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    ReportGlobal Europe and

    Sustainable Development Implications or Climate Change and Agriculture

    Jens Andersson

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    2009:3

    Author: Jens Andersson, [email protected]

    Project Manager: Krister Holm,

    Naturskyddsreningen

    Layout: Anki Bergstrm,

    Naturskyddsreningen

    Photo: David Herrmann, Shutterstock

    Print: tta.45, Stockholm

    Order No: 9041

    ISBN: 978 91 558 1731 2

    Produced with economic support from Sida.Sida has not participated

    in the production of the publication and has not

    evaluated the facts or

    opinions that are expressed.

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    Preace rom the Swedish Society or Nature Conservation

    Summary

    1 Background

    . Introduction

    . Purpose and Limitations

    . Assumptions and Methodology

    . Outline

    . Climate Change and Food Security

    .. Climate change and the development challenge

    .. Climate change and trade

    .. Agriculture and ood security

    ..4 Te road ahead: policy options or climate change and organic agriculture

    . Eu trade policy and climate change

    .. Multilateral and regional trade negotiations

    .. EU trade policy: Global Europe

    .. Global Europe and sustainable development Perspectives from parners

    . Arica

    . Asia

    . Latin America

    Global europe, climate change and food security

    . Focus o the analysis

    . Scope and Status o Negotiations

    . aris and non-tari barriers

    .. Background

    .. Global Europe and removal o tari and non-tari barriers

    .. Discussion

    .4 Services

    .4. Background

    .4. Global Europe and services

    .4. Discussion

    . Investment

    .. Background

    .. Global Europe and investment

    .. Discussion

    . Access to Natural Resources

    .. Background .. Global Europe and natural resources

    .. Discussion

    . Public Procurement

    Table o Contents

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    .. Background

    .. Global Europe and public procurement

    .. Discussion

    . ranser o echnology and Intellectual Property Rights

    .. Background

    .. Global Europe and IPR

    .. Discussion

    . Conclusions

    Swedish Government Positions

    . Swedish Government Positions

    . Discussion and Recommendations

    Literature

    Acronyms and Abbreviations

    Footnotes

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    Mean temperature is rising throughout the world. A tem-

    perature increase o even a ew degrees would have dra-

    matic consequences or the environment and or society

    Climate eects hit the worlds poor hard. Te already

    vulnerable agricultural and ood production systems in

    developing countries are being damaged by climate change,

    with increased drought in large areas and torrential rainall

    in other areas. Can EU trade policy support developing

    countries in meeting these chal lenges?

    Tis report examines the EU trade policy Global Europe

    and the trade negotiations being conducted with a range o

    less inuential developing countries in Latin America,

    Arica and Asia, where a large proportion o the worlds

    poorest people live. Te partner organisations o the Swedish

    Society or Nature Conservation on various continents con-

    tributed to this report. Te opinions expressed in the reportare the authors own and not necessarily those o the Swedish

    Society or Nature Conservation.

    Te report analyses how trade policy and the various

    trade agreements can aect the possibilities or developing

    countries to pursue a sustainable development policy and

    thereby adapt themselves to global warming and strength-

    en their agriculture. Te report also examines Swedens

    attitude and contribution to EU trade policy.

    Global Europe deals with bilateral and regional trade

    agreements and aims to reach more extensive agreements

    than have been decided and discussed within the WO.

    Trough Global Europe, the EU aims to make it easier or

    European companies to sell goods and services globally, to

    gain access to energy and other raw materials and to estab-

    lish themselves, participate in state procurement and en-

    hance protection or European trademarks in developing

    countries. At the same time, there are clear statements in

    EU trade policy that underline the importance o consid-

    eration or developing countries, something that is even

    more apparent within other areas, or example EU develop-

    ment policy.Climate negotiations and climate agreements are natu-

    rally very important or developing countries. Tey deter-

    mine the measures to decrease emissions o greenhouse

    gases that developing countries must eventually adopt and

    how climate-smart technology and adaptation in develop-

    ing countries will be unded.

    Equally critical or developing countries are the rights

    and opportunities to choose their own development path.

    rade agreements have a direct impact on this. While trade

    liberalisation can bring clear benets or all the parties in-

    volved, it can also limit the development opportunities o

    developing countries i it is wrongly designed.

    Te Swedish Society or Nature Conservation believes it

    is important or developing countries to be provided with

    good opportunities to increase their resilience to climate

    change in dierent ways and to develop sustainable agricul-

    ture based on renewable local resources and ecosystem serv-

    ices, which contributes towards increasing ood securityand creating a more diversied local economy.

    Many years o experience o international development

    work, among other things, show that development policy

    must oen be owned and implemented nationally and lo-

    cally in order to achieve results. At the same time, rich coun-

    tries must provide development-riendly trade and agricul-

    tural policies. Increased dependence on minerals, oil and

    other raw materials and conventional agriculture with ew

    export crops is a risky option.

    Unortunately, it is clear that the EU is pressing hard in

    all negotiations to introduce broad trade agreements that

    clearly go beyond the agreements in WO. Exemptions and

    transition periods vary, but there is generally a lack o any

    adequate systematic consideration o the development levels

    o the other party. Te EU demands sometimes contradict

    the express wishes o the developing countries. Te state-

    ments ound or example in Global Europe on greater con-

    sideration or developing countries are only implemented

    to a limited extent. It is also clear that trade policy in its

    practical application, or example negotiations on new re-

    gional agreements, are not harmonised with developmentpolicy.

    Preace rom the Swedish Society or Nature

    Conservation

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    Tere are a number o examples o how trade-related meas-

    ures can decrease developing countries policy space and

    the benet they can derive rom trade agreements:

    Stronglydecreasedimportdutiescanhaveanegativeim-

    pact on the local economy, lead to increased dependence on

    imports, decreased state income and increased concentra-

    tion on export-orientated monoculture.

    Far-reachingliberalisationoftradeinservices,withthe

    primary aim o avouring companies within the EU, can

    bring problems or the distribution o services such as en-

    ergy and water.

    Limitingtheopportunitiestoregulatedirectinvestments

    by European companies in developing countries can have a

    negative impact on the local economy.

    Restrictionsontheuseofexportdutiescandecreasethepotential to support local processing and sustainable man-

    agement o natural resources.

    Sweden has expressed strong support or Global Europe to

    date. Against the background o this report, and to increase

    the potential or EU trade policy to contribute to developing

    countries strengthening their agriculture and being better

    prepared or climate change, the Swedish Society or Nature

    Conservation recommends that Sweden:

    Re-evaluatesthedemandsonthelessinuentialdevelop-

    ing countries to always enter trade agreements that go be-

    yond what has been agreed in WO.

    WorksfortheEUtoentertradeagreementsthatfullthe

    requirements on compliance and development perspective

    ormulated in Global Europe, EU Policy Coherence or

    Development and Swedish Policy or Global Development.

    TakestheinitiativeforadialogueonGlobalEuropeand

    the new Swedish ramework instructions or trade negotia-

    tions with Arica on Economic Partnership Agreements.

    Providesagoodexampleandincreasestransparencyasregards negotiations, and works to ensure that the EU does

    likewise.

    Developspoliciesonhowdevelopmentandenvironmental

    policy targets can be systematically al lowed to have a more

    decisive inuence on positions in trade negotiations with

    developing countries.

    Drivestoensurethatnegotiationsarealwaysprecededby

    thorough consequence analyses.

    Establishesconcretewaysoffundingandtransferringthe

    technology needed by developing countries to counteract

    and deal with climate change.

    Te climate crisis and the ood crisis have their worst eects

    on the poor in developing countries. A rich country such as

    Sweden, which has a tradition o generously ranging itsel

    on the side o developing countries and working or compli-

    ance with development targets, has great potential to posi-

    tively aect developments. Increased trade can be an im-portant tool or global development, but only on certain

    conditions.

    In uture work, there is a need or much richer analysis

    and discussion o the complex links between development,

    climate change, ood production and trade and, in par-

    ticular, a much stronger regard or the interests and welare

    o the poor.

    Mikael Karlsson

    President

    Swedish Society or Nature Conservation

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    Te purpose o this report is to analyse the European Unions

    current trade policy strategy Global Europe and to explore

    to what degree it will contribute or not to the needs o de-

    veloping countries to adapt to the eects o climate change,

    mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and strengthen ood

    security by promoting organic agriculture. Te ocus is on

    the negotiations between EU and the Arican, Caribbean

    and Pacic (ACP) countries, Andean Community, Central

    America and Association o South East Asian Nations

    (ASEAN). Because o the complexity o the issues and meth-

    odological and inormation constraints, the report is pri-

    marily intended as an overview o the issues aimed to stim-

    ulate urther discussion and research.

    Te basic assumption o this report is that considerable

    care should be taken beore the policy space o developing

    countries to promote economic development in general andrelated to climate change and organic agriculture in par-

    ticular is constrained. Tere are a number o reasons or this,

    including the country specicity o the appropriate institu-

    tional ramework; the act that unorthodox instruments

    have been used all through recent history by todays devel-

    oped and emerging countries to pursue various social and

    economic objectives; and the uncertainties caused by cli-

    mate change and other types o environmental degradation.

    In addition, regional negotiations between EU and the re-

    gions involved here are problematic because o the unequal

    distribution o power, economic might and capacity to ne-

    gotiate. Te World rade Organization (WO) comes out

    avourably in comparison.

    Fighting climate change is a challenge closely related to

    sustainable development. Climate policies alone will not

    solve the climate problem. Te choice o development path

    can be as important as specic measures to mitigate green-

    house gas emissions and adapt to its impacts. Consequently,

    climate policies need to be integrated into the national de-

    velopment policy at all levels and in particular in relation to

    energy, orestry, agriculture, water and waste management.Supporting organic agriculture practices may be one venue

    to increase ood security and resilience to climate change

    while avoiding the environmental costs o conventional

    agriculture.

    Development policies need to be locally owned and the

    corresponding institutional ramework craed to suit local

    circumstances. In that perspective, developing countries

    should not be pushed to commit to ar-reaching trade agree-

    ments because it supposedly is good or their development.

    Tey should do it as part o a broader development plan,

    with ul l commitment by the countries in question. Tis is

    important in the context o this report, because in order to

    benet rom trade reorm, a range o complementary do-

    mestic measures that require political leadership and re-

    sources are needed.

    Te links between climate policies and international

    trade policy are yet to be ully explored. Nevertheless, EU

    trade policies aect the climate policy o developing coun-tries both in terms o the ability o countries to grow in a

    sustainable manner and develop response capacity to cli-

    mate change and by constraining their policy space as re-

    gards certain instruments and specic sectors.

    Te Global Europe strategy was adopted in 2006 and is

    the external part o the so-called Lisbon process that aims

    to promote economic growth and job creation in Europe.

    Te strategy aims to open markets or EU industry and deal

    with non-tari barriers, with regional trade negotiations as

    important instruments. EU aims or broad and deep WO

    plus negotiations even with the poorest regional groupings

    o concern in this report.

    Tis has caused worried responses among civil society

    and other actors in these regions as amply exemplied by

    the contributions rom Arica, Asia and Latin America in

    this report. From dierent perspectives they highlight a

    number o problematic issues related to EUs regional ap-

    proach, such as the unequal distribution o power between

    EU and partners, the negative impact on regional coopera-

    tion among developing countries, and the inclusion o WO

    plus requirements, in particular in areas such as services,investment and procurement. Tey argue that the end-result

    is loss o sovereignty, revenue and domestic industry in the

    Summary

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    developing regions, while the benets accrue to EU.

    Chapter 3 reviews the impact o EU negotiations on the

    possible use by developing countries o a number o instru-

    ments pertaining to the various elements o the Global

    Europe strategy: i.e. import taris and subsidies; liberalisa-

    tion o the energy and water sectors (services); investment,

    export taxes and quotas (natural resources), public procure-

    ment and transer o technology (intellectual property

    rights).

    Te analysis clearly shows that EU is pushing or broad

    WO plus agreements and deep commitments in all the

    negotiations under study here. Exceptions and transition

    periods vary, but there is no systematic regard to the devel-

    opment levels o the negotiating counterparts. In this way

    the policy space o the negotiating partners to pursue poli-

    cies aimed at protecting their economies and promote eco-nomic diversication is constrained and this could have an

    impact on adaptation and mitigation related to climate

    change and the possibilities to support organic agricul-

    ture.

    Tere is a considerable shortage o inormation as regards

    the specic implications on the policy space available to

    EUs negotiating counterparts to ght climate change and

    support organic agriculture. Te sustainability impact anal-

    yses conducted, i available, are insufcient and raught with

    limitations. Much more detailed analysis, based on past

    experiences o trade reorms, is needed to construct a ac-

    tual baseline. Considering the complexity o the issues and

    the low institutional capacities in many o the countries in

    question here strong monitoring mechanisms need to be set

    up to ensure that implementation o the agreements do not

    run counter to sustainable development objectives in gen-

    eral and climate related goals in particular.

    As an EU member Sweden is a staunch supporter o

    Global Europe in general and broad regional negotiations

    in particular, based on the argument that broad agreements

    with appropriate exibilities have the greatest development

    potential. For example, Sweden is satised with the con-

    cluded Caribbean agreement and the exceptions therein and

    believes it could constitute a template or the Arican coun-

    tries.

    Tis report argues that the Swedish position should be

    revised to reect the problematic issues related to regional

    negotiations and policy space highlighted in this report.Instead Sweden should adopt a more dierentiated and re-

    sponsive approach based on demands, development levels

    and the capacity to benet rom the agreements. At the very

    least, Sweden should advocate that negotiations on the broad

    agenda are dealt with in the WO ramework instead o in

    regional agreements. In addition, it is suggested that Sweden

    should avour a lenient interpretation o the nal agree-

    ments as regards implementation and provide political and

    nancial backing to strong and impartial monitoring mech-

    anisms that oversee the agreements rom a sustainable de-

    velopment and climate change perspective.

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    1.1 Introduction

    Tree urgent crises are holding an increasingly globalised

    world in its grasp. In developing countries the ood and uel

    crises have increased costs o living and hunger, inciting

    people to take to the street to protest. In developed countries,

    the nancial crisis has sent house and prices plummeting

    and severely shaken condence in the nancial system.

    In the midst o turmoil the long-term challenges pre-

    sented by global climate change and other types o environ-

    mental degradation may be given a lowered priority. Tere

    is a risk that the willingness to reduce greenhouse gas emis-

    sions and adapt to the consequences o a changing climate

    may be negatively aected. At the same time it can be argued

    that the policies needed to this eect are closely related to

    the ones needed to reduce the vulnerability o nations and

    people to various threats. Examples include reducing de-pendency on ossil uel and promoting sustainable ood

    production.

    International trade policy and rules condition and constrain

    the set o options (or policy space) open to national govern-

    ments to promote sustainable development. Sometimes or

    the good, by providing a stable environment or world trade

    and the benets it brings, sometimes or the bad, when de-

    veloping countries are not allowed to use certain policies

    aimed at economic diversication or become dependent on

    cheap imports.

    While the latest round o global trade negotiations within

    the WO is moving at snails pace, regional and bilateral

    negotiations are not. A particular phenomena o the latter

    set o negotiations is that developed countries require more

    ar reaching commitments rom developing partners coun-

    terparts, than has been achieved in the WO context, aim-

    ing to conclude so-called WO plus agreements. Tese

    additional requirements risk constraining even urther the

    policy space o poor countries to determine their develop-

    ment paths.

    1.2 Purpose and limitations

    Tis report is produced within the ramework o the Swedish

    Society or Nature Conservations (SSNC) international pro-

    gram on environmental policy and its linkages to the prob-

    lems o poverty, nanced by the Swedish International

    Development Cooperation Agency (Sida). Te purpose o

    the report is to analyse the European Unions current trade

    policy strategy Global Europe and to explore to what degree

    it will contribute or not to the needs o developing countries

    to adapt to the eects o climate change, mitigate greenhouse

    gas emissions and strengthen ood security by promoting

    sustainable agriculture based on local resources and eco-

    system services. Te ocus is on the negotiations between

    EU and the Andean Community, Central America, ACP

    countries and ASEAN.

    Te report is based mainly on a survey o existing research

    and analysis and is intended primarily as an overview o the

    issues aimed to stimulate urther discussion and research.

    A key component o SSNCs international work is to en-gage with partners in developing countries. IBON

    Foundation (the Philippines), AIPAD (Arica Institute or

    Policy Analysis and Development, Zimbabwe) and REDES

    (Red de Ecologa Social, Uruguay) have provided vital input

    to this report as regards the negotiations between EU and

    countries in their respective regions.

    When the term developing countries is used in the text, it

    reers mainly to small and medium-sized low and mid in-

    come economies and least developed countries. Tis is a

    large group o countries, which includes the countries in-

    volved in the negotiations with EU under scrutiny in this

    report. Tere are a number o ormal country classications

    o developing countries that are being used in various con-

    texts, such as OECD/DAC statistics, while in the WO there

    is no established denition. Te aim here is to highlight the

    concerns o countries that have considerably less negotiating

    capacities and economic power than the EU, which holds

    true or the majority (i not all) o the worlds developing

    countries.

    1.3 Assumptions and methodologyTe basic assumption o this report is that considerable care

    should be taken beore the policy space o developing coun-

    tries to promote economic development in general and re-

    1. Background

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    lated to climate change and sustainable agriculture in par-

    ticular is constrained. Tis is especially important in view

    o the uncertainties ahead as regards the appropriate sus-

    tainable development path o each country. Because o the

    unequal distribution o power, negotiations between devel-

    oped and developing groupings are particularly putting

    developing countries at risk o being pressured by stronger

    trading partners to surrender policy space. Tese assump-

    tions are explored urther in this section.

    Te international community has made a number o

    commitments to improve the situation or developing coun-

    tries. Te commitment to the Millennium Development

    Goals and the overall goal to halve poverty by 15 is o par-

    ticular importance. Te developed countries, bar the US,

    have also committed to ght climate change through the

    United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol.

    Developed countries, and the EU in particular, are in-

    creasingly recognising that their policies in various areas

    may have an impact on developing countries and need to be

    coherent so as to not counteract each other. Te Swedish

    Policy or Global Development is a case in point (see chapter

    4). Te step rom policy to practice can be long and compro-

    mises will inevitably have to be made, but a strong case can

    be made that trade policies should contribute to the develop-

    ment o the poorest countries, as is in act, one o the over-

    riding intentions behind the latest round o WO negotia-

    tions, the Doha Development Agenda.

    Free trade is important rom an economic efciency per-

    spective by allowing goods and services to be produced in

    places that are best suited or it and then being exchanged.

    From a narrow interpretation o this perspective, a number

    o the policy instruments reviewed below aimed at promot-

    ing economic diversication and protect the local economy,

    such as export taxes and regulation o oreign direct invest-

    ment (FDI), may seem to distort the unctioning o the mar-

    ket and reduce the welare benets o ree trade. Tey areprone to be captured by vested interests that seek protection

    against domestic or oreign competition. Tis may hamper

    economic development, by preserving inefcient industries;

    competition is clearly a key driver o economic growth and

    innovation. Commitments made in international trade ne-

    gotiations may be a way to counter such vested interest and

    lock-in trade reorm.

    Tere are a number o qualications that need to be made

    to this view. Te most important one is that the market

    needs to be embedded in a suitable institutional and regula-

    tory ramework to unction properly or severe social, envi-

    ronmental or other externalities may arise. Tere is in gen-

    eral agreement as to the basic unction o these institutions.

    However, countries at dierent levels o development have

    dierent needs and preconditions and it is becoming in-

    creasingly recognised that the orm this institutional rame-

    work should take is more or less country specic. Tis does

    not at all amount to letting trade ow reely. odays devel-oped countries and the Asian tigers, consistently used and

    use various protective measures to support their own devel-

    opment.3 Economic efciency is also dependent on internal-

    ising environmental and social costs and consequently,

    measures or doing so are recognised as valid by most inter-

    national treaties, including in the sphere o trade agree-

    ments.

    Another basic assumption o this report is that develop-

    ing countries have the right to choose their own develop-

    ment path, as exemplied by the commitments in the Paris

    Declaration on Aid Eectiveness: Partner countries exer-

    cise eective leadership over their development policies, and

    strategies and co-ordinate development actions. (Chapter

    II) Tis is not only a right in itsel, ollowing rom the prin-

    ciple o sovereignty, but also arguably a necessary condition

    or successul development.

    Experience shows that development policies need to be

    nationally or locally owned to be eective and that the cor-

    responding institutional ramework need to suit local cir-

    cumstances. In that perspective, developing countries

    should not be pushed to commit to ar-reaching trade agree-ments because it supposedly is good or their development.

    Tey should do it as part o a broader development plan,

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    with ul l commitment by the countries in question. Tis is

    important in the context o this report, because in order to

    benet rom trade reorm, a range o complementary do-

    mestic measures that require political leadership and re-

    sources are needed, e.g in terms o building regulatory ca-

    pacity, tax collection, improving the business climate and

    develop programmes or social and environmental protec-

    tion. In parallel, i the international community wishes to

    address issues such as corruption, bad governance and

    human rights abuse in developing countries, means other

    than trade policy need to be considered, or example policy

    coherency, political dialogue and development coopera-

    tion.

    o this should be added the issue o power, which is oen

    overlooked in economic theory and analysis. Te world is

    still a deeply unequal place, even though emerging econo-mies have taken great positive leaps in the last ew centuries.

    OECD countries have 15% o the world population, but rep-

    resent 70% o world GDP. Te GNI per capita o the OECD

    countries is approaching 40 000 USD, while it is 5 540 in

    Latin America, 2 300 in China and 952 in Sub-Saharan

    Arica.4

    Tis unequal situation has proven to be problematic or

    the negotiations on regional trade agreements. Tey oen

    involve very unequal distribution o power, economic might

    and capacity to negotiate. Tey are conducted in a too in-

    transparent manner oen under time constraint. Te com-

    mitments are oen both considerably broader and deeper

    than in WO and may be distortive since they involve only

    the partners involved. In addition, there is oen an impor-

    tant lack o inormation and analysis available to the weak-

    er party on the impact o particular commitments. In par-

    ticular, the dynamic eects on the possibility o poor

    countries to diversiy their economies are uncertain.

    Consequently, it seems urgent to discuss and vet the com-

    mitments made under such conditions.

    In comparison the WO rules come out avourably.WO has been much criticised or imposing conditions on

    developing countries and constraining their policy space.

    However, certain problematic areas aside WO actually

    provides a general rule-based ramework or international

    trade set up to avoid abusive policies that may be detrimen-

    tal to trading partners. As such it protects the weakest coun-

    tries. Te WO agreements also allow or a number o ex-

    ceptions or in particular least-developed countries.

    Consequently, the primary ocus o this report is the more

    ar-reaching WO plus regional agreements concluded

    between developed and developing countries and exempli-

    ed by EU, not the WO rules as such.

    Moreover, more sustainable development paths will need

    to be pursued because o the immediate threats in terms o

    climate change and other types o environmental degrada-

    tion caused by the current carbon and resource intensive

    development model. Tis path should involve adaptation

    and mitigation measures related to climate change and thepromotion to sustainable alternatives to conventional agri-

    culture. Developing countries have the possibility to learn

    rom past mistakes and should have reedom to choose the

    necessary policy options to achieve sustainable develop-

    ment. Te role o trade policy in this equation is sti ll insu-

    ciently explored. It is hoped that this report will make a

    contribution to moving ahead on these issues.

    Te issue under study in this report can thus be rephrased

    as the policy space available to developing country to ght

    climate change and support sustainable agriculture and the

    potential impact o EU trade policies on this space. Tis does

    not imply that the instruments included in this space auto-

    matically are to recommend rom a development perspec-

    tive. Ideally, their use should be part o a coherent and long-

    term strategy or economic diversication and be adapted

    to changing circumstances. Certain global standards to

    govern world trade are necessary but should be balanced

    against the sovereign right and need o developing countries

    to preserve policy space in an unequal world.

    1.4 OutlineTe report is divided into our main sections. Te rest o the

    introduction gives a background to the number o substan-

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    Global Europe a nd Sustainable Development

    tive issues involved and provide elements to the analytical

    ramework. Te issues covered are essentially climate

    change, sustainable agriculture, EU trade policy and their

    interplay.

    Chapter 2 summarises the contributions o the partner

    organisations listed above. Chapter 3 analyses in order the

    key components o Global Europe and the impact on the

    policy options o developing countries. Chapter 4 reviews

    Swedish positions related to Global Europe and makes pro-

    posals or integrating developing country perspectives on

    sustainable development, climate change and ood security

    into Swedish and EU trade policy.

    1.5 Climate change and ood security

    1.5.1 Climate change and the development challenge

    Tere is now strong agreement that climate change isman-made: Most of the observed increase in global average

    temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due

    to the observed increase in anthropogenic [greenhouse gas]

    concentrationsin the words o UNs Intergovernmental

    Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Greenhouse gas emis-

    sions must peak in and decrease between and

    beore to avoid a temperature increase above

    two degrees according to IPCC. Tis is easible rom a

    technological point o view and the economic costs are

    modest compared to the costs that would be caused by

    higher temperature increase.

    It is clear that rich countries are behind most o the

    change in climate and the poorest countries will be the hard-

    est hit since they are the most exposed to natural vagaries

    and oen lack resources to adapt.6 Tis will make an already

    unequal world even more unequal. 1.4 billion people or a

    quarter o the worlds population lived in extreme poverty

    in 5 according to revised data rom the World Bank.7Tis

    is beore the impacts o the recent global ood, uel and -

    nancial crises have been elt.

    Climate change will undermine eorts to ght povertyand reach the Mil lennium Development Goals. UNDP iden-

    ties ve key transmission mechanisms to this eect: im-

    pacts on agricultural production and ood security (through

    changes in rainall, temperature and water availability),

    increased water stress and water insecurity, rising sea levels

    and exposure to climate disasters, transormed ecosystems

    and loss o biodiversity and impacts on human health

    through spreading o disease.8

    Fighting climate change is an integral part o achieving

    sustainable development. Climate policies alone will not

    solve the climate problem. Te choice o development path

    is in many ways inherently linked to specic measures to

    mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to its impacts.9

    Developing countries do not have to ollow in the ootsteps

    o the developed countries in terms o energy use.

    Nevertheless, as developing countries are vulnerable to cli-

    mate change and, at least the poorest ones, are not very

    carbon dependent in per capita terms they tend to ocus

    more on adaptation than mitigation. However, in terms ochoice o development path, mitigation is highly relevant

    since developing countries have substantial investments in

    areas such as inrastructure and energy ahead. In addition,

    policies aimed at mitigation and sustainable development

    may be mutually reinorcing.10

    In addition, there is a close connection (and sometimes

    contradiction) between mitigation and adaptation. Both

    types o eorts depend on the same set o available resourc-

    es and capacities and both require international cooperation

    and national action.11 Since most poor countries oen lack

    adequate capacity, technology and nancial resources to

    participate eectively in these eorts, they are dependent

    on rich countries to provide support in terms o capacity

    building, technological transer and nancial ows (in ad-

    dition, to o course or the latter group to take the most

    important steps in reducing greenhouse gas emissions).12

    1.5.2 Climate change and tradeTere are a number o potential links between climate

    change and international trade. Tese have yet to be ex-

    plored to the same extent as the trade and environmentnexus, but this is now changing. For example, during the

    UN climate meeting in Bali in December , an inormal

    meeting between trade ministers rom major trading na-

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    tions (but none rom Arica) was organised.

    Tere are worries that eorts to reduce greenhouse gas

    emissions may have detrimental eects on the competitive-

    ness o energy intensive industries and that measures such

    as climate taris on imports may be used to protect these

    industries and prevent carbon leakage.14 In practise, the

    eect on competitiveness o carbon policies seem to be mod-

    erate, since other supporting policies oen tend to have

    compensatory eect and the use o protective trade meas-

    ures is severely constrained under WO rules.15 On the

    contrary, there is evidence that carbon policies might even

    be benecial rom a competitiveness point o view, since

    they oster innovation and industrial adaptation to markets

    under transormation.

    Another issue is whether carbon emissions should be

    counted in producing or consuming countries, which mightaect emission reduction responsibilities. Labelling schemes

    that inorm consumers o the carbon content o goods may

    constitute a barrier to developing country exports, e.g. i

    high weight is given to transport and i transport is a deci-

    sive actor or the climate impact.

    Regulation on the emissions o international transport

    has been lagging behind since it does not all under the ju-

    risdiction o a particular country. Emission cut obligations

    may increase prices o international transport, which could

    have a negative impact on trade and service areas such as

    tourism and disproportionally aect poor remote countries.

    Tese are not issues directly covered by WO.

    rade also aects the diusion o energy technologies -

    an issue that will be explored more extensively below in

    relation to intellectual property rights. Overall the interace

    between trade and energy is complex and also involves trade

    in energy itsel and policies such as energy subsidies, stand-

    ards and labelling. Below, this issue wil l be touched upon in

    relation to EU policies on natural resources.

    Agriculture and orestry account or over 30% o global

    greenhouse gas emissions and trade may aect these emis-sions by changing the way land is being used. For example,

    in agriculture, subsidy reorms may be aimed at supporting

    agricultural techniques that enhances carbon sequestration

    and increases resilience by making use o plant varieties

    adapted to a changing climate. Another example is biouels;

    any certication o biouels would have to comply with

    WO rules and the possibilities to trade in biouels will

    depend on negotiations on taris and subsidies in agricul-

    tural and industrial products.16

    Te low competitiveness o the least-developed countries

    makes them particularly vulnerable to climate change and

    its trade implications. Tese countries have little domestic

    production and are reliant on very ew oen primary export

    products, such as minerals and agricultura l products. Te

    key element o any climate adapting strategy or these coun-

    tries is to develop more diversied and less vulnerable econ-

    omies. Development policies have always been struggling

    with these issues, but the need to adapt to climate changemakes them all the more acute. Te domestic policies o

    LDCs may need to be adjusted, in ways such as prioritizing

    agricultural production or ood security and industrial

    production o manuactured goods or domestic consump-

    tion over export-oriented production. LDC are already rel-

    atively open economies, so urther liberalising trade is

    mostly not sufcient, instead these countries need to be

    provided with broad policy space and exibilities within the

    international trading regime.17

    Article 2 o the Kyoto Protocol obliges participating

    countries to adopt climate policies and measures related to

    adaptation and mitigation, such as energy efciency and

    promotion o sustainable orms o agriculture. A number

    o these measures may aect trade, such as technical regula-

    tions and standards, subsidies, carbon and energy taxes and

    border adjustment measures and land-use activities, and

    their use are thereore potentially aected by WO rules.18

    Perhaps this issue wil l not be that problematic, according

    to the Swedish National Board o rade (2004), which sees

    no great conicts between climate measures and WO:

    Friendly coexistence should be possible between the UNFramework Convention on Climate Change, its Kyoto

    Protocol and WTO rules. In fact, there is ample scope for

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    trade-related measures pursuant to the Protocol to be in ac-

    cordance with WO rules. Tis requires that the WO rules

    are considered while designing and implementing such meas-

    ures.(p. 6) For example, GA Articles XX(b) and (g)

    make it possible or WO members to justiy measures that

    are either necessary to protect human, animal or plant lie

    or health, or i the measures relate to the conservation o

    exhaustible natural resources, respectively.19

    1.5.3 Agriculture and food securityAgriculture is very closely linked to climate change as has

    already been indicated. Most poor people live in rural areas

    and depend on arming or their survival, while many de-

    veloping countries rely on agricultural exports or income.

    At the same time agriculture is a sector that is particularly

    vulnerable to changes in weather patterns and other eectso climate change. Agricultural production is also an im-

    portant source o greenhouse gas emissions and is closely

    related to changes in land use, such as deorestation and land

    erosion.20

    Te world agricultural system has become increasingly

    globalised the last decades (se Box). Overall there has been

    a prolonged period o rising agricultural production and

    alling prices in the world market, uelled mainly by gains

    in productivity through irrigation, improved crop varieties,

    and use o erti lizers. Tis transormation has been impor-

    tant or eeding the world and has been driven by developing

    countries, with the green revolution in Asia as an o-cited

    example. Globally, there is no ood shortage on average.21

    Trade in agriculture

    World agricultural exports increased our-old between

    1985 and 2005 to around 450 billion USD, excluding in-

    tra-EU trade. This corresponds to an annual increase o

    6.7% and was driven by trade in horticultural and proc-

    essed products, the latter o which now corresponds to

    almost hal o all agricultural exports. As a group the

    high-income OECD countries are the largest exporters,

    with middle-income countries such as Brazil gaining

    world market shares. Arican exports have been losing

    ground on the world-market over the last two decades.

    There are two important characteristics o the world

    agricultural markets that have a particular impact onthe ood production o poor countries. First, the whole

    agricultural chain rom inputs (seeds, ertilizers, etc) to

    retail (supermarkets etc) is dominated by major tran-

    snational corporations , which are intertwined in various

    partnerships and networks. These include input provid-

    ers such as Cargill and Monsanto, processors such as

    ConAgra, ood brand companies such as Nestl and

    supermarkets such as Carreour.

    Second, as is well-known, developed countries apply

    agricultural policies to support their own armers. The

    main instruments are border protection in the orm o

    taris and quotas, export subsidies to enhance com-

    petitiveness in the world market and direct support

    payments to producers. Despite much criticism, the

    reorm process and the WTO negotiations on the topic

    are moving very slowly; agricultural support in OECD

    countries (mainly EU, US, Japan and South Korea) is still

    2.5 times that o international aid disbursements (250

    million USD in agricultural support compared to around

    100 million USD in international aid).

    Source: OECD (2008), Morgan et al (2007), World Bank (2007) and OECDWebsite accessed on 13 October 2008

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    But the riches are badly distributed; more than million

    people still do not have ood every day, in spite o the act

    that ood is a human right according to the UN. 22 Sub-

    Saharan Sahara has largely been le out o agricultural

    progress, because o bad policies and under-investment, and

    agriculture has been largely absent in national development

    plans and international development cooperation.

    Te current global ood crisis adds to the burden o poor

    people. FAO estimates that an additional 75 mill ion people

    became subject to undernourishment in 2007 mainly be-

    cause o soaring ood prices, with urther increases likely.

    Tis has reversed a positive trend o alling hunger, with

    Asia and Sub-Saharan Arica being the hardest hit, and will

    make it even harder to halve hunger in the world by 2015,

    which is one o the Millennium Development Goals.24

    Looking ahead, climate change is not the only challengeto agricultural production. Environmental degradation,

    rising competit ion or land and water, higher energy prices,

    and doubts about uture adoption rates or new technologies

    also constitute uncertainties or uture ood production. In

    addition, it is estimated that global cereal production will

    have to increase by nearly 5% and meat production by 85%

    rom 2000 to 2030 to meet projected demand, to which

    should be added booming claims or crops that can be

    turned into biouel.25

    How should the challenges outlined above be met? Te

    dominating model is to rely on a global division o labour,

    in which countries specialise in certain types o ood pro-

    duction. Food becomes a commodity to be exported or im-

    ported. Production is large-scale and based on convention-

    al methods to increase productivity through monoculture,

    external inputs and ossil uels.

    However, while having enabled increased harvests, the

    environmental, health, cultural and social costs o conven-

    tional agriculture are high and there is a growing critique

    o its methods. Morgan et a l. (2007) argues that ood is not

    a commodity like any other good and that globalization o

    the ood sector is uniquely constrained by nature and culture;

    ood production requires the transormation o natural enti-

    ties into edible orm, while the act o eating itsel is a pro-

    oundly cultural exercise (p. 8)

    Food sovereignty

    The concept o ood sovereignty is advocated by many NGOs .

    Food sovereignty is the right o peoples to healthy and cultur-

    ally appropriate ood produced through ecologically sound

    and sustainable methods, and their right to dene their own

    ood and agriculture systems. Food sovereignty is a more

    holistic concept than that o ood security that tends to ocus

    on access to an adequate ood supply.

    Source: www.viacampesina.org, www.nyeleni2007.org and FAO (2003)

    Instead, sustainable approaches, ocusing on e.g. organic

    agriculture, local resources and eco-system services receive

    increasing attention world-wide, in particular to counter

    climate change (see Box).26 Such alternatives have the po-

    tential to greatly contribute to ood security, in particular

    in the worlds most vulnerable environments, while consid-

    erably reducing the costs associated with conventional ag-

    riculture.27 In addition, growing demand is creating an in-

    creasingly large market or organic produce.

    Organic agriculture can be broadly described as a ho-

    listic production management system that avoids use o

    synthetic ertilizers, pesticides and genetically modied

    organisms, minimizes pollution o air, soil and water, and

    optimizes the health and productivity o interdependent

    communities o plants, animals and people. (FAO, 7, p.

    2) Certied organic agriculture is commercially practiced

    worldwide in 120 countries, representing 0.7% o global

    agricultural lands and a market o USD 40 billion in 2006.

    Non-certied organic systems may represent at least anequivalent share in subsistence agriculture o developing

    countries (see Box).28

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    Sustainable agriculture in Ethiopia

    Sustainable agriculture and ecological land management

    has been promoted in the Ethiopian region o Tigray by the

    Institute or Sustainable Development in collaboration with

    regional and local actors. The project used sustainable

    practices such as composting, water and soil harvesting

    and crop diversifcation to the beneft o poor armers and

    communities. These benets include increased yields and

    productivity o crops, improved hydrology through raised

    water tables and permanent springs, improved soil ertil-

    ity, rehabilitation o degraded lands and increased incomes.

    The project is armer-led and the successes are such that

    the approach is spreading to other parts o the country and

    getting attention at national level.

    Source: Araya and Edwards (2006)

    Organic and related agricultural methods are well suited or

    poor smallholder armers, as they rely on low levels o ex-

    ternal inputs, locally available materials and a diverse ap-

    proach to ood production.29 Tis approach is advocated by

    civil society, researchers, institutions, and even govern-

    ments, but stronger public intervention is in general neces-

    sary to create a air playing eld as the sector expands, in

    order to protect small producers and strengthen the position

    o developing countries actors on international markets.

    Policy-makers are increasingly becoming aware o the im-

    portance o organic agriculture, as is exemplied by the

    conerence on Ecological Agriculture: owards Food

    Security and Sustainable Rural Development in Arica or-

    ganised by the Arican Union and FAO at Arican Union

    headquarters in November this year.30

    1.5.4 The road ahead: policy options for climate

    change and organic agriculture

    So what policy choices are there or developing countriesconronted with climate change? As emphasised in the

    cal leadership; integrated approaches; and policy coherence.

    (Sathaye et al, 2007, p. 717)

    Consequently, climate policies need to be integrated into

    the national development policy at all levels. Decisions in

    areas such as scal policy, insurance practices, electricitymarkets, trade and orest management, seemingly unre-

    lated to climate policies, may have proound eects on mit-

    igation and adaptation choices.31 A key issue is the capacity

    o developing countries to design and implement appropri-

    ate climate policies (response capacity). Tis capacity is

    closely related to a countrys development path and in par-

    ticular the income level. o put it bluntly, wealth increases

    the ability to pay or adaptation and mitigation.

    It ollows that EU trade policies aect the climate policy

    o developing countries at two levels: First, they inuence

    the overall ability o countries to grow in a sustainable man-

    ner and develop response capacity in relation to climate

    change. In this respect the quality o growth matters and a

    key issue is i trade reorm allows poorer countries to diver-

    siy their economies to al low or broad-based growth, re-

    duce dependence on a ew economic activities or goods,

    preserve natural resources and spread the wealth to all

    groups o the population.

    Second, as highlighted above poor countries commit to

    constraining their policy space as regards certain instru-

    ments and specic sectors in negotiations with EU. A numbero the specic instruments will be reviewed in chapter 3.

    methodology section above, each country has a uniqueset o capacities and pre-conditions that make the designo development and climate policies highly context-specic. Climate benets need to be weighed againstdevelopment benets or drawbacks. Tis should be done

    through a democratic process with the involvement okey stakeholders in the public and private sectors andcivil society, like any other decisions:

    Ultimately, devising eective climate change mitigation

    strategies depends on good governance practices, which is the

    essence o sustainable development, or example, whole-o-

    government decision-making; synergies among economic,

    environmental and social policies; coalition-building; politi-

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    At sector level there are a number o adaptation and mitiga-

    tion options available to developing countries, in particular

    in relation to energy, orestry, agriculture, water and waste

    management (see able). As apparent rom the table, the

    adaptation and mitigation options are in many instances

    closely related. In some cases they yield benets in terms o

    sustainable development, while in others trade-os will

    have to be made.32

    Specic policy actions to promote organic agriculture

    include investment in training and ski lls development, sup-

    port to smallholders, development o national and interna-

    tional regulation and standards33, integration o organic

    practices into national agricultural development plans and

    poverty reduction strategies, targeted subsidies, scal meas-

    ures and other policy instruments to inuence producers

    decisions, removal o disincentives (e.g. subsidies or syn-

    thetic agricultural inputs), protection o organic lands rom

    transboundary contamination (e.g. government procure-

    ment o local organic produce to supply public institutions

    canteens, such as schools and hospitals.34

    In addition, the share o organic research in agriculture

    is almost nil in most countries and current allocations in

    developed countries do not exceed 1 percent o total research

    budgets. Key areas or uture research include areas such as

    organic soil ertility, organic animal husbandry, breeding,

    landscape management, arm economics and organic mar-

    ket dynamics.35

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    Mitigation

    Energy supply and use

    Energy efciency improvements in all areas, including buildings,

    transportation, industry, and energy supply, and increased

    reliance on domestic or imported low-carbon energy sources

    Forestry Deorestation control, aorestation and ossil uels substitution

    Agriculture Crop land, water, grazing and livestock management

    Waste management Landfll controls and gas recovery, biological treatment o waste and

    wastewater, incineration and waste minimisation

    Adaptation

    Water resourcesImproved water management or drinking and agriculture,

    including rainwater harvesting, water storage and diversifcation

    o irrigation techniques

    Agricualture and ood saety

    Crop diversifcation and improvement, improved livestock and

    fsheries breeding and arming techniques, development o local

    ood banks or people and livestock, and improved local ood

    preservation

    Human health

    Improved health care through community emergency preparedness

    programmes, better health education, better access to primary

    health care including measures to fght malaria

    Terrestrial ecosystems (including

    orestry)

    Better land and land use management through erosion control

    and soil conservation measures, agroorestry, orest fre

    management, alternative energy sources to wood and charcoal,

    and better town planning

    Coastal zones and Coastal zone management including coral monitoring and

    restoration and improving coastal deences through

    aorestation, reorestation,Marine ecosystems Set-back areas and vegetation buers

    Source: Adapted from Sathaye (2007, table 12.4, pp. 727-728) and UNFCCC (2007, table V-5, p. 31)

    Table: Examples o mitigation and adaptation policies in developing countries

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    1.6 EU trade policy and climate change

    1.6.1 Multilateral and regional trade negotiationsEU trade policy needs to be discussed in the context o glo-

    bal multilateral and regional trade negotiations. At multi-

    lateral level, the most recent WO trade negotiation round,

    the so-called Doha Development Agenda is moving very

    slowly and in the summer o 8 talks collapsed.36 In paral-

    lel with multilateral eorts, countries have engaged in re-

    gional economic integration. In recent years, this process

    has accelerated or both political and economic reasons;

    there are now nearly 400 so-called regional trade agree-

    ments (RA) scheduled to be implemented by 2010.37 In

    particular, there is rustration with the slow progress o the

    multilateral trade negotiations, not the least rom the side

    o the US that embraced regionalism in the 1980s .38 Te

    North American Free rade Agreement (NAFA) betweenthe US, Canada and Mexico was created in 1994.

    1.6.2 EU trade policy: Global EuropeTe Global Europe strategy was adopted in 2006 and basi-

    cally aims to promote European competitiveness. EU had

    until recently mainly pursued its interests through multi-

    lateral negotiations, but the regional approach o the US and

    the emergence o new large trading nations, such as China,

    India and Brazil, have incited the EU to adopt a more re-

    gional approach to deend its interests. Te Global Europe

    strategy is part o the so-called Lisbon process, which orig-

    inally aimed to make the EU the worlds most competitive

    economy. In 2005, the process was reoriented to ocus on

    economic growth and job creation in Europe and Global

    Europe is the contribution o trade policy to these objec-

    tives.39

    Te Global Europe strategy emphasises the importance

    o both good internal policies to uphold competitive mar-

    kets, openness and social justice and external policies di-

    rected at opening markets abroad:

    rejection o protectionism at home must be accompaniedby activism in creating open markets and air conditions or

    trade abroad. Tis improves the global business environment

    and helps spur economic reorm in other countries. It rein-

    orces the competitive position o EU industry in a globalised

    economy and is necessary to sustain domestic political sup-

    port or our own openness. Tere are two core elements in

    pursuing this agenda: stronger engagement with major

    emerging economies and regions; and a sharper ocus on bar-

    riers to trade behind the border. (p. 6)

    Te main elements o the strategy are:

    a) aris and non-tari barriers, such as unnecessarily

    trade-restricting regulations and procedures.

    b) Access to resources in the areas o energy (in particular),

    metals and scrap, primary raw materials, including certain

    agricultural materials, hides and skins.

    c) Intellectual property, in particular as regards enorce-ment o existing commitments in emerging economies, such

    as China.

    d) Services, which are the cornerstone o the EU economy.

    e) Investment, to create a more predictable investment cli-

    mate or EU business.

    ) Public procurement, which is still sheltered rom multi-

    lateral regulations and constitute major trading opportuni-

    ties or EU exports.

    g) Competition, to ensure European rms do not suer in

    third countries rom unreasonable subsidisation o local

    companies or anti-competitive practices

    Te strategy underlines that EU remains committed to

    WO, but argues extensively or increased use o regional

    trade agreements. Here an interesting distinction is being

    made, which is sometimes overlooked; on the one hand

    between negotiations with ACP countries, the Andean

    Community and Central America, which are related to EUs

    development and neighbourhood objectives; and new ree

    trade negotiations with regions, such as Asia, o economic

    interest to the EU and which are underserved by currentagreements.

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    On the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) negotia-

    tions with ACP, the Commission states: [a]symmetric

    trade liberalisation and attention to sustainability consid-

    erations rather than reciprocal trade opening are the objec-

    tive here (EC, 6b, p. 11), in addition to providing trade-

    related technical assistance. In practice though, the EU does

    not seem to make a very clear distinction between agree-

    ments with a development ocus and agreements with a

    narrow EU-oriented economic ocus as will be discussed in

    chapter 3.

    Overall, the criteria or selecting potential ree trade

    areas are economic, in a EU-geographically narrow and

    short-sighted interpretation, and include market potential

    and the level o protection against EU export interests.

    Priorities in this group are ASEAN, Korea and Mercosur,

    ollowed by India, Russia and the Gul Co-operationCouncil. EU believes China requires a separate approach

    because o its importance. Negotiations have recently been

    launched with all these parties, except with Mercosur, which

    started in 2000.40

    In October 2008, the EU rade Commissioner Peter

    Mandelson stepped down and was replaced by Catherine

    Ashton, previously the leader o the British House o Lords.

    At the time o writing it is unclear i and how this will aect

    EUs trade policy.41

    It is important to view Global Europe as only the recent

    contribution to EUs external regional trade policies. EU

    had concluded a number o bilateral agreements with se-

    lected third countries prior to the adoption o Global

    Europe. Tese include a Customs Union with urkey,

    Stabilisation and Association Agreements with South-

    Eastern Balkan, Association Agreements with countries in

    the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean (e.g. Algeria and

    Jordan), agreements with Chile and Mexico, and a rade,

    Development and Cooperation Agreement with South

    Arica.42

    Te negotiations or EPAs have a history o its own. TeArican, Caribbean and Pacic countries involved share a

    colonial past with Europe and relations between the two

    country groupings became regulated by the Lom

    Convention in 1975. It provided aid and preerential market

    access to the EU market or ACP countries. In the 199s the

    Lom Convention was challenged in the WO because it

    was more generous to the ACP countries than the preer-

    ences EU oered to other developing countries under its

    General System o Preerences (see Box).

    EUs system o trade preerences towards

    developing countries

    Like other developed economies, EU oers non-

    reciprocal preerential access to the EU market to

    developing countries through its General System o

    Preerences (GSP). There are three separate

    arrangements:

    1. The standard GSP, which provides preerences to 176

    developing countries and territories through duty-ree

    access or tari reductions;

    2. The GSP+, which oers additional preerences to

    support vulnerable developing countries in their

    ratication and implementation o relevant

    international conventions in the elds o core human

    rights and labour standards, sustainable development

    and good governance;

    3. The Everything But Arms arrangement, which

    provides duty-ree, quota-ree access or the 50

    Least-Developed Countries.

    The total volume o imports to the EU market under the

    three arrangements amounted to around 57 billion

    EUR in 2007. The GSP o developed countries is

    regulated in the WTO by the so-called Enabling Clause

    that was adopted in 1979. It enables developed

    members to give dierential and avourable treatmentto developing countries.

    Source: http://ec.europa.eu/trade/issues/global/gsp/index_en.htm and www.wto.org

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    Te Cotonou Partnership Agreement, which replaced the

    Lom Convention in 2000, reects the WO ruling. In the

    agreement, EU and ACP commit to negotiate and conclude

    reciprocal trade agreements (EPAs) that comply with WO

    rules by the end o 2007. Tis requires the phasing out o

    ACP trade preerences and progressive removal o trade

    barriers between the ACP and EU. Most o the trade liber-

    alisation will have to come rom the ACP side, since almost

    all imports to the EU rom the ACP already enter reely.43

    EPAs have to comply with the WO rules that regulate

    regional trade agreements; in particular, the requirements

    o Article XXIV o the General Agreement on aris and

    rade (GA) on regional trade agreements. Article XXIV

    sets clear guiding principles, in particular by stating that

    substantially all the trade has to be liberalised in an RA.

    However, the actual application is problematic, both be-cause o uncertainties related to the legally binding inter-

    pretation o the provisions and because the rules are subject

    to on-going negotiations. Particular uncertainties relate to

    the share o trade that needs to be liberalised (90% o the

    total volume according to EU) and the transition periods

    allowed (10 years is the base-line, but longer periods exist).

    As a consequence, it is possible to consider reciprocal EPAs

    o dierent scope and depth that sti ll are WO compatible,

    while other alternatives, not based on reciprocity, would

    require changes in the WO rules.44

    Aer an initial period o discussions at all-ACP level,

    negotiations between EU and various regional ACP constel-

    lations were launched in 3 and 4. ACP countries that

    are LDCs do not need to conclude an EPA to enjoy duty-ree

    access under the Everything But Arms arrangement, while

    non-LDCs would be conronted by less benecial GSP pre-

    erences in the absence o an EPA.

    Inormation on the current status o negotiations or

    EPAs and the other negotiations reviewed in this report can

    be ound in chapter 3.

    1.6.3 Global Europe and sustainable developmentSustainable development is clearly not the overriding con-

    cern o Global Europe. Tere are, however, a number o

    complementary EU mechanisms that could be used to re-

    ocus the market-opening ocus o the strategy.

    First, there are other EU policies that ocus on sustain-

    able development, in particular the EUs Sustainable

    Development Strategy, to which there is a brie reerence in

    the beginning o Global Europe strategy.45 It states as regards

    global poverty and sustainable development challenges that

    the overall objective is to actively promote sustainable

    development worldwide and ensure that the European

    Unions internal and external policies are consistent with

    global sustainable development and its international com-

    mitments. (p. 20) In particular, EU will increase eorts

    to make globalisation work or sustainable development by

    stepping up eorts to see that international trade and invest-

    ment are used as a tool to achieve genuine global sustainable

    development. (p. 21) EU is also rather advanced in terms opolicies to deal with climate change (see Box).

    More generally, policy coherence or development is em-

    bedded in the EU treaties. Te EU is obligated to take into

    account the development objectives in any policy that is

    likely to aect developing countries according to articles 177

    and 178 o the reaty establishing the European Community.

    However, the EU Commissioner or Development Louis

    Michel recently admitted that the EUs policies will not al-

    ways be coherent with development objectives.46

    Second, Global Europe mentions some issues related to

    the process and content o uture agreements. Tey should

    cover sustainable development concerns by addressing en-

    vironmental and social issues in addition to economic con-

    siderations. Sustainability Impact Assessments (SIAs)

    should be used to incorporate environmental and social

    chapters and clauses covering in particular the necessity not

    to relax existing standards to attract oreign investment, the

    importance o enorcement, exception clauses related to the

    protection o human health and the environment, capacity

    building and technical assistance(EC, 2006b, p. 18)

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    Tird, EU has high ambitions as regards trade-related de-

    velopment cooperation (Aid or rade). Tis type o sup-

    port can contribute to enhancing the development eective-

    ness o trade policy, by strengthening capacity and

    institutions and nancing necessary inrastructure, but also

    distort domestic policy making in poor countries and be

    used by donors or political ends. 47 Tere is a huge literature

    on best practice and eectiveness o development coopera-

    tion in general and Aid or rade in particular.48 Sufce to

    state in this context that aid cannot at all substitute ully or

    air trade agreements or good domestic policy making.

    EUs policies on climate change

    In a global perspective EU is somewhat o a precursor in

    terms o climate policies, not the least because o the poor

    perormance o other developed countries, in particular

    the US, and other large emitters. EU is taking positive,albeit insufcient, steps in fghting climate change, by e.g.

    actively promoting the Kyoto agreement and committing

    to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 8% rom the 1990

    levels by 2012. In addition, the EU Emission Trading System

    is, despite its faws and criticism, an innovative model or

    emission reduction.

    EU leaders have committed to cut its greenhouse gas

    emissions by 30% o 1990 levels by 2020 provided other

    developed countries commit to comparable reductions

    under a global agreement and by at least 20% independ-

    ently o what other countries decide to do. At the same time

    experience shows that it is easier or EU countries to com-

    mit to emission targets than to actually implement them.

    On the trade side, the ormer EU trade commissioner

    Mandelson argued that a solution to climate change needs

    to incorporate the right o developing countries to grow.

    As a consequence, ha saw a need to break the link between

    economic growth and rising carbon emissions through new

    power sources, more ecient energy use and new behav-

    iour patterns. Trade policy should, according to the com-

    missioner, contribute by spreading green technology and

    by giving incentives to good environmental policy.

    Source: Harris (2007), http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/home_en.htm accessed, http://www.euractiv.com/en/transport/france-pushes-leniency-car-co2-caps/article-175945 a, http://ec.europa.eu/commission_barroso/mandelson/speeches_articles/sppm217_en.htm

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    2. Perspectives rom partners

    Te ollowing three sections are summaries o a number o

    papers produced by AIPAD (Southern Arica perspective),

    IBON and REDES. Tey are presented to give a Southern

    perspective and interpretation in this report and do not

    necessarily reect the opinions o the author o this report

    or SSNC.

    2.1 Arica

    Tis section is a summary o the ollowing documents pro-

    duced by AIPAD: Masiiwa and Hazvina (2008), Hazvina

    (2008) and Masiiwa (2008).

    Greenhouse gas is mainly emitted in developed coun-

    tries, but it is the poor in developing countries that are the

    most aected. Climate change has shown itsel in Southern

    Arica through droughts and ooding, with negative eects

    on ood security and livelihoods. Tis is compounded by alack o local adaptive capacities and technology. In addition,

    Arican countries are currently being squeezed between

    competitive pressures to boost productivity caused by lib-

    eralisation and the wish to avoid pursuing a greenhouse

    intensive development path.

    Inormation on trade and climate change in Arica is

    scant, but AIPAD has identied some general issues. On the

    negative side, these issues include:

    Increasedemissionscausedbytradeliberalisationthrough

    boosted production and transport.

    Moreimportsandlesslocalproductionusingenviron-

    mentally riendly labour intensive methods (e.g. in agricul-

    ture) caused by tari cuts.

    Increasedexploitationandexportsofresource-intensive

    products. Instead Arican countries should develop energy

    sources, including lobbying in the WO or more avour-

    able policies in the areas o RIPs, investment, energy and

    sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) to enhance in-

    vestments and technology transer.Constrainedpolicyspacetopursueenvironmentalpoli -

    cies, such as export taxes and environmental taxes on im-

    ports currently banned by EPA and WO respectively.

    Lossofexportmarketsbecauseofhighenvironmental

    standards. In the short term, Arican countries need to par-

    ticipate in developing environmental standards in export

    markets. In the long terms, they need to invest in environ-

    mentally clean technologies or both production and trans-

    port. Support rom developed countries and appropriate

    IPR and investment policies are needed. Te box lists some

    measures suggested by AIPAD to improve transer o clean

    technologies in the RIPS agreement.

    Promoting clean technology transer in the

    TRIPS agreement

    Amend TRIPS so that developing countries can be

    excluded rom patentability o green technologies. Make developed countries pay for the licenses to pro-

    duce such technologies in the South, where there is

    interest by the developing country governments. The

    drawback is that this could divert existing aid money

    rom other essential areas i the resources used are not

    additional.

    Make developed country governments provide re-

    search and development unds or climate-riendly

    technology innovation so that the knowledge remains

    in the public domain or easy access.

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    Te trade and climate nexus may also, according to AIPAD,

    provide opportunities or Arican countries, i suitable sup-

    port policies are put in place:

    Enhancedlocalvalue-addedinAfricancountriesinsec -

    tors such as ood processing, textiles and clothing, chemi-

    cals and l ight machinery to enhance employment and re-

    duce greenhouse gas emissions rom transports.

    Productionofenvironmentalgoodsandservices,e.g.re-

    lated to natural resources and renewable energy.

    Productionofbiofuels,inparticular,eventhoughtheissue

    is complex. Opportunities include improved energy secu-

    rity and efciency, new market opportunities, rural develop-

    ment and reduced greenhouse gas emissions. Potentialproblems are linked to land ownership, competition or

    land, deorestation, monocropping, water pollution, ood

    security problems, poor labour conditions and unair dis-

    tribution o benets along the value-chain. Te net eect is

    dependent on a number o actors, such as crop, cultivation

    method, conversion technology and area.

    Exportsoforganicagriculturalproductsbasedontradi -

    tional low-input and labour-intensive arming. Appropriate

    inrastructure and institutions need to be put in place and

    support assistance rom developed countries should be

    sought.

    Revenuegenerationfromtraditionalenvironmentalprod -

    ucts and services such as handicra and eco-tourism.

    However, this sector is dominated by small rms or house-

    holds, which have difculties in reaching the international

    market due to poor inrastructure, lack o capital and inac-

    cessibility o export credits.

    Overall, trade liberalisation can give access to clean tech-

    nologies. But climate considerations need to be incorpo-

    rated in trade liberalisation schemes that should not solely

    be based on competition, but instead avour local value-

    added. In EPAs climate change issues have been clearly mar-

    ginalised.

    As ar as EPAs are concerned, AIPAD is o the opinion

    that Arican countries were pressed by the EU to conclude

    interim-EPAs under the threat o raised taris on the EU

    market. Reciprocal trade relations between EU and ACP

    countries oer an opportunity to overcome the traditional

    donor-beneciary relationship and create benets in the

    orm o cheaper producer and consumer goods. However,

    the AIPAD identies a number o problematic areas related

    to the negotiations, including:

    ebreakingupoftheexistingAfricanregionalgroupingsand the detrimental eects that will have on regional coop-

    eration.

    etendencyforEUtoopenupothermarketswhilepro -

    tecting its own through subsidies.

    everywidecoverageofnegotiationsandstringencyof

    the conditions that go beyond WO requirements, includ-

    ing new areas such as services, government procurement

    and national treatment o companies.

    edemandsbytheEUintermsofmarketopenings,such

    as the stand-still clause that compels ACP countries to

    reeze their current taris, the absence o a dynamic inant

    industry saeguard, the ast pace o liberalisation, the re-

    moval o export taxes, and the Most-Favoured Nation

    (MFN) clause, which means that i ACP oers better market

    access in any other trade negotiations, these conditions

    must also apply to the EU.

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    ethreattoclimateandfoodsecuritycausedbyincreased

    movement o goods, avouring o commercial ood produc-

    tion and enhanced control by EU companies on natural

    resources and land. Biouel production has already led to

    changes in land ownership as oreign companies race to buy

    or lease large Arican land areas.

    2.2 AsiaTis section is a summary o the ollowing documents pro-

    duced by IBON: IBON (2008), Goodman and Wolendon

    (2008) and Quintos (2008).

    Asias greenhouse emissions have grown in step with

    economic growth and increasing exports. China is now the

    leading greenhouse gas emitter in the world. Tis is due to

    a development path based on carbon-intensive energy and

    inefcient technologies, deorestation, plantation agricul-ture, mining and dam projects. A non-negligible part o

    these emissions are associated with outsourcing o low-cost

    production by multinational corporations. rade in envi-

    ronmental goods and services is still limited, even though

    there are some Asian export products in the area such as

    solar water heaters and certied t imber products.

    IBON argues that WO rules constrain the possibilities

    o countries to pursue policies related to climate change, as

    i trade liberalisation is paramount to ghting a changing

    climate. Tese rules include disciplines on border measures

    related to the carbon content o imports, standards on pro-

    duction methods, government procurement avouring low

    greenhouse gas emitting goods, avouring o local produc-

    ers, discrimination o oreign producers and intellectual

    property rights. GA allows measures that protect hu-

    mans or nature and promote development under certain

    conditions, but in IBONs opinion it is difcult or develop-

    ing countries to invoke these exceptions in practice because

    o opposition rom developed countries.

    WO and regional trade rules now need to be subordi-

    nated to climate policies. According to IBON this wouldinvolve:

    DiscardingtheWTOTRIPSagreement,especiallyinrela -

    tion to renewable energy and climate-riendly technologies

    and the developed countries must bear the cost o transer-

    ring these technologies.

    Endsubsidiesandotherformofsupporttogreenhousegas

    intensive industries in the developed countries. Instead ap-

    propriate adaptation unds or developing countries should

    be collected.

    Allowingdevelopingcountriestheoptionofusingsubsi-

    dies, government procurement rules, regulations or oreign

    investments, and other orms o state support or nurturing

    domestic renewable energy development, sustainable or-

    ganic arming, and climate riendly technologies.

    Allowingdevelopingcountriestoretaintheexibilityto

    use taris, quotas and other non-tari measures including

    taxes to discourage or, i necessary, ban the importation o

    GHG-intensive or pollutive goods such as ertilizers and

    agro-chemicals. Te same exibility must be available to

    developing countries who wish to discourage or limit their

    exports o oil, gas, timber and other natural resources in

    order to conserve them or to reserve their use or local pop-

    ulations most dependent on such resources.

    Allowingcountriestheexibilitytouselabelling,manda-

    tory energy-related standards or technical regulations as

    instruments or reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

    Global Europe does not integrate climate concerns, and is

    in IBONs opinion driven by prot-maximization on behal

    o the EU. A particular problem is the desire by the EU or

    unimpeded access to energy and raw material resources

    rom the developing world. In the same vein, the demand

    or stricter IPR enorcement is based on protecting the in-

    terests o corporate Europe rather than enable transer ormore energy-efcient and climate-riendly technologies.

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    In parallel the EU adopts market-based approaches to re-

    duce their own greenhouse gas emissions; the EU emissions

    rading Scheme (ES). However, the emission cap is set too

    high to drastically reduce emissions and the scheme has

    turned into a lucrative business opportunity, involving

    among other things trade o carbon credits between Europe

    and the developing world. o IBON the system amounts to

    privatisation o the global atmosphere and uses markets to

    realise social ly desired outcomes.

    Overall, Global Europe aims to establish relations with

    its target partners based on WO plus terms that are un-

    equal and biased against developing countries. Particular

    issues that IBON emphasises include:

    Reductionoftarisandnon-taribarriersresultsinloss

    o revenue and exposes local producers to unair competi-tion, in particular in agriculture because o EU subsidies.

    In the same vein, restrictions on the use o export taris on

    raw material deny the EUs partner countries the sovereign

    right to apply policies they need to develop.

    Liberalisationschedulesthatarefasterthanrequiredby

    WO jeopardize the economies o developing countries

    leaving them little space or meaningul economic develop-

    ment.

    IPRclausesandenvironmentalmeasuresinFTAswould

    provide monopoly to EU in advanced technology, such as

    environmentally and energy saving technologies.

    Studies show that even i ASEAN countries may gain rom

    a ree-trade agreement with the EU, most o these gains are

    associated with liberalisation in services. On the goods side,

    ASEAN countries would become more specialised in pri-

    mary production, while industrial production would de-

    cline. EU would reap 7% o the benets. ASEAN countries

    could experience considerable economic losses o revenuebecause o al ling tari revenue and repatriation o prots.

    2.3 Latin America

    Tis section is a summary o texts produced by REDES.

    REDES argues that ree trade agreements between Latin

    America and Europe are not aimed at promoting coop-

    eration to oster development in the South, but rather at

    opening and securing markets or transnational corpo-

    rations and oreign investments. Tis is clear rom EUs

    Global Europe strategy that explicitly aims at urther

    liberalization o international trade to open markets or

    the European companies in order to stimulate growth

    and employment in Europe.

    In addition, agreements between unequal partners lead

    to suppression rather than promotion o sustainable devel-

    opment and the EU association agreements are examples o

    this. Tey incorporate issues not negotiated in the WO and

    demand extensive liberalization in areas such as goods,services and government procurement. Tey destabilize

    regional integration in the developing regions, as exempli-

    ed by the splitting o the Andean block. At the same time