTIONS SWAPS VARIANCE SWAPS
VOLATILITY SWAPS CROSS-CURRENCY SWAPS
EQUITY DERIVATIVES
VANILLA OPTIONS ASIAN OPTIONS
BARRIER OPTIONS VARIANCE SWAPS CALLABLE TOTAL RETURN SWAPS
COMMODITY DERIVATIVES
VANILLA OPTIONS ASIAN OPTIONS BASKET OPTIONS
BASKET AVERAGE OPTIONS FORWARDS SWAPS
BASIS SWAPS SPREAD SWAPS CALLABLE TOTAL RETURN SWAPS