global rice stocks expand as production exceeds consumption€¦ · imports had been substituted...

Grain:

World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Foreign

Agricultural

Service

October 2016

Global Rice Stocks Expand as Production Exceeds Consumption

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Global rice stocks are forecast to expand on record production, with 2016/17 ending stocks now forecast at the

highest level in over a dozen years. Production is set to hit a record 483 million tons, up over 11 million tons

from the prior year. Top producers China and India are up 1 and 2 percent, respectively. In addition,

production for second-largest exporter Thailand is forecast up 18 percent, while the U.S. crop is up 23 percent.

Amid the contraction in rice production for 2015/16, some food and feed consumption shifted to wheat, given

its greater abundance and lower prices. Rice consumption dropped significantly, particularly in India and

Thailand. Although global consumption is forecast up, record production will lead to a build-up of stocks in

the current year.

The location of the stocks is significant, as they are not set to expand in all countries. Thai stocks are forecast

at their lowest level in 6 years, as the Thai Government remains committed to offloading the burdensome

stocks accumulated under the previous regime. Likewise, Indian stocks are forecast to decline modestly in the

coming year, as consumption is expected to rebound and exports will remain robust. In contrast, with a large

crop, U.S. stocks are forecast at the highest level since the mid-1980s. Overshadowing all of this is the

situation in China, the world’s largest producer, consumer, and importer. With consumption relatively flat and

policies that favor expanded production, China is forecast to hold nearly 60 percent of global stocks by the end

of 2016/17.

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Global Ending Stocks

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Milled Production Consumption

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2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................... 9

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)

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and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

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Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

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All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.1 56.1 62.9 7.1 6.1 7.5 361.1 345.5 382.5

Other 673.2 678.9 681.5 471.6 466.0 475.8 653.3 613.6 643.2

World Total 728.3 735.0 744.4 478.7 472.1 483.3 1,014.4 959.1 1,025.7

Domestic Consumption


Other 669.5 677.4 695.7 471.4 465.8 471.4 662.1 678.4 696.4

World Total 700.8 709.4 731.0 475.7 469.3 475.6 963.9 977.2 1,008.8

Ending Stocks


Other 195.6 213.1 217.4 113.0 114.1 118.8 164.9 166.0 157.9

World Total 216.1 239.7 248.4 114.6 115.6 120.7 208.9 210.1 216.8

TY Imports


Other 155.0 165.5 167.4 38.8 37.0 38.0 124.6 136.2 134.8

World Total 159.0 168.6 170.8 39.6 37.8 38.8 125.4 137.9 136.1

TY Exports


Other 138.8 150.3 147.5 39.3 36.9 37.5 81.2 92.5 82.8

World Total 161.8 172.2 173.5 42.7 40.4 41.1 128.0 143.0 139.3

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

Global production in 2016/17 is lowered slightly but remains a record. Larger crops in Australia,

Brazil, and Canada are more than offset by cuts in the EU and the United States. Global trade is

raised to a new record. The upward revision is based primarily on larger projected imports for

Brazil, India, and the United States. Lower import demand in Egypt is partly offsetting. Exports

are raised for Australia, Canada, Ukraine, and the United States. EU exports are cut again this

month due to tighter supplies. The U.S. season-average farm price is up 10 cents to $3.70 per

bushel.

U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: During September, prices for Hard Red Winter (HRW), Hard Red Spring (HRS), and

Soft Red Winter (SRW) classes jumped and continue to be supported by growing uncertainty

over crop quality, particularly in Australia and Canada. Overall, HRS rose $23 to $264/ton,

HRW climbed $15 to $195/ton, and SRW was up $16 to $186/ton. Soft White Winter (SWW)

ended the month down $7 to $198/ton.

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T

U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

*Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17

Selected Exporters

Australia is raised 1.0 million tons to 20.5 million based on a larger crop. Australia has

become more competitive in the region as witnessed by strong sales in recent months.

Canada is up 500,000 tons to 21.5 million on larger supplies and strong early-season

shipments.

EU is slashed 1.0 million tons to 25.0 million on large production cuts in major exporting

countries, particularly France and Germany.

Ukraine is up 500,000 tons to 15.5 million on recent large sales, particularly to India.

United States is boosted 500,000 tons to 26.0 million on a strong early-season pace of

sales and shipments.

Selected Importers

Brazil is raised 500,000 tons to 6.3 million on the strong pace of deliveries to date.

Egypt is cut 400,000 tons to 11.8 million resulting from continuing efforts to reduce

corruption in segments of the wheat industry. Imports had been substituted for domestic

production and this will likely be curtailed to some extent.

India is boosted 1.0 million tons to 3.0 million because the government lowered the

import duty from 25 to 10 percent. Import prices are already much lower than domestic

and the reduced duty should stimulate even more demand.

United States is up 300,000 tons to 3.4 million due to the strong pace to date and larger

expected imports from Canada over the coming months.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

8,0008,0008,8604,2001,6757,450 Argentina

20,50019,50015,78216,57518,33921,269 Australia

1,5001,5001,0631,688811,753 Brazil

21,50021,00022,14124,87722,15618,584 Canada

25,00026,00034,67735,41832,03222,786 European Union

8,5008,5007,6005,5078,0006,801 Kazakhstan

1,5001,3001,5681,1041,322729 Mexico

30,00030,00025,54322,80018,60911,308 Russia

5,6005,6005,6094,1344,2933,583 Turkey

15,50015,00017,43111,2699,7557,190 Ukraine

9,9479,94710,03311,21414,72618,117 Others

147,547146,347150,307138,786130,988119,570 Subtotal

26,00025,50021,85622,99931,51927,734 United States

173,547171,847172,163161,785162,507147,304 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,7002,7002,7002,0002,0501,600 Afghanistan

8,2008,2008,1537,2577,4846,484 Algeria

4,7004,7004,6933,9153,3542,725 Bangladesh

6,3005,8005,9255,8697,0617,547 Brazil

3,5003,5003,4761,9266,7732,960 China

2,0001,9002,0321,6271,7331,507 Colombia

11,80012,20011,92511,30010,1508,400 Egypt

7,0007,0006,9165,9753,9765,276 European Union

3,0002,0003002732220 India

8,5008,50010,1167,4787,3917,146 Indonesia

2,3002,3002,2202,2533,2463,948 Iraq

5,8005,8005,7155,8786,1236,598 Japan

5,0005,0004,4203,9424,2885,439 Korea, South

4,6004,4004,8054,4764,6393,823 Mexico

5,0005,0004,5034,0863,9283,825 Morocco

4,4004,4004,4104,2444,5804,168 Nigeria

5,0005,0004,8505,0553,4763,620 Philippines

3,5003,5002,9313,4873,4291,921 Saudi Arabia

2,3002,3002,0212,6322,6641,793 Sudan

2,3002,3009658651,603963 Syria

3,6003,6004,8143,4881,6841,840 Thailand

5,0005,0004,3965,9604,1493,312 Turkey

2,7002,7002,6542,2302,2241,863 Uzbekistan

2,7002,7003,0692,2962,1571,671 Vietnam

3,3503,3503,3233,2453,4253,207 Yemen

52,16152,06154,24053,25954,02049,684 Others

167,411165,911165,572155,016155,629141,340 Subtotal

2,7362,8363,5352,8052,1182,513 Unaccounted

3,4003,1003,0563,9644,7603,451 United States

173,547171,847172,163161,785162,507147,304 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

14,40014,40011,30013,93010,5009,300 Argentina

28,30027,50024,50023,91025,30322,856 Australia

6,3406,0005,5406,0005,3004,380 Brazil

31,50030,50027,59429,42037,53027,205 Canada

128,000128,000130,190126,208121,930121,023 China

8,1008,1008,1008,3008,2508,500 Egypt

143,224145,270160,012156,922144,583133,949 European Union

90,00090,00086,53095,85093,50694,882 India

15,50015,50015,00013,00014,50013,800 Iran

16,50016,50013,74812,99613,9419,841 Kazakhstan

25,30025,30025,10025,97924,21123,473 Pakistan

72,00072,00061,04459,08052,09137,720 Russia

17,50017,50019,50015,25018,75016,000 Turkey

27,00027,00027,27424,75022,27815,761 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,1506,8006,700 Uzbekistan

50,71750,92256,26754,36157,46951,615 Others

681,581681,692678,899673,106656,942597,005 Subtotal

62,85963,15656,11755,14758,10561,298 United States

744,440744,848735,016728,253715,047658,303 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,45010,45010,25010,0509,8509,450 Algeria

10,60010,10010,50010,70011,40010,900 Brazil

9,2009,0007,8329,0979,4159,555 Canada

117,000117,000112,000116,500116,500125,000 China

19,70019,80019,20019,10018,50018,700 Egypt

128,700129,300130,984124,677117,300119,250 European Union

96,10095,10088,64193,12293,84883,824 India

9,3009,3009,1007,3657,1656,950 Indonesia

18,50018,50018,00017,50017,00016,000 Iran

10,20010,2009,8009,0009,0008,300 Morocco

24,50024,50024,40024,50024,10023,900 Pakistan

38,50038,50037,00035,50034,10033,550 Russia

17,80017,80018,00017,50017,75017,650 Turkey

12,00012,50012,50012,00011,50011,400 Ukraine

9,7009,7009,3508,9008,4008,000 Uzbekistan

163,414163,360159,799153,968150,244146,722 Others

700,433699,471679,418674,803663,600641,292 Subtotal

35,29937,20432,01931,33434,26137,810 United States

735,732736,675711,437706,137697,861679,102 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,7526,9526,2624,8374,5584,663 Australia

5,9525,6525,1677,05410,4055,112 Canada

110,742110,74297,04276,10565,27453,960 China

10,53112,03814,00712,7409,93810,711 European Union

11,00011,00014,50017,20017,83024,200 India

5,9765,9768,1767,9167,3015,116 Iran

9,6019,5705,6016,2855,1774,933 Russia

56,83257,20362,35063,46657,41648,545 Others

217,386219,133213,105195,603177,899157,240 Subtotal

30,98129,93426,55420,47716,06519,538 United States

248,367249,067239,659216,080193,964176,778 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

7,759 North America 9,841 8,930 8,353 7,985 8,485

1,654 Central America 1,833 1,834 1,833 1,950 1,950

14,422 South America 14,866 13,132 13,343 13,325 13,925

5,276 European Union - 28 3,976 5,975 6,916 7,000 7,000

1,632 Other Europe 1,858 1,760 1,828 1,795 1,795

7,246 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,506 7,681 7,371 7,545 7,545

24,250 Middle East 28,434 26,921 24,376 25,275 25,275

22,047 North Africa 25,246 25,430 27,852 28,450 28,100

18,585 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,502 21,288 23,160 22,600 22,650

17,354 East Asia 19,465 14,115 16,224 16,810 16,810

5,308 South Asia 6,721 8,149 8,785 10,606 11,606

16,294 Southeast Asia 17,101 20,541 25,429 22,350 22,350

2,964 Others 3,040 3,224 3,158 3,320 3,320

144,791 Total 160,389 158,980 168,628 169,011 170,811

Production none

91,734 North America 99,012 88,254 87,462 97,556 98,259

18,011 South America 19,762 24,152 21,259 24,173 24,513

133,949 European Union - 28 144,583 156,922 160,012 145,270 143,224

3,431 Other Europe 4,103 3,929 4,067 4,606 4,606


36,884 Middle East 41,708 35,414 41,795 39,310 39,310

17,328 North Africa 19,656 17,010 19,910 14,200 14,131


122,490 East Asia 123,248 127,650 131,524 129,360 129,360

126,412 South Asia 125,917 130,154 119,840 123,645 123,645

23,345 Oceania 25,751 24,324 24,925 27,930 28,730

181 Others 187 186 191 191 191

658,303 Total 715,047 728,253 735,016 744,848 744,440

Domestic Consumption none

53,990 North America 50,326 47,281 46,851 53,324 51,619

26,212 South America 27,126 26,780 26,860 26,620 27,120

119,250 European Union - 28 117,300 124,677 130,984 129,300 128,700

4,721 Other Europe 4,807 4,850 4,905 5,120 5,120


56,636 Middle East 58,717 58,412 60,090 60,970 60,970

41,290 North Africa 42,425 42,651 43,621 44,850 44,800


140,071 East Asia 130,201 129,513 125,230 131,200 131,200

121,007 South Asia 132,041 132,322 129,049 136,621 137,621

16,515 Southeast Asia 16,560 19,265 23,155 22,840 22,840

8,111 Oceania 8,280 8,569 8,612 8,865 8,865

3,366 Others 3,494 3,571 3,574 3,774 3,774

686,961 Total 690,333 700,813 709,375 732,314 730,963

Ending Stocks none

24,925 North America 26,789 28,059 32,237 36,150 37,329

3,538 South America 6,834 8,268 5,023 4,798 5,230

10,711 European Union - 28 9,938 12,740 14,007 12,038 10,531

1,057 Other Europe 935 1,101 1,136 1,042 1,042


14,069 Middle East 18,620 18,213 18,460 15,423 15,430

11,499 North Africa 13,506 12,688 16,037 13,194 12,628


57,214 East Asia 68,314 79,228 100,461 114,091 114,091

27,995 South Asia 21,661 23,185 21,170 17,350 17,350

3,718 Southeast Asia 3,466 3,892 5,293 3,917 3,918

4,978 Oceania 4,861 5,123 6,519 7,219 7,019

341 Others 367 388 359 396 380

176,778 Total 193,964 216,080 239,659 249,067 248,367

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2016/17, global production is raised this month to a new record, mostly on a larger crop in

Thailand. Imports are up slightly, and larger exports for India and Thailand more than offset

reductions for Vietnam, Brazil, and the United States. Consumption is lower, but still higher

than the prior year. Stocks are raised on adjustments to Thailand, China, Vietnam, and Egypt.

PRICES

Despite initial concerns about impacts from lower production in 2015/16, prices have recently

been pressured lower on upcoming harvests and weak demand from traditionally large importers.

Over the past month, Thai prices have declined $13 to $378/ton as supplies of new-crop have

gradually started to enter the market. Indian quotes slid $5 to $350/ton on anticipation of a large

new crop. Pakistani quotes are down $15 to $325/ton on pressure of a new harvest. Vietnamese

quotes are down $10 to $337/ton on lighter trade to date.

300

320

340

360

380

400

420

440

$/MT Asian Prices Decline Amid Weak Demand

THAI 100B VIET 5% INDI 5% PAK 5%


10

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2017

Brazil exports are lowered 150,000 tons to 650,000 on reduced supplies.

Benin imports are raised 125,000 tons to 425,000 on continued growth in consumption.

Egypt exports are up 100,000 tons to 300,000 on larger supplies. Imports soar 265,000

tons to 300,000 to reflect anticipated purchases from India to supplement government

reserves.

India exports are boosted 500,000 tons to 10.0 million on ample supplies and likely

additional shipments to Egypt.

Philippines imports are lowered 100,000 tons to 1.4 million on more modest import

demand.

Thailand exports are raised 500,000 tons to 9.5 million on increased competitiveness

with improved crop prospects and adequate supplies.

United States exports are down 100,000 tons to 3.6 million on tepid demand from

Middle Eastern markets and increased competition from other medium-grain suppliers.

Vietnam exports are cut 600,000 tons to 5.8 million on reduced competitiveness relative

to other major exporters.

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2016 – based on trade data

Cambodia exports are raised 100,000 tons to 1.0 million.

China imports are cut 200,000 tons to 4.8 million.

Indonesia imports are lowered by 300,000 tons to 1.2 million.

India exports are up 500,000 tons to 10.5 million.

Iraq imports are down 100,000 tons to 950,000.

Nepal imports are trimmed 50,000 tons to 450,000.

Nigeria imports are lowered 100,000 tons to 2.0 million.

Pakistan exports are cut 300,000 tons to 4.2 million.

Philippines imports are down 400,000 tons to 1.1 million.

Thailand exports are lowered 500,000 tons to 9.2 million.

Vietnam exports are slashed 600,000 tons to 5.4 million.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

550550560310494526 Argentina

250250150323404460 Australia

650800700895852830 Brazil

1,7001,7001,4001,7351,6881,163 Burma

1,0501,0501,0001,1501,0001,075 Cambodia

300300275262393447 China

300200200250600700 Egypt

280280270251284203 European Union

540540540520446346 Guyana

10,0009,50010,50011,04611,58810,480 India

4,2004,2504,2004,0003,7004,126 Pakistan

470470480371380365 Paraguay

9,5009,0009,2009,77910,9696,722 Thailand

840840900718957939 Uruguay

5,8006,4005,4006,6066,3256,700 Vietnam

1,1001,1001,1431,0901,0811,116 Others

37,53037,23036,91839,30641,16136,198 Subtotal

3,5503,6503,4503,3552,9473,295 United States

41,08040,88040,36842,66144,10839,493 World Total

none

TY Imports

475475450450500430 Angola

425350400350350350 Benin

650600750363586712 Brazil

530530530525610550 Cameroon

5,0005,0004,8005,1504,4503,500 China

1,2001,2001,2501,150950830 Cote d'Ivoire

510510530575377413 Cuba

1,7501,7501,7501,7861,5561,375 European Union

650650650500590725 Ghana

490490470447387416 Haiti

1,2501,2501,2001,3501,225650 Indonesia

1,0501,0501,1001,3001,4002,220 Iran

1,0501,1009501,0091,0801,294 Iraq

700700700688669690 Japan

470470460450440410 Kenya

1,0501,0501,0201,051989885 Malaysia

750750700719684746 Mexico

600560575575590500 Mozambique

550550450529510340 Nepal

1,9001,9002,0002,1003,2002,400 Nigeria

1,4001,5001,1002,0001,8001,000 Philippines

1,5501,5501,5501,6001,4591,326 Saudi Arabia

990990985990960902 Senegal

9259251,000912910990 South Africa

610610600580560540 United Arab Emirates

11,46411,28411,08911,69013,53511,573 Others

37,98937,79437,05938,83940,36735,767 Subtotal

2,3162,3112,5443,0642,9863,051 Unaccounted

775775765758755675 United States

41,08040,88040,36842,66144,10839,493 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Milled Production

34,51534,51534,50034,50034,39033,820 Bangladesh

8,0258,5007,2108,4658,3008,037 Brazil

12,50012,50012,20012,60011,95711,715 Burma

4,7004,7004,7054,7004,7254,670 Cambodia

146,500146,500145,770144,560142,530143,000 China

4,5544,0004,0004,5304,7504,675 Egypt

106,500106,500104,320105,482106,646105,241 India

36,60036,60036,20035,56036,30036,550 Indonesia

7,6807,6807,6537,8497,9317,907 Japan

4,0004,0004,3274,2414,2304,006 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1003,1003,3613,003 Nepal

6,9006,9006,7006,9006,7985,536 Pakistan

12,00012,00011,35011,91511,85811,428 Philippines

18,60017,00015,80018,75020,46020,200 Thailand

27,80027,80027,45828,16628,16127,537 Vietnam

41,79341,90440,69240,31239,92538,823 Others

475,767474,199465,985471,630472,322466,148 Subtotal

7,4937,5306,1077,1066,1176,348 United States

483,260481,729472,092478,736478,439472,496 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,00035,00035,10035,10034,90034,500 Bangladesh

7,9007,9507,8007,9257,9007,850 Brazil

10,85010,85010,70010,50010,45010,400 Burma

3,6503,6003,6503,6153,6503,550 Cambodia

144,000144,500144,000144,500143,000141,000 China

4,0003,9503,9004,0004,0004,050 Egypt

97,00097,00094,02098,24498,72793,972 India

37,70038,00038,00038,30038,50038,127 Indonesia

8,7008,7008,6008,6008,3808,351 Japan

4,3344,3344,2544,1974,4224,489 Korea, South

3,6503,6503,5003,7163,8113,353 Nepal

5,0005,1005,2005,4005,5005,300 Nigeria

13,30013,30013,20013,20012,85012,850 Philippines

10,60011,1009,80010,50010,60010,600 Thailand

22,20022,00022,00022,00022,00021,600 Vietnam

63,53863,32662,08061,57961,21159,066 Others

473,933474,581467,570473,828474,332461,671 Subtotal

4,2234,2233,5294,3013,9773,779 United States

478,156478,804471,099478,129478,309465,450 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

70,93569,90663,73557,43653,10249,832 China

17,30017,80017,80017,80022,80025,500 India

3,6613,5613,5114,1115,5016,476 Indonesia

2,0892,0892,4942,8213,0072,857 Japan

1,9011,9011,8271,406899780 Korea, South

6,6203,3207,87010,77011,99912,808 Thailand

1,9171,0171,7171,2591,2991,163 Vietnam

14,34414,13215,16917,45014,36613,296 Others

118,767113,726114,123113,053112,973112,712 Subtotal

1,9351,8771,4751,5521,0251,156 United States

120,702115,603115,598114,605113,998113,868 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,776 North America 1,800 1,839 1,825 1,890 1,890

971 Caribbean 901 1,173 1,160 1,155 1,155

1,833 South America 1,814 1,679 1,897 1,862 1,912

125 Other Europe 132 128 135 140 140

557 Former Soviet Union - 12 626 569 501 531 531

7,252 Middle East 6,711 6,462 5,920 6,230 6,180

487 North Africa 485 391 470 405 670


5,349 East Asia 6,045 6,686 6,406 6,631 6,631

722 South Asia 2,566 1,692 820 980 900

3,606 Southeast Asia 5,023 5,674 4,650 4,960 4,860

2,197 Others 2,392 2,515 2,695 2,590 2,585

36,442 Total 41,122 39,597 37,824 38,569 38,764

Production none

6,479 North America 6,248 7,285 6,256 7,703 7,666

974 Caribbean 1,054 1,104 996 1,055 1,055

15,852 South America 16,384 16,365 15,230 16,433 15,938

2,100 European Union - 28 1,937 1,963 2,055 2,026 2,026


2,251 Middle East 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,613 2,563

4,704 North Africa 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,000 4,554


157,953 East Asia 157,701 159,486 160,194 160,924 160,924

150,632 South Asia 154,490 153,333 152,317 154,818 154,478

115,490 Southeast Asia 116,867 115,367 111,439 114,371 115,971

1,495 Others 1,330 1,207 811 1,166 1,378

472,496 Total 478,439 478,736 472,092 481,729 483,260


4,977 North America 5,215 5,539 4,774 5,478 5,478

1,171 Central America 1,200 1,203 1,280 1,333 1,333

1,954 Caribbean 1,992 2,136 2,142 2,201 2,201

14,341 South America 14,582 14,617 14,627 14,703 14,653

3,250 European Union - 28 3,250 3,350 3,450 3,500 3,500


8,989 Middle East 9,190 9,232 8,835 9,040 8,940

4,572 North Africa 4,480 4,379 4,270 4,320 4,370


157,459 East Asia 159,414 160,566 159,754 160,759 160,259

137,403 South Asia 143,403 143,441 139,267 142,293 142,393

101,694 Southeast Asia 102,763 103,057 102,536 104,031 103,481

707 Others 708 556 530 535 545

462,837 Total 473,878 475,677 469,333 476,583 475,645

Ending Stocks none

1,345 North America 1,180 1,713 1,598 2,031 2,089

186 Central America 210 233 295 248 293

289 Caribbean 264 263 271 285 285

1,586 South America 1,844 2,105 1,332 1,552 1,288

1,188 European Union - 28 1,163 1,210 1,305 1,301 1,301

2,004 Middle East 1,864 1,775 1,177 1,025 955

427 North Africa 610 924 924 739 1,478


53,832 East Asia 57,296 61,919 68,292 74,152 75,181

26,879 South Asia 25,051 21,524 20,982 20,562 19,782

23,486 Southeast Asia 21,976 20,357 17,285 12,085 16,260

238 Oceania 241 223 73 63 180

179 Others 166 168 141 126 126

113,868 Total 113,998 114,605 115,598 115,603 120,702




14

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2016/17, global corn production is projected marginally lower from last month, but still a

record. Smaller crops for the EU, the United States, and Vietnam more than offset gains for

Brazil and Thailand. Global trade is projected higher with larger imports for the EU, Mexico,

Iran and Vietnam. Exports are raised for Argentina, Brazil, Ukraine, and the United States. The

U.S. season-average farm price is forecast 5 cents higher to $3.25 per bushel.

PRICES

FOB export quotes for most origins have been mostly range-bound over the last month. Prices

were initially edging lower, but rose following the release of the USDA Grain Stocks report that

showed smaller-than-expected corn stocks. Argentine prices are up $1/ton to $173, Brazil is

down $3/ton to $189, and U.S. quotes are down $3/ton to $162. Black Sea, however, dropped

$29/ton to $166 as a result of harvest pressure.


15


Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is up 1.5 million tons to 56.5 million, a nine-year high, based on strong early-

season sales and shipments.

Argentine corn is up 500,000 tons to 25.5 million on rising global demand and the

expectation of competitive prices later in the season.

Brazilian corn is up 1.0 million tons to 21.0 million based on a larger forecast crop.

EU corn and barley are cut 300,000 tons each to 1.7 million and to 6.2 million,

respectively, on smaller crops.

Thai corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 400,000 on larger exportable supplies.

Ukrainian corn is raised 700,000 tons to 17.7 million on expectations of stronger demand

from the EU, its top market.

Russian barley is down 400,000 tons to 4.0 million on a smaller crop.

Selected Importers

Algerian corn is up 200,000 tons to 4.3 million reflecting expectations of growing feed

demand.

EU corn is up 1.5 million tons to 13.5 million as tighter domestic feed grain supplies and

low world corn prices are expected to boost imports.

Iranian corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.0 million on expectations of stronger feed demand.

Mexican corn is up 300,000 tons to 13.8 million on a fast pace of early season sales.

Peruvian corn is raised 200,000 tons to 2.9 million on higher expected feed use,

evidenced by a fast pace of purchases from the United States.

Vietnamese corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 6.5 million to partly offset a smaller crop.


16


Selected Exporters – based on trade data

U.S. corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 50.5 million reflecting strong September

shipments. Sorghum is cut 350,000 tons to 8.0 million. Barley is cut 100,000 tons to

175,000.

Argentine corn is raised 800,000 tons to 21.3 million.

Brazilian corn is boosted 1.9 million tons to 35.4 million.

Canadian corn is up 100,000 tons to 1.8 million. Barley is down 150,000 tons to 1.2

million.

EU barley is cut 200,000 tons to 10.1 million.

Ukrainian barley is down 100,000 tons to 4.6 million.

Selected Importers – based on trade data

Algerian corn is up 200,000 tons to 4.3 million.

Brazilian corn is down 134,000 tons to 1.6 million.

Canadian corn is boosted 100,000 tons to 1.3 million.

EU corn is up 200,000 tons to 13.4 million.

Iranian corn is raised 700,000 tons to 6.6 million.

Malaysian corn is up 300,000 tons to 3.8 million.

Mexican corn is boosted 300,000 tons to 13.8 million.

Peruvian corn is raised 200,000 tons to 2.9 million.

Vietnamese corn is up 800,000 tons to 8.0 million.

Chinese sorghum is boosted 400,000 tons to 7.8 million.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

28,40527,90525,00521,00316,63029,497 Argentina

7,9757,9756,5007,2917,0096,416 Australia

21,03020,03035,41721,95422,05926,078 Brazil

3,8503,8504,6003,5975,4824,658 Canada

8,2558,85512,29215,0677,8418,943 European Union

2,3152,3152,7153,0312,7182,861 Paraguay

8,5608,9608,1609,1557,0744,366 Russia

2,2602,2601,6403,0011,799605 Serbia

1,3251,3257657662,1282,412 South Africa

22,93022,13021,28524,20824,12515,527 Ukraine

7,1807,0857,5558,02611,21510,279 Others

114,085112,690125,934117,099108,080111,642 Subtotal

63,09561,63558,71656,42356,77620,586 United States

177,180174,325184,650173,522164,856132,228 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,2255,0255,2304,8634,9463,289 Algeria

1,5501,5502,0711,0231,1841,238 Brazil

1,5901,5901,4351,710714522 Canada

2,0252,0251,8101,7071,6211,327 Chile

13,70013,70017,35025,69912,4455,603 China

4,8404,8404,8704,7474,7954,090 Colombia

8,8558,8558,5807,9408,7755,097 Egypt

14,08012,53013,7809,14616,35511,778 European Union

2,2002,2002,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia

7,6007,1008,5008,0006,6004,800 Iran

1,8101,8101,6901,6032,0731,564 Israel

16,90016,90016,94516,72617,50117,742 Japan

10,09010,09010,39010,24510,4998,265 Korea, South

1,5001,5001,7001,6851,4931,220 Libya

3,6003,6003,8003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

14,77514,47514,65011,57011,3127,624 Mexico

3,2003,3003,0002,2172,8581,832 Morocco

3,0352,8353,0252,8632,3362,404 Peru

14,01014,00514,31511,11511,33212,390 Saudi Arabia

2,6802,6802,93067723592 South Africa

4,3004,3004,4153,9494,3464,413 Taiwan

1,8001,9001,8501,5241,4491,608 Tunisia

1,8051,9051,0252,7191,9771,922 Turkey

2,2002,1001,8002,4332,6272,154 Venezuela

6,5006,0008,0006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

19,93619,87120,32718,27417,63114,940 Others

169,806166,686175,588165,754156,402123,281 Subtotal

3,9994,2645,1174,4735,1312,432 Unaccounted

3,3753,3753,9453,2953,3236,515 United States

177,180174,325184,650173,522164,856132,228 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

44,13944,13936,93935,73235,66537,246 Argentina

14,26414,16412,43712,60512,15811,414 Australia

86,01785,46369,12687,66982,60384,253 Brazil

24,57024,64025,66021,99228,74524,445 Canada

223,700223,700231,780222,750225,408212,192 China

12,75012,7509,98514,44213,07912,286 Ethiopia

151,803154,381151,816170,854159,212146,188 European Union

42,26043,20038,04343,07643,21639,910 India

9,6009,6009,3009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

31,82531,82532,18932,68932,06528,881 Mexico

18,50018,50017,95019,01519,29218,573 Nigeria

39,50040,00037,42740,38635,73528,658 Russia

13,52513,5588,36411,11015,51812,873 South Africa

10,92510,92514,2759,42513,09010,595 Turkey

37,05037,05033,38739,38940,02229,528 Ukraine

154,410154,503152,124159,022148,132145,611 Others

914,838918,398880,802929,156913,040851,153 Subtotal

399,950401,342366,989377,234367,089285,311 United States

1,314,7881,319,7401,247,7911,306,3901,280,1291,136,464 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,63915,73914,32114,23213,69512,050 Argentina

60,92261,31857,99360,02358,02855,803 Brazil

22,25522,25521,97021,29522,34520,340 Canada

245,150244,650238,895229,059223,546209,671 China

16,00816,00815,70314,80914,08012,910 Egypt

160,480160,545157,004162,555164,401153,341 European Union

40,85041,65039,49040,40037,60035,075 India

14,92014,22014,12012,02011,32010,520 Iran

17,21117,21117,24616,93317,57017,830 Japan

45,81545,51544,11542,07540,93536,195 Mexico

18,50018,50018,15018,95019,35018,700 Nigeria

30,75030,85029,84031,13928,61925,134 Russia

14,53014,52513,95012,02511,55010,925 Saudi Arabia

13,28013,28014,43013,05513,43013,005 Turkey

14,27514,67513,86015,43015,97714,661 Ukraine

244,772243,546240,850240,740227,882219,060 Others

986,314985,823934,858960,621927,454859,154 Subtotal

325,571325,650312,665311,339305,044275,537 United States

1,311,8851,311,4731,247,5231,271,9601,232,4981,134,691 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,2316,2865,6168,21314,2599,560 Brazil

3,9694,0513,9143,3344,6483,024 Canada

104,439104,599112,219102,01982,65168,377 China

11,70912,46514,56118,84515,56513,055 European Union

6,7146,7147,6747,1345,0944,654 Iran

6,5726,4476,5874,8603,4871,542 Mexico

4,1214,1204,4013,5003,9123,415 Saudi Arabia

42,60843,84743,25751,24047,73436,874 Others

186,363188,529198,229199,145177,350140,501 Subtotal

62,90164,78548,13246,94834,31323,531 United States

249,264253,314246,361246,093211,663164,032 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

14,661 North America 15,349 16,575 20,030 19,440 19,740

2,470 Central America 2,923 3,460 3,985 3,725 3,725

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,540 2,560 2,585

11,812 South America 13,182 13,353 14,019 13,800 14,105

11,778 European Union - 28 16,355 9,146 13,780 12,530 14,080


25,078 Middle East 26,614 27,769 30,415 29,525 29,880

13,046 North Africa 19,521 18,229 20,360 20,580 20,580


36,176 East Asia 44,865 56,676 49,155 45,070 45,070

7,961 Southeast Asia 12,814 14,736 15,370 13,375 13,875

1,017 Others 1,332 1,385 1,908 1,481 1,531

129,796 Total 159,725 169,049 179,533 170,061 173,181

Production none

338,637 North America 427,899 431,915 424,838 457,807 456,345

136,025 South America 131,844 136,768 119,699 143,437 143,869

146,188 European Union - 28 159,212 170,854 151,816 154,381 151,803

6,570 Other Europe 8,813 10,649 8,946 10,023 10,023


18,769 Middle East 21,774 17,888 23,382 19,972 19,972

10,155 North Africa 11,556 11,073 12,521 9,639 9,815


214,616 East Asia 227,798 225,528 234,420 226,359 226,359

47,642 South Asia 51,986 51,822 46,597 52,028 51,088

29,158 Southeast Asia 31,003 31,088 30,477 33,273 32,723

12,082 Oceania 12,805 13,273 13,144 14,804 14,904

4,833 Others 5,050 4,514 4,431 4,716 4,716

1,136,464 Total 1,280,129 1,306,390 1,247,791 1,319,740 1,314,788


332,072 North America 368,324 374,709 378,750 393,420 393,641

89,796 South America 94,375 96,974 95,382 100,674 100,413

153,341 European Union - 28 164,401 162,555 157,004 160,545 160,480

7,100 Other Europe 7,707 8,036 8,242 8,312 8,312


43,027 Middle East 45,892 45,706 51,582 50,937 51,667

24,941 North Africa 27,987 30,177 32,104 31,588 31,888


242,831 East Asia 257,690 262,977 273,307 278,837 279,337

42,704 South Asia 46,167 49,321 48,995 51,134 50,384

35,787 Southeast Asia 38,943 41,558 43,405 44,916 44,616

6,107 Oceania 5,764 5,846 6,359 6,549 6,649

9,573 Others 10,075 10,243 10,823 10,944 10,969

1,140,757 Total 1,225,372 1,256,079 1,264,602 1,300,137 1,300,928

Ending Stocks none

28,097 North America 42,448 55,142 58,633 75,283 73,442

15,559 South America 21,435 14,724 11,678 13,496 12,589

13,055 European Union - 28 15,565 18,845 14,561 12,465 11,709

631 Other Europe 751 1,064 936 1,281 1,284


10,118 Middle East 11,911 12,774 14,751 12,869 12,766

3,553 North Africa 5,666 5,514 5,886 4,316 4,283


71,678 East Asia 86,663 105,873 116,106 108,328 108,168

2,408 South Asia 4,099 5,296 3,084 3,341 3,579

3,230 Southeast Asia 4,472 4,516 4,583 4,533 4,180

902 Oceania 1,115 1,624 1,695 2,020 2,020

769 Others 950 967 1,057 1,039 1,089

164,032 Total 211,663 246,093 246,361 253,314 249,264




World Corn Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

25,50025,00021,30018,44812,84622,789 Argentina

21,00020,00035,38221,90922,04126,044 Brazil

950950900850700550 Burma

1,7002,0001,8004,0262,4042,194 European Union

8008001,000784501522 Mexico

2,3002,3002,7003,0122,7142,858 Paraguay

4,5004,5004,4003,2134,1941,917 Russia

2,2002,2001,6002,9641,780578 Serbia

1,3001,3007507462,1042,398 South Africa

17,70017,00016,50019,66120,00412,726 Ukraine

4,8254,6306,1605,58210,4519,708 Others

82,77580,68092,49281,19579,73982,284 Subtotal

56,50055,00050,50046,83150,69118,262 United States

139,275135,680142,992128,026130,430100,546 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,3004,1004,3004,1164,1562,918 Algeria

1,5001,5001,3001,533678492 Canada

1,8001,8001,6001,5161,456844 Chile

3,0003,0003,1805,5163,2772,702 China

4,5004,5004,5004,4964,4363,266 Colombia

1,2501,2251,2751,2021,0111,046 Dominican Republic

8,7508,7508,5007,8418,7265,059 Egypt

13,50012,00013,4008,64616,01411,362 European Union

2,2002,2002,1003,3813,5132,719 Indonesia

6,0005,5006,6006,1005,5003,700 Iran

1,5001,5001,4001,2961,6521,224 Israel

15,00015,00015,00014,65715,12114,411 Japan

10,00010,00010,30010,16810,4068,174 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,8003,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

13,80013,50013,80011,26910,9495,676 Mexico

2,3002,3002,1001,9412,3491,684 Morocco

2,9002,7002,9002,7412,2322,254 Peru

3,5003,5003,6002,9042,6842,063 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,5002,700469790 South Africa

4,2004,2004,3003,8214,1794,241 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,2001,041993846 Tunisia

1,5001,5009002,3771,3811,656 Turkey

2,2002,1001,8002,4332,6262,154 Venezuela

6,5006,0008,0006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4001,400800700600700 Zimbabwe

15,95515,86516,84514,47214,15811,026 Others

134,855131,440136,200124,574125,96194,865 Subtotal

3,1702,9905,0772,6433,7421,416 Unaccounted

1,2501,2501,7158097274,265 United States

139,275135,680142,992128,026130,430100,546 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

36,50036,50028,00028,70026,00027,000 Argentina

83,50082,50067,00085,00080,00081,500 Brazil

12,50012,35013,60011,48714,19413,060 Canada

216,000216,000224,580215,646218,490205,614 China

6,3006,3005,0507,2356,4926,158 Ethiopia

60,27961,14958,48175,84064,93159,142 European Union

24,50024,50021,80024,17024,25922,258 India

9,6009,6009,3009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

24,50024,50025,80025,48022,88021,591 Mexico

7,2007,2007,0007,5157,7007,630 Nigeria

7,9008,0007,5007,6717,5327,261 Philippines

14,00014,00013,16811,32511,6358,213 Russia

7,0007,0006,0007,7005,9003,750 Serbia

13,00013,0007,90010,62914,92512,365 South Africa

26,00026,00023,33328,45030,90020,922 Ukraine

94,43894,63395,14397,43194,60691,612 Others

643,217643,232613,655653,279639,544596,576 Subtotal

382,476383,378345,486361,091351,272273,192 United States

1,025,6931,026,610959,1411,014,370990,816869,768 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,50010,6009,3009,3008,8007,900 Argentina

58,00058,00055,30057,00055,00052,500 Brazil

13,30013,30013,10012,82012,67511,604 Canada

226,000226,000217,500202,000208,000200,000 China

15,05015,05014,75013,90013,20012,000 Egypt

73,80073,20072,71477,88076,79669,846 European Union

23,30023,30022,65022,30019,60017,500 India

11,60011,60011,30012,20011,90010,900 Indonesia

9,3008,6008,8007,4006,8006,200 Iran

15,10015,10015,10014,60015,00014,300 Japan

10,10010,10010,35010,2509,8918,481 Korea, South

37,50037,20036,90034,45031,70027,000 Mexico

9,5009,5008,9008,1007,5006,400 Russia

11,30011,30011,20011,65011,50011,000 South Africa

12,10012,50012,0009,4007,7006,400 Vietnam

159,901159,003158,532158,828153,718144,327 Others

706,499703,961659,174678,964655,847601,837 Subtotal

312,434312,434298,831301,792292,958262,973 United States

1,018,9331,016,395958,005980,756948,805864,810 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,1193,0191,1141,9091,4081,308 Argentina

5,9425,9425,3427,84213,9729,150 Brazil

103,694103,654110,714100,46481,31567,570 China

5,1175,1896,8389,4716,8915,146 European Union

5,2965,2966,0565,7164,4763,236 Iran

5,8185,7185,8184,1182,603975 Mexico

2,1481,8981,4482,4482,198664 South Africa

27,74228,20028,58032,97331,14624,382 Others

157,876158,916165,910164,941144,009112,431 Subtotal

58,93560,54744,14143,97431,29220,859 United States

216,811219,463210,051208,915175,301133,290 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

10,433 North America 12,354 13,611 16,815 16,250 16,550

2,470 Central America 2,922 3,460 3,985 3,725 3,725

9,651 South America 12,027 12,040 12,574 12,550 12,855

11,362 European Union - 28 16,014 8,646 13,400 12,000 13,500


10,944 Middle East 13,812 15,238 15,520 14,725 15,275

11,154 North Africa 17,036 15,623 16,800 17,050 17,250


29,681 East Asia 33,057 34,219 32,835 32,280 32,280

7,943 Southeast Asia 12,768 14,722 15,355 13,360 13,860

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,540 2,560 2,585

751 Others 979 1,106 1,375 1,135 1,135

99,130 Total 126,688 125,383 137,915 132,690 136,105

Production none

307,843 North America 388,346 398,058 384,886 420,228 419,476

120,997 South America 117,456 125,140 106,459 130,299 131,199

59,142 European Union - 28 64,931 75,840 58,481 61,149 60,279

4,915 Other Europe 7,210 8,945 7,176 8,229 8,229


7,480 Middle East 8,158 7,838 9,228 8,508 8,508

5,919 North Africa 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201 6,201


207,737 East Asia 220,583 218,095 226,928 218,358 218,358

28,857 South Asia 31,865 31,740 29,170 32,070 32,070

3,743 Central America 3,893 3,366 3,300 3,560 3,560

28,893 Southeast Asia 30,721 30,794 30,182 32,983 32,433

1,377 Others 1,320 1,441 1,377 1,337 1,437

869,768 Total 990,816 1,014,370 959,141 1,026,610 1,025,693


301,577 North America 337,333 349,062 348,831 362,934 363,234

78,981 South America 83,551 86,376 84,750 89,105 89,260

69,846 European Union - 28 76,796 77,880 72,714 73,200 73,800

5,194 Other Europe 5,847 6,122 6,315 6,310 6,310


18,710 Middle East 19,785 21,810 24,025 23,935 24,660

18,450 North Africa 20,800 22,100 23,150 23,675 23,875


229,234 East Asia 239,185 233,237 249,430 257,755 257,755

23,980 South Asia 26,982 30,007 30,720 31,470 31,470

35,509 Southeast Asia 38,654 41,224 43,100 44,610 44,310

6,175 Central America 6,650 6,690 7,130 7,225 7,225

3,556 Others 3,581 3,979 3,944 3,865 3,990

869,331 Total 942,738 963,870 977,227 1,006,787 1,008,785

Ending Stocks none

23,383 North America 35,495 49,494 51,449 67,717 66,243

13,628 South America 19,022 12,664 9,408 11,607 10,757

5,146 European Union - 28 6,891 9,471 6,838 5,189 5,117

384 Other Europe 505 860 764 1,120 1,123


4,286 Middle East 6,035 7,200 7,639 6,621 6,617

1,771 North Africa 3,117 3,306 2,904 2,434 2,470


70,378 East Asia 84,856 103,925 114,248 107,071 107,111

1,744 South Asia 3,005 3,935 2,470 2,550 2,840

3,225 Southeast Asia 4,466 4,510 4,577 4,533 4,180

474 Central America 610 587 715 755 755

334 Others 397 453 420 347 397

133,290 Total 175,301 208,915 210,051 219,463 216,811




World Barley Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

2,1002,1002,8001,5992,8293,647 Argentina

6,7006,7005,2005,2666,2614,622 Australia

1,6001,6001,1501,3841,7141,316 Canada

6,2006,50010,10010,6424,9266,501 European Union

10020010097546546 India

700700800476501151 Kazakhstan

4,0004,4003,7005,8072,7912,366 Russia

606040371826 Serbia

5,0005,0004,6004,3323,8272,659 Ukraine

5050254336107 Uruguay

7575401234258 Others

26,58527,38528,55529,80623,49121,999 Subtotal

260300175291336163 United States

26,84527,68528,73030,09723,82722,162 World Total

none

TY Imports

900900900723778364 Algeria

450450500489337369 Brazil

5,0005,0006,2009,8594,8912,183 China

285285300249253232 Colombia

10010075984637 Egypt

3503002002695853 European Union

1,6001,6001,9001,9001,1001,100 Iran

275275250278304244 Israel

1,1001,1001,1001,0971,2941,356 Japan

800900850759997831 Jordan

400400400412436388 Kuwait

8008001,0001,001681573 Libya

17517517518610847 Mexico

9001,000900276471148 Morocco

11011010012287103 Peru

10,50010,50010,7008,2008,50010,200 Saudi Arabia

200200100100100300 Syria

600700650483456762 Tunisia

300400120332596266 Turkey

400400400394468541 United Arab Emirates

9619611,1081,2431,0791,116 Others

26,20626,55627,92828,47023,04021,213 Subtotal

2397294221,197264518 Unaccounted

400400380430523431 United States

26,84527,68528,73030,09723,82722,162 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

3,6503,6504,9402,9004,7505,000 Argentina

9,9009,9008,5938,6469,1747,472 Australia

2,1002,1002,0001,9881,6741,917 Belarus

8,5008,7008,2257,11910,2378,012 Canada

2,0002,0001,8001,8101,7001,626 China

2,0502,0501,9501,9531,9081,782 Ethiopia

59,58460,02661,52060,65859,67454,875 European Union

1,5101,7001,6131,8311,7521,619 India

3,8003,8003,8003,2002,8002,770 Iran

1,1001,1001,0501,000944500 Iraq

2,7002,7002,6752,4122,5391,500 Kazakhstan

1,0769003,5001,7002,7231,201 Morocco

18,00018,50017,08320,02615,38913,952 Russia

4,7504,7507,4004,0007,3005,500 Turkey

9,7009,7008,7519,4507,5616,935 Ukraine

8,9949,0299,1349,1229,4259,354 Others

139,414140,605144,034137,815139,550124,015 Subtotal

4,3394,1294,7503,9534,7194,768 United States

143,753144,734148,784141,768144,269128,783 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,1502,0502,0502,000 Algeria

1,6001,6001,6001,5001,7001,300 Argentina

3,0003,0003,0003,0002,8003,000 Australia

2,1002,1002,0002,0001,8002,000 Belarus

6,9656,9656,9566,4717,7186,811 Canada

7,1007,1008,20011,6006,3004,000 China

2,0252,0252,0101,9751,9251,725 Ethiopia

54,10053,90051,70050,90053,40051,000 European Union

5,6005,6005,3004,6004,5004,300 Iran

2,0002,0002,0002,0002,0001,375 Kazakhstan

2,8002,7003,4502,7002,3001,900 Morocco

13,90014,00013,60014,10012,70012,100 Russia

10,72510,72510,2258,5258,6258,325 Saudi Arabia

5,5005,5006,9005,3506,9506,200 Turkey

4,9004,9004,7004,7005,0005,100 Ukraine

17,15417,17417,24216,72416,46115,749 Others

141,644142,328143,122137,297136,003126,429 Subtotal

4,6374,4194,4064,2354,7754,638 United States

146,281146,747147,528141,532140,778131,067 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2041,2041,3541,3041,1781,217 Algeria

1,4131,4131,2131,120693536 Australia

1,5531,6531,4431,2171,950983 Canada

4,8775,1725,2435,9205,6215,044 European Union

1,4181,4181,6181,4186181,418 Iran

9869868361,533904726 Russia

3,6513,6513,8663,0813,3963,006 Saudi Arabia

5,5865,8227,5626,7987,7155,695 Others

20,68821,31923,13522,39122,07518,625 Subtotal

2,1422,0492,2231,7111,7911,750 United States

22,83023,36825,35824,10223,86620,375 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

499 North America 640 781 680 650 650

1,064 South America 886 1,169 1,170 980 980

53 European Union - 28 58 269 200 300 350

126 Other Europe 163 120 102 155 155


13,906 Middle East 12,537 12,480 14,830 14,755 14,555

1,884 North Africa 2,432 2,581 3,525 3,500 3,300

52 Sub-Saharan Africa 116 138 90 120 120

3,668 East Asia 6,320 11,080 7,425 6,225 6,225

6 South Asia 13 24 121 16 16

8 Oceania 46 32 10 25 25

21,644 Total 23,563 28,900 28,308 26,956 26,606

Production none

13,812 North America 15,550 11,918 13,727 13,564 13,574

5,884 South America 5,737 3,769 5,939 4,957 4,955

54,875 European Union - 28 59,674 60,658 61,520 60,026 59,584

1,188 Other Europe 1,151 1,223 1,287 1,307 1,307


9,689 Middle East 12,047 8,653 12,858 10,068 10,068

3,307 North Africa 4,748 4,010 5,399 2,508 2,684


1,920 East Asia 1,991 2,134 2,088 2,297 2,297

1,956 South Asia 2,261 2,340 2,116 2,232 2,042

7,911 Oceania 9,591 9,052 9,030 10,300 10,300

128,783 Total 144,269 141,768 148,784 144,734 143,753


12,349 North America 13,243 11,556 12,287 12,309 12,527

3,152 South America 3,528 3,398 3,778 3,813 3,793

51,000 European Union - 28 53,400 50,900 51,700 53,900 54,100

1,298 Other Europe 1,298 1,354 1,349 1,409 1,409


22,435 Middle East 24,410 22,277 26,186 25,566 25,566

5,560 North Africa 6,230 7,159 8,003 6,958 7,058


5,812 East Asia 8,009 13,192 9,780 8,660 8,660

1,868 South Asia 1,715 1,915 2,063 2,088 2,088

3,425 Oceania 3,250 3,450 3,450 3,425 3,425

131,523 Total 141,004 142,430 145,439 145,758 146,156

Ending Stocks none

3,014 North America 3,974 3,326 4,066 4,087 4,080

657 South America 816 716 1,097 1,079 1,089

5,044 European Union - 28 5,621 5,920 5,243 5,172 4,877

220 Other Europe 205 166 134 129 129


5,736 Middle East 5,788 5,515 7,067 6,199 6,099

1,715 North Africa 2,480 2,138 2,907 1,802 1,733


736 East Asia 1,038 1,060 793 655 655

141 South Asia 253 266 294 251 219

588 Oceania 748 1,174 1,260 1,460 1,460

20,375 Total 23,866 24,102 25,358 23,368 22,830




World Sorghum Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

8008009009549533,059 Argentina

9009001,0001,7004101,430 Australia

25253013112 Brazil

252525757575 Ethiopia

50508512188231 India

100100501005050 Nigeria

15050120156229124 Ukraine

140140142199218191 Others

2,1902,0902,3523,3182,0345,162 Subtotal

6,3006,3008,0009,2695,7142,136 United States

8,4908,39010,35212,5877,7487,298 World Total

none

TY Imports

15015013598109404 Chile

5,5005,5007,80010,1624,161631 China

5050650104591 Colombia

5050150305050 Ethiopia

150150120131184291 European Union

7307307809031,0031,897 Japan

1001007511794102 Kenya

700700575291621,793 Mexico

10050205321410 Pakistan

10010030010075175 Sudan

400395610470802672 Others

8,0307,97510,81512,0726,7586,616 Subtotal

435390-563488987439 Unaccounted

2525100273243 United States

8,4908,39010,35212,5877,7487,298 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

3,4003,4003,3753,5004,4004,700 Argentina

2,2002,2002,0372,2091,2822,230 Australia

1,5302,0001,0802,0551,8902,102 Brazil

1,9001,8001,4361,7081,8801,924 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,100 Cameroon

9009008358977451,172 Chad

3,2003,2003,0002,8852,8922,556 China

3,7003,7002,6004,3393,8293,604 Ethiopia

5,5005,5004,4105,4455,5425,281 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2728201,212 Mali

6,5006,5005,5506,2708,5006,174 Mexico

1,3001,3001,9171,4261,3201,376 Niger

6,5006,5006,1506,7006,5925,943 Nigeria

900900900990720650 South Sudan

5,5005,5002,3886,2812,2494,524 Sudan

7,0436,9876,8787,2537,2066,768 Others

52,52352,83745,00654,38051,01751,316 Subtotal

11,85312,40815,15810,9889,9666,293 United States

64,37665,24560,16465,36860,98357,609 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9502,9502,8002,8002,7002,300 Argentina

1,2051,2051,1055059051,080 Australia

1,5001,9001,1502,0002,0002,300 Brazil

1,8001,8001,4651,7001,9001,850 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1751,1651,110 Cameroon

9009008659008501,150 Chad

9,3008,80010,60012,9006,8003,200 China

3,6503,6503,2004,1003,9003,700 Ethiopia

5,3505,4004,8205,1005,2005,150 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,200 Mali

7,2007,2006,1006,6008,3008,100 Mexico

1,4501,3001,8201,4501,3001,200 Niger

6,4006,4006,0506,6506,5505,900 Nigeria

1,0001,0001,0001,050790650 South Sudan

5,5005,5003,1006,0002,5504,700 Sudan

8,2938,1818,4568,7588,68910,252 Others

59,58359,32654,87462,77455,60952,647 Subtotal

5,3355,5886,2122,4594,1304,796 United States

64,91864,91461,08665,23359,73957,443 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3963968469711,202781 Argentina

273273178246172185 Australia

271471881706568326 China

363338363338647285 Mexico

268221393271270225 Niger

200200200150200208 Nigeria

401401306723357588 Sudan

1,4061,3411,1462,2931,7511,804 Others

3,5783,6414,3135,6985,1674,402 Subtotal

1,1241,388931468864385 United States

4,7025,0295,2446,1666,0314,787 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

2,036 North America 165 56 675 725 725

1,071 South America 240 114 245 240 240

291 European Union - 28 184 131 120 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

194 Middle East 232 23 45 15 20

1 North Africa 41 1 5 5 5


2,650 East Asia 5,281 11,142 8,650 6,285 6,285

18 Southeast Asia 46 14 15 15 15

11 Others 15 32 205 50 100

6,859 Total 6,761 12,099 10,915 8,000 8,055

Production none

12,467 North America 18,466 17,258 20,708 18,908 18,353

339 Central America 335 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94

7,495 South America 7,081 6,404 5,297 6,277 5,807

473 European Union - 28 703 887 731 735 744

814 Middle East 789 691 535 635 635

763 North Africa 754 755 755 755 755


2,560 East Asia 2,895 2,887 3,002 3,202 3,202

5,404 South Asia 5,661 5,548 4,555 5,630 5,630


2,230 Oceania 1,282 2,209 2,037 2,200 2,200

209 Others 354 224 191 225 225

57,609 Total 60,983 65,368 60,164 65,245 64,376


12,896 North America 12,430 9,059 12,312 12,788 12,535

325 Central America 325 330 340 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 94 94 94 94

6,076 South America 5,757 5,785 4,952 5,907 5,507

795 European Union - 28 880 995 860 870 880

1,052 Middle East 894 865 590 645 650

756 North Africa 793 755 755 755 755


5,221 East Asia 7,951 13,911 11,425 9,590 10,090

5,283 South Asia 5,334 5,235 5,176 5,580 5,580


1,080 Oceania 905 505 1,105 1,205 1,205

80 Others 75 75 75 75 75

58,638 Total 58,679 65,347 61,218 64,249 64,308

Ending Stocks none

670 North America 1,511 806 1,294 1,726 1,487

30 Central America 33 38 28 23 23

1,146 South America 1,468 1,238 1,023 663 593

5 European Union - 28 18 27 13 19 22

65 Middle East 47 39 25 29 30

66 North Africa 68 69 74 79 79


413 East Asia 627 736 938 525 325

109 South Asia 364 588 93 193 193

185 Oceania 172 246 178 273 273

25 Others 76 69 65 49 59

4,787 Total 6,031 6,166 5,244 5,029 4,702




World Oats Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

555222 Argentina

300300225270270240 Australia

1,5001,5001,6001,7291,7321,351 Canada

757575844941 Chile

200200230231291126 European Union

1010201464 Russia

7070454662 Ukraine

10101081410 Others

2,1702,1702,2102,3842,3701,776 Subtotal


2,2002,2002,2452,4132,3991,794 World Total

none

TY Imports

555300 Albania

25253024127 Algeria

555432 Bosnia and Herzegovina

15151012279 Canada

20020017016211687 China

555221 Colombia

202020212119 Ecuador


505050474651 Japan

1001001008693108 Mexico

10101023836 Norway

555222 Serbia

505030461911 South Africa

505050495144 Switzerland

555400 Turkey

555886 Others

555555510476441387 Subtotal

1451452051709252 Unaccounted

1,5001,5001,5301,7671,8661,355 United States

2,2002,2002,2452,4132,3991,794 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

500500553525445496 Argentina

1,6001,6001,3081,1981,2551,121 Australia

400400400522352422 Belarus

650650783351380361 Brazil

3,0003,0203,4302,9793,9062,830 Canada

600600533421610680 Chile

600600600600580600 China

7,8078,0197,5037,8328,3807,909 European Union

275275244226305200 Kazakhstan

909087939184 Mexico

240240236236214232 Norway

4,7004,7004,5275,2674,9324,027 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

550550498610467630 Ukraine

334334329296318315 Others

21,66621,89821,35121,47622,55520,227 Subtotal

9401,1161,3001,019938892 United States

22,60623,01422,65122,49523,49321,119 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135140126118119 Algeria

500500550525425500 Argentina

1,2501,2501,025950950925 Australia

400400400500375400 Belarus

640640765345375350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6161,6811,6601,592 Canada

525525425355570600 Chile

850850795750700675 China

7,7007,8007,4807,7308,0757,700 European Union

270270245225275225 Kazakhstan

190190190175185195 Mexico

255255245245245295 Norway

4,6004,6004,6005,2004,9004,300 Russia

215215215215215215 Turkey

450450450600475600 Ukraine

529529501471491451 Others

20,25220,35219,84420,09020,25419,217 Subtotal

2,6112,6842,7012,4472,7572,743 United States

22,86323,03622,54522,53723,01121,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2012011519310560 Australia

7958159306731,054446 Canada

606060274561 Chile

7272122147135139 China

512620600781894901 European Union

287287197289230203 Russia

736643386781 Ukraine

221218226220201190 Others

2,2212,3392,3292,2682,7312,081 Subtotal

676779825780359527 United States

2,8973,1183,1543,0483,0902,608 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,472 North America 1,986 1,865 1,640 1,615 1,615

26 South America 29 30 30 30 30

4 European Union - 28 3 4 10 5 5

84 Other Europe 94 60 75 75 75


0 Middle East 0 4 5 5 5

7 North Africa 12 24 30 25 25


138 East Asia 162 209 220 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,742 Total 2,307 2,243 2,040 2,055 2,055

Production none

3,806 North America 4,935 4,091 4,817 4,226 4,030

1,577 South America 1,478 1,325 1,910 1,792 1,792

7,909 European Union - 28 8,380 7,832 7,503 8,019 7,807

365 Other Europe 348 369 372 375 375


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

166 North Africa 156 147 166 175 175


602 East Asia 582 602 601 601 601

1,139 Oceania 1,283 1,233 1,342 1,630 1,630

21,119 Total 23,493 22,495 22,651 23,014 22,606


4,530 North America 4,602 4,303 4,507 4,524 4,451

1,515 South America 1,447 1,285 1,808 1,737 1,737

7,700 European Union - 28 8,075 7,730 7,480 7,800 7,700

474 Other Europe 434 434 447 456 456


215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

175 North Africa 164 163 196 200 200


730 East Asia 750 800 845 900 900

943 Oceania 978 985 1,059 1,280 1,280

21,885 Total 22,791 22,540 22,343 22,943 22,770

Ending Stocks none

974 North America 1,417 1,459 1,761 1,600 1,477

128 South America 129 106 150 147 150

901 European Union - 28 894 781 600 620 512

27 Other Europe 41 38 38 32 32


13 Middle East 8 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


144 East Asia 138 149 125 76 76

60 Oceania 105 93 151 201 201

2,608 Total 3,090 3,048 3,154 3,118 2,897




World Rye Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

TY Exports

5555525 Belarus

1501501008997178 Canada

150150160167201122 European Union

5050401218379 Russia

101020135916 Ukraine

000111 Others

365365325396446421 Subtotal


370370331399452428 World Total

none

TY Imports


252515183334 Israel

202015223727 Japan

1010104812 Korea, South

20201551621 Norway

5555525 Russia

555669 Switzerland

0020614 Others

160160135162202200 Subtotal

1010-24-25467 Unaccounted

200200220262204221 United States

370370331399452428 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Sep

2016/17

Oct

none

Production

757561975240 Argentina

8008008008676481,082 Belarus

380380225218223337 Canada

8,1228,3497,8358,87310,1518,763 European Union

2,3002,3002,0843,2793,3602,132 Russia

350350350300365370 Turkey

375375394475638676 Ukraine

137133121144126146 Others

12,53912,76211,87014,25315,56313,546 Subtotal

342311295183194166 United States

12,88113,07312,16514,43615,75713,712 World Total

none

Total Consumption

757561975240 Argentina

252522191940 Australia

8508508008506501,000 Belarus

150150118134107127 Canada

8,5008,6008,1008,6009,6508,700 European Union

454537654050 Kazakhstan

323227202826 Norway

2,2502,2502,1753,2503,1002,000 Russia

350350350325350375 Turkey

350350415475625625 Ukraine

11611296102140132 Others

12,72412,82012,18513,94714,76613,146 Subtotal

554525515406424387 United States

13,27813,34512,70014,35315,19013,533 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

112112167172160167 Belarus

13113151424446 Canada

5676901,0201,3951,204795 European Union

444483 Kazakhstan

135135130264344153 Russia

141414143318 Turkey

959580106128166 Ukraine

112347 Others

1,0591,1821,4682,0001,9251,355 Subtotal


1,0831,2041,4802,0151,9321,365 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Sep

2016/17

Oct

2016/17

TY Imports none

221 North America 204 262 220 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

68 European Union - 28 96 96 50 75 75

32 Other Europe 23 11 20 25 25


34 Middle East 33 24 15 25 25


39 East Asia 45 26 25 30 30

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

421 Total 406 424 355 360 360

Production none

503 North America 417 401 520 691 722

47 South America 59 105 69 83 87

8,763 European Union - 28 10,151 8,873 7,835 8,349 8,122

46 Other Europe 53 52 51 52 52


370 Middle East 365 300 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 20 20 22 25 25

13,712 Total 15,757 14,436 12,165 13,073 12,881


514 North America 531 540 633 675 704

47 South America 59 105 69 83 87

8,700 European Union - 28 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,600 8,500

78 Other Europe 77 66 71 77 77


409 Middle East 383 343 365 375 375


37 East Asia 48 27 26 31 31

40 Oceania 19 19 22 25 25

13,502 Total 15,185 14,343 12,716 13,364 13,297

Ending Stocks none

56 North America 51 57 63 153 155

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

795 European Union - 28 1,204 1,395 1,020 690 567

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


18 Middle East 33 14 14 14 14


7 East Asia 4 3 2 1 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,365 Total 1,932 2,015 1,480 1,204 1,083




35

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

143.2 128.758.025.07.05.326.9 2016/17 10.5

Coarse Grains

149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.9 162.6121.414.09.05.630.8 2014/15 18.8

151.8 157.0116.313.013.95.030.3 2015/16 14.6

151.8 160.5119.78.314.15.030.2 2016/17 11.7

Wheat and Coarse Grains

282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.8 287.2176.449.414.95.757.5 2014/15 31.6

311.8 288.0177.347.620.85.557.1 2015/16 28.6

295.0 289.2177.733.321.15.257.1 2016/17 22.2


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.0 117.015.00.83.55.324.3 2016/17 110.7

Coarse Grains

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.8 238.9166.80.017.45.840.2 2015/16 112.2

223.7 245.2170.00.013.75.938.1 2016/17 104.4


245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

362.0 350.9177.30.820.85.664.3 2015/16 209.3

351.7 362.2185.00.817.25.662.4 2016/17 215.2


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.50.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.91.10.71.84.01.0 2014/15 1.1

4.1 4.91.21.01.84.50.9 2015/16 1.1

4.6 5.11.41.41.84.71.0 2016/17 1.0

Coarse Grains

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.8 7.76.31.90.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8

10.6 8.06.73.10.85.71.9 2014/15 1.1

8.9 8.26.91.70.84.91.8 2015/16 0.9

10.0 8.36.92.30.95.41.9 2016/17 1.3


13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

12.9 12.57.43.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.7

14.6 12.97.83.72.55.12.8 2014/15 2.2

13.0 13.18.12.62.74.82.7 2015/16 2.1

14.6 13.48.33.62.75.12.8 2016/17 2.3


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

81.0 75.624.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.1

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.4

77.8 71.721.625.57.21.844.0 2012/13 14.2

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.6

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.0

117.7 77.925.751.57.42.449.0 2015/16 15.7

131.4 79.627.154.67.52.649.8 2016/17 20.4

Coarse Grains

47.5 41.828.48.81.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.71.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4

82.8 55.340.230.90.62.928.2 2015/16 4.6

88.9 56.841.432.70.73.228.0 2016/17 4.7


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

16.5 7.02.28.50.11.412.0 2016/17 3.6

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.0 38.515.530.00.52.726.6 2016/17 9.6

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.517.40.03.87.1 2015/16 2.5

27.0 12.04.015.50.14.26.5 2016/17 2.1

Uzbekistan

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.8 12.02.90.54.32.63.4 2013/14 2.9

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.1

8.5 12.22.90.73.82.53.4 2015/16 2.5

8.7 12.43.00.44.22.63.3 2016/17 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.6

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.0

117.7 77.925.751.57.42.449.0 2015/16 15.7

131.4 79.627.154.67.52.649.8 2016/17 20.4



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

2.7 2.01.70.70.01.51.9 2016/17 0.1

Russia

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.68.94.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

18.0 13.99.14.00.12.38.0 2016/17 1.0

Ukraine

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.40.02.93.0 2015/16 0.9

9.7 4.93.45.00.03.23.1 2016/17 0.7

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3

3.6 3.62.80.10.12.71.3 2015/16 0.3

3.8 3.82.90.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.3


29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.3 24.216.89.60.22.214.5 2015/16 2.1

34.4 24.917.49.80.22.414.4 2016/17 2.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.7 0.70.60.10.05.40.1 2016/17 0.1

Russia

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.98.04.40.14.92.7 2015/16 0.3

14.0 9.58.64.50.15.02.8 2016/17 0.3

Ukraine

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8

23.3 8.06.716.50.05.74.1 2015/16 0.7

26.0 8.36.917.70.16.14.3 2016/17 0.7

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0


3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

3.1 3.33.00.10.33.20.9 2015/16 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6


46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0

40.4 21.018.421.10.45.17.9 2015/16 1.7

44.1 21.919.122.60.45.48.1 2016/17 1.8


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 6.20.19.10.02.93.9 2015/16 0.9

14.4 6.30.18.00.03.04.8 2016/17 1.0

Australia

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.9 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.8

24.5 7.23.816.00.21.912.8 2015/16 6.3

28.3 7.54.020.50.22.212.9 2016/17 6.8

Canada

27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.824.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.82.622.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.5 9.24.022.00.53.49.3 2016/17 6.0

European Union

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

143.2 128.758.025.07.05.326.9 2016/17 10.5

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

16.5 7.02.28.50.11.412.0 2016/17 3.6

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.0 38.515.530.00.52.726.6 2016/17 9.6



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.517.40.03.87.1 2015/16 2.5

27.0 12.04.015.50.14.26.5 2016/17 2.1

Total Wheat Competitors

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

321.0 201.681.9121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 44.1

325.5 208.688.1132.58.53.397.4 2015/16 37.0

332.9 209.287.8129.58.33.499.0 2016/17 39.5



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

28.7 9.36.018.90.08.23.5 2014/15 1.9

28.0 9.36.019.50.08.03.5 2015/16 1.1

36.5 10.56.825.00.08.14.5 2016/17 2.1

Brazil

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 55.346.816.52.34.216.0 2015/16 5.3

83.5 58.049.025.50.65.116.4 2016/17 5.9

China

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.7

216.0 226.0159.00.03.06.036.0 2016/17 103.7

South Africa

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4

7.9 11.25.70.73.03.62.2 2015/16 1.4

13.0 11.35.61.50.54.13.2 2016/17 2.1

Total Corn Competitors

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.0

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.7

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

340.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 112.7

327.5 293.3212.036.78.55.559.8 2015/16 118.6

349.0 305.8220.452.04.15.860.1 2016/17 113.9



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

8.6 3.01.75.50.02.14.1 2015/16 1.2

9.9 3.01.76.70.02.44.1 2016/17 1.4

Canada

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.5 7.05.81.50.13.72.3 2016/17 1.6

European Union

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.7 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9

61.5 51.736.310.80.35.012.2 2015/16 5.2

59.6 54.138.76.20.44.812.5 2016/17 4.9



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.82.40.70.04.50.8 2015/16 0.8

3.4 3.02.60.90.04.50.8 2016/17 0.4

Australia

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.2

2.0 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2

2.2 1.21.20.90.03.10.7 2016/17 0.3


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,47731,3343,09422,99923,5183,9644,11755,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,55432,0194,13421,85621,0943,0563,07356,117nr319,149 2015/16

30,98135,2997,07626,00026,5353,4003,40262,859nr417,762 2016/17

Corn

43,974301,792134,98246,83147,421809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

44,141298,831131,87550,50048,2021,7151,714345,486nr1132,678 2015/16

58,935312,434143,51756,50056,5181,2501,270382,476nr1135,141 2016/17

Sorghum

4682,4592,0789,2698,935271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

9316,2122,6128,0008,60010011715,158nr53,177 2015/16

1,1245,3352,2866,3006,350252511,853nr52,446 2016/17

Barley

1,7114,2359362913114305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,2234,4061,0851752353804034,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,1424,6371,3062602184004354,339nr41,035 2016/17

Oats

7802,4471,33029271,7671,8761,019nr2419 2014/15

8252,7011,58235291,5301,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

6762,6111,47930291,5001,551940nr2397 2016/17

Rye

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

1251527065220222295nr2148 2015/16

2455430656200230342nr2168 2016/17

Rice, Milled

1,5524,301nr3,3553,0617587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,4753,529nr3,4503,4217657666,1078,72481,042 2015/16

1,9354,223nr3,5503,5567757467,49310,70481,268 2016/17

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.8619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91

1,355.5 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.0657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.6190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.4685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.11,469.9690.4214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.8 418.71,472.2700.4204.92.8509.3 2000/01

1,480.1 403.21,495.7713.6208.32.9511.7 2001/02

1,445.0 341.81,506.4711.6209.22.9504.7 2002/03

1,473.0 279.11,535.7717.9205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.0 335.71,586.3756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,600.1 318.51,617.3758.1222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.9 273.01,630.5749.6229.93.1519.1 2006/07

1,691.9 289.21,675.6764.2244.73.2534.5 2007/08

1,792.0 359.51,721.8773.8253.63.3539.5 2008/09

1,804.1 395.91,767.6782.2254.13.4533.6 2009/10

1,747.8 359.71,784.0773.6250.13.3523.5 2010/11

1,853.4 359.81,853.3807.8287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,794.8 340.81,813.8807.6279.53.4532.2 2012/13

1,995.2 405.61,930.4861.3327.43.7540.6 2013/14

2,034.6 462.21,978.1884.6335.33.7546.9 2014/15

1,982.8 486.01,959.0900.5356.83.6545.6 2015/16

2,059.2 497.62,047.6935.3350.73.8543.2 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

583.3 206.5587.1111.2102.12.7215.6 2000/01

583.9 203.7586.6112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.5603.9116.1106.52.7213.9 2002/03

555.3 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.4606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.4621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.6616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.7 128.0617.3104.6116.02.8216.9 2007/08

683.7 168.9642.8124.0143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.0 202.9653.0122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.3 198.4653.9116.8134.13.0216.9 2010/11

696.9 197.6697.7148.7153.73.2220.9 2011/12

658.3 176.8679.1138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

715.0 194.0697.9126.6162.53.3219.6 2013/14

728.3 216.1706.1131.8161.83.3221.6 2014/15

735.0 239.7711.4137.1172.23.3224.9 2015/16

744.4 248.4735.7144.9173.53.4221.4 2016/17

Coarse Grains

869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.7 203.5869.0573.294.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.4 217.1866.7579.485.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.6869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.8882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00

863.5 212.3885.1589.2102.82.9293.7 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.0601.5100.43.0297.2 2001/02

875.3 172.3902.5595.5102.73.0290.9 2002/03

917.7 143.1946.8616.2102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,016.2 179.4980.0645.4101.23.4299.0 2004/05

981.3 165.1995.6640.4108.43.3300.0 2005/06

988.2 139.41,013.9636.5114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.2 161.21,058.3659.6128.73.4317.6 2007/08

1,108.3 190.61,079.0649.7110.43.5315.4 2008/09

1,117.0 193.01,114.7659.9118.83.6308.0 2009/10

1,098.5 161.41,130.1656.8116.03.6306.6 2010/11

1,156.5 162.31,155.6659.1133.43.6316.9 2011/12

1,136.5 164.01,134.7669.3132.23.6316.4 2012/13

1,280.1 211.71,232.5734.7164.94.0321.0 2013/14

1,306.4 246.11,272.0752.8173.54.0325.3 2014/15

1,247.8 246.41,247.5763.3184.73.9320.6 2015/16

1,314.8 249.31,311.9790.3177.24.1321.8 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.7 133.3536.8365.264.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.2 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.9 1999/00

591.7 175.3610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.8 126.8628.5433.476.84.4137.8 2002/03

627.6 104.6649.9445.779.04.4141.7 2003/04

717.1 131.1690.6475.976.04.9145.4 2004/05

700.9 123.5708.5479.582.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.6 108.8731.3480.391.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.7 127.9776.7501.398.25.0160.3 2007/08

800.1 143.5784.4481.983.65.0158.8 2008/09

825.2 140.9827.8492.792.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.9 123.6853.2503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.8 128.3885.0508.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12

869.8 133.3864.8518.9100.54.9177.6 2012/13

990.8 175.3948.8571.9130.45.5180.3 2013/14

1,014.4 208.9980.8585.6128.05.6179.7 2014/15

959.1 210.1958.0598.5143.05.4177.4 2015/16

1,025.7 216.81,018.9624.2139.35.7180.2 2016/17

Barley

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.317.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.5143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.6133.791.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.7143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.3136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.3 22.7135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

128.8 20.4131.188.622.22.649.9 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.897.223.82.850.7 2013/14

141.8 24.1141.597.430.12.949.6 2014/15

148.8 25.4147.5100.028.73.050.2 2015/16

143.8 22.8146.3100.626.82.948.9 2016/17

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.3 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.227.9399.53.9151.6 2001/02

563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8147.7 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0154.2 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.1154.3 2006/07

643.5 80.8428.129.5433.64.2155.0 2007/08

668.7 92.6437.529.4449.34.2158.3 2008/09

656.2 95.0438.331.8440.74.2155.9 2009/10

672.1 100.0445.336.5450.44.2158.4 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.840.0467.64.3160.6 2011/12

704.5 113.9465.539.5472.54.4159.1 2012/13

713.4 114.0478.344.1478.44.4161.8 2013/14

713.8 114.6478.142.7478.74.4161.2 2014/15

703.8 115.6471.140.4472.14.4159.2 2015/16

720.5 120.7478.241.1483.34.4162.2 2016/17

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


54

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


55

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

56

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade September 2016.

For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production October

2016.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat

Daniel Archibald (202) 720-9432 [email protected] Wheat

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat/

Coarse Grains

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Rhiannon Elms (202) 649-3872 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Lisa Allen (202) 720-3372 [email protected] Coarse Grains


http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]







global rice stocks expand as production exceeds consumption€¦ · imports had been substituted...

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