fy2019/20 - webcast.archive.wisdomir.comwebcast.archive.wisdomir.com/files/10182/l1/...imports to...
TRANSCRIPT
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FY2019/20INTERIM RESULTS(2019.4.1 – 2019.9.30)
2019.11.25
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CONTENTS:
Operational Performance• Natural Gas• LPG• Value-added Services
Financial Performance
Future Strategy
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Operational PerformanceNatural Gas
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As at 30 September 2019, the Group cumulatively secured a total of 582 piped gas projects with concession rights; the number of connectable population covered by the Group’s piped gas projectsincreased to about 160 million.
4
Piped Gas Projects
342
508
582
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1HFY2017/18 1HFY2018/19 1HFY2019/20
Number of piped gas projects
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Natural Gas – Volume Growth
PeriodVolume Growth:
City and Township Projects
1HFY2019/20 15.4%
1HFY2018/19 28.1%
PeriodVolume Growth:
Pipelines & Trade
1HFY2019/20 -1.1%
1HFY2018/19 39.6%
11,837
4,651.7
5,958.96,874.3
3,593.8
5,017.7
4,962.5
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5006,0006,5007,0007,5008,0008,5009,0009,500
10,00010,50011,00011,50012,000
1HFY2017/18 1HFY2018/19 1HFY2019/20
City & Township Projects Pipelines & Trade
10,977
Nat
ura
l Gas
Sal
es V
olu
me
(mill
ion
m3
)
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Natural Gas – Customer Breakdown
3,593.8
5,017.7 Pipelines &
Trade4,962.5
515.2
540.0 CNG/LNG506.9
761.5
944.7Commercial
1,077.02,243.0
3,104.4
Industrial3,669.5
1,132.0
1,369.8
Residential1,620.9
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
9,000
9,500
10,000
10,500
11,000
11,500
12,000
1HFY2017/18 1HFY2018/19 1HFY2019/20
Pipelines & Trade CNG/LNG Commercial
Industrial Residential
Customer
% of total city &
township gas
volume
Volume Growth
1HFY
2019/20
1HFY
2018/19
Residential 23.6% 18.3% 21.0%
Industrial 53.4% 18.2% 38.4%
Commercial 15.6% 14.0% 24.1%
CNG/LNG Stations
7.4% -6.1% 4.8%
Total city &township gasvolume
15.4% 28.1%
Volume Growth
Customer1HFY
2019/20
1HFY
2018/19
Pipelines or Trading -1.1% 39.6%
Nat
ura
l gas
sal
es v
olu
me
(mill
ion
m3)
City &townshipgasvolume
Pipeline & trading volume
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Proactively optimising its connection strategy to promote new connections of existing residential buildings, CGH continues to deliver stablenew connections in city gas projects, at the same time, continue to boost its robust growth of new connections in township gas projects.
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Natural Gas – Fast-Growing Connections
Ho
use
ho
lds 2,142,114
2,534,709
2,934,080
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
1HFY17/18 1HFY18/19 1HFY19/20
New Residential Connections
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Natural Gas – Customer Breakdown
Customer
Organic Growth1HFY
2019/20 Portfolio
Total
Change from 1HFY2018/19
1HFY2018/19 Portfolio
Total
1HFY2019/20
Change from1HFY
2018/19
1HFY2018/19
Residential 2,934,080 15.8% 2,534,70932,612,237
27,854,396
4,757,841
20.3%
12.2%
109.4%
27,105,030
24,833,381
2,271,649
City projects 1,716,985 21.6% 1,412,193
Township Projects
1,217,095 8.4% 1,122,516
Industrial 1,431 28.9% 1,110 13,838 27.8% 10,831
Commercial 14,314 -8.4% 15,622 213,951 15.9% 184,586
CNG/LNGStations (number)
-20 - - 555 -4.3% 580
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Natural Gas – Tariff & Dollar Margin
City Gas ProjectsCustomer Tariffs (ex-tax) (RMB / m3)
1HFY2019/20 1HFY2018/19 Change
Residential 2.60 2.49 4.4%
Industrial 2.61 2.46 6.1%
Commercial 2.72 2.58 5.4%
CNG/LNG Stations 2.97 2.91 2.1%
Dollar Margins (ex-tax) (RMB / m3) 1HFY2019/20 FY2018/19 1HFY2018/19
Overall Dollar Margin (city gas projects) 0.621 0.61 0.625
Residential 0.51 0.44 0.47
Industrial 0.58 0.59 0.59
Commercial 0.80 0.75 0.82
CNG/LNG Stations 0.89 0.91 0.88
Residential (township gas projects) 0.50 0.40 -
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Natural Gas – Other Operational Data
1HFY2019/20 1HFY2018/19 1HFY2017/18
ResidentialConnection Fee (RMB per customer)
City Projects 2,524 2,549 2,496
Township Projects 3,006 3,038 3,142
Urban Population Covered (million) 135.6 125.6 119.5
Household Penetration Rate (City GasProjects)
63.3% 59.8% 55.7%
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Operational PerformanceLPG
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LPG – Vertical Integration of the Value Chain
CGH Core Business Areas
Upstream
LP
G
Midstream Downstream End Users
LPG Import LPG
receiving
terminals
Storage
facilities
Class II
Stations
Bottling
Stations /
Retail
Points
Industrial
Domestic
Oil Refinery
CGH Facilities / Customers
China Gas owns:
8 LPG receiving terminals
300,000 m3 of LPG storage capacity
100 LPG distribution projects and 1,100 retail stores
LPG distribution coverage in 19 provinces in China
Over 300,000 m3 Storage Capacity
8 LPG Terminals (Class 1 & 2)
LPG Fleet Capacity: 12,600 tonnes
100 LPG Distribution Projects
1,100 LPG Retail Stores
Commercial
Residential
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LPG Sales Volume Breakdown (Tons)
1,414,200 1,384,264 1,359,649
524,100 574,177 607,600
1,938,300 1,958,441 1,967,249
0
300,000
600,000
900,000
1,200,000
1,500,000
1,800,000
2,100,000
1HFY2017/18 1HFY2018/19 1HFY2019/20
wholesale retail
LPG – Vertical Integration of the Value Chain
Retail:• A more popular clean energy in townships and
villages where natural gas is not available;• Consolidating retail market through better service,
safety standard and quality of goods;• Owning a national call no. “95007”;
Wholesale: • Demand driven, such as rapid growth of the
petrochemical synthesis and processing sector where LPG is used as a raw material;
• Contractual sales accounts for about 60% of the total wholesale volume, so as to effectively avoid LPG price fluctuation risk;
Further market penetration Economies of scale Fully liberalized market LPG price-setter
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* The wholesale business recorded a slight year-on-year decrease in sales volume. It was mainly attributable to the greater volatility ininternational crude oil and LPG prices during the period under review, and the control of the Group appropriately exercised over its LPGimports to prevent the effect of the substantial volatility of international LPG purchase price on profit.
** LPG purchase and selling prices decreased by approximately 30%, leading to decrease in revenue from sales of LPG during the periodunder review.
1HFY2019/20Change from
1HFY2018/191HFY2018/19
Sales Volume (tonnes) 1,967,249 0.5% 1,958,441
Wholesale 1,359,649* -1.8% 1,384,264
Retail 607,600 5.8% 574,177
Sales Revenue (HK$’000) 6,510,161** -33.7% 9,812,779
Gross Profit(HK$’000) 581,290 -19.5% 721,770
Operating profit (finance costs subtracted)
22,644 -33,707
Gross Margin(%) 8.9% 7.4%
LPG – Vertical Integration of the Value Chain
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Operational PerformanceValue-added Services
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Value-added Services – Asset-light Business
Sale and/or delivery of products/services via existing network with 38M+ customers
Gas heaters & kitchen appliances under the brand of Gasbo (中燃宝), such as gas stoves, disinfection cabinet, range hood, etc.
Smart Home
Comprehensive gas insurance
Sale of water purifier
Sale of air purifier
Gas alarm system
Bottled water
Gas corrugated pipes
Maintenance and equipment conversion services
and more…
Online +
offline
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Huge PRC market, High margin, Strong growth
Blue
Ocean
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Value-added services 1HFY19/20Change from1HFY18/19
1HFY18/19
Revenue 2,207.8 118.3% 1,011.4
Gross profit 820.9 96.9% 416.9
GP margin 37.2% 41.2%
Operating profit 676.6 98.1% 341.5
OP margin 30.6% 33.8%
Value-added Services – Asset-light Business
Revenue & profit continue to grow at high double-digit in years
Value-added Services
Performance (HK$ millions)
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Financial Performance
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* The growth of Core profit attributable to owners of the Company would have increased by more than 25.9% if RMB vs. USD/HK$ didn’t drop by more than 3.7% between 30 Sep 2018 and 30 Sep 2019.
HK$ (millions) 1HFY2019/20Change from
1HFY2018/191HFY2018/19
Revenue 27,925.5 (3.3%) 28,877.2
Gas sales 12,417.7 3.7% 11,973.6
Connection fees 6,055.8 14.0% 5,312.6
LPG sales 6,510.2 (33.7%) 9,812.8
Value-added services 2,207.8 118.3% 1,011.4
Construction design and services 734.0 (4.3%) 766.9
Gross profit 8,170.9 25.7% 6,499.9
EBIT 7,333.2 25.0% 5,867.2
One-off or non-operational items -11.9 198.2
Profit attributable to owners of the Company 4,909.6 16.2% 4,225.8
EPS - Basic (HK cents) 94.08 11.4% 84.42
Core net profit attributable to owners of the Company * 4,921.5* 22.2%* 4,027.6
EPS – Core (HK cents) 94.31 17.2% 80.46
Interim dividend per share (HK cents) 10.0 25.0% 8.0
Income Statement
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ItemsHK$ millions
Remarks
1Exchange gain/loss (66.7)
Foreign debt proportion remained at low level of 19.2% as at 30 September 2019
2 Gain or loss on disposal of associate/JV/PPE/others
64.7
3 Share of ex loss attributable to Zongyu Gas (associate, 41.2% of shares)
(9.9)
Total amount (11.9)
One-off / non-operational items
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Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/markets
Changes in exchange rate
1.1391
1.0968
1.07
1.08
1.09
1.1
1.11
1.12
1.13
1.14
1.15
28/9/2018 30/09/2019
Historical exchange rateRMB:HKD
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Balance Sheet
HK$(millions) 1HFY19/20 1HFY18/19 1HFY17/18
Total Assets 111,472.7 93,516.1 69,683.1
Total Equity 41,727.9 34,712.7 27,650.6
Shareholder's Equity 36,004.6 29,549.8 23,893.7
Cash 9,025.3 9,987.9 7,216.8
Short-term Bank and Other Borrowings
16,954.9 8,737.8 11,056.3
of which LPG trade finance related facilities
2,106.1 1,696.7 -
Long-term Bank and Other Borrowings
21,710.8 24,385.7 14,700.1
Net Gearing Ratio * 65% 62% 67%
* Excluding the LPG import letter of credit related trade finance
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Operating Profit Margins
1HFY2019/20 1HFY2018/19
Operating profit margin 21.5% 16.2%
Sales of gas 13.9% 12.5%
Gas connection 37.0% 29.7%
Construction design and services 19.3% 17.6%
LPG sales 0.3% -0.3%
Value-added services 30.6% 33.8%
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Future Strategy & Outlook
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Continue to add 10-20 new city concessions in each year
Speed up connections to old/existing residential buildings to increase penetration rate
Strong volume driver: “coal to gas” conversion for industrial and commercial users
Huge new market for winter heating application: replacement of coal with gas for residential users in towns andvillages in 15 provinces in northern China
Develop the enormous value-added services’ market for more than 38 million existing customers, increasing by5 million+ annually
Vertically integrate LPG value chain and boost LPG assets’ utilization rate
Explore new businesses, such as, Distributed Energy, Gas Heating, Electric Charging Posts and ElectricityDistribution etc.
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Future Strategy
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Established strategic partnerships with Tianjin city, Hebei, Shandong, Shanxi, Henan, Shaanxi, Anhui,
Yunnan, Hainan, Heilongjiang, Hubei, Jilin, Guizhou, Sichuan and Hunan provinces respectively, and
implemented projects, in more than 213 counties or districts, such as “replacement of coal with gas” in towns
and villages, conversion of coal-fired boilers to natural-gas-fed in urban areas, natural gas for vehicles,
distributed energy resources, natural gas storage facilities and the construction of natural gas pipeline
networks and “beautiful countryside”.
As at 30 September 2019, China Gas has signed contracts to replace coal with natural gas for more than
8 million households in towns/villages, including the 4.76 million households for which the connection
works have been completed by September 2019.
Replacement of coal with natural gas projects in towns and villages will contribute to the Group:
1. A substantial increase in new residential connections, on top of the annual residential connections in
369 existing city gas projects.
2. Continuously grow value-added business by selling wall-hanging gas heaters and kitchen appliances.
3. Replacement of coal with natural gas projects in towns and villages is mainly for winter heating
purpose, the average gas consumption per household for heating in winter is about 10 times of the
usage by urban household, thus, it will bring substantial growth in natural gas sales in the future.
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Township “coal-to-gas” for winter heating
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Outlook
SegmentFY2019/20(Original)
FY2019/20(Updated)
FY2020/21
Gas volume in city & township projects 25+% 25+% 25+%
Annual residential connections (households) 5,500,000 5,500,000 6,300,000
Sale tonnage of LPG (tons) 4,300,000 4,300,000 5,000,000
Gross profit of value-added service 40% 50+% 40+%
Dollar margin for city gas projects (RMB / m3 ) 0.60 0.61 0.60+
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Conditions intended to be attached to the New Options to be granted
The Board proposes to seek the approval of the Shareholders on the refreshment of the Scheme MandateLimit, in order to enable the Company to provide more rewards and motivation to its employees and othereligible persons under the Share Option Scheme for their contribution and continuing efforts to promote theinterest of the Company and enhance the value of the Shares.
Conditions intended to be attached to the New Options to be granted under the Scheme Mandate Limit, ifrefreshed:
i. the Group’s audited net profit after tax (before share-based payment expenses)and deduction of net profit after tax attributable to non-controlling interests forany of the financial years ending on or before 31 March 2022 based on the auditedconsolidated financial statements of the Company amounts to HK$ 14 billion orabove; or
ii. if the above condition is not fulfilled, the New Options can still be exercised if theGroup’s audited profit after tax (before share-based payment expenses) anddeduction of net profit after tax attributable to non-controlling interests for thefinancial year ending 31 March 2023 based on the audited consolidated financialstatements of the Company amounts to HK$15 billion or above; and
the New Options will lapse if none of the above conditions is satisfied.
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Reference Documents
31
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32
Financial Highlights
0.160.22
0.39
0.5
0.66
0.75
0.91
1.28
1.61
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
HK
$
Core EPS*
2.23.92
8.48
12.06
16.15
19.46
25
35
44
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
HK
Cen
ts
DPS
* Net of one-off or non-operational items
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33
Environmental Protection Policies
•issued by the Ministry of Environmental Protection in collaboration with the People's Governments of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei in June 2016
•promotion of "gas for coal replacement" campaign, designation of coal-free areas
•dedicated funding from central government
"Reinforced Measures on Air Pollution Prevention and Control in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (2016-2017)"
•issued by the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Environmental Protection in July 2016
•strengthen the use of special funds for “air pollution prevention and control”
"Measures for the Administration of Special Funds for Air Pollution Prevention andControl"
•issued by the People's Government of Hebei in August 2016
"Implementation Plan for the Reinforced Measures on Air Pollution Prevention andControl in Hebei (2016-2017)"
•issued by 4 ministries in collaboration with People's Governments of six provinces and municipalities in NorthernChina in February 2017
•number of "pollution diffusion belt cities" raised to 28
•shut down of heavily polluting factories in winter
"2017 Work Plan on Air Pollution Prevention and Control in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebeiand the Surrounding Areas"
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34
Environmental Protection Policies
•issued by 4 ministries in collaboration in May 2017
•support for pilot projects on clean winter heating with central finance
•3 years demonstration period. Financial subsidy by the central government according to the scale of the city: 1billion each year for municipalities, 700 million each year for provincial capital cities, and 500 million each year forprefecture-level cities.
"Circular of the Central Government on Piloting Winter Cleaning and Heating inNorthern China"
•issued by 10 ministries in collaboration with People's Governments of six provinces and municipalities in NorthernChina in August 2017
•supervision of “air pollution comprehensive management” work done by the 28 “pollution diffusion belt cities”
"Priority Working Plan for Comprehensive Management of Air Pollution during Falland Winter of 2017-2018 in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and its Surrounding Areas"
•Issued by 10 ministries in collaboration in December 2017
•Includes all 15 provinces in north China
•by 2021: 70% clean heating coverage in north China, replacing 150 MTs of coal; comprehensive clean heatingcoverage in “2+26” cities and abolition of all boilers under 35 tons; 80% clean heating coverage in counties andcity suburbs and abolition of all boilers under 20 tons; 60% clean heating coverage in rural area
“Clean Winter Heating Plan for North China (2017-2021)"
•issued by the State Council, highest profile document for air pollution control
•Extending air pollution control from “2+26” to the Yangtze River Delta and Fenhe-Weihe Plain
•Incremental gas will prioritize residential use and winter heating in areas with severe air pollution; prioritizingBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei and its surrounding area and Fenhe-Weihe Plain in order to realize “the replacement of coalwith gas”
“Three Year Action Plan for Winning the Battle for Blue Sky"
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35
Subsidy Policies for Township
Subsidies for "coal to gas replacement", in Hebei Province:
Residential users:
Installation subsidy, RMB 4,000/household. Provincial government bears RMB 1,000, city and countygovernments bear the rest RMB 3,000
Equipment purchase subsidy
70% reimbursement of purchase of wall-mounted heaters, up to RMB 2,700
Gas subsidy in winter
RMB 0.8/cubic meter subsidy for winter heating purpose, up to RMB 960 per year, for 3 years
Industrial users:
Subsidy of RMB 100,000 per steam ton for retrofitting coal-fired boilers to gas-fired boilers
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36
Disclaimer & Contact
Disclaimer:
Statements in this presentation and handout that are not strictly historical are “forward-looking” statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, continued acceptance of the Company’sproduct and services in the marketplace, competitive factors, new products and technology changes, the Company’sdependence upon third party suppliers and other risks detailed from time to time in the presentation, handout and otherrelated documents. All the directors of China Gas jointly and severally accept full responsibility for the accuracy of theinformation contained in these materials and confirm, having made all reasonable inquiries, that to the best of theirknowledge, opinions expressed in these materials have been arrived at after due and careful consideration and there areno other facts not contained in these materials, the omission of which would make any statement in these materialsmisleading. The materials and information in the presentations and other documents are for informational purposes only,and are not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instruments or to provide anyinvestment service or investment advice.
For investor enquires:
Mr. Frank Li
Tel: +852 2238 0315 l Fax: +852 2287 0633
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.chinagasholdings.com.hk