gulf energy development public company...

36
Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited

Upload: others

Post on 31-Dec-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation

18 November 2020

Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited

Page 2: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Q3’20 Business Updates

Appendix

Q3’20 Financial Performance

Page 3: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

3

Power Generation

49%Ownership

Duqm Power326 MW1 power & water projectCOD: 2021 – 2022

13,366 MW

40%Ownership

Gulf JP 4,237 MW2 IPPs and 7 SPPsCOD: 2013 – 2015

70%Ownership

Gulf MP 1,563 MW12 SPPsCOD: 2017 – 2019

70%Ownership

(75% dividend)

Independent Power Development 5,300 MW2 IPPsCOD: 2021 – 2024

49%Ownership

Hin Kong 1,400 MW1 IPPCOD: 2024 – 2025

35%Ownership

Burapa 540 MW1 IPPCOD: 2027

Infrastructure & Utilities

70%Ownership

Gulf MTPIndustrial port development(land reclamation)3 years constructionSCOD: [2023]

40%Ownership

Laem Chabang Ph3Deep sea container port> 4 million TEU/yearSCOD: [2024 – 2028]

40%Ownership

BGSR ConsortiumIntercity motorwayOperation & MaintenanceM6: 196 km M81: 96 kmSCOD: [2023]

33%Ownership

One BKKElectricity distribution(240 MW)

District chilled water(40,000 RT)SCOD: [2022 – 2024]

Gas

35%Ownership

Gulf WHA MTNatural gas distribution2 projects4,000,000 mmbtu/yearCOD: 2018 – 2019

70%Ownership

Gulf MTPLNG terminalUp to 10.8 MTPASCOD: [2027](subject to LNG demand)

LNG Shipper LicensesTotal 1.7 MTPA• Hin Kong Holding:

1.4 MTPA• Gulf : 0.3 MTPA

Data as of October 2020

Hydro Power

Note: * Subject to share transfer completion.

Renewable Energy

1,019 MW

75%Ownership

Gulf Solar 0.6 MW4 Solar rooftop VSPPsCOD: 2014 – 2015

100%Ownership

Gulf Chana Green 25 MW1 Biomass projectCOD: 2020

95%Ownership

Mekong Wind 310 MW1 Offshore wind farm (8 phases)SCOD: Ph 1-3 (128 MW): 2021Ph 4-8 (182 MW): under PDP8 consideration

90%Ownership

GTN1 & GTN2 119 MW2 Solar farmsCOD: 2019

100%*Ownership

Ia Pech 1 & 2100 MW2 Onshore wind farmsSCOD: 2022

50%Ownership

Borkum Riffgrund 2

465 MW1 Offshore wind farmCOD: 2019

[LNG-to-power]

[Laos Hydropower]

2,366 MW

3 Hydropower Projects

[30-35%]Ownership

Core Business Overview

Potential Projects:

Potential Project:

Page 4: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

4

Power Generation & Renewable Energy Businesses

Thailand VietnamGermany

Oman

Installed capacity* Gross Equity

In operation (by end of 2020) 6,409 MW 2,959 MW

Under development / construction 7,976 MW 5,139 MW

Total (by 2027) 14,385 MW 8,098 MW

Preparing for or under construction/ development

In operation

26 projects

in operation

4 projects

under development/

construction

2 projects

in operation

3 projects

under development/

construction

1 project

under construction

1 project

in operation

Total of 37 power projects in 4 countries

Note: * Installed capacity excludes any prospects such as LNG-to-power and hydropower projects.

Page 5: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

5

Power capacity growth (committed PPAs)

Note: 1/ Gulf's equity stake in GJP was 10% until August 15, 2016 when the stake was increased to 40%; equity installed capacities for 2013-2016 are based on the pro-forma 40% stake for comparison purposes2/ Include the gas-fired power project in Oman

320 982

1,683 1,683 1,964 2,253 2,701 2,959 2,959

4,027

5,281

6,295

7,566 7,909 7,909 8,098

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Nov-20 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

GJP GMP IPD GCG Gulf Solar Vietnam Borkum Oman HKP Burapa Total

831

2,485

4,237 4,237 4,772 5,282 5,919 6,409 6,409

7,902

9,613

11,120

13,145 13,845 13,845 14,385

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Nov-20 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

GJP GMP IPD GCG Gulf Solar Vietnam Borkum Oman HKP Burapa Total

1

11 1

1

1

1 1

Gross Installed Capacity (MW):

Equity Installed Capacity (MW):

53%

37%

10%

Nov 2020

6,409MW

IPP SPP Renewables

76%

17%

8%

Year 2027

14,385MW

2

Gross Capacity by Plant Types

46%

42%

12%

Nov 2020

2,959MW

IPP SPP Renewables

75%

15%

9%

Year 2027

8,098MW

2

Equity Capacity by Plant Types

Page 6: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

6

Percentage of Power sold to EGAT and IUs

EGAT:

✓ 25-year PPAs with EGAT

✓ 80% Minimum Offtake (SPPs)

✓ Receive Availability Payment (IPPs) regardless of electricity dispatch

✓ Fuel cost and FX pass-through

Industrial Users (IUs):

✓ 15-year Long Term Agreements

✓ 50 – 70% Minimum Take

✓ Diversified customers across different sectors

95%

5%Industrial Users

2027E

88%

12%

Q3/2020

Industrial Users

Page 7: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

7

59.5%

63.0% 62.6%

49.0%45.9%

50.3%

54.7%

59.2%62.4%

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20

Industrial Customers Load Factor

88%

12%

Industrial Users

Most of Gulf’s power generation capacity are secured with

EGAT’s PPAs while industrial users are diverse in sectors

Power Sold to Industrial CustomersWell-diversified customers limit impact from economic downturn

IU customers = 186 firms as of Sep 2020

Q3/20

Automotive,

43%

Construction

Material, 9%

Packaging, 9%

Electronics, 8%

Food &

Beverage, 6%

Petchem &

Chemicals, 6%

Textiles, 5%

Others, 13%

Page 8: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Allotment of the Company’s

unsecured and

unsubordinated debentures

฿10,000 million

• The Company was assigned the

company rating ‘A’ and the

debentures were assigned rating

‘A-’ by TRIS Rating Company

Limited

• Issued and offered debentures to

institutional investors and high net

worth investors with

oversubscription of 2.44 times

• Series of 4 tranches (3, 5, 7, and

10 years) with an average interest

rate of 2.98% per annum and an

average tenor of 5 years

August 19, 2020

Share transfer completed

for investment in 465-MW

offshore wind in Germany

BKR2• GIH entered into a Share

Purchase Agreement with the

group of Global Infrastructure

Partners to acquire a 50% stake in

the BKR2 offshore wind project

• Share transfer completed:

September 24, 2020 (after the

fulfillment of conditions

precedents)

• Location: Borkum, Germany

• COD: April 2019

• Recognize revenue and profit in

Q4’20

September 24, 2020

Rights Offering for

capital increase of

฿ 32,000

million• The Company has increased the

registered capital from

THB 10,666,500,000 to

THB 11,733,150,000

• Allocation ratio of 10:1 and at the

offering price of THB 30 per share,

totaling THB 32,000 million

• Use of proceeds:

➢ investment in existing and

future projects (renewable,

LNG-to-power, potential M&As)

• D/E of 1.35 times in Q3’20 with

debt headroom of THB 70-80 bn

• The new shares were traded on

the Stock Exchange of Thailand on

September 28, 2020

September 24, 2020

EPC & LTSA

contract signing of

HKPHin Kong Power Co., Ltd

• Engineering, Procurement and

Construction (EPC) Contract (25

years) signed with:

➢ Group of MHI Power Project

(Thailand) Company Limited

➢ SinoThai Engineering &

Construction Public Company

Limited

➢ Mitsubishi Power Limited

• Long Term Program Service

Agreement (LTSA) for 25 years

signed with the group of MHI

Power Project (Thailand) Company

Limited

September 29, 2020

Establishment of

the Company’s

subsidiary

Gulf1• With a registered capital of THB

100,000,000 in which the

Company holds 99.99% of

registered shares

• Gulf1 will operate solar energy

related businesses such as solar

farms, including solar rooftops

and providing a full range of

maintenance services for such

systems

October 6, 2020

Key Events in Q3’20

Page 9: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Power Generation

Page 10: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

10

IPPs under construction/development in Thailand

Construction and development progress as planned for all projects

Gulf SRC Gulf PD Hin Kong Power Burapa Power

Installed

Capacity: 2,650 MW 2,650 MW 1,400 MW 540 MW

Shareholding: 70% GULF (75% dividends)

30% Mitsui & Co.

70% GULF (75% dividends)

30% Mitsui & Co.

49% GULF

51% RATCH Group

35% GULF

65% NPS

Location: WHA Eastern Seaboard Industrial Estate 1,

Chonburi province, Thailand

Rojana Rayong 2 Industrial Park,

Rayong province, Thailand

Hin Kong subdistrict,

Mueang district,

Ratchaburi province, Thailand

Khao Hin Son subdistrict,

Phanom Sarakham district,

Chachoengsao province, Thailand

Fuel Type: Gas-fired Gas-fired Gas-fired Gas-fired

SCOD: Units 1 and 2: 2021 (1,325 MW)

Units 3 and 4: 2022 (1,325 MW)

Units 1 and 2: 2023 (1,325 MW)

Units 3 and 4: 2024 (1,325 MW)

Unit 1: Mar 2024 (700 MW)

Unit 2: Jan 2025 (700 MW)

Nov 2027

Investment Cost: THB 50.0 billion Approx. THB 50.0 billion [to be disclosed] [to be disclosed]

Status: • Construction progress: 84.8%• 1st sync: 30 Oct 2020

• Construction progress: 20.0% • EIA approval obtained

• EPC contract signed in Sep 2020

• Expect to finalize GSA in Q1 2021

• Financial close and construction

expected to start in Q2 2021

• Expect to get EIA approval within

2021

• Start construction by 2025

Power Generation

Note: Project progress as of Sep 2020

Page 11: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

11

Location: Duqm Special Economic Zone, Oman

Installed

Capacity:

Power: ≈ 326 MW

Water: ≈ 1,667 m3/hour

Contracted

Capacity:

Power: ≈ 208 MW

Water: ≈ 1,250 m3/hour

Fuel type: Gas/Diesel

Gas turbine: SIEMENS SGT800

EPC: Signed with consortium of 4 companies:

1) Alghanim International General Trading &

Contracting Co. W.L.L.

2) Cobra Instalaciones y Servicios S.A.

3) Sojitz Corporation

4) Tecnicas De Desalinizacion De Aguas

PPA: Signed with Duqm refinery for 25 years (+5

years renewal)

Project cost: ≈ USD 483 million

SCOD: • Phase 1 (40 MW): April 2021

• Full capacity: 2022

Status: Under construction: 82.3% Completed

DIPWP Project in Oman

Potential to expand business in Duqm SEZ

Duqm Independent Power & Water Project (DIPWP)

In operation

Under construction/

development

DUQM SEZ

• GULF has increased its equity stake in Oman projects in September

2020 and have restructured shareholding to directly hold 49% shares

in Marafiq

• Marafiq has exclusive rights to provide utility services in Duqm SEZ

for 25 years

• Opportunities to develop and operate future utilities projects in

Duqm SEZ with Marafiq

Potential Projects

(as of June 2020)

OQ (previously Oman Oil)

100.0%

49.0% 51.0%

Power

Business

Water

BusinessGas

Business

Future

Projects

Kuwait Petroleum

Capacity: 230,000 bbl/day

Project cost: US$7,000mDesalinated

water

50.0% 50.0%

ElectricityDIPWP

Duqm SEZ

Future

Projects

Future

Projects

Power Generation

Note: Project progress as of Oct 2020

Page 12: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Renewable Energy

Page 13: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

13

Renewable power projects performance

Gulf Chana Green (GCG) GTN 1 & GTN 2

Installed Capacity: 25 MW Total 119 MW

Shareholding: 100% GULF 90% GULF

10% TTC

Location: Chana district, Songkhla province, Thailand Tay Ninh, Vietnam

Fuel Type: Biomass (Parawood) Solar

Tariff: EP + Ft + THB 1.3/kWh adder for 7 years US 9.35c./kWh

COD: Mar 2020 Mar – Apr 2019

Q3/2020 Performance

Highlight:

• EGAT dispatch factor: 97%

• Plant availability: 93%

• Capacity factor: approx. 18.2%

• Plant availability: 99.9%

Existing projects in operation

Renewable

Page 14: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

14

Wind projects in Vietnam

Wind projects in Vietnam progressing as planned

Mekong Wind

Installed

Capacity:up to 310 MW

Shareholding: 95% GULF

5% TTC Group

Location: Ben Tre Province, Vietnam

Off-taker Vietnam Electricity (EVN)

Tariff US 9.8c./kWh

Fuel Type: Offshore wind

Status & SCOD: • Phase 1 (30 MW): SCOD Mar 2021

Overall progress 35.0% completed

• Phases 2-3 (98 MW): SCOD Oct 2021

Overall progress 5.5% completed

• Phases 4-8 (182 MW):

Under MOIT consideration to be included in

PDP8 within [Q1’21]

Project cost Approx. USD 618 million

Note: Project progress as of Oct 2020

Renewable

Page 15: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

15

✓ Project in operation, with revenue and profit to

be immediately recognizable to GULF

✓ Strategic partnership with the global market

leader in offshore wind (Ørsted) would increase

GULF’s credibility and competitiveness on a

global scale

✓ Long term contracted cash flows backed by

the German government

Borkum Riffgrund 2 Offshore Wind Project in Germany (464.8 MW)

Location German North Sea

≈ 59 km northwest of Norddeich harbor

≈ 34 km north from the island of Borkum

Installed capacity 464.8 MW

Fuel type Offshore Wind

Tariff Year 1 – 9.5:

FiT backed by German government

Year 9.5 – 20:

merchant price with guaranteed floor

price

PPA Signed with Ørsted for 20 years

SWA (Services and

Warranty Agreement)

Signed with MHI Vestas Offshore Wind for

10 years + 5 years extendable

Investment Cost ≈ EUR 550 million

COD Apr 2019

Germany

In operation

Under construction/

development

50.0%

GIH

50.0%

100.0%

BKR2 Holding Ørsted HoldCo.

100.0%

Borkum

Riffgrund 2

Ørsted Wind Power

A/S

100.0%

Share transfer completed and Borkum Riffgrund 2 will start to contribute revenue and profit to the Company in Q4’20

Renewable

Page 16: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

16

Hydropower

Page 17: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

17

Hydropower Projects in Lao PDR

Location Mekong River, Lao PDR

Installed capacity Pak Beng (Run-of-River)

Pak Lay (Run-of-River)

Sanakham (Run-of-River)

912 MW

770 MW

684 MW

Total: 2,366 MW

Shareholding GULF plans to hold 30% - 35% equity interest in each project

Fuel type Run-of-river hydro power plants

Off-taker EGAT

SCOD & Status • SCOD: 2029 – 2030

• Under tariff negotiation

1

2

3

3

1

2

Hydropower projects under study in Lao PDR

Hydropower

Page 18: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Infrastructure & Utilities

Page 19: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

19

Map Ta Phut Ph.3 Laem Chabang Ph.3 M6 & M81 Motorways One Bangkok

Consortium: 70% GULF

30% PTT Tank Terminal

40% GULF

30% PTT Tank Terminal

30% China Harbour Engineering

40% GULF

40% BTS Group

10% STEC

10% RATCH Group

33% GULF

33% Mitsui & Co.

33% TGES

Investment Type: PPP PPP Net Cost PPP Gross Cost Private

Authority: Industrial Estate Authority of Thailand

(IEAT)

Port Authority of Thailand (PAT) Department of Highways (DOH) -

Scope: • Ph.1: Land reclamation

• Ph.2: LNG terminal

(up to 10.8 MTPA)

• Design, build, O&M F1 and F2

Terminals

• 4 MTEU/year

• Ph.1: Design & construction

➢ Toll collection system, traffic

management & control system

• Ph.2: O&M

• Electricity Distribution

• District Chilled Water Distribution

Construction

Period:

• Ph.1: 3 years (2020 – 2023)

• Ph.2: 4 years (2023 – 2027)

• F1: 3 years (2022 – 2024)

• F2: 3 years (2026 – 2028)

3 years (2020 – 2023) 2020 – 2024

COD Power: Aug 2022

DCS: Feb 2023

Operation Period: 30 years 35 years 30 years 30 years

Investment Cost: Ph.1: THB 11.0 billion

Ph.2: THB [30.0] billion

THB 30.0 billion [to be disclosed] THB 3.6 billion

Status: • PPP contract signed in Oct 2019

• EPC contract signed in Jul 2020

• NTP1 & Construction expected to

start in Apr 2021

• PPP contract signing expected in

Dec 2020

• PPP contract signing expected in

Dec 2020

• EPC contract signing expected in

Dec 2020

Infrastructure and utilities projects in Thailand

Infrastructure projects progressing in line with plan

Note: Project progress as of Sep 2020

Infrastructure

Page 20: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Gas

Page 21: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

21

License Holder Gulf Energy Development Hin Kong Power Holding Ltd.

Import Amount 300,000 TPA 1,400,000 TPA

Usage 19 SPPs under Gulf group

(partially)

Hin Kong Power Project

License 10 years (extendable) 10 years (extendable)

LNG Shipper Licenses

Gas

Page 22: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Q3’20 Business Updates

Q3’20 Financial Performance

Appendix

Page 23: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

23

Total revenues

Total revenues in Q3’20 was THB 8,746 million

• QoQ: 9,139 MB → 8,746 MB (-4.3%) primarily from:

1) Sales revenue dropped slightly compared to Q2’20 mainly due to lower energy payment from EGAT

attributable to lower gas price

2) GJP’s share of profit decreased mainly due to unrealized FX loss in Q3’20 while there was unrealized

FX gain in Q2’20

• YoY: 9,051 MB → 8,746 MB (-3.4%) from:

1) Sales revenue decreased from THB 8,258 mil to THB 7,649 mil (-7.4%) mainly due to:

• Lower revenue from energy payment from EGAT due to declining gas price and lower electricity

volume sold to EGAT due to B-inspection maintenance of GTS2 in Q3’20 vs. no maintenance of

SPPs under GMP group in Q3’19

• Lower electricity and steam sales to IUs due to the impact from COVID-19

• Offset by higher sales from GCG biomass project and GTN1 & GTN2 solar power projects,

revenue recognition for MTP3’s infrastructure work of THB 130 mil in Q3’20 and dividend income from

INTUCH, SPCG and EDL-Gen

2) GJP’s share of profit decreased mainly due to unrealized FX loss in Q3’20 while there was unrealized

FX gain in Q3’19

Note:

1/ Consolidated sales revenue include electricity and steam sales from SPPs under GMP, electricity sales from VSPPs under Gulf Solar, electricity sales from GTN1 (from November 2019 following stake increase to 90%), GTN2 and GCG

2/ Share of profit include profit (loss) from GJP, GTN1 (from March – November 2019 before increasing the stake to 90%), DIPWP, Gulf WHA MT, BSE, HKH and BPH

3/ Consolidated other income include dividend income, interest income and other income

8,258 7,683 7,649

80

90 97

130

631 1,254 495

83 111 374

9,051 9,1398,746

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

Sales revenue Management fee

Service from concession agreement Share of profit

Other income

-3.4% YoY

-4.3% QoQ

Total revenue affected by GJP’s FX loss but offset by dividend income

Unit: THB million

Page 24: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

24

575 656 753

55

604

(250)

631

1,254

495

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

Share of profit (excluding FX) Gain (loss) on FX

Share of profit from GJP (40%)

Share of profit from GJP (excl. FX) in Q3’20 was THB 753 million

• QoQ: 656 MB → 753 MB (+14.8%) primarily from:

1) Higher volume of electricity sold to EGAT

2) Higher electricity, steam and chilled water sold to IUs by 7 SPPs in Q3’20 from

gradual recovery of demand from improvement of COVID-19 situation

• YoY: 575 MB → 753 MB (+30.9%) mainly from:

1) Higher electricity sold from 7 SPPs to EGAT due to no maintenance this quarter vs.

C-inspection of 3 SPPs in Q3’19

2) Higher volume of steam sold to IUs by 7 SPPs

3) Lower depreciation expense from extending the useful life of machinery and

capital spare parts of the power plants under GJP group due to lower operating

hours

Share of profit from GJP (incl. FX) in Q3’20 was THB 495 million

• A decrease in share of profit mainly from the depreciation of THB against USD, resulting in an unrealized FX loss of THB 250 million

(Q3’19: 30.7661 THB/USD, Q2’20: 31.0658 THB/USD, Q3’20: 31.8258 THB/USD)

+30.9% YoY

+14.8%QoQ

Higher sales volume to EGAT was able to offset the impact from softened IU sales volume YoY

Unit: THB million

Page 25: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

25

997 989

1,325

89

892

(355)

1,086

1,881

970

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

Core profit Gain (loss) on FX

Core profit / Net profit

Core profit in Q3’20 was THB 1,325 million

Increased from THB 989 million in Q2’20 (+34.1%) QoQ

and increased from THB 997 million in Q3’19 (+33.0%) YoY primarily from:

1) Dividend income from INTUCH, SPCG and EDL Gen at a total of THB 360 mil (fromTHB 43 mil in Q3’19 and THB 81 mil in Q2’20)

2) Lower natural gas price (-10.0% QoQ and -14.2% YoY) while Ft decreased by 2.41%

both QoQ and YoY

3) Higher share of profit from GJP (excl. FX) mainly from higher electricity sold to EGAT

from 7SPPs and the recovery of IUs demand after COVID-19 situation improved

4) GMP’s performance improved QoQ from higher electricity and steam sold to IUs,

but slightly softened YoY from GTS2’s maintenance (B-Inspection)

5) Performance from GTN1, GTN2 Solar power projects and GCG Biomass project

improved both QoQ and YoY

+33.0% YoY

FX Rate at End of Period

(THB/USD)

Q2’19 30.9152

Q3’19 30.7661

Q1’20 32.8298

Q2’20 31.0658

Q3’20 31.8258

Core profit is at all-time high, supported by dividend income and improved performance

Natural Gas Price

(THB/mmbtu)

Ft

(THB)

Q3’19 268.67 (0.1160)

Q2’20 261.41 (0.1160)

Q3’20 235.22 (0.1188)

+34.1%QoQ

Unit: THB million

Page 26: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

26

Balance sheet

Total assets was THB 221.982 million

+65.3% mainly from:

• Increase in cash from the capital increase and bond issuance

• Non-current:

1) increase in PPE from BKR2 consolidation and construction

progress of GSRC, GPD and Mekong phase 1-3

2) increase in other non-current asset from shareholding in

INTUCH

3) increase in goodwill from investment in BKR2

Cash, cash equivalents & deposits used as collateral

Other current assets

Non-current assets

111,861

191,3797,607

7,458

14,810

24,441

134,278

221,982

31-Dec-19 30-Sep-20

+65.3%

Total assets

Total liabilities was THB 156,277 million

+83.3% mostly from:

• Current: GULF’s short-term loans

• Non-current:

1) increase in debentures from bond issuance

and consolidation of BKR2 outstanding bond

2) increase in financial derivative liabilities

(mostly IRS contracts) from TFRS9 adoption

3) long-term loan drawdowns for the GSRC and

GPD construction

75,429

139,709 9,809

16,568

85,238

156,277

31-Dec-19 30-Sep-20

Current liabilities

Non-current liabilities

+83.3%

Total liabilities

Total equity was THB 65,705 million

+34.0% mainly from:

• Increase in paid-up capital and share premium from

the capital increase

• Decrease in retained earnings due to dividendpayment of THB 2,773 mn

• Decrease in other components of equity and non-controlling interests mostly due to loss from fair value

measurement of IRS contracts required underTFRS9

Total equity

10,613 7,2611,174 1,174

(790) (12,409)

6,488 6,124

31,556

63,555

49,040

65,705

31-Dec-19 30-Sep-20

+34.0%

Paid-up capital and share premium

Retained earnings

Other equity

Non-controlling interests

Other components of equity

Unit: THB million

Page 27: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

27

D/E ratios

Leverage ratios improved (1.35x) compared to bond covenant (3.50x)

1.74

3.50

3.88

2.38

1.27

2.16

2.62

1.59

1.251.52

1.86

1.35

31-Dec-19 31-Mar-20 30-Jun-20 30-Sep-20

D/E ratios

Note:

* Net interest-bearing debt to equity (for bonds issued in 2019)

= (Total interest-bearing debt incl. lease liabilities - cash and cash

equivalent - deposits at financial institutions used as collateral) /

(equity - other components of equity)

D/E

Net IBD/E

Net IBD/E (incl. lease liabilities) to equity ratio

(according to covenant of bonds issued in 2019)*

14,810

85,23877,161

49,040

(790)

24,441

156,277

129,158

65,705

(12,409)

31-Dec-19 30-Sep-20

Cash, cash equivalents

and deposits used as

collateral

Shareholders’

equity

Other components

of equity

Total liabilities Interest-bearing

debt

Unit: THB million

Page 28: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

Q3’20 Financial Performance

Appendix

Q3’20 Business Updates

Page 29: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

29

Rights Offering Capital Increase

No. of existing shares: 10,666,500,000 shares

No. of subscribed shares: 1,066,649,998 shares

No. of shares after capital increase: 11,733,149,998 shares

Ratio (old share : new share): 10 : 1

EPS dilution: 9.1%

Subscription price: THB 30 / share

Total proceeds: THB 31,999,499,940

Use of proceeds:

• Investment in existing and future projects such as Borkum, renewable projects in

Vietnam, hydropower projects in Laos, LNG-to-power projects in Vietnam and

potential M&A deals

Benefits to the Company:

• Reduce IBD/E ratio to be lower than 2x to maintain appropriate capital structure

• Provide more headroom for additional debt of THB 70-80 billion to reach 3:1 ratio

Key Information Key Timeline

27 AugEGM Approval

14-18 SepRO Subscription

Period

28 Sep1st day trade of RO shares

6 AugXM & XR date

Page 30: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

30

THB 10bn Bond Issuance

Issuer Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited (“GULF”)

Issue Size THB 10,000 million

Debenture Type Thai Baht Unsubordinated and Unsecured Debentures

Issued Date August 19, 2020

Use of Proceeds To repay short-term loans from financial institutions

Placement Type Private Placement to Institutional Investors and/or High Net Worth Investors

Company Rating A (Stable Outlook) by TRIS Rating

Issue Rating A- (Stable Outlook) by TRIS Rating

Joint Lead Underwriters Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited (“BBL”)

The Siam Commercial Bank Public Company Limited (“SCB”)

Registrar & Debentureholders’ Representative

The Siam Commercial Bank Public Company Limited (“SCB”)

Details of the allotment Debenture Term Interest Rate Amount

Debenture tranche 1 3 years 2.65% THB 4,500 million

Debenture tranche 2 5 years 3.10% THB 2,500 million

Debenture tranche 3 7 years 3.34% THB 2,000 million

Debenture tranche 4 10 years 3.46% THB 1,000 million

Total 5 years 2.98% THB 10,000 million

Page 31: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

31

Debt Outstanding

As of Sep 30, 2020

Note:

* Based on % profit sharing received from GSRC & GPD

** FX rate: 31.8258 THB/USD

*** Debt outstanding exclude subsidiaries’ working capital borrowings

• All of the power projects in Thailand have long term loans of 20 - 23 years (vs. PPA term of 25 years).

• To mitigate interest rate fluctuation, the company entered into interest rate swaps to swap interest rate from floating rate into fixed rate for 18 - 20 years.

THB 17,500 mn in debentures &

THB 5,000 mn in short-term loans

40% 70% 100%75%*

56%

44%

73%

27%

USD 927 mn

THB 37,657 mn

USD 417 mn

THB 35,848 mn

72%

28%

USD 227 mn

THB 18,614 mn

100%THB 1,927 mn

THB 67,153 mn THB 49,115 mn THB 25,853 mnTotal loan

outstanding: (THB equivalent)

THB 1,927 mn

100%

THB 3,545 mn

THB 3,545 mn

75%*

GULF JP GULF MP GULF SRC GULF PD GULF Chana Green

100%

GTN2

90%

USD 37 mn

THB 1,163 mn

Page 32: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

32

Dividend Policy

0.08

0.24 0.26

49%

79%

89%

2017 2018 2019

Dividend per share* (THB) Payout ratio (%)

Note: * adjusted for par split

Historical Dividend PaymentIt is the current intention of the Company’s board of directors to

recommend to the shareholders an annual dividend of at

least 30.0% of the Company’s separate net profit (after

taxes), subject to meeting the legal reserve requirement under

the Public Limited Companies Act and contractual obligations

under relevant financing agreements.

However, the Company’s dividend payment policy is subject to

changes, depending on the Company’s results of operation,

cash flows, capital requirements, conditions and restrictions

under relevant financing agreements and other relevant

considerations as the Company’s board of directors may deem

relevant.

Page 33: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

33

Plant Performance

GJP – 2 IPPs (3,406 MW) GJP – 7 SPPs (831 MW) GMP – 12 SPPs (1,563 MW)

Average Heat Rate

(BTU/kWh)

Plant Availability

(%)

Dispatch Factor

(%)

7,037 6,955 6,990

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

99.9% 99.5% 99.9%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

18.9% 14.5% 19.4%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

7,688 7,662 7,647

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

87.8%

98.2% 99.2%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

74.4%82.3% 82.4%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

7,407 7,453 7,422

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

99.3% 97.8% 97.4%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

84.2% 82.6% 81.5%

Q3'19 Q2'20 Q3'20

Page 34: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

34

Maintenance Schedule

Group Project Type COD2019 2020

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4

GJP

GKP1 SPP

2013

GKP2 SPP

GTLC SPP

GNNK SPP

GNLL SPP

GCRN SPP

GNK2 SPP

GNS IPP 2014

GUT IPP 2015

GMP

GVTP SPP

2017GTS1 SPP

GTS2 SPP

GTS3 SPP

GTS4 SPP

2018GNC SPP

GBL SPP

GBP SPP

GNLL2 SPP

2019GNPM SPP

GNRV1 SPP

GNRV2 SPP

C

C

C

A C

CA

A

A

B

A

As of Nov 2020

C

A

B

A

A

A B C

A (3 days)

CI (10 days)

CI (1 days)

SIEMENS

MHPS

GE

B (18 days)

TI (18 days)

HGPI (18 days)

C (22 days)

MI (35 days)

MO (22 days)

A

A

B

A

B

A

A

A

A

A

A

A

C

A

A

A

A

A

Page 35: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

This document is for information and reference only and does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell

or issue or subscription of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire any securities of Gulf Energy Development Public Company

Limited (the “Company”) in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity.

The information contained in this document has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or

implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, reliability, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the

information or the opinions contained herein. This document should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their

own judgment. The information contained in this document should be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time

and has not been, and will not be, updated to reflect developments which may occur after the date of the document. None of the Company

or any of its affiliates, directors, officers, employees, agents, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or

otherwise) for any damages or loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with

the document.

This document contains "forward-looking statements", which include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including,

without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words "targets", "believes", "expects", "aims", "intends",

"will", "may", "anticipates", "would", "could" or similar expressions or the negative thereof. Such forward-looking statements involve known

and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the control of the Company that could cause the actual results,

performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or

implied by such forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to rely on such forward-looking statements. Neither the Company nor

any of its respective affiliates, agents, employees, advisors or representatives intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend,

update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document.

This document contains data sourced from and the views of independent third parties. In such data being replicated in this document, the

Company does not make any representation, whether express or implied, as to the accuracy of such data. The replication of any views in

this document should be not treated as an indication that the Company agrees with or concurs with such views.

Disclaimer

Page 36: Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limitedgulf.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20201118-gulf-presentati… · Q3 2020 Earnings Presentation 18 November 2020 Gulf Energy Development

IR ContactGulf Energy Development Public Company Limited

Investor Relations Department

87 M.Thai Tower 11th Floor, All Seasons Place, Wireless Road,

Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330, Thailand

Tel: +66(0) 2080 4488

Fax: +66(0) 2080 4455

Email: [email protected]

Website: www.gulf.co.th