growth opportunities and challenges in the videoconferencing market
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Frost & Sullivan Analysis: Growth Opportunities and Challenges in the Videoconferencing MarketTRANSCRIPT
Growth Opportunities and Challenges in the
Videoconferencing Market
Krithi Rao
Industry Analyst, Unified Communications
March 30, 2010
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Key Factors Impacting GrowthKey Factors Impacting Growth
Impact of TelepresenceImpact of Telepresence
Impending Desktop Video AdoptionImpending Desktop Video Adoption
ForecastForecast
Growth in Videoconferencing MarketsGrowth in Videoconferencing Markets
Agenda
66 Q&AQ&A
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Continued Growth Momentum
� Visual Communications Growth Stats 09
• Endpoints revenues declined by 4.3% (vs. 16.7% growth in 08) and unit growth of 4.1% reflecting economic impact, pricing pressures and tapering impact of HD felt in the previous years
• Revenues for Videoconferencing Infrastructure (MCUs/bridges, gatekeepers, gateways, management tools) showed better performance with more than 25% growth*
• Telepresence - Adoption continues at a strong pace even through tough economictimes (more than 75% growth in revenues in 2009)
• Managed videoconferencing services grew by 26% in 2009 – users increasingly looking to outsource the management of videoconferencing to a third party provider
Total Videoconferencing Systems and ServicesTotal Videoconferencing Systems and Services
A $2.27 billion market in 2009 forecast to reach $5 Billion A $2.27 billion market in 2009 forecast to reach $5 Billion
(2014) (2014) -- 5 Year CAGR is 17.7%5 Year CAGR is 17.7%
*Draft numbersAll figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Drivers Restraints
Focus on reducing carbon
footprint
Availability of HD
videoconferencing at lower
price points
Increasing vendor focus on
the SMB
Global and remote workforce
– cut travel costs
Lingering effect of uncertain
economic conditions
Cost and Complexity of
Solutions
Key Factors Impacting Growth
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Volatile competitive landscape
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Avaya, Siemens bolstering videoconferencing strategy
through a close joint partnership with
videoconferencing vendors
HP’s strategic partnership with Tandberg likely to breakdown leaving only
Halo at the top end. Arming itself with a close partnership with Polycom.
Currently focusing on desktop video software,
and will probably continue partnering with a
number of vendors for hardware endpoints.
A video vendor acquisition may not be a great fit, but are they worried
that partner opportunities may close if vendors all bought up by rivals?
Left-field: Telcos, smaller
equipment manufacturers
and private equity investors see VC is hot
and prepared to place a bet
?
Europe
Evolving Competitive Landscape
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Asia Pacific
26.9% in 2009
vs.
24.4% in 2008
EMEA
30.8% in 2009
vs.
33.4% in 2008
CALA
3.3% in 2009
vs.
3.6% in 2008
North America (NA)
39% in 2009
vs.
38.6% in 2008
Videoconferencing Endpoints Market: Revenue Contribution by Region (World), 2008–2009
All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan
Videoconferencing Endpoints Market Revenues by Region
Revenue Growth in 09 Revenue Growth in 09 ––
Americas: (4.1%)Americas: (4.1%)
EMEA : (11.7%)EMEA : (11.7%)
APAC: +5.6%APAC: +5.6%
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The Immersive Telepresence Factor
� Telepresence means different things to different people - the term “Immersive Telepresence” will help differentiate it from traditional videoconferencing market
� Immersive Telepresence - “high end visual communications in a completely integrated environment; immersive video experience backed by tight network management and service delivery” - focusing on multi codec multi screen telepresence rooms that provide an “almost being there” experience
� A fast emerging market for non “shrink-wrapped” Telepresence by AV integrators offer high end experience at lower costs with room design flexibility
� An estimated $300.5M market in 2009, complemented by additional revenue from sales of kits and codecs to custom TP solutions, telepresence is forecast to grow to close to $822.7M by 2014 (CAGR- 67.7%).
� Sales of telepresence systems creating significant opportunities for service providers, network operators and systems integrators.
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Interoperability Outside corporate Boundaries and Between Vendors
Interoperability with Enterprise Communication Infrastructure
PC-basedSoftware
Videophones, Desktop
Appliances
RoomSystems
Telepresence Systems
CustomSolutions
PersonalMobile Executive
GroupImmersive
Application
Interoperability Required Across Endpoint Portfolio
Interoperability leads to Adoption
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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� Core videoconferencing equipment vendors are focusing on the low-hanging fruit-extension of traditional room conferencing to remote workers and telecommuters.
� Skype’s recent announcements of HD video and Google’s free videoconferencing feature all point at how desktop video will go nowhere but mainstream.
� True adoption for desktop video will happen as part of UC/collaboration solutions
� Today while the video clients themselves are well developed, the challenge is to connect these clients and manage a wide scale desktop deployment effectively and cost efficiently
� Provisioning, control and network management at a low cost are areas where we expect to see considerable developments.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Video-centric Desktop Video
UC/Collaboration-centric Desktop Video
Desktop Video is Coming
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Le
vel
of
Inte
gra
tio
nL
evel
of
Inte
gra
tio
n
Number of UsersNumber of Users
Consumer Video
Consumer Video
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Stand-alone PC
Client Software
Stand-alone PC
Client Software
Server/ Bridge-based
Desktop Video Client
Server/ Bridge-based
Desktop Video Client
Converged Conferencing Software with
Desktop Video
Converged Conferencing Software with
Desktop Video
Unified Comm-
unications Platform
Unified Comm-
unications Platform
Desktop Video - Solutions Options
Business desktop video currently available in several forms - Video centric solutions; UC/collaboration-centric solutions offered as part of UC and IPT; Peer-to-peer video chat
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Technology enhancements – SVC, High Profile, 720p 60Technology enhancements – SVC, High Profile, 720p 60
Over 65% of systems shipped are HD, but many are still being used in SD modeOver 65% of systems shipped are HD, but many are still being used in SD mode
Decision shifting from just IT - key stakeholders included in decision makingDecision shifting from just IT - key stakeholders included in decision making
Verticals – Federal Government has increased spendingVerticals – Federal Government has increased spending
Increasing SMB focus - pricing and service delivery is keyIncreasing SMB focus - pricing and service delivery is key
Economic Recovery in sight – Markets starting to see a glimmerEconomic Recovery in sight – Markets starting to see a glimmer
Other Key Developments
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Growth Outlook for Videoconferencing Markets
All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan
$1.25B
$3.13B
Endpoints - CAGR (2009-2015)
in revenues of 16.5 percent.
Infrastructure* - CAGR (2009-
2015) in revenues of 18.2 percent.
$440M*
$1.2B*
*Draft numbers
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Rev
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Mil
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Re
ve
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row
th R
ate
(%
)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Rev
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Next Steps
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For Additional Information
Jake Wengroff
Global Director
Corporate Communications
(210) [email protected]
Craig Hays
Sales Manager
Information & Communication Technologies
(210) 247-2460
Roopam Jain
Principal Analyst
Videoconferencing
(973) 379-4622