global automotive connectors, cable assemblies and ecu market
TRANSCRIPT
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 1
Global Automotive Connectors, Cable
Assemblies and ECU MarketExternal Insights to Validate Claims of Target in IM
Month 20XX
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
➢ Global Automotive Connectors Market
➢ Global Automotive Cable/Cable Assembly Market
➢ Global Automotive ECU Market
➢ Technological and regulatory developments
▪ Competition 11-16
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 3
Target X
Global automotive connectors market to post ~6.1% CAGR, reaching €5.57 billion over 2016–2021
Market Size and Outlook
Sources: ‘Automotive Connectors Market by Connection Type’, Markets and Markets (March 2017); ‘2015 Automotive Market Unit Volume Increased 1% Worldwide’, Connector Suppliers (April 2016); (continued in slide notes)
▪ During 2016–2021, the automotive connectors’ market is
projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.1%5 to reach €5.57 billion
– Aftermarket sales accounted for ~10% of the market in
2016
▪ In addition to overall growth in vehicle production, the market
is expected to expand due to increasing use of electronics per
vehicle—which in turn will require more connectors per vehicle
– From 30% in 2010, the average cost of electronics in a
vehicle is projected to reach 35% by 2020 and 50% by
2030
▪ During the forecast period, passenger cars are expected to
constitute the fastest-growing segment of the automotive
connectors market
– This is attributed to the introduction and expected
increase in demand of various advanced safety features
such as night vision, blind spot detection, and lane
departure systems in passenger cars
“What we are seeing is automotive interconnect is outpacing the
rest of the market 2 to 1. In 2016, while the connector market grew
4%, automotive interconnect grew by about 8%.”
– David Einhorn, Business Development Manager, Amphenol
(April 2017)
39.2%
20.4%
10.8%
10.2%
5.3%
4.4%3.2%
6.5%
Other Passenger
Executive
Mini Car
Small Car
Large
MPV
Medium
SUV
70.9%
11.1%
4.1%
4.2%
9.7%
Other Commercial
Medium Bus
Mini Truck
Medium Truck
Light Truck
Commercial Vehicle
3.50 0.64
4.95
5.57
2016
2019
2021F
Automotive Connectors Market – By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016–2021)1
4.14
Commercial
Vehicles
Passenger
Vehicles
Vehicles
Overall
Automotive Connectors Market – By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016)1, 2, 3, 4
Passenger
VehiclesCommercial
Vehicles
3.15 0.57
Notes: (1) All currency conversions are as per the average annual $–€ currency conversion rate as defined on page no. 28 in the appendix section; for data beyond 2017, average annual currency conversion rates have been used
(2) ‘Other passenger’ includes segments such as Sports, Luxury Cars, Minivans, Pick up Trucks and SPVs
(3) ‘Other commercial’ includes segments such as semi-trailers, heavy truck, small bus, large bus, vans and mini bus
(4) Segmental data for passenger and commercial vehicles does not include aftermarket sales
(5) CAGR has slightly improved due to the impact of currency conversion to EUR
Global Automotive Connectors Market (1/2)
Passenger Vehicle
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 4
Target X
The Asia Pacific region, especially China and India, is likely to register the fastest annual growth
in the next five years
Market Size and Outlook
Automotive Connector Market – By Region
(€ billion, 2012–2016) 1, 2▪ The geographical share of automotive connectors is proportional to the number of vehicle units produced in each of
these regions
– In 2015, China produced ~27% of vehicles, with the production posting a 8.33% CAGR during 2012–2015
– However, its relative share remained lower compared with North America and Europe due to a significantly lower
manufacturing cost
▪ In the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region (including China) is projected to register the fastest annual growth
– The growth can be attributed to the improving socio-economic conditions and boom in the manufacturing of
vehicles in emerging economies such as India and China
– The region will also witness evolution of concept and increase in the manufacturing of electric vehicles as well as
increased used of emerging technologies in a vehicle, thus expanding the share of electronics and connectors
used per vehicle
North America30.0%
Europe32.0%
Japan9.0%
China19.0%
Asia Pacific7.0%
ROW3.0%
3 pps
1.7 pps
4.4 pps
5.6 pps
0.80 pps
100% =
€ 4.14
Bn
Global Automotive Connectors Market (2/2)
Sources: ‘Automotive Connectors Market by Connection Type’, Markets and Markets (March 2017); ‘2015 Automotive Market Unit Volume Increased 1% Worldwide’, Connector Suppliers (April 2016); (continued in slide notes)
Notes: (1) All currency conversions are as per the average annual $–€ currency conversion rate as defined on page no. 28 in the appendix section; for data beyond 2017, average annual currency conversion rates have been used
(2) The percentage point (pps) change in the geographical share of the market has been calculated for the period between 2012 and 2015
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 5
Target X
For automotive cables/cable assemblies, commercial vehicles are projected to grow faster than
passenger vehicles at 8.5% CAGR in the next few years
Market Size and Outlook
Sources: Automotive Wiring Harness Market worth 61.30 Billion USD by 2021, Markets and Markets (March 2017); ‘Automotive Cable Assembly Market Up 7.2% in 2014’, Bishop & Associates (May 2015); (continued in slide notes)
▪ During 2016–2021, the automotive cable/cable assemblies
market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.2%5 to reach
€54.4 billion; of this aftermarket sales accounted for ~11%
value in 2016
– Key growth drivers are expected to be increasing
installations of advanced driver assistance systems,
stringent automotive safety norms introduced by the
government and rising preference of automotive
electricals among end-users
▪ Though the commercial vehicles segment accounts for a
lower share of the market, it is projected to register an above-
average CAGR of 8.5% till 2020
Geographical Segment
▪ Asia-Pacific is expected to grow the fastest due to increasing
penetration of high-end electronic features in passenger cars
and growing demand for light and heavy vehicles in various
countries
Product Segment
▪ In application terms, chassis wiring accounted for the largest
share, followed by body and speed sensors, respectively
▪ Speed sensors harness is expected to show the highest
CAGR in the next five years
34.8%
24.7%
8.3%
10.9%
7.3%
4.6%
4.0%
5.4%
Other Passenger
Executive
Mini Car
Small Car
Large
MPV
Medium
SUV
75.3%
10.6%
4.1%2.7%
7.3%
Other Commercial
Medium Bus
Mini Truck
Medium Truck
Light Truck
Commercial Vehicle28.9 7.7
46.46
54.39
2016
2019
2021F
Automotive Cable/Cable Assemblies Market –
By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016–2021)1
36.7
Commercial
Vehicles
Passenger
Vehicles
Vehicles
Overall
Automotive Cable/Cable Assemblies Market – By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016)1, 2, 3, 4
Passenger
VehiclesCommercial
Vehicles
29 6.6
Global Automotive Cable/Cable Assembly Market
Notes: (1) All currency conversions are as per the average annual $–€ currency conversion rate as defined on page no. 28 in the appendix section; for data beyond 2017, average annual currency conversion rates have been used
(2) ‘Other passenger’ includes segments such as Sports, Luxury Cars, Minivans, Pick up Trucks and SPVs
(3) ‘Other commercial’ includes segments such as semi-trailers, heavy truck, small bus, large bus, vans and mini bus
(4) Segmental data for passenger and commercial vehicles does not include aftermarket sales
(5) CAGR has slightly improved due to the impact of currency conversion to EUR
Passenger Vehicle
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 6
Target X
Because of expected rise in sales of heavy commercial vehicles, global ECU market for
commercial vehicles to grow relatively faster than for passenger vehicles during 2016–2024
Market Size and Outlook
Sources: ‘Automotive Electronic Control Unit (ECU) Market’, Esticast Research & Consulting (August 2017); Global Market Insights (May 2018); (continued in slide notes)
▪ During 2016–2024, the automotive ECUs market is projected
to grow at a CAGR of 8%5 to reach €49.7 billion; in 2016,
aftermarket sales accounted for ~5% of the market
– Key growth drivers are rising electronic content per
vehicle, increasing vehicle production, increased stringent
government regulations for passenger safety, and
development of low-cost ECUs
– Surging preferences for sustainable technologies, electric
vehicles, eco-friendly driving systems, and energy-
preserving vehicles, are expected to subsequently boost
the automotive ECUs market
▪ The passenger vehicles segment held the largest share in
2016 and is projected to post a 6.3% CAGR during the
forecast period
▪ The commercial vehicles segment is forecast to post a
relatively higher than average CAGR of 7.6% in the period,
driven by expanding heavy commercial vehicles sales
31.2%
24.9%
9.2%
10.7%
9.4%
5.6%
3.5%
5.5%
Other Passenger
Executive
Mini Car
Small Car
Large
MPV
Medium
SUV
72.5%
10.8%
3.7%
4.4%
8.6%
Other Commercial
Medium Bus
Mini Truck
Medium Truck
Light Truck
Commercial Vehicle
24.8 2.0
33.8
42.6
49.7
2016
2019F
2022F
2024F
Automotive ECUs Market – By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016–2024)1
26.8
Commercial
Vehicles
Passenger
Vehicles
Vehicles
Overall
Automotive ECUs Market – By Vehicle Type
(€ billion, 2016)1, 2, 3, 4
Passenger
VehiclesCommercial
Vehicles
23.55 5.18
Global Automotive ECU Market (1/2)
Notes: (1) All currency conversions are as per the average annual USD–EUR currency conversion rate as defined on page no. 28 in the appendix section; for data beyond 2017, average annual currency conversion rates are used
(2) Other passenger include segments such as Sports, Luxury Cars, Minivans, Pick up Trucks and SPVs
(3) ‘Other commercial’ segment includes vehicles such as semi-trailers, heavy trucks, small buses, large buses, vans and mini buses
(4) Segmental data for passenger and commercial vehicles does not include aftermarket sales
(5) CAGR has slightly improved due to the impact of currency conversion to EUR
Passenger Vehicle
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 7
Target X
Asia-Pacific countries such as India, China and Japan are likely to register significant growth in
the long term
Market Size and Outlook
Automotive ECUs Market – By Region
(€ billion, 2016)1
Geographical Segments
▪ Geographically, Europe led the market in 2016 and accounted for ~34% of the market value (~ €10.4 billion)
▪ Asia-Pacific is projected to show the highest growth rate, registering a CAGR of 7.7% from 2016 to 2024
– Increase in automobile sales, escalating vehicle safety standards and focus on fuel-efficient vehicles are likely to be a few of
the key growth drivers
– The market is likely to grow further due to the surging preference for sustainable technologies, electric vehicles, eco-friendly
driving systems, and energy-preserving vehicles—especially in countries such as India, China and Japan
Product Segments
▪ The safety and security, powertrain, and entertainment segments are expected to witness above-average growth during the
forecast period
– In 2016, power steering systems (part of the safety and security segment) constituted the leading area—accounting for 21.1%
share of the total market; it is anticipated to maintain its dominance throughout the forecast period
– Further, engine management systems are anticipated to witness the highest growth rate of 7.6% in the near future as a result
of an ever-growing demand for energy-efficient vehicle systems
Europe34.3%
Asia-Pacific27.0%
North America26.9%
ROW11.8%
100% =
€28.8
Bn
Global Automotive ECU Market (2/2)
Sources: ‘Automotive Electronic Control Unit (ECU) Market’, Esticast Research & Consulting (August 2017); Global Market Insights (May 2018); (continued in slide notes)
Notes: (1) All currency conversions are as per the average annual USD–EUR currency conversion rate as defined on page no. 28 in the appendix section; for data beyond 2017, average annual currency conversion rates are used
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
➢ Global Automotive Connectors Market
➢ Global Automotive Cable/Cable Assembly Market
➢ Global Automotive ECU Market
➢ Technological and regulatory developments
▪ Competition 11-16
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 9
Target XMarket Size and Outlook
Technological developments such as connected cars, electric/hybrid vehicles and autonomous
cars are expected to be key market driversTechnological and Regulatory Developments
Autonomous Cars
▪ Fully autonomous cars are forecast to account for
15% of the passenger vehicle segment by 2030,
with 135 million units
▪ Increasing demand for semi-autonomous
technologies and rising demand for comfort and
convenience in vehicles in developing countries are
likely to be among the key drivers
Electric Vehicles and Hybrid Cars
▪ In 2016, global stocks of Electric Vehicles and hybrid
cars grew at 59.5% and 55.7% Y-o-Y, respectively;
China accounted for the greatest share
Connected Cars
▪ Growing demand for vehicle-to-vehicle management and safer
driving are key drivers of growth in the connected cars market
globally
▪ Sales of connected cars are expected to grow four fold during
2017–2020, primarily in the passenger car segment
▪ Connected cars typically utilise advanced telematics,
infotainment and advanced driver assistance system
(ADAS) solutions
Greater Emphasis on Decreasing Carbon Emission
▪ Countries globally are introducing regulations to curb carbon
emissions
▪ The US, Europe and other regions have introduced regulations to
improve internal combustion engines (ICEs) of the vehicles and
make them more fuel efficient
– This is likely to propel original equipment manufacturers
(OEMs) to innovate and use enhanced technologies, which
would, in turn, require additional connectors, cable
assemblies and ECUs
Sources: RocSearch Primary Research
Greater innovation and technology enhancements in automobiles
are likely to result in an increased need of automation; which will,
in turn, raise the number of connectors, cable assemblies and
ECUs used per vehicle. Further, manufacturers of these
components are likely to witness demand in innovating for the
OEMs, who aim to be technologically advanced
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
▪ Competition 11-16
➢ Connectors and Cable Assemblies – Market
Landscape
➢ Connectors and Cable Assemblies – Engagement
Model
➢ ECU – Market Landscape and Engagement Model
➢ Contract and Pricing Terms
➢ Key Success Factors
➢ Competitor Benchmarking
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 11
Target XCompetition
Tier 3 (Local): Have presence in selected
countries
Tier 2 (Regional): Have presence in a
few continents
Tier 1 (Global): Have a
worldwide presence
▪ Global automotive connectors market is highly consolidated, with top 10 players accounting for 89% in 2016
▪ The market is also characterised by the presence of numerous players that compete for the remaining 11%. These are either small companies located in low-cost destinations such as China or firms
operating in niche segments (such as Target X that focusses on trailer and tractor connectors)
▪ Tier-1 manufacturers (such as TE Connectivity, Delphi and Molex) enjoy economies of scale and have global manufacturing presence, which helps increase market penetration; they also have wide
product portfolios enabling them to cross-sell and upsell
▪ Midsized tier-2 manufacturers (such as Target X and Phillips Industries) focus on niche segments and have a few large contracts that contribute to their top line
▪ Contract manufacturing and buying white label products to cater to clients’ needs is common in the industry, with tier-1 companies often engaging with tier-2 and tier-3 manufacturers
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation
TE Connectivity
37
Yazaki19
Delphi13
JAE4
Sumitomo4
JST3
AVX3
Rosenberger2
Amphenol2
Korea Electric Terminal
2
Others11
Connectors and Cable Assemblies – Market Landscape
Global connectors and cable assemblies market is characterised by the presence of large
multinational companies; Target X competes with other midsized niche players
Global Market Landscape – Connectors and Cable Assemblies Automotive Market for Connectors, Market Share of Top 10 Suppliers (%, 2016)1
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 12
Target X
1: Directly Contracting with OEM
OEM (Typically Tier 1) Channel PartnerSupplier (Typically Tier 1)
OEM (Typically Tier 2 and 3) Channel PartnerSupplier (Typically Tier 2
and 3)
2: Collaborating with Channel Partner
▪ In this model, the supplier directly contracts with the OEM; the
engagement terms such as price, duration and annual volumes are
fixed between the two entities
▪ However, the OEM places orders through a channel partner (such
as Arrow and Mouser). This reduces the administrative hassle for
the OEM and ensures that they have access to a global supply
chain
▪ The channel partners typically earn a margin of 15%–20%, which is
borne by the OEM
▪ Most of the tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers engage with channel partners,
who promote their products among OEMs. Hence, suppliers do not
sign direct contracts with the OEMs
▪ This model is also employed by OEMs when they have limited
knowledge of quality benchmarks of the product
─ For instance, an OEM innovating with electric vehicles may
seek a channel partner’s inputs on supplier selection, based on
required quality
▪ The channel partner’s margin is typically borne by the supplier
3: Directly Contracting with original equipment supplier (OES)
▪ Channel partners do not feature in an engagement between suppliers, which is typically for
white label products
Target X has presence across all the engagement models, it has direct contracts with OEMs (such as
Ford and Daimler). OEM and OES contracts accounted for 81.2% of its revenue in 2017, followed by
channel partners (18.8%)
Connectors and Cable Assemblies – Engagement Model
While tier-1 connector and cable assembly suppliers contract directly with OEMs, tier-2 and tier-3
suppliers engage with channel partners to increase market penetration
Competition
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 13
Target X
Global Market Landscape – ECUs Global Engagement Model – ECUs
ECU Supplier (Tier 2
and 3 companies) OES (Tier-1 companies) OEMs
▪ The tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers typically do not directly engage with OEMs; the former manufacture for
OESs, who in turn contract with the OEMs
▪ While the OESs have manufacturing presence, they contract with tier-2 and tier-3 companies either to
enhance regional presence or for procuring white-label products
▪ The OESs contract with a tier-2 and tier-3 supplier for the hardware and an IT company for the
software, to develop an offering for the OEM
▪ A channel partner may feature in the engagement model, if the OEM has partnered with them (similar
to that for connectors and cable assemblies)
Tier-1 Suppliers: Companies
that are the interface for OEMs
Tier 2 and 3 Suppliers: Firms that
manufacture ECUs and sell to OESs
Software Companies: Firms that
provide the software support to ECU
manufacturers
▪ ECU manufacturers (tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers) design and manufacture software and
hardware solutions and are often used in outsourcing capacity by OESs, who are primarily the
interface and customers of the automotive OEMs
▪ Key players in the automotive ECU market include Delphi, Bosch, Continental AG, Denso,
TRW Automotive and Autoliv; these players focus on M&A, agreements and contracts with
other manufacturers to enhance their product portfolio and regional presence
─ They also invest heavily in R&D to offer product differentiation as well as cost-effective
ECUs by building technology partnerships with other participants in the ecosystem
The ECU market landscape varies from that of connectors and cable assemblies. Most of the
connector manufacturers do not feature amongst the top 5 ECU companies (excluding Delphi)
Further, in contrast to the engagement model followed in the connectors and cable assembly
market, tier-2 and tier-3 ECU suppliers engage with tier-1 companies, who are the interface for
OEMs
Target X has a minor presence in the ECU domain, with the segment accounting for 0.8% of its
revenue in 2017
ECU – Market Landscape and Engagement Model
Unlike the connectors and cable assemblies segment, tier-2 and tier-3 ECU suppliers
manufacture for tier-1 firms, who are the primary interface for OEMs
Competition
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 14
Target X
Contracting Terms Connectors Cable Assemblies ECU Comments
Type of Contract Fixed quantity over a period▪ Both OEMs and OESs sign fixed-quantity contracts with suppliers; however,
volumes are revised annually
Duration of Contract
3–5 years (depending
on the life of the
platform)
3–5 years (depending on
the life of the platform)
5–8 years (depending
on the life of the
platform)
▪ The contracts are signed for the duration that a vehicle model will be in the market;
these are only revisited when the vehicle design is revised
▪ In case of commercial vehicles, a model is not updated frequently; hence, the
revisions are not made often. However, in the passenger vehicle segment, where a
few models are designed for the competitive market, the revisions may happen
every three years
Payment Terms (in terms of
days)30–90
▪ While the payment term for OESs is typically 30 or 60 days, OEMs typically
command a higher bargaining power with a credit period up to 90 days
Annual Price Revisions
▪ Suppliers offer annual price hike/decrease, depending on the type of engagement
─ Large suppliers innovate for OEMs and incur the cost of R&D. When pricing the product for the first year, they look to achieve breakeven and recover their
investment; hence, in the years thereafter, they offer a discount to the OEM
Price Ceiling Not applicable Pegged to copper prices Not applicable
▪ Connector and ECU suppliers do not define a price ceiling, beyond which the
increase/decrease in feedstock cost is passed on to the customers
▪ However, cable assembly suppliers peg the prices to copper (a key feedstock)
▪ Connector and ECU companies do not face major pricing pressures due to feedstock prices. However, since these
companies innovate for the suppliers, they need to ensure that the end product falls within the latter’s budget
▪ Raw material cost (primarily that of copper) is a key pricing pressure faced by cable assembly suppliers. Since
copper is commoditised, the customers keep a tab of price fluctuations and demand rebates if prices decrease
Pricing Pressure
Contract and Pricing Terms – Suppliers and OEMs/OESs
Contracts between the supplier and OEM/OES are typically signed for the life of the platform,
with annual volume and price revisions
Competition
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 15
Target X
Key Success Factor DescriptionImportance for Tier 1
Suppliers
Importance for Tier 2
and Tier 3 Suppliers
Quality▪ Quality is the most important factor considered by OEMs while procuring connectors, cable assemblies and
ECUs; hence, suppliers typically have a high focus on certifications
Price Competitiveness
▪ OEMs typically seek quotations from 2-3 suppliers, before awarding a new contract, to ensure price
competitiveness
▪ This is a key success factor for tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers as they need to compete with tier-1 suppliers, who have
achieved economies of scale, have global manufacturing presence and employ sophisticated technologies
Technology Innovation
▪ Most of the tier-1 suppliers innovate for the OEMs by investing in R&D, while the tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers may
not have these capabilities
─ However, in November 2017, Target X developed, for Ford, a connector which transmits data signals for a
reversing camera and the tyre pressure, for the OEM’s new trailer model
▪ While leading OEMs prefer partnering with tier-1 suppliers that can support them during the development phase, it
is also common for the former to engage with tier-2 and tier-3 suppliers for niche products
Existing Relationship▪ This is a key success factor for all suppliers as developing a strong relationship with OEMs provides opportunities
to cross-sell and upsell
Financial Stability ▪ Since OEMs contract with suppliers for the lifetime of the platform, financial stability is a key success factor
HighLow Med
Legend
“Quality is of utmost importance. At the same time, most of the business will go to companies
with previous or established relationship. We do create competition and look to have multiple
suppliers to hedge against supplier risk.”
– Technical Leader, Ford (January 2018)
Key Success Factors – by Type of Supplier
Quality, price competitiveness and existing relationships are key success factors for midsized
suppliers (such as Target X)
Competition
“Existing relationships are a must, specifically in the ECU industry.
The only reason why our company was awarded multiple times for
this product is because we have a history with the OEM”
– Senior Software Engineer, Continental Automotive (January
2018)
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 16
Target X
Sources: RocSearch Expert Consultation; Annual Reports; Company Presentation; Company Websites
Company Rank Comments
TE Connectivity 1 ▪ TE Connectivity is the leading automotive connector manufacturer and has a wide range of product offerings
▪ It has direct contracts with leading OEMs and has the ability to innovate for them; hence, the company has a good technological reputation
▪ However, the company does not have presence in the ECU segment
Target X 2 ▪ Target X focusses highly on connectors and cable assemblies, with the commercial and passenger vehicle segments accounting for the majority of its
revenue
▪ The company has manufacturing presence in low-cost destinations and is able to penetrate the market as its focusses on a niche segment (tractor and
trailer connectors)
Stoneridge 3 ▪ The company does not feature in the top 100 automotive electronic part manufacturers list; however, it is highly focussed on the ECU segment
▪ It has manufacturing presence in 8 countries
Phillips Industries 4 ▪ Phillips Industries is Target X’s close competitor as the company only focuses on connectors for the commercial segment
Littelfuse 5 ▪ It does feature in the list of top 100 companies but has very low focus on connectors and cable assemblies
Hopkin's Towing Solutions 6 ▪ The company only has presence in the US and Mexico and focusses on selling automotive aftermarket products to distributors and retailers
“Companies such as Target X have 2-3 large clients that
contribute to their top line. They would typically have
long-standing relationships, which bring in steady
business.”
– Corporate Strategy Consultant, TE Connectivity
(January 2018)
Target X Competitor Benchmarking
The market is characterised by the presence of large players such as TE Connectivity, but Target
X competes with firms such as Phillips Industries, which focus on niche segments
Competition
“Target X is a niche manufacturer who has already
established a stand and defined the market.They win
contracts based on their existing relationships and
expectations.”
– Senior Software Engineer, Continental Automotive
(January 2018)
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
▪ Competition 11-16
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 18
Target XStrategy
Sources: RocSearch Primary Research
1: Flooding the Market with a Wide Range of Offerings 2: Focusing on a Niche Segment
▪ Industry veterans believe that most of the suppliers currently have a wide range of offerings; hence,
flooding the market is not considered as a key success factor
▪ Further, procuring white label products is commonly practiced amongst tier-2 and 3 suppliers, which
enables companies to cross-sell and upsell products
▪ While having a robust product portfolio (primarily catering to the commercial segment) benefits
Target X, it is not considered as a unique strategy in the industry
▪ Since midsized companies (such as Target X) may not have capabilities to compete with the likes of
TE Connectivity and Delphi, they typically focus on a niche segment to increase market penetration
and innovate
▪ This strategy reaps benefits as the large suppliers engage with such companies to expand their
product portfolio.
“It is not very difficult to flood the market with the wide breath of products but the
company needs to ensure that they are high-quality products and showcase
capabilities. Large companies such as Delphi and TE have reached this reputation
based on their quality and after many years.”
– Technical Leader, Ford (January 2018)
“OEMs have multiple suppliers in a domain and will not be looking to purchase
from one company alone. While having a wide product portfolio will help in
cross-selling and upselling, it is not a key success factor.”
– Design Engineer, Molex (January 2018)
“Having a wide product offering is something all companies are doing currently. If
companies do not have manufacturing capabilities, they procure white label products from
Chinese manufacturers; hence, they still have an opportunity to cross-sell and upsell.”
– Corporate Strategy Consultant, TE Connectivity (January 2018)
“Target X operates in the niche segment (which is commercial vehicles). Such companies
are a minor segment of the overall market but are good acquisition targets; specifically for
giants such as TE, which are looking to increase market share by adding these niche
products.”
– Corporate Strategy Consultant, TE Connectivity (January 2018)
“Operating in a niche segment does give more focus to the company. It
also enables the company to sell products to OESs who may be
looking to expand their portfolio.”
– Design Engineer, Bosh (January 2018)
Third-party Opinion on Target X’s Strategies
A wide range of offerings is not considered as a key strategy in the industry; focussing on a
niche segment is believed to be Target X’s USP
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
▪ Competition 11-16
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 20
Target X
0.81x
5.22x
1.65x
0.65x
0.32x
0.83x
1.77x
0.35x
1.49x
0.91x0.50x
0.00x
1.00x
2.00x
3.00x
4.00x
5.00x
6.00x
Relative Valuation: Comparable Transactions (1/2)
TARGET PKC GroupIntercontec
ProduktFCT Electronic
Kabel-Technik-
Polska
Durapart
IndustriesColeman Cable Molex Prestolite Wire Watteredge Nexen Tech
China Auto
Electronics Group
Country Finland Germany Germany Poland Norway US US US US S. Korea China
AcquirerMotherson Sumi
SystemsTE Connectivity Molex Groclin AQ Group Southwire Koch Industries General Cable Coleman Cable
Route One
Investment
THB Auto
Electronics
% Acquired 93.8 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 69.7 100
Deal Value (€ mn) 687 305 50 23 11 351 4,907 46 28 36 194
EV (€ mn) 687 305 50 23 10 571 4,907 46 28 58 194
Revenue (€ mn) 845 58 30 35 33 692 2,773 131 19 64 391
Date Jan 2017 Jul 2016 Aug 2013 Mar 2013 Aug 2012 Dec 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2012 May 2012 Jun 2017 Oct 2016
Median: 0.83x
Europe US Asia
EV/Revenue
Median EV/Revenue for US-based targets (1.16x) is higher than the global median, while for
Asian targets (0.70x) it is marginally lower; European targets (0.81x) closest to global median
Sources: Thomson Eikon; Capital IQ; Mergermarket
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 21
Target X
11.63x15.32x
19.06x
8.34x
10.91x
6.21x
11.37x
5.79x
0.00x
5.00x
10.00x
15.00x
20.00x
25.00x
Relative Valuation: Comparable Transactions (2/2)
TARGET PKC GroupIntercontec
ProduktFCT Electronic
Kabel-Technik-
Polska
Durapart
IndustriesColeman Cable Molex Prestolite Wire Watteredge Nexen Tech
China Auto
Electronics Group
Country Finland Germany Germany Poland Norway US US US US S. Korea China
AcquirerMotherson Sumi
SystemsTE Connectivity Molex Groclin AQ Group Southwire Koch Industries General Cable Coleman Cable
Route One
Investment
THB Auto
Electronics
% Acquired 93.8 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 69.7 100
Deal Value (€ mn) 687 305 50 23 11 351 4,907 46 28 36 194
EV (€ mn) 687 305 50 23 10 571 4,907 46 28 58 194
EBITDA (€ mn) 59.1 19.9 2.6 -- -- 68.6 449.7 -- 4.6 5.1 33.5
Date Jan 2017 Jul 2016 Aug 2013 Mar 2013 Aug 2012 Dec 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2012 May 2012 Jun 2017 Oct 2016
Median: 11.14x
Sources: Thomson Eikon; Capital IQ; Mergermarket
Europe US Asia
Not A
va
ilab
le
Not A
va
ilab
le
Not A
va
ilab
le
EV/EBITDA
All European targets had higher EBITDA multiples than the global median; in case of the US, the
EBITDA multiples for all the targets were lower than the median
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 22
Target XRelative Valuation: Comparable Companies (1/2)
2.301.67
3.88
0.760.62
2.65
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
TE Connectivity Aptiv PLC Amphenol Stoneridge Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd. Hirose
COMPANY TE Connectivity Aptiv Amphenol Stoneridge Sumitomo Electric Industries Hirose
Headquarters Switzerland UK US US Japan Japan
Market Cap (€ mn) 28,961.4 20,343.1 23,268.3 607.4 11,438.1 5,078.8
EV (€ mn) 27,399.2 26,189.6 23,662.2 544.6 14,992.8 2,589.8
Revenue LTM (€ mn) 11,889.5 15,647.0 6,092.1 716.0 24,135.2 977.2
Median: 1.99x
USEurope Asia
Sources: Bloomberg
EV/Revenue
Amphenol’s strong historical growth and high market share are the key factors contributing to its
high revenue multiple (as well as EBITDA multiple)
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 23
Target XRelative Valuation: Comparable Companies (2/2)
11.2710.26
16.42
7.37
5.97
8.24
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
TE Connectivity Aptiv PLC Amphenol Stoneridge Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd. Hirose
Median: 9.25x
COMPANY TE Connectivity Aptiv Amphenol Stoneridge Sumitomo Electric Industries Hirose
Headquarters Switzerland UK US US Japan Japan
Market Cap (€ mn) 28,961.4 20,343.1 23,268.3 607.4 11,438.1 5,078.8
EV (€ mn) 27,399.2 26,189.6 23,662.2 544.6 14,992.8 2,589.8
EBITDA LTM (€ mn) 2,431.8 2,552.5 1,441.0 73.8 2,512.9 314.5
USEurope Asia
Sources: Bloomberg
EV/EBITDA
The median EBITDA multiple of 9.25x for trading comps is largely in range with the median
EBITDA multiple of 11.14x from transaction comps
Table of Contents
▪ Market Size and Outlook 3-9
▪ Competition 11-16
▪ Strategy 18
▪ Relative Valuation 20-23
▪ Appendix 25-28
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 25
Target XAppendix
Global Agriculture Vehicles Market
Global farm tractor market forecast to grow during 2017–2022, driven by Asia Pacific
42.9 44.4
58.1
2016 2017F 2022F
Global Farm Tractors Market – by Value
(€ Billion, 2016–2022F) ▪ Farm tractors is the largest segment in the agricultural vehicles market; it accounted for the greater share of the total value of agricultural vehicles market in 2016
▪ The farm tractors market is projected to post a 5.53% CAGR during 2017–2022 to reach €58.1 billion
▪ Strong population growth, need for food security, rising demand for energy crops and labour shortages are expected to be the key market drivers
▪ Within the farm tractor market, the four-wheel-drive farm tractors segment is projected to grow at the fastest rate during 2017–2022 due to increased use of high-powered farm tractors
▪ Asia-Pacific is projected to register the highest growth of 6.0% CAGR (by value) in the forecast period; China and India are expected to be the major contributors to growth
Global Farm Tractors Market
Sources: Frost & Sullivan Military Aerospace; CNBC
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 26
Target XAppendix
Global Military Land Vehicles Market
18.3
21.9
26.9
2016 2017F 2022F
Global Military Land Vehicles – by Value
(€ Billion, 2013–2022F)▪ During 2017–2022, the global military land vehicles market is estimated to post a moderate growth of
4.2% CAGR
─ While large markets such as the US are looking to upgrade and maintain the existing fleet, rather
than replacing aging vehicles, other regions are likely to purchase new units
─ While growth in new units is likely to translated into increased demand for connectors, cable
assemblies and ECUs, upgradation demand is expected to increase aftermarket sales
▪ Geopolitics and strategic interests, rising threat from adjoining regions, and the need to maintain global peace and stability will be the key drivers
▪ Asia Pacific’s defence spending is forecast to increase, led by China and Japan, which is likely to translate into higher volumes of military land vehicles
Sources: Frost & Sullivan Military Aerospace; CNBC
Addition of new units and upgradation of ageing units likely to be opportunity areas for
connector, cable assembly and ECU manufacturers in the defence segment
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 27
Target XAppendix – Relative Valuation
Company Description
PKC GroupFinland-based company that offers design and contract manufacturing services for wiring
harnesses, cabling and electronics for the automotive industry
Intercontec ProduktGermany-based manufacturer of metric circular connectors, cable assemblies,
electromechanical components and system solutions
FCT ElectronicGermany-based company engaged in the manufacture and supply of connectors,
connector-systems, metal and plastic hoods, contacts, and cable assemblies. The company
serves several industries including automotive
Kabel-Technik-PolskaPoland-based company engaged in the design, manufacture, and supply of cable
harnesses, steering harnesses, and cabinets. The company offers its products for rolling
stock, energy, industry, material handling and on/off highway commercial vehicle industry
Durapart IndustriesNorway-based wire manufacturer. It offers power cable solutions, wiring and engine
harnesses, electrical distribution centrals, and system units for the automotive industry
Coleman CableUS-based manufacturer and innovator of electrical and electronic wire and cable products
for consumer, commercial, and industrial applications. The company has a diverse product
line including automotive wires
Molex
US-based company engaged in the design, development and manufacture of electronic
components and solutions. Markets that the company serves include mobile devices,
infotech, consumer electronics, automotive, telecommunications, industrial, medical, military
and aerospace
Prestolite WireUS-based company engaged in manufacturing of wires and cable, automotive harnesses,
and aftermarket products
WatteredgeUS-based company engaged in designing, manufacturing and selling secondary power
connectors. The industries that it serves include steel, chemical, chlorine, power
generation, fiberglass and automotive
Nexen Tech
South-Korea-based company which provides wiring harnesses for the automobile industry.
The company offers wiring lay-out products, fuse and relay boxes, protectors, connector
assemblies, terminals/cables, etc.
China Auto Electronics
GroupChina-based company that researches, manufactures, develops and sells automotive
electrical and electronics distribution system
Company Description
TE ConnectivitySwitzerland-based company engaged in the design, manufacture, and sale of connectivity and
sensors solutions. The company serves industries such as transportation, industrial
applications, medical technology, energy and data communications
Aptiv
UK-based company engaged in the manufacture of vehicle components. It provides electrical
and electronic, powertrain, and safety technology solutions to the automotive and commercial
vehicle market. The company’s electrical and electronics segment offers connectors, wiring
assemblies and harnesses
AmphenolUS-based manufacturer of electronic and fibre optic connectors, cable and interconnect
systems. It offers products for various industries such as automotive, broadband
communication, commercial aerospace, industrial and information technology
StoneridgeUS-based manufacturer of electrical and electronic components, modules and systems
principally for the automotive, commercial vehicle, motorcycle, agricultural and off-highway
vehicle markets
Sumitomo Electric
IndustriesJapan-based manufacturer of electric wires and cables mainly for automotive, information &
communications, electronics, environment & energy, and industrial materials
HiroseJapan-based manufacturer and seller of connectors for industries such as smartphones, mobile
phones, communications equipment, automotive electronics
Comparable Transactions : Target BD Comparable Companies : Company BD
© 2018 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved. 28
Target X
Year $ to €
2012 0.77825
2013 0.75332
2014 0.75370
2015 0.90121
2016 0.90400
2017 0.88720
2018 0.82662
End Market DefinitionsExchange Rates Considered
Appendix
Exchange Rate Conversion
Sources: Oanda
About RocSearch
Please visit www.rocsearch.com for more details on the company
© 2017 RocSearch. All Rights Reserved.
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