goldman sachs emerging companies conference - aveo · aveo 1group (aog) 6,300 2,608 8,908 209 9,117...
TRANSCRIPT
About Aveo
“We will grow with older Australians by inspiring greater living choices.”
Aveo is a leading and trusted owner, operator and manager of retirement communities across Australia. Aveo’s philosophy is underpinned by a commitment to grow with older Australians by inspiring greater living choices. We currently do so for 12,000 residents in 75 retirement villages across Australia. Aveo also manages and develops a diversified $700 million property portfolio. Over 30 years, Aveo’s portfolio has grown to one that encompasses retirement, residential, commercial, industrial and mixed-use property assets. Together these communities define how hundreds of thousands of people in Australia live, work, retire and invest.
Issued by Aveo Group (ASX:AOG) comprising Aveo Group Limited ABN 28 010 729 950 and Aveo Funds Management Limited ABN 17 089 800 082, AFSL No. 222273 as Responsible Entity for the Aveo Group Trust ARSN 099 648 754.
aveo.com.au
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21 May 2014
Goldman Sachs Emerging Companies Conference Aveo Group (ASX: AOG) today releases the presentation being delivered at the Goldman Sachs Emerging Companies Conference, which is being held at Level 46, Governor Phillip Tower, 1 Farrer Place, Sydney.
END Investor Contact: David Hunt, Chief Financial Officer T +61 2 9239 5526 | E [email protected]
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Overview
Aveo is progressing its strategy to become Australia’s leading pure play retirement village owner and operator
This transition to a pure play retirement company is accompanied by a clear set of long term operational and financial returns targets
Aveo’s existing retirement village portfolio comprises mature villages located in prime metropolitan sites along the east coast of Australia
This portfolio is to be expanded further via increased development rates at existing brownfield sites and new greenfield sites
Provision of additional care and other services to village residents will enhance residents’ ability to “age in place” and increase the attractiveness of the overall offering that is made to Aveo’s customers
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Steps Achieved on Road to a Pure Retirement Entity
Since the announcement of a strategy to transition to a pure retirement company, several key milestones have been achieved
Category Milestone Status
Branding Change of company name from FKP Property Group to Aveo Group
Communicate new strategy to the investment market and staff
Leverage Reduce Aveo gearing to less than 20%, in line with the NZ pure retirement players
Asset Sales
$800m of non-retirement assets held at beginning of FY14 and $221m in non-retirement asset sales achieved in FY14 so far
5 remaining non-retirement assets for sale are;
– Gasometer 1 (retail office building)
– Gasometer 3 (commercial development site)
– Currumbin (residential land estate)
– Miller St (office building)
– Albion (residential apartment development site)
Retirement
Villages Group Sold Metlifecare stake, repaid debt, have substantial cash surplus
Strategic Stockland first right of refusal over retirement assets removed
Investor
Appeal Re-introduced into the S&P/ASX 200 Index
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Aveo Approach
Philosophy is underpinned by a commitment to grow older with Australians by inspiring greater living choices
Key to this is an ability to provide ageing in place through a complete “continuum of care”
This approach is reflected in the three divisional components which comprise the broader Aveo retirement village business
Aveo will continue to be Australia’s leading owner and operator of retirement villages
Established Portfolio
– Existing portfolio of operating retirement village assets
– Existing retirement village funds management
Retirement Development
– Existing retirement development pipeline
– New site acquisitions
– Substituting capacity from residential to retirement sites
Care and Other Services
– Partnering with care service provider specialists
– Increasing care and other service product offering to existing residents
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Key Retirement Financial Targets to FY18
Financial Returns
Targeting to improve retirement assets’ Return on Assets (ROA)1
Retirement financial return targets of:
– 6.5% ROA by FY16
– 8.0% ROA by FY18
1 Return on assets calculated as retirement EBIT divided by retirement assets (excluding any future retirement asset revaluations after 30 June 2013).
Transitional Period
4.0%
6.5%
8.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
FY14F FY16F FY18F
Re
turn
on
Ass
ets
Ongoing Steps to Achieve Returns
Esta
blis
he
d
Po
rtfo
lio
Continue to achieve turnover rates at levels in excess of 10%; currently 11%
Increase unit pricing; currently achieving valuation for resales
Improve Aveo contract terms; introducing improved standard contract
Ret
ire
me
nt
Dev
elo
pm
en
t Pipeline enlarged from 600 units to 2,600 units
Delivery planned for 200 new units per annum by FY16
Delivery of 500 new units per annum by FY18
Car
e a
nd
O
the
r Se
rvic
es
Grow revenue through care and support services to 100% of the portfolio; 90% coverage targeted for FY14 will be achieved
Finalise discussions with strategic alliance partners in aged care
Aveo Group manages 75 villages across the eastern seaboard and Adelaide
Villages predominantly located in prime metropolitan locations
Portfolio characterised by mature villages with 55 villages more than 20 years old, with established resident communities and a demonstrated resident turnover history
Accommodation primarily made up of independent living units (ILUs) but does offer the full range of accommodation options across the resident needs spectrum (including serviced apartments (SAs) and aged care) at selected villages
Village Locations
Legend AOG owned villages
AEH villages
RVG villages
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Established Portfolio
Portfolio Snapshot
Units Existing
Total Pipeline
Total Units
Aged Care Beds
Total Units and Beds
Aveo Group1 (AOG)
6,300 2,608 8,908 209 9,117
Retirement Villages Group (RVG) 3,411 276 3,687 - 3,687
Total Managed 9,711 2,884 12,595 209 12,804
1 Including Aveo Healthcare (AEH)
Average village age is nearly 25 years
Portfolio maturity reflects in high level of;
– Average existing resident age (82.5 years)
– Average age on entry (76.9 years)
Turnover levels continue to improve
HY14 sales of 333 units are the highest sales levels in over five comparable periods achieved
Still maintaining solid levels of deposits on hand in addition to the strong sales levels
Occupancy levels remain high on the back of improved sales rates
Contract terms continue to incrementally improve as lower margin legacy contracts are converted to contracts that are more favourable to Aveo upon resident exit
Will provide material margin increases into the future
Established Portfolio Characteristics
Key Portfolio Indicators Dec 13
Avg DMF Rate of Existing Contracts 30%
Avg CG Share of Existing Contracts 51%
Portfolio Turnover (based on sales) 11%
Occupancy 95%
Average Age of Residents (years) 82.5
Average Age on Entry (years) 76.9
Average Village Age (years) 24.6
7
234
303
263
205
244
333
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
HY09 HY10 HY11 HY12 HY13 HY14
Re
sid
en
tial
Se
ttle
me
nts
Un
its
AOG Sales (LHS) AOG deposits on hand (LHS) LGA National Settlements (RP Data) (RHS)
Total Unit Sales Levels vs. National Residential Settlements
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Retirement Development
Any retirement developments need to meet appropriate internal return benchmarks
Projects will contribute to the overall Retirement Return on Assets target of 8.0% by FY18
Retirement development returns comprise two distinct components;
– Cash development profit on first sale of the unit to an incoming resident
– Creation of a new deferred management fee (DMF) income stream asset which will deliver cash as the incoming resident (and future residents) depart the unit (the creation of the DMF asset is not included in the RoA target of 8.0% by FY18)
Construction Program Total FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18+
Completion due FY14
Under Construction
Start Construction Within One Year
Start Construction Within Two years
Future Projects
Redevelopment and Future projects
Total 2,608 27 57 230 298 1,996
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Retirement vs Commercial Development
Profit Commercial Retirement
At Completion
Cash Profit No transaction to crystalise the development profit
Development profit realised on cash sale of unit to first resident
Non-Cash Profit Development margin realised as a non-cash revaluation Creation of future DMF stream is
a new asset that is re-valued
Post Completion
Cash Profit Recurring rental income Recurring DMF income
The ability to generate an immediate cash development profit upon project completion but still retain an asset that generates ongoing income is unique relative to other property classes
The table below compares the return characteristics from a retirement village development to a traditional commercial project develop and hold strategy
Care and Other Services
Home Care
Several third party care providers have commenced providing full care services into Aveo villages and from Aveo villages to catchment areas in QLD, NSW, VIC and SA
Where Aveo does not provide services directly it will facilitate the provision of care and other services to residents via these specialist external providers
Introduction of these providers to the villages has been met with strong interest and uptake by residents
Service provision model via third party providers meets resident needs, is capital efficient, maximises revenue opportunities while minimising the operating risks to Aveo
In H
om
e
Car
e Domestic and care services to be available at
over 90% of villages owned by Aveo by 30 June 2014
Nu
trit
ion
Develop a national approach to nutrition, and preparation and delivery of meals into villages
Furt
he
r Se
rvic
es Resident surveys and focus groups with
resident committees are currently being undertaken to facilitate targeted delivery of services
Re
sid
en
tial
A
ged
Car
e
Advanced negotiations with third party operators regarding the expansion and co-location of residential aged care and dementia facilities at existing villages
Re
spit
e
Nationwide respite services now available
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Outlook
Aveo has executed on a number of key elements in its transition to a retirement focused entity
Achieving the increased Retirement financial targets of 8.0% Return on Assets by FY18 will be driven by the combination of operational initiatives described across the three Aveo business segments
There will be a continued focus on price growth and margins in the existing established portfolio and potential exists for an expansion of retirement village funds management services
An accelerated roll out of the retirement development pipeline will deliver upfront cash development profit but also add to the future DMF cashflows Aveo is entitled to
Increased access to care and other services for residents will enhance Aveo’s ability to offer a continuum of care solution to residents’ accommodation and support services needs
Aveo’s commitment is to grow older with Australians by inspiring greater living choices, and in doing so will continue to be Australia’s leading owner and operator of retirement villages
Disclaimer
The content of this presentation is for general information only. Information in this presentation including, without limitation, any forward-looking statements or opinions (Information) may be subject to change without notice. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Aveo Group Limited, its officers and employees do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information and disclaim all responsibility and liability for the Information (including, without limitation, liability for negligence).
The information contained in this presentation should not be considered to be comprehensive or to comprise all the information which a security holder or potential investor in Aveo may require in order to determine whether to deal in Aveo securities. This presentation does not take into account the financial situation, investment objectives and particular needs of any particular person.
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” including indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, financial position and performance. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Aveo and its officers and employees, that may cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted or implied by any forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these forward-looking statements.
All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless otherwise stated.
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Aveo
Level 5, 99 Macquarie Street, Sydney NSW 2000
T +61 2 9270 6100
F +61 2 9270 6199
aveo.com.au