good development in services new way to serve customers ...good development in services –new way...
TRANSCRIPT
Good development in Services – new way to serve customers launched
Interim Review,
January–June 2016
July 28, 2016
Pasi Laine, President and CEO
Kari Saarinen, CFO
AgendaInterim Review, January–June 2016
Q2/2016 in brief
Business lines’ development
Valmet Way to Serve
Guidance and short-term market outlook
New financial targets
1
2
3
5
6
Financial development4
Summary of Interim Review Q2/20167
Appendix8
Q2/2016 in brief
Order backlog at EUR 2.1 billion
Orders received decreased and net sales remained at the previous
year’s level in capital business2
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 20164
Q2/2016 in brief
1) Stable business = Services and Automation business lines
2) Capital business = Pulp and Energy, and Paper business lines
Net debt EUR 231 million
Profitability increased – Comparable EBITA margin at 7.1%
Orders received and net sales remained at the previous year’s level
in stable business1
Net sales split in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 20165
Net sales by area Net sales by business lineOrders received
EUR 692 million
Net sales
EUR 804 million
Comparable EBITA1
EUR 57 million
Comparable EBITA1
margin
7.1%
Employees
12,492
38%
9%
33%
20%
Services
Automation
Pulp and Energy
Paper
22%
8%
44%
12%
14%
North America
South America
EMEA
China
Asia-Pacific
1) Due to new regulation by the European Securities and Market Authority, Valmet has decided to replace the performance measure ‘EBITA before non-recurring items’ with
‘Comparable EBITA’. The content of items affecting comparability, i.e. items previously disclosed as non-recurring, remain unchanged and therefore ‘Comparable EBITA’
equals previously disclosed ‘EBITA before non-recurring items’ (EUR 182 million in 2015). Items affecting comparability consist of income and expenses arising from
activities that amend the capacity of Valmet’s operations or are incurred outside its normal course of business.
1,1011,023
466 480580
781 725 793 803692
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Orders received (LHS) Last 4 quarters (RHS)
Orders received decreased to EUR 692 million in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 20166
• Orders received remained at the previous year’s level in the Services and
Automation business lines, and decreased in the Pulp and Energy and Paper
business lines
• Orders received increased in Asia-Pacific and China, remained at the previous
years level in South America, and decreased in North America and EMEA
Orders received (EUR million) Orders received in Q2/2016, by area
North America
22%
South America
5%
EMEA53%
China9%
Asia-Pacific12%
267 273 242 273 293 307252 267
313 321
95
78 75
81 88
267 273242
273293
402
330 342
394 409
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
1,050
1,200
1,350
1,500
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
Services (LHS) Automation, total (including internal) (LHS) Last 4 quarters (RHS)
Stable business orders received totaled EUR 1,475 million during the last 4 quarters
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 20167
Orders received (EUR million) in stable business1
• Stable business orders received remained at the previous year’s level
• All-time high orders received in Services business line in Q2/2016
1) Including internal orders received for the Automation business line.
1,972
2,4062,312
1,998 2,0642,208
2,117 2,0742,207
2,106
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Order backlog at EUR 2.1 billion at the end of Q2/2016
• Order backlog EUR 101 million lower than at the end of Q1/2016
• About 55% of the order backlog is currently expected to be realized as net sales
during 2016
• Approximately 30% of the order backlog relates to stable business
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 20168
Order backlog (EUR million)
~30%
~70%
Stable business Capital business
Structure of order backlog
Business lines’ development
Orders received and net sales at the previous year’s level in Services in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201610
Net sales (EUR million)Orders received (EUR million)
• Orders received remained stable compared with Q2/2015
- Orders received increased in Asia-Pacific, South America and North America,
remained at the previous year’s level in EMEA and decreased in China
- Orders received increased in Energy and Environmental, and Mill Improvements and
remained at the previous year’s level in Fabrics, Rolls, and Performance Parts
- Changes in foreign exchange rates1 decreased orders received by
approximately EUR 6 million
• Net sales remained stable compared with Q2/2015
1) Compared with the exchange rates for January–June 2015
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 634 million
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 561 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 600 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 546 million
267 273242
273293 307
252 267
313 321
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Orders received (LHS)
Orders received, last 4 quarters (RHS)
224251
235
278242
304268
314
257
304
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Net sales (LHS)
Net sales, last 4 quarters (RHS)
Orders received at the previous year’s level and net sales increased in Automation in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201611
• Orders received remained stable compared with Q2/2015
- Orders received increased in Asia-Pacific and South America, remained at
the previous year’s level in EMEA and decreased in North America and
China
- Orders received remained at the previous year’s level in Pulp and Paper
and decreased in Energy and Process
• Net sales increased compared with Q2/2015
Net sales1 (EUR million)Orders received1 (EUR million)
1) Q1/2015 orders received and the underlying figures for ‘Orders received, last 4 quarters’ and ‘Net sales, last 4 quarters’ are calculated based on Metso’s
reported figures and pro forma figures excluding Process Automation Systems and are therefore indicative only.
8570 67 66
82
10
8 8 156
62
95
78 7581
88
0
75
150
225
300
375
450
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
Orders received, internal (from other business lines)
Orders received, external
Orders received, total (including internal)
Orders received, last 4 quarters (RHS)
68 66
95
5873
11 6
6
9
855
7972
101
66
81
0
75
150
225
300
375
450
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
Net sales, internal (from other business lines)
Net sales, external
Net sales, total (including internal)
Net sales, last 4 quarters (RHS)
Orders received decreased and net sales increased in Pulp and Energy in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201612
Net sales (EUR million)Orders received (EUR million)
• Orders received decreased compared with Q2/2015
- Orders received increased in China and decreased in all other areas
- Orders received increased in Energy and decreased in Pulp
• Net sales increased compared with Q2/2015
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 417 million
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 443 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 397 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 453 million
622560
96 66138
259206
261 238180
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Orders received (LHS)
Orders received, last 4 quarters (RHS)
181
229 234
312
222 231215
245
181
262
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Net sales (LHS)
Net sales, last 4 quarters (RHS)
Orders received and net sales decreased in Paper in Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201613
Net sales (EUR million)Orders received (EUR million)
• Orders received decreased compared with Q2/2015
- Orders received increased in Asia-Pacific, North America and China, and
decreased in EMEA
- Orders received decreased in both Board and Paper, and Tissue
• Net sales decreased compared with Q2/2015
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 295 million
Q1–Q2/2016:
EUR 321 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 278 million
Q1–Q2/2015:
EUR 273 million
212190
128142 149
129
197 199186
109
0
150
300
450
600
750
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Orders received (LHS)
Orders received, last 4 quarters (RHS)
114 108120
186
97
177 185200
157 165
0
150
300
450
600
750
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Net sales (LHS)
Net sales, last 4 quarters (RHS)
Valmet Way to Serve
Committed to moving your performance forward
Safety
comes first
Close to you
Solutions to
your needs
People you
can trust
Our core commitments
Performance
• Production consumables
• Process support and optimization
Reliability
• Spare parts and components
• Maintenance and shutdown management
• Outsourcing services
• Process and automation upgrades
• Automation projects
• Industrial Internet and remote solutions
New Technology
Our services offering
Shared Journey
ForwardValmet way to serve
Financial development
Key figures Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201617
EUR million Q2/2016 Q2/2015 Change Q1–Q2/2016 Q1–Q2/2015 Change
Orders received 692 781 -11% 1,495 1,360 10%
Order backlog1 2,106 2,208 -5% 2,106 2,208 -5%
Net sales 804 779 3% 1,456 1,340 9%
Comparable EBITA2 57 54 6% 88 73 21%
% of net sales 7.1% 6.9% 6.1% 5.5%
EBITA 55 42 32% 85 61 39%
Operating profit (EBIT) 47 32 45% 66 46 45%
% of net sales 5.8% 4.1% 4.5% 3.4%
Earnings per share, EUR 0.21 0.14 45% 0.28 0.19 44%
Return on capital employed (ROCE), before taxes3 11% 9%
Cash flow provided by operating activities 33 17 92% 36 -3
Gearing1 27% 29%
Items affecting comparability: EUR -1 million in Q2/2016 (EUR -12 million in Q2/2015), EUR -3 million in Q1–Q2/2016 (EUR -12 million in Q1–Q2/2015)
1) At the end of period
2) Due to new regulation by the European Securities and Market Authority, Valmet has decided to replace the performance measure ‘EBITA before non-
recurring items’ with ‘Comparable EBITA’. The content of items affecting comparability, i.e. items previously disclosed as non-recurring, remain
unchanged and therefore ‘Comparable EBITA’ equals previously disclosed ‘EBITA before non-recurring items’. Items affecting comparability consist of
income and expenses arising from activities that amend the capacity of Valmet’s operations or are incurred outside its normal course of business.
3) Annualized
779
0 5 31 -12
804
Net sales inQ2/2015
Servicesbusiness line
Automationbusiness line
Pulp and Energybusiness line
Paperbusiness line
Net sales inQ2/2016
Change in net sales
Net sales EUR 25 million higher compared with Q2/2015
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201618
Net sales bridge, Q2/2015 vs. Q2/2016 (EUR million)
• Net sales increased in Pulp and Energy, and Automation business lines
• Net sales remained at the previous year’s level in Services business line and decreased in
Paper business line
Gross profit at the previous year’s level
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201619
Gross profit (EUR million and % of net sales)
• Gross profit remained stable compared with Q2/2015
• Selling, general & administrative (SG&A) expenses remained stable compared
with Q2/2015
• Actions to improve gross profit through Must-Win implementation
SG&A (EUR million and % of net sales)
23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Q1/2
014
Q2/2
014
Q3/2
014
Q4/2
014
Q1/2
015
Q2/2
015
Q3/2
015
Q4/2
015
Q1/2
016
Q2/2
016
EUR million (LHS) % of net sales (RHS)
17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
40
80
120
160
200
Q1/2
014
Q2/2
014
Q3/2
014
Q4/2
014
Q1/2
015
Q2/2
015
Q3/2
015
Q4/2
015
Q1/2
016
Q2/2
016
EUR million (LHS) % of net sales (RHS)
Comparable EBITA margin development
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201620
Net sales and Comparable EBITA (EUR million and %)
• Net sales remained stable compared with Q2/2015 and profitability increased
- Profitability improved due to the higher level of net sales in the Pulp and Energy business line
Comparable EBITA
(EUR million)19 54 47 63 314 22 32 48 57
Target 6–9%
224251 235
278242
371334
409
314
377295
337 354498
319
408400
445
338
427
519
588 590
777
561
779734
854
652
804
0.7%
3.7% 5.5%
6.1%
3.5%
6.9%6.4%
7.3%
4.8%
7.1%
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
Capital business
Stable business
Comparable EBITA %
New target 8–10%
from 2017 onwards
43 46
117
30
-20
17 16
64
333
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q1/2
01
4
Q2/2
01
4
Q3/2
01
4
Q4/2
01
4
Q1/2
01
5
Q2/2
01
5
Q3/2
01
5
Q4/2
01
5
Q1/2
01
6
Q2/2
01
6
Cash flow provided by operating activities
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201621
• Change in net working capital1 EUR -16 million in Q2/2016
• Cash flow provided by operating activities EUR 33 million in Q2/2016
• CAPEX excluding business combinations EUR -18 million in Q2/2016
Cash flow provided by operating activities (EUR million)
1) Change in net working capital, net of effect from business combinations and disposals in the consolidated statement of cash flows
-257 -249 -345 -353 -355 -265 -244 -238 -247 -181
1,101 1,023
466 480 580781 725 793 803
692
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
Q1/2
01
4
Q2/2
01
4
Q3/2
01
4
Q4/2
01
4
Q1/2
01
5
Q2/2
01
5
Q3/2
01
5
Q4/2
01
5
Q1/2
01
6
Q2/2
01
6
Orders received (LHS)Net working capital (LHS)Average net working capital/rolling 12 months orders received (RHS)Net working capital/rolling 12 months orders received (RHS)
Net working capital -6% of rolling 12 months orders received
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201622
• Net working capital EUR -181 million, which equals -6% of rolling 12 months orders received
• Payment schedules of large capital projects have significant impact on net working capital
development
Net working capital and orders received (EUR million)
Net debt increased compared to Q1/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201623
• Gearing (27%) and net debt (EUR 231 million) increased compared to Q1/2016 due to dividend
payout
• Equity to assets ratio increased from Q1/2016
• Automation acquisition was completed on April 1, 2015
Net debt (EUR million) and gearing (%) Equity to assets ratio (%)
-39-54
-158 -166 -134
238 229178 192
231
-5% -7%
-20% -21%-17%
29% 28%
21%24%
27%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
Net debt (EUR million) Gearing (%)
40% 40% 41% 42%
34% 35% 35% 36% 35% 36%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Q1/1
4
Q2/1
4
Q3/1
4
Q4/1
4
Q1/1
5
Q2/1
5
Q3/1
5
Q4/1
5
Q1/1
6
Q2/1
6
985 967902 877
1,239 1,240 1,214 1,2311,184 1,194
1%2% 2%
10% 10%
12%
14% 14%13%
12%
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
Capital employed Comparable ROCE (before taxes), rolling 12 months
Capital employed and Comparable ROCE
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201624
• New target for Comparable return on capital employed (ROCE) from 2017 onwards: 15–20%
Capital employed (EUR million) and Comparable return on capital
employed (ROCE), before taxes1 (percent)
1) Rolling 12 months
Target
minimum
15%
Guidance, and short-term market outlook
Guidance and short-term market outlook
26 July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 2016
SatisfactoryPulp and
Energy
Paper
Satisfactory
Pulp
Energy
Board and Paper
Tissue
Guidance for
2016
Services
Short-term market outlook
Guidance for 2016 (as given on February 9, 2016)
Good
Weak
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Good
Satisfactory
Q3/2015 Q4/2015
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Good
Satisfactory
Q1/2016
Satisfactory
Satisfactory
Good
Satisfactory
Q2/2016
Valmet estimates that net sales in 2016 will remain at the same level with
2015 (EUR 2,928 million) and Comparable EBITA in 2016 will increase in
comparison with 2015 (EUR 182 million).
Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory SatisfactoryAutomation
The short-term market outlook is given for the next six months from the ending of the respective quarter.
Due to new regulation by the European Securities and Market Authority, Valmet has decided to replace the performance measure ‘EBITA before non-recurring
items’ with ‘Comparable EBITA’. The content of items affecting comparability, i.e. items previously disclosed as non-recurring, remain unchanged and therefore
‘Comparable EBITA’ equals previously disclosed ‘EBITA before non-recurring items’ (EUR 182 million in 2015). Items affecting comparability consist of income
and expenses arising from activities that amend the capacity of Valmet’s operations or are incurred outside its normal course of business.
New financial targets
New and increased financial targets from 2017 onwards
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201628
Dividend
policy
Profitability
Growth
ROCE
• Net sales for stable business to grow over two times the market growth
• Net sales for capital business to exceed market growth
• Comparable EBITA: 8–10%
• Comparable return on capital employed (pre-tax), ROCE1: 15–20%
• Dividend payout at least 50% of net profit
The new financial targets have been announced by stock exchange release on June 21, 2016.
1) ROCE (pre-tax) = (profit before taxes + interests and other financial expenses - items affecting comparability) / (balance sheet total - non-interest-bearing liabilities (average for period)).
New target
Summary of Interim Review Q2/2016
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201630
Q2/2016 in brief
1) Stable business = Services and Automation business lines
2) Capital business = Pulp and Energy, and Paper business lines
Order backlog at EUR 2.1 billion
Orders received decreased and net sales remained at the previous
year’s level in capital business2
Net debt EUR 231 million
Profitability increased – Comparable EBITA margin at 7.1%
Orders received and net sales remained at the previous year’s level
in stable business1
Appendix
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Structure of loans and borrowings
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201632
Amount of outstanding interest-bearing debt
(EUR millions)
• Average maturity of long-term loans is 3.1 years- Average interest rate is 1.2%
Main financing sources
Back-up facilities
Interest-bearing debt EUR 351 million as at June 30, 2016
EUR 88 million
EUR 86 million
European Investment Bank
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken
Nordic Investment Bank
Amount Lender
EUR 61 million Swedish Export Kredit
EUR 95 million
None outstanding
EUR 200 million domestic commercial
paper program
EUR 200 million syndicated revolving
credit facility
Amount Outstanding
EUR 20 million
© Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201633 July 28, 2016
Largest shareholders on June 30, 2016Based on the information given by Euroclear Finland Ltd.
# Shareholder name Number of shares % of shares and votes
1 Solidium Oy1 16,695,287 11.14%
2 Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company 6,108,465 4.08%
3 Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company 3,388,055 2.26%
4 Elo Pension Company 3,110,000 2.08%
5 Nordea Funds 2,865,459 1.91%
6 The State Pension Fund 1,695,000 1.13%
7 Keva 1,502,166 1.00%
8 Danske Invest funds 1,228,599 0.82%
9 Mandatum Life Insurance Company Limited 1,217,307 0.81%
10 OP Funds 990,878 0.66%
10 largest shareholders, total 38,801,216 25.89%
Other shareholders 111,063,403 74.11%
Total 149,864,619 100.00%
Largest shareholders
1) A holding company that is wholly owned by the Finnish State
© Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201634 July 28, 2016
Ownership structure on June 30, 2016
1) A holding company that is wholly owned by the Finnish State
The ownership structure is based on the classification of sectors determined by Statistics Finland.
Sector Number of shareholders % of total shareholders Number of shares % of shares
Nominee registered and non-Finnish holders 302 0.7% 71,588,096 47.8%
Finnish institutions, companies and foundations 2,448 5.3% 40,672,772 27.1%
Solidium Oy1 0 0.0% 16,695,287 11.1%
Finnish private investors 43,738 94.1% 20,908,464 14.0%
Total 46,488 100.0% 149,864,619 100.0%
47.8%
27.1%
11.1%
14.0%
Nominee registered and non-Finnish holders
Finnish institutions, companies and foundations
Solidium Oy
Finnish private investors
47,000
49,000
51,000
53,000
55,000
57,000
59,000
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
54%
56%
12/2
01
3
01/2
01
4
02/2
01
4
03/2
01
4
04/2
01
4
05/2
01
4
06/2
01
4
07/2
01
4
08/2
01
4
09/2
01
4
10/2
01
4
11/2
01
4
12/2
01
4
01/2
01
5
02/2
01
5
03/2
01
5
04/2
01
5
05/2
01
5
06/2
01
5
07/2
01
5
08/2
01
5
09/2
01
5
10/2
01
5
11/2
01
5
12/2
01
5
01/2
01
6
02/2
01
6
03/2
01
6
04/2
01
6
05/2
01
6
06/2
01
6
Non-Finnish holders (LHS) Total number of shareholders (RHS)
© Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201635 July 28, 2016
Share of non-Finnish holders and number of shareholders
Paper, board, and tissue production trends
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201636
Source: RISI
North America (million tonnes) Europe (million tonnes)
China (million tonnes) Asia-Pacific (million tonnes)
10
20
30
40
4
6
8
10
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue (LHS) Newsprint (LHS)Printing & Writing (RHS) Containerboard (RHS)Cartonboard (RHS)
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
5
7
9
11
13
15
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue (LHS) Newsprint (LHS)Printing & Writing (RHS) Containerboard (RHS)Cartonboard (RHS)
5
15
25
35
45
55
2
4
6
8
10
12
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue (LHS) Newsprint (LHS)Printing & Writing (RHS) Containerboard (RHS)Cartonboard (RHS)
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue (LHS) Newsprint (LHS)Printing & Writing (RHS) Containerboard (RHS)Cartonboard (RHS)
Paper, board, and tissue operating rates
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201637
Source: RISI
North America Europe
China Asia-Pacific
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue Newsprint Printing & WritingContainerboard Cartonboard
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue Newsprint Printing & WritingContainerboard Cartonboard
70%
80%
90%
100%
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue Newsprint Printing & WritingContainerboard Cartonboard
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
Tissue Newsprint Printing & WritingContainerboard Cartonboard
Paper and board consumption growth trends
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201638
Population growth in
emerging markets is
larger than in
developed markets
Level of consumption
per capita in
emerging markets
clearly below that in
developed markets
This offers us long-
term growth potential
Paper and board consumption per capita vs. population
Average global consumption: 53 kg per capita
Source: RISI
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
50
100
150
200
250
Easte
rn E
uro
pe
We
ste
rn E
uro
pe
No
rth
Am
erica
Latin
Am
eri
ca
Ja
pa
n
Chin
a
Rest o
f A
sia
Ocea
nia
Afr
ica
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Consumption per capita, kg (LHS) Population, million (RHS)
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Easte
rn E
uro
pe
We
ste
rn E
uro
pe
Nort
h A
me
rica
Latin
Am
eri
ca
Ja
pa
n
Ch
ina
Rest o
f A
sia
Ocea
nia
Afr
ica
Mid
dle
Ea
st
Population, million (LHS) Consumption per capita, kg (RHS)
Tissue consumption growth trends
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201639
New products and
consumption models
based on tissue are
helping increase
consumption in
developed markets
Consumption in
emerging markets is
still low, but growing
Offers us long-term
growth potential in
both developed and
emerging markets
Tissue consumption per capita vs. population
Average global consumption: 4.5 kg per capita
Source: RISI
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1-D
ec-0
7
1-M
ar-
08
1-J
un-0
8
1-S
ep
-08
1-D
ec-0
8
1-M
ar-
09
1-J
un-0
9
1-S
ep
-09
1-D
ec-0
9
1-M
ar-
10
1-J
un-1
0
1-S
ep
-10
1-D
ec-1
0
1-M
ar-
11
1-J
un-1
1
1-S
ep
-11
1-D
ec-1
1
1-M
ar-
12
1-J
un-1
2
1-S
ep
-12
1-D
ec-1
2
1-M
ar-
13
1-J
un-1
3
1-S
ep
-13
1-D
ec-1
3
1-M
ar-
14
1-J
un-1
4
1-S
ep
-14
1-D
ec-1
4
1-M
ar-
15
1-J
un-1
5
1-S
ep
-15
1-D
ec-1
5
1-M
ar-
16
1-J
un-1
6
Eucalyptus pulp (USD/t) Northern bleached softwood pulp (USD/t)Uncoated (USD/t) Copy paper (EUR/t)Testliner (EUR/t)
Pulp and paper price trends
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201640
Source: Bloomberg
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1-Jan-10 1-Aug-10 1-Mar-11 1-Oct-11 1-May-12 1-Dec-12 1-Jul-13 1-Feb-14 1-Sep-14 1-Apr-15 1-Nov-15 1-Jun-16
CIF ARA steam coal (USD/t) (LHS) Brent crude oil (USD/barrel) (LHS) Natural gas spot price NBP (GBP/therm) (RHS)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
20
40
60
80
100
1-Jan-10 1-Aug-10 1-Mar-11 1-Oct-11 1-May-12 1-Dec-12 1-Jul-13 1-Feb-14 1-Sep-14 1-Apr-15 1-Nov-15 1-Jun-16
European Energy Exchange, Phelix (EUR/MWh) (LHS) Nordpool Power (EUR/MWh) (LHS)
UK Baseload (GBP/MWh) (RHS)
Crude oil, steam coal, natural gas and electricity
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201641
Source: Bloomberg
Europe
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1-Jan-10 1-Aug-10 1-Mar-11 1-Oct-11 1-May-12 1-Dec-12 1-Jul-13 1-Feb-14 1-Sep-14 1-Apr-15 1-Nov-15 1-Jun-16
FOB steam coal Richards Bay (USD/t) (LHS) WTI crude oil (USD/barrel) (LHS) Henry Hub gas (USD/MMBtu) (RHS)
70
75
80
85
90
0
50
100
150
200
1-Jan-10 1-Aug-10 1-Mar-11 1-Oct-11 1-May-12 1-Dec-12 1-Jul-13 1-Feb-14 1-Sep-14 1-Apr-15 1-Nov-15 1-Jun-16
Electricity spot price, PJM (USD/MWh) (LHS) Electricity spot price, NEPOOL (USD/MWh) (LHS)US utility capacity utilization rate (RHS)
Crude oil, steam coal, natural gas and electricity
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201642
Source: Bloomberg
United States
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2-N
ov-1
2
2-D
ec-1
2
2-J
an-1
3
2-F
eb
-13
2-M
ar-
13
2-A
pr-
13
2-M
ay-1
3
2-J
un-1
3
2-J
ul-1
3
2-A
ug-1
3
2-S
ep-1
3
2-O
ct-
13
2-N
ov-1
3
2-D
ec-1
3
2-J
an-1
4
2-F
eb
-14
2-M
ar-
14
2-A
pr-
14
2-M
ay-1
4
2-J
un-1
4
2-J
ul-1
4
2-A
ug-1
4
2-S
ep-1
4
2-O
ct-
14
2-N
ov-1
4
2-D
ec-1
4
2-J
an-1
5
2-F
eb
-15
2-M
ar-
15
2-A
pr-
15
2-M
ay-1
5
2-J
un-1
5
2-J
ul-1
5
2-A
ug-1
5
2-S
ep-1
5
2-O
ct-
15
2-N
ov-1
5
2-D
ec-1
5
2-J
an-1
6
2-F
eb
-16
2-M
ar-
16
2-A
pr-
16
2-M
ay-1
6
2-J
un-1
6
European Energy Exchange (EEX) spot price (EUR/t)
European Carbon Emission Allowance
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201643
Source: Bloomberg
Important notice
July 28, 2016 © Valmet | Interim Review, January–June 201644
IMPORTANT: The following applies to this document, the oral presentation of the information in this document by Valmet (the “Company”) or any person on behalf of the Company,
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Interim Review January–September 2016
October 27, 2016
www.valmet.com/investors
Capital Markets Day
September 20, 2016Helsinki, Finland
www.valmet.com/cmd