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Global Connection 2012 - 2013 An Annual Publication by the Josef Korbel School of International Studies

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The first issue of an annual publication by the University of Denver's Josef Korbel School of International Studies

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Global Connection

2012 - 2013

An Annual Publication by the Josef Korbel School of International Studies

Content

Editorial TeamDirector of Communications David Proper | Director of Alumni Relations Alicia KirkebyAssociate Dean of External Affairs Jennifer Thompson

Special Thank YouUniversity Photographer Wayne Armstrong | Director of Development Ann Irving Development Coordinator Lily Siegel-Gardner Coleman

On the CoverBefore delivering the 2013 graduate commencement address, Ban Ki-moon, the Secretary General of the United Nations, visited the Josef Korbel School. During his visit he received a demonstration of the International Futures modeling platform-a tool developed at the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.

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Public Diplomacy Speaker SeriesKorbel Dinner 2012Korbel Events: Denver’s Global ConnectionEnhancing Understanding: University of Denver’s Center for Middle East StudiesQ&A: John DeBlasioClimbing with CaseyBlazing Ahead at KorbelMeet Erica ChenowethGlobal Trends 2030Enhancing Career Success: Office of Career and Professional DevelopmentThe Korbel Experience

About the Josef Korbel SchoolThe Josef Korbel School of International Studies is one of the world’s leading schools for the study of international relations. Located in Denver, Colorado, the Josef Korbel School invites students from around the globe to think beyond the Beltway with innovative interdisciplinary programs.

Since its founding in 1964, the Josef Korbel School has produced alumni who work to improve the human condition, advance human prosperity, and enhance human security. Indeed, graduates of the Josef Korbel School are shaping the world through careers in the public, private and nonprofit sectors.

Greetings from Dean Hill

The 2012/2013 academic year at the Josef Korbel School was certainly exciting. Our faculty, students, alumni and staff were busy bolstering the School’s intellectual and scholarly enterprise.

As you will read in the magazine, the School continues to rise in prominence. Most notably, during 2012/2013 we launched our Center for Middle East Studies, which has already enhanced the scholarly exploration of this important region. Last year, the Center hosted an influential conference on the crisis in Syria. This conference sparked a book edited by the Center’s director Nader Hashemi and associate director Danny Postel that has been lauded by The New York Review of Books as an “excellent collection of essays.”1

Additionally, we welcomed Professor Erica Chenoweth to our faculty. Chenoweth is widely published, her work has been recognized by the Woodrow Wilson Foundation, and she received the prestigious University of Louisville Grawemeyer Award.

As a school dedicated to training tomorrow’s global leaders, our mission has never been more relevant. Our programs prepare students to meet the challenges they will face with effective solutions. Whether it’s meeting with one of our many renowned guests, attending an event at one of the research centers housed at the School, or working alongside our world-class faculty, Josef Korbel School students learn from leaders in the field of international relations.

Today, I’m more optimistic than ever about the future of the Josef Korbel School. We are truly becoming an epicenter for education and research in international affairs and diplomacy.

Lastly, I would like to take this opportunity to thank you. Your support over the past year has meant a great deal to all of us at the Josef Korbel School, and it allows the world to continue to benefit from the work of our vibrant intellectual community.

Sincerely,

Ambassador Christopher R. HillDean of the Josef Korbel School

1 Danner, M. (2013). Syria: Is There a Solution? The New York Review of Books, 60(17). Retrieved from: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2013/nov/07/syria-is-there-a-solution/

Page 1 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

Public DiplomacySpeaker SeriesEach year the Josef Korbel School and the Sié Chéou-Kang Center for International Security & Diplomacy

welcome prominent policy leaders from around the world as part of the Public Diplomacy Speaker Series. Through the series, our students, the next generation of diplomatic leaders and scholars, hear about emerging

issues in global security and diplomacy.

Visit our website at www.du.edu/korbel to learn about upcoming events, including the 2013/2014 Public Diplomacy Speaker Series.

2012/2013 speakers included (clockwise from the top left-hand corner): The former U.S. Ambassador to Pakistan, Cameron Munter (pictured here speaking with a small group of students); U.S. Deputy Secretary of State William Burns; Glyn Davies, U.S. Special Representative for North Korea Policy; and Patricia Haslach, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary in the Department of State’s Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations (pictured here during a meeting with students involved in the Crisis Engagement and Negotiation Exercise).

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 2

2012 Korbel Dinner

The Korbel Dinner is held annually in honor of Josef Korbel, the first dean and founder of our school. The dinner is also an opportunity to recognize community leaders, who exemplify the School’s mission as set forth by Korbel.

The dinner was held on Wednesday, August 15, 2012. Honorees were:• Keynote speaker and recipient of the Global Leadership

Award: Walter Isaacson, CEO of the Aspen Institute (top photo)

• Recipient of the Josef Korbel Humanitarian Award: Trygve Myhren, President of Myhren Media, Inc. and Chairman of the Board of Trustees, University of Denver (first photo, bottom row)

• Recipient of the Bridge Builders Award: Lee McIntire, Chairman and CEO of CH2M HILL (second photo,

bottom row)Special guests included 64th U.S. Secretary of State and daughter of Josef Korbel, Madeleine Albright (second photo, top row), and alumnus and former Denver Bronco, Reggie Rivers (MA ‘07) (third photo, top row) who served as the evening’s Master of Ceremonies.

About the Korbel DinnerThe Korbel Dinner is the principal fundraising event of the Josef Korbel School and is essential for the continued refinement and expansion of the School’s programs, scholarships and centers, which are designed to serve Korbel students and the community at large.

The first dinner was held in 1998 and has grown every year since, becoming one of Denver’s major social events.

Celebrating the vision of Josef Korbel

Page 3 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

Denver’s Global Connection Korbel Events

The Josef Korbel School strives to create an environment that fosters the intellectual growth of our students as well as the greater DU Community. As part of this commitment, we host a number of panels, discussions and lectures on today’s most pressing global issues. Here are just a few of the global leaders who visited the School during the 2012/2013 academic year.

The School recognized the 10th anniversary of the start to the Iraq War with an expert military panel discussion. On the panel were Colonel David L. Grosso, Fort Carson Garrison Commander; General Charles H. Jacoby, Jr., Commander of the North American Aerospace Defense Command and United States Northern Command; Korbel Alumnus General George W. Casey (Ret.), 36th Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army; Lieutenant General Dana K. Chipman, U.S. Army Judge Advocate General; and Colonel Michael T. Wright, Josef Korbel School Army Fellow.

Top: ABC News’ Sr. Foreign Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz; Chairman and CEO of the Boeing Company, W. James McNerney; Commander of U.S. African Command, General Carter Ham. Bottom: Korbel Alumnus John Ambler, Vice President, Strategy at Oxfam America; Major General Buster Howes, the Defense Attaché at the British Embassy in Washington, D.C.; Founder of the Slow Food Movement, Carlo Petrini.

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 4

Turmoil in Syria. Elections in Egypt. A Twitter revolution in Iran. So much news; so little context.

Th at’s the dilemma the new University of Denver Center for Middle East Studies (CMES) aims to address. Via public programming and research, the CMES hopes to provide the context that will enhance understanding of a much-misunderstood corner of the world.

Th e CMES is directed by Nader Hashemi, assistant professor of Middle East and Islamic politics and author of Islam, Secularism, and Liberal Democracy (Oxford University Press, 2009).

“In many ways, I would say it’s a dream come true,” Hashemi says of the center, noting that it off ers extraordinary opportunities for students and scholars to explore the region’s societies, political systems, economies and international relations.

“Students will be able to attend conferences and lectures by people who are at the cutting edge of scholarship,” Hashemi says. Th ey’ll also be able to meet some of the region’s major newsmakers. For example, a recent conference on the Syrian crisis featured leading members of the Syrian opposition, people who may assume signifi cant roles in a post-Assad government.

Public- and student-focused programming like this is what entrepreneur John DeBlasio had in mind when he used funds from his Global Peace and Development Charitable Trust to create the center.

“You never hear about Iraq anymore, do you?” he asks, noting that his founding gift seeks to remedy just that kind of information gap.

A 1989 graduate of West Point, DeBlasio served with the Army Reserves in Iraq in 2003–2004, advising the transitional government on everything from public services to transportation and logistics. He went on to spend the next few years conducting business in the Middle East.

His time in the region altered his thinking about its political challenges and prospects.

“In 2001, I was very naïve. I looked at everything from this

very myopic view,” he recalls. To him—and he suspects, to many Americans—the Middle East’s challenges boiled down to little more than the Palestinian question.

In time, DeBlasio came to appreciate “the enormous diversity of the region and the complexity of the issues and their relevance to American national security.” He also came to wish the best for the region’s many countries and peoples. When casting about for a program to support, he looked for institutions and people with an optimistic mindset.

“Th ere are people out there who are less than sanguine about the future,” he says, adding that he wanted no part of a gloom-and-doom vision.

Instead, DeBlasio wanted to back a program that shares his belief that “individual rights and liberties are universal” and that “there is no exclusive lock on that, just because we are Christian-based or Judaism-based.”

Enhancing Understanding

Th e Center for Middle East Studies launch event. From left to right: the Center’s communications offi cer and research assistant Doug Garrison, special guest Vali Nasr, the associate director of the Center Danny Postel, Dean Christopher Hill, special guest John DeBlasio, and Nader Hashemi, the director of the Center.

Photo courtesy of the CMES

University of Denver’s Center for Middle East Studies

Page 5 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

John DeBlasio is Founder and Executive Director of the GPD Charitable Trust whose funds have created the University of Denver’s Center for Middle East Studies.

DeBlasio was the owner of Sallyport Global Holdings, an organization which employed over 1,900 people worldwide

and became the largest provider of security and facilities management services to USAID prime contractors operating in Iraq. He is a 1989 West Point Graduate who retired as a Lieutenant Colonel in the U.S. Army Reserve Civil Aff airs branch and was deployed to the Middle East in 2003-2004 where he worked with the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) as an Advisor to the Ministry of Trade and with the U.S. Embassy in Amman, Jordan as the CPA Liaison for the Embassy. During that time he was awarded a Bronze Star as well as a Joint Service Commendation medal.

What in your career background piqued your interest in the Middle East?I served as an Army offi cer in the Middle East and was involved in Operation Iraqi Freedom from 2003 to 2004. I served there as a civil aff airs offi cer so I became familiar with the challenges of working and living in the Middle East and also the role that we as a nation can play to be

Th e Center for Middle East Studies hosts a number of lectures, conferences and special events featuring leading experts on the Middle East and the issues facing the region.

To learn more, visit the CMES website at:

www.du.edu/korbel/middleeast

Photos courtesy of the CMES

“Th e program fi t me,” he says of the Korbel School and its emphasis on advancing human prosperity and security.

In addition to programming, the research agenda of the CMES encompasses a vast array of topics, including: contentious politics and revolution; democratization and human rights; and political and economic development. Hashemi also plans a special focus on the relationship between religion and democracy in Muslim societies.

By Tamara Chapman Originally appeared on DU Today at du.edu

Q&AJohn DeBlasio

an instrument of positive change.

I also worked for eight more years as a business owner serving as a contractor to the U.S. Agency for International Development and other government agencies that were engaged with supporting the operations there. I have worked in nine diff erent countries in the region and have had extensive engagement with both the people in the region as well as the policies that we’re trying to implement.

In your opinion, what are the challenges that face the region?I see the historical thread of development in the Middle East similar to the historical threads of development in Western Europe in the 1600’s and 1500’s where there was a negotiated arrangement between religious actors and political actors to create a basis for democracy. I feel the challenge for government and people in the Middle East is to create that negotiated settlement in a much less violent and much quicker fashion than what occurred naturally in Europe between the 1500s and 1700s—much of that is laid out, coincidentally, in Nader Hashemi’s book that refl ects the similarities in the development of democracy in societies that have religion as a signifi cant mark.

Why did you choose the University of Denver?First – I was very impressed with and felt very strongly aligned with the world view that Dr. Hashemi has. I felt good about investing in and supporting that. Nader’s

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 6

research has been around political development in relation to societal development. He talks at length about how Islam and religious societies can accommodate democratic philosophical ideals. Both the political science research he uses to tell that story as well as his experiential view in life are powerful.

Second, my sense of the Korbel School in general and Dean Hill in particular was that they would be a good partner for a donor such as myself. I felt good about the strategic direction of Korbel.

Also, the geographic location of the University of Denver. There’s a monopoly on ideas around international relations that seems to reside in the BosWash Corridor. I felt investing outside of that would be beneficial.

Ten years from now, what do you hope the DU CMES will have accomplished?If I look back in 10 years and we’ve progressed the ideas that Nader has already espoused and taken students and made them better practitioners of diplomacy and development in that region, then we’ve succeeded.

It’s important for students to understand the dynamics of the region, so that they are more savvy. As practitioners they will need to be able to accomplish tasks—in order to do that they have to understand the nuances of working in that region.

What other projects and initiatives do you support?The charitable trust has a significant investment at West Point in the Center for the Study of Civil-Military Operations. It also has a large grant and significant investment at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs with a national security fellow who will write on and highlight the importance of the Middle East in U.S. policy. Similarly, educating the community about the region. As well as investments in providing access to information through grants to journalists working in Syria. Those are all significant national security type investments that we’re making. We also have the investments in late teen/early adult intervention programs at the YMCA of Pittsburgh and the Nuestros Pequeños Hermanos orphanages in Central and South America.

The current conflict in Syria has killed more than 100,000 people and displaced four million, yet most observers predict that the worst is still to come. And for two years, the international community has failed to take action. World leaders have repeatedly resolved not to let atrocities happen in plain view, but the legacy of the bloody and costly intervention in Iraq has left policymakers with little appetite for more military operations. So we find ourselves in the grip of a double burden: the urge to stop the bleeding in Syria, and the fear that attempting to do so would be Iraq redux. What should be done about the apparently intractable Syrian conflict? This book focuses on the ethical and political dilemmas at the heart of the debate about Syria and the possibility of humanitarian intervention in today’s world. The contributors-Syria experts, international relations theorists, human rights activists, and scholars of humanitarian intervention-don’t always agree, but together they represent the best

political thinking on the issue. The Syria Dilemma includes original pieces from Dean of the Josef Korbel School Christopher Hill, Hashemi, Postel, Fareed Zakaria, Anne-Marie Slaughter, and others. Excerpted from http://mitpress.mit.edu/books/syria-dilemma

Korbel Reading ListThe Syria Dilemma Edited by the Center for Middle East Studies Director Nader Hashemi and Associate Director Danny Postel

Page 7 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

Climbing

For the second consecutive year, Josef Korbel School alumnus and former Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army General George W. Casey (Ret.) spent two weeks at the School conducting guest lectures and meeting with students. And for the first time, Casey accompanied current and prospective students on a Korbel Climb (Casey pictured here with some of the group).

When asked about why he chooses to come back to the School, General Casey explained, “What I enjoy most is the opportunity to give back to the Josef Korbel School after what it gave me 33 years ago.”

He further explained that his time at the School was one of the most broadening experiences of his 40-year career. General Casey took courses with Professor Jonathan Adelman on the Soviet Union and years later found himself at the Kremlin negotiating a Kosovo peace-keeping mission. He also took courses with Professor Art Gilbert, who teaches classes about how wars start and end, and was in the White House during decisions on whether to go to war in Kosovo and Iraq.

When Casey wasn’t scaling a mountain with students, he taught a two-week course at the School titled Civil Military Relations at a Time of War. According to General Casey, the class looked at the U.S. Constitution and at how the Founding Fathers framed it to ensure that no one civilian had complete control over the military. Then the class discussed 20th and 21st century case studies to see how civilian military actors are involved during war.

He feels that he benefits from the class just as much as the students. “The class asks questions that make me think and sharpen my thinking on things,” General Casey said. “Every time you go through something, you see it more clearly, so I’m drawing sharper insights than I did last year.”

By Amy Dempsey (MA ‘13)

with Casey

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 8

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Meet Kyleanne HunterKyleanne Hunter embodies the spirit and global perspective of the Josef Korbel School. As a former member of the Marine Corps, she was one of the first female attack pilots and later served as the Marine Corp’s liaison officer to the House of Representatives. Today, she’s a Sié Fellow at the Josef Korbel School where her past experiences continue to shape her perspective and the work she does in and out of the classroom.

Hunter is a masters candidate in international security who earned her BA from Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service. After graduating from Georgetown, she spent more than a decade as an officer in the United States Marine Corps, serving as an AH-1W Super Cobra attack pilot on multiple deployments in support of Operations Iraqi and Enduring Freedom. Hunter explains, “I finished my undergrad back a very long time ago and went into the Marine Corps. I was an attack pilot. I was the first woman on the east coast. It was a trailblazer type experience. Definitely an experience being the first in something, which is never easy. It’s something that takes grit and determination.”

Indeed, Hunter’s experiences prove that she has both grit and determination in spades. She jokingly says, “I’m dumb enough not to be afraid of anything. I had a flight instructor tell me once that I had no apparent fear of death. Whatever mechanism that’s supposed to make me afraid is missing.”

Following her service as a pilot, Hunter became the Marine Corp’s liaison officer to the U.S. House of Representatives and served as the military escort for several international congressional delegations. While escorting members of congress to Afghanistan, she began to see the positive impact U.S. military action has had on the country. On this particular trip, she met the first women commissioned in the Afghan army’s air branch.

She describes the roadblocks these women faced, “They wanted to fly. Because of cultural norms in Afghanistan, getting trained was a huge problem . . . they couldn’t be alone in a helicopter with a man.”

Above: Hunter escorts Congressman Jim McDermott (Washington) on a trip abroad

Next Page:Center: Hunter inside an AH-1 Super Cobra attack helicopter, which she flew on multiple deployments in support of Operations Iraqi and Enduring FreedomBottom Left: Hunter with other Sié FellowsBottom Right: Hunter cycling in Afghanistan

Blazing Aheadat Korbel

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 10

So, Hunter worked with members of congress to arrange for training in the United States and she later learned that two of the women earned their wings in the fall of 2012.

“When talking to these women I learned that they were very proud to be Afghan. They wanted to serve. It was the same reasons why I wanted to serve. They’re proud of their country and they want to serve their country. They now had the safety and security to feel that pride and to serve.”

Today in Colorado, Hunter continues to work with Afghan women. After moving to the Denver area to attend the Josef Korbel School, she became acquainted with Shannon Galpin the founder of Mountain2Mountain, an organization that aims to empower women and girls domestically and abroad. As a cyclist herself, she began working with Galpin to help Afghan women form a professional cycling team. She says, “We worked up funding to get us over there to work with the women.

It’s a huge step for them to get out and ride on the street. Because of social norms, they can’t have a male coach. So we offer some structure and advice on how to organize a team, how to work together as a team-the basic coaching/teammate mechanics.”

The team now aspires to qualify for the 2016 Olympic Games. “They’re strong and they want to be competitive. They’re very very serious. And again it comes down to their pride in being Afghan.”

Amazingly, Hunter also has time to be a full time student, a Sié Fellow, and research assistant at the Sié Chéou-Kang Center for International Security and Diplomacy—roles she takes very seriously. “I’m not just a reflection of Kyleanne Hunter, I reflect Korbel, the University of Denver, the Sié Center, and the Sie Family themselves,”

she explains.

As a result, Hunter has earned the respect of her colleagues and faculty. Professor Deborah Avant, director of the Sié Chéou-Kang Center says, “Kyleanne brings her considerable experience with her to the

“Whatever mechanism that’s supposed to make me afraid is missing.

Continued on Page 16

Page 11 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

Meet Erica Chenoweth

I arrived in Denver in the summer of 2012 after spending four terrific years as an assistant professor at Wesleyan University and brief stints at Stanford and Harvard. Over the last decade, I had grappled with exploring the underlying causes of political violence, identifying its alternatives, and improving public understanding and action on the subject. The “conventional wisdoms” about political violence—that people who use violence are forced to do so by their circumstances, that terrorists oppose “our way of life,” and that negotiating with violent actors never works—are often taken for granted without serious inquiry. I wanted to come to an institution whose normative, educational, and research commitments matched my own—and Korbel seemed like the perfect fit.

When I moved to Korbel, I was immediately impressed by the quality of the other faculty here, as well as the fact that many of my new colleagues were motivated by the same core research questions. My ongoing research projects were immediately integrated into the Sié Chéou-

Kang Center for International Security and Diplomacy, and I was able to secure funding for a few new projects as well.

By creating research assistant opportunities and co-authoring papers with students, these projects allow Korbel students to engage in every stage of the research process so that they leave with the skills, experience, and subject expertise required for their careers. My research team now includes 15 full-time paid summer research assistants, and as many as 20 during the academic year.

Here is a sneak peak at some of our current projects.The Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO) Data Project is a multi-level data collection effort that catalogues major nonviolent and violent resistance campaigns around the globe from 1900-2011. The project is motivated (in part) by the question of whether and when civil resistance can be a functional alternative to violent insurgency. This project is the first of its kind to systematically explore the sequencing of tactics and their effects on the strategic outcomes of the campaigns. Researchers can use these data to better answer questions about how tactical choices lead to the success or failure of such political movements, how inter-group relationships among competing insurgent organizations affects their strategic choices, and how the sequencing of tactical choices influence the overall outcomes of resistance campaigns. The project is supported with funding from the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict, an educational foundation in Washington, D.C.

Being convinced that organizational dynamics—particularly levels of competition and cooperation—often influence how non-state actors behave, I have teamed with Philip Potter of the University of Michigan and Michael Horowitz of the University of Pennsylvania to study how networks of non-state actors (or lack thereof) might lead certain groups to adopt terrorism as a tactic. The Terrorism Network Project therefore collects data on how violent non-state actor networks emerge, with whom these actors ally, and how these alliances induce or restrain violent behavior. Our project

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 12

assumes that understanding relationships between violent groups—like Al Qaeda and Lashkar-e-Taiba—will help to understand how to reduce the capacity of these groups to inflict harm. Our efforts will ultimately yield a publicly available data set, several scholarly publications, and a host of case study narratives for scholars and policymakers to improve responses to this contemporary policy problem. Unlike previous studies, our data will be global and will cover the entire 1945-2011 period. We received funds to support this research from the U.S. Department of Defense’s Minerva Research Initiative.

A third major project regards the question of how best to deal with violent non-state actors. To this end, Laura Dugan (a criminologist at the University of Maryland) and I collected and analyzed data on conciliatory and repressive government actions toward terrorist groups and the populations from which they emerge. We collected original data on counterterrorism policies in Israel, Turkey, Algeria, Egypt and Lebanon using automated machine-coding to glean events data from Reuters news leads, allowing us to understand the day-to-day interactions between governments and violent challengers. To date, the resultant Government Actions in Terror Environments (GATE) Data Project is the most comprehensive source of information on how governments respond on a day-to-day basis to terrorist violence. This data can be used to identify how different types of government actions affect terrorist violence, why governments undertake certain actions, and a variety of other questions. A recent grant from the U.S. Department

of Homeland Security is allowing us to update those data and collect data on seven more countries, and a grant from the Canadian Ministry of Public Safety is allowing us to replicate the process on the Canadian case.

In sum, coming to Korbel was absolutely the right decision for me. I know that my team of researchers at the Sié Center is grateful to obtain practical skills while playing a role in better answering some of the key questions of our time. Not every academic institution is able to support faculty research with the time, resources and administrative support we need to succeed. But with the recent initiation of the Sié Center, a clear devotion to raising the research profile of the institution, the hiring of world-class faculty colleagues researching similar issues, and Korbel’s first-rate students, Korbel is a place where faculty studying violence and its alternatives can do their very best work.

By Associate Professor Erica Chenoweth

Why Civil Resistance Works by Erica Chenoweth and Maria Stephens

Chenoweth and co-author Maria Stephens’ book Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic

of Nonviolent Conflict received two prestigious awards-the American Political Science Association’s Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award and the University of Louisville Grawemeyer Award for Ideas Improving World Order.

By analyzing all known uprisings between 1900 and 2006 involving more than 1,000 people that related to a country’s overthrow of a dictator, secession, or removal of a foreign occupation, Chenoweth and Stephens found that nonviolent campaigns succeeded twice as often as violent campaigns.

Korbel Reading List

Page 13 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

Researchers at the University of Denver’s Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, part of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, contributed substantial forecasts and analysis to the intelligence report, Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds, released by the U.S. National Intelligence Council in December 2012.

The Global Trends report, which is published every four years, provides incoming or returning U.S. presidential administrations prospective analysis and scenarios as an aid for setting policy priorities both foreign and domestic. The reports receive wide global coverage and help to identify influential long-term global meta-trends.

“The Pardee Center provided foundational forecasts and analysis using the International Futures model for the authors of the report,” said Jonathan Moyer, Ph.D., associate director of the Pardee Center for International Futures.

Analysis of the forecasts suggests that China and India are rapidly gaining relative power, and the United States and the European Union are declining. By 2030—using traditional measures of power—the United States and China will achieve power parity. However, using measures that privilege technology and human capital development, the United States will retain an advantage (though with the same downward overall trend). Diplomatic and institutional power will also continue to remain fundamentally important moving forward, and the West generally holds advantage in those areas.

Moyer explains, “Our model projects that the world in 2030 will be increasingly multi-polar and that the U.S. will have to rely more heavily on complex networks of alliances fostered through diplomatic connection and savvy use of technology to promote foreign policy objectives.”

“The contribution of the Pardee Center to the Global Trends 2030 report highlights the important research taking place here at the University of Denver,” said Christopher Hill, Dean of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies. “The innovative work taking place at the Pardee Center and the Josef Korbel School of International Studies truly impacts ideas at a global level.”

Global Trends 2030

In June United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon visited the Josef Korbel School. During his visit, he stopped by the Pardee Center where he received a demonstration of the International Futures modeling platform-a tool developed at the Center.

Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures

Building Global Infrastructure

“Building Global I n f r a s t r u c t u r e : Forecasting the Next 50 Years,” is the fourth volume in Patterns of Potential Human Progress. The volume is available for download on the Center’s website at www.ifs.du.edu

Korbel Reading List

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 14

Enhancing Career Success

Students and alumni of the Josef Korbel School have access to a career offi ce dedicated to helping them achieve their career goals.

Our Offi ce of Career and Professional Development seeks to enhance student career success by providing: • Professional development through career coaching

and targeted skills development training.• Career education through courses, workshops and

events.• Connections between students, alumni and employers

through targeted and proactive marketing and relationship management.

Offi ce of Career and Professional Development

Post Graduation Employment Report

access to a career offi ce dedicated to helping them

Post Graduation Employment ReportPost Graduation Employment Report

Employed83%

Continuing Edu.5%

Seeking10%

not Seeking2%

nonprofi t/nGO39%

Private31%

Public27%

Unknown3%

Employment Status

Sector

Page 15 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | 2012/2013

The Korbel Experience

How did the Josef Korbel School prepare you for your career?The courses I took at the Josef Korbel School that taught specific skills, combined with some of the theoretical economic courses my GFTEI degree required, helped me to be comfortable working with, analyzing and writing about, quantitative data.

What is your fondest memory of your time at the Josef Korbel School?I have so many wonderful memories of the years I spent at the Josef Korbel School that it is difficult to label just one as the fondest. Overall, I feel the friendships and professional connections I made there, both with my fellow students and the staff, have and will continue to last long after my graduation.

Who from the faculty had the most impact on your time at the School?George DeMartino and Ilene Grabel are hands down my two favorite professors at the Josef Korbel School. They both clearly have a passion for teaching, and they challenge their students to question their assumptions and approach problems from multiple perspectives. They’re tough graders who expect the best from their students, but all the late night cups of coffee were worth it!

KATE DILL(MA ‘10)Program AssociateLambi Fund of Haiti

How did the Josef Korbel School prepare you for your career?It provided me with practical skills in project and nonprofit management that are used everyday in international development.

What is your fondest memory of your time at the Josef Korbel School?The great interest and motivation of all my peers, in particular within the large RPCV [Returned Peace Corps Volunteers] and PCMI [Peace Corps Masters International] contingent.

Who from the faculty had the most impact on your time at the School?Tom Laetz

GARRETT SChIChE(MA ‘09)Monitoring & Evaluation ManagerLutheran World Relief

STEPhAnIE ROBERTS(MA ‘12)Program FellowGlobal Nomads Fund

How did the Josef Korbel School prepare you for your career?Korbel not only gave me the knowledge and access to expert professors to enhance my understanding of my field, they also helped equip me with great career advice and support in my search for work after graduation. I am currently completing a year long Fellowship in NYC and will then be returning to DU as a Study Abroad Coordinator.

What is your fondest memory of your time at the Josef Korbel School?The friendships I made and the great conversations both in and out of the classroom.

Who from the faculty had the most impact on your time at the School?Sally Hamilton, Alan Moorer and Peter Van Arsdale, each in their own amazing way.

2012/2013 | GLOBAL CONNECTION | Page 16

program but also works hard to engage with new materials in classes, as a research assistant and in her own research. She reflects the intelligence, drive and openness to new information that we hope all Korbel students will strive for. All that combined with her good humor makes her a delightful addition to our school.”

As a Sié Fellow, she’s working alongside faculty members who are doing research on some of the most pressing issues of our time, including Associate Professor Erica Chenoweth’s Program on Terrorism and Insurgency Research. Hunter credits these experiences with broadening her knowledge and interests, “I feel like I’ve actually been able to become an expert at something—from having to read and collect data on violent and nonviolent revolutionary movements. I think to myself, wow, I really know about something now.”

Furthermore, her work with Chenoweth sparked an idea she is pursuing for her master thesis. Hunter explains, “Often you see women very active in revolutionary movements, but that does not always mean they’re involved in the government that’s formed after the revolution. So I’m looking at the causal links—what causes a successful transition from revolutionary women

to governance. There’s nothing out there on what the catalysts are that provide the transition from women in revolution to women in governance.”

Hunter notes that she may continue her research as a PhD student. Whatever she decides to do, she will surely pursue it with the same grit and determination she has demonstrated in the past and continues to demonstrate today. We look forward to seeing the next trail she blazes.

About the Sié FellowshipThe Sié Fellows program is administered by the Sié Chéou-Kang Center for International Security and Diplomacy at the Josef Korbel School. It is built on the recognition that national and international leadership will be an essential element in the world’s efforts to resolve the international challenges of this new century. Through guided research, course work, mentorship, and opportunities to interact with faculty and policy-makers, Sié Fellows emerge from the program ready for significant careers in global leadership and service. They also leave the Josef Korbel School as a tight-knit cohort that forms the basis for a life-long professional network. Sié Fellow alumni hold leadership positions in business, government and civic society.

Kyleanne Hunter (Cont.)

Thank You Mr. & Mrs. Philip G. ClayThe experience students like Kyleanne Hunter bring to the Josef Korbel School is invaluable. That’s why we’re happy to announce a gift by Mr. and Mrs. Philip G. Clay. The gift will establish an endowed scholarship for men and women who currently serve or have served in the United States Marines Corps.

Mr. Clay is an active, supportive University of Denver alumnus and parent of Fraser Clay, BSBA ‘07. He says that he is impressed by the University’s leadership and the strategic direction of the Josef Korbel School. “I graduated from DU in 1974. I became reengaged with the University when Dan Ritchie became Chancellor and began the transformation of DU into what it is today. I had an opportunity to meet Dean Hill during his first days at DU. I was impressed by his experience and accomplishments as a member of the Foreign Service and his vision for the Josef Korbel School. I believe he is someone who will make things happen the way Dan Ritchie was able to do.”

Mr. and Mrs. Clay also have a strong personal connection to the United States Marine Corps. Mr. Clay explains, “Our son Captain P. Jordan Clay served in the United

States Marine Corps for six years as an infantry officer including two deployments. My wife and I think the endowment is an excellent way to honor his service and the service of his fellow Marines. We also think a designated gift is a great way to support the School.”

We extend our sincere gratitude to Mr. and Mrs. Clay. We appreciate their support of the Josef Korbel School and their support of the men and women who serve our country in the United States Marine Corps.

Top: Philip Clay while at the University of Denver Bottom: Mr. & Mrs. Clay

Stay in Touchwith Korbel

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