global autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · presentation outline 1. about autogas 2....

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Cécile Nourigat 1er Congreso Internacional Del GLP Bogota, 30 August 2018 [email protected] Global Autogas trends and key success factors

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Page 1: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Cécile Nourigat1er Congreso Internacional Del GLP

Bogota, 30 August 2018

[email protected]

Global Autogas trends and key success factors

Page 2: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

About the World LPG Association

265Members

Authoritative global voice for LPG

Represents the entire LPG chain

50% Members in the distribution and marketing business

140different countries

Page 3: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Presentation outline

1. About Autogas

2. Global outlook on Autogas demand

3. Key success factors

4. Case studies

Page 4: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

About Autogas

Page 5: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

What is Autogas

Page 6: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

The Autogas value proposition

✓ Mature and readily available technology

✓ Low cost of vehicles and conversions, and low fuel costs

✓ Reasonnable cost of infrastructure development

✓ Higher octane rating and lower hydrogen-to-carbon ratio thanconventional fuels

✓ Cleaner burning and low emission characterictics:

Page 7: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Global outlook

on Autogas demand

Page 8: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

LPG consumption by sector (2016)

28%

8%

9%10%1%

44%

Chemical

Refinery

Transport

Industry

Agriculture

Domestic

Source: Argus Media for WLPGA

Page 9: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

North America848 000208 108

5 900

Latin America1 965 000813 758

4 992

Europe & Eurasia14 935 00019 203 704

54 738

Asia Pacific8 381 0006 236 378

9 457

Africa473 000274 000

675

Global statistics (2016)

Global figures26.7 million tonnes26.8 million vehicles76 092 stations

Consumption (tonnes)FleetDispensing sites

Source: Argus Media for WLPGA

Page 10: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Autogas top ten (volumes, 2016)

South Korea13%

Turkey12%

Russia11%

Poland7%Italy

6%

Thailand5%

Ukraine5%

Japan4%

China4%

Mexico4%

Other29%

South Korea

Turkey

Russia

Poland

Italy

Thailand

Ukraine

Japan

China

Mexico

Other

Source: Argus Media for WLPGA

Page 11: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Global trend+ 15%+ 19%+ 15%

North America + 77%

Autogas trends (2011-2016) and opportunities

Latin America +38%

Europe & Eurasia +32%Western Europe in decline

Eastern and Southern Europe in growth

Opp in Central Asia

Africa +8% Asia Pacific -10%

Source: Argus Media for WLPGA

Page 12: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

New developments in the industry

• New technologies: direct injection; hybridization

• New fuel: bio-LPG

• New applications/segments

Page 13: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Key success factors

Page 14: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Key success factors

Page 15: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Government incentives

Fiscal/financial Regulatory Other

▪ Excise-duty exemption or rebate

▪ Road/registration-tax exemption or rebate

▪ Vehicle sales-tax exemption or income/profit tax credit (purchasers and OEMs)

▪ Tax credits for investment in distribution infrastructure and R&D

▪ Grants/tax credits for AFV conversion/acquisition

▪ Exemption from parking/road-use charges

▪ Mandatory sales/purchase requirements for public and/or private fleets (with enforcement)

▪ Standards to harmonise refuelling facilities

▪ Vehicle-conversion standards

▪ Coherent and appropriate health and safety regulations

▪ Exemptions from city-driving restrictions

▪ Government own-use of AFVs

▪ Information dissemination and public awareness campaigns

▪ Voluntary agreements with OEMs to develop and market AFV technologies

▪ Direct funding for research, development, demonstration and deployment of AFVs

Motivations: 1) the environment ; 2) diversification of energy useNeed for long term policy stability, coherence and consistency

Page 16: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Fuel price comparison

Autogas pump price including all taxes as % of gasoline price per litre, 2016

Autogas pump price including all taxes as % of diesel price per litre, 2016

Source: Autogas Incentive Policies, WLPGA, 2017www.auto-gas.net

Page 17: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Cost competitivenessThe example of Italy

Incentives✓ Low rate of excise tax✓ Grant schemes at local level✓ Eco-bonus to displace diesel for

commercial vehicles✓ Annual road tax rebate✓ Free access to congestion-charging

zones

2016 (US dollars)

Autogas 0.623

Diesel 1.419

Gasoline 1.597

39%44%

Fuel prices

Page 18: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Cost competitivenessThe example of Italy

Page 19: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Cost competitivenessThe example of Italy

Autogas market evolution

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2000

2500

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2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Consumption

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Page 20: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Case studies

Spain

Small but fast growing Autogas marketStrong government support and long term objective for the growth of the fuel:

• 2020 objective of 200,000 Autogas vehicles• Funds for the purchase or conversion of vehicles• Car labelling system: Autogas is ECO

• Basis of traffic restriction, parking fare etc

Page 21: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Case studies

United States

• Growth of Autogas with a focus on fleets, and school buses in particular

• Mandate for AFV purchase for public fleets

• Many support programmes and federal and state level

Focusing on fleets is one of the most effective way to launch Autogas. It:• Requires limited infrastructure.• Allows for economies of scale for both users and LPG

industry players.• Guarantees a quick return on investment to both users

and LPG distributors thanks to big volumes.• Raises the awareness of Autogas of a broader public

using/seeing these vehicles.

Page 22: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Learn more!

Freely available at www.auto-gas.net

Page 23: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Availability of vehicles

Page 24: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Autogas vehicles

138 LPG OEM modelsfrom more than 40 car brands available in the

world!

Page 25: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Autogas vehicles

Car and kit manufacturers played a critical role in the evolution of Autogas

Investment in technology development to improve performance and fuel economy

Generations of LPG engines

Page 26: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Refueling network

Page 27: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Refueling network

Consumers need confidence that the network is

sufficiently developed

Challenge for new markets = careful planning:

✓ Start with captive fleets

✓ Identify target cities/areas

✓ Identify locations along major axis

✓ Ideally, establish Autogas refuelling facilities within existing traditional (gasoline & diesel) fuel service stations

✓ Plan for adequate Autogas storage at filling stations

✓ Consider underground LPG storage on service stations as an option

✓ Safety at Autogas filling stations is paramount

Page 28: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

Conclusions

• Global Autogas market is growing sustainably: interestin Autogas!

• Autogas markets can grow with the right set of incentives and the right level of investment

• Work together with government and OEMs/kit manufacturers

• Communication on the benefits of Autogas is essential

Page 29: Global Autogas trends and key success factors€¦ · Presentation outline 1. About Autogas 2. Global outlook on Autogas demand 3. Key success factors 4. Case studies. About Autogas

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