green job research
TRANSCRIPT
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Green jobs research paper
1. Results
2. What is a green job?
3. Sources and methodology
4. FAQs on figures
5. Detail on jobs
6. Details of projections until 2020
7. Appendix 1: list of publications used for study
1. Results
The study aimed to collect estimates of all jobs to be created in the green economy by
2020 and to estimate the proportion of jobs created in 2009 that were green. The
results are:
1. Over 10,000 green jobs have been announced in 2009.1
2. Of all jobs announced in 2009, 60% are green economy jobs.2
3. Green jobs are projected to grow by 23000 to 55000 by 2020 from a base of
6500 in 20083
The job creation estimates were based on a high level aggregation of estimates from
government departments, academia and industry representative bodies. The jobs
announced in 2009 are based on an analysis of newspaper articles in major Irish
publications.
What is a Green Job?
In the 2008 UNEP/ILO/ITUC Preliminary Report Green Jobs: Towards Sustainable
Work in a Low Carbon World, Green Jobs are defined as positions in agriculture,
manufacturing, Research & Development, administrative, and service activities aimed
at alleviating the myriad of environmental threats faced by humanity. Specifically,
but not exclusively, this includes jobs that help to protect and restore ecosystems and
biodiversity, reduce energy consumption, decarbonise the economy, and minimize or
altogether avoid the generation of all forms of waste and pollution.
United Nations Environment Programme
Sources and Methodology
The media databaseLexis Nexis was searched for Irish articles published in 2009
containing the strings new jobs, green and jobs, insulation and jobs, eco
and jobs, BER and jobs, renewable and jobs.Lexis Nexis covers all
1 Based on a three month analysis of job announcements made in Irish newspapers 19/2/09 to 21/5/09
available on the Lexis Nexus news database.2 Ibid. Green jobs were defined as those in the renewable energy, smart grid, recycling, energy
efficiency, BER and green R&D.3 Forfas 2008Environmental Goods and Services Sector on the Island of Ireland
http://www.forfas.ie/publication/search.jsp?ft=/publications/2008/Title,1930,en.php
http://www.forfas.ie/publication/search.jsp?ft=/publications/2008/Title,1930,en.phphttp://www.forfas.ie/publication/search.jsp?ft=/publications/2008/Title,1930,en.php -
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national and regional newspapers in the Island of Ireland (see appendix A). It does not
include local newspapers e.g.Northside People .
The new jobs string was chosen to capture articles that announced the creation of
jobs rather than layoffs. Nevertheless some jobs announcements that omitted the word
new anywhere in their text would be excluded.
Green jobs were defined as jobs created in green businesses including jobs that help to
protect and restore ecosystems and biodiversity, reduce energy consumption,
decarbonise the economy, and minimize or altogether avoid the generation of all
forms of waste and pollution. Example sectors would be renewable energy generation,
smart transmission and distribution, efficient energy use, electric cars, bio-fuels,
recycling, organic farming, energy efficient construction, eco-tourism and jobs in the
manufacture of goods, servicing and support of these sectors.
There was a large variation in time horizon for the job announcements. In many cases
the timelines for job creation were not mentioned in the article. Other timelines rangesfrom one year up to 11 years. With the exception of the clearly flagged IFA and Wind
Energy Inc announcements, speculative announcements were not included in the
analysis. Announcements included needed to be backed up by real financial
commitments from either the government or private industry.
Jobs announced in northern newspapers were included where the jobs were located in
the republic. Northern jobs announced by any newspaper were excluded except where
explicit numbers were not broken out e.g. 100 new jobs in Belfast and Dublin
where all jobs were included. The rationale for not including northern jobs is that they
are much less influenced by Irish government policy.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Are you double counting?
A: Care was taken to attribute job announcements to individual companies as much as
possible. Where a companys announcement was as a result of a government initiative
already announced, e.g. the Durkin Ecofix insulation jobs are part of the 4000 energy
efficiency jobs announced by Minister Ryan, the company jobs are not included in the
total. In other cases jobs are created in different sectors. For example, the C&F
engineering jobs are in micro wind generation manufacturing whereas the CharlesParson Initiatives estimate applies to large commercial wind turbine installation,
operation and maintenance.
Q: How many of the jobs have come on stream already
A: It is hard to know without substantial further research. In the energy efficiency
sector there has been rapid uptake of the government incentives which suggests jobs
are being created now. SEI reports 2,663 BER assessors are registered to meet a
requirement of an estimated 1000 full time jobs. This also suggests that energy
efficiency jobs are being created right now. Micro-renewable jobs are expected to
come on-stream as the 19c/kWh tariff is taken up by residential and small commercial
generators. In the large commercial wind sector, more details will be available in the
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IWEAs report Study into the investment and employment potential of the Irish Wind
Industryto be published on 15/6/09.
2. Types of green jobs
Cutting Energy Waste
DCENR have estimated the amount of green collar jobs that would likely be stimulated
through the Governments provision of approximately 180M for energy efficiency in 2009.
This breaks down to approximately 3500 jobs for the DCENR/DoEHLG aspects of the work,
and 2500 for the DEd Programmes, and includes an assumption for indirect jobs. It should be
noted that the DEd programme is likely to occur over a short period (summer holiday) thus
the annual figure we use is an average for a programme with a seasonal focus. This equates to
about 4500 direct and 1500 indirect jobs. Estimates were based on information and
methodologies from UNEP 2008 Green Jobs: Towards Decent Work in a Sustainable Low-carbon World, and in President Obamas Economic Stimulus Package (known in the House
as The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act).
Electric transport
ESB press release 16/4/09 http://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsp
Smart Grid
ESB press release 16/4/09 http://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jspand
Eirgrid progress update for the East-West Interconnector 29th March 2009
http://www.interconnector.ie/projects/east-westinterconnector/projectactivity/
Micro-Generation
Figures are based on the IFA estimates reported in The Irish Times 21/1/09
http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/ireland/2009/0121/1232474671107.html.
These figures seem conservative given that Germanys micro-generation initiatives
have created approximately 250000 jobs and Germany uses approximately 20 times
the annual electricity used by Ireland.
R&D and alternative renewable
ESB press release 16/4/09 http://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jspand
reported in stories in the Irish Press in 2009 available on the Lexis Nexus database.
Ocean Energy
The 1900 jobs estimate is from the Marine Institute/DCENR report from 2005 Ocean
Energy in Irelandhttp://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/rdonlyres/3800D405-0B43-401C-
99F3-6AE5AD28BA54/0/OceanEnergyStrategyVer44Fnl.pdf. The 20000 figure is
from John McCarthy of Ocean Energy Ltd as reported in the 6/4/09Irish Examinerhttp://archives.tcm.ie/irishexaminer/2009/04/06/story88567.asp.
http://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://www.interconnector.ie/projects/east-westinterconnector/projectactivity/http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/ireland/2009/0121/1232474671107.htmlhttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/rdonlyres/3800D405-0B43-401C-99F3-6AE5AD28BA54/0/OceanEnergyStrategyVer44Fnl.pdfhttp://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/rdonlyres/3800D405-0B43-401C-99F3-6AE5AD28BA54/0/OceanEnergyStrategyVer44Fnl.pdfhttp://archives.tcm.ie/irishexaminer/2009/04/06/story88567.asphttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://www.interconnector.ie/projects/east-westinterconnector/projectactivity/http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/ireland/2009/0121/1232474671107.htmlhttp://esb.ie/main/news_events/press_release352.jsphttp://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/rdonlyres/3800D405-0B43-401C-99F3-6AE5AD28BA54/0/OceanEnergyStrategyVer44Fnl.pdfhttp://www.dcenr.gov.ie/NR/rdonlyres/3800D405-0B43-401C-99F3-6AE5AD28BA54/0/OceanEnergyStrategyVer44Fnl.pdfhttp://archives.tcm.ie/irishexaminer/2009/04/06/story88567.asp -
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Aggressive Renewable Generation
This figure is a preliminary estimate from the Irish Wind Energy Association to be
confirmed in theirStudy into the investment and employment potential of the Irish Wind
Industryreport to be published on 15/5/09. This figure represents the transfer of jobs
from the non-green economy to the green economy supporting those who might
otherwise lose their jobs.
Bio-fuels
The IFA are quoted in The Munster Express on 20/2/09 as saying that 500 jobs could
be created if 25% of the public sector changed to biomass powered heating
http://www.munster-express.ie/business/ifa-5000-jobs-could-be-created-through-
biomass-heating-systems/. The 900 jobs came from the Western DevelopmentCommission 2008 End of year statementhttp://www.wdc.ie/documents/22Dec-WDCendofyearstatement200819_000.pdf
Water Infrastructure
This is a Green party estimate based on the 2009 expenditure of the 5.8B worth of
water infrastructure upgrades announced by Minister John Gormley on 17/09/07
http://www.environ.ie/en/Environment/Water/WaterServices/WaterServicesInvestme
ntProgramme/News/MainBody,15345,en.htm
Waste Management
From Green Party 2009 Green Economy 09
Details
Jobs Conservative Source
Cutting Energy Waste 6000 6000 DCENR
Electric transport 600 600 ESBEnergy Regulation and
Governance
Smart Grid 1600 1600 ESB, EirgridMicro-Generation 8000 370 IFAR&D and alternativerenewable 451 451 ESB, Pauwels Trafo, Surface Power
Ocean Energy 20000 1900 John McCarthy Ocean Energy Limited
Aggressive Renewable
Generation 9000 7000
Preliminary estimates from the IWEAStudy into the investment andemployment potential of the IrishWind Industryto be published on15/6/09
Bio-fuels 5000 900IFA & Western DevelopmentCommission
Water Infrastructure 4000 4000 Department for the Environment
Waste Management 200 200 Department for the EnvironmentNational Broadband scheme 170 170 DCENR
http://www.munster-express.ie/business/ifa-5000-jobs-could-be-created-through-biomass-heating-systems/http://www.munster-express.ie/business/ifa-5000-jobs-could-be-created-through-biomass-heating-systems/http://www.wdc.ie/documents/22Dec-WDCendofyearstatement200819_000.pdfhttp://www.wdc.ie/documents/22Dec-WDCendofyearstatement200819_000.pdfhttp://www.environ.ie/en/Environment/Water/WaterServices/WaterServicesInvestmentProgramme/News/MainBody,15345,en.htmhttp://www.environ.ie/en/Environment/Water/WaterServices/WaterServicesInvestmentProgramme/News/MainBody,15345,en.htmhttp://www.munster-express.ie/business/ifa-5000-jobs-could-be-created-through-biomass-heating-systems/http://www.munster-express.ie/business/ifa-5000-jobs-could-be-created-through-biomass-heating-systems/http://www.wdc.ie/documents/22Dec-WDCendofyearstatement200819_000.pdfhttp://www.wdc.ie/documents/22Dec-WDCendofyearstatement200819_000.pdfhttp://www.environ.ie/en/Environment/Water/WaterServices/WaterServicesInvestmentProgramme/News/MainBody,15345,en.htmhttp://www.environ.ie/en/Environment/Water/WaterServices/WaterServicesInvestmentProgramme/News/MainBody,15345,en.htm -
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Total 55021 23191
6. Projections to 2020
How many jobs; 23000 or 55000?The 23000 figure is a conservative figure based on a continuation of current
government policy. But, according to industry groups, 55000 jobs could be created
should the government take further actions; namely:
Become European leader in Ocean Energy. Yield 20000 jobs (John McCarthy
Ocean Energy Inc 6 April 2009)
Incentivise micro-generation in rural areas. Yield 8000 jobs (IFA in Irish
Times 21 Jan 2009)
Bio-fuels could create 900 to 5000 rural jobs with Government support (IFA
and Western Development Commission)
Estimate Improvement
A detailed report Study into the investment and employment potential of the Irish
Wind Industryby IWEA is due to be published on the 15th of June 2009.
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Appendix A
Publications Included in the jobs search
Irish Publications
The Argus
Belfast News Letter
Belfast Telegraph
Bray People
BreakingNews.ie
Business & Finance Magazine
Business World (Digest)
Carlow People
Corkman
Drogheda Independent
Enniscorthy EchoEnniscorthy Guardian
Evening Herald (Ireland)
Fingal Independent
Gorey Echo
Gorey Guardian
Irish Examiner
Irish Independent
Irish News
The Irish Post
The Irish Times
KerrymanNew Ross Echo
New Ross Standard
PA Newswire: Ireland
Sunday Business Post
Sunday Independent (Ireland)
Sunday Life
Sunday Tribune
TCM - Carlow Nationalist
TCM - Down Democrat
TCM - Kildare Nationalist
TCM - Laois NationalistTCM - Newry Democrat
TCM - Roscommon Herald
TCM - The Kingdom
TCM - The Sligo Weekender
TCM - Waterford News & Star
TCM - Western People
TCM - Wexford Echo
Wexford People
Wicklow People