global trends 2010
TRANSCRIPT
Global Trends 201026th March 2010
by
Aurimas Aniulis +370 645 02949www.creogidas.com
TechnologySustainabilityHealth
100%
WHAT ARE TRENDS
trend;a line of general direction of movement, a prevailing tendency of inclination, a line of development, the general movement over timestatistically detectable change.
TECHNOLOGY
Technology is anythinginvented after I was born.
- Alan Kay
Technology is anythinguseful invented by a mind.
- Kevin Kelly
Technology is anythingthat doesn’t work yet.
- Danny Hillis
One to One
Many to Many
One to Many
Many to One
Age of Transparencybrought to you by technology.
Transparency;Behavior a metaphor implying visibility in contexts related
to the behavior of individuals or groups.
Linguistic a term in linguistics and the philosophy of language
Market a term in economics.
Philosophy an adjective applied to a state in which the subject can be aware of being in that state.
Social the social value of access to information held by centers of authority.
Trade the formal principle of the WTO that a country’s policies and regulations affecting foreign trade should be clearly communicated to its trading partners.
Transperancy
Be transparent you want customization you must be transparent
Decentralizationbrought to you by technology.
Decentralization;is the process of dispersing decision-making governance closer to the people and/or citizens.
Decentralization service design
it's about community
If it flies, floats or fornicates, always rent it.. it’s cheaper in the long run.
-Felix Dennis
Decentralization
Diseconomies of Scale – think big, get small!The Network Effect – the more members, the more valueThe Power of Chaos – give the community elegant organizationMass of niches – there is no more mass market, only mass nichesEveryone Contributes – desire to share and be part of something bigCatalyst Rule – follow the best practice until your itValues = Organization – ideology is the fuel of decentralized organizationsThe world is flat! – flatten or be flattened
SustainabilityComing soon to TYPE 1 civilization.
Sustainability;1. In ecology it is how biological systems remain diverse and productive over time. 2. For humanity it is the potential for long-term maintenance of wellbeing, which in turn depends on the wellbeing of the natural world and the responsible use of natural resources.3. The capacity to endure.
Time Kardashev scale
Planetary
Stellar
Galactic
earth
Civi
lizati
on T
ypes
ECO-maniabrought to you by sustainability.
Eco- Sustainability service design
Eco- Sustainability service design
Eco- Sustainability service design
Eco- Sustainability service design
Eco- Sustainability service design
Eco- Sustainability service design
Sustainability
There are no experts – we must relearn how to live with the planetCatalyst Rule – follow the best practice until your itGuided by nature – all the answers are in natureRegionalization – one size does not fit allSelf sufficiency – communities must feed, power, sustain
themselvesCollaboration – communities come together for collective benefit
HEALTHingredient of immortality
AGING IS NATURAL?
• The future of our body is to grow old. In the Roman age the life expectancy was 28 years, in the Middle Ages 33, an age on which a lot people nowadays have not even left their elderly home.
• In 2025 there will exist at least a billion people that are older than 65, in 2050 there will be at least 2 billion people and the life expectancy in developed countries will be 100 years.
AGING IS GROWING!
• Before 2020 the investments in medical and scientific technologies will double and the number of preventable deaths will be reduced with 50 percent due to highly developed diagnosing technologies.
• Before 2040 the number of people with 80+ years will be the same as the actual number of people with 65+ years: nowadays the concept of the elderly is changing.
OLD BUT YOUNG
• We will be much healthier: in 2025, out of every two adults older than 65 years one will go to the gym.
• In 2025 there will be more 60 year olds that are single: one out of two will be ready to start another relationship.
100+
• If today you are between 25 and 40 years old the possibility that you will grow older than 100 years is pretty high because the number of people that are older than 100 years will double in the next couple of five years.
• In 2050 there will exist less diseases but more patients.
• Before 2050 Alzheimer’s disease will affect 6 percent of the population of developed countries, tripling its diffusion.
OLD IN CONTROL
• Before 2030 sixty years old will be the demographic group most highly populated in Europe: they control the television, or at least that what is left of television, they will be the main focus of the mass market companies, and they will decide who will form the governments.
• In the coming twenty years the costs of long term care will increase and the demand for health care in percentage will grow more than the interest per capita.
FAMILY SHIFTING
• In the coming twenty years the networks of family solidarity will be reduced more and more (as a result of demographic decrease) and become more instable (due to the growing number of separations and divorces). The bio-network will come to life: assistance networks and remote control of the patients.
NANOTECHNOLOGY
• Between 2015 and 2025 a exponent growth in the use of “nanotechnologies” will take place.
NEW HEALTH, NEW DRUGS
• Between 2010 and 2020 a new disease will spread: “ortorexia” a new pathological form of obsession for extreme health.
• Between 2015 and 2030, one hundred million people in the world will feed themselves mainly by pills that have predetermined flavours and nutritive characteristics based on their personal taste and the prescriptions of the dieticians.
ARTIFICIAL BEAUTY
• Before 2020 cosmetic surgery will be considered an investment in order to obtain a bigger success in both personal and professional relations.
• In 2025 cosmetic surgery will be a mass phenomenon and less than 50% of the people born in this century will conserve their bodies without modifying it by cosmetic surgery throughout their lives.
• In the future of our bodies aesthetics there will be less and less scalpels, as a result of new scientific disciplines that will be applied such as the “bio-mecatronics” (integration between artificial components and human tissues), genetic engineering and the nanotechnology.
• Before 2050 ,25 million people will choose to have a new face.
Vienna 1787
