german energy transition workshop-arne jungjohann from hbf

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America

1432 K Street, NW, Suite 500, Washington, DC 20005, USA

www.boell.org [email protected] @EnergiewendeGER

The German Energy Transition

Amman, September 25, 2012By Arne Jungjohann

Program Director, Environment, HBF Washington DC

Washington, DC . Mexico City . San Salvador . Rio de Janeiro . Santiago de Chile . Lagos . Cape TownNairobi . Addis Ababa . Berlin . Brussels . Warsaw . Prague . Sarajevo . Belgrade . Zagreb . Istanbul

Kiev . Moscow . Tbilisi . Kabul . Lahore . New Dheli . Chiang Mai . Phnom Penh . Beijing

The Green Political Foundation 3

Part I – The German Energy Transition

Part II –Solar Power and Community Ownership

Part III – Outlook


Contribution of renewable energy sources to electricity

supply in Germany

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

[GW

h]

Hydropower Wind energy

Biomass * Photovoltaics

* Solid and liquid biomass, biogas, sewage and landfill gas, biogenic share of waste; electricity from geothermal energy not presented due to negligible quantities produced; 1 GWh = 1 Mill. kWh;

StromEinspG: Act on the Sale of Electricity to the Grid; BauGB: Construction Code; EEG: Renewable Energy Sources Act;

Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat); image: BMU / Christoph Edelhoff; as at: December 2011; all figures provisional

StromEinspG:

January 1991 - March 2000

Amendment to BauGB:

November 1997

EEG:

April 2000

EEG:

January 2009

EEG:

August 2004

Germany: High investment certainty for renewable energy


Germany with long-term, comprehensive climate and energy strategy

Renewable share in

gross energy

consumption

Renewable share in

gross electricity

consumption

Greenhouse Gas

Emissions in

comparison to 1990%

2020 18% at least 35% minus 40%

2030 30% 50%

2040 45% 65%

2050 60% 80% minus 80%


Fukushima nuclear accident accelerates German phase-out: by 2022

Before Fukushima:• 17 NPP operating up to 2032

• providing 22% of power (2010)

• ~20 GW installed capacity

After Fukushima: • Immediate shutdown of 8 NPP

• providing 18% of power (2011)

• gradual phase-out by 2022 of remaining 9 NPP


Public support and subsidies (1970-2012)


International Perception of the “Energiewende”

Coming soon www.energy-transition.de


Fighting climate change can be an economic strategy of industrial modernization

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

GHG emissions in CO2-Equiv. (BY 1991=100)

GDP per capita (BY 1991=100)

Source: BMWI, Statistisches Bundesamt


Economic success story: Renewable energies are a job engine



Part II – Solar Power and Community Ownership



Germany is the world largest solar PV market


Solar PV costs decreased by 65% over last years


Driving down costs for solar PV

July 2012


Energy Cooperatives across the Country

• By 2012 more than 800 energy coops

• Advantage: Investment and risks are broadly spread, limited liability

• Example Bad Neustadt: Municipality provided roof for solar pv system

• Minimum participation of 2000€, ~200 citizens involved

• Result: 235,000 kWh electricity and >5.5% profits per year



Part II –Solar Power and Community Ownership



April 1, 2012: Renewables record day

Solar Wind


Renewables shave peak demand, lower prices

Electricity Production in Germany: April 2012


The Road to the Renewables Era

Future Grids

Renewable Energies

Efficiency

Source: BMU

http://www.bmu.de/


Conclusion: The German Energy Transition…

1. is an ambitious, but feasible undertaking.

2. is driven by communities, citizens and small investors.

3. will provide a competitive advantage for export orientated German industry.

4. illustrates that fighting climate change and phasing out nuclear power can be two sides of the same coin.

5. is affordable for Germany, and it will likely be even more affordable for other countries.


Thank you!

Arne JungjohannMail [email protected] @EnergiewendeGERWeb http://www.boell.org/

Heinrich Böll Foundation North America1432 K Street, NWSuite 500Washington, DC 20005, USA

https://twitter.com/EnergiewendeGER

https://twitter.com/EnergiewendeGER

http://www.boell.org/

http://www.boell.org/


Energy Revolution: Wind and solar PV already close to baseload in Germany

Baseload40 GW

Wind 29 GW

PV 25 GW

Summer peak70 GW

Target onshore46 GW

PV target 52 GW

Nov peak 80 GW

Target offshore10 GW

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Peak power demand winter/summer/baseload

Installed onshore wind, 2011/target/offshore Installed PV, 2011/target

german energy transition workshop-arne jungjohann from hbf

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