gender & equity in china’s education system

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    Gender & Equity

    in Chinas Education System

    Prashant Loyalka

    May Maani

    China Institute for Educational Finance Research (CIEFR)

    Peking University

    2012.2.27

    The views expressed in this paper are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the AsianDevelopment Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy ofthe data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The countries listed in this paper donot imply any view on ADB's part as to sovereignty or independent status or necessarily conform to ADB's terminology.

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    Outline

    Brief background & literature review

    National trends in gender & education

    Variation across provinces

    Gender sorting along the education/STEMpipeline: case study from northwest China

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    Background

    Traditional vs. Marxist Values: Traditional: woman as wife and mother; marry out

    Marxist: women and men have equal rights

    Legislative equality (1949): Women hold up half the sky

    Economic Reform Policies (late 1970s):

    More opportunities for social and economic development

    Females more vulnerable to labor market discrimination, as

    gradually no state job assignments

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    One Child Policy & Demographic Changes

    One Child Policy (1979) increased prenatal sex selection(Ebenstein, 2008)

    Tighter fertility control = higher sex ratio (biased against girls)

    Sex ratio: Highest for 1st births & 2nd births following daughters

    2005: # boy births = # girl births + 1.1 million (Zhu, 2008)

    In 2012, male-female ratio at birth was 1.13: 1 (vs. 1.06:1)

    Keep in mind when examining female student enrollment data

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    Literature: gender & educational attainment

    Interest in the topic in the 1990s & early 2000s

    1990s: Rural girls had low enrollment & graduation rates(Connelly & Zheng, 2002; Hannum, 2003)

    Enrollment gaps closed: esp. in HE by 2005

    Slight gap: transition from high school to HE (Wu & Zhang, 2010)

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    Studies on gender and educational achievement

    One District in Beijing (1999-2002):

    Girls scores higher in grades 1-9

    Boys catch up (Lai, 2009)

    Rural Gansu: Gender gaps?

    Parents invest similarly

    School grades similar

    Some traditional attitudes:

    Chores

    ROR to males vs. females

    (Hannum et al., 2009)

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    Studies on gender and educational achievement:

    Shanghai PISA 2009

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    National Trends

    &

    Provincial Variation

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    Primary School & Junior Secondary School

    (% of females)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    2000 2005 2010

    Primary School

    Age cohort

    Schools

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    2003 2005 2010

    Junior Secondary School

    Proportion of females in school greater than proportion of females in age group:

    Male repeaters > female repeaters: 42% of repeaters in primary school

    39% of repeaters in junior secondary school

    Female students are less likely to drop out of school (Loyalka et al., 2012)

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    Senior Secondary School (%):

    - Vocational and Regular -

    05

    1015

    20253035404550

    2003 2006 2010

    Regular

    Increasing female proportions in senior secondary school:

    More males discontinue schooling past junior secondary level

    Relatively higher ROR for males attending vocational school or in labor force

    Higher proportion of males in Skilled Worker Schools (SWS)

    05

    1015

    20253035404550

    2000 2006 2010

    Vocational

    Schools

    SWS

    Age cohort

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    Higher Education Institutes (%):

    - Vocational and Regular -

    05

    101520

    25303540455055

    2004 2007 2010

    Vocational College

    Schools

    05

    101520

    253035404550

    2004 2007 2010

    Regular College

    Females more likely than males to attend tertiary education

    Females in vocational colleges: above 50% -- possibly because

    fewer females go to expensive private 4-yr HEIs (Loyalka, 2009).

    Age cohort

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    Kindergarten/Pre-School

    05

    1015

    20253035404550

    2000 2003 2005 2007 2010

    % of Females in School

    Schools

    Age cohort*

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    % of Females in Graduate Programs

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    U.S. 2000 U.S. 2010 China 2004 China 2010

    Masters

    PhDs

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    Variation across Provinces:% Female in Grades 1-12 (academic track)

    05

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000

    Per Capita Gross Regional Product (Yuan)

    Primary School (%)

    Middle School (%)

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    Variation across Provinces:

    % Female in Higher Education

    05

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000

    Per Capita Gross Regional Product (Yuan)

    HEIs (%)

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    What the Big Picture Tells Us

    National trends about gender & education are positive:

    Female enrollment ratios are high

    Female achievement levels are high:

    Girls in Beijing score better up till age 15. Same in Shanghai.

    Girls in rural Gansu perform similarly to males

    Unexplored area: gender & STEM education after JHS

    Why do we care?

    China produces ~11 times more BA engineering graduatesas the US each year (Carnoy et al., 2012).

    Thus gender disparities in STEM in China would affectinternational community of scientists and engineers.

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    Gender & STEM Education in China

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    Issue: The Post-JHS

    Education Pipeline

    Student choices/tracking

    after JHS

    Choices unidirectional &

    irreversible

    Females sorted into &

    away from STEM along

    this pipeline

    High School Entrance Exam

    (HSEE/Zhongkao)

    Different Levels of Academic High School

    (Key, County-Level, Township-Level)

    Different Levels of Vocational

    High School

    Grades 1-3 tracking:

    Fast / Regular

    Grade 2 Choice:

    Science track Humanities track

    College Entrance ExamScience Exam Humanities Exam

    College Choice Form

    Admissions Process

    Vocational College

    Entrance Exam

    1st, 2nd,and 3rd Tier Colleges

    (4-year degrees)

    4th Tier Colleges

    (3-year degrees)

    Repeat College

    Entrance Exam

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    Case Study: One NW Region in China

    Use administrative student-level data

    Track students from high school entrance exam

    (HSEE) to college admissions

    Basic background info, scores, college-majors

    Entire region

    (developed City Y vs. less developed Cities G&W)

    From 2001 to 2010 (over course of HE expansion)

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    At the Start of the Pipeline:HSEE scores in City Y

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    At the Start of the Pipeline:HSEE scores in Cities G & W

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    Key High School Attendance

    Non-Poor Poor

    Total Population 48% 49%

    High School Attendees 51% 47%

    Key High School Attendees 51% 47%

    2010

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    Proportion of Females in each CEE Track

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    Humanities

    Science

    So as the % of females in HE has increased over time,

    more have gone into the humanities vs. science track.

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    Quantile regression ofScience-Track CEE score onfemale (above) and other background covariates.

    -.1

    0

    .1

    .2

    .3

    .4

    0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1Quantile

    Quantile slope coefficient Upper 95% bs confidence band

    Lower 95% bs confidence band

    Coefficient of female

    Slope Estimates (Science Track Gaokao as DV)

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    % of Females in Elite HEIs vs. other Bachelors programs (Science Track)

    211 Elites

    985 Elites

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    200

    1

    200

    2

    200

    3

    200

    4

    200

    5

    200

    6

    200

    7

    200

    8

    200

    9

    201

    0

    non-211(Bachelors)

    elite 211+985

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    non-985 (Bachelors)

    elite 985

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    % Females in Selected Engineering Majors (Bachelor's Programs)

    2001

    2010

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    Implications of the Science vs. Humanities Track Choice

    What are the causal impacts of choosing thescience vs. the humanities track on studentschances of getting into college & selectivecolleges? IV analyses

    Finding:

    (1) Choosing the science track increases femalestudents chances of going to 4-yr. HEIs & or any (3or 4-yr.) college by 20-25%.

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    Conclusions (1) Female-male birth ratio is lopsided (self-selection)

    Female enrollment ratios risen and high in all education

    levels (except doctoral education)

    Stats on inter-provincial variation sparse, but likely not

    much variation now

    Females overall achievement is comparable to males, at

    least in urban areas, and close in rural areas.

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    Conclusions (2) Gender and the STEM education pipeline

    1) Females score as well in math/science in urban areas (except at theupper end of the score distribution) and somewhat less well inrural areas

    2) A highly disproportionate number of females choose thehumanities over science track

    3) Choosing humanities reduces females likelihood of gainingadmission to HE

    4) (Self-selected) females do as well as males on the science-trackCEE, except at the upper end

    5) Females in the science track are underrepresented in elite colleges,private colleges, and in likely in graduate programs

    6) Females are less represented in most engineering majors

    High school: a key area to encourage girls to do well in and pursue

    STEM in China