greater princeton nj real estate market update 1 31 13
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TRANSCRIPT
In 2012 Home Prices
rose 4.6% over 2011.
Forecasters and Economists
predict a 3% rise in 2013.
Market Confidence Meter
The jobs report showed gains in nonfarm payroll
of 1.86M new jobs in 2012.
The household survey showed the
unemployment rate unchanged at 7.8%
Market Confidence Meter
Real spending on residential construction rose 13.6% in the four
quarters ending September 2012,
the most rapid rise since 1994.
Market Confidence Meter
The Federal Reserve will continue boosting
housing market recovery by keeping
downward pressure on interest rates, now at or nearhistoric lows.
Market Confidence Meter
In New Jersey, November was the 13th consecutive month of increased sales. State
inventory is down to its lowest levels since 2005, the last year
of the housing bubble. With sales up and supply down, laws of supply and demand point to a good
NJ market for 2013.
Market Confidence Meter
The average rate on a 30-year, fixed rated mortgage has fallen
as low as 3.4%.
At these rates, and with rising rents,
Homeownership is now cheaper than Renting
in all 100 of the largest U.S. metros by a wide margin,
reported Trulia!
Market Confidence Meter
Historic Home PricesRemember, when adjusted for
inflation, American home prices increased by an average of about half
a percentage point per year from 1890 through 2008,
according to data compiled by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller.
(www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
In Mercer County ,home sales
were up 13.6% in 2012 over 2011,
with the averagesale price up 1.5%.*
* source: Trend MLS
Market Confidence Meter
If you are a Buyer,
• with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.4% for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH !
• consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to assess your buying power and position yourself in the market.
If you are a Seller,
• Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market.
• Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a good, negotiable offer.
• Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a contract for sale!
• Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
With an eye to Moving This Year!
Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real
Estate Market:1. Real Estate is Local2. Real Estate is Local3. Real Estate is Local
4. Real Estate is Local.5. Real Estate is Local
Understand the Local Market That
You are Buying into or Selling out of!
How do we assess strength and vitality in our real estate markets?
By checking the “Absorption Rate.” This is the number of homes available
divided by the number of homes that have gone under contract
in the past 30 days.
It is our most accurate measure of current market strength.
Sample Market Absorption RateSample Market Absorption Rate
100 current active listings
4 reported sales in last 30 days=
25Months’
absorptionrate
Anytown., NJ
5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
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Market Absorption ScaleMarket Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)(Absorption Rate in Months)
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Market Scale for Supply & DemandMarket Scale for Supply & DemandWeichert, Realtors has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market absorption rates and property values.
As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property values depreciate annually. As they decrease below 5 months, they increase—inverse proportion. Although different markets may not see the amount of decrease shown here, the pressure on prices will be similar.
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
West Windsor: All Styles
64 4 16.0 19 15 6 9.4% 4 1 12
West Windsor Condo/ T.Houses
12 2 6.0 6 4 1 8.3% 1 1 5
West Windsor55+
8 0 99 1 1 _ _ 0 0 0
West Windsor Single Family
44 2 22.0 12 10 5 11.4% 3 0 7
Lawrence: All Styles 121 13 9.3 23 10 13 10.7% 11 2 18
Lawrence:Condo/THouses
37 6 6.2 5 (1) 7 18.9% 3 1 0
Lawrence: 55+ 8 3 2.7 1 (2) _ _ 1 0 0Lawrence: Single Family
76 4 19.0 17 13 6 7.9% 7 2 18
1/28/13
Towns Active Listings
Pending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
PlainsboroAll Styles
61 10 6.1 14 4 10 16% 11 0 8
PlainsboroCondo/ THouses
30 5 6 9 4 7 23% 7 0 4
Plainsboro55+
17 3 5.66 2 (1) 2 12% 1 0 1
PlainsboroSingle Family
14 2 7 3 1 1 7% 3 0 3
Cranbury:All Styles
12 1 12 5 4 2 16% 3 0 3
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Ewing: All Styles
198 17 11 33 16 33 17% 16 5 16
Ewing : Condo/ T.Houses
29 3 10 6 3 6 21% 1 3 0
Ewing 55+:
8 1 8 2 1 --- --- 0 0 0
Ewing:Single Family
161 13 12 25 12 27 17% 15 2 16
East Windsor:All Styles
139 12 12 26 14 18 13% 11 2 11
East Windsor:Condo/ Thouses
85 7 12 16 9 13 15% 7 1 8
East Windsor:55+
8 0 999 1 1 --- --- 0 0 1
East Windsor: Single Family
46 5 9 9 4 5 11% 4 1 2
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Hopewell Twp.All Styles
101 6 16.8 16 10 12 11.9% 11 8 7
Hopewell Twp. Condo/ T.Houses
2 0 99 1 1 1 50% 2 2 2
Hopewell Twp.:55+
1 0 99 0 0 -- -- 0 0 1
Hopewell Twp Single Family 98 6 16.3 15 9 11 11.2% 9 6 4
Hamilton: All Styles 390 26 15 70 44 67 18.6% 25 9 32
Hamilton:Condo/ THouses 79 6 13.2 12 6 16 20.3% 5 2 4
Hamilton:55+ 21 1 21 7 6 -- -- 1 1 2
Hamilton: Single Family 290 19 15.3 51 32 51 17.6% 19 6 26
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
RobbinsvilleAll Styles 71 11 6 17 6 13 18% 11 4 13
RobbinsvilleCondo/ T.Houses
35 6 6 7 1 6 17% 6 1 8
Single Family 36 5 7 10 5 7 19% 5 3 5
Hightstown Boro: All Styles
51 6 9 8 2 15 29% 5 0 6
Pennington 14 3 5 3 0 2 14% 1 0 2
Hopewell Boro 6 3 2 1 (2) 5 83% 0 2 1
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Princeton: All Styles 111 9 12.3 18 9 14 12.6% 8 7 20
Princeton:Condo/ Thouses 28 4 7 3 -1 4 14.3% 3 1 4
Princeton:Single Family 83 5 16.6 15 10 10 12% 5 6 16
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
South
Brunswick
All Styles
149 9 16 28 19 14 9 32 6 36
South BrunswickCondo/ T.Houses
53 4 13 12 8 8 15 10 1 9
South Brunswick
55+
34 0 99 2 2 4 12 1 2 4
South Brunswick
Single Family
62 5 12 14 9 2 3 21 3 17
Monroe:
All Styles 401 25 16 109 84 17 4 48 8 45
Monroe:
55+ 268 15 18 76 61 9 3 27 4 34
Monroe:
Single Family 143 10 14 33 23 8 6 21 4 11
1/28/13Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Montgomery
All Styles 90 18 5 23 +5 14 15% 14 5 12
Montgomery
Condo/Twnhms 11 3 3.7 6 +3 2 18% 3 2 5
Single Family 79 15 5.3 17 +2 12 15% 11 3 7
Hillsborough
All Styles 174 24 7.2 49 +25 23 13% 18 10 14
Hillsborough
Condo/Twnhms 70 9 7.8 22 +13 11 16% 9 5 8
Hillsborough
Single Family 104 15 6.9 27 +12 12 11% 9 5 6