gold as long-term strategic asset - mining.com€¦ · source: gold investor – volume 4, sections...

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Gold as long-term strategic asset Gold should not be seen in isolation but as a strategic component in portfolios. It protects purchasing power and helps manage risk. Gold helps mitigate risk Gold’s role in a portfolio Useful diversifier in good and bad economic times Demand is geographically diverse Low correlation to most assets over the long run Demand is driven as much by consumption – as it is by investment – and as a high quality liquid asset, investors use gold in periods of financial turmoil. Chart represents 2012 Chart represents 2012 Its contribution to portfolio volatility is not only small, but in most instances helps significantly reduce it. While the gold market can be heavily influenced in the short term by trading in developed markets, long-term demand is driven by a more diverse set of factors, many of which are linked to emerging markets. Similar to the foundation of a house, a modest, strategic allocation of gold serves as a core part of a portfolio. Source: Gold Investor – Volume 4, sections “Why invest in gold?” and “Gold and currencies”, a quarterly investment journal by the World Gold Council. To view the full text of Gold Investor – Volume 4, please visit www.gold.org Jewellery 1,896t - 43% Investment 1,565t - 36% Technology 407t - 9% Central banks 544t - 12% A 5%-6% allocation to gold is ‘optimal’ for investors with a well-balanced 60/40 portfolio. 40% Cash & bonds 60% Equities & alternatives assets 5-6% North America (9%) Europe & Russia (15%) Middle East (9%) Indian Subcontinent (25%) Greater China (24%) Other (18%) Holding 2%-10% in gold can greatly benefit investors seeking a well- balanced, diversified portfolio. 2-10% Gold protects investors’ purchasing power With a strong inverse relationship with the US dollar and its role in hedging long-term inflation, gold helps to preserve purchasing power. For the majority of the period from 1976 to today (about 75% of months considered), having as little as 10% of 'cash' savings in gold was able to reduce the loss in purchasing power of US$ holdings. In many instances this outperformance was very significant, especially during the high inflation periods of the late 1970s early 1980s and during the period of dollar devaluation in the 2000s. Long-term correlation of weekly returns between gold (US$/oz) and select asset classes (US$) BarCap Global Tsy Agg ex US MSCI EM S&P 500 1 0.5 0 0.25 0.75 Purchasing power -0.30% -0.10% 0.10% 0.30% 0.50% 0.70% 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012

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Page 1: Gold as long-term strategic asset - MINING.COM€¦ · Source: Gold Investor – Volume 4, sections “Why invest in gold?” and “Gold and currencies”, a quarterly investment

Gold as long-term strategic assetGold should not be seen in isolation but as a strategic component in

portfolios. It protects purchasing power and helps manage risk.

Gold helps mitigate risk

Gold’s role in a portfolio

Useful diversifier in good and bad economic times

Demand is geographically diverse

Low correlation to most assets over the long run

Demand is driven as much by consumption – as it is by investment – and as a high quality liquid asset,

investors use gold in periods of financial turmoil.

Chart represents 2012 Chart represents 2012

Its contribution to portfolio volatility is not only small, but in most instances helps

significantly reduce it.

While the gold market can be heavily influenced in the short term by trading in developed markets, long-term demand is

driven by a more diverse set of factors, many of which are linked to emerging markets.

Similar to the foundation of a house, a modest, strategic allocation of gold serves

as a core part of a portfolio.

Source: Gold Investor – Volume 4, sections “Why invest in gold?” and “Gold and currencies”, a quarterly investment journal by the World Gold Council. To view the full text of Gold Investor – Volume 4, please visit www.gold.org

Jewellery

1,896t - 43%

Investment

1,565t - 36%

Technology

407t - 9%

Central banks

544t - 12%

A 5%-6% allocation to gold is ‘optimal’ for investors with a well-balanced 60/40 portfolio.

40%Cash & bonds

60%Equities &

alternatives assets

5-6%

North America (9%)

Europe & Russia (15%)

Middle East (9%)

Indian Subcontinent (25%)

Greater China (24%)

Other (18%)

Holding 2%-10% in gold can greatly benefit investors seeking a well- balanced, diversified portfolio.

2-10%

Gold protects investors’ purchasing power

With a strong inverse relationship with the US dollar and its role in hedging long-term inflation, gold

helps to preserve purchasing power.

For the majority of the period from 1976 to today (about 75% of months considered), having as little as 10% of 'cash' savings in gold was able to reduce the loss in purchasing power of US$ holdings.

In many instances this outperformance was very significant, especially during the high inflation periods of the late 1970s early 1980s and during the period of dollar devaluation in the 2000s.

Long-term correlation of weekly returns between gold (US$/oz) and select asset classes (US$)

BarCap GlobalTsy Agg ex US

MSCI EM S&P 500

1

0.5

0

0.25

0.75

Pur

chas

ing

pow

er

-0.30%

-0.10%

0.10%

0.30%

0.50%

0.70%

1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012