gea report figures - iiasa · chapter 12, #2 © gea 2012 . low-temp. fuel cells tight gas biofuels...

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© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #1 Security (lower imports) Access (clean HH fuel) Air quality (outdoor) Climate NGCC Oil refining Coal steam power Gasification Power Gasification liquids GTL Natural Gas Biomass with ccs Power/liquids Co-production Direct Liquefaction Power/liquids Co-production Oil Coal Fossil Energy Technologies Fossil Energy

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© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #1

Security(lower imports)

Access(clean HH fuel)

Air quality(outdoor)

Climate

NGCC

Oil refining

Coal steam power

GasificationPower

Gasificationliquids

GTL

NaturalGas

Biomass

with ccs

Power/liquidsCo-production

DirectLiquefaction

Power/liquidsCo-production

Oil

Coal

Fossil Energy Technologies

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.1 | Commercial or near-commercial fossil energy technologies discussed in this chapter and their suitability for addressing four major energy-related challenges. Among the listed technology options, only coproduction systems (that include coprocessing of some biomass) are capable of addressing all major challenges.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #2

Low-temp. fuel cells

Tight gas

Biofuels

High-temp. fuel cells

Demand management

Cellulose conversion

Enhanced oil recov.

GEA lens (access, local environment, security, climate)

Technology Options

Clean coal 3rd generation

solar

Smart buildings

Capture & Storage

Batteries for vehicles

Arctic technologies

Gas toproducts

Heavy oil / tar sands

CBM

Gasification

3rd/4th generation

nuclear

Urban infrastructures

Deep water

oil

Shale oil/gas

Smart wells

Coal to products

Super-conductivity

Large-scale electricity

storage

Hydrogen distribution

Hydrogen storage

Advanced silicon solar

Smart mobility

solutions

XX

XXXX

XX

XX

Hydrogenproduction

Oil expl & prod

HydratesChapter 12 lens (sustainable fossil energy systems)

Refinery upgrading

CCS+

FOSSILRENEWABLES

HYBRIDS

POWER

Conversion

Power related

Other

Demand side

Technology Filters

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.2 | Technology filters for this chapter.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #3

Pulverized Coal Combustion Power Plant

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.3 | Pulverized coal combustion power plant. Source: Termuehlen and Empsperger, 2003 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #4

Alternative Cost Indices

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.4 | Alternative cost indices, each normalized to 100 in year 2000. The Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index is the most appropriate one to use for many of the energy supply systems discussed in this chapter. Source: updated from Kreutz et al., 2008 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #5

Rank BituminousSeam Illinois No.6Component Wt% Moisture 11.12 Carbon 63.75 Hydrogen 4.50 Nitrogen 1.25 Chlorine 0.29 Sulfur 2.51 Ash 9.70 Oxygen 6.88Total 100.00

Coal

Infiltration Air

ForcedDraft Fans

Primary Air Fans

Coal Feed

PulverizedCoal

Boiler

SCR

Baghouse

Oxidation AirMakeup Water

Fly ash

Bottom Ash

Induced Draft Fans

FGD

Gypsum

HP IP LP

Feedwater heater system

Condenser

Boiler feedwater

EconamineFG+

CO2 compr. CO2 Product

Reboiler Steam

CondensateReturn

Stack

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 17 552CCS 25 817

Air

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 1498 55CCS 2212 81

Coal InputEnergy Flow Mass Flow

MW kg/sCondenser 739 ---Process 5 ---Condenser 645 ---Process 53 ---

Vent

CCS

Losses Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Net Power 592 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overal 36.8%Net Power 691 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overal 24.9%

Vent

CCS

Output

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 0.6 5CCS 0.9 8

PM/Ash

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 0 13CCS 0 18

Limestone

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent - -CCS (29) 174

CO2

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 216 645CCS 74 697

Stack Gas

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 9 34CCS 13 50

Gypsum

Vent 392CCS 889

Raw Water UsageVolume Flow, liters/s

Mass and Energy Balance of a Subcritical Power Plant with and without CCS

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.5 | Mass and energy balance of a typical subcritical power plant without and with carbon capture (‘Vent’ and ‘CCS,’ respectively). In the case with CCS, the net power output accounts for CO 2 compression to 153 bar, which is assumed to be suffi cient to transport and inject the CO 2 into an underground storage reservoir. Source: based on Woods et al., 2007 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #6

Rank BituminousSeam Illinois No.6Component Wt% Moisture 11.12 Carbon 63.75 Hydrogen 4.50 Nitrogen 1.25 Chlorine 0.29 Sulfur 2.51 Ash 9.70 Oxygen 6.88Total 100.00

Coal

Infiltration Air

ForcedDraft Fans

Primary Air Fans

Coal Feed

PulverizedCoal

Boiler

SCR

Baghouse

Oxidation AirMakeup Water

Fly ash

Bottom Ash

Induced Draft Fans

FGD

Gypsum

HP IP LP

Feedwater heater system

Condenser

Boiler feedwater

EconamineFG+

CO2 compr. CO2 Product

Reboiler Steam

CondensateReturn

Stack

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 16 519CCS 23 740

Air

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 1407 52CCS 2007 74

Coal Input

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Condenser 643 ---Process 22 ---Condenser 524 ---Process 69 ---

Vent

CCS

Losses Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Net Power 589 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overal 39.1%Net Power 674 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overal 27.2%

Output

CCS

Vent

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 0.6 5CCS 0.9 7

PM/Ash

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 8 32CCS 12 46

Gypsum

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 0 12CCS 0 17

Limestone

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent - -CCS (26) 158

CO2

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 195 603CCS 43 624

Stack Gas

Vent 343CCS 767

Raw Water UsageVolume Flow, liters/s

Mass and Energy Balance of a Supercritical Power Plant with and without CCS

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.6 | Mass and energy balance of a typical supercritical power plant without and with carbon capture (‘Vent’ and ‘CCS,’ respectively). In the case with CCS, the net power output accounts for CO 2 compression to 153 bar, which is assumed to be suffi cient to transport and inject the CO 2 into an underground storage reservoir. Source: based on Woods et al., 2007 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #7

Coal-IGCC Technology

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.7 | Generic representation of coal-IGCC technology. Shaded blocks indicate units added for carbon capture and storage (CCS). When CCS is utilized, the acid gas removal unit is re-designed to capture CO2 in addition to H2S.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #8

Development of IGCC Net Plant Efficiencies for Coal-based Plants without CCS

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.8 | Development of IGCC net plant efficiencies for coal-based plants without CCS. Source: Karg, 2009 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #9

GE Gasifier Section (radiant cooler)

Quench & syngas

scrubber

Shift reactors

Gas cooling BFW heating & knockout

Sour water stripper

Mercury removal Selexol unit

Claus plant

Gas turbine

combustor

Elevated pressure

ASU

HRSG

Hydrogenation reactor & gas

cooler

Coal slurry

Slag Gasifier oxidant

Vent gas

Ambient air

Air to ASU

Oxygen

Nitrogen diluent

Turbine cooling air

2X advanced F class gas

turbinesFlue gas

Stack gas

Steam turbine

Syngas Tail gas recycle to

selexol

Clean gas

Sulfur product

Water recycle to coal slurry prep. area

CO2 compressor

Syngas reheater & expander

Main air compressor

Shift streamCO2 purification

off-gas

CO2 product

Rank BituminousSeam Illinois No.6Component Wt% Moisture 11.12 Carbon 63.75 Hydrogen 4.50 Nitrogen 1.25 Chlorine 0.29 Sulfur 2.51 Ash 9.70 Oxygen 6.88Total 100.00

Coal

Vent 253CCS 289

Raw Water UsageVolume Flow, liters/sEnergy Flow Mass Flow

MW kg/sVent 27 7CCS 28 7

Slag

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 2 47CCS 1 29

ASU vent

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 34 1077CCS 36 1121

Air

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 1675 62CCS 1712 63

Coal InputEnergy Flow Mass Flow

MW kg/sNet Power 785 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overall) 38.2%Net Power 758 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overall) 32.5%

Output

Vent

CCS

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Condenser 474 ---Process 208 ---Condenser 419 ---Process 248 ---

Losses

Vent

CCS

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 263 1095CCS 366 1063

Stack Gas

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent - -CCS (14) 130

CO2

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 14 2CCS 14 2

Sulfur

Mass/Energy Balance for a Coal-IGCC Plant Using Slurry-Feed Gasifier, Radiant Syngas Cooling without and with CCS

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.9 | Mass/energy balance for a coal-IGCC plant using slurry-feed gasifier, radiant syngas cooling without and with CO 2 capture (‘Vent’ and ‘CCS,’ respectively). In the CCS case, the net power output accounts for CO 2 compression to 153 bar, which is assumed to be sufficient to transport and inject the CO 2 into an underground storage reservoir. Source: based on Woods et al., 2007 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #10

Estimated Levelized Cost of Electricity Generation for Alternative Technologies as a Function of GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.10 | Estimated levelized cost of electricity generation (LCOE) for alternative technologies as a function of GHG emissions price. (See Table 12.6 , Table 12.7 , and Table 12.8 for detailed cost assumptions.) The CIGCC and BIGCC systems shown here correspond to the PEI performance and cost estimates shown in Table 12.7 .) Also shown is the 2007 average price paid to electricity generators in the United States (at zero GHG price) and how this price would change with GHG emissions price if the emissions are assumed to be the US grid-average for 2007 (636 kgCO 2 -eq/MWh).

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #11

HRSGAir

Natural gas

Combustion turbine

Stack gas

Steam turbine

Stack

AMINE

CO2 compressor

CO2 product

Boiler steam

Condensate returen

Blower

Cooling water return

Cooling water

Direct contact cooler

Vol.% Methane CH4 93.9 Ethane C2H6 3.2 Propane C3H8 0.7 n-Butane C4H10 0.4 Carbon dioxide CO2 1.0 Nitrogen N2 0.8Total 100.0

ComponentNatural gas

370.2 MWe

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 222 895CCS 68 813

Stack Gas

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent - -CCS (8) 51

CO2

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 1105 21CCS 1105 21

Natural gas InputEnergy Flow Mass Flow

MW kg/sNet Power 579 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overall 50.8%Net Power 529 ---Net plant Efficiency, % HHV (overall 43.7%

Vent

CCS

Output

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Vent 27 874CCS 27 874

Air

Energy Flow Mass FlowMW kg/s

Condenser 323 ---Process 17 ---Condenser 153 ---Process 33 ---

Vent

CCS

Losses

Vent 158CCS 295

Raw Water UsageVolume Flow, liters/s

Mass and Energy Balance of NGCC Without CO2 Capture (When Shaded Components are Excluded)

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.11 | Mass and energy balance of NGCC without CO 2 capture (when shaded components are excluded). Including shaded components, the schematic represents NGCC with post-combustion CO 2 capture. For the case with CCS, the net power output accounts for CO 2 compression to 153 bar, which is assumed to be sufficient to transport and inject the CO 2 into an underground storage reservoir. Source: based on Woods et al., 2007 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #12

World Liquids Consumption by Region

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.12 | World liquids consumption by region. Source: based on US EIA, 2010a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #13

Projections of World Liquids Supply for Three Alternative Oil Price Projections

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.13 | Projections of world liquids supply in 2035 for three alternative oil price projections. Source: based on US EIA, 2010a.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #14

Projections of World Liquids Consumption by Sector

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.14 | Projections of world liquids consumption by sector. Source: based on US EIA, 2010a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #15

Baseline Life Cycle Emissions of CO2-eq for Fuels Derived from Petroleum

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.15 | Baseline life cycle emissions of CO 2 -eq for fuels derived from petroleum and sold or distributed in the United States in 2005. Source: based on NETL, 2009 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #16

Overall Energy and Carbon Balance for a Modern Two-train GTL Facility

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.16 | Overall energy and carbon balance for a modern two-train GTL facility. Source: based on Simbeck and Wilhelm, 2007 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #17

Shenhua Direct Coal Liquefaction Demonstration Project Process Flow

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.17 | Shenhua direct coal liquefaction demonstration project process flow.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #18 28

biom

ass

upst

ream

em

issi

ons

coal

ups

trea

m e

mis

sion

s

char

coal

flue

gase

s

grid

ele

ctric

ity

disp

lace

d

phot

osyn

thes

is

vehi

cle

tailp

ipe

CO2

storage

biomass conversion

fuel

tran

spor

t/di

strib

utio

n

ATMOSPHERE

Carbon Flows for Conversion of Coal and Biomass to Liquid Fuels and Electricity

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.18 | Carbon flows for conversion of coal and biomass to liquid fuels and electricity. When biomass is approximately 30% of the feedstock input (on a higher heating value basis), the net fuel cycle GHG emissions associated with the produced liquid fuels and electricity would be less than 10% of the emissions for the displaced fossil fuels. Source: Larson et al., 2010 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #19

Production of Liquid Fuels from Coal and/or Biomass Feedstocks

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.19 | Production of liquid fuels from coal and/or biomass feedstocks.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #20

Alternative Process Configurations for Maximizing Production of FTL

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.20 | Alternative process confi gurations for maximizing production of FTL from coal (CTL-RC-CCS, blue-shaded components) or from biomass (BTL-RC-CCS, greenshaded components) with capture and storage of carbon. Yellow-shaded components are common to both CTL and BTL systems.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #21

Grinding & Slurry Prep.

Gasification & Quench

Syngas Scrubber

Water Gas Shift

Acid Gas Removal

Methanol Synthesis

Methanol Recovery

MTG reactor Refining

Refrigeration plant

Flash

FlashRegeneration

Power Island

Coal

Water Slag

Oxygen plant

Air

Gas cooling

Methanol

CO2

CO2

H2S + CO2 To Claus/SCOT

150 bar CO2 To pipeline

Air

Water

Flue gas

Purge gas

CrudeMethanol

Net export electricity

Gasoline

LPG

Fuel gas

Recycle Compr.

Recycled Syngas

Compression needed only if CCS is utilized.

Plant Configurations for Maximizing Gasoline Output with Only Coal as Input Feedstock

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.21 | Plant confi gurations for maximizing gasoline output with only coal as input feedstock.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #22

Values of GHGI for Some Synthetic Fuel Options

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.22 | Values of GHGI for the synthetic fuel options described in Table 12.15, along with the GHGI for future cellulosic-biomass ethanol technologies. See Table 12.15 , note (c) for definition of GHGI. For details on the cellulosic ethanol options see Box 12.3 and Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #23

Yields of Low/Zero Net GHG Emitting Liquid Fuels from Biomass

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.23 | Yields of low/zero net GHG emitting liquid fuels from biomass, liters of gasoline equivalent per dry tonne. For the biomass-only designs that incorporate CCS (BTL-RC-CCS, BTG-RC-CCS, and EtOH-CCS), life cycle GHG emissions are negative, leaving “room in the atmosphere” for some crude oil-derived fuel that can be used while keeping zero net GHG emissions for the biomass + crude oil-derived liquid fuels. Based on Liu et al., 2011a . See also Box 12.3 for a discussion of the cellulosic ethanol options.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #24

Breakeven Oil Prices as a Function of GHG Emission Price for Coal, Biomass, and Coal/Biomass Conversion to FTL or MTG

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.24 | Breakeven oil prices (US 2007 $) as a function of GHG emission price for coal, biomass, and coal/biomass conversion to FTL or MTG. (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for financial parameter assumptions. Also, electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #25

Simplified Process Diagram for H2 Production from Coal with CO2 Capture

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.25 | Simplified process diagram for H2 production from coal with CO 2 capture.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #26

Simplified Process Diagrams for H2 Production from Natural Gas via Steam-Methane Reforming (top) or via Autothermal Reforming (bottom)

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.26 | Simplified process diagrams for H 2 production from natural gas via steam-methane reforming (top) or via autothermal reforming (bottom). When CO 2 is captured for storage (as shown), import of electricity may be required to meet on-site needs. Without CO 2 capture, there can be net electricity exports to the grid from the facility.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #27

Levelized Hydrogen Production Costs as a Function of GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.27 | Levelized hydrogen production costs as a function of GHG emissions price. (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for fi nancial parameter assumptions. Also, electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted in Figure 12.10 .) Source: based on Simbeck, 2004 ; Simbeck and Wilhelm, 2007 ; Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #28

Per Capita Energy Use Rate for Cooking in the Early 1980s

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.28 | Per capita energy use rate for cooking in the early 1980s. For both wood stoves and stoves burning high-quality energy carriers, the per capita energy use rate is in Watts; for wood fuel, the rate is also in t/yr of dry wood. (Assuming 1 tonne = 18 GJ, 1 t/yr = 570 Watts). Source: Goldemberg et al., 1985 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #29

Process Steps for DME Production from Coal

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.29 | Process steps for DME production from coal.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #30

Breakeven Crude Oil Price (BEOP) as a Function of the GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.30 | Breakeven crude oil price (BEOP) as a function of the GHG emissions price for the MTG options described in Table 12.21 . (See Table 12.6 , note (b) and Table 12.16 , note (b) for financial parameter and other assumptions. Electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted in Figure 12.10 .)

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #31

CTL-OT-V System that Provides F-T Liquids + Electricity from Coal via Gasification while Venting the Captured CO2 Coproduct

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.31 | CTL-OT-V system (including only yellow-shaded components) that provides F-T liquids + electricity from coal via gasification while venting the captured CO 2 coproduct. Upstream of the synthesis reactor CO 2 accounting for 25% of the C in the coal is captured along with H 2 S using Rectisol. The H 2 S is converted to elemental sulfur in a Claus plant and the CO 2 is vented.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #32

CTG-PB-CCS System that Provides Gasoline and LPG + Electricity From Coal

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.32 | CTG-PB-CCS system (yellow-shaded components) that provides gasoline and LPG + electricity from coal. H 2 S is converted to elemental sulfur, and CO 2 is captured both upstream and downstream of synthesis (accounting for 64% of C in the coal), compressed to 150 bar, and delivered to a pipeline for transport to a geological storage site. With the addition of the green-shaded components, the system (CBTG-PB-CCS) produces gasoline and LPG + electricity from coal and biomass. CO 2 accounting for 65% of C in the feedstocks is captured and sent to geological storage.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #33

Biomass and Coal Required to Produce Alternative Fuels Having Low/Zero Fuel-cycle-wide GHG Emissions

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.33 | Biomass (and coal) required to produce alternative fuels having low/zero fuel-cycle-wide GHG emissions. For this graph, all primary energy input is allocated to liquid fuels even though all systems also provide electricity. For details on the cellulosic ethanol options (EtOH-V and EtOH-CCS) see Box 12.3 . Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #34

Comparison of CTL Production Costs

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.34 | Comparison of CTL production costs (US 2007 $): OT vs RC options, both with CO 2 vented (–V) and with carbon capture and storage (–CCS). (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for financial parameter assumptions. Also, electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted in Figure 12.10 .) Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #35

Comparison of CTG Production Costs

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.35 | Comparison of CTG production costs (US 2007 $): PB vs RC options, both with CO 2 vented (–V) and with carbon capture and storage (–CCS). Same financial parameter and electricity price assumptions as Figure 12.34 . Source: based on Liu et al., forthcoming.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #36

Liquid Fuel Production Costs for Alternative FTL-OT and MTG-PB Options

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.36 | Liquid fuel production costs (US 2007 $) for alternative FTL-OT and MTG-PB options, involving coal and coal + biomass as feedstocks. Same financial parameter and electricity price assumptions as Figure 12.34 . Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #37

Levelized Cost of Electricity for Crude Oil at $90/bbl

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.37 | Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for crude oil at $90/bbl for the electric power options described in Table 12.24 . (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for fi nancial parameter values assumed.) The IEA (2009b) projects that if the global community were to pursue a GHG emissions trajectory consistent with stabilizing the atmospheric GHG concentration at 450 ppmv the world oil price would be fl at at US$90/bbl, 2020–2030, considerably lower than its projection of the world oil price for its Reference Case (BAU) scenario.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #38

BAU projection by US EIA of China’s Energy Future

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.38 | Business-as-usual (BAU) projection by US Energy Information Administration of China’s energy future, 2006–2030. Source: US EIA, 2009a.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #39

GHG Emissions for China

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.39 | GHG emissions for China: for the BAU scenario based on US EIA (2009a) and for the three thought experiment variants discussed in the main text.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #40

Oil Imports for China

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.40 | Oil imports for China: for the BAU scenario based on US EIA (2009a) and for the three thought experiment variants discussed in the main text.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #41

LCOE vs GHG Emissions Price under US Conditions

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.41 | Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) vs GHG emissions price under US conditions for the alternative power options in Table 12.25 when the levelized crude oil price is US$90/bbl. (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for financial parameter values assumed.) Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a ; Williams et al., 2011 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #42

Breakeven Crude Oil Price vs GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.42 | Breakeven crude oil price (BEOP) vs GHG emissions price for the alternative coproduction systems in Table 12.25 . (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for financial parameter values assumed.) Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a ; Williams et al., 2011 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #43

Minimum Dispatch Cost vs GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.43 | Minimum dispatch cost (MDC) vs GHG emissions price for the alternative coproduction systems listed in Table 12.25 . Source: based on Liu et al., 2011a; Williams et al., 2011 .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #44

Coal and Natural Gas Demand Implications of US Repowering Thought Experiment

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.44 | Coal and natural gas demand implications of US repowering thought experiment (RTE).

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #45

Simple Payback on the Total New Plant Investment

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.45 | The simple payback on the total new plant investment, 2016–2050, for the RTE would be about seven years if the sole benefit considered is the reduced public health damage costs from reduced PM 2.5 air pollution. (See Table 12.9 .)

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #46

Outlook For Natural Gas Supplies in The United States

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.46 | Outlook for natural gas supplies in the United States. To convert cubic feet to cubic meters, divide by 35.3. Source: modifi ed from US EIA, 2010a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #47

LCOF vs GHG Emissions Price

Fossil Energy

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Figure 12.47 | LCOF vs GHG emissions price for the six alternative low-carbon fuel options listed in Table 12.26 . Also shown are values of petroleum-derived gasoline and an average for gasoline plus diesel corresponding to the proportions of these fuels found in the FTL fl ues in the CBTL and BTL cases (see Table 12.15 , note (a)). (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for fi nancial parameter assumptions. Also, electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted in Figure 12.10. ) Based on Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #48

Real internal rate of return on equity for BIGCC-CCS and for the FTL options with the lowest LCOF for three levelized crude oil prices

Fossil Energy

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Figure 12.48 | Real internal rate of return on equity (IRRE) for BIGCC-CCS (see Table 12.26 ) and for the FTL options with the lowest LCOF (see Figure 12.47 ) for three levelized crude oil prices. Electricity sales are assumed at the US average grid price plotted in Figure 12.10 . Based on Liu et al., 2011a .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #49

Energy and GHG Emissions for Global Coal/Biomass Thought Experiment

Fossil Energy

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Figure 12.49 | Energy and GHG emissions for global coal/biomass thought experiment and for IEA 2050 Baseline (business-as-usual) scenario. Numbers at tops of bars are total GHG emissions in GtCO 2 -eq/yr. LDV fuel use rate is in liters of gasoline equivalent per 100 km. Source: see discussion in text.

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #50

GBTL-OT-CCS System that Provides Electricity+FTL from Natural Gas and Biomass

Fossil Energy

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Figure 12.50 | GBTL-OT-CCS system that provides electricity + FTL (via use of a cobalt catalyst) from natural gas and biomass. Natural gas is converted to syngas in an autothermal reformer. Syngas is generated from biomass in a fl uidized bed gasifi er. The autothermal reformer is also used to crack (i.e., eliminate) the tars from the biomass-derived syngas. 52% of C in the feedstocks is captured, compressed to 150 bar, and sent via pipeline to a geological storage site. The system was designed with enough biomass coprocessing (34%) to realize GHGI = 0.10. Source: based on Liu et al., 2011b .

© GEA 2012 www.globalenergyassessment.org Chapter 12, #51

LCOE vs GHG Emissions Price for Coproduction Technologies

Fossil Energy

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Figure 12.51 | Levelized cost of electricity vs GHG emissions price for the coproduction technologies in Table 12.27 and stand-alone power options – assuming a US$90/bbl of crude oil price and reference case coal and natural gas pricing (US$2.04/GJ and US$5.1/GJ, respectively). (See Table 12.6 , note (b) for fi nancial parameter assumptions.) Source: based on Liu et al., 2011b .