ghana’s poverty profile 2013 ghana living standards survey, rounds 5-6 26 august 2014 1
TRANSCRIPT
GHANA’S POVERTY
PROFILE 2013Ghana Living Standards Survey,
Rounds 5-626 August 2014
1
Outline of presentation • Introduction
• Data sources
• The standard of living measure
• Poverty lines and patterns
• Poverty covariates
• Summary
2
Introduction• Ghana achieved positive economic growth
from 1991 and by 2007 have become a lower-middle income country
• Poverty has declined in Ghana over the years
• These declines are largely due to growth
• To what extent have Ghanaian households and communities benefited from this growth?
• Which groups have benefited most?
3
Data sources• Poverty has many dimensions. • The focus is on consumption poverty
• Ghana Living Standards Survey rounds• 2005/06 – GLSS 5• 2012/13 – GLSS 6
• Used expenditure data on:Education & HealthEmploymentHousehold Agriculture Household food and non-food ExpenditureNon Farm EnterprisesAssets
4
The Standard of Living Measure
• Involves calculating the total consumption expenditure for each household using adult equivalent scale. –Based on 2,900 calories per adult equivalent per day (Recommended dietary allowance 10 edition)
5
The Standard of Living Measure
Welfare=Total Household Expenditure Price Index * Household Size (eqsc) Total Household Expenditure:
Food expenditure (actual) Own food consumption Non food expenditure (actual) Non food (rent and user value) imputed Housing expenditure
Price Index:
Regional price differentials6
The standard of living Measure…
• Household size in adult equivalent scale (eqsc)–The adult equivalent scale is
calculated based on the composition of the household, using a calorie-based scale of age and gender specific calorie requirements • Equivalent adults recognizes, for example,
that the consumption requirements of babies or young children are less than those of adults.
Setting Poverty linesTwo lines are estimated
Upper poverty line (absolute)Lower (food) poverty line (extreme)
• Upper poverty line estimates the overall poverty rate
• Lower poverty line estimates extreme poverty rate
8
Setting Poverty Lines• Over the period people’s tastes and preferences
have change. • The need to make adjustments of consumption
aggregates to reflect the changes in the consumption pattern
• the minimum basket was updated for consumption (inclusion of the user values- mobile phones, ipad, rice cookers, computers, etc.) to reflect wellbeing and living standards in Ghana now.
• Using the Engel method – estimated food and non food expenditure . food – extreme poverty line Food + non food – absolute poverty line. 9
NEW Poverty Lines (2012/13)
• Absolute poverty line (Upper)- Gh¢1,314.00 per year- Gh¢3.60 per day
• Extreme poverty line (Lower) - Gh¢792.05 per year- Gh¢2.17 per day
10
11
2013 Poverty Rates
Poverty rate: 24.2%
Extreme poverty rate:8.4%
Poverty Rates in Ghana, 2005 - 2013
12
Poverty declines 7.7 percentage points. This follows earlier trends (1991 and 2006)
By this rate Ghana has achieved the MDG 1 of halving
the poverty rate from 1990 levels.
Year
Absolute PL=Gh
¢1,314.00Extreme
PL=Gh¢792.05
2012/13 24.2% 8.4%
2005/06 31.9% 16.5%
Poverty level in Ghana (2012/13)
YearABSOLUTE
PL=Gh¢1,314.00
EXTREMEPL=Gh
¢792.05
2013 6.4 million 2.2 million
2006 7.0 million 3.6 million
13
Poverty Incidence by region: PL= Gh¢1,314
Western
Central
Greater Accra
VoltaEaste
rnAshanti
Brong Ahafo
Northern
Upper East
Upper West
Ghana0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
22.9 23.4
13.5
37.3
17.824.0
34.0
55.7
72.9
89.1
31.9
20.9 18.8
5.6
33.8
21.7
14.8
27.9
50.444.4
70.7
24.2
2005/06 2012/13
Region
Incid
ence
(in
%)
14
Only Eastern region experienced an increase in poverty .
Even though the Upper East and Upper West regions have seen big poverty decline, they are still among the poorest
Contribution to poverty by region
15
The Northern Region has over the 7-year period contributed to poverty more than any other region
The three northern regions contributes more than a third to national poverty
Western Central Greater Accra
Volta Eastern Ashanti Brong Ahafo Northern Upper East Upper West0
5
10
15
20
25
7.36.4 5.9
8.77.5
12.6
9.8
21.0
10.910.0
7.96.9
3.8
12.1
9.3
12.0 11.4
20.8
7.48.4
2005/06 2012/12
Region
Perc
enta
ge
Decomposition of change (%) in poverty headcount, 2005/06 to 2012/13
16
Chang
e
Share of change due to:
Growth RedistributionNational -7.7 -8.8 1.1
Urban -1.9 -2.4 0.5
Rural -5.8 -8.8 3.0• Observed change in mean value of the standard of living
(‘growth effect’)• Change in inequality when mean value is unchanged
(‘redistribution effect’)In Ghana Growth has remained the engine of poverty
reductionIn the absence of inequality, poverty reduction would have
been larger than -7.7%.
Inequality has increased slightly...
17
Western Central Greater Accra
Volta Eastern Ashanti Brong Ahafo
Northern Upper East
Upper West
Ghana
-0.100
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.3720.401
0.419
0.3540.334
0.3940.369
0.4060.402 0.426 0.4190.384
0.381 0.370
0.412
0.376 0.387 0.383
0.4230.404
0.485
0.423
2005/6 2012/13
Gini
• POVERTY COVARIATESEmployment status Ownership of AssetsAccess to•Potable Water•Sanitation (Toilet facility)•Electricity
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Poverty Incidence by employment status of household head
19
HH headed by farmers remain the poorest in Ghana
HH headed by private sector workers have experienced improvement in their poverty levels
Public Employee
Private Employee
Self-employed (non-agric)
Self-employed (agric)
Unemployed Retired Not Active0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
9.0
14.317.0
45.1
20.0
9.1
38.6
7.110.8
12.8
39.2
28.1
4.7
23.6
2005/06 2012/13
Poverty incide
nce (i%
)
20
fridge ownership in the Northern regions has almost tripled over the years
Percentage of households owning different durable goods has increased across all Regions
• Percentage of households owning fridge by Region
Wes
tern
Centra
l
Greater
Accra
Volta
Easte
rn
Ashan
ti
Brong A
hafo
Northern
Upper Ea
st
Upper W
est
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
19 17
45
1115
27
18
5 4 3
38
27
62
19
28
45
27
13 1512
2005/06 2012/13
Percen
t (%)
Percentage of households owning TV by Region
21
Weste
rn
Central
Greater Accr
aVolta
Eastern
Ashanti
Brong Ahafo
Northern
Upper East
Upper West
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
27 25
63
1925
39
22
128 6
62
51
84
41
48
66
47
3427 30
2005/06 2012/13
Percen
t (%
)
Asset ownership in the Northern regions tripled over the years
22
Percentage of households owning mobile phone by Region
Weste
rn
Central
Greater Accr
aVolta
Eastern
Ashanti
Brong Ahafo
Northern
Upper East
Upper West
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1625
44
812
27
134 6 4
8277
8980 77
8379
73
59 62
2005/06 2012/13
Percen
t (%)
23
Percentage of households having access to potable water by Region
Access to potable water has increased across almost all regions.
Potable water includes pipe, bottle/sachet, protected well/spring, and borehole. It excludes unprotected well and surface water.
Western Central Greater Accra
Volta Eastern Ashanti Brong Ahafo
Northern Upper East Upper West
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
77 78
90
58
70
8780
60
78
98
85 86
98
68
81
9487
78
86
95
2005/06 2012/13
24
Percentage of households using adequate toilet facility by Region
Use of flush & KVIP toilet facility has increased across all regions, but remains low in the 3 northern regions
Western Central Greater Accra
Volta Eastern Ashanti Brong Ahafo
Northern Upper East
Upper West
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
41 43
81
3238
60
38
21
11 8
6860
83
5054
73
56
36
1421
2005/06 2012/13
25
Households using electricity
Household access to electricity has increased across all regions
Western Central Greater Accra
Volta Eastern Ashanti Brong Ahafo
Northern Upper West Upper East0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
53
42
82
31
38
61
48
27
12 11
7267
91
6163
82
63
48
33
43
2005/06 2012/13
Percent
Summary
• Ghana has consistently been experiencing poverty reduction since the 1990s .
• Ghana achieved the MDG1 of halving its poverty level in 2013.
• 24.2% of Ghanaians are poor and therefore cannot afford to spend Gh¢3.60 per day (Gh¢1,314.00 per year).
• 8.4% of Ghanaians are extremely poor. That is putting all their expenditure together, they cannot afford to spend Gh¢2.17 per day on food (Gh¢792.05 per year).
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Summary cont’d
• Poverty has decreased in all regions except Eastern.
• Greater Accra recorded the lowest poverty rate.
• The three northern regions recorded the highest poverty rates even though there were improvements.
• Inequality in the distribution of welfare has increased slightly.
• Access to services (potable water, toilet facilities and electricity) and ownership of assets have increased across all regions
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Thank You